Pick-Em (PrizePicks)

PrizePicks runs a pick-em model: combine 2-6 legs into a Power Play, all must hit to cash. We pull their daily MLB projections, run our model at PP's line, and flag where PP is materially softer than DraftKings on the same player + market.

Sleeper Picks coming once you can hand us a Bearer token from your account (their endpoint is auth-gated).

--Raw PP Props

--Modeled (4 markets)

--Power-Play Eligible

--PP Softer than DK

--Refresh (UTC)

PPBook

Power Play breakevens per leg: 2-leg: 57.7% 3-leg: 58.5% 4-leg: 56.2% 5-leg: 54.9% 6-leg: 55.9%

Optimal Power Plays

        Pre-calibration cap in play. Every leg below is capped at 85% probability so a single thin-sample projection can't drive runaway compounding (e.g. 95% × 95% × ... × 95% would print absurd EVs). Combined probabilities and EVs are computed off the capped 0.85 floor, not the raw model. Treat these as candidate shapes, not sized bets, until per-market calibration matures past 30 settled records.
      

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PrizePicks Props (sorted by PP advantage)

Market: Min Model %: Show:

PlayerMktStatPP LineDK LineΔFavorModel %Power-play OK

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Showing top 250 props by model confidence -- scroll within the list. Click a row to see model rationale.