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--Major Matches
--Live
--Upcoming
--Teams Rated
--Leagues
🎮 Play of the Day--
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🏆 Live + Upcoming Matches--
P(series A) computed from per-map ELO win-prob via binomial best-of-N. Updates every cron; ELO self-learns from each completed match (K-factor 24, map-margin weighted).
LeagueMatchupBOP(A win)Series ScoreA FairB FairStatus
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🎰 LoL 2-3 Leg Parlays--
Joint probability across independent series. One leg per series max.
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📋 Model
- Per-region ELO baselines (LCK 1580 · LPL 1570 · LEC 1520 · LCS 1490 · regionals 1380-1450)
- K-factor 24, log-scaled by map margin (2-0 sweep counts more than 2-1)
- Series win prob via binomial: P(series) = sum_k C(target-1+k, k) * p^target * (1-p)^k
- Sweep markets flagged when |elo_diff| ≥ 100 (-1.5 map handicap)
- Self-learning: every completed match updates team ELO → next prediction