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--Games Today
--Teams
50kMC Sims/Game
--Data Source
🇰🇷 Play of the Day--
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⚾ Starting Pitcher Matchups--
SP rotation (3-man) cycles by day-of-year. Each starter's ERA delta vs league avg (4.30) feeds the opponent's run-lambda.
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⚾ Today's KBO Board--
Poisson runs model (50K Monte Carlo per game). Win prob includes home-field +0.2 runs. Self-learning ELO updates with each settled game.
MatchupTotalExp H/AP(home)Home FairAway FairStatus
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🏆 KBO 10 Teams (current ELO)
📋 Model
- 10-team Korean Baseball League: KIA/LG/Samsung/Doosan/SSG/KT/NC/Lotte/Hanwha/Kiwoom
- KBO scoring environment: 4.7 R/G/team (slightly lower than MLB)
- Knuth Poisson sampler, 50,000 sims per game
- Home-field +0.20 runs (smaller than MLB; KBO HFA is real but modest)
- ELO baseline rotates by team tier; updates per settled game (K=20)
- Self-learning: every settled game updates team ELO → next prediction