{
  "season": 2025,
  "n": 343,
  "market_brier": 0.1866,
  "model_brier": 0.2026,
  "market_accuracy": 0.7405,
  "model_accuracy": 0.691,
  "same_side_pct": 0.8105,
  "measured_at": "2026-09-03",
  "source": "ESPN core API closing moneylines (ESPN BET), de-vigged",
  "verdict": "the closing line is sharper than this model"
}