{ "generated_at": "2026-10-07T08:49:05", "stake_assumption": "1u flat per pick", "total_picks": 13720, "n_settled": 12161, "n_pending": 70, "n_void": 1489, "wins": 4712, "losses": 7439, "pushes": 10, "hit_rate": 0.3878, "net_units": -2249.053, "roi_pct": -18.51, "n_calibrated_picks": 13583, "calibrated_reliability": { "n": 12025, "ece_raw": 0.0875, "ece_calibrated": 0.0115, "brier_raw": 0.20962, "brier_calibrated": 0.19261, "note": "In-sample over the settled ledger (the isotonic transform is fit on these same outcomes); held-out 70/30 validation is in recalibration_map.json. p_predicted = raw model prob (kept untouched for the learning loop); p_calibrated = honest prob stamped per pick. Lower ECE/Brier on the calibrated column = the displayed % is truer." }, "curated": { "n_settled": 1132, "wins": 761, "losses": 361, "pushes": 10, "hit_rate": 0.6783, "net_units": 155.04, "roi_pct": 13.82, "sources": [ "consensus_hit_elite", "consensus_hit_strong", "lock_of_day", "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_7.5", "mlb_under_alert", "pod", "rlm_strong", "sharp_elite", "sharp_strong", "top_25_board" ], "definition": "Featured/recommended plays only -- Lock of the Day, Top 25, Whale, Sharp, Consensus (hit), Under Alerts, POD. Excludes the experimental prop feeds, which are tracked to train the model, not bet.", "last_30": { "wins": 98, "losses": 75, "net_units": 26.98, "roi_pct": 15.6, "hit_rate": 0.5665 } }, "n_added_this_run": 0, "n_newly_settled_this_run": 2, "n_resettled_this_run": 0, "n_voided_this_run": 0, "n_duplicates_collapsed_this_run": 0, "n_duplicate_adds_blocked_this_run": 29, "n_reconciled_settled_voids": 0, "n_bootstrapped_from_locks_history": 0, "by_source": { "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes": { "n": 28, "wins": 17, "losses": 11, "pushes": 0, "net_units": -3.148, "hit_rate": 0.6071, "roi_pct": -11.24 }, "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes": { "n": 1324, "wins": 189, "losses": 1135, "pushes": 0, "net_units": -490.366, "hit_rate": 0.1427, "roi_pct": -37.04 }, "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no": { "n": 27, "wins": 21, "losses": 6, "pushes": 0, "net_units": -1.397, "hit_rate": 0.7778, "roi_pct": -5.17 }, "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes": { "n": 1511, "wins": 339, "losses": 1172, "pushes": 0, "net_units": -464.64, "hit_rate": 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"result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4386, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.695 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4386, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.695 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.695 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4386, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 k = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.695 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.695 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Andujar", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.685, "fair_american": -218, "p_predicted": 0.685, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Andujar|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Andujar \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.685 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.685, "fair_american": -218, "p_predicted": 0.685, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.685 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Madrigal", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -210, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Madrigal|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Madrigal \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.678 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|William_Contreras|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Ward|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Jared_Young|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|A_J__Ewing|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.176, "fair_american": 468, "p_predicted": 0.176, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.68, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1339 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 478, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1328 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.163, "fair_american": 512, "p_predicted": 0.163, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.127 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 601, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.0998 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 603, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ezequiel_Tovar|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.0998 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 608, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.0998 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2695, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.788 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2688, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.788 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Mike_Trout|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2688, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.788 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Ty_France|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2695, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.788 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|A_J__Ewing|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2695, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.788 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -373, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 4, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 hits = 4 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.788 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -438, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2283, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.814 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -437, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Steven_Kwan|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.814 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -438, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Brice_Turang|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2283, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.814 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Frelick", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -439, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Sal_Frelick|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2278, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Sal Frelick \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T14:14:59", "p_calibrated": 0.814 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -437, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Carson_Benge|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 5, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 hits = 5 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.814 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -439, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Brett_Baty|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2278, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.814 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.839, "fair_american": -522, "p_predicted": 0.839, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Kyle_Karros|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1916, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.839 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.84, "fair_american": -523, "p_predicted": 0.84, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Alex_Freeland|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1912, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.84 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Torrens", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.839, "fair_american": -521, "p_predicted": 0.839, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Luis_Torrens|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1919, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Torrens \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.839 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.84, "fair_american": -523, "p_predicted": 0.84, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1912, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.84 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.863, "fair_american": -631, "p_predicted": 0.863, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Jake_Burger|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.863 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.863, "fair_american": -632, "p_predicted": 0.863, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Jo_Adell|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 4, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hits = 4 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-08T14:14:59", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.863 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.863, "fair_american": -632, "p_predicted": 0.863, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Marcus_Semien|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.863 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.864, "fair_american": -633, "p_predicted": 0.864, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.158, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.864 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.864, "fair_american": -634, "p_predicted": 0.864, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1577, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.864 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Ward|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.258 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2558 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-08T14:14:59", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.2558 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ty_France|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2397 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2372 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2134 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.206 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 280, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1991 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oswald Peraza", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Oswald_Peraza|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oswald Peraza \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1965 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.256, "fair_american": 291, "p_predicted": 0.256, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1931 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.187 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.857, "fair_american": -600, "p_predicted": 0.857, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|RBI_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "p_calibrated": 0.857 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.857, "fair_american": -600, "p_predicted": 0.857, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|RBI_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.857 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|RBI_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.786 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no|MLB|Max_Muncy|RBI_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.786 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|RBI_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.786 }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_10.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ COL", "market": "under_10.5", "prob": 0.632, "fair_american": -172, "p_predicted": 0.632, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_10_5|MLB|MIL___COL|under_10_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 12 @ COL 4", "total_runs": 16, "verify": "MIL @ COL: final 12-4 (total 16) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T15:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.6351, "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.685, "fair_american": -217, "p_predicted": 0.685, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|LAA___LAD|under_9_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 13 @ LAD 5", "total_runs": 18, "verify": "LAA @ LAD: final 13-5 (total 18) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T15:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.6497 }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "market": "over_6.5", "prob": 0.685, "fair_american": -217, "p_predicted": 0.685, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6_5|MLB|CLE___TEX|over_6_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4608, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 0 @ TEX 10", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CLE @ TEX: final 0-10 (total 10) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6395 }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "market": "over_6.5", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6_5|MLB|NYM___SDP|over_6_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4739, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 7 @ SD 3", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "NYM @ SD: final 7-3 (total 10) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T15:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.631, "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Evan Carter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Evan_Carter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Evan Carter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Ward|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.5, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mike_Trout|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.637, "fair_american": -176, "p_predicted": 0.637, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.612, "fair_american": -158, "p_predicted": 0.612, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Joc_Pederson|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Juan_Soto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.572, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.572, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Wade_Meckler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.567, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.567, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Jung|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7634, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_2_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "2_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_2_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|2_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.722 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -352, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Joc_Pederson|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "p_calibrated": 0.779 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "NYM @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Juan_Soto|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.764 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.718 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.717 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.692 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -216, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Wade_Meckler|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", 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"player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "CLE @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Josh_Jung|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.665 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5495, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.645 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.629, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.629, "matchup": "LAA @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Ryan_Ward|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5917, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ], "p_calibrated": 0.629 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T01:36:04", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.624 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.624, 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"result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4386, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T10:20:02", "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 4 @ DET 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "SEA @ DET: final 4-5 (total 9) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6497 }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ NYY", "market": "over_6.5", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "BOS @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6_5|MLB|BOS___NYY|over_6_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T10:20:02", "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 1 @ NYY 6", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "BOS @ NYY: final 1-6 (total 7) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.653 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Christian_Yelich|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-23", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Yelich", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-23", "recorded_at": "2026-05-23T21:09:03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-24T07:31:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Yelich \u2014 tb = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-23", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kyle_Higashioka|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-23", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Higashioka", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-23", "recorded_at": "2026-05-23T21:09:03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": 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"2026-06-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Jake_Meyers|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T11:58:34", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jake Meyers \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8262 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Endy_Rodr_guez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.861, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:44", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:45", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8604, "raw_prob": 0.9186, "edge_pct": 49.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -438, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2283, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.814 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -437, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2288, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.814 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Susac", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -438, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Daniel_Susac|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2283, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Daniel Susac \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.814 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Kelly", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.839, "fair_american": -520, "p_predicted": 0.839, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Carson_Kelly|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1923, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Carson Kelly \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.839 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.839, "fair_american": -521, "p_predicted": 0.839, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1919, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.839 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.857, "fair_american": -600, "p_predicted": 0.857, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|RBI_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.857 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no|MLB|Alex_Bregman|RBI_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.786 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|RBI_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.786 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|RBI_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.786 }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_8.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ COL", "market": "over_8.5", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "MIL @ COL", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_8_5|MLB|MIL___COL|over_8_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5618, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:59", "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 12 @ COL 4", "total_runs": 16, "verify": "MIL @ COL: final 12-4 (total 16) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5844 }, { "source": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_SCORE_RUN_YES", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_SCORE_RUN_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "runs", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 runs = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.714 }, { "source": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TO_SCORE_RUN_YES", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TO_SCORE_RUN_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "runs", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 runs = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.714 }, { "source": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_SCORE_RUN_YES", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_SCORE_RUN_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "runs", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 runs = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.714 }, { "source": "mlb_run_to_score_run_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_SCORE_RUN_NO", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_run_to_score_run_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_SCORE_RUN_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5556, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "runs", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 runs = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.643 }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.224, "fair_american": 346, "p_predicted": 0.224, "matchup": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "tournament": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T12 (-4) at the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2666 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keegan Bradley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Keegan_Bradley|TOP_10|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "tournament": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Keegan Bradley finished T19 (-2) at the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5271 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Maverick McNealy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Maverick_McNealy|TOP_10|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.29, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "tournament": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Maverick McNealy finished T10 (-5) at the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2688 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tony Finau", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tony_Finau|TOP_10|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "tournament": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "finish": "T29", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tony Finau finished T29 (1) at the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2688 }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sahith Theegala", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sahith_Theegala|TOP_20|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "tournament": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sahith Theegala finished T32 (2) at the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3564 }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_4|WNBA|CHI___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_4|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 68 @ TOR 85", "team_total": 85, "line": 77.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ TOR: home scored 85 (line 77.4, bet over) on 2026-06-07" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ LA", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_9|WNBA|POR___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_9|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 72 @ LA 89", "team_total": 89, "line": 73.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ LA: home scored 89 (line 73.9, bet over) on 2026-06-07" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "marina mabrey", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.67, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.67, "matchup": "CHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|marina_mabrey|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marina mabrey \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-06-07" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6633, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.634, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.634, "matchup": "POR @ LAS", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-07" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.634, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "CHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5495, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-07" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6682, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.673, "fair_american": -206, "p_predicted": 0.673, "matchup": "POR @ LAS", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4854, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-07" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6548, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4386, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 k = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.695 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Mois_s_Ballesteros|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.695 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4386, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 k = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.695 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 k = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2596 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2461 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2101 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2095 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.206 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.86, "fair_american": -614, "p_predicted": 0.86, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_no|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TB_3PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1629, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.86 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.918, "fair_american": -1120, "p_predicted": 0.918, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_no|MLB|Pedro_Ram_rez|TB_3PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0893, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "p_calibrated": 0.918, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Susac", "market": "TB_3PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.935, "fair_american": -1438, "p_predicted": 0.935, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_no|MLB|Daniel_Susac|TB_3PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0695, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Daniel Susac \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.935 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros", "market": "TB_3PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.94, "fair_american": -1567, "p_predicted": 0.94, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_no|MLB|Mois_s_Ballesteros|TB_3PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0638, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.94 }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.63, "fair_american": -170, "p_predicted": 0.63, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willy_Adames|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Arraez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2472 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2406 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2389 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Chapman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2389 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.763, "fair_american": -322, "p_predicted": 0.763, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.763 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Willy_Adames|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.745 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.718 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.71 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Ian_Happ|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4902, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.671 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.631, "fair_american": -171, "p_predicted": 0.631, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T22:17:30", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.631 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|JJ_Bleday|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-23", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-23", "recorded_at": "2026-05-23T22:50:51", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-23T22:50:51", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-05-23", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8531, "edge_pct": 48.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:11:35", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T23:11:35", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8246 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jackson_Merrill|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8498, "edge_pct": 47.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:11:35", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T23:11:35", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8226 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_YES", "prob": 0.953, "fair_american": -2023, "p_predicted": 0.953, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TO_RECORD_HIT_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0494, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.953 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_YES", "prob": 0.852, "fair_american": -578, "p_predicted": 0.852, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_RECORD_HIT_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.173, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.852 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_YES", "prob": 0.852, "fair_american": -575, "p_predicted": 0.852, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TO_RECORD_HIT_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.852 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_YES", "prob": 0.833, "fair_american": -498, "p_predicted": 0.833, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TO_RECORD_HIT_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2008, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.833 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Pedro_Ram_rez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.687, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.687, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Mois_s_Ballesteros|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558 }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.23, "fair_american": 334, "p_predicted": 0.23, "matchup": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Alex_Fitzpatrick|TOP_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "tournament": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Alex Fitzpatrick finished T6 (-8) at the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2666 }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kristoffer Reitan", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 330, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Kristoffer_Reitan|TOP_5|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "tournament": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Kristoffer Reitan finished T6 (-8) at the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2666 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Si Woo Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Si_Woo_Kim|TOP_10|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "tournament": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Si Woo Kim finished T10 (-5) at the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2772 }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Thomas", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.531, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.531, "matchup": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Thomas|TOP_20|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "tournament": "the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Thomas finished T19 (-2) at the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5329 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4414 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.473, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.473, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4405 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Susac", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -401, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no|MLB|Daniel_Susac|WALK_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2494, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Daniel Susac \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.8 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.814, "fair_american": -438, "p_predicted": 0.814, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no|MLB|Pedro_Ram_rez|WALK_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "p_calibrated": 0.814, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.816, "fair_american": -442, "p_predicted": 0.816, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|WALK_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.816 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.842, "fair_american": -531, "p_predicted": 0.842, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|WALK_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1883, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.842 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.916, "fair_american": -1087, "p_predicted": 0.916, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|WALK_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.092, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.916 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 k = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.683 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "K_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|K_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4237, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.702 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "K_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no|MLB|Luis_Arraez|K_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3559, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.737 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "K_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|K_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3448, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.744 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez", "market": "K_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no|MLB|Pedro_Ram_rez|K_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3448, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "p_calibrated": 0.744, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.169, "fair_american": 491, "p_predicted": 0.169, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1314 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 525, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1221 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.154, "fair_american": 548, "p_predicted": 0.154, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1123 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 557, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.109 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 298, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1888 }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Michael_Busch|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.527, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.527, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ian_Happ|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_2_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "2_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_2_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Chapman|2_plus_hrr|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3704, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.73 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Michael_Busch|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.643 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.62, "fair_american": -163, "p_predicted": 0.62, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-07", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Rafael_Devers|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:35:19", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:41", "p_calibrated": 0.62 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kyle_Higashioka|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-24", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Higashioka", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-24", "recorded_at": "2026-05-24T07:31:37", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-25T13:38:52", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Higashioka \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-24", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8079 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8532, "raw_prob": 0.9093, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.8247 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8531, "raw_prob": 0.9091, "edge_pct": 48.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.8246 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8498, "raw_prob": 0.9052, "edge_pct": 47.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Jackson_Merrill|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.8226 }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.855, "edge_pct": 48.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|David_Hamilton|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "David Hamilton \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "p_calibrated": 0.8257 }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_2.5", "prob": 0.8537, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Freddy_Fermin|PP_batter_hrr_under_2_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 2.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.8537 }, { "source": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TO_SCORE_RUN_YES", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TO_SCORE_RUN_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "runs", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 runs = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.714 }, { "source": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_SCORE_RUN_YES", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_run_to_score_run_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_SCORE_RUN_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "runs", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 runs = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.714 }, { "source": "mlb_run_to_score_run_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_SCORE_RUN_NO", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_run_to_score_run_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_SCORE_RUN_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5556, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "runs", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 runs = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.643 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_YES", "prob": 0.953, "fair_american": -2023, "p_predicted": 0.953, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TO_RECORD_HIT_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0494, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 4, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hits = 4 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.953 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_YES", "prob": 0.852, "fair_american": -575, "p_predicted": 0.852, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TO_RECORD_HIT_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1739, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.852 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_YES", "prob": 0.833, "fair_american": -498, "p_predicted": 0.833, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TO_RECORD_HIT_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2008, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.833 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.816, "fair_american": -442, "p_predicted": 0.816, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|WALK_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2262, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.816 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.842, "fair_american": -531, "p_predicted": 0.842, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|WALK_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1883, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.842 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.916, "fair_american": -1087, "p_predicted": 0.916, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_no|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|WALK_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.092, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.916 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "K_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|K_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.683 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "K_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|K_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4237, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 k = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.702 }, { "source": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "K_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_bk_k_1plus_no|MLB|Luis_Arraez|K_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "k", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 k = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.737 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.169, "fair_american": 491, "p_predicted": 0.169, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.1314 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 525, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.1221 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.839, "fair_american": -521, "p_predicted": 0.839, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|HITS_2PLUS_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.1919, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.839 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2531 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2206 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2025 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 298, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.1888 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.857, "fair_american": -600, "p_predicted": 0.857, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|RBI_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.857 }, { "source": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "RBI_1PLUS_NO", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_rbi_1plus_rbi_1plus_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|RBI_1PLUS_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "rbi", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 rbi = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.786 }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.407, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.407, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2941, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.5, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.69, "fair_american": -222, "p_predicted": 0.69, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4505, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.622, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.622, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willy_Adames|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Arraez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2472 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_2_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "2_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_2_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Chapman|2_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3704, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.73 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Willy_Adames|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.745 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3425, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.745 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -262, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.724 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.659, "fair_american": -193, "p_predicted": 0.659, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5181, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.659 }, { "source": "mlb_total_bases_2plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "2_plus_total_bases", "prob": 0.62, "fair_american": -163, "p_predicted": 0.62, "matchup": "SFG @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_total_bases_2plus|MLB|Rafael_Devers|2_plus_total_bases|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T01:59:59", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.62 }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "erling haaland", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.617, "fair_american": -161, "p_predicted": 0.617, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-05-24", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|EPL|erling_haaland|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-05-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T02:15:15", "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.617, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "antoine semenyo", "ollie watkins", "ollie watkins" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City: erling haaland did not score \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:20:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Newcastle United @ Fulham", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.658, "fair_american": -192, "p_predicted": 0.658, "matchup": "Newcastle United @ Fulham", "date": "2026-05-24", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Newcastle_United___Fulham|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-05-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5208, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T02:15:15", "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Newcastle United 0-2 Fulham", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "issa diop", "tom cairney" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Newcastle United 0-2 Fulham: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:20:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Chelsea @ Sunderland", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -197, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Chelsea @ Sunderland", "date": "2026-05-24", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Chelsea___Sunderland|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-05-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T02:15:15", "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland", "total_cards": 10, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "trai hume", "cole palmer" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland: 10 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:20:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Wolverhampton Wanderers @ Burnley", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Wolverhampton Wanderers @ Burnley", "date": "2026-05-24", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Wolverhampton_Wanderers___Burnley|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-05-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T02:15:15", "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Burnley", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "adam armstrong", "zian flemming" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": 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"p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6_5|MLB|NYY___CLE|over_6_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T13:57:16", "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 7 @ CLE 5", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "NYY @ CLE: final 7-5 (total 12) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6469 }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "market": "over_6.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6_5|MLB|PHI___TOR|over_6_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4525, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T13:57:16", "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 5 @ TOR 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "PHI @ TOR: final 5-2 (total 7) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6432 }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "market": "over_6.5", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_6_5|MLB|BOS___TBR|over_6_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T13:57:16", "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 1 @ TB 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "BOS @ TB: final 1-3 (total 4) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6371 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8536, "raw_prob": 0.9085, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Dylan_Crews|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T14:14:59", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.8249 }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Daukaus vs Bo Nickal", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "Kyle Daukaus vs Bo Nickal", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Kyle_Daukaus_vs_Bo_Nickal|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.94, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T17:18:47", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Kyle Daukaus vs Bo Nickal", "winner": "Bo Nickal", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Bo Nickal def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Gaethje vs Ilia Topuria", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 395, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "Justin Gaethje vs Ilia Topuria", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Justin_Gaethje_vs_Ilia_Topuria|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T17:18:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Justin Gaethje vs Ilia Topuria", "winner": "Justin Gaethje", "ended_round": 4, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Justin Gaethje def. opponent (ended R4) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Chandler vs Mauricio Ruffy", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "Michael Chandler vs Mauricio Ruffy", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Michael_Chandler_vs_Mauricio_Ruffy|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.13, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T17:18:47", "outcome": { "fight": "Priscila Cachoeira vs Chelsea Chandler", "winner": "Chelsea Chandler", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Chelsea Chandler def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T05:52:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3366 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:02:10", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.3176 }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Ben_Rice|1_plus_hit|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ CONN", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_7|WNBA|NY___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_7|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 89 @ CON 80", "team_total": 80, "line": 73.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ CON: home scored 80 (line 73.7, bet over) on 2026-06-08" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_5|WNBA|IND___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 78 @ WSH 76", "team_total": 76, "line": 78.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ WSH: home scored 76 (line 78.5, bet over) on 2026-06-08" }, "voided": false, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ LV", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_4|WNBA|SEA___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_4|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 91 @ LV 101", "team_total": 101, "line": 79.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ LV: home scored 101 (line 79.4, bet over) on 2026-06-08" }, "voided": false, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "IND @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_0|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|3PM_UNDER_3_0|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4082, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-06-08" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6687, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "gabby williams", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "SEA @ LVA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|gabby_williams|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6577, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "gabby williams \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-06-09" }, "voided": false, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "lexie hull", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -238, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "IND @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|lexie_hull|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lexie hull \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-08" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6679, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -238, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "IND @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4202, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-08" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6679, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.639, "fair_american": -177, "p_predicted": 0.639, "matchup": "IND @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 blk_stl = 4 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-08" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6496, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "IND @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-08" }, "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6797, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 9, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 tb = 9 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Keibert Ruiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Keibert_Ruiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Keibert Ruiz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.64, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ernie Clement", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ernie_Clement|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ernie Clement \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.258 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 9, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 tb = 9 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2509 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2219 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2186 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2167 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2114 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.206 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.294, "fair_american": 240, "p_predicted": 0.294, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.206 }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colton_Cowser|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ernie Clement", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ernie_Clement|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ernie Clement \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Springer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Raley", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Raley|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Raley \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ben_Rice|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7463, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Curtis_Mead|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|James_Wood|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Keibert Ruiz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Keibert_Ruiz|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Keibert Ruiz \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willson_Contreras|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2423 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T22:15:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2389 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorbit Vivas", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jorbit_Vivas|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jorbit Vivas \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.4372 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.4522 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.4558 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.4558 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Curtis_Mead|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1906 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 235, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.35, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1759 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 268, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1524 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.27, "fair_american": 270, "p_predicted": 0.27, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1505 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 280, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1491 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 360, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1491 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brent Rooker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 474, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brent_Rooker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brent Rooker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1332 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 478, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.78, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1328 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.167, "fair_american": 501, "p_predicted": 0.167, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ty_France|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1306 }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.159, "fair_american": 528, "p_predicted": 0.159, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1205 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.81, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2563 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Haase", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eric_Haase|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eric Haase \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2359 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2295 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2108 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2082 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wade_Meckler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2069 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2062 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.276, "fair_american": 262, "p_predicted": 0.276, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 9, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 tb = 9 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.206 }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.419, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.419, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2973, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Haase", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eric_Haase|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eric Haase \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colby Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colby_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colby Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Christian_Walker|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:29:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2464 }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_Bauers|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T23:38:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2415 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Duran|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-24", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-24", "recorded_at": "2026-05-24T11:24:53", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-25T08:31:04", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 tb = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-24", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kazuma_Okamoto|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-24", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-24", "recorded_at": "2026-05-24T21:05:19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-24T21:05:19", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-24", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_home_runs_under_0_5|2026-05-24", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_home_runs_under_0.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-24", "recorded_at": "2026-05-24T21:05:19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-24T21:05:19", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Rengifo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8622, "raw_prob": 0.9186, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Luis_Rengifo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Rengifo \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.859, "raw_prob": 0.9148, "edge_pct": 49.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.857, "raw_prob": 0.9125, "edge_pct": 48.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Caleb_Durbin|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Edouard Julien", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8565, "raw_prob": 0.9119, "edge_pct": 48.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Edouard_Julien|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.8266, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Edouard Julien \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8545, "raw_prob": 0.9095, "edge_pct": 48.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Geraldo_Perdomo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.8254, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8539, "raw_prob": 0.9088, "edge_pct": 48.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.8251, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6343, "raw_prob": 0.7548, "edge_pct": 21.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___LAA|OVER_8_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 5 @ LAA 4", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "HOU @ LAA: final 5-4 (total 9) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T16:24:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5774 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.5887, "raw_prob": 0.6855, "edge_pct": 12.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___SDP|UNDER_7_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 2 @ SD 6", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CIN @ SD: final 2-6 (total 8) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T16:24:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5756 }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.862, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8505, "edge_pct": 47.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jackson_Merrill|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.8231, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorbit Vivas", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jorbit_Vivas|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4372, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jorbit Vivas \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4522, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "lionel messi", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.62, "fair_american": -163, "p_predicted": 0.62, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-05-24", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|MLS|lionel_messi|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-05-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.62, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 4-6 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 9, "total_goals": 10, "scorers": [ "milan iloski", "milan iloski", "germ\u00e1n berterame", "bruno damiani", "luis su\u00e1rez", "germ\u00e1n berterame", "luis su\u00e1rez", "milan iloski", "luis su\u00e1rez", "rodrigo de paul" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 4-6 Inter Miami CF: lionel messi did not score \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:20:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Columbus Crew", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.668, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.668, "matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Columbus Crew", "date": "2026-05-24", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Columbus_Crew|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-05-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 0-2 Columbus Crew", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "s\u00e9kou tidiany bangoura", "diego rossi" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Atlanta United FC 0-2 Columbus Crew: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:20:33" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Curtis_Mead|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 235, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1759, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 268, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.68, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1524, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.27, "fair_american": 270, "p_predicted": 0.27, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1505, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 280, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 360, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 478, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.78, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1328, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.167, "fair_american": 501, "p_predicted": 0.167, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ty_France|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1306, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.159, "fair_american": 528, "p_predicted": 0.159, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1205, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 4, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hits = 4 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2596, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2295, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2082, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wade_Meckler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2069, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2062, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.276, "fair_american": 262, "p_predicted": 0.276, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.36, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.419, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.419, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2973, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colby Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colby_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colby Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6993, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willy_Adames|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Christian_Walker|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_Bauers|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:31:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2415, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ LAFC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.662, "fair_american": -196, "p_predicted": 0.662, "matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ LAFC", "date": "2026-05-25", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Seattle_Sounders_FC___LAFC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-05-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5102, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T01:52:41", "voided": false, "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Seattle Sounders FC 0-1 LAFC", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "timothy tillman" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Seattle Sounders FC 0-1 LAFC: 0 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:20:33" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.6201, "raw_prob": 0.8258, "edge_pct": 18.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___CHW|OVER_9_0|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "p_calibrated": 0.5538, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 5 @ CHW 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "ATL @ CHW: final 5-6 (total 11) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": null, "tier": "ELITE", "under_signal_score": 6.58, "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|BOS___TBR|UNDER_7_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 3 @ TB 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "BOS @ TB: final 3-4 (total 7) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 6.38, "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|PHI___TOR|UNDER_7_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T08:01:13", "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 2 @ TOR 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "PHI @ TOR: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8587, "raw_prob": 0.9127, "edge_pct": 49.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T12:44:08", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6267, "raw_prob": 0.7342, "edge_pct": 19.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___PIT|OVER_8_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5681, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 12 @ PIT 3", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "LAD @ PIT: final 12-3 (total 15) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6257, "raw_prob": 0.8365, "edge_pct": 19.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___CHW|OVER_9_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5669, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 5 @ CHW 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "ATL @ CHW: final 5-6 (total 11) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Ben_Rice|1_plus_hit|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_2|WNBA|ATL___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_2|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 82 @ CHI 75", "team_total": 75, "line": 77.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ CHI: home scored 75 (line 77.2, bet over) on 2026-06-09" }, "voided": false, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ MIN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_3|WNBA|DAL___MIN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_3|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 76 @ MIN 100", "team_total": 100, "line": 79.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ MIN: home scored 100 (line 79.3, bet over) on 2026-06-09" }, "voided": false, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_9|WNBA|PHX___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_9|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 81 @ GS 87", "team_total": 87, "line": 75.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ GS: home scored 87 (line 75.9, bet over) on 2026-06-09" }, "voided": false, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "AST_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_1_5|WNBA|angel_reese|AST_OVER_1_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.651, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 4, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 ast = 4 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-09" }, "voided": false, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "ATL @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|angel_reese|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5405, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6692, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-09" }, "voided": false, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T09:16:36" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 11, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 tb = 11 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Ward|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2596, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2542, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan McMahon", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_McMahon|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.241, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan McMahon \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "PHI @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.36, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Owen_Caissie|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Marcus_Semien|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan McMahon", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_McMahon|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan McMahon \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Masataka_Yoshida|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masataka Yoshida \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Gray", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Gray|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Gray \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 11, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hrr = 11 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ketel_Marte|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yandy_D_az|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T20:03:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8634, "raw_prob": 0.9183, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8629, "raw_prob": 0.9177, "edge_pct": 49.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Sterlin Thompson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8612, "raw_prob": 0.9157, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Sterlin_Thompson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Sterlin Thompson \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.861, "raw_prob": 0.9155, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Caleb_Durbin|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T19:30:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.86, "raw_prob": 0.9143, "edge_pct": 49.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8587, "raw_prob": 0.9127, "edge_pct": 49.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.6233, "raw_prob": 0.8291, "edge_pct": 19.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___CHW|OVER_7_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.564, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 1 @ CHW 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "ATL @ CHW: final 1-2 (total 3) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6012, "raw_prob": 0.6425, "edge_pct": 14.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___LAA|OVER_8_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 1 @ LAA 10", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "HOU @ LAA: final 1-10 (total 11) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Rengifo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8622, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Luis_Rengifo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Rengifo \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Edouard Julien", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8565, "edge_pct": 48.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Edouard_Julien|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8266, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Edouard Julien \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8545, "edge_pct": 48.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Geraldo_Perdomo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8254, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8626, "edge_pct": 49.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Dylan_Crews|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wenceel P\u00e9rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8612, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Wenceel_P_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wenceel P\u00e9rez \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.621, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.621, "matchup": "ATL @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-09", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_2_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_OVER_2_5|2026-06-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.621, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-06-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_home_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights", "market": "HOME_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_home_plus_1_5|NHL|Carolina_Hurricanes___Vegas_Golden_Knigh|HOME_PLUS_1_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.693, "outcome": { "final_score": "CAR 5 @ VGK 3", "side": "home", "line": 1.5, "market": "HOME_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "CAR 5 @ VGK 3: home +1.5 \u2014 HOME_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1496, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.214, "fair_american": 368, "p_predicted": 0.214, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "noah hanifin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "CAR @ VGK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|noah_hanifin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.495, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.669, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "noah hanifin \u2014 blocks = 3 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "jaccob slavin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "CAR @ VGK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|jaccob_slavin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jaccob slavin \u2014 blocks = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Siri", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jose_Siri|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Siri \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.57, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.319, "fair_american": 213, "p_predicted": 0.319, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.22, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2193, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_10.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ COL", "market": "under_10.5", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_10_5|MLB|CHC___COL|under_10_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 3 @ COL 7", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CHC @ COL: final 3-7 (total 10) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Evan Carter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Evan_Carter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "projection": 0.58, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Evan Carter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "projection": 0.569, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "projection": 0.536, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "projection": 0.526, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "projection": 0.502, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Siri", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Siri|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.501, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Siri \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.495, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Yastrzemski", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mike_Yastrzemski|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.483, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Yastrzemski \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.48, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.472, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.457, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.442, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.442, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.438, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "projection": 0.433, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "projection": 0.426, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "projection": 0.426, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "projection": 0.426, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "projection": 0.423, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "projection": 0.419, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2756, "projection": 0.416, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "projection": 0.409, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Steer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "projection": 0.409, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Higashioka", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Higashioka|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "projection": 0.403, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Higashioka \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "projection": 0.402, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "projection": 0.398, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorbit Vivas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jorbit_Vivas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "projection": 0.387, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorbit Vivas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.564, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.564, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "projection": 2.94, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.563, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.563, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "projection": 2.94, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "projection": 2.86, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.531, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.531, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|James_Wood|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "projection": 2.8, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Zach_Neto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "projection": 2.77, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "projection": 2.74, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Chapman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2456, "projection": 2.74, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 10, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hrr = 10 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "projection": 2.72, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T01:35:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "projection": 2.7, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Andy_Pages|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-25", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-25", "recorded_at": "2026-05-25T13:38:52", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-26T08:07:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-05-25", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Edouard_Julien|PP_batter_home_runs_under_0_5|2026-05-25", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Edouard Julien", "market": "PP_batter_home_runs_under_0.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-25", "recorded_at": "2026-05-25T13:38:52", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-26T15:41:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brandon_Marsh|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-25", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-25", "recorded_at": "2026-05-25T13:38:52", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-26T08:07:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 4.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-25", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.919 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-25", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-25", "recorded_at": "2026-05-25T21:21:58", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-26T08:07:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.919, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 4.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-25", "check": "verified" } }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8629, "edge_pct": 49.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T23:20:48", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-09", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8643, "raw_prob": 0.9172, "edge_pct": 50.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Kyle_Stowers|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ CLE", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6018, "raw_prob": 0.7207, "edge_pct": 18.6, "fair_american": -103, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___CLE|ML_AWAY|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34", "p_calibrated": 0.5447, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 8 @ CLE 4", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "NYY @ CLE: final 8-4 (total 12) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|TEX___KCR|under_9_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T18:27:34", "p_calibrated": 0.5677, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 6 @ KC 4", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "TEX @ KC: final 6-4 (total 10) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ NYM", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.5, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|STL___NYM|UNDER_8_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T19:30:45", "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 9 @ NYM 2", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "STL @ NYM: final 9-2 (total 11) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "market": "UNDER_10.0", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.0, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|TEX___KCR|UNDER_10_0|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T19:30:45", "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 6 @ KC 4", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "TEX @ KC: final 6-4 (total 10) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T19:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|James_Wood|1_plus_hit|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_4|WNBA|CONN___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_4|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 102 @ TOR 106", "team_total": 106, "line": 73.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ TOR: home scored 106 (line 73.4, bet over) on 2026-06-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T09:15:15" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_1|WNBA|LA___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_1|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 88 @ SEA 83", "team_total": 83, "line": 77.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ SEA: home scored 83 (line 77.1, bet over) on 2026-06-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T09:15:15" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.684, "fair_american": -217, "p_predicted": 0.684, "matchup": "LAS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4608, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6565, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jewell loyd", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.622, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.622, "matchup": "LAS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|jewell_loyd|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.647, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jewell loyd \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Vegas Golden Knights @ Carolina Hurricanes", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "Vegas Golden Knights @ Carolina Hurricanes", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Vegas_Golden_Knights___Carolina_Hurrican|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.669, "outcome": { "final_score": "VGK 2 @ CAR 4", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "VGK 2 @ CAR 4: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:39:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Curtis_Mead|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Otto_Lopez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jacob_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.39, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 242, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.288, "fair_american": 247, "p_predicted": 0.288, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Ward|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.47, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 255, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.55, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.562, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.43, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.43, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3015, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.501, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Ward|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.54, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.64, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "CIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Keibert Ruiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Keibert_Ruiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Keibert Ruiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Marcus_Semien|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "WSN @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jonah_Cox|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6944, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.552, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.552, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "ARI @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ketel_Marte|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T21:07:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8631, "raw_prob": 0.9158, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:29:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ COL", "market": "OVER_11.5", "prob": 0.6257, "raw_prob": 0.7266, "edge_pct": 19.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___COL|OVER_11_5|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:29:28", "p_calibrated": 0.5669, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 3 @ COL 7", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CHC @ COL: final 3-7 (total 10) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "market": "OVER_7.0", "prob": 0.6135, "raw_prob": 0.7023, "edge_pct": 17.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___CHW|OVER_7_0|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:29:28", "p_calibrated": 0.5079, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 1 @ CHW 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "ATL @ CHW: final 1-2 (total 3) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Yelich", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Yelich|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:29:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Yelich \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_plus_hit|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_plus_hit|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wade_Meckler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2075, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.585, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorge Mateo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jorge_Mateo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorge Mateo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Tovar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.531, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.531, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Karros|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Yelich", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "MIL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Christian_Yelich|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Yelich \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.527, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.527, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Wade_Meckler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8665, "raw_prob": 0.9197, "edge_pct": 50.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8664, "raw_prob": 0.9196, "edge_pct": 50.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8655, "raw_prob": 0.9186, "edge_pct": 50.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8643, "raw_prob": 0.9172, "edge_pct": 50.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Kyle_Stowers|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8631, "raw_prob": 0.9158, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ COL", "market": "OVER_11.5", "prob": 0.6257, "raw_prob": 0.7266, "edge_pct": 19.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___COL|OVER_11_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5669, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 9 @ COL 3", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "CHC @ COL: final 9-3 (total 12) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "market": "UNDER_10.0", "prob": 0.5887, "raw_prob": 0.7834, "edge_pct": 12.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___KCR|UNDER_10_0|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5756, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 4 @ KC 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "TEX @ KC: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:39:02" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Sterlin Thompson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8612, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Sterlin_Thompson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Sterlin Thompson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "noah hanifin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "VGK @ CAR", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|noah_hanifin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.495, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.669, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "noah hanifin \u2014 blocks = 3 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "jaccob slavin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "VGK @ CAR", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|jaccob_slavin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jaccob slavin \u2014 blocks = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2095, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|TEX___KCR|under_9_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5719, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 4 @ KC 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "TEX @ KC: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:39:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Evan Carter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Evan_Carter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Evan Carter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Tovar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.531, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.531, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Karros|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "CHC @ COL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T00:13:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kevin_McGonigle|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-26", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-26", "recorded_at": "2026-05-26T08:07:36", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:30", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-26", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brandon_Marsh|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-26", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-26", "recorded_at": "2026-05-26T08:07:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:30", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 4.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-26", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.919 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-26", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-26", "recorded_at": "2026-05-26T08:07:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:30", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.919, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 4.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-26", "check": "verified" } }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6147, "raw_prob": 0.6594, "edge_pct": 17.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___BAL|OVER_8_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5162, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 5 @ BAL 7", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "SEA @ BAL: final 5-7 (total 12) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:39:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ COL", "market": "OVER_11.0", "prob": 0.6104, "raw_prob": 0.7824, "edge_pct": 16.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___COL|OVER_11_0|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01", "p_calibrated": 0.4931, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 9 @ COL 3", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "CHC @ COL: final 9-3 (total 12) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ NYM", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": null, "tier": "ELITE", "under_signal_score": 6.5, "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|STL___NYM|UNDER_9_0|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01", "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 4 @ NYM 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "STL @ NYM: final 4-5 (total 9) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:39:02" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ KCR", "market": "UNDER_10.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.42, "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|TEX___KCR|UNDER_10_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T12:43:01", "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 4 @ KC 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "TEX @ KC: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:39:02" }, { "source": "f1_quali_pole", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "charles leclerc", "market": "POLE", "prob": 0.482, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.482, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_pole|F1|charles_leclerc|POLE|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59", "p_calibrated": 0.482, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 10, "market": "POLE", "verify": "Charles Leclerc qualifying P10 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 POLE" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27" }, { "source": "f1_quali_pole", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lando norris", "market": "POLE", "prob": 0.462, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.462, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_pole|F1|lando_norris|POLE|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59", "p_calibrated": 0.462, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 4, "market": "POLE", "verify": "Lando Norris qualifying P4 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 POLE" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27" }, { "source": "f1_quali_pole", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "carlos sainz", "market": "POLE", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_pole|F1|carlos_sainz|POLE|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59", "p_calibrated": 0.403, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 16, "market": "POLE", "verify": "Carlos Sainz qualifying P16 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 POLE" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27" }, { "source": "f1_quali_pole", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "oscar piastri", "market": "POLE", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_pole|F1|oscar_piastri|POLE|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59", "p_calibrated": 0.384, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 7, "market": "POLE", "verify": "Oscar Piastri qualifying P7 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 POLE" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27" }, { "source": "f1_quali_pole", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "george russell", "market": "POLE", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_pole|F1|george_russell|POLE|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59", "p_calibrated": 0.365, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 1, "market": "POLE", "verify": "George Russell qualifying P1 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 POLE" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lewis hamilton", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|lewis_hamilton|TOP_6|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 2, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Lewis Hamilton qualifying P2 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "fernando alonso", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|fernando_alonso|TOP_6|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 22, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Fernando Alonso qualifying P22 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Mac Meissner", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Mac_Meissner|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Mac Meissner finished MC (2) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Thompson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Davis_Thompson|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2909, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T45", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Davis Thompson finished T45 (-5) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 475, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.75, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T2 (-15) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jared_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.241, "fair_american": 315, "p_predicted": 0.241, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1801, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.24, "fair_american": 317, "p_predicted": 0.24, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.17, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1793, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Marcus_Semien|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T16:32:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T05:09:42" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5987, "raw_prob": 0.6468, "edge_pct": 12.4, "fair_american": -114, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___BAL|ML_AWAY|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18", "p_calibrated": 0.5442, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 5 @ BAL 7", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "SEA @ BAL: final 5-7 (total 12) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:43:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_plus_hit|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_plus_hit|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "sharp_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "market": "ml_away", "prob": 0.6827, "edge_pct": 5.0, "tier": "ELITE", "shift_pp": 12.57, "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "sharp_elite|MLB|LAD___PIT|ml_away|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.5582, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 8 @ PIT 6", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "LAD @ PIT: final 8-6 (total 14) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Billy Horschel", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.473, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.473, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Billy_Horschel|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3789, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Billy Horschel finished T15 (-10) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Ryder", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sam_Ryder|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2698, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T45", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sam Ryder finished T45 (-5) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Lucas Glover", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Lucas_Glover|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2696, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Lucas Glover finished MC (2) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Roger Sloan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 222, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Roger_Sloan|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2696, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Roger Sloan finished MC (-1) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Peter Malnati", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Peter_Malnati|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2695, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Peter Malnati finished MC (8) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max McGreevy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 225, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Max_McGreevy|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2693, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T51", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Max McGreevy finished T51 (-4) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ IND", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_0|WNBA|CHI___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_0|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 106 @ IND 114", "team_total": 114, "line": 79.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ IND: home scored 114 (line 79.0, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_6|WNBA|NY___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_6|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 104 @ ATL 90", "team_total": 90, "line": 74.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ ATL: home scored 90 (line 74.6, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ DAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_5|WNBA|PHX___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 70 @ DAL 85", "team_total": 85, "line": 76.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ DAL: home scored 85 (line 76.5, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ POR", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_0|WNBA|LV___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_0|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 105 @ POR 89", "team_total": 89, "line": 76.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ POR: home scored 89 (line 76.0, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_2.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "AST_OVER_2.0", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "CHI @ IND", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_2_0|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|AST_OVER_2_0|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5319, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.652, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 3, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 ast = 3 (line 2.0, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "NYL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.6667, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "lexie hull", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "CHI @ IND", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|lexie_hull|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.431, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lexie hull \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "leonie fiebich", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.641, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.641, "matchup": "NYL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|leonie_fiebich|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5618, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.641, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "leonie fiebich \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.631, "fair_american": -171, "p_predicted": 0.631, "matchup": "NYL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.6483, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 blk_stl = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "CHI @ IND", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|angel_reese|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.6699, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nalyssa smith", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "CHI @ IND", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|nalyssa_smith|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.6836, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "nalyssa smith \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "CHI @ IND", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4525, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.6787, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Ward|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:01:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Horwitz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Horwitz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2536, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Horwitz \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.288, "fair_american": 247, "p_predicted": 0.288, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Gonzales", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Gonzales|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Gonzales \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.278, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.278, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.6, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colton_Cowser|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Naylor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.258, "fair_american": 288, "p_predicted": 0.258, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.1948, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.1879, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Ward|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-12T13:58:43", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SEA @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:57:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Gonzales", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nick_Gonzales|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Gonzales \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "LAD @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Ward|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T22:58:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T13:01:54" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Geraldo_Perdomo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.861, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-11", "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:28:44", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T23:28:45", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Tommy_Troy|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Troy", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8602, "edge_pct": 49.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-11", "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:28:44", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T23:28:45", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tommy Troy \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-11", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sahith Theegala", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.575, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.575, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sahith_Theegala|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T45", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sahith Theegala finished T45 (-5) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Burns", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sam_Burns|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5331, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sam Burns finished T20 (-9) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Koepka", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Brooks_Koepka|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5259, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Brooks Koepka finished MC (-6) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Emiliano Grillo", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.469, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.469, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Emiliano_Grillo|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3603, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Emiliano Grillo finished T20 (-9) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3397, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Eric Cole finished MC (0) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tony Finau", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tony_Finau|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2812, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T40", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tony Finau finished T40 (-6) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Shane Lowry", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Shane_Lowry|TOP_10|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2738, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Shane Lowry finished T29 (-8) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Ryder", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.498, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.498, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sam_Ryder|TOP_20|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5161, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T45", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sam Ryder finished T45 (-5) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ricky Castillo", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ricky_Castillo|TOP_20|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5255, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T45", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ricky Castillo finished T45 (-5) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Garnett", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.499, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.499, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Brice_Garnett|TOP_20|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5216, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Brice Garnett finished T4 (-13) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Svensson", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Adam_Svensson|TOP_20|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4667, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T60", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Adam Svensson finished T60 (-1) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "David Skinns", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.487, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.487, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|David_Skinns|TOP_20|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4557, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "David Skinns finished T20 (-9) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Stanger", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.498, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.498, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jimmy_Stanger|TOP_20|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.01, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5161, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jimmy Stanger finished T4 (-13) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Erik van Rooyen", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.49, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.49, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Erik_van_Rooyen|TOP_20|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4722, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Erik van Rooyen finished T20 (-9) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Doug Ghim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Doug_Ghim|TOP_20|2026-06-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T23:56:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4667, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Doug Ghim finished T15 (-10) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.868, "raw_prob": 0.9193, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Logan_O_Hoppe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.867, "raw_prob": 0.9182, "edge_pct": 50.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.861, "raw_prob": 0.9112, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Geraldo_Perdomo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Waldschmidt", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8593, "raw_prob": 0.9092, "edge_pct": 49.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Ryan_Waldschmidt|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ryan Waldschmidt \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8655, "edge_pct": 50.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8643, "edge_pct": 50.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kyle_Stowers|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8651, "edge_pct": 50.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Colt_Keith|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8631, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8598, "edge_pct": 49.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Luke_Keaschall|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.664, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.485, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.485, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.06, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.69, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.208, "fair_american": 381, "p_predicted": 0.208, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.171, "fair_american": 486, "p_predicted": 0.171, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1321, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.169, "fair_american": 492, "p_predicted": 0.169, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1314, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 543, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1155, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "noah hanifin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "VGK @ CAR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|noah_hanifin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.669, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "noah hanifin \u2014 blocks = 0 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "jaccob slavin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "VGK @ CAR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|jaccob_slavin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jaccob slavin \u2014 blocks = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorge Mateo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jorge_Mateo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorge Mateo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.283, "fair_american": 253, "p_predicted": 0.283, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.53, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.283, "fair_american": 253, "p_predicted": 0.283, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.223, "fair_american": 348, "p_predicted": 0.223, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.511, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2924, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.498, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorge Mateo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jorge_Mateo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorge Mateo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.481, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "ATL @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Olson|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T00:20:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8587, "raw_prob": 0.9081, "edge_pct": 49.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Matt_McLain|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T05:39:02", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.6144, "raw_prob": 0.8323, "edge_pct": 17.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___CHW|OVER_9_0|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T05:39:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5142, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 2 @ CHW 8", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "LAD @ CHW: final 2-8 (total 10) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6029, "raw_prob": 0.7183, "edge_pct": 17.2, "fair_american": -106, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___NYM|ML_AWAY|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T05:39:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5449, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 5 @ NYM 7", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "ATL @ NYM: final 5-7 (total 12) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matthew Anderson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.433, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.433, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matthew_Anderson|TOP_10|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T09:13:52", "p_calibrated": 0.314, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matthew Anderson finished T11 (-11) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Fishburn", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Fishburn|TOP_20|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T09:13:52", "p_calibrated": 0.3564, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Fishburn finished T29 (-8) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Blanchet", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.485, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.485, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chandler_Blanchet|TOP_20|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T09:13:52", "p_calibrated": 0.4447, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T67", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chandler Blanchet finished T67 (1) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8638, "raw_prob": 0.914, "edge_pct": 49.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Taylor_Trammell|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T12:20:43", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Aldrich Potgieter", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Aldrich_Potgieter|TOP_10|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.3, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T15:43:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2687, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Aldrich Potgieter finished T8 (-12) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cura\u00e7ao @ Germany", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6315, "fair_american": -171, "p_predicted": 0.6315, "matchup": "Cura\u00e7ao @ Germany", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Cura_ao___Germany|HOME_ML|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5848, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T16:41:51", "p_calibrated": 0.6795, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cura\u00e7ao 1-7 Germany", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "felix nmecha", "livano comenencia", "nico schlotterbeck", "kai havertz", "jamal musiala", "nathaniel brown", "deniz undav", "kai havertz" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Cura\u00e7ao 1-7 Germany: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T20:01:39" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cape Verde @ Spain", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6938, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.6938, "matchup": "Cape Verde @ Spain", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Cape_Verde___Spain|HOME_ML|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T16:41:51", "p_calibrated": 0.6961, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cape Verde 0-0 Spain", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Cape Verde 0-0 Spain: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T18:48:29" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "New Zealand @ Iran", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5499, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.5499, "matchup": "New Zealand @ Iran", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|New_Zealand___Iran|HOME_ML|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T16:41:51", "p_calibrated": 0.6578, "outcome": { "final_score": "New Zealand 2-2 Iran", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "elijah just", "ramin rezaeian", "elijah just", "mohammad mohebbi" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "New Zealand 2-2 Iran: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T05:38:36" }, { "source": "wc_model_away_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Uruguay @ Saudi Arabia", "market": "AWAY_ML", "prob": 0.5304, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.5304, "matchup": "Uruguay @ Saudi Arabia", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "wc_model_away_ml|WORLDCUP|Uruguay___Saudi_Arabia|AWAY_ML|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T16:41:51", "p_calibrated": 0.5304, "outcome": { "final_score": "Uruguay 1-1 Saudi Arabia", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "abdulelah al-amri", "maxi ara\u00fajo" ], "market": "AWAY_ML", "verify": "Uruguay 1-1 Saudi Arabia: away did not win \u2014 AWAY_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T05:31:12" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Algeria @ Argentina", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5594, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.5594, "matchup": "Algeria @ Argentina", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Algeria___Argentina|HOME_ML|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T16:41:51", "p_calibrated": 0.6603, "outcome": { "final_score": "Algeria 0-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "lionel messi", "lionel messi", "lionel messi" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Algeria 0-3 Argentina: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:20:23" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Senegal @ France", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5594, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.5594, "matchup": "Senegal @ France", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Senegal___France|HOME_ML|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T16:41:51", "p_calibrated": 0.6603, "outcome": { "final_score": "Senegal 1-3 France", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "bradley barcola", "ibrahim mbaye", "kylian mbapp\u00e9" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Senegal 1-3 France: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T21:23:06" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.864, "raw_prob": 0.9139, "edge_pct": 49.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5695, "raw_prob": 0.6335, "edge_pct": 16.8, "fair_american": 105, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___TOR|ML_AWAY|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5393, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 5 @ TOR 8", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "NYY @ TOR: final 5-8 (total 13) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.62, "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|PHI___MIL|UNDER_7_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 0 @ MIL 6", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "PHI @ MIL: final 0-6 (total 6) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Myles_Straw|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4252, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Myles Straw \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Andr_s_Gim_nez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4462, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4492, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Keith|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Bryson_Stott|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Justin_Crawford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Isaac_Collins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Salvador_Perez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Call", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Alex_Call|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Call \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Crooks", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jimmy_Crooks|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jimmy Crooks \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian V\u00e1zquez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.58, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.58, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_V_zquez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7246, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian V\u00e1zquez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_10|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T11 (-11) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Fox", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ryan_Fox|TOP_10|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.21, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3397, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ryan Fox finished T8 (-12) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Garnett", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Brice_Garnett|TOP_10|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3204, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Brice Garnett finished T4 (-13) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Aldrich Potgieter", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Aldrich_Potgieter|TOP_20|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Aldrich Potgieter finished T8 (-12) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Hall", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Harry_Hall|TOP_20|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T40", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Harry Hall finished T40 (-6) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Emiliano Grillo", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.567, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.567, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Emiliano_Grillo|TOP_20|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7634, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Emiliano Grillo finished T20 (-9) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matthew Anderson", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.579, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.579, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matthew_Anderson|TOP_20|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7246, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matthew Anderson finished T11 (-11) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bud Cauley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Bud_Cauley|TOP_20|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Bud Cauley finished T1 (-17) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Bosnia-Herzegovina @ Canada", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Bosnia-Herzegovina @ Canada", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Bosnia_Herzegovina___Canada|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-1 Canada", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "jovo lukic", "cyle larin" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-1 Canada: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Paraguay @ United States", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Paraguay @ United States", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Paraguay___United_States|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Paraguay 1-4 United States", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "folarin balogun", "folarin balogun", "maur\u00edcio", "giovanni reyna" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Paraguay 1-4 United States: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TOR @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_4|WNBA|TOR___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_4|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 85 @ WSH 86", "team_total": 86, "line": 74.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "TOR @ WSH: home scored 86 (line 74.4, bet over) on 2026-06-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_8|WNBA|GOL___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_8|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 76 @ SEA 72", "team_total": 72, "line": 74.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ SEA: home scored 72 (line 74.8, bet over) on 2026-06-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nneka ogwumike", "market": "AST_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "GSV @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_3_0|WNBA|nneka_ogwumike|AST_UNDER_3_0|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5319, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "nneka ogwumike \u2014 ast = 3 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:12:05" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jewell loyd", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "GOL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|jewell_loyd|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.6575, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jewell loyd \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:12:05" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.788, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.624, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.464, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.464, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4251, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.561, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.547, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_home_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights", "market": "HOME_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_home_plus_1_5|NHL|Carolina_Hurricanes___Vegas_Golden_Knigh|HOME_PLUS_1_5|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.693, "outcome": { "final_score": "CAR 3 @ VGK 0", "side": "home", "line": 1.5, "market": "HOME_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "CAR 3 @ VGK 0: home +1.5 \u2014 HOME_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.437, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.437, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.03, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.14, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 220, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1885, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1876, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andy_Pages|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1876, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1786, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 235, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1759, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 243, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1704, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.28, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.28, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1596, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1533, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 274, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 274, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.246, "fair_american": 307, "p_predicted": 0.246, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.07, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 319, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.237, "fair_american": 322, "p_predicted": 0.237, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Steer|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.235, "fair_american": 326, "p_predicted": 0.235, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 328, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 329, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.232, "fair_american": 331, "p_predicted": 0.232, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 332, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 333, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.224, "fair_american": 346, "p_predicted": 0.224, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.46, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 351, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.51, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 350, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.213, "fair_american": 369, "p_predicted": 0.213, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 387, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_McLain|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 391, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1481, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.196, "fair_american": 412, "p_predicted": 0.196, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.12, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1436, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.13, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1431, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 415, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|David_Hamilton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "David Hamilton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan McMahon", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 439, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_McMahon|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.138, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan McMahon \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 454, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.177, "fair_american": 466, "p_predicted": 0.177, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1343, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 475, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Higashioka", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 541, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Higashioka|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1155, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Higashioka \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 540, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1155, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.155, "fair_american": 545, "p_predicted": 0.155, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1139, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ernie Clement", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.154, "fair_american": 548, "p_predicted": 0.154, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ernie_Clement|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1123, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ernie Clement \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.149, "fair_american": 572, "p_predicted": 0.149, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|William_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1041, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 576, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.147, "fair_american": 578, "p_predicted": 0.147, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.1008, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 584, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 612, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 612, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.596, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.449, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.449, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.23, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.448, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.448, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.35, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.551, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.528, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.41, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.41, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2948, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.473, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.463, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.462, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Siri", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Siri|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Siri \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ernie Clement", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ernie_Clement|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ernie Clement \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Byron_Buxton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.439, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.431, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.43, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Steer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.424, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Riley_Greene|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Fortes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.01, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.401, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.397, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Higashioka", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Higashioka|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Higashioka \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yandy_D_az|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:48:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nolan_Arenado|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-26", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-26", "recorded_at": "2026-05-26T15:41:09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:30", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 tb = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-26", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Liam_Hicks|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-26", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-26", "recorded_at": "2026-05-26T23:11:21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:30", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 tb = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-26", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ryan_Waldschmidt|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-26", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Waldschmidt", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-26", "recorded_at": "2026-05-26T23:11:21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:30", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ryan Waldschmidt \u2014 tb = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-26", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8687, "raw_prob": 0.9193, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Logan_O_Hoppe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8678, "raw_prob": 0.9182, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8657, "raw_prob": 0.9158, "edge_pct": 50.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8641, "raw_prob": 0.914, "edge_pct": 50.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Rhys_Hoskins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.864, "raw_prob": 0.9139, "edge_pct": 49.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.6167, "raw_prob": 0.8289, "edge_pct": 17.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___CHW|OVER_9_0|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.5301, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 7 @ CHW 1", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "LAD @ CHW: final 7-1 (total 8) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5695, "raw_prob": 0.6335, "edge_pct": 16.8, "fair_american": 105, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___TOR|ML_AWAY|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.5393, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 3 @ TOR 1", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "NYY @ TOR: final 3-1 (total 4) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.62, "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|PHI___MIL|UNDER_7_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 9 @ MIL 8", "total_runs": 17, "verify": "PHI @ MIL: final 9-8 (total 17) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8614, "edge_pct": 49.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Geraldo_Perdomo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Troy", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8606, "edge_pct": 49.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Tommy_Troy|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tommy Troy \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Waldschmidt", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8596, "edge_pct": 49.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ryan_Waldschmidt|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ryan Waldschmidt \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8689, "edge_pct": 50.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nasim_Nu_ez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Fry", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8661, "edge_pct": 50.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|David_Fry|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "David Fry \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Andr_s_Gim_nez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4462, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4492, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Keith|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Bryson_Stott|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Justin_Crawford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Isaac_Collins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Salvador_Perez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Call", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Alex_Call|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7576, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Call \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian V\u00e1zquez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.58, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.58, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_V_zquez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7246, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian V\u00e1zquez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.788, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.624, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.464, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.464, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4251, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.561, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.547, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.437, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.437, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 220, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1885, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.21, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1876, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andy_Pages|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1876, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1786, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 235, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1759, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 243, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1704, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.28, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.28, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1596, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.278, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.278, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1578, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1533, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 274, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 274, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.246, "fair_american": 307, "p_predicted": 0.246, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 319, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.237, "fair_american": 322, "p_predicted": 0.237, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Steer|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.235, "fair_american": 326, "p_predicted": 0.235, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.235, "fair_american": 325, "p_predicted": 0.235, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 328, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 329, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.232, "fair_american": 331, "p_predicted": 0.232, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 332, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 333, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.224, "fair_american": 346, "p_predicted": 0.224, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.46, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 351, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 350, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.213, "fair_american": 369, "p_predicted": 0.213, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 387, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_McLain|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 391, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1481, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.196, "fair_american": 412, "p_predicted": 0.196, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1436, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1431, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 415, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|David_Hamilton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "David Hamilton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan McMahon", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 439, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_McMahon|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.138, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan McMahon \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 454, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.54, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.177, "fair_american": 466, "p_predicted": 0.177, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1343, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 475, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.155, "fair_american": 545, "p_predicted": 0.155, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1139, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ernie Clement", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.154, "fair_american": 548, "p_predicted": 0.154, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ernie_Clement|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1123, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ernie Clement \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.149, "fair_american": 572, "p_predicted": 0.149, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|William_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1041, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 576, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.147, "fair_american": 578, "p_predicted": 0.147, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.78, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1008, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 584, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 612, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 612, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 6.12, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.596, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.449, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.449, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.448, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.448, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.27, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.551, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.36, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.528, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.41, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.41, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2948, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.463, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.462, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Siri", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Siri|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Siri \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ernie Clement", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ernie_Clement|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ernie Clement \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Byron_Buxton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.439, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.431, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.86, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.43, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.86, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Steer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.424, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Riley_Greene|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "ARI @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.401, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.397, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yandy_D_az|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T02:47:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Paraguay @ United States", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6287, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.6287, "matchup": "Paraguay @ United States", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Paraguay___United_States|HOME_ML|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5917, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T04:55:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6788, "outcome": { "final_score": "Paraguay 1-4 United States", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "folarin balogun", "folarin balogun", "maur\u00edcio", "giovanni reyna" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Paraguay 1-4 United States: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T17:17:06" }, { "source": "wc_model_away_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Colombia @ Uzbekistan", "market": "AWAY_ML", "prob": 0.5304, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.5304, "matchup": "Colombia @ Uzbekistan", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "wc_model_away_ml|WORLDCUP|Colombia___Uzbekistan|AWAY_ML|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T04:55:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5304, "outcome": { "final_score": "Colombia 3-1 Uzbekistan", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "daniel mu\u00f1oz", "abbosbek fayzullaev", "luis d\u00edaz", "j\u00e1minton campaz" ], "market": "AWAY_ML", "verify": "Colombia 3-1 Uzbekistan: away won \u2014 AWAY_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Congo DR @ Portugal", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6315, "fair_american": -171, "p_predicted": 0.6315, "matchup": "Congo DR @ Portugal", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Congo_DR___Portugal|HOME_ML|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T04:55:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6795, "outcome": { "final_score": "Congo DR 1-1 Portugal", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "jo\u00e3o neves", "yoane wissa" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Congo DR 1-1 Portugal: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T22:16:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.618, "raw_prob": 0.7212, "edge_pct": 18.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___CHW|OVER_8_0|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5392, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 7 @ CHW 1", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "LAD @ CHW: final 7-1 (total 8) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bud Cauley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.46, "fair_american": 117, "p_predicted": 0.46, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Bud_Cauley|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.17, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3487, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Bud Cauley finished T1 (-17) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sahith Theegala", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.633, "fair_american": -173, "p_predicted": 0.633, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sahith_Theegala|TOP_20|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T45", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sahith Theegala finished T45 (-5) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Pendrith", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Taylor_Pendrith|TOP_20|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Taylor Pendrith finished T29 (-8) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Switzerland @ Qatar", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Switzerland @ Qatar", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Switzerland___Qatar|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Switzerland 1-1 Qatar", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "breel embolo" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Switzerland 1-1 Qatar: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Morocco @ Brazil", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Morocco @ Brazil", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Morocco___Brazil|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Morocco 1-1 Brazil", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "ismael saibari", "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Morocco 1-1 Brazil: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:12:05" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Scotland @ Haiti", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Scotland @ Haiti", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Scotland___Haiti|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:38", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Scotland 1-0 Haiti", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "john mcginn" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Scotland 1-0 Haiti: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:12:05" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Stanger", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.425, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.425, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jimmy_Stanger|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.35, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3072, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jimmy Stanger finished T4 (-13) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6146, "raw_prob": 0.6646, "edge_pct": 17.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___CHW|OVER_8_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5156, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 7 @ CHW 1", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "LAD @ CHW: final 7-1 (total 8) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Otto_Lopez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "SDP @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:07:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_plus_hit|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_plus_hit|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_plus_hit|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ CONN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_3|WNBA|IND___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_3|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 85 @ CON 75", "team_total": 75, "line": 81.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ CON: home scored 75 (line 81.3, bet over) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ LV", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_2|WNBA|MIN___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_2|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 97 @ LV 100", "team_total": 100, "line": 78.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ LV: home scored 100 (line 78.2, bet over) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ POR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_2|WNBA|DAL___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_2|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 83 @ POR 84", "team_total": 84, "line": 77.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ POR: home scored 84 (line 77.2, bet over) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ PHX", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_9|WNBA|LA___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_9|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 111 @ PHX 102", "team_total": 102, "line": 77.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ PHX: home scored 102 (line 77.9, bet over) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "caitlin clark", "market": "3PM_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "IND @ CON", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_1_5|WNBA|caitlin_clark|3PM_OVER_1_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5618, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.64, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 5, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "caitlin clark \u2014 fg3m = 5 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "satou sabally", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "DAL @ POR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|satou_sabally|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4739, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.6646, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "satou sabally \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T21:44:20" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "lexie hull", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "IND @ CON", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|lexie_hull|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.642, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "lexie hull \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "alyssa thomas", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "IND @ CON", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|alyssa_thomas|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.6583, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alyssa thomas \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "IND @ CON", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.667, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -247, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "IND @ CON", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4049, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.6608, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nalyssa smith", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "IND @ CON", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|nalyssa_smith|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3906, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.6619, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "nalyssa smith \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "SEA @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jes_s_S_nchez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "SDP @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colton_Cowser|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Otto_Lopez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Liam_Hicks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3039, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "SEA @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Emerson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.32, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.539, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jes_s_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.522, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.407, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.407, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2941, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.514, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andy_Pages|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Ward|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "SDP @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nelson_Vel_zquez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "SDP @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colton_Cowser|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Endy_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "SDP @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorge Mateo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jorge_Mateo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorge Mateo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "SEA @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MJ Melendez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|MJ_Melendez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "MJ Melendez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "SEA @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SDP @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.1, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "SDP @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nelson_Vel_zquez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "SDP @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "SEA @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "MIA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Otto_Lopez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alec_Burleson|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T18:51:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.5861, "raw_prob": 0.6338, "edge_pct": 11.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___SFG|UNDER_8_0|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.57, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 5 @ SF 1", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "CHC @ SF: final 5-1 (total 6) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5731, "raw_prob": 0.6109, "edge_pct": 9.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___MIL|UNDER_8_5|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 9 @ MIL 8", "total_runs": 17, "verify": "PHI @ MIL: final 9-8 (total 17) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jesper Svensson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jesper_Svensson|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7692, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jesper Svensson finished T4 (-13) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T4 (-13) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T54", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ben James finished T54 (-3) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Viktor Hovland", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Viktor_Hovland|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3204, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Viktor Hovland finished T3 (-14) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Bridgeman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jacob_Bridgeman|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2816, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jacob Bridgeman finished T11 (-11) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max Homa", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Max_Homa|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2745, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Max Homa finished T20 (-9) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "David Skinns", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|David_Skinns|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2743, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "David Skinns finished T20 (-9) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Haotong Li", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Haotong_Li|TOP_10|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2718, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T60", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Haotong Li finished T60 (-1) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_20|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.5341, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T15 (-10) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_20|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.53, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T2 (-15) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keith Mitchell", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.459, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.459, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Keith_Mitchell|TOP_20|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3474, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Keith Mitchell finished T29 (-8) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2295, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2244, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.14, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2193, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Haase", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eric_Haase|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2069, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eric Haase \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.28, "fair_american": 257, "p_predicted": 0.28, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.57, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2025, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1982, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1956, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wade_Meckler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1913, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.187, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|David_Hamilton|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "David Hamilton \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.587, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willy_Adames|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Haase", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eric_Haase|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eric Haase \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oswald Peraza", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Oswald_Peraza|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oswald Peraza \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T23:35:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8703, "raw_prob": 0.9199, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Nasim_Nu_ez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8697, "raw_prob": 0.9192, "edge_pct": 50.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8687, "raw_prob": 0.918, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8682, "raw_prob": 0.9174, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8679, "raw_prob": 0.9171, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.5861, "raw_prob": 0.6338, "edge_pct": 11.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___SFG|UNDER_8_0|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.57, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 1 @ SF 5", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "CHC @ SF: final 1-5 (total 6) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5731, "raw_prob": 0.6109, "edge_pct": 9.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___MIL|UNDER_8_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 0 @ MIL 4", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "PHI @ MIL: final 0-4 (total 4) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8657, "edge_pct": 50.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8641, "edge_pct": 50.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Taylor_Trammell|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "noah hanifin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "CAR @ VGK", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|noah_hanifin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.495, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.669, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "noah hanifin \u2014 blocks = 2 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "jaccob slavin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "CAR @ VGK", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|jaccob_slavin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jaccob slavin \u2014 blocks = 2 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2244, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2193, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.28, "fair_american": 257, "p_predicted": 0.28, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2025, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.1982, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.1956, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wade_Meckler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.1913, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|David_Hamilton|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "David Hamilton \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.587, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.562, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.43, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.43, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3015, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.44, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.522, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.407, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.407, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2941, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willy_Adames|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oswald Peraza", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Oswald_Peraza|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oswald Peraza \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T00:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "wc_model_away_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Scotland @ Haiti", "market": "AWAY_ML", "prob": 0.5434, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.5434, "matchup": "Scotland @ Haiti", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "wc_model_away_ml|WORLDCUP|Scotland___Haiti|AWAY_ML|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T05:12:05", "p_calibrated": 0.5434, "outcome": { "final_score": "Scotland 1-0 Haiti", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "john mcginn" ], "market": "AWAY_ML", "verify": "Scotland 1-0 Haiti: away won \u2014 AWAY_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T17:14:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6398, "raw_prob": 0.8836, "edge_pct": 22.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___CHW|OVER_9_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05", "p_calibrated": 0.5842, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 4 @ CHW 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "LAD @ CHW: final 4-6 (total 10) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_7.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "market": "over_7.5", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_7_5|MLB|PHI___MIL|over_7_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T05:30:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 0 @ MIL 4", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "PHI @ MIL: final 0-4 (total 4) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sudarshan Yellamaraju", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sudarshan_Yellamaraju|TOP_10|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.22, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3359, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sudarshan Yellamaraju finished T8 (-12) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Shane Lowry", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Shane_Lowry|TOP_20|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Shane Lowry finished T29 (-8) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Bridgeman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jacob_Bridgeman|TOP_20|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5319, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jacob Bridgeman finished T11 (-11) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:31" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Scotland @ Haiti", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Scotland @ Haiti", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Scotland___Haiti|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T08:48:54", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Scotland 1-0 Haiti", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "john mcginn" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Scotland 1-0 Haiti: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T21:38:23" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "T\u00fcrkiye @ Australia", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5626, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.5626, "matchup": "T\u00fcrkiye @ Australia", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|T_rkiye___Australia|HOME_ML|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T09:59:06", "p_calibrated": 0.6612, "outcome": { "final_score": "T\u00fcrkiye 0-2 Australia", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nestory irankunda", "connor metcalfe" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "T\u00fcrkiye 0-2 Australia: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T22:50:41" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8703, "raw_prob": 0.919, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Lawrence_Butler|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "market": "OVER_10.0", "prob": 0.6263, "raw_prob": 0.755, "edge_pct": 19.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___CHW|OVER_10_0|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5676, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 4 @ CHW 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "LAD @ CHW: final 4-6 (total 10) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5891, "raw_prob": 0.8199, "edge_pct": 18.4, "fair_american": 101, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___NYM|ML_AWAY|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5426, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 1 @ NYM 8", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "ATL @ NYM: final 1-8 (total 9) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "T\u00fcrkiye @ Australia", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "T\u00fcrkiye @ Australia", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|T_rkiye___Australia|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:18:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "T\u00fcrkiye 0-2 Australia", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nestory irankunda", "connor metcalfe" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "T\u00fcrkiye 0-2 Australia: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T05:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "T\u00fcrkiye @ Australia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "T\u00fcrkiye @ Australia", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|T_rkiye___Australia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:18:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6601, "outcome": { "final_score": "T\u00fcrkiye 0-2 Australia", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nestory irankunda", "connor metcalfe" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "T\u00fcrkiye 0-2 Australia: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T05:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cura\u00e7ao @ Germany", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Cura\u00e7ao @ Germany", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Cura_ao___Germany|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:18:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cura\u00e7ao 1-7 Germany", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "felix nmecha", "livano comenencia", "nico schlotterbeck", "kai havertz", "jamal musiala", "nathaniel brown", "deniz undav", "kai havertz" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Cura\u00e7ao 1-7 Germany: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T05:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Japan @ Netherlands", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Japan @ Netherlands", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Japan___Netherlands|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:18:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Japan 2-2 Netherlands", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "virgil van dijk", "keito nakamura", "crysencio summerville", "daichi kamada" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Japan 2-2 Netherlands: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T05:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ecuador @ Ivory Coast", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Ecuador @ Ivory Coast", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Ecuador___Ivory_Coast|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:18:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ecuador 0-1 Ivory Coast", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "amad diallo" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Ecuador 0-1 Ivory Coast: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T05:31:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Tunisia @ Sweden", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Tunisia @ Sweden", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Tunisia___Sweden|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:18:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Tunisia 1-5 Sweden", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "yasin ayari", "alexander isak", "omar rekik", "viktor gy\u00f6keres", "mattias svanberg", "yasin ayari" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Tunisia 1-5 Sweden: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T05:31:52" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|LAD___CHW|under_9_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:18:13", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 4 @ CHW 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "LAD @ CHW: final 4-6 (total 10) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.5953, "raw_prob": 0.6468, "edge_pct": 13.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___KCR|OVER_8_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 0 @ KC 4", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "HOU @ KC: final 0-4 (total 4) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ MIN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.5812, "raw_prob": 0.6226, "edge_pct": 11.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___MIN|OVER_9_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 4 @ MIN 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "STL @ MIN: final 4-5 (total 9) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kevin_McGonigle|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-27", "recorded_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-28T08:08:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Liam_Hicks|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-27", "recorded_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T22:10:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ryan_Waldschmidt|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Waldschmidt", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-27", "recorded_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T22:10:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ildemaro_Vargas|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-27", "recorded_at": "2026-05-27T08:21:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T22:10:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-05-27", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "source": "consensus_hit_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "ELITE", "n_agreeing": 4, "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_elite|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_plus_hit|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ NY", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_3|WNBA|WAS___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_3|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 64 @ NY 86", "team_total": 86, "line": 79.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ NY: home scored 86 (line 79.3, bet over) on 2026-06-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_3|WNBA|ATL___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_3|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 102 @ TOR 77", "team_total": 77, "line": 78.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ TOR: home scored 77 (line 78.3, bet over) on 2026-06-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "leonie fiebich", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -246, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "WAS @ NYL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|leonie_fiebich|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4065, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.711, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "leonie fiebich \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Byron_Buxton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.27, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.499, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Ward|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alika_Williams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andy_Pages|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.421, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "COL @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Tovar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "PHI @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pedro_Ram_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "CHC @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "TBR @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yandy_D_az|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T11:29:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "LAD @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "HOU @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:45:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_plus_hit|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matthew Anderson", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Matthew_Anderson|TOP_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Matthew Anderson finished T11 (-11) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Garnett", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Brice_Garnett|TOP_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.14, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2707, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Brice Garnett finished T4 (-13) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_10|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.3, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3166, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T2 (-15) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Matthews", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.413, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.413, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Justin_Matthews|TOP_10|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Justin Matthews finished T29 (-8) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Wyndham Clark", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.676, "fair_american": -208, "p_predicted": 0.676, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Wyndham_Clark|TOP_20|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4808, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Wyndham Clark finished T11 (-11) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Clanton", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Luke_Clanton|TOP_20|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T54", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Luke Clanton finished T54 (-3) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Fox", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ryan_Fox|TOP_20|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6897, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ryan Fox finished T8 (-12) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Collin Morikawa", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.48, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.48, "matchup": "RBC Canadian Open", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Collin_Morikawa|TOP_20|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.4173, "outcome": { "tournament": "RBC Canadian Open", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Collin Morikawa finished T29 (-8) at RBC Canadian Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cura\u00e7ao @ Germany", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Cura\u00e7ao @ Germany", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Cura_ao___Germany|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cura\u00e7ao 1-7 Germany", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "felix nmecha", "livano comenencia", "nico schlotterbeck", "kai havertz", "jamal musiala", "nathaniel brown", "deniz undav", "kai havertz" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Cura\u00e7ao 1-7 Germany: 8 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2461, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Burger|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2321, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:39:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T12:46:13" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8706, "raw_prob": 0.9193, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Lawrence_Butler|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8681, "raw_prob": 0.9165, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8662, "raw_prob": 0.9143, "edge_pct": 50.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8703, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nasim_Nu_ez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8696, "edge_pct": 50.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Sullivan|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8687, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.871, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 10, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 10 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8693, "edge_pct": 50.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Burger|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2321, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T00:04:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ecuador @ Ivory Coast", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5369, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.5369, "matchup": "Ecuador @ Ivory Coast", "date": "2026-06-14", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Ecuador___Ivory_Coast|HOME_ML|2026-06-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T05:31:52", "p_calibrated": 0.6543, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ecuador 0-1 Ivory Coast", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "amad diallo" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Ecuador 0-1 Ivory Coast: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T18:48:29" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Tunisia @ Sweden", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6287, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.6287, "matchup": "Tunisia @ Sweden", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Tunisia___Sweden|HOME_ML|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5917, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T05:31:52", "p_calibrated": 0.6788, "outcome": { "final_score": "Tunisia 1-5 Sweden", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "yasin ayari", "alexander isak", "omar rekik", "viktor gy\u00f6keres", "mattias svanberg", "yasin ayari" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Tunisia 1-5 Sweden: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-15T18:48:29" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Haiti @ Brazil", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6508, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.6508, "matchup": "Haiti @ Brazil", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Haiti___Brazil|HOME_ML|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-06-15T05:31:52", "p_calibrated": 0.6847, "outcome": { "final_score": "Haiti 0-3 Brazil", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha", "matheus cunha", "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Haiti 0-3 Brazil: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8707, "raw_prob": 0.9195, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8706, "raw_prob": 0.9193, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Lawrence_Butler|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8681, "raw_prob": 0.9165, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8662, "raw_prob": 0.9143, "edge_pct": 50.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8616, "raw_prob": 0.909, "edge_pct": 49.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Chandler_Simpson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.86, "raw_prob": 0.9072, "edge_pct": 49.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Mickey_Gasper|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_plus_hit|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8703, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nasim_Nu_ez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8696, "edge_pct": 50.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Sullivan|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8687, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.871, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8693, "edge_pct": 50.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Chandler vs Mauricio Ruffy", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "Michael Chandler vs Mauricio Ruffy", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Michael_Chandler_vs_Mauricio_Ruffy|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.13, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Michael Chandler vs Mauricio Ruffy", "winner": "Mauricio Ruffy", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Mauricio Ruffy def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2461, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Burger|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2321, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "TEX @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.69, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T00:01:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Haiti @ Brazil", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "Haiti @ Brazil", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|Haiti___Brazil|OVER_2_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T05:31:12", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "Haiti 0-3 Brazil", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha", "matheus cunha", "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "Haiti 0-3 Brazil: 3 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.6177, "raw_prob": 0.7393, "edge_pct": 17.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___NYY|OVER_7_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09", "p_calibrated": 0.5371, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 2 @ NYY 12", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "CHW @ NYY: final 2-12 (total 14) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ CHC", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.8258, "edge_pct": 57.65, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|COL___CHC|OVER_8_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T06:28:09", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 4 @ CHC 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "COL @ CHC: final 4-5 (total 9) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T19:30:38" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cape Verde @ Spain", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Cape Verde @ Spain", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Cape_Verde___Spain|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T10:30:40", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cape Verde 0-0 Spain", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Cape Verde 0-0 Spain: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T22:45:13" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Egypt @ Belgium", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Egypt @ Belgium", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Egypt___Belgium|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T10:30:40", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Egypt 1-1 Belgium", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "emam ashour" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Egypt 1-1 Belgium: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T22:45:13" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Uruguay @ Saudi Arabia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Uruguay @ Saudi Arabia", "date": "2026-06-15", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Uruguay___Saudi_Arabia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T10:30:40", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Uruguay 1-1 Saudi Arabia", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "abdulelah al-amri", "maxi ara\u00fajo" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Uruguay 1-1 Saudi Arabia: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T22:45:13" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "New Zealand @ Iran", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "New Zealand @ Iran", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|New_Zealand___Iran|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T10:30:40", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "New Zealand 2-2 Iran", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "elijah just", "ramin rezaeian", "elijah just", "mohammad mohebbi" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "New Zealand 2-2 Iran: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T22:45:13" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8696, "raw_prob": 0.9173, "edge_pct": 50.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Rhys_Hoskins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6088, "raw_prob": 0.7356, "edge_pct": 17.3, "fair_american": -108, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___ARI|ML_AWAY|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T13:31:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5459, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 3 @ ARI 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "LAA @ ARI: final 3-4 (total 7) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ CHC", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.61, "raw_prob": 0.7279, "edge_pct": 16.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___CHC|OVER_9_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4922, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 4 @ CHC 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "COL @ CHC: final 4-5 (total 9) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:20:23" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.4, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|TOR___BOS|UNDER_7_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 6 @ BOS 1", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "TOR @ BOS: final 6-1 (total 7) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ion_Cutelaba_vs_Navajo_Stirling|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling", "winner": "Navajo Stirling", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Navajo Stirling def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.211, "fair_american": 374, "p_predicted": 0.211, "matchup": "Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Leon_Shahbazyan_vs_Levan_Chokheli|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan", "winner": "Brendan Allen", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Brendan Allen def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:20:23" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Otari Tanzilovi vs Shane Collins", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 431, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "Otari Tanzilovi vs Shane Collins", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Otari_Tanzilovi_vs_Shane_Collins|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Otari Tanzilovi vs Shane Collins", "winner": "Shane Collins", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Shane Collins def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:45" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 444, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Melsik_Baghdasaryan_vs_Murtazali_Magomed|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.44, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov", "winner": "Murtazali Magomedov", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Murtazali Magomedov def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Rodriguez vs Hyder Amil", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 454, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "Christian Rodriguez vs Hyder Amil", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Christian_Rodriguez_vs_Hyder_Amil|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.54, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Christian Rodriguez vs Hyder Amil", "winner": "Christian Rodriguez", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Christian Rodriguez def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Senegal @ France", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Senegal @ France", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Senegal___France|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Senegal 1-3 France", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "bradley barcola", "ibrahim mbaye", "kylian mbapp\u00e9" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Senegal 1-3 France: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:20:23" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Norway @ Iraq", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Norway @ Iraq", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Norway___Iraq|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Norway 4-1 Iraq", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "erling haaland", "aymen hussein", "erling haaland", "leo \u00f8stigard" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Norway 4-1 Iraq: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:20:23" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Algeria @ Argentina", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Algeria @ Argentina", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Algeria___Argentina|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Algeria 0-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "lionel messi", "lionel messi", "lionel messi" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Algeria 0-3 Argentina: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:20:23" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ CIN", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "NYM @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|NYM___CIN|under_9_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 3 @ CIN 5", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "NYM @ CIN: final 3-5 (total 8) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T22:45:13", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T11:19:35" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T22:45:13", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T11:19:35" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T22:45:13", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T22:45:13", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T11:19:35" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Otto_Lopez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T22:45:13", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.6062, "raw_prob": 0.7159, "edge_pct": 15.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIL|OVER_8_0|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4841, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 1 @ MIL 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "CLE @ MIL: final 1-2 (total 3) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ CHC", "market": "OVER_10.0", "prob": 0.5916, "raw_prob": 0.6819, "edge_pct": 12.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___CHC|OVER_10_0|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 4 @ CHC 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "COL @ CHC: final 4-5 (total 9) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.5911, "raw_prob": 0.6806, "edge_pct": 12.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___TEX|OVER_8_0|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 4 @ TEX 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "MIN @ TEX: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_plus_hit|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_plus_hit|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "charles leclerc", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|charles_leclerc|TOP_3|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": false, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 10, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Charles Leclerc qualifying P10 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lando norris", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|lando_norris|TOP_3|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": false, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 4, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Lando Norris qualifying P4 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "carlos sainz", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|carlos_sainz|TOP_3|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": false, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 16, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Carlos Sainz qualifying P16 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "oscar piastri", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|oscar_piastri|TOP_3|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": false, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 7, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Oscar Piastri qualifying P7 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "george russell", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.604, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.604, "matchup": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-12", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|george_russell|TOP_3|2026-06-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6579, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": false, "outcome": { "event": "MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 1, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "George Russell qualifying P1 at MSC Cruises Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Senegal @ France", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Senegal @ France", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Senegal___France|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Senegal 1-3 France", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "bradley barcola", "ibrahim mbaye", "kylian mbapp\u00e9" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Senegal 1-3 France: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TOR @ IND", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_4|WNBA|TOR___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_4|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 91 @ IND 113", "team_total": 113, "line": 78.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "TOR @ IND: home scored 113 (line 78.4, bet over) on 2026-06-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "lexie hull", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.644, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.644, "matchup": "TOR @ IND", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|lexie_hull|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.644, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "lexie hull \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.644, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.644, "matchup": "TOR @ IND", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5525, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.644, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "TOR @ IND", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.6694, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 4, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 blk_stl = 4 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.686, "fair_american": -218, "p_predicted": 0.686, "matchup": "TOR @ IND", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4587, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.6568, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Ward|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.588, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rodolfo_Dur_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ian_Happ|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esteury Ruiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Esteury_Ruiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.32, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esteury Ruiz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "NYM @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.514, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.514, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "NYM @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Liam_Hicks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "NYM @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Steer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.43, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "NYM @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.421, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ernie Clement", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ernie_Clement|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ernie Clement \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "NYM @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MJ Melendez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "NYM @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|MJ_Melendez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "MJ Melendez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "NYM @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T16:06:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Caballero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_P__Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_Bauers|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samad Taylor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Samad_Taylor|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samad Taylor \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.01, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.579, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.579, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7246, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:28:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Crooks", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jimmy_Crooks|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jimmy Crooks \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ty_France|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edouard Julien", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Edouard_Julien|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4061, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Edouard Julien \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Osuna", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Alejandro_Osuna|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4061, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alejandro Osuna \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Gray", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tristan_Gray|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4061, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tristan Gray \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4252, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4252, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4312, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4432, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4462, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carlos Cortes", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Carlos_Cortes|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Carlos Cortes \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miles Mastrobuoni", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Miles_Mastrobuoni|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Miles Mastrobuoni \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Rodolfo_Dur_n|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Matthews", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brice_Matthews|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6993, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brice Matthews \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.597, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.597, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6757, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.457, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.457, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.78, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.15, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.316, "fair_american": 216, "p_predicted": 0.316, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1858, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 225, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1849, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.38, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1741, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1605, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 284, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 284, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 289, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 298, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 338, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_Ward|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 361, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.208, "fair_american": 380, "p_predicted": 0.208, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 387, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 394, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 415, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.19, "fair_american": 426, "p_predicted": 0.19, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1403, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 448, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 446, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andy_Pages|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.179, "fair_american": 459, "p_predicted": 0.179, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.135, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.178, "fair_american": 462, "p_predicted": 0.178, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1347, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.176, "fair_american": 468, "p_predicted": 0.176, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.68, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1339, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 517, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1254, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.155, "fair_american": 543, "p_predicted": 0.155, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1139, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 555, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rodolfo_Dur_n|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.149, "fair_american": 572, "p_predicted": 0.149, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Donovan_Walton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1041, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T16:06:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 586, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.145, "fair_american": 592, "p_predicted": 0.145, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 593, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ezequiel_Tovar|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 600, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 607, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Callihan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Callihan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Callihan \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Endy_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andy_Pages|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2756, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.401, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.583, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.583, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Troy_Johnston|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8723, "raw_prob": 0.92, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8485, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8711, "raw_prob": 0.9187, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|David_Hamilton|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8284, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "David Hamilton \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8702, "raw_prob": 0.9176, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8699, "raw_prob": 0.9173, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Rhys_Hoskins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8697, "raw_prob": 0.9171, "edge_pct": 50.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6091, "raw_prob": 0.7331, "edge_pct": 16.8, "fair_american": -109, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___ARI|ML_AWAY|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.5459, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 7 @ ARI 0", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "LAA @ ARI: final 7-0 (total 7) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T16:08:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.6062, "raw_prob": 0.7159, "edge_pct": 15.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIL|OVER_8_0|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4841, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 4 @ MIL 9", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "CLE @ MIL: final 4-9 (total 13) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ CHC", "market": "OVER_10.0", "prob": 0.5916, "raw_prob": 0.6819, "edge_pct": 12.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___CHC|OVER_10_0|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 5 @ CHC 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "COL @ CHC: final 5-2 (total 7) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T16:08:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.5911, "raw_prob": 0.6806, "edge_pct": 12.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___TEX|OVER_8_0|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 12 @ TEX 2", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "MIN @ TEX: final 12-2 (total 14) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T16:08:46" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_plus_hit|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_plus_hit|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8711, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8284, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8709, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lawrence_Butler|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.862, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Chandler_Simpson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8718, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Masataka_Yoshida|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8401, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Masataka Yoshida \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Crooks", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jimmy_Crooks|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jimmy Crooks \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ty_France|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edouard Julien", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Edouard_Julien|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4061, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Edouard Julien \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4252, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4252, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4432, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4462, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miles Mastrobuoni", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Miles_Mastrobuoni|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Miles Mastrobuoni \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7143, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Rodolfo_Dur_n|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.211, "fair_american": 374, "p_predicted": 0.211, "matchup": "Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Leon_Shahbazyan_vs_Levan_Chokheli|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.74, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli", "winner": "Levan Chokheli", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Levan Chokheli def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T23:08:33" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.316, "fair_american": 216, "p_predicted": 0.316, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1858, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 225, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1849, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1741, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1605, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 284, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 284, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.84, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 289, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.89, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 298, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 361, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 387, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.97, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.19, "fair_american": 426, "p_predicted": 0.19, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1403, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 448, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 446, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andy_Pages|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.178, "fair_american": 462, "p_predicted": 0.178, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1347, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.176, "fair_american": 468, "p_predicted": 0.176, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1339, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 517, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1254, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.155, "fair_american": 543, "p_predicted": 0.155, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1139, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 555, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rodolfo_Dur_n|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 586, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.145, "fair_american": 592, "p_predicted": 0.145, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 593, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ezequiel_Tovar|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 607, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Callihan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Callihan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Callihan \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.588, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.523, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.408, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.408, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2943, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.488, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.44, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.435, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.42, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_P__Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andy_Pages|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2756, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.401, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "SDP @ STL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "DET @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.04, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "TBR @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T03:26:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Rafael_Devers|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-27", "recorded_at": "2026-05-27T13:07:37", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-27T22:10:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nick_Gonzales|PP_batter_rbis_under_1_5|2026-05-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Gonzales", "market": "PP_batter_rbis_under_1.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-27", "recorded_at": "2026-05-27T13:07:37", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-28T08:08:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Tyler_Stephenson|PP_batter_rbis_under_1_5|2026-05-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "PP_batter_rbis_under_1.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-27", "recorded_at": "2026-05-27T13:07:37", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-28T08:08:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cape Verde @ Uruguay", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5236, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.5236, "matchup": "Cape Verde @ Uruguay", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Cape_Verde___Uruguay|HOME_ML|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T05:20:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6508, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cape Verde 2-2 Uruguay", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kevin pina", "maxi ara\u00fajo", "agust\u00edn canobbio", "h\u00e9lio varela" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Cape Verde 2-2 Uruguay: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Saudi Arabia @ Spain", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5291, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.5291, "matchup": "Saudi Arabia @ Spain", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Saudi_Arabia___Spain|HOME_ML|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T05:20:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6522, "outcome": { "final_score": "Saudi Arabia 0-4 Spain", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "lamine yamal", "mikel oyarzabal", "mikel oyarzabal" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Saudi Arabia 0-4 Spain: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T20:07:26" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Hunter_Feduccia|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-27", "recorded_at": "2026-05-27T23:18:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-28T08:08:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8079, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-27", "check": "verified" } }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.611, "raw_prob": 0.7505, "edge_pct": 16.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___BOS|OVER_9_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4944, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 3 @ BOS 0", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "TOR @ BOS: final 3-0 (total 3) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.52, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|LAA___ARI|UNDER_9_0|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59", "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 7 @ ARI 0", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "LAA @ ARI: final 7-0 (total 7) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T18:11:17" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.8066, "edge_pct": 53.98, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|CHW___NYY|OVER_8_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 5 @ NYY 10", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "CHW @ NYY: final 5-10 (total 15) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Norway @ Iraq", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Norway @ Iraq", "date": "2026-06-16", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Norway___Iraq|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T08:40:40", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Norway 4-1 Iraq", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "erling haaland", "aymen hussein", "erling haaland", "leo \u00f8stigard" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Norway 4-1 Iraq: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T22:16:53" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Algeria @ Argentina", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Algeria @ Argentina", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Algeria___Argentina|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T08:40:40", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Algeria 0-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "lionel messi", "lionel messi", "lionel messi" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Algeria 0-3 Argentina: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T22:16:53" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ ARI", "market": "UNDER_9.5", "prob": null, "tier": "ELITE", "under_signal_score": 6.52, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|LAA___ARI|UNDER_9_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01", "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 1 @ ARI 8", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "LAA @ ARI: final 1-8 (total 9) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan @ Austria", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Jordan @ Austria", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Jordan___Austria|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Jordan 1-3 Austria", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "romano schmid", "ali olwan", "marko arnautovic" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Jordan 1-3 Austria: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan @ Austria", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "Jordan @ Austria", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Jordan___Austria|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3717, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01", "p_calibrated": 0.6601, "outcome": { "final_score": "Jordan 1-3 Austria", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "romano schmid", "ali olwan", "marko arnautovic" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Jordan 1-3 Austria: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Congo DR @ Portugal", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Congo DR @ Portugal", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Congo_DR___Portugal|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Congo DR 1-1 Portugal", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "jo\u00e3o neves", "yoane wissa" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Congo DR 1-1 Portugal: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Croatia @ England", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Croatia @ England", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Croatia___England|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Croatia 2-4 England", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "harry kane", "martin baturina", "harry kane", "petar musa", "jude bellingham", "marcus rashford" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Croatia 2-4 England: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Panama @ Ghana", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Panama @ Ghana", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Panama___Ghana|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Panama 0-1 Ghana", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "caleb yirenkyi" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Panama 0-1 Ghana: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Colombia @ Uzbekistan", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Colombia @ Uzbekistan", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Colombia___Uzbekistan|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Colombia 3-1 Uzbekistan", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "daniel mu\u00f1oz", "abbosbek fayzullaev", "luis d\u00edaz", "j\u00e1minton campaz" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Colombia 3-1 Uzbekistan: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ CHC", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|COL___CHC|under_9_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T13:51:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 5 @ CHC 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "COL @ CHC: final 5-2 (total 7) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.64, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lane_Thomas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.34, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2069, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "KCR @ WSN", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Schneider", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8652, "raw_prob": 0.911, "edge_pct": 50.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Davis_Schneider|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Davis Schneider \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.5823, "raw_prob": 0.6436, "edge_pct": 11.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIL|OVER_7_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 4 @ MIL 9", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "CLE @ MIL: final 4-9 (total 13) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ CHC", "market": "UNDER_10.0", "prob": 0.575, "raw_prob": 0.6259, "edge_pct": 9.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___CHC|UNDER_10_0|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 5 @ CHC 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "COL @ CHC: final 5-2 (total 7) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6032, "raw_prob": 0.6402, "edge_pct": 5.7, "fair_american": -133, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___SEA|ML_HOME|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7519, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6433, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 1 @ SEA 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "BAL @ SEA: final 1-3 (total 4) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_plus_hit|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Croatia @ England", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Croatia @ England", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Croatia___England|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Croatia 2-4 England", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "harry kane", "martin baturina", "harry kane", "petar musa", "jude bellingham", "marcus rashford" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Croatia 2-4 England: 6 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CONN", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_2|WNBA|WAS___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_2|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 88 @ CON 81", "team_total": 81, "line": 78.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ CON: home scored 81 (line 78.2, bet over) on 2026-06-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_5|WNBA|NY___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 96 @ CHI 95", "team_total": 95, "line": 72.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ CHI: home scored 95 (line 72.5, bet over) on 2026-06-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_9|WNBA|DAL___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_9|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 80 @ GS 91", "team_total": 91, "line": 75.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ GS: home scored 91 (line 75.9, bet over) on 2026-06-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ LA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_8|WNBA|MIN___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_8|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 99 @ LA 83", "team_total": 83, "line": 72.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ LA: home scored 83 (line 72.8, bet over) on 2026-06-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ PHX", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_0|WNBA|LV___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_0|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 86 @ PHX 76", "team_total": 76, "line": 78.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ PHX: home scored 76 (line 78.0, bet over) on 2026-06-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ POR", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_8|WNBA|SEA___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_8|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 89 @ POR 94", "team_total": 94, "line": 73.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ POR: home scored 94 (line 73.8, bet over) on 2026-06-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "NYL @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|angel_reese|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4739, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6556, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:29:09" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2574, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jes_s_S_nchez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.252, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.01, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2334, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ian_Happ|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3039, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.539, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jes_s_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ben_Rice|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eli White", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eli_White|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eli White \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.493, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Emerson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.484, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Haase", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eric_Haase|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eric Haase \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Joe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Connor_Joe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Joe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Caballero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willy_Adames|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorge Mateo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jorge_Mateo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorge Mateo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_Bauers|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7576, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.554, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.554, "matchup": "SFG @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Zack_Gelof|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2398, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2398, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ian_Happ|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4372, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Fry", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|David_Fry|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4552, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "David Fry \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Schneemann", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Daniel_Schneemann|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Daniel Schneemann \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.666, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.486, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.486, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 345, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonah_Heim|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T16:06:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.19, "fair_american": 426, "p_predicted": 0.19, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1403, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.164, "fair_american": 509, "p_predicted": 0.164, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1287, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2436, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 255, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.271, "fair_american": 269, "p_predicted": 0.271, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Brice_Turang|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "COL @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:53:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8722, "raw_prob": 0.9191, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Rhys_Hoskins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8468, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8705, "raw_prob": 0.9171, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Jeff_McNeil|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8677, "raw_prob": 0.9139, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Travis_Bazzana|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.5823, "raw_prob": 0.6436, "edge_pct": 11.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIL|OVER_7_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 4 @ MIL 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "CLE @ MIL: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ CHC", "market": "UNDER_10.0", "prob": 0.575, "raw_prob": 0.6259, "edge_pct": 9.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___CHC|UNDER_10_0|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 6 @ CHC 8", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "COL @ CHC: final 6-8 (total 14) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T15:56:17" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6032, "raw_prob": 0.6402, "edge_pct": 5.7, "fair_american": -133, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___SEA|ML_HOME|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7519, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6433, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 0 @ SEA 3", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "BAL @ SEA: final 0-3 (total 3) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T15:56:17", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_plus_hit|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8717, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Logan_O_Hoppe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8384, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8702, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8693, "edge_pct": 50.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|J_T__Realmuto|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Fry", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|David_Fry|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4552, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "David Fry \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Schneemann", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Daniel_Schneemann|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6897, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Daniel Schneemann \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.666, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.486, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.486, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.06, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1858, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1831, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 345, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonah_Heim|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T16:06:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.19, "fair_american": 426, "p_predicted": 0.19, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1403, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.164, "fair_american": 509, "p_predicted": 0.164, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.1287, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2436, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.99, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Emerson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.523, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.407, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.407, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.46, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2941, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.484, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.482, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_P__Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.1, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "PIT @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Zack_Gelof|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Brice_Turang|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "BAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T03:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nick_Gonzales|PP_batter_rbis_under_1_5|2026-05-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Gonzales", "market": "PP_batter_rbis_under_1.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-28", "recorded_at": "2026-05-28T08:08:47", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-29T08:17:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iraq @ France", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6747, "fair_american": -207, "p_predicted": 0.6747, "matchup": "Iraq @ France", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Iraq___France|HOME_ML|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4831, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6911, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iraq 0-3 France", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Iraq 0-3 France: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iraq @ France", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.5812, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.5812, "matchup": "Iraq @ France", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|Iraq___France|OVER_2_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iraq 0-3 France", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "Iraq 0-3 France: 3 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Senegal @ Norway", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5347, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.5347, "matchup": "Senegal @ Norway", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Senegal___Norway|HOME_ML|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T05:08:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6537, "outcome": { "final_score": "Senegal 2-3 Norway", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "marcus holmgren pedersen", "erling haaland", "isma\u00efla sarr", "erling haaland", "isma\u00efla sarr" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Senegal 2-3 Norway: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6964, "raw_prob": 0.7213, "edge_pct": 16.7, "fair_american": -148, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIL|ML_HOME|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24", "p_calibrated": 0.6671, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 4 @ MIL 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "CLE @ MIL: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "market": "UNDER_9.5", "prob": 0.6002, "raw_prob": 0.6733, "edge_pct": 14.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___PHI|UNDER_9_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 6 @ PHI 4", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "NYM @ PHI: final 6-4 (total 10) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ NYY", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.5968, "raw_prob": 0.8169, "edge_pct": 13.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___NYY|OVER_9_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:24", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 5 @ NYY 1", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "CHW @ NYY: final 5-1 (total 6) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "charles leclerc", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|charles_leclerc|TOP_3|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4016, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 2, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Charles Leclerc qualifying P2 at Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lando norris", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|lando_norris|TOP_3|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 6, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Lando Norris qualifying P6 at Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "carlos sainz", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|carlos_sainz|TOP_3|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 17, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Carlos Sainz qualifying P17 at Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "oscar piastri", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|oscar_piastri|TOP_3|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 7, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Oscar Piastri qualifying P7 at Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "george russell", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.604, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.604, "matchup": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|george_russell|TOP_3|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6579, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 1, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "George Russell qualifying P1 at Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lewis hamilton", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|lewis_hamilton|TOP_6|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 3, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Lewis Hamilton qualifying P3 at Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "fernando alonso", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|fernando_alonso|TOP_6|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 21, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Fernando Alonso qualifying P21 at Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "erling haaland", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Senegal @ Norway", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|WORLDCUP|erling_haaland|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.614, "outcome": { "final_score": "Senegal 2-3 Norway", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "marcus holmgren pedersen", "erling haaland", "isma\u00efla sarr", "erling haaland", "isma\u00efla sarr" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Senegal 2-3 Norway: erling haaland scored \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Panama @ Ghana", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Panama @ Ghana", "date": "2026-06-17", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Panama___Ghana|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Panama 0-1 Ghana", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "caleb yirenkyi" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Panama 0-1 Ghana: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T20:43:17" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Colombia @ Uzbekistan", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Colombia @ Uzbekistan", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Colombia___Uzbekistan|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T08:23:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Colombia 3-1 Uzbekistan", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "daniel mu\u00f1oz", "abbosbek fayzullaev", "luis d\u00edaz", "j\u00e1minton campaz" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Colombia 3-1 Uzbekistan: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T20:43:17" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Osuna", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8712, "raw_prob": 0.9175, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alejandro_Osuna|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:25", "p_calibrated": 0.83, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alejandro Osuna \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "South Africa @ Czechia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "South Africa @ Czechia", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|South_Africa___Czechia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T15:56:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "South Africa 1-1 Czechia", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "michal sad\u00edlek", "teboho mokoena" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "South Africa 1-1 Czechia: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:26:53" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Bosnia-Herzegovina @ Switzerland", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Bosnia-Herzegovina @ Switzerland", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Bosnia_Herzegovina___Switzerland|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T15:56:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-4 Switzerland", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "johan manzambi", "rub\u00e9n vargas", "johan manzambi", "ermin mahmic", "granit xhaka" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-4 Switzerland: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:26:53" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Qatar @ Canada", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Qatar @ Canada", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Qatar___Canada|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T15:56:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Qatar 0-6 Canada", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "cyle larin", "jonathan david", "jonathan david", "nathan saliba", "jonathan david" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Qatar 0-6 Canada: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:29:09" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "South Korea @ Mexico", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "South Korea @ Mexico", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|South_Korea___Mexico|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T15:56:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "South Korea 0-1 Mexico", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "luis romo" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "South Korea 0-1 Mexico: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:29:09" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8707, "raw_prob": 0.9165, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Spencer_Jones|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T17:15:32", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.241, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jes_s_S_nchez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.286, "fair_american": 250, "p_predicted": 0.286, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yohendrick_Pi_ango|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Caratini|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.86, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1956, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.95, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1905, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Higashioka", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Higashioka|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Higashioka \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Arias", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Arias|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Arias \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jes_s_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.475, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.69, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blake_Perkins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Byron_Buxton|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "CLE @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "MIN @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kody_Clemens|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T18:23:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8725, "raw_prob": 0.9186, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Jeff_McNeil|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.8518, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8722, "raw_prob": 0.9182, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Mickey_Gasper|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.8468, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Osuna", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8716, "raw_prob": 0.9175, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alejandro_Osuna|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.8368, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alejandro Osuna \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8707, "raw_prob": 0.9165, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Spencer_Jones|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_plus_hit|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8722, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Rhys_Hoskins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.8468, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8692, "edge_pct": 50.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8677, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Travis_Bazzana|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ludvig \u00c5berg", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ludvig__berg|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2728, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ludvig \u00c5berg finished T17 (3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Bosnia-Herzegovina @ Switzerland", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Bosnia-Herzegovina @ Switzerland", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Bosnia_Herzegovina___Switzerland|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-4 Switzerland", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "johan manzambi", "rub\u00e9n vargas", "johan manzambi", "ermin mahmic", "granit xhaka" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-4 Switzerland: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_4.0", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "ATL @ IND", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4_0|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_4_0|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3906, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6699, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 4.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 4.0, bet under) on 2026-06-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.681, "fair_american": -214, "p_predicted": 0.681, "matchup": "ATL @ IND", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4673, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6648, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "ATL @ IND", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6691, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "lexie hull", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "ATL @ IND", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|lexie_hull|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.628, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "lexie hull \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_4.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_4.0", "prob": 0.686, "fair_american": -218, "p_predicted": 0.686, "matchup": "ATL @ IND", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_4_0|WNBA|rhyne_howard|BLK_STL_UNDER_4_0|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4587, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6568, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 4.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 4.0, bet under) on 2026-06-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -230, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "ATL @ IND", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6809, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nelson_Vel_zquez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2095, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 242, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Henry_Bolte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.27, "fair_american": 270, "p_predicted": 0.27, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lane_Thomas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2051, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.435, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nelson_Vel_zquez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alec_Burleson|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nelson_Vel_zquez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T00:14:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Alejandro_Davidovich_Fokina_vs_Tommy_Pau|ML_PLAYER2|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5319, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:26:53", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "match": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul", "winner": "Tommy Paul", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 22, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Tommy Paul won 0-2 (22 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T22:58:48" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Fritz vs Ben Shelton", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "Taylor Fritz vs Ben Shelton", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Taylor_Fritz_vs_Ben_Shelton|ML_PLAYER1|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5618, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:26:53", "p_calibrated": 0.64, "outcome": { "match": "Taylor Fritz vs Ben Shelton", "winner": "Taylor Fritz", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 39, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Taylor Fritz won 2-1 (39 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19_5|TENNIS|Alejandro_Davidovich_Fokina_vs_Tommy_Pau|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:26:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy Paul", "winner": "Tommy Paul", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 22, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "verify": "Tommy Paul won 0-2 (22 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T22:58:48" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_16.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Fritz vs Ben Shelton", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Taylor Fritz vs Ben Shelton", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_16_5|TENNIS|Taylor_Fritz_vs_Ben_Shelton|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:26:53", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Taylor Fritz vs Ben Shelton", "winner": "Taylor Fritz", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 39, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16.5", "verify": "Taylor Fritz won 2-1 (39 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Madison Keys vs Jessica Pegula", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Madison Keys vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Madison_Keys_vs_Jessica_Pegula|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:26:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Madison Keys vs Jessica Pegula", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 26, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 0-2 (26 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Frances Tiafoe", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Frances Tiafoe", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17_5|TENNIS|Felix_Auger_Aliassime_vs_Frances_Tiafoe|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:26:53", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Frances Tiafoe", "winner": "Frances Tiafoe", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 31, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "verify": "Frances Tiafoe won 1-2 (31 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T22:58:48" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Congo DR @ Colombia", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6114, "fair_american": -157, "p_predicted": 0.6114, "matchup": "Congo DR @ Colombia", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Congo_DR___Colombia|HOME_ML|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6369, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:29:09", "p_calibrated": 0.6742, "outcome": { "final_score": "Congo DR 0-1 Colombia", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "daniel mu\u00f1oz" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Congo DR 0-1 Colombia: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T04:41:08" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Congo DR @ Colombia", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "Congo DR @ Colombia", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|Congo_DR___Colombia|OVER_2_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:29:09", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "Congo DR 0-1 Colombia", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "daniel mu\u00f1oz" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "Congo DR 0-1 Colombia: 1 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T04:41:08" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ghana @ England", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5402, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.5402, "matchup": "Ghana @ England", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Ghana___England|HOME_ML|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:29:09", "p_calibrated": 0.6552, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ghana 0-0 England", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Ghana 0-0 England: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T23:09:52" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Portugal", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5402, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.5402, "matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Portugal", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Uzbekistan___Portugal|HOME_ML|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:29:09", "p_calibrated": 0.6552, "outcome": { "final_score": "Uzbekistan 0-5 Portugal", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "cristiano ronaldo", "nuno mendes", "cristiano ronaldo", "rafael le\u00e3o" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Uzbekistan 0-5 Portugal: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T20:26:07" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jon Rahm", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jon_Rahm|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jon Rahm finished MC (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.47, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.47, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3624, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T22", "to_par": 4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T22 (4) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rory McIlroy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.451, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.451, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rory_McIlroy|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3371, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rory McIlroy finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Stevens", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sam_Stevens|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.309, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sam Stevens finished T7 (1) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Harman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Brian_Harman|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2728, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Brian Harman finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson DeChambeau", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Bryson_DeChambeau|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2692, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Bryson DeChambeau finished MC (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ludvig \u00c5berg", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ludvig__berg|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4063, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ludvig \u00c5berg finished T17 (3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max Greyserman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.473, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.473, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Max_Greyserman|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3789, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T43", "to_par": 8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Max Greyserman finished T43 (8) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryo Hisatsune", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.476, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.476, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ryo_Hisatsune|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3953, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T43", "to_par": 8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ryo Hisatsune finished T43 (8) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Fox", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ryan_Fox|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3551, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T23", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ryan Fox finished T23 (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.457, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.457, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3449, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T23", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben James finished T23 (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Conners", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.476, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.476, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Corey_Conners|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3953, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T23", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Corey Conners finished T23 (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryder Cowan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.463, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.463, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ryder_Cowan|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3526, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T23", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ryder Cowan finished T23 (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max McGreevy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.463, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.463, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Max_McGreevy|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3526, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Max McGreevy finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Kohles", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.455, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.455, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_Kohles|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3423, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T23", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben Kohles finished T23 (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Gary Woodland", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.455, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.455, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Gary_Woodland|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.2, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3423, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Gary Woodland finished T7 (1) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Qatar @ Canada", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Qatar @ Canada", "date": "2026-06-18", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Qatar___Canada|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T09:58:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Qatar 0-6 Canada", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "cyle larin", "jonathan david", "jonathan david", "nathan saliba", "jonathan david" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Qatar 0-6 Canada: 6 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T22:01:00" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_7.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "market": "over_7.5", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_7_5|MLB|TOR___CHC|over_7_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 2 @ CHC 16", "total_runs": 18, "verify": "TOR @ CHC: final 2-16 (total 18) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Johnson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.449, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.449, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Dustin_Johnson|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3346, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Dustin Johnson finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryder Cowan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ryder_Cowan|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3068, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T23", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ryder Cowan finished T23 (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max McGreevy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.413, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.413, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Max_McGreevy|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Max McGreevy finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Gary Woodland", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.407, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.407, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Gary_Woodland|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.46, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2993, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Gary Woodland finished T7 (1) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Hidalgo", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.458, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.458, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Angel_Hidalgo|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3461, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T53", "to_par": 9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Angel Hidalgo finished T53 (9) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Coventry City @ Arsenal", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Arsenal", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Coventry_City___Arsenal|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 0-3 Arsenal", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kai havertz", "bukayo saka", "martin \u00f8degaard" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Coventry City 0-3 Arsenal: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Coventry City @ Arsenal", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Arsenal", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Coventry_City___Arsenal|BTTS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 0-3 Arsenal", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kai havertz", "bukayo saka", "martin \u00f8degaard" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Coventry City 0-3 Arsenal: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Morocco @ Scotland", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Morocco @ Scotland", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Morocco___Scotland|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Morocco 1-0 Scotland", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "ismael saibari" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Morocco 1-0 Scotland: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Haiti @ Brazil", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Haiti @ Brazil", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Haiti___Brazil|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Haiti 0-3 Brazil", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha", "matheus cunha", "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Haiti 0-3 Brazil: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Coventry City @ Arsenal", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Arsenal", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Coventry_City___Arsenal|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 0-3 Arsenal", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kai havertz", "bukayo saka", "martin \u00f8degaard" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Coventry City 0-3 Arsenal: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Australia @ United States", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Australia @ United States", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Australia___United_States|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Australia 0-2 United States", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "alex freeman" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Australia 0-2 United States: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Morocco @ Scotland", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "Morocco @ Scotland", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Morocco___Scotland|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4237, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.6288, "outcome": { "final_score": "Morocco 1-0 Scotland", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "ismael saibari" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Morocco 1-0 Scotland: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Haiti @ Brazil", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -345, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "Haiti @ Brazil", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Haiti___Brazil|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Haiti 0-3 Brazil", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha", "matheus cunha", "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Haiti 0-3 Brazil: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Paraguay @ T\u00fcrkiye", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Paraguay @ T\u00fcrkiye", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Paraguay___T_rkiye|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T15:45:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Paraguay 1-0 T\u00fcrkiye", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "mat\u00edas galarza" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Paraguay 1-0 T\u00fcrkiye: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T16:41:00", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_plus_hit|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Tibbits", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Spencer_Tibbits|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2869, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T61", "to_par": 11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Spencer Tibbits finished T61 (11) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Harman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.552, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.552, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Brian_Harman|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Brian Harman finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T39", "to_par": 7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T39 (7) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Van Paris", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.472, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.472, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jackson_Van_Paris|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3734, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T61", "to_par": 11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jackson Van Paris finished T61 (11) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "William Mouw", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|William_Mouw|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3551, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T65", "to_par": 14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "William Mouw finished T65 (14) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Jessica_Pegula_vs_Aryna_Sabalenka|ML_PLAYER2|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.715, "outcome": { "match": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 29, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 2-1 (29 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T16:06:25" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_18.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_18.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_18_5|TENNIS|Jessica_Pegula_vs_Aryna_Sabalenka|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_18_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 29, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_18.5", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 2-1 (29 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_18.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T16:06:25" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Taylor_Fritz_vs_Alexander_Zverev|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev", "winner": "Taylor Fritz", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 35, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "verify": "Taylor Fritz won 2-1 (35 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T16:06:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jes_s_S_nchez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2062, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.291, "fair_american": 244, "p_predicted": 0.291, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yohendrick_Pi_ango|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Schneider", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Davis_Schneider|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.1913, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Davis Schneider \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|George_Springer|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.37, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Shaw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jes_s_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Schneider", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Davis_Schneider|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Davis Schneider \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yohendrick_Pi_ango|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Springer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T17:50:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jahmai_Jones|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jahmai Jones", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-28", "recorded_at": "2026-05-28T14:01:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-28T22:04:06", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8079, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jahmai Jones \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-28", "check": "verified" } }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ian_Happ|PP_batter_rbis_under_1_5|2026-05-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "PP_batter_rbis_under_1.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-28", "recorded_at": "2026-05-28T14:01:00", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-29T08:17:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Vladimir_Guerrero_Jr_|PP_batter_home_runs_under_0_5|2026-05-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Vladimir Guerrero Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_home_runs_under_0.5", "prob": 0.7162, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-28", "recorded_at": "2026-05-28T14:01:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-29T08:17:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7162 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T22:58:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T22:58:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T22:58:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T22:58:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T22:58:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T22:58:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_plus_hit|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Akshay Bhatia", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Akshay_Bhatia|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Akshay Bhatia finished T17 (3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 222, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2698, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T23", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ben James finished T23 (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max Greyserman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Max_Greyserman|TOP_10|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2688, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T43", "to_par": 8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Max Greyserman finished T43 (8) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.498, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.498, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.01, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.5161, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Thomas", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.492, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.492, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Thomas|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.03, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.4831, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Thomas finished T17 (3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Rose", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.456, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.456, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Rose|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.19, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3436, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Rose finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keegan Bradley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.456, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.456, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Keegan_Bradley|TOP_20|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3436, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Keegan Bradley finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TOR @ CONN", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_3|WNBA|TOR___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_3|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 101 @ CON 97", "team_total": 97, "line": 76.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "TOR @ CON: home scored 97 (line 76.3, bet over) on 2026-06-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ NY", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_2|WNBA|WAS___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_2|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 86 @ NY 83", "team_total": 83, "line": 78.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ NY: home scored 83 (line 78.2, bet over) on 2026-06-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71_9|WNBA|MIN___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71_9|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 81 @ GS 75", "team_total": 75, "line": 71.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ GS: home scored 75 (line 71.9, bet over) on 2026-06-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "leonie fiebich", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "WAS @ NYL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|leonie_fiebich|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.657, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "leonie fiebich \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-06-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kennedy burke", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "WAS @ NYL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|kennedy_burke|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5952, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.627, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kennedy burke \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "alanna smith", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "MIN @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|alanna_smith|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.6617, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alanna smith \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Ugo Humbert vs Tommy Paul", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Ugo Humbert vs Tommy Paul", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21_5|TENNIS|Ugo_Humbert_vs_Tommy_Paul|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21_5|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Ugo Humbert vs Tommy Paul", "winner": "Tommy Paul", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 18, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "verify": "Tommy Paul won 0-2 (18 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.578, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.558, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.551, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blake_Perkins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.517, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "SDP @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SDP @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T16:06:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Endy_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.455, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sterlin Thompson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sterlin_Thompson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sterlin Thompson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.437, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Emerson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Steer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "SDP @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willy_Adames|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Richie Palacios", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Richie_Palacios|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Richie Palacios \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.408, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Owen_Caissie|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Liam_Hicks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eli White", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eli_White|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eli White \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Naylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joe_Mack|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.388, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willi_Castro|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|James_Wood|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T23:13:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kazuma_Okamoto|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7163, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-28", "recorded_at": "2026-05-28T23:23:06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-29T08:17:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7163 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8738, "raw_prob": 0.9196, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8737, "raw_prob": 0.9195, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Hunter_Feduccia|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8719, "raw_prob": 0.9175, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Hao_Yu_Lee|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.8418, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6046, "raw_prob": 0.7458, "edge_pct": 15.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___LAD|OVER_9_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.4806, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 5 @ LAD 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "BAL @ LAD: final 5-6 (total 11) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T14:35:06" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ COL", "market": "OVER_11.5", "prob": 0.5998, "raw_prob": 0.8373, "edge_pct": 14.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___COL|OVER_11_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 3 @ COL 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "PIT @ COL: final 3-4 (total 7) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T14:35:06" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_plus_hit|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8725, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jeff_McNeil|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.8518, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8721, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|J_T__Realmuto|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.8451, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.578, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.558, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.551, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blake_Perkins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.517, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "SDP @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SDP @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Endy_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.455, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sterlin Thompson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sterlin_Thompson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sterlin Thompson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.437, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Emerson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Steer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "SDP @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willy_Adames|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Richie Palacios", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Richie_Palacios|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Richie Palacios \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.408, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Owen_Caissie|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eli White", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eli_White|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eli White \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Naylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joe_Mack|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willi_Castro|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|James_Wood|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T01:29:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:46", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "wc_model_away_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Brazil @ Scotland", "market": "AWAY_ML", "prob": 0.6329, "fair_american": -172, "p_predicted": 0.6329, "matchup": "Brazil @ Scotland", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wc_model_away_ml|WORLDCUP|Brazil___Scotland|AWAY_ML|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5814, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20", "p_calibrated": 0.6329, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brazil 3-0 Scotland", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior", "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior", "matheus cunha" ], "market": "AWAY_ML", "verify": "Brazil 3-0 Scotland: away won \u2014 AWAY_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Brazil @ Scotland", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.5631, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.5631, "matchup": "Brazil @ Scotland", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|Brazil___Scotland|OVER_2_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brazil 3-0 Scotland", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior", "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior", "matheus cunha" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "Brazil 3-0 Scotland: 3 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Haiti @ Morocco", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6592, "fair_american": -193, "p_predicted": 0.6592, "matchup": "Haiti @ Morocco", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Haiti___Morocco|HOME_ML|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5181, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20", "p_calibrated": 0.6869, "outcome": { "final_score": "Haiti 2-4 Morocco", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "achraf hakimi", "wilson isidor", "ismael saibari", "soufiane rahimi", "gessime yassine" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Haiti 2-4 Morocco: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Haiti @ Morocco", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.5741, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.5741, "matchup": "Haiti @ Morocco", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|Haiti___Morocco|OVER_2_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T04:44:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "Haiti 2-4 Morocco", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "achraf hakimi", "wilson isidor", "ismael saibari", "soufiane rahimi", "gessime yassine" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "Haiti 2-4 Morocco: 6 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ DET", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6106, "raw_prob": 0.7533, "edge_pct": 16.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___DET|OVER_8_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:39", "p_calibrated": 0.4935, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 1 @ DET 4", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "CHW @ DET: final 1-4 (total 5) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Burns", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sam_Burns|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sam Burns finished T2 (-3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tom_Kim|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.531, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tom Kim finished T3 (-1) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Thomas", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Justin_Thomas|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2812, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Justin Thomas finished T17 (3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Maverick McNealy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Maverick_McNealy|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.273, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Maverick McNealy finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2713, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T4 (0) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Higgs", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Harry_Higgs|TOP_20|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T43", "to_par": 8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Harry Higgs finished T43 (8) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sahith Theegala", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.498, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.498, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sahith_Theegala|TOP_20|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.01, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.5161, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sahith Theegala finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Akshay Bhatia", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.487, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.487, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Akshay_Bhatia|TOP_20|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4557, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Akshay Bhatia finished T17 (3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Paraguay @ T\u00fcrkiye", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Paraguay @ T\u00fcrkiye", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Paraguay___T_rkiye|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Paraguay 1-0 T\u00fcrkiye", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "mat\u00edas galarza" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Paraguay 1-0 T\u00fcrkiye: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T18:53:32" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "alanna smith", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "MIN @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|alanna_smith|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6684, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "alanna smith \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8712, "raw_prob": 0.9162, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:16", "p_calibrated": 0.83, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sahith Theegala", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sahith_Theegala|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3054, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sahith Theegala finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Higgs", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.349, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.349, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Harry_Higgs|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2749, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T43", "to_par": 8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Harry Higgs finished T43 (8) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rory McIlroy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.602, "fair_american": -151, "p_predicted": 0.602, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rory_McIlroy|TOP_20|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rory McIlroy finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Maverick McNealy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Maverick_McNealy|TOP_20|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.529, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T32", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Maverick McNealy finished T32 (6) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.495, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.495, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Alex_Fitzpatrick|TOP_20|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.4996, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T23", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Alex Fitzpatrick finished T23 (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keith Mitchell", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.471, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.471, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Keith_Mitchell|TOP_20|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.12, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3679, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Keith Mitchell finished T4 (0) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ St. Louis CITY SC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.668, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.668, "matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ St. Louis CITY SC", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Sporting_Kansas_City___St__Louis_CITY_SC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.495, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sporting Kansas City 2-3 St. Louis CITY SC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jeong sang-bin", "marcel hartel", "capita", "dejan joveljic", "eduard l\u00f6wen" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Sporting Kansas City 2-3 St. Louis CITY SC: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T03:42:42" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Portland Timbers @ Seattle Sounders FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "Portland Timbers @ Seattle Sounders FC", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Portland_Timbers___Seattle_Sounders_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4425, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Portland Timbers 5-1 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "kevin kelsy", "kamal miller", "cole bassett", "kevin kelsy", "hassani dotson", "alexander aravena" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Portland Timbers 5-1 Seattle Sounders FC: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T06:31:00" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto FC @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Toronto_FC___CF_Montr_al|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 0-0 CF Montr\u00e9al", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Toronto FC 0-0 CF Montr\u00e9al: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T03:42:42" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Sweden @ Netherlands", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.62, "fair_american": -163, "p_predicted": 0.62, "matchup": "Sweden @ Netherlands", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|WORLDCUP|Sweden___Netherlands|BTTS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6135, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5752, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sweden 1-5 Netherlands", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "brian brobbey", "brian brobbey", "cody gakpo", "cody gakpo", "anthony elanga", "crysencio summerville" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Sweden 1-5 Netherlands: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:17:56" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto FC @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Toronto_FC___CF_Montr_al|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 0-0 CF Montr\u00e9al", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Toronto FC 0-0 CF Montr\u00e9al: 0 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T03:42:42" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Sweden @ Netherlands", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Sweden @ Netherlands", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Sweden___Netherlands|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sweden 1-5 Netherlands", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "brian brobbey", "brian brobbey", "cody gakpo", "cody gakpo", "anthony elanga", "crysencio summerville" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Sweden 1-5 Netherlands: 6 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:17:56" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto FC @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.731, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.731, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Toronto_FC___CF_Montr_al|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6746, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 0-0 CF Montr\u00e9al", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Toronto FC 0-0 CF Montr\u00e9al: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T03:42:42" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ St. Louis CITY SC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ St. Louis CITY SC", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Sporting_Kansas_City___St__Louis_CITY_SC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.346, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sporting Kansas City 2-3 St. Louis CITY SC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jeong sang-bin", "marcel hartel", "capita", "dejan joveljic", "eduard l\u00f6wen" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Sporting Kansas City 2-3 St. Louis CITY SC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T03:42:42" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Portland Timbers @ Seattle Sounders FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "Portland Timbers @ Seattle Sounders FC", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Portland_Timbers___Seattle_Sounders_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.361, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7042, "outcome": { "final_score": "Portland Timbers 5-1 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "kevin kelsy", "kamal miller", "cole bassett", "kevin kelsy", "hassani dotson", "alexander aravena" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Portland Timbers 5-1 Seattle Sounders FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T06:31:00" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_away_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Sweden @ Netherlands", "market": "AWAY_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "Sweden @ Netherlands", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_away_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Sweden___Netherlands|AWAY_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2825, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.78, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sweden 1-5 Netherlands", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "brian brobbey", "brian brobbey", "cody gakpo", "cody gakpo", "anthony elanga", "crysencio summerville" ], "market": "AWAY_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Sweden 1-5 Netherlands: away clean sheet = False \u2014 AWAY_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:17:56" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ivory Coast @ Germany", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Ivory Coast @ Germany", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Ivory_Coast___Germany|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ivory Coast 1-2 Germany", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "franck kessi\u00e9", "deniz undav", "deniz undav" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Ivory Coast 1-2 Germany: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:17:56" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cura\u00e7ao @ Ecuador", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Cura\u00e7ao @ Ecuador", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Cura_ao___Ecuador|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T12:12:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cura\u00e7ao 0-0 Ecuador", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Cura\u00e7ao 0-0 Ecuador: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.553, "raw_prob": 0.6155, "edge_pct": 15.6, "fair_american": 109, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___ARI|ML_AWAY|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T16:06:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5366, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 5 @ ARI 9", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "MIN @ ARI: final 5-9 (total 14) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:17:56" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_plus_hit|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.81, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2075, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Caballero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Amed Rosario", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Amed_Rosario|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Amed Rosario \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1956, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_McLain|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.187, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.187, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.553, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.425, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.425, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2996, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.539, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ian_Happ|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "TOR @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Shaw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.455, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Vierling", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Vierling|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Vierling \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Amed Rosario", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Amed_Rosario|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Amed Rosario \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T17:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Miguel_Amaya|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Amaya", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8733, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-20", "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:32", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Miguel Amaya \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ COL", "market": "OVER_10.5", "prob": 0.6012, "raw_prob": 0.8323, "edge_pct": 14.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___COL|OVER_10_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 3 @ COL 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "PIT @ COL: final 3-4 (total 7) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T10:08:07" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.593, "raw_prob": 0.7075, "edge_pct": 13.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___LAD|OVER_8_0|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 5 @ LAD 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "BAL @ LAD: final 5-6 (total 11) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T10:08:07" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T10:08:07" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_plus_hit|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Sweden @ Netherlands", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -336, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "Sweden @ Netherlands", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Sweden___Netherlands|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2976, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sweden 1-5 Netherlands", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "brian brobbey", "brian brobbey", "cody gakpo", "cody gakpo", "anthony elanga", "crysencio summerville" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Sweden 1-5 Netherlands: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_9|WNBA|CHI___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_9|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 92 @ DAL 93", "team_total": 93, "line": 77.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ DAL: home scored 93 (line 77.9, bet over) on 2026-06-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "satou sabally", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.681, "fair_american": -213, "p_predicted": 0.681, "matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|satou_sabally|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6648, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "satou sabally \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "satou sabally", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|satou_sabally|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4082, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6605, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "satou sabally \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Taylor Fritz", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Taylor Fritz", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Frances_Tiafoe_vs_Taylor_Fritz|ML_PLAYER2|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "match": "Frances Tiafoe vs Taylor Fritz", "winner": "Frances Tiafoe", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 20, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Frances Tiafoe won 2-0 (20 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T15:59:25" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Taylor Fritz", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Taylor Fritz", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19_5|TENNIS|Frances_Tiafoe_vs_Taylor_Fritz|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Frances Tiafoe vs Taylor Fritz", "winner": "Frances Tiafoe", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 20, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "verify": "Frances Tiafoe won 2-0 (20 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T15:59:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Caratini|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.252, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.316, "fair_american": 216, "p_predicted": 0.316, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.218, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2173, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2095, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Troy_Johnston|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Naylor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2043, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.588, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Altuve|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_P__Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Matthews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Matthews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Matthews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T16:30:33" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.1, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alec_Bohm|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Byron_Buxton|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kody_Clemens|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T22:48:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jac_Caglianone|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7163, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-29", "recorded_at": "2026-05-29T12:56:32", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:06", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7163 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8387, "edge_pct": 45.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-29", "recorded_at": "2026-05-29T22:05:57", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:06", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.816 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Vinnie_Pasquantino|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8386, "edge_pct": 45.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-29", "recorded_at": "2026-05-29T22:05:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:06", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.816 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brandon_Lowe|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8385, "edge_pct": 45.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-29", "recorded_at": "2026-05-29T22:05:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:06", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9539 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kyle_Stowers|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8379, "edge_pct": 45.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-29", "recorded_at": "2026-05-29T22:05:57", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:06", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8155 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Matt_McLain|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8713, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-20", "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:08:14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T23:08:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8317 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8684, "raw_prob": 0.9131, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Taylor_Ward|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:08:33", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mark Vientos", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Mark_Vientos|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4084, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mark Vientos \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edouard Julien", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Edouard_Julien|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4108, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Edouard Julien \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4177, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4223, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Steven_Kwan|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Meyers", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jake_Meyers|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jake Meyers \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Troy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tommy_Troy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tommy Troy \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Schauffele", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Xander_Schauffele|TOP_5|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Xander Schauffele finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Collin Morikawa", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Collin_Morikawa|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Collin Morikawa finished T17 (3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Emiliano Grillo", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.497, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.497, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Emiliano_Grillo|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.5106, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T23", "to_par": 5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Emiliano Grillo finished T23 (5) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_10|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2816, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.702, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4751, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.669, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pavin Smith", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Pavin_Smith|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pavin Smith \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.661, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.484, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.484, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.632, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.468, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.468, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4335, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.626, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4272, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.602, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Short", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Short|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Short \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.601, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.598, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3745, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.571, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mitch Garver", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Mitch_Garver|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3618, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mitch Garver \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Joe", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Connor_Joe|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Joe \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.553, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cal Raleigh", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.425, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.425, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Cal_Raleigh|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.36, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cal Raleigh \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.21, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1849, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 255, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1614, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.274, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.274, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1542, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 284, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 340, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.219, "fair_american": 357, "p_predicted": 0.219, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 361, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.211, "fair_american": 374, "p_predicted": 0.211, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 386, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.86, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 385, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 388, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Victor_Caratini|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.196, "fair_american": 409, "p_predicted": 0.196, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1436, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 424, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1408, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.189, "fair_american": 429, "p_predicted": 0.189, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1397, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 455, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Naylor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 479, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.79, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1328, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 496, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mark Vientos", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 497, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mark_Vientos|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.97, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mark Vientos \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 543, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1155, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sterlin Thompson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 585, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sterlin_Thompson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sterlin Thompson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.145, "fair_american": 590, "p_predicted": 0.145, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mitch Garver", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 593, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mitch_Garver|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mitch Garver \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 602, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 6.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vaughn Grissom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vaughn_Grissom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vaughn Grissom \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.78, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dalton Rushing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dalton_Rushing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dalton Rushing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jonah_Heim|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Troy_Johnston|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:38:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8723, "raw_prob": 0.9175, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|J_T__Realmuto|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.8485, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8718, "raw_prob": 0.9169, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Henry_Bolte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.8401, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8684, "raw_prob": 0.9131, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Taylor_Ward|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ COL", "market": "OVER_10.5", "prob": 0.599, "raw_prob": 0.8232, "edge_pct": 14.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___COL|OVER_10_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 8 @ COL 6", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "PIT @ COL: final 8-6 (total 14) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T12:22:37", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5595, "raw_prob": 0.6155, "edge_pct": 13.6, "fair_american": 103, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___ARI|ML_AWAY|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.03, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.5377, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 4 @ ARI 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "MIN @ ARI: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T12:22:37" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.593, "raw_prob": 0.7075, "edge_pct": 13.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___LAD|OVER_8_0|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 12 @ LAD 1", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "BAL @ LAD: final 12-1 (total 13) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T12:22:37", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_plus_hit|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8719, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.8418, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8716, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Hao_Yu_Lee|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.8368, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Millas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8733, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Millas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Millas \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edouard Julien", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Edouard_Julien|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4108, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Edouard Julien \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4177, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4223, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T17:48:03" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Steven_Kwan|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Troy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tommy_Troy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tommy Troy \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.702, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4751, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-23T17:48:03", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.669, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pavin Smith", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Pavin_Smith|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pavin Smith \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.661, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.484, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.484, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.632, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.468, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.468, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4335, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.626, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4272, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.601, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.21, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.598, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.22, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.22, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3745, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.553, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cal Raleigh", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.425, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.425, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Cal_Raleigh|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cal Raleigh \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.99, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1849, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 255, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1614, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.274, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.274, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1542, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 284, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T17:48:03" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.18, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 340, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.219, "fair_american": 357, "p_predicted": 0.219, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 361, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.211, "fair_american": 374, "p_predicted": 0.211, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 386, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 385, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.196, "fair_american": 409, "p_predicted": 0.196, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1436, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 424, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1408, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.189, "fair_american": 429, "p_predicted": 0.189, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1397, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 455, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Naylor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 479, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1328, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 496, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 543, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1155, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sterlin Thompson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 585, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sterlin_Thompson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sterlin Thompson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.145, "fair_american": 590, "p_predicted": 0.145, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 602, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.54, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.568, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.433, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.433, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3027, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.555, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.527, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.41, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.41, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2948, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.527, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Altuve|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.462, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vaughn Grissom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vaughn_Grissom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vaughn Grissom \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.78, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Naylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dalton Rushing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dalton_Rushing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dalton Rushing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_P__Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sterlin Thompson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sterlin_Thompson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sterlin Thompson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2756, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.404, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.01, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.401, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "BOS @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Emerson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T17:48:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "BAL @ LAD", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willi_Castro|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.99, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kody_Clemens|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alec_Bohm|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jonah_Heim|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T00:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44" }, { "source": "wc_model_away_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Netherlands @ Tunisia", "market": "AWAY_ML", "prob": 0.5325, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.5325, "matchup": "Netherlands @ Tunisia", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "wc_model_away_ml|WORLDCUP|Netherlands___Tunisia|AWAY_ML|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T05:21:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5325, "outcome": { "final_score": "Netherlands 3-1 Tunisia", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "brian brobbey", "hazem mastouri", "jan paul van hecke" ], "market": "AWAY_ML", "verify": "Netherlands 3-1 Tunisia: away won \u2014 AWAY_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ COL", "market": "OVER_12.0", "prob": 0.6182, "raw_prob": 0.8998, "edge_pct": 18.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___COL|OVER_12_0|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5406, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 8 @ COL 6", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "PIT @ COL: final 8-6 (total 14) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T17:57:06", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kyle_Isbel|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Isbel", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8391, "edge_pct": 45.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-29", "recorded_at": "2026-05-29T23:21:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:06", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8163 }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sahith Theegala", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Sahith_Theegala|TOP_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T09:07:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2734, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Sahith Theegala finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Burns", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Sam_Burns|TOP_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.24, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T09:07:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2693, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Sam Burns finished T2 (-3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keith Mitchell", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Keith_Mitchell|TOP_10|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7143, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T09:07:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Keith Mitchell finished T4 (0) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Schauffele", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.485, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.485, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Xander_Schauffele|TOP_10|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T09:07:14", "p_calibrated": 0.4447, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Xander Schauffele finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Netherlands @ Tunisia", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "Netherlands @ Tunisia", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|Netherlands___Tunisia|OVER_2_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T10:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "Netherlands 3-1 Tunisia", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "brian brobbey", "hazem mastouri", "jan paul van hecke" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "Netherlands 3-1 Tunisia: 4 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Sweden @ Japan", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5402, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.5402, "matchup": "Sweden @ Japan", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Sweden___Japan|HOME_ML|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T10:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6552, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sweden 1-1 Japan", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "daizen maeda", "anthony elanga" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Sweden 1-1 Japan: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8721, "raw_prob": 0.9173, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47", "p_calibrated": 0.8451, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6173, "raw_prob": 0.7683, "edge_pct": 17.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___NYY|OVER_8_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5343, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 4 @ NYY 1", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "CIN @ NYY: final 4-1 (total 5) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6171, "raw_prob": 0.7676, "edge_pct": 17.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___ATL|OVER_8_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5329, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 9 @ ATL 4", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "MIL @ ATL: final 9-4 (total 13) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Japan @ Tunisia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Japan @ Tunisia", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Japan___Tunisia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T12:22:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Japan 4-0 Tunisia", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "daichi kamada", "ayase ueda", "junya ito", "ayase ueda" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Japan 4-0 Tunisia: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Saudi Arabia @ Spain", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Saudi Arabia @ Spain", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Saudi_Arabia___Spain|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T12:22:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Saudi Arabia 0-4 Spain", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "lamine yamal", "mikel oyarzabal", "mikel oyarzabal" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Saudi Arabia 0-4 Spain: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iran @ Belgium", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Iran @ Belgium", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Iran___Belgium|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T12:22:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iran 0-0 Belgium", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Iran 0-0 Belgium: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cape Verde @ Uruguay", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Cape Verde @ Uruguay", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Cape_Verde___Uruguay|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T12:22:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cape Verde 2-2 Uruguay", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kevin pina", "maxi ara\u00fajo", "agust\u00edn canobbio", "h\u00e9lio varela" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Cape Verde 2-2 Uruguay: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Egypt @ New Zealand", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Egypt @ New Zealand", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Egypt___New_Zealand|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T12:22:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Egypt 3-1 New Zealand", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "finn surman", "mostafa zico", "mohamed salah", "tr\u00e9z\u00e9guet" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Egypt 3-1 New Zealand: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Colby Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.873, "raw_prob": 0.9183, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Colby_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T15:59:24", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colby Thomas \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.5969, "raw_prob": 0.7223, "edge_pct": 14.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___NYY|OVER_9_0|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T15:59:24", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 4 @ NYY 1", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "CIN @ NYY: final 4-1 (total 5) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ DET", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5729, "raw_prob": 0.6239, "edge_pct": 14.0, "fair_american": -101, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___DET|ML_AWAY|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T15:59:24", "p_calibrated": 0.5399, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 4 @ DET 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "CHW @ DET: final 4-5 (total 9) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.5953, "raw_prob": 0.7179, "edge_pct": 13.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___ATL|OVER_9_0|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T15:59:24", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 9 @ ATL 4", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "MIL @ ATL: final 9-4 (total 13) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T15:59:24", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T15:59:24", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T15:59:24", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_plus_hit|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_plus_hit|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2542, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2536, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.349, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.349, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2525, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.588, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "SDP @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.539, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.42, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.43, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eli White", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eli_White|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eli White \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "PIT @ COL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.421, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.421, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ KCR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "CIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Caballero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.391, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "SDP @ TEX", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Chapman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "CLE @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7194, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "WSN @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|James_Wood|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "MIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "SFG @ MIA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "MIL @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T17:23:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kyle_Isbel|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Isbel", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8391, "edge_pct": 45.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T21:17:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8163 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8387, "edge_pct": 45.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T21:17:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.816 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Vinnie_Pasquantino|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8386, "edge_pct": 45.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T21:17:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.816 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brandon_Lowe|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8385, "edge_pct": 45.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T06:58:05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T21:17:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9539 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.5663, "raw_prob": 0.6083, "edge_pct": 8.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___PHI|UNDER_8_0|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 2 @ PHI 6", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "NYM @ PHI: final 2-6 (total 8) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Joaqu\u00edn Niemann", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Joaqu_n_Niemann|TOP_20|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6993, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Joaqu\u00edn Niemann finished T7 (1) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Saudi Arabia @ Spain", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Saudi Arabia @ Spain", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Saudi_Arabia___Spain|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Saudi Arabia 0-4 Spain", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "lamine yamal", "mikel oyarzabal", "mikel oyarzabal" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Saudi Arabia 0-4 Spain: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ LV", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_1|WNBA|GOL___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_1|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 73 @ LV 92", "team_total": 92, "line": 78.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ LV: home scored 92 (line 78.1, bet over) on 2026-06-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ MIN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_7|WNBA|WAS___MIN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_7|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 84 @ MIN 79", "team_total": 79, "line": 78.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ MIN: home scored 79 (line 78.7, bet over) on 2026-06-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ LA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71_6|WNBA|NY___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71_6|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 97 @ LA 98", "team_total": 98, "line": 71.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ LA: home scored 98 (line 71.6, bet over) on 2026-06-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_2.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jewell loyd", "market": "AST_UNDER_2.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GSV @ LV", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_2_0|WNBA|jewell_loyd|AST_UNDER_2_0|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.651, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 1, "line": 2.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jewell loyd \u2014 ast = 1 (line 2.0, bet under) on 2026-06-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "chelsea gray", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "GOL @ LVA", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|chelsea_gray|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6605, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chelsea gray \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kayla mcbride", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "WAS @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|kayla_mcbride|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5263, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6613, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kayla mcbride \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kennedy burke", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "NYL @ LAS", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|kennedy_burke|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4274, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6675, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kennedy burke \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -238, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "NYL @ LAS", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4202, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6596, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.21, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2154, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 7, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 tb = 7 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.232, "fair_american": 331, "p_predicted": 0.232, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|A_J__Ewing|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.23, "fair_american": 335, "p_predicted": 0.23, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.511, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bo_Bichette|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Juan_Soto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.856, "raw_prob": 0.8989, "edge_pct": 48.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|A_J__Ewing|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.8263, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brett_Baty|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Poston", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|J_T__Poston|TOP_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2717, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "J.T. Poston finished T4 (0) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keith Mitchell", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.319, "fair_american": 213, "p_predicted": 0.319, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Keith_Mitchell|TOP_5|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.13, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2708, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Keith Mitchell finished T4 (0) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Joaqu\u00edn Niemann", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Joaqu_n_Niemann|TOP_10|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.535, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Joaqu\u00edn Niemann finished T7 (1) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrrell Hatton", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tyrrell_Hatton|TOP_10|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5274, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tyrrell Hatton finished T7 (1) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Aaron Rai", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -214, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Aaron_Rai|TOP_20|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4673, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Aaron Rai finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "John Parry", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|John_Parry|TOP_20|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "John Parry finished T11 (2) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Collin Morikawa", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "U.S. Open", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Collin_Morikawa|TOP_20|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5307, "outcome": { "tournament": "U.S. Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Collin Morikawa finished T17 (3) at U.S. Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.171, "fair_american": 485, "p_predicted": 0.171, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1321, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.159, "fair_american": 529, "p_predicted": 0.159, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jared_Young|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1205, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:47:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T12:31:21" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Derek Hill", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8631, "raw_prob": 0.907, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Derek_Hill|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Derek Hill \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Matthews", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8736, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brice_Matthews|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brice Matthews \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T16:30:33" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8713, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Matt_McLain|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.8317, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8737, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Crooks", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8727, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jimmy_Crooks|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jimmy Crooks \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|George_Springer|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.645, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.475, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.475, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.4423, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.3997, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 329, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.29, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.203, "fair_american": 392, "p_predicted": 0.203, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.1475, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.171, "fair_american": 485, "p_predicted": 0.171, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.1321, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.302, "fair_american": 231, "p_predicted": 0.302, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2088, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 280, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.1991, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.533, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.413, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.413, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2954, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.466, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.458, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.99, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alec_Bohm|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T00:22:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wc_model_away_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Belgium @ New Zealand", "market": "AWAY_ML", "prob": 0.5457, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.5457, "matchup": "Belgium @ New Zealand", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "wc_model_away_ml|WORLDCUP|Belgium___New_Zealand|AWAY_ML|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T05:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5457, "outcome": { "final_score": "Belgium 5-1 New Zealand", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "leandro trossard", "leandro trossard", "kevin de bruyne", "elijah just", "romelu lukaku", "alexis saelemaekers" ], "market": "AWAY_ML", "verify": "Belgium 5-1 New Zealand: away won \u2014 AWAY_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T07:40:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.594, "raw_prob": 0.7178, "edge_pct": 21.2, "fair_american": 104, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___TOR|ML_AWAY|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.5434, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 2 @ TOR 4", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "HOU @ TOR: final 2-4 (total 6) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.8127, "edge_pct": 55.15, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|LAD___MIN|OVER_9_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 2 @ MIN 1", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "LAD @ MIN: final 2-1 (total 3) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Egypt @ New Zealand", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Egypt @ New Zealand", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Egypt___New_Zealand|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T11:21:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Egypt 3-1 New Zealand", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "finn surman", "mostafa zico", "mohamed salah", "tr\u00e9z\u00e9guet" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Egypt 3-1 New Zealand: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T23:24:30" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6044, "raw_prob": 0.7515, "edge_pct": 15.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___CIN|OVER_9_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4802, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 2 @ CIN 1", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "MIL @ CIN: final 2-1 (total 3) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ MIA", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.84, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|TEX___MIA|UNDER_8_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 4 @ MIA 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "TEX @ MIA: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Julius Walker vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "Julius Walker vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Julius_Walker_vs_Abdul_Rakhman_Yakhyaev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.32, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Julius Walker vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev", "winner": "Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ikram Aliskerov vs Brunno Ferreira", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "Ikram Aliskerov vs Brunno Ferreira", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ikram_Aliskerov_vs_Brunno_Ferreira|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Ikram Aliskerov vs Brunno Ferreira", "winner": "Ikram Aliskerov", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ikram Aliskerov def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Michel Pereira vs Shara Magomedov", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "Michel Pereira vs Shara Magomedov", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Michel_Pereira_vs_Shara_Magomedov|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.97, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov", "winner": "Murtazali Magomedov", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Murtazali Magomedov def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T08:20:02" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Nursulton Ruziboev vs Andrey Pulyaev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.248, "fair_american": 304, "p_predicted": 0.248, "matchup": "Nursulton Ruziboev vs Andrey Pulyaev", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Nursulton_Ruziboev_vs_Andrey_Pulyaev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.04, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Nursulton Ruziboev vs Andrey Pulyaev", "winner": "Nursulton Ruziboev", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Nursulton Ruziboev def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.248, "fair_american": 304, "p_predicted": 0.248, "matchup": "Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Abus_Magomedov_vs_Michal_Oleksiejczuk|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.04, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov", "winner": "Murtazali Magomedov", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Murtazali Magomedov def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T08:20:02" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Nolan vs Farman Hasanov", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.213, "fair_american": 369, "p_predicted": 0.213, "matchup": "Eric Nolan vs Farman Hasanov", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Eric_Nolan_vs_Farman_Hasanov|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3392, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Eric Nolan vs Farman Hasanov", "winner": "Farman Hasanov", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Farman Hasanov def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Theodor Berggren vs Daniil Donchenko", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 372, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "Theodor Berggren vs Daniil Donchenko", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Theodor_Berggren_vs_Daniil_Donchenko|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3374, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Theodor Berggren vs Daniil Donchenko", "winner": "Daniil Donchenko", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Daniil Donchenko def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 412, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Rafael_Fiziev_vs_Manuel_Torres|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres", "winner": "Rafael Fiziev", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Rafael Fiziev def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 414, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Nazim_Sadykhov_vs_Matheus_Camilo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.14, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Christian Rodriguez vs Hyder Amil", "winner": "Christian Rodriguez", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Christian Rodriguez def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T08:20:02" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iraq @ France", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Iraq @ France", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Iraq___France|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iraq 0-3 France", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Iraq 0-3 France: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T08:20:02" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Senegal @ Norway", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Senegal @ Norway", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Senegal___Norway|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Senegal 2-3 Norway", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "marcus holmgren pedersen", "erling haaland", "isma\u00efla sarr", "erling haaland", "isma\u00efla sarr" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Senegal 2-3 Norway: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T08:20:02" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Austria @ Argentina", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Austria @ Argentina", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Austria___Argentina|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austria 0-2 Argentina", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "lionel messi", "lionel messi" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Austria 0-2 Argentina: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T08:20:02" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iraq @ France", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "Iraq @ France", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Iraq___France|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6601, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iraq 0-3 France", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Iraq 0-3 France: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T08:20:02" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Senegal @ Norway", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "Senegal @ Norway", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Senegal___Norway|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3717, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6601, "outcome": { "final_score": "Senegal 2-3 Norway", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "marcus holmgren pedersen", "erling haaland", "isma\u00efla sarr", "erling haaland", "isma\u00efla sarr" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Senegal 2-3 Norway: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T08:20:02" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Algeria @ Jordan", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Algeria @ Jordan", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Algeria___Jordan|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Algeria 2-1 Jordan", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "nizar al-rashdan", "nadhir benbouali", "amine gouiri" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Algeria 2-1 Jordan: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T10:06:35" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "NYY @ DET", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_plus_hit|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:29:36", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "NYY @ DET", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:29:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "NYY @ DET", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:29:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2069, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "NYY @ DET", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:29:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2025, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "NYY @ DET", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.24, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:29:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.514, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "NYY @ DET", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:29:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "NYY @ DET", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:29:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "NYY @ DET", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:29:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6981, "raw_prob": 0.8297, "edge_pct": 16.7, "fair_american": -149, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___MIN|ML_AWAY|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:24:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5608, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 2 @ MIN 1", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "LAD @ MIN: final 2-1 (total 3) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ STL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.5939, "raw_prob": 0.6724, "edge_pct": 13.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___STL|OVER_8_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:24:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 2 @ STL 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "ARI @ STL: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Byron_Buxton|1_plus_hit|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_plus_hit|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ CONN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_1|WNBA|CHI___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_1|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 63 @ CON 92", "team_total": 92, "line": 79.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ CON: home scored 92 (line 79.1, bet over) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TOR @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_4|WNBA|TOR___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_4|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 87 @ ATL 94", "team_total": 94, "line": 79.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "TOR @ ATL: home scored 94 (line 79.4, bet over) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ IND", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_8|WNBA|PHX___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_8|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 77 @ IND 86", "team_total": 86, "line": 79.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ IND: home scored 86 (line 79.8, bet over) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_5|WNBA|DAL___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 112 @ SEA 110", "team_total": 110, "line": 76.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ SEA: home scored 110 (line 76.5, bet over) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "TOR @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_2_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_OVER_2_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.624, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 5 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "marina mabrey", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "CHI @ CON", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|marina_mabrey|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5587, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6596, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marina mabrey \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "satou sabally", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "DAL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|satou_sabally|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3906, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6699, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "satou sabally \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T04:41:08" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "alyssa thomas", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "CHI @ CON", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_0|WNBA|alyssa_thomas|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_0|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4098, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6603, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alyssa thomas \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "CHI @ CON", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5291, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6519, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "brittney griner", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.659, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.659, "matchup": "TOR @ ATL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|brittney_griner|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6527, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brittney griner \u2014 blk_stl = 4 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.68, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.68, "matchup": "CHI @ CON", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|angel_reese|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4717, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6559, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nalyssa smith", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.644, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.644, "matchup": "PHX @ IND", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|nalyssa_smith|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5525, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6679, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "nalyssa smith \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T04:41:08" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2509, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T17:48:03" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2397, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2257, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.587, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.27, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.578, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rodolfo_Dur_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Ward|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Petey_Halpin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T17:48:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braxton Fulford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braxton_Fulford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braxton Fulford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.455, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.439, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dalton Rushing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dalton_Rushing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dalton Rushing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T17:48:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Fry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|David_Fry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "David Fry \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willi_Castro|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T23:46:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8743, "raw_prob": 0.9194, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|George_Springer|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8733, "raw_prob": 0.9182, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8727, "raw_prob": 0.9175, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8714, "raw_prob": 0.9161, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.8334, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6981, "raw_prob": 0.8297, "edge_pct": 16.7, "fair_american": -149, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___MIN|ML_AWAY|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.5608, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 12 @ MIN 3", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "LAD @ MIN: final 12-3 (total 15) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.582, "raw_prob": 0.6902, "edge_pct": 16.4, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___SDP|ML_AWAY|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.5414, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 0 @ SD 1", "total_runs": 1, "verify": "ATL @ SD: final 0-1 (total 1) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T12:49:37" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ STL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.5939, "raw_prob": 0.6724, "edge_pct": 13.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___STL|OVER_8_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 4 @ STL 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ARI @ STL: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Byron_Buxton|1_plus_hit|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8671, "edge_pct": 50.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Derek Hill", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8634, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Derek_Hill|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Derek Hill \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8616, "edge_pct": 49.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|J_T__Realmuto|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8576, "edge_pct": 48.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Marcus_Semien|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2257, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.587, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rodolfo_Dur_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Petey_Halpin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.439, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Fry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|David_Fry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "David Fry \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willi_Castro|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T00:20:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "wc_model_away_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Argentina @ Jordan", "market": "AWAY_ML", "prob": 0.6382, "fair_american": -176, "p_predicted": 0.6382, "matchup": "Argentina @ Jordan", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wc_model_away_ml|WORLDCUP|Argentina___Jordan|AWAY_ML|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5682, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16", "p_calibrated": 0.6382, "outcome": { "final_score": "Argentina 3-1 Jordan", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "giovani lo celso", "lautaro mart\u00ednez", "mousa al-tamari", "lionel messi" ], "market": "AWAY_ML", "verify": "Argentina 3-1 Jordan: away won \u2014 AWAY_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Argentina @ Jordan", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.5652, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.5652, "matchup": "Argentina @ Jordan", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|Argentina___Jordan|OVER_2_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "Argentina 3-1 Jordan", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "giovani lo celso", "lautaro mart\u00ednez", "mousa al-tamari", "lionel messi" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "Argentina 3-1 Jordan: 4 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "wc_model_away_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "England @ Panama", "market": "AWAY_ML", "prob": 0.6275, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.6275, "matchup": "England @ Panama", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wc_model_away_ml|WORLDCUP|England___Panama|AWAY_ML|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5952, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16", "p_calibrated": 0.6275, "outcome": { "final_score": "England 2-0 Panama", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "jude bellingham", "harry kane" ], "market": "AWAY_ML", "verify": "England 2-0 Panama: away won \u2014 AWAY_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "England @ Panama", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "England @ Panama", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|England___Panama|OVER_2_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T04:33:16", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "England 2-0 Panama", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "jude bellingham", "harry kane" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "England 2-0 Panama: 2 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5811, "raw_prob": 0.7821, "edge_pct": 16.2, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___NYM|ML_AWAY|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5413, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 9 @ NYM 6", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "CHC @ NYM: final 9-6 (total 15) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.8568, "edge_pct": 63.57, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|BAL___LAA|OVER_9_0|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 6 @ LAA 1", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "BAL @ LAA: final 6-1 (total 7) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T23:52:23" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Portugal", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Portugal", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Uzbekistan___Portugal|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T12:49:37", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Uzbekistan 0-5 Portugal", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "cristiano ronaldo", "nuno mendes", "cristiano ronaldo", "rafael le\u00e3o" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Uzbekistan 0-5 Portugal: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Congo DR @ Colombia", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Congo DR @ Colombia", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Congo_DR___Colombia|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T12:49:37", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Congo DR 0-1 Colombia", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "daniel mu\u00f1oz" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Congo DR 0-1 Colombia: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T04:41:08" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Portugal", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -345, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Portugal", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Uzbekistan___Portugal|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T12:49:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Uzbekistan 0-5 Portugal", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "cristiano ronaldo", "nuno mendes", "cristiano ronaldo", "rafael le\u00e3o" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Uzbekistan 0-5 Portugal: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ghana @ England", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Ghana @ England", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Ghana___England|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T12:49:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ghana 0-0 England", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Ghana 0-0 England: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Croatia @ Panama", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Croatia @ Panama", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Croatia___Panama|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T12:49:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Croatia 1-0 Panama", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "ante budimir" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Croatia 1-0 Panama: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T04:41:08" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Congo DR @ Colombia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "Congo DR @ Colombia", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Congo_DR___Colombia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T12:49:37", "p_calibrated": 0.6288, "outcome": { "final_score": "Congo DR 0-1 Colombia", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "daniel mu\u00f1oz" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Congo DR 0-1 Colombia: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T04:41:08" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Iga Swiatek", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Iga Swiatek", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Emma_Navarro_vs_Iga_Swiatek|ML_PLAYER2|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T12:49:37", "p_calibrated": 0.727, "outcome": { "match": "Emma Navarro vs Iga Swiatek", "winner": "Emma Navarro", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 29, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Emma Navarro won 2-1 (29 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_14.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Iga Swiatek", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_14.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Iga Swiatek", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_14_5|TENNIS|Emma_Navarro_vs_Iga_Swiatek|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_14_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T12:49:37", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Emma Navarro vs Iga Swiatek", "winner": "Emma Navarro", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 29, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_14.5", "verify": "Emma Navarro won 2-1 (29 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_14.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5998, "raw_prob": 0.672, "edge_pct": 14.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___SDP|UNDER_8_5|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T17:48:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 0 @ SD 1", "total_runs": 1, "verify": "ATL @ SD: final 0-1 (total 1) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T06:31:49" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tahir Abdullayev vs Jefferson Nascimento", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.219, "fair_american": 357, "p_predicted": 0.219, "matchup": "Tahir Abdullayev vs Jefferson Nascimento", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tahir_Abdullayev_vs_Jefferson_Nascimento|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T17:48:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3505, "outcome": { "fight": "Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo", "winner": "Mitch Raposo", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Mitch Raposo def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T06:31:49" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:09:52", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_plus_hit|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_plus_hit|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_plus_hit|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ LV", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_6|WNBA|NY___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_6|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 87 @ LV 76", "team_total": 76, "line": 77.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ LV: home scored 76 (line 77.6, bet over) on 2026-06-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nelson_Vel_zquez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.29, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.3039, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.558, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Shaw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blake_Perkins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.485, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.475, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nelson_Vel_zquez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vaughn Grissom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vaughn_Grissom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vaughn Grissom \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.391, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Caratini|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|William_Contreras|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samad Taylor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Samad_Taylor|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samad Taylor \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Blake_Perkins|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T23:33:04", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8744, "raw_prob": 0.919, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8741, "raw_prob": 0.9187, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|George_Springer|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "raw_prob": 0.9186, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Matt_McLain|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Loperfido", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8736, "raw_prob": 0.9182, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Joey_Loperfido|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joey Loperfido \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8736, "raw_prob": 0.9182, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6378, "raw_prob": 0.7821, "edge_pct": 19.2, "fair_american": -115, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___NYM|ML_AWAY|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 10 @ NYM 3", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "CHC @ NYM: final 10-3 (total 13) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6041, "raw_prob": 0.6684, "edge_pct": 15.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___SDP|ML_AWAY|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5451, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 6 @ SD 7", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "ATL @ SD: final 6-7 (total 13) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_plus_hit|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_plus_hit|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8727, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nelson_Vel_zquez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3039, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.558, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Shaw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blake_Perkins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.485, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.475, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nelson_Vel_zquez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nelson Vel\u00e1zquez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vaughn Grissom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BAL @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vaughn_Grissom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vaughn Grissom \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Chapman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Petey_Halpin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.391, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6803, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Caratini|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|William_Contreras|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samad Taylor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Samad_Taylor|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samad Taylor \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Blake_Perkins|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.544, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.544, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T02:40:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Michael_Harris_II|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.8427, "edge_pct": 46.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T11:38:05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T07:55:58", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8427 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Elly_De_La_Cruz|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8418, "edge_pct": 46.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T11:38:05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T07:55:58", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 4.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-30", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.9548 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nick_Fortes|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8417, "edge_pct": 46.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T11:38:05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T21:17:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8178 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jonathan_Aranda|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8438, "edge_pct": 46.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T21:17:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T21:17:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9554 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|William_Contreras|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8438, "edge_pct": 46.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T21:17:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-30T21:17:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9554 }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Austria @ Algeria", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5181, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.5181, "matchup": "Austria @ Algeria", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Austria___Algeria|HOME_ML|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T04:41:08", "p_calibrated": 0.6493, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austria 3-3 Algeria", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "marko arnautovic", "rafik belghali", "marcel sabitzer", "riyad mahrez", "riyad mahrez", "sasa kalajdzic" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Austria 3-3 Algeria: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ghana @ Croatia", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5623, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.5623, "matchup": "Ghana @ Croatia", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Ghana___Croatia|HOME_ML|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T04:41:08", "p_calibrated": 0.6611, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ghana 1-2 Croatia", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "petar sucic", "derrick luckassen", "nikola vlasic" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Ghana 1-2 Croatia: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.7174, "edge_pct": 36.96, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|HOU___TOR|OVER_8_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 3 @ TOR 1", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "HOU @ TOR: final 3-1 (total 4) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Mexico @ Czechia", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.621, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.621, "matchup": "Mexico @ Czechia", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|WORLDCUP|Mexico___Czechia|BTTS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T12:31:15", "p_calibrated": 0.5754, "outcome": { "final_score": "Mexico 3-0 Czechia", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "mateo ch\u00e1vez", "juli\u00e1n qui\u00f1ones", "\u00e1lvaro fidalgo" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Mexico 3-0 Czechia: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "South Korea @ South Africa", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.621, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.621, "matchup": "South Korea @ South Africa", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|WORLDCUP|South_Korea___South_Africa|BTTS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T12:31:15", "p_calibrated": 0.5754, "outcome": { "final_score": "South Korea 0-1 South Africa", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "thapelo maseko" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "South Korea 0-1 South Africa: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Brazil @ Scotland", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Brazil @ Scotland", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Brazil___Scotland|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T12:31:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brazil 3-0 Scotland", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior", "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior", "matheus cunha" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Brazil 3-0 Scotland: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Mexico @ Czechia", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Mexico @ Czechia", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Mexico___Czechia|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T12:31:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Mexico 3-0 Czechia", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "mateo ch\u00e1vez", "juli\u00e1n qui\u00f1ones", "\u00e1lvaro fidalgo" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Mexico 3-0 Czechia: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "South Korea @ South Africa", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "South Korea @ South Africa", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|South_Korea___South_Africa|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T12:31:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "South Korea 0-1 South Africa", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "thapelo maseko" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "South Korea 0-1 South Africa: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Qatar @ Bosnia-Herzegovina", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Qatar @ Bosnia-Herzegovina", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Qatar___Bosnia_Herzegovina|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T12:31:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Qatar 1-3 Bosnia-Herzegovina", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kerim alajbegovic", "hassan al-haydos", "ermin mahmic" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Qatar 1-3 Bosnia-Herzegovina: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Canada @ Switzerland", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Canada @ Switzerland", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Canada___Switzerland|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T12:31:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Canada 1-2 Switzerland", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "rub\u00e9n vargas", "johan manzambi", "promise david" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Canada 1-2 Switzerland: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Haiti @ Morocco", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Haiti @ Morocco", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Haiti___Morocco|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T12:31:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Haiti 2-4 Morocco", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "achraf hakimi", "wilson isidor", "ismael saibari", "soufiane rahimi", "gessime yassine" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Haiti 2-4 Morocco: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Brazil @ Scotland", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "Brazil @ Scotland", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Brazil___Scotland|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3597, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T12:31:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7042, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brazil 3-0 Scotland", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior", "vin\u00edcius j\u00fanior", "matheus cunha" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Brazil 3-0 Scotland: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8728, "raw_prob": 0.9172, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6196, "raw_prob": 0.7638, "edge_pct": 18.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___SDP|UNDER_8_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:28:02", "p_calibrated": 0.6146, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 6 @ SD 7", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "ATL @ SD: final 6-7 (total 13) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2509, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.241, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2141, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.23, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2141, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.291, "fair_american": 244, "p_predicted": 0.291, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Freeman \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.278, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.278, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.6, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|A_J__Ewing|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.94, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1913, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Karros|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1879, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.23, "fair_american": 335, "p_predicted": 0.23, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.455, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braxton Fulford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braxton_Fulford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braxton Fulford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Fry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|David_Fry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "David Fry \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.1, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "BOS @ COL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bo_Bichette|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:35:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Casey_Schmitt|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-30", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8471, "edge_pct": 47.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-30", "recorded_at": "2026-05-30T22:59:15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T07:55:58", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9563 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jonah_Heim|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8491, "edge_pct": 47.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T07:55:58", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8222 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6431, "raw_prob": 0.7561, "edge_pct": 13.8, "fair_american": -130, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___CIN|ML_AWAY|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7692, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:08:33", "p_calibrated": 0.5516, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 6 @ CIN 5", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "MIL @ CIN: final 6-5 (total 11) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:08:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Michael_Harris_II|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.8492, "edge_pct": 47.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T07:55:58", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T21:11:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8492 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Pedro_Ram_rez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Pedro Ram\u00edrez \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Qatar @ Bosnia-Herzegovina", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Qatar @ Bosnia-Herzegovina", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|WORLDCUP|Qatar___Bosnia_Herzegovina|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Qatar 1-3 Bosnia-Herzegovina", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kerim alajbegovic", "hassan al-haydos", "ermin mahmic" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Qatar 1-3 Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Canada @ Switzerland", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Canada @ Switzerland", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|WORLDCUP|Canada___Switzerland|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Canada 1-2 Switzerland", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "rub\u00e9n vargas", "johan manzambi", "promise david" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Canada 1-2 Switzerland: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Qatar @ Bosnia-Herzegovina", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Qatar @ Bosnia-Herzegovina", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Qatar___Bosnia_Herzegovina|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Qatar 1-3 Bosnia-Herzegovina", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kerim alajbegovic", "hassan al-haydos", "ermin mahmic" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Qatar 1-3 Bosnia-Herzegovina: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Canada @ Switzerland", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Canada @ Switzerland", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Canada___Switzerland|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Canada 1-2 Switzerland", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "rub\u00e9n vargas", "johan manzambi", "promise david" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Canada 1-2 Switzerland: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ IND", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_8|WNBA|PHX___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_8|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 111 @ IND 109", "team_total": 109, "line": 79.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ IND: home scored 109 (line 79.8, bet over) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_70.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_70.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_70_5|WNBA|MIN___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_70_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 78 @ WSH 76", "team_total": 76, "line": 70.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ WSH: home scored 76 (line 70.5, bet over) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_2|WNBA|POR___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_2|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 78 @ CHI 101", "team_total": 101, "line": 75.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ CHI: home scored 101 (line 75.2, bet over) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_1|WNBA|ATL___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_1|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 66 @ GS 77", "team_total": 77, "line": 77.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ GS: home scored 77 (line 77.1, bet over) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "PHX @ IND", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_0|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|3PM_UNDER_3_0|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6691, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 fg3m = 7 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kayla mcbride", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.658, "fair_american": -193, "p_predicted": 0.658, "matchup": "MIN @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|kayla_mcbride|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6617, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kayla mcbride \u2014 fg3m = 5 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kahleah copper", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.67, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.67, "matchup": "PHX @ IND", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|kahleah_copper|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6633, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kahleah copper \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "PHX @ IND", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.665, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.686, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.686, "matchup": "PHX @ IND", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6568, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Grigor Dimitrov", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Grigor Dimitrov", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Alejandro_Davidovich_Fokina_vs_Grigor_Di|ML_PLAYER2|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Grigor Dimitrov", "winner": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 18, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 2-0 (18 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Grigor Dimitrov", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Grigor Dimitrov", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19_5|TENNIS|Alejandro_Davidovich_Fokina_vs_Grigor_Di|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19_5|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3968, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Grigor Dimitrov", "winner": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 18, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "verify": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 2-0 (18 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.659, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.483, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.483, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4495, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 422, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.22, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 487, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 520, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.2, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 601, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 606, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daulton Varsho", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Daulton_Varsho|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daulton Varsho \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2536, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Ward", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Ward|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Ward \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "ARI @ STL", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Gim_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Schneider", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Davis_Schneider|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Davis Schneider \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T16:30:33" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eli White", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eli_White|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eli White \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 8, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 hrr = 8 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Shaw|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "LAD @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T23:37:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2415, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Elly_De_La_Cruz|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8485, "edge_pct": 47.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T07:55:58", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T21:11:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 4.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-05-31", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.9567 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Casey_Schmitt|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8478, "edge_pct": 47.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T07:55:58", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T21:11:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9565 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jeff_McNeil|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8476, "edge_pct": 47.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T07:55:58", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T21:11:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8213 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "raw_prob": 0.9192, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|George_Springer|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8744, "raw_prob": 0.919, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Nick_Fortes|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.873, "raw_prob": 0.9175, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ SDP", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6327, "raw_prob": 0.7594, "edge_pct": 16.0, "fair_american": -120, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___SDP|ML_AWAY|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.5499, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 2 @ SD 5", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ATL @ SD: final 2-5 (total 7) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T16:30:33" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8744, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Loperfido", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8736, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Joey_Loperfido|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joey Loperfido \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8736, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7407, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.659, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.483, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.483, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4495, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 422, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 487, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 520, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 601, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.78, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Gim_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Schneider", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Davis_Schneider|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Davis Schneider \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.05, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "OAK @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bo_Bichette|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "HOU @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T02:41:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Canada @ South Africa", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "Canada @ South Africa", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Canada___South_Africa|HOME_ML|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T04:37:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6463, "outcome": { "final_score": "Canada 1-0 South Africa", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "stephen eust\u00e1quio" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Canada 1-0 South Africa: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:31:57" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ NYM", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6005, "raw_prob": 0.8057, "edge_pct": 14.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___NYM|ML_AWAY|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:29", "p_calibrated": 0.5445, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 4 @ NYM 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CHC @ NYM: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T11:43:09" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ivory Coast @ Cura\u00e7ao", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.621, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.621, "matchup": "Ivory Coast @ Cura\u00e7ao", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|WORLDCUP|Ivory_Coast___Cura_ao|BTTS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5754, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ivory Coast 2-0 Cura\u00e7ao", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nicolas p\u00e9p\u00e9", "nicolas p\u00e9p\u00e9" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Ivory Coast 2-0 Cura\u00e7ao: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Germany @ Ecuador", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.621, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.621, "matchup": "Germany @ Ecuador", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|WORLDCUP|Germany___Ecuador|BTTS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6098, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5754, "outcome": { "final_score": "Germany 1-2 Ecuador", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "leroy san\u00e9", "nilson angulo", "gonzalo plata" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Germany 1-2 Ecuador: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ivory Coast @ Cura\u00e7ao", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Ivory Coast @ Cura\u00e7ao", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Ivory_Coast___Cura_ao|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ivory Coast 2-0 Cura\u00e7ao", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nicolas p\u00e9p\u00e9", "nicolas p\u00e9p\u00e9" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Ivory Coast 2-0 Cura\u00e7ao: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Germany @ Ecuador", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Germany @ Ecuador", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Germany___Ecuador|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Germany 1-2 Ecuador", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "leroy san\u00e9", "nilson angulo", "gonzalo plata" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Germany 1-2 Ecuador: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Sweden @ Japan", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Sweden @ Japan", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Sweden___Japan|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sweden 1-1 Japan", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "daizen maeda", "anthony elanga" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Sweden 1-1 Japan: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "United States @ T\u00fcrkiye", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "United States @ T\u00fcrkiye", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|United_States___T_rkiye|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "United States 2-3 T\u00fcrkiye", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "auston trusty", "arda g\u00fcler", "baris alper yilmaz", "sebastian berhalter", "kaan ayhan" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "United States 2-3 T\u00fcrkiye: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Sweden @ Japan", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -336, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "Sweden @ Japan", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Sweden___Japan|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2976, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sweden 1-1 Japan", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "daizen maeda", "anthony elanga" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Sweden 1-1 Japan: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Netherlands @ Tunisia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Netherlands @ Tunisia", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Netherlands___Tunisia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Netherlands 3-1 Tunisia", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "brian brobbey", "hazem mastouri", "jan paul van hecke" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Netherlands 3-1 Tunisia: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Australia @ Paraguay", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Australia @ Paraguay", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Australia___Paraguay|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Australia 0-0 Paraguay", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Australia 0-0 Paraguay: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "United States @ T\u00fcrkiye", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -345, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "United States @ T\u00fcrkiye", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|United_States___T_rkiye|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2899, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T12:34:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "United States 2-3 T\u00fcrkiye", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "auston trusty", "arda g\u00fcler", "baris alper yilmaz", "sebastian berhalter", "kaan ayhan" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "United States 2-3 T\u00fcrkiye: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6736, "raw_prob": 0.8672, "edge_pct": 13.2, "fair_american": -147, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___BOS|ML_AWAY|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:30:33", "p_calibrated": 0.5567, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 3 @ BOS 6", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "NYY @ BOS: final 3-6 (total 9) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T11:43:09" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:30:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Ugo Humbert vs Jack Draper", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Ugo Humbert vs Jack Draper", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21_5|TENNIS|Ugo_Humbert_vs_Jack_Draper|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21_5|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3968, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Ugo Humbert vs Jack Draper", "winner": "Ugo Humbert", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 21, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "verify": "Ugo Humbert won 2-0 (21 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T23:12:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Callihan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Callihan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1982, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Callihan \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan O'Hearn", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_O_Hearn|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1913, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan O'Hearn \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 327, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Naylor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Callihan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Callihan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Callihan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.429, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan O'Hearn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.349, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.349, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_O_Hearn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2887, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan O'Hearn \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "SEA @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Naylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.5264, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T62", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ben James finished T62 (-4) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Griffin", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.484, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.484, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ben_Griffin|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.06, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.4392, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ben Griffin finished T10 (-16) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Cantlay", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.461, "fair_american": 117, "p_predicted": 0.461, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Patrick_Cantlay|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.35, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Patrick Cantlay finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Harman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Brian_Harman|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3015, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T25", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Brian Harman finished T25 (-12) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.5, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2962, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T10 (-16) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2847, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T4 (-19) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Aaron Rai", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Aaron_Rai|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2807, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Aaron Rai finished T30 (-11) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Hoge", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tom_Hoge|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2728, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tom Hoge finished T38 (-10) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Hall", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Harry_Hall|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2713, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T51", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Harry Hall finished T51 (-7) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Taylor", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Nick_Taylor|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2711, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T25", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Nick Taylor finished T25 (-12) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kristoffer Reitan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kristoffer_Reitan|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2696, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kristoffer Reitan finished T22 (-13) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Echavarria", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Nico_Echavarria|TOP_10|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2695, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Nico Echavarria finished T30 (-11) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Schauffele", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Xander_Schauffele|TOP_20|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T51", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Xander Schauffele finished T51 (-7) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_20|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.5283, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Min Woo Lee", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Min_Woo_Lee|TOP_20|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.5269, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T62", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Min Woo Lee finished T62 (-4) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Russell Henley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.479, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.479, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Russell_Henley|TOP_20|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.09, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.4118, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Russell Henley finished T12 (-15) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tony Finau", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.481, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.481, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tony_Finau|TOP_20|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.4228, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T55", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tony Finau finished T55 (-6) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Shane Lowry", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Shane_Lowry|TOP_20|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3844, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Shane Lowry finished T22 (-13) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Germany @ Ecuador", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -350, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "Germany @ Ecuador", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Germany___Ecuador|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2857, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Germany 1-2 Ecuador", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "leroy san\u00e9", "nilson angulo", "gonzalo plata" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Germany 1-2 Ecuador: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_1|WNBA|LA___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_1|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 97 @ TOR 125", "team_total": 125, "line": 78.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ TOR: home scored 125 (line 78.1, bet over) on 2026-06-25" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ LV", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_4|WNBA|DAL___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_4|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 84 @ LV 99", "team_total": 99, "line": 81.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ LV: home scored 99 (line 81.4, bet over) on 2026-06-25" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-25", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_8|WNBA|NY___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_8|2026-06-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 88 @ SEA 99", "team_total": 99, "line": 73.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ SEA: home scored 99 (line 73.8, bet over) on 2026-06-25" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "gabby williams", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "NYL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|gabby_williams|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T23:48:18", "p_calibrated": 0.699, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "gabby williams \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T04:29:32" }, { "source": "sharp_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "market": "ml_away", "prob": 0.6736, "edge_pct": 13.2, "tier": "ELITE", "shift_pp": 10.34, "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "sharp_elite|MLB|NYY___BOS|ml_away|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5567, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 1 @ BOS 6", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "NYY @ BOS: final 1-6 (total 7) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|George_Springer|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Matt_McLain|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8737, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lourdes_Gurriel_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.873, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8727, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T01:36:03", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ildemaro_Vargas|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.8506, "edge_pct": 47.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T11:56:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T21:11:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8506 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|James_Wood|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8501, "edge_pct": 47.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T11:56:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T21:11:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9572 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|David_Hamilton|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8489, "edge_pct": 47.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T11:56:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T21:11:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8221 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kyle_Karros|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8487, "edge_pct": 47.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T11:56:57", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-31T21:11:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.822 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Masyn_Winn|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8511, "edge_pct": 47.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T23:00:25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-01T18:55:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8234 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8495, "edge_pct": 47.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T23:00:25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-01T18:55:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8225 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Michael_Busch|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8311, "edge_pct": 44.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T23:00:25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-01T18:55:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8115 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ian_Happ|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8288, "edge_pct": 43.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T23:00:25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-01T18:55:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8288 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jordan_Walker|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-31", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8286, "edge_pct": 43.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-31", "recorded_at": "2026-05-31T23:00:25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-01T18:55:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.951 }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Japan @ Brazil", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5095, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.5095, "matchup": "Japan @ Brazil", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Japan___Brazil|HOME_ML|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T04:43:44", "p_calibrated": 0.647, "outcome": { "final_score": "Japan 1-2 Brazil", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kaishu sano", "casemiro", "gabriel martinelli" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Japan 1-2 Brazil: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T21:46:25" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Masyn_Winn|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-01", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8522, "edge_pct": 47.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-01", "recorded_at": "2026-06-01T18:55:33", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:03", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8241 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|David_Hamilton|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-01", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8582, "edge_pct": 48.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-01", "recorded_at": "2026-06-01T19:14:26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:03", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bud Cauley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Bud_Cauley|TOP_10|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5288, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Bud Cauley finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Viktor Hovland", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Viktor_Hovland|TOP_10|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3564, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -22, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Viktor Hovland finished T1 (-22) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Rose", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Justin_Rose|TOP_10|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T25", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Justin Rose finished T25 (-12) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Conners", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Corey_Conners|TOP_10|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2734, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Corey Conners finished T7 (-17) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brandt Snedeker", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Brandt_Snedeker|TOP_10|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2722, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Brandt Snedeker finished T38 (-10) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Harman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Brian_Harman|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T25", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Brian Harman finished T25 (-12) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Burns", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sam_Burns|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.53, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sam Burns finished T12 (-15) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Akshay Bhatia", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Akshay_Bhatia|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.53, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Akshay Bhatia finished T5 (-18) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "J.J. Spaun", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.451, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.451, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|J_J__Spaun|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.22, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3371, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "J.J. Spaun finished T7 (-17) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Spain @ Uruguay", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Spain @ Uruguay", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Spain___Uruguay|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Spain 1-0 Uruguay", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "\u00e1lex baena" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Spain 1-0 Uruguay: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T04:29:32" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iran @ Egypt", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Iran @ Egypt", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Iran___Egypt|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iran 1-1 Egypt", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "mahmoud saber", "ramin rezaeian" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Iran 1-1 Egypt: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T07:40:26" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "France @ Norway", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "France @ Norway", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|France___Norway|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "France 4-1 Norway", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "thelo aasgaard", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "d\u00e9sir\u00e9 dou\u00e9" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "France 4-1 Norway: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iraq @ Senegal", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Iraq @ Senegal", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Iraq___Senegal|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iraq 0-5 Senegal", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "habib diarra", "isma\u00efla sarr", "pape gueye", "pape gueye", "iliman ndiaye" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Iraq 0-5 Senegal: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Saudi Arabia @ Cape Verde", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.759, "fair_american": -315, "p_predicted": 0.759, "matchup": "Saudi Arabia @ Cape Verde", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Saudi_Arabia___Cape_Verde|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Saudi Arabia 0-0 Cape Verde", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Saudi Arabia 0-0 Cape Verde: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T04:29:32" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Spain @ Uruguay", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -345, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "Spain @ Uruguay", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Spain___Uruguay|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2899, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Spain 1-0 Uruguay", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "\u00e1lex baena" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Spain 1-0 Uruguay: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T04:29:32" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iran @ Egypt", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "Iran @ Egypt", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Iran___Egypt|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3717, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6601, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iran 1-1 Egypt", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "mahmoud saber", "ramin rezaeian" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Iran 1-1 Egypt: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T07:40:26" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Belgium @ New Zealand", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -297, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "Belgium @ New Zealand", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Belgium___New_Zealand|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3367, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T12:28:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Belgium 5-1 New Zealand", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "leandro trossard", "leandro trossard", "kevin de bruyne", "elijah just", "romelu lukaku", "alexis saelemaekers" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Belgium 5-1 New Zealand: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T07:40:26" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jordan_Walker|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-01", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8296, "edge_pct": 44.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-01", "recorded_at": "2026-06-01T18:55:33", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:03", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9513 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6827, "raw_prob": 0.7063, "edge_pct": 16.0, "fair_american": -143, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___TBR|ML_HOME|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6993, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T16:25:51", "p_calibrated": 0.6636, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 1 @ TB 6", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ARI @ TB: final 1-6 (total 7) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:12:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:12:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samad Taylor", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Samad_Taylor|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:12:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samad Taylor \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_plus_hit|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "J.J. Spaun", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|J_J__Spaun|TOP_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2714, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "J.J. Spaun finished T7 (-17) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Kim|TOP_10|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3397, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Kim finished T30 (-11) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harris English", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Harris_English|TOP_10|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3294, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Harris English finished T38 (-10) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kurt Kitayama", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kurt_Kitayama|TOP_10|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3281, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T25", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kurt Kitayama finished T25 (-12) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_10|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3243, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Eric Cole finished T38 (-10) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Rose", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Rose|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T25", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Rose finished T25 (-12) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keegan Bradley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Keegan_Bradley|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.495, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Keegan Bradley finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T4 (-19) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Pendrith", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Taylor_Pendrith|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T61", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Taylor Pendrith finished T61 (-5) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Echavarria", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.615, "fair_american": -160, "p_predicted": 0.615, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Nico_Echavarria|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Nico Echavarria finished T30 (-11) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Griffin", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_Griffin|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben Griffin finished T10 (-16) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kristoffer Reitan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.608, "fair_american": -155, "p_predicted": 0.608, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kristoffer_Reitan|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kristoffer Reitan finished T22 (-13) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Cantlay", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Cantlay|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5264, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Cantlay finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sungjae Im", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.464, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.464, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sungjae_Im|TOP_20|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3538, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sungjae Im finished T30 (-11) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iraq @ Senegal", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Iraq @ Senegal", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|WORLDCUP|Iraq___Senegal|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iraq 0-5 Senegal", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "habib diarra", "isma\u00efla sarr", "pape gueye", "pape gueye", "iliman ndiaye" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Iraq 0-5 Senegal: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T11:48:32" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Iraq @ Senegal", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Iraq @ Senegal", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Iraq___Senegal|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Iraq 0-5 Senegal", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "habib diarra", "isma\u00efla sarr", "pape gueye", "pape gueye", "iliman ndiaye" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Iraq 0-5 Senegal: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T11:48:32" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CONN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_3|WNBA|WAS___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_3|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 57 @ CON 68", "team_total": 68, "line": 76.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ CON: home scored 68 (line 76.3, bet over) on 2026-06-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T11:48:32" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_3|WNBA|POR___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_3|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 94 @ CHI 124", "team_total": 124, "line": 74.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ CHI: home scored 124 (line 74.3, bet over) on 2026-06-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T11:48:32" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_9|WNBA|ATL___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_9|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 75 @ GS 78", "team_total": 78, "line": 75.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ GS: home scored 78 (line 75.9, bet over) on 2026-06-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T11:48:32" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "ATL @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6588, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 4 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-06-27" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "courtney vandersloot", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "POR @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|courtney_vandersloot|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5952, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6575, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "courtney vandersloot \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-06-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T11:48:32" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "ATL @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5714, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6491, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-06-27" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "POR @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6682, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T11:48:32" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "POR @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|angel_reese|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6513, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 blk_stl = 6 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T11:48:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.578, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.576, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.539, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Owen_Caissie|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Shaw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.522, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.407, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.407, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.46, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2941, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.522, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.407, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.407, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2941, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.493, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.493, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.485, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.482, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Foscue|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rodolfo_Dur_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.69, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.455, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.437, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Kelly", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Kelly|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Kelly \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Gim_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joe_Mack|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.391, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.388, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Amed Rosario", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Amed_Rosario|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Amed Rosario \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.597, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.597, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Carter_Jensen|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samad Taylor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Samad_Taylor|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samad Taylor \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.99, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7407, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Byron_Buxton|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7576, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Juan_Soto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7634, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Kelly", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Carson_Kelly|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-26T23:37:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Kelly \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ketel_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-01", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8586, "edge_pct": 49.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-01", "recorded_at": "2026-06-01T19:14:26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:03", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9596 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-01", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8584, "edge_pct": 49.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-01", "recorded_at": "2026-06-01T19:14:26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:03", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9595 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6799, "raw_prob": 0.7063, "edge_pct": 18.4, "fair_american": -135, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___TBR|ML_HOME|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7407, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.6629, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 2 @ TB 4", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "ARI @ TB: final 2-4 (total 6) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5864, "raw_prob": 0.706, "edge_pct": 17.3, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___BOS|ML_AWAY|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5422, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 1 @ BOS 4", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "NYY @ BOS: final 1-4 (total 5) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_plus_hit|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tahir Abdullayev vs Jefferson Nascimento", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.219, "fair_american": 357, "p_predicted": 0.219, "matchup": "Tahir Abdullayev vs Jefferson Nascimento", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tahir_Abdullayev_vs_Jefferson_Nascimento|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3505, "outcome": { "fight": "Tahir Abdullayev vs Jefferson Nascimento", "winner": "Tahir Abdullayev", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tahir Abdullayev def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samad Taylor", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Samad_Taylor|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samad Taylor \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.578, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.576, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.539, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Owen_Caissie|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Shaw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.522, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.407, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.407, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.46, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2941, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.522, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.407, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.407, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2941, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Logan_O_Hoppe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.493, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.493, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.485, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.482, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.69, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.455, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.437, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Kelly", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Kelly|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Kelly \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Gim_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joe_Mack|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.391, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.388, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Amed Rosario", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Amed_Rosario|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Amed Rosario \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.597, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.597, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Carter_Jensen|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6803, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samad Taylor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Samad_Taylor|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samad Taylor \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Byron_Buxton|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Juan_Soto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7634, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Kelly", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Carson_Kelly|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T02:36:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Kelly \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Curtis_Mead|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-01", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8583, "edge_pct": 48.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-01", "recorded_at": "2026-06-01T19:14:26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:03", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9595 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jordan_Walker|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-06-01", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.8583, "edge_pct": 48.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-01", "recorded_at": "2026-06-01T19:14:26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:03", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8583 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ketel_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8586, "edge_pct": 49.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9596 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8584, "edge_pct": 49.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9595 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Curtis_Mead|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8583, "edge_pct": 48.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9595 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jordan_Walker|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.8583, "edge_pct": 48.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8583 }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Sweden @ France", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5777, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.5777, "matchup": "Sweden @ France", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Sweden___France|HOME_ML|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7299, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T04:29:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6652, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sweden 0-3 France", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "bradley barcola", "kylian mbapp\u00e9" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Sweden 0-3 France: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T23:39:59" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|David_Hamilton|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8582, "edge_pct": 48.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T04:22:02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.6043, "raw_prob": 0.7283, "edge_pct": 15.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___TBR|UNDER_8_0|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5892, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 2 @ TB 4", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "ARI @ TB: final 2-4 (total 6) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ MIN", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.6033, "raw_prob": 0.8508, "edge_pct": 15.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___MIN|OVER_9_0|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4778, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 8 @ MIN 5", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "COL @ MIN: final 8-5 (total 13) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T21:32:41" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.5, "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|PHI___NYM|UNDER_8_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 2 @ NYM 6", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "PHI @ NYM: final 2-6 (total 8) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_10|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3114, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Maverick McNealy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Maverick_McNealy|TOP_10|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2918, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T55", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Maverick McNealy finished T55 (-6) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Campbell", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Brian_Campbell|TOP_10|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2799, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T47", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Brian Campbell finished T47 (-8) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "J.J. Spaun", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|J_J__Spaun|TOP_10|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2759, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "J.J. Spaun finished T7 (-17) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Wyndham Clark", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Wyndham_Clark|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5291, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Wyndham Clark finished T5 (-18) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.607, "fair_american": -155, "p_predicted": 0.607, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6452, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T10 (-16) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.552, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.552, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T62", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben James finished T62 (-4) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kurt Kitayama", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.554, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.554, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kurt_Kitayama|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T25", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kurt Kitayama finished T25 (-12) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harris English", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Harris_English|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Harris English finished T38 (-10) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ghana @ Croatia", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Ghana @ Croatia", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Ghana___Croatia|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ghana 1-2 Croatia", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "petar sucic", "derrick luckassen", "nikola vlasic" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Ghana 1-2 Croatia: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Portugal @ Colombia", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Portugal @ Colombia", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Portugal___Colombia|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Portugal 0-0 Colombia", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Portugal 0-0 Colombia: 0 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Congo DR", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Congo DR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Uzbekistan___Congo_DR|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Uzbekistan 1-3 Congo DR", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "eldor shomurodov", "yoane wissa", "fiston mayele", "yoane wissa" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Uzbekistan 1-3 Congo DR: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Argentina @ Jordan", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Argentina @ Jordan", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|Argentina___Jordan|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Argentina 3-1 Jordan", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "giovani lo celso", "lautaro mart\u00ednez", "mousa al-tamari", "lionel messi" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Argentina 3-1 Jordan: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ghana @ Croatia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "Ghana @ Croatia", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Ghana___Croatia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3597, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7042, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ghana 1-2 Croatia", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "petar sucic", "derrick luckassen", "nikola vlasic" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Ghana 1-2 Croatia: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "England @ Panama", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "England @ Panama", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|England___Panama|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "England 2-0 Panama", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "jude bellingham", "harry kane" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "England 2-0 Panama: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Portugal @ Colombia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "Portugal @ Colombia", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Portugal___Colombia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6601, "outcome": { "final_score": "Portugal 0-0 Colombia", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Portugal 0-0 Colombia: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Congo DR", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -336, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "Uzbekistan @ Congo DR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Uzbekistan___Congo_DR|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2976, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Uzbekistan 1-3 Congo DR", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "eldor shomurodov", "yoane wissa", "fiston mayele", "yoane wissa" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Uzbekistan 1-3 Congo DR: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Austria @ Algeria", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Austria @ Algeria", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Austria___Algeria|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austria 3-3 Algeria", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "marko arnautovic", "rafik belghali", "marcel sabitzer", "riyad mahrez", "riyad mahrez", "sasa kalajdzic" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Austria 3-3 Algeria: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Argentina @ Jordan", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -345, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "Argentina @ Jordan", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Argentina___Jordan|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2899, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T09:07:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Argentina 3-1 Jordan", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "giovani lo celso", "lautaro mart\u00ednez", "mousa al-tamari", "lionel messi" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Argentina 3-1 Jordan: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8725, "raw_prob": 0.9169, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15", "p_calibrated": 0.8518, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.6089, "raw_prob": 0.8479, "edge_pct": 16.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___NYM|UNDER_9_0|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T14:27:15", "p_calibrated": 0.5969, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 2 @ NYM 6", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "PHI @ NYM: final 2-6 (total 8) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2553, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2461, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.2, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.485, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_plus_hit|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Keith|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Walker|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 4, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 hits = 4 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Masataka_Yoshida|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Masataka Yoshida \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.83, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T4 (-19) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.693, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4598, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.565, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.184, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1777, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.22, "fair_american": 354, "p_predicted": 0.22, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 421, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 436, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.138, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 446, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.178, "fair_american": 461, "p_predicted": 0.178, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1347, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 474, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 476, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1328, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.256, "fair_american": 291, "p_predicted": 0.256, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Caballero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1931, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:41:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T04:52:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.6108, "raw_prob": 0.7448, "edge_pct": 16.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___SDP|UNDER_8_0|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 1 @ SD 7", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "LAD @ SD: final 1-7 (total 8) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ MIN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.5945, "raw_prob": 0.8105, "edge_pct": 13.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___MIN|OVER_9_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 8 @ MIN 5", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "COL @ MIN: final 8-5 (total 13) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5932, "raw_prob": 0.7881, "edge_pct": 13.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___TBR|UNDER_8_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 2 @ TB 4", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "ARI @ TB: final 2-4 (total 6) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.557, "raw_prob": 0.5871, "edge_pct": 6.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___SFG|UNDER_8_0|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 3 @ SF 1", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "ATL @ SF: final 3-1 (total 4) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Byron_Buxton|1_plus_hit|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|William_Contreras|1_plus_hit|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.481, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.481, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4228, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T30 (-11) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ IND", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82_5|WNBA|LA___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 87 @ IND 111", "team_total": 111, "line": 82.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ IND: home scored 111 (line 82.5, bet over) on 2026-06-27" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_4|WNBA|ATL___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_4|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 90 @ SEA 105", "team_total": 105, "line": 79.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ SEA: home scored 105 (line 79.4, bet over) on 2026-06-27" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.633, "fair_american": -172, "p_predicted": 0.633, "matchup": "LAS @ IND", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6487, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nalyssa smith", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.633, "fair_american": -172, "p_predicted": 0.633, "matchup": "LAS @ IND", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|nalyssa_smith|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6487, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "nalyssa smith \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Caratini|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Blake_Perkins|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2542, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.582, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.27, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blake_Perkins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.36, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|William_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Shaw|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:04:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Elias_D_az|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-06-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Elias D\u00edaz", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.8736, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-27", "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:11:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T23:11:02", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elias D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8736 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8715, "raw_prob": 0.9153, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.8351, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_plus_hit|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brice_Turang|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4038, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Raley", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Luke_Raley|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4084, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luke Raley \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Alex_Freeland|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4108, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dalton Rushing", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dalton_Rushing|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4177, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dalton Rushing \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4342, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Smith", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dominic_Smith|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4372, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dominic Smith \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4492, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Frelick", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Sal_Frelick|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4492, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Sal Frelick \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Will Wagner", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Will_Wagner|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Will Wagner \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Matt_Shaw|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremiah Jackson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.563, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.563, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jeremiah_Jackson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jeremiah Jackson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.563, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.563, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.572, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.572, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Petey_Halpin|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7194, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Wyndham Clark", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Wyndham_Clark|TOP_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Wyndham Clark finished T5 (-18) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Shane Lowry", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Shane_Lowry|TOP_10|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Shane Lowry finished T22 (-13) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Burns", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sam_Burns|TOP_10|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sam Burns finished T12 (-15) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Si Woo Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Si_Woo_Kim|TOP_10|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T44", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Si Woo Kim finished T44 (-9) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keith Mitchell", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Keith_Mitchell|TOP_10|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2717, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Keith Mitchell finished T22 (-13) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Collin Morikawa", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Collin_Morikawa|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Collin Morikawa finished T3 (-20) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Thomas", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.597, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.597, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Thomas|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6757, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Thomas finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Gotterup", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.552, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.552, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chris_Gotterup|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chris Gotterup finished T30 (-11) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.544, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.544, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Alex_Fitzpatrick|TOP_20|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Alex Fitzpatrick finished T7 (-17) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "England @ Panama", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "England @ Panama", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|WORLDCUP|England___Panama|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "England 2-0 Panama", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "jude bellingham", "harry kane" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "England 2-0 Panama: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "England @ Panama", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "England @ Panama", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|WORLDCUP|England___Panama|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "England 2-0 Panama", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "jude bellingham", "harry kane" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "England 2-0 Panama: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.766, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Ward|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.735, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|James_Wood|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5403, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.673, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.49, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.49, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.635, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.47, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.47, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4377, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.558, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.55, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1858, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.184, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.33, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1777, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.36, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1759, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 243, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1704, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 267, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1524, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 274, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|William_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.248, "fair_american": 304, "p_predicted": 0.248, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 330, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 330, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 351, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 351, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 371, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 382, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cole_Young|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 382, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.82, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 383, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 386, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 390, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1481, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 390, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1481, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Victor_Caratini|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 421, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Taylor_Ward|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 431, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 442, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1369, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 452, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 453, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 452, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.172, "fair_american": 482, "p_predicted": 0.172, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joe_Mack|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1325, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 490, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.169, "fair_american": 492, "p_predicted": 0.169, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1314, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 517, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1254, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 527, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1221, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Kelly", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 526, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carson_Kelly|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1221, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Kelly \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 524, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1221, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.158, "fair_american": 533, "p_predicted": 0.158, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.33, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1188, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.155, "fair_american": 545, "p_predicted": 0.155, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dylan_Crews|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1139, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 558, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.58, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 602, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 613, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2756, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.404, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.386, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Perkins", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.597, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.597, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Blake_Perkins|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blake Perkins \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Caratini|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:30:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T11:59:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8752, "raw_prob": 0.9195, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8748, "raw_prob": 0.9191, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Adrian Del Castillo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "raw_prob": 0.9182, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Adrian_Del_Castillo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Adrian Del Castillo \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Elias D\u00edaz", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.8736, "raw_prob": 0.9169, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_over", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Elias_D_az|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.8736, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elias D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8715, "raw_prob": 0.9153, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.8351, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.6082, "raw_prob": 0.7382, "edge_pct": 16.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___SDP|UNDER_8_0|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5957, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 4 @ SD 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "LAD @ SD: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:19:17", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-12T01:44:37", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ MIN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.5979, "raw_prob": 0.8242, "edge_pct": 14.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___MIN|OVER_9_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 2 @ MIN 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "COL @ MIN: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.5738, "raw_prob": 0.6191, "edge_pct": 9.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___SFG|UNDER_8_0|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 2 @ SF 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "ATL @ SF: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:19:17" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Byron_Buxton|1_plus_hit|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|William_Contreras|1_plus_hit|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lourdes_Gurriel_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.873, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ryan_Kreidler|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.873, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8754, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Noelvi_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8737, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brice_Turang|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4038, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Alex_Freeland|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4108, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4342, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Smith", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dominic_Smith|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4372, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dominic Smith \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4492, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Frelick", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Sal_Frelick|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4492, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Sal Frelick \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Matt_Shaw|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.563, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.563, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6944, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Michel Pereira vs Shara Magomedov", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "Michel Pereira vs Shara Magomedov", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Michel_Pereira_vs_Shara_Magomedov|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.97, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk", "winner": "Abus Magomedov", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Abus Magomedov def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:19:17" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 304, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Abus_Magomedov_vs_Michal_Oleksiejczuk|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.04, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk", "winner": "Abus Magomedov", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Abus Magomedov def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:19:17" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 416, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Nazim_Sadykhov_vs_Matheus_Camilo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.16, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo", "winner": "Matheus Camilo", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Matheus Camilo def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:19:17" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.766, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Ward|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.735, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|James_Wood|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5403, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.673, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.49, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.49, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.635, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.47, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.47, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.13, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4377, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.558, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.55, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.36, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.184, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1777, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1759, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 243, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1704, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 267, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1524, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 274, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|William_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.248, "fair_american": 304, "p_predicted": 0.248, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 330, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.3, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 330, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 351, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.51, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 351, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 371, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 382, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cole_Young|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 382, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 383, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 386, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 390, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1481, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 421, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Taylor_Ward|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 431, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 442, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1369, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 452, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 453, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 452, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.172, "fair_american": 482, "p_predicted": 0.172, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joe_Mack|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1325, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 490, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Chapman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Chapman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.169, "fair_american": 492, "p_predicted": 0.169, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1314, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 517, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1254, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 527, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1221, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Kelly", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 526, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carson_Kelly|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1221, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Kelly \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 524, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1221, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.158, "fair_american": 533, "p_predicted": 0.158, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1188, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.155, "fair_american": 545, "p_predicted": 0.155, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dylan_Crews|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1139, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 558, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 602, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 613, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 6.13, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.584, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.576, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.575, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.437, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.437, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3042, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.567, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.433, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.433, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3027, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.553, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.425, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.425, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2996, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.542, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.418, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.418, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Owen_Caissie|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.39, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2969, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.533, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.413, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.413, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2954, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.525, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.408, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.408, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2943, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.47, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.49, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "ATL @ SFG", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Kelly", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Kelly|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Kelly \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.484, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.479, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.479, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.465, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|William_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.45, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.45, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.446, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.443, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.437, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.416, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2756, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2756, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "SEA @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.404, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.389, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "MIA @ STL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joe_Mack|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.386, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.12, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Shaw|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "OAK @ LAA", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.571, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.571, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 11, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hrr = 11 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samad Taylor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "LAD @ SDP", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Samad_Taylor|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T00:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samad Taylor \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isiah_Kiner_Falefa|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isiah Kiner-Falefa", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8619, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T14:11:16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9605 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brandon_Marsh|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8618, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T14:11:16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9605 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jonathan_Aranda|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8617, "edge_pct": 49.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T14:11:16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9605 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nolan_Gorman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Gorman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8617, "edge_pct": 49.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T14:11:16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Blake_Dunn|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Blake Dunn", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8616, "edge_pct": 49.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T14:11:16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Dylan_Crews|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8402, "edge_pct": 45.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T19:07:05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8169 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Luis_Rengifo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Rengifo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8417, "edge_pct": 46.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T23:35:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8178 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alejandro_Osuna|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Osuna", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8407, "edge_pct": 45.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T23:35:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alejandro Osuna \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-02", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8172 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8402, "edge_pct": 45.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-02", "recorded_at": "2026-06-02T23:35:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8169 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Luis_Rengifo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Rengifo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8417, "edge_pct": 46.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-03", "recorded_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8178 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alejandro_Osuna|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Osuna", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8407, "edge_pct": 45.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-03", "recorded_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:30:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alejandro Osuna \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-03", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8172 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Dylan_Crews|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8402, "edge_pct": 45.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-03", "recorded_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-03T22:36:38", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8169 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8402, "edge_pct": 45.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-03", "recorded_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8169 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isiah_Kiner_Falefa|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isiah Kiner-Falefa", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8397, "edge_pct": 45.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-03", "recorded_at": "2026-06-03T12:56:07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9542 }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Congo DR @ England", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5554, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.5554, "matchup": "Congo DR @ England", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Congo_DR___England|HOME_ML|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50", "p_calibrated": 0.6592, "outcome": { "final_score": "Congo DR 1-2 England", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "brian cipenga", "harry kane", "harry kane" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Congo DR 1-2 England: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T20:17:54" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Austria @ Spain", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.6166, "fair_american": -161, "p_predicted": 0.6166, "matchup": "Austria @ Spain", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Austria___Spain|HOME_ML|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6211, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50", "p_calibrated": 0.6756, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austria 0-3 Spain", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "mikel oyarzabal", "pedro porro", "mikel oyarzabal" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Austria 0-3 Spain: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T21:36:45" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Austria @ Spain", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.5568, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.5568, "matchup": "Austria @ Spain", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|Austria___Spain|OVER_2_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T04:55:50", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austria 0-3 Spain", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "mikel oyarzabal", "pedro porro", "mikel oyarzabal" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "Austria 0-3 Spain: 3 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T21:36:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5944, "raw_prob": 0.9081, "edge_pct": 23.6, "fair_american": 108, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___TOR|ML_AWAY|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.08, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00", "p_calibrated": 0.5435, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 3 @ TOR 2", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "TEX @ TOR: final 3-2 (total 5) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.7033, "raw_prob": 0.7892, "edge_pct": 22.4, "fair_american": -135, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___PIT|ML_HOME|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7407, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T05:23:00", "p_calibrated": 0.6689, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 4 @ PIT 9", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "CIN @ PIT: final 4-9 (total 13) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Hubert Hurkacz vs Casper Ruud", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Hubert Hurkacz vs Casper Ruud", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18_5|TENNIS|Hubert_Hurkacz_vs_Casper_Ruud|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T08:17:30", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Hubert Hurkacz vs Casper Ruud", "winner": "Hubert Hurkacz", "sets": "3-0", "total_games": 31, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "verify": "Hubert Hurkacz won 3-0 (31 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8723, "raw_prob": 0.9162, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Hao_Yu_Lee|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:36", "p_calibrated": 0.8485, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8744, "raw_prob": 0.9186, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|David_Hamilton|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "David Hamilton \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_plus_hit|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Canada @ South Africa", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Canada @ South Africa", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Canada___South_Africa|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Canada 1-0 South Africa", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "stephen eust\u00e1quio" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Canada 1-0 South Africa: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T13:13:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2173, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 310, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.1, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1827, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.39, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T13:13:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:35:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_plus_hit|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|1_plus_hit|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_plus_hit|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_plus_hit|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Keith|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T13:13:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.697, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.4675, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.553, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.425, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.425, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 242, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.1704, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T13:13:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.285, "fair_american": 251, "p_predicted": 0.285, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.1641, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 277, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 327, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Steer|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.213, "fair_american": 369, "p_predicted": 0.213, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.199, "fair_american": 402, "p_predicted": 0.199, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.1453, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.177, "fair_american": 465, "p_predicted": 0.177, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.1343, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 609, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 7, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 tb = 7 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.27, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.517, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braxton Fulford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braxton_Fulford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braxton Fulford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:23:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "ARI @ TBR", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Beavers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Beavers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Beavers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.421, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daulton Varsho", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daulton_Varsho|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daulton Varsho \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CIN @ PIT", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Henry_Davis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yohendrick_Pi_ango|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T13:13:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Gim_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.03, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "WSN @ BAL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.389, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "HOU @ DET", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Harper|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "TEX @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Karros|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.564, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.564, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Byron_Buxton|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "KCR @ CHW", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Carter_Jensen|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "COL @ MIN", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:44:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:53:48", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:53:50", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5823, "raw_prob": 0.6923, "edge_pct": 13.7, "fair_american": -105, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___BOS|ML_AWAY|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:54:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5415, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 4 @ BOS 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "NYY @ BOS: final 4-5 (total 9) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ WAS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_4|WNBA|POR___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_4|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 123 @ WSH 124", "team_total": 124, "line": 72.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ WSH: home scored 124 (line 72.4, bet over) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_9|WNBA|LV___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_9|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 107 @ CHI 99", "team_total": 99, "line": 74.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ CHI: home scored 99 (line 74.9, bet over) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_70.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_70.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_70_6|WNBA|NY___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_70_6|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 67 @ GS 76", "team_total": 76, "line": 70.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ GS: home scored 76 (line 70.6, bet over) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jonquel jones", "market": "AST_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ GSV", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_3_0|WNBA|jonquel_jones|AST_UNDER_3_0|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.651, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jonquel jones \u2014 ast = 2 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "chelsea gray", "market": "3PM_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "LVA @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_1_5|WNBA|chelsea_gray|3PM_OVER_1_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "chelsea gray \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "leonie fiebich", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "NYL @ GOL", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|leonie_fiebich|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6694, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "leonie fiebich \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "courtney vandersloot", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "LVA @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|courtney_vandersloot|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6571, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "courtney vandersloot \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "LVA @ CHI", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6692, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-06-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nate Eaton", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nate_Eaton|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nate Eaton \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.271, "fair_american": 269, "p_predicted": 0.271, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T21:58:13", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T09:58:18" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Henry_Davis|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8753, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T23:12:06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T23:12:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Royce_Lewis|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8652, "edge_pct": 50.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T23:12:06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T23:12:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jasson_Dom_nguez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8648, "edge_pct": 50.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T23:12:06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Joey_Loperfido|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Loperfido", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8637, "edge_pct": 49.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T23:12:06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T23:12:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joey Loperfido \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-28", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8553, "raw_prob": 0.9058, "edge_pct": 48.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Cam_Smith|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.8259, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5515, "raw_prob": 0.5787, "edge_pct": 24.6, "fair_american": 126, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___CLE|ML_AWAY|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5363, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 6 @ CLE 3", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "TEX @ CLE: final 6-3 (total 9) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6304, "raw_prob": 0.8076, "edge_pct": 23.1, "fair_american": -105, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___PHI|ML_AWAY|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5495, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 11 @ PHI 7", "total_runs": 18, "verify": "PIT @ PHI: final 11-7 (total 18) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.4522, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Amed Rosario", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Amed_Rosario|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.4552, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Amed Rosario \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Conners", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 398, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Corey_Conners|TOP_5|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Corey Conners finished T7 (-17) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 438, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Alex_Fitzpatrick|TOP_5|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Alex Fitzpatrick finished T7 (-17) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.612, "fair_american": -158, "p_predicted": 0.612, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_20|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6329, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Nicolai_H_jgaard|TOP_20|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8264, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Denny McCarthy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Denny_McCarthy|TOP_20|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Denny McCarthy finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bud Cauley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "Travelers Championship", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Bud_Cauley|TOP_20|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5326, "outcome": { "tournament": "Travelers Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Bud Cauley finished T14 (-14) at Travelers Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.366, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 309, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.243, "fair_american": 312, "p_predicted": 0.243, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.12, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 327, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.2, "fair_american": 399, "p_predicted": 0.2, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jos__Caballero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1459, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.189, "fair_american": 429, "p_predicted": 0.189, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.29, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1397, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.252, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2436, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2397, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.286, "fair_american": 250, "p_predicted": 0.286, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.73, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.187, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.521, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T05:55:26" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Paula Badosa vs Emma Navarro", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Paula Badosa vs Emma Navarro", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18_5|TENNIS|Paula_Badosa_vs_Emma_Navarro|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18_5|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Paula Badosa vs Emma Navarro", "winner": "Emma Navarro", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 31, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "verify": "Emma Navarro won 1-2 (31 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Norway @ Ivory Coast", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5347, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.5347, "matchup": "Norway @ Ivory Coast", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Norway___Ivory_Coast|HOME_ML|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6537, "outcome": { "final_score": "Norway 2-1 Ivory Coast", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "antonio nusa", "amad diallo", "erling haaland" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Norway 2-1 Ivory Coast: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T20:23:06" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cape Verde @ Argentina", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "Cape Verde @ Argentina", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Cape_Verde___Argentina|HOME_ML|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5291, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6855, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cape Verde 2-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "lionel messi", "deroy duarte", "lisandro mart\u00ednez", "sidny lopes cabral" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Cape Verde 2-3 Argentina: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T04:06:11" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cape Verde @ Argentina", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.5718, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.5718, "matchup": "Cape Verde @ Argentina", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|Cape_Verde___Argentina|OVER_2_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cape Verde 2-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "lionel messi", "deroy duarte", "lisandro mart\u00ednez", "sidny lopes cabral" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "Cape Verde 2-3 Argentina: 5 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T04:06:11" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ghana @ Colombia", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5513, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.5513, "matchup": "Ghana @ Colombia", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Ghana___Colombia|HOME_ML|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T05:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6581, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ghana 0-1 Colombia", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "jhon arias" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Ghana 0-1 Colombia: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T04:06:11" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ha_Seong_Kim|PP_batter_hrr_under_2_5|2026-06-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ha-Seong Kim", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_2.5", "prob": 0.8623, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-03", "recorded_at": "2026-06-03T14:44:34", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-05T12:45:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8623, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ha-Seong Kim \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 2.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-03", "check": "verified" } }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Vinnie_Pasquantino|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8486, "edge_pct": 47.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-03", "recorded_at": "2026-06-03T14:44:34", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8219 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Matt_Chapman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Chapman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8486, "edge_pct": 47.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-03", "recorded_at": "2026-06-03T14:44:34", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8219 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Christian V\u00e1zquez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8713, "raw_prob": 0.9147, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Christian_V_zquez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30", "p_calibrated": 0.8317, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian V\u00e1zquez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:23:13" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5954, "raw_prob": 0.6821, "edge_pct": 13.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___TOR|UNDER_8_5|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 1 @ TOR 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "NYM @ TOR: final 1-2 (total 3) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Japan @ Brazil", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Japan @ Brazil", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Japan___Brazil|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T16:13:57", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Japan 1-2 Brazil", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kaishu sano", "casemiro", "gabriel martinelli" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Japan 1-2 Brazil: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T04:37:41" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Paraguay @ Germany", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Paraguay @ Germany", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Paraguay___Germany|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T16:13:57", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Paraguay 1-1 Germany", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "julio enciso", "kai havertz", "maur\u00edcio", "joshua kimmich", "gustavo g\u00f3mez", "jamal musiala", "mat\u00edas galarza", "nadiem amiri", "jos\u00e9 canale" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Paraguay 1-1 Germany: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T04:37:41" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Morocco @ Netherlands", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Morocco @ Netherlands", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Morocco___Netherlands|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T16:13:57", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Morocco 1-1 Netherlands", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "cody gakpo", "issa diop", "teun koopmeiners", "soufiane rahimi", "wout weghorst", "chemsdine talbi", "ismael saibari" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Morocco 1-1 Netherlands: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T04:37:41" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6766, "raw_prob": 0.6991, "edge_pct": 15.3, "fair_american": -142, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___MIL|ML_HOME|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:24", "p_calibrated": 0.6621, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 3 @ MIL 5", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CIN @ MIL: final 3-5 (total 8) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 243, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Robert_Whittaker_vs_Nikita_Krylov|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T18:04:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov", "winner": "Robert Whittaker", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Robert Whittaker def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Cesar Almeida vs Damian Pinas", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "Cesar Almeida vs Damian Pinas", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Cesar_Almeida_vs_Damian_Pinas|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.95, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T18:04:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Cesar Almeida vs Damian Pinas", "winner": "Damian Pinas", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Damian Pinas def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T22:49:31" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Zachary Reese vs Ryan Gandra", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "Zachary Reese vs Ryan Gandra", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Zachary_Reese_vs_Ryan_Gandra|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.95, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T18:04:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Zach Reese vs Ryan Gandra", "winner": "Ryan Gandra", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ryan Gandra def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T21:42:22" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.21, "fair_american": 376, "p_predicted": 0.21, "matchup": "Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Max_Holloway_vs_Conor_McGregor|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T18:04:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor", "winner": "Max Holloway", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Max Holloway def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T05:27:59" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Paddy Pimblett vs Beno\u00eet Saint Denis", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.198, "fair_american": 404, "p_predicted": 0.198, "matchup": "Paddy Pimblett vs Beno\u00eet Saint Denis", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Paddy_Pimblett_vs_Beno_t_Saint_Denis|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.04, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T18:04:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Paddy Pimblett vs Beno\u00eet Saint Denis", "winner": "Paddy Pimblett", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Paddy Pimblett def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T05:27:59" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "King Green vs Terrance McKinney", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.19, "fair_american": 428, "p_predicted": 0.19, "matchup": "King Green vs Terrance McKinney", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|King_Green_vs_Terrance_McKinney|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T18:04:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "King Green vs Terrance McKinney", "winner": "King Green", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "King Green def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Kai Kamaka III vs Luke Riley", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 447, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "Kai Kamaka III vs Luke Riley", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Kai_Kamaka_III_vs_Luke_Riley|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.47, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T18:04:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Kai Kamaka III vs Luke Riley", "winner": "Luke Riley", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Luke Riley def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:03:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:03:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:03:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_plus_hit|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esteury Ruiz", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Esteury_Ruiz|1_plus_hit|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esteury Ruiz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_plus_hit|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_plus_hit|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_plus_hit|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "chelsea gray", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -210, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "LVA @ NYL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|chelsea_gray|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4762, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.6644, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chelsea gray \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-06-30" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T04:56:55" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jackie young", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "LVA @ NYL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|jackie_young|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.6575, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jackie young \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-06-30" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T04:56:55" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "sabrina ionescu", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.63, "fair_american": -170, "p_predicted": 0.63, "matchup": "LVA @ NYL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|sabrina_ionescu|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5882, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.63, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 5, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "sabrina ionescu \u2014 fg3m = 5 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-06-30" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T04:56:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.571, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3035, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Loperfido", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joey_Loperfido|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Loperfido \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Cox|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Foscue|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.47, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.517, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:23:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.446, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Amaya", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Amaya|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Amaya \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yohendrick_Pi_ango|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T13:13:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.03, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Juan_Soto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8065, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.544, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.544, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T23:29:06", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-06-30T12:25:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "raw_prob": 0.9183, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Henry_Bolte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8738, "raw_prob": 0.9175, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Josh_Lowe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8729, "raw_prob": 0.9165, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Andr_s_Chaparro|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8716, "raw_prob": 0.915, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Spencer_Torkelson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8368, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6745, "raw_prob": 0.6991, "edge_pct": 17.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___MIL|ML_HOME|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.6615, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 2 @ MIL 7", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "CIN @ MIL: final 2-7 (total 9) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_plus_hit|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_plus_hit|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_plus_hit|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8672, "edge_pct": 50.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Henry_Davis|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Marcell Ozuna", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8669, "edge_pct": 50.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Marcell_Ozuna|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Marcell Ozuna \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8573, "edge_pct": 48.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Royce_Lewis|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8569, "edge_pct": 48.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jasson_Dom_nguez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ NY", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_2|WNBA|LV___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_2|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 85 @ NY 93", "team_total": 93, "line": 76.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ NY: home scored 93 (line 76.2, bet over) on 2026-06-30" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T04:56:55" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.571, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3035, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.517, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yohendrick_Pi_ango|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T13:13:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Juan_Soto|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.544, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.544, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-06-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-06-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T01:36:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-06-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39" }, { "source": "wc_model_away_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "France @ Paraguay", "market": "AWAY_ML", "prob": 0.6006, "fair_american": -150, "p_predicted": 0.6006, "matchup": "France @ Paraguay", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "wc_model_away_ml|WORLDCUP|France___Paraguay|AWAY_ML|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6667, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T23:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6006, "outcome": { "final_score": "France 1-0 Paraguay", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9" ], "market": "AWAY_ML", "verify": "France 1-0 Paraguay: away won \u2014 AWAY_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53" }, { "source": "wc_model_over_2.5", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "France @ Paraguay", "market": "OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.5511, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 0.5511, "matchup": "France @ Paraguay", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "wc_model_over_2_5|WORLDCUP|France___Paraguay|OVER_2_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-06-30T23:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "France 1-0 Paraguay", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9" ], "market": "OVER_2.5", "verify": "France 1-0 Paraguay: 1 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8747, "raw_prob": 0.9186, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Tyler_Stephenson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "raw_prob": 0.9183, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Henry_Bolte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8729, "raw_prob": 0.9165, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Andr_s_Chaparro|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8716, "raw_prob": 0.915, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Spencer_Torkelson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8368, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_plus_hit|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esteury Ruiz", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Esteury_Ruiz|1_plus_hit|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esteury Ruiz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Schmitt", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Casey_Schmitt|1_plus_hit|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Casey Schmitt \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_plus_hit|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_plus_hit|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8672, "edge_pct": 50.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Henry_Davis|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8573, "edge_pct": 48.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Royce_Lewis|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8569, "edge_pct": 48.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jasson_Dom_nguez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Loperfido", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8559, "edge_pct": 48.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Joey_Loperfido|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8263, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joey Loperfido \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.27, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Loperfido", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joey_Loperfido|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Loperfido \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dansby Swanson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dansby_Swanson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dansby Swanson \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Foscue|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "SFG @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jasson_Dom_nguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.446, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nasim_Nu_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Amaya", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Amaya|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Amaya \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yohendrick_Pi_ango|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yohendrick Pi\u00f1ango \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "WSN @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T19:44:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "NYM @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Juan_Soto|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-01T22:40:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7463, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.544, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.544, "matchup": "MIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T00:01:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Freddy_Fermin|PP_batter_hrr_under_2_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_2.5", "prob": 0.848, "edge_pct": 47.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:35", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-04T21:55:31", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 2.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-04", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.848 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Vinnie_Pasquantino|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8468, "edge_pct": 46.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T23:13:43", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8209 }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Norway @ Brazil", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5675, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.5675, "matchup": "Norway @ Brazil", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Norway___Brazil|HOME_ML|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T04:56:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6625, "outcome": { "final_score": "Norway 2-1 Brazil", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "erling haaland", "erling haaland", "neymar" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Norway 2-1 Brazil: home did not win \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ BAL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.8367, "edge_pct": 59.72, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|CHW___BAL|OVER_8_5|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-01T08:46:39", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 1 @ BAL 6", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CHW @ BAL: final 1-6 (total 7) on 2026-07-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8738, "raw_prob": 0.9175, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Josh_Lowe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8716, "raw_prob": 0.915, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Spencer_Torkelson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8368, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6745, "raw_prob": 0.6991, "edge_pct": 17.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___MIL|ML_HOME|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.6615, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 7 @ MIL 2", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "CIN @ MIL: final 7-2 (total 9) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T16:15:09", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_plus_hit|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_plus_hit|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Marcell Ozuna", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8669, "edge_pct": 50.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Marcell_Ozuna|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Marcell Ozuna \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.571, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3035, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Foscue|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.517, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SDP @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "DET @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "TEX @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "LAD @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T02:40:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ COL", "market": "OVER_12.0", "prob": 0.6164, "raw_prob": 0.7708, "edge_pct": 17.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___COL|OVER_12_0|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T05:02:29", "p_calibrated": 0.5281, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 4 @ COL 14", "total_runs": 18, "verify": "MIA @ COL: final 4-14 (total 18) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "charles leclerc", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|charles_leclerc|TOP_3|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4016, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 2, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Charles Leclerc qualifying P2 at Pirelli British Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lando norris", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|lando_norris|TOP_3|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 6, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Lando Norris qualifying P6 at Pirelli British Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "carlos sainz", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|carlos_sainz|TOP_3|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 15, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Carlos Sainz qualifying P15 at Pirelli British Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "oscar piastri", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|oscar_piastri|TOP_3|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 8, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Oscar Piastri qualifying P8 at Pirelli British Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "george russell", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.604, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.604, "matchup": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|george_russell|TOP_3|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 4, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "George Russell qualifying P4 at Pirelli British Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lewis hamilton", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|lewis_hamilton|TOP_6|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 3, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Lewis Hamilton qualifying P3 at Pirelli British Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "fernando alonso", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|fernando_alonso|TOP_6|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli British Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 22, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Fernando Alonso qualifying P22 at Pirelli British Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Congo DR @ England", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Congo DR @ England", "date": "2026-07-01", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Congo_DR___England|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Congo DR 1-2 England", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "brian cipenga", "harry kane", "harry kane" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Congo DR 1-2 England: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T19:02:06" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Bosnia-Herzegovina @ United States", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Bosnia-Herzegovina @ United States", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Bosnia_Herzegovina___United_States|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Bosnia-Herzegovina 0-2 United States", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "folarin balogun", "malik tillman" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Bosnia-Herzegovina 0-2 United States: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T19:02:06" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_5|WNBA|ATL___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 76 @ WSH 81", "team_total": 81, "line": 75.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ WSH: home scored 81 (line 75.5, bet over) on 2026-07-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T04:12:45" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ CONN", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_9|WNBA|DAL___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_9|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 86 @ CON 83", "team_total": 83, "line": 76.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ CON: home scored 83 (line 76.9, bet over) on 2026-07-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T04:12:45" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_2|WNBA|SEA___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_2|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 67 @ PHX 90", "team_total": 90, "line": 77.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ PHX: home scored 90 (line 77.2, bet over) on 2026-07-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T04:12:45" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.622, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.622, "matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_2_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_OVER_2_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6098, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.622, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 5 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-07-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T04:12:45" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "brittney griner", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.635, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.635, "matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|brittney_griner|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5747, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.649, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brittney griner \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T04:12:45" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.686, "fair_american": -218, "p_predicted": 0.686, "matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6568, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T04:12:45" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "SEA @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|natasha_cloud|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.65, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "natasha cloud \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-07-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:18:30" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21_5|TENNIS|Tommy_Paul_vs_Hubert_Hurkacz|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz", "winner": "Hubert Hurkacz", "sets": "1-3", "total_games": 43, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "verify": "Hubert Hurkacz won 1-3 (43 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T23:04:34" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|PIT___PHI|under_9_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T06:25:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 6 @ PHI 1", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "PIT @ PHI: final 6-1 (total 7) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8737, "raw_prob": 0.917, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Hao_Yu_Lee|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T11:32:00", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Austria @ Spain", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Austria @ Spain", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Austria___Spain|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T12:23:00", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austria 0-3 Spain", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "mikel oyarzabal", "pedro porro", "mikel oyarzabal" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Austria 0-3 Spain: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T04:06:58" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Croatia @ Portugal", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Croatia @ Portugal", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Croatia___Portugal|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T12:23:00", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Croatia 1-2 Portugal", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "ivan perisic", "cristiano ronaldo", "gon\u00e7alo ramos" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Croatia 1-2 Portugal: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T04:12:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Algeria @ Switzerland", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Algeria @ Switzerland", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Algeria___Switzerland|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T12:23:00", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Algeria 0-2 Switzerland", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "breel embolo", "dan ndoye" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Algeria 0-2 Switzerland: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T07:42:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T16:15:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T16:15:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan O'Hearn", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_O_Hearn|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan O'Hearn \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Endy_Rodr_guez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2553, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|William_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2213, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2095, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.66, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1974, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Frelick", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 298, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Frelick|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1888, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Frelick \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.22, "fair_american": 355, "p_predicted": 0.22, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Troy_Johnston|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.55, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.551, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Endy_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.36, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan O'Hearn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_O_Hearn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan O'Hearn \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIA @ COL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Frelick", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Frelick|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Frelick \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.421, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Triolo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Triolo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Triolo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan O'Hearn", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_O_Hearn|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan O'Hearn \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "PIT @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T17:39:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ ATL", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5686, "raw_prob": 0.6414, "edge_pct": 13.2, "fair_american": -101, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___ATL|ML_AWAY|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.5392, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 11 @ ATL 5", "total_runs": 16, "verify": "STL @ ATL: final 11-5 (total 16) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Kohles", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ben_Kohles|TOP_10|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6944, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ben Kohles finished T3 (-18) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Smotherman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Austin_Smotherman|TOP_10|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3179, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T58", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Austin Smotherman finished T58 (-7) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Duncan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tyler_Duncan|TOP_10|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3063, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tyler Duncan finished T12 (-15) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Campos", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.419, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.419, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rafael_Campos|TOP_10|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3045, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T67", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rafael Campos finished T67 (-4) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Webb Simpson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Webb_Simpson|TOP_10|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3037, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "MC", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Webb Simpson finished MC (-2) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Preston Stout", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.413, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.413, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Preston_Stout|TOP_10|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Preston Stout finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Putnam", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.41, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.41, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Andrew_Putnam|TOP_10|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3006, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T51", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Andrew Putnam finished T51 (-8) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Dunlap", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.41, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.41, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Nick_Dunlap|TOP_10|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3006, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T33", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Nick Dunlap finished T33 (-11) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Merritt", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.493, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.493, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Troy_Merritt|TOP_20|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4886, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Troy Merritt finished T21 (-13) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "William Mouw", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.491, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.491, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|William_Mouw|TOP_20|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4777, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "William Mouw finished T26 (-12) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Stephan Jaeger", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.492, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.492, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Stephan_Jaeger|TOP_20|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.03, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4831, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Stephan Jaeger finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Fishburn", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.484, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.484, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Fishburn|TOP_20|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4392, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T67", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Fishburn finished T67 (-4) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Joel Dahmen", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Joel_Dahmen|TOP_20|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4612, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T46", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Joel Dahmen finished T46 (-9) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Haotong Li", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.482, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.482, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Haotong_Li|TOP_20|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4283, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "MC", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Haotong Li finished MC (-1) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Gutschewski", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Luke_Gutschewski|TOP_20|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3844, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T51", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Luke Gutschewski finished T51 (-8) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "DET @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Denzer Guzman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Denzer_Guzman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Denzer Guzman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "DET @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.34, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2069, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.61, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.271, "fair_american": 269, "p_predicted": 0.271, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tommy_Edman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.69, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "DET @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 280, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1991, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "DET @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kerry Carpenter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "DET @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kerry_Carpenter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kerry Carpenter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "DET @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andy_Pages|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tommy_Edman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Carter_Jensen|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "DET @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Justin_Foscue|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:32:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T14:34:32" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Triolo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8755, "raw_prob": 0.919, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Jared_Triolo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jared Triolo \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.875, "raw_prob": 0.9185, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:23:13" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8738, "raw_prob": 0.9171, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Walls", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8731, "raw_prob": 0.9163, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Taylor_Walls|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Walls \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Tyler_Stephenson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8748, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Henry_Bolte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8741, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Josh_Lowe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Denzer Guzman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Denzer_Guzman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Denzer Guzman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.271, "fair_american": 269, "p_predicted": 0.271, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tommy_Edman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.79, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 280, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1991, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andy_Pages|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:23:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tommy_Edman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "STL @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "TBR @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8264, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T00:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alec_Bohm|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8492, "edge_pct": 47.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:35", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-04T21:55:31", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8223 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jake_Meyers|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Meyers", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8488, "edge_pct": 47.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:35", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-05T12:45:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.822 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brice_Turang|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.8473, "edge_pct": 47.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:35", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-04T21:55:31", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.9564 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Taylor_Ward|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.846, "edge_pct": 46.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T12:55:35", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-04T21:55:31", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8204 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jac_Caglianone|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8489, "edge_pct": 47.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T21:55:31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8221 }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.832, "edge_pct": 58.84, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|MIN___NYY|OVER_9_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T08:09:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 2 @ NYY 5", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "MIN @ NYY: final 2-5 (total 7) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Lee Hodges", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.575, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.575, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Lee_Hodges|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7407, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Lee Hodges finished T3 (-18) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Stephan Jaeger", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Stephan_Jaeger|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Stephan Jaeger finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Johnson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Zach_Johnson|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Zach Johnson finished T9 (-16) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Riley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Davis_Riley|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T65", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Davis Riley finished T65 (-5) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Fishburn", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Patrick_Fishburn|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2891, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T67", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Patrick Fishburn finished T67 (-4) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Duncan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.469, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.469, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tyler_Duncan|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.13, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3603, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tyler Duncan finished T12 (-15) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Smotherman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.461, "fair_american": 117, "p_predicted": 0.461, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Austin_Smotherman|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.35, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T58", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Austin Smotherman finished T58 (-7) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Aaron Wise", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Aaron_Wise|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3397, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T39", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Aaron Wise finished T39 (-10) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Campos", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.461, "fair_american": 117, "p_predicted": 0.461, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rafael_Campos|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.35, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T67", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rafael Campos finished T67 (-4) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Brennan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.463, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.463, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Michael_Brennan|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3526, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T33", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Michael Brennan finished T33 (-11) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Gotterup", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.458, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.458, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chris_Gotterup|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.18, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3461, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chris Gotterup finished T1 (-20) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Egypt @ Australia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Egypt @ Australia", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Egypt___Australia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Egypt 1-1 Australia", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "emam ashour", "mahmoud saber", "jackson irvine", "ramy rabia", "awer mabil", "mohamed salah", "hossam abdelmaguid" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Egypt 1-1 Australia: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T23:04:34" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Cape Verde @ Argentina", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Cape Verde @ Argentina", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Cape_Verde___Argentina|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Cape Verde 2-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "lionel messi", "deroy duarte", "lisandro mart\u00ednez", "sidny lopes cabral" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Cape Verde 2-3 Argentina: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T04:06:11" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Ghana @ Colombia", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Ghana @ Colombia", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Ghana___Colombia|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ghana 0-1 Colombia", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "jhon arias" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Ghana 0-1 Colombia: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T04:06:11" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_16.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_16_5|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Elise_Mertens|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens", "winner": "Elise Mertens", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 20, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16.5", "verify": "Elise Mertens won 0-2 (20 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:23:13" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Madison Keys vs Amanda Anisimova", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Madison Keys vs Amanda Anisimova", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18_5|TENNIS|Madison_Keys_vs_Amanda_Anisimova|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T11:02:47", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Madison Keys vs Amanda Anisimova", "winner": "Madison Keys", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 26, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "verify": "Madison Keys won 2-1 (26 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Preston Stout", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Preston_Stout|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.21, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T16:04:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3397, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Preston Stout finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Yu", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kevin_Yu|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.21, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T16:04:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3384, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kevin Yu finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|MIN___NYY|under_9_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T16:04:31", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 2 @ NYY 5", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "MIN @ NYY: final 2-5 (total 7) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tom_Kim|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.5355, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T46", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tom Kim finished T46 (-9) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Yu", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.485, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.485, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kevin_Yu|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.4447, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kevin Yu finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Higgs", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Harry_Higgs|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2696, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Harry Higgs finished T21 (-13) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 225, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.25, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2693, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T6 (-17) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Gotterup", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chris_Gotterup|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.29, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2688, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chris Gotterup finished T1 (-20) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Kohles", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.571, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.571, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_Kohles|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7519, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben Kohles finished T3 (-18) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Riley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Davis_Riley|TOP_20|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T65", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Davis Riley finished T65 (-5) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ NY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_2|WNBA|MIN___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_2|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 86 @ NY 99", "team_total": 99, "line": 72.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ NY: home scored 99 (line 72.2, bet over) on 2026-07-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:18:30" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ LV", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82_7|WNBA|CHI___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82_7|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 90 @ LV 98", "team_total": 98, "line": 82.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ LV: home scored 98 (line 82.7, bet over) on 2026-07-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:18:30" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "AST_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "CHI @ LV", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_1_5|WNBA|angel_reese|AST_OVER_1_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5263, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.655, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 ast = 3 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-07-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T19:41:02" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "sabrina ionescu", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "MIN @ NYL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|sabrina_ionescu|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4386, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.695, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "sabrina ionescu \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:18:30" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "CHI @ LVA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|angel_reese|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T17:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.6497, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T19:41:02" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:04:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:04:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Christiaan Bezuidenhout", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.464, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.464, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Christiaan_Bezuidenhout|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3538, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Christiaan Bezuidenhout finished T12 (-15) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Pontus Nyholm", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.458, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.458, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Pontus_Nyholm|TOP_10|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3461, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Pontus Nyholm finished T26 (-12) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Owen_Caissie|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.543, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.419, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.419, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.39, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2973, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nate Eaton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nate_Eaton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nate Eaton \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.484, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daulton Varsho", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daulton_Varsho|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daulton Varsho \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Fry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|David_Fry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "David Fry \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alika_Williams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Beavers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Beavers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Beavers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.422, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Gonzalez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Gonzalez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Gonzalez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.388, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7143, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.99, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7407, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 12, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 12 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ketel_Marte|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Caratini|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trent_Grisham|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 10, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hrr = 10 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T23:30:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2406, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jac_Caglianone|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.85, "edge_pct": 47.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:00", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8228 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8495, "edge_pct": 47.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8225 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alec_Bohm|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8537, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T12:45:01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.825 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Vinnie_Pasquantino|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8475, "edge_pct": 47.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8213 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Geraldo_Perdomo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8473, "edge_pct": 47.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8211 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8756, "raw_prob": 0.9192, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Henry_Davis|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8753, "raw_prob": 0.9188, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Cedric_Mullins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "raw_prob": 0.9186, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "market": "UNDER_7.0", "prob": 0.6093, "raw_prob": 0.6602, "edge_pct": 16.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___SEA|UNDER_7_0|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5975, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 0 @ SEA 11", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "TOR @ SEA: final 0-11 (total 11) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:02:42", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-18T06:47:39", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.876, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.875, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8738, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 10, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 10 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Owen_Caissie|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.543, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.419, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.419, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2973, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.499, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.54, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andy_Pages|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.484, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daulton Varsho", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daulton_Varsho|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daulton Varsho \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alika_Williams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.422, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.388, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7299, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.99, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ketel_Marte|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trent_Grisham|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T01:17:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2406, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Egypt @ Argentina", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5568, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.5568, "matchup": "Egypt @ Argentina", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Egypt___Argentina|HOME_ML|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T04:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6596, "outcome": { "final_score": "Egypt 2-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "yasser ibrahim", "mostafa zico", "cristian romero", "lionel messi", "enzo fern\u00e1ndez" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Egypt 2-3 Argentina: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T20:18:24" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "market": "OVER_10.0", "prob": 0.9532, "edge_pct": 81.98, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|MIN___NYY|OVER_10_0|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 11 @ NYY 4", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "MIN @ NYY: final 11-4 (total 15) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2741, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T6 (-17) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "David Lipsky", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|David_Lipsky|TOP_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2718, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "David Lipsky finished T21 (-13) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryo Hisatsune", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Ryo_Hisatsune|TOP_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2691, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Ryo Hisatsune finished T9 (-16) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Duncan", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Tyler_Duncan|TOP_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2687, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Tyler Duncan finished T12 (-15) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Merritt", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Troy_Merritt|TOP_10|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Troy Merritt finished T21 (-13) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max Homa", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.41, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.41, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Max_Homa|TOP_10|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.44, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3006, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Max Homa finished T2 (-19) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Griffin", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_Griffin|TOP_20|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben Griffin finished T21 (-13) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Pontus Nyholm", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.564, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.564, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Pontus_Nyholm|TOP_20|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Pontus Nyholm finished T26 (-12) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Doug Ghim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Doug_Ghim|TOP_20|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7519, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Doug Ghim finished T6 (-17) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Johnson", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Zach_Johnson|TOP_20|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8264, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Zach Johnson finished T9 (-16) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hayden Springer", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Hayden_Springer|TOP_20|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5348, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T58", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Hayden Springer finished T58 (-7) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Morocco @ Canada", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Morocco @ Canada", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Morocco___Canada|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Morocco 3-0 Canada", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "azzedine ounahi", "azzedine ounahi", "soufiane rahimi" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Morocco 3-0 Canada: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T20:34:51" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "France @ Paraguay", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "France @ Paraguay", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|France___Paraguay|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "France 1-0 Paraguay", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "France 1-0 Paraguay: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Barbora Krejcikova vs Karolina Muchova", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Barbora Krejcikova vs Karolina Muchova", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Barbora_Krejcikova_vs_Karolina_Muchova|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Barbora Krejcikova vs Karolina Muchova", "winner": "Karolina Muchova", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 33, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "verify": "Karolina Muchova won 1-2 (33 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21_5|TENNIS|Alejandro_Davidovich_Fokina_vs_Felix_Aug|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "winner": "Felix Auger-Aliassime", "sets": "2-3", "total_games": 55, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "verify": "Felix Auger-Aliassime won 2-3 (55 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|MIN___NYY|under_9_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T08:04:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5698, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 11 @ NYY 4", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "MIN @ NYY: final 11-4 (total 15) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8742, "raw_prob": 0.9172, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Austin_Riley|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T14:23:13", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Gonzales", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Gonzales|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2186, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Gonzales \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Henry_Davis|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.85, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.258, "fair_american": 288, "p_predicted": 0.258, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1948, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Curtis_Mead|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1879, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Konnor Griffin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 333, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Konnor_Griffin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Konnor Griffin \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Henry_Davis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Tena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Tena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Tena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Curtis_Mead|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "sharp_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "market": "ml_home", "prob": 0.7134, "edge_pct": 15.4, "tier": "ELITE", "shift_pp": 13.31, "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "sharp_elite|MLB|TOR___SEA|ml_home|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.6715, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 0 @ SEA 11", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "TOR @ SEA: final 0-11 (total 11) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T04:34:38", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-18T06:47:39", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Millas", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Drew_Millas|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Millas \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T17:04:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Tena", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jos__Tena|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Tena \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.647, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.476, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.476, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|James_Wood|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.1, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.4432, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Curtis Mead", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Curtis_Mead|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Curtis Mead \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.209, "fair_american": 378, "p_predicted": 0.209, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.78, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 487, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.167, "fair_american": 497, "p_predicted": 0.167, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1306, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 600, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Henry_Davis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T04:34:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T04:34:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T04:34:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T04:34:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Byron_Buxton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T04:34:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Schuemann", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Schuemann|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Schuemann \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T04:34:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:34:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T04:34:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8734, "raw_prob": 0.9163, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Lourdes_Gurriel_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_plus_hit|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryo Hisatsune", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ryo_Hisatsune|TOP_10|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ryo Hisatsune finished T9 (-16) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_1|WNBA|POR___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_1|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 77 @ SEA 72", "team_total": 72, "line": 78.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ SEA: home scored 72 (line 78.1, bet over) on 2026-07-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Perez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Perez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Perez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2536, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.252, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.99, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 9, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 9 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.578, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.517, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.493, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.69, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Perez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pedro Pag\u00e9s", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pedro_Pag_s|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pedro Pag\u00e9s \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Carter_Jensen|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Masyn_Winn|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masyn Winn \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:38:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8725, "raw_prob": 0.9152, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:59:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8518, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:59:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Liam_Hicks|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:59:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Steer|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luisangel Acu\u00f1a", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Luisangel_Acu_a|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4084, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luisangel Acu\u00f1a \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Troy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tommy_Troy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tommy Troy \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8065, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Richie Palacios", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Richie_Palacios|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Richie Palacios \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.563, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.563, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Hunter_Feduccia|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7299, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eli White", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Eli_White|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eli White \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Phillips", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chandler_Phillips|TOP_10|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2962, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chandler Phillips finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Blades Brown", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.606, "fair_american": -154, "p_predicted": 0.606, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Blades_Brown|TOP_20|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6494, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Blades Brown finished T12 (-15) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Putnam", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.604, "fair_american": -153, "p_predicted": 0.604, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Andrew_Putnam|TOP_20|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T51", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Andrew Putnam finished T51 (-8) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rickie Fowler", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.607, "fair_american": -155, "p_predicted": 0.607, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rickie_Fowler|TOP_20|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6452, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rickie Fowler finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.722, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Ward|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5135, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.679, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.493, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.493, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.03, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.629, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4314, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.621, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.463, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.463, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.423, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.6, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.451, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.451, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3745, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1894, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1732, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.41, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1713, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.289, "fair_american": 246, "p_predicted": 0.289, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1677, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.289, "fair_american": 246, "p_predicted": 0.289, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1677, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.27, "fair_american": 271, "p_predicted": 0.27, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1505, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.75, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 287, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.246, "fair_american": 306, "p_predicted": 0.246, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.245, "fair_american": 308, "p_predicted": 0.245, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.237, "fair_american": 321, "p_predicted": 0.237, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Donovan_Walton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 327, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.22, "fair_american": 355, "p_predicted": 0.22, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 363, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 363, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.21, "fair_american": 376, "p_predicted": 0.21, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nathan_Church|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 386, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonah_Heim|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.2, "fair_american": 399, "p_predicted": 0.2, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1459, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.199, "fair_american": 404, "p_predicted": 0.199, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1453, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 420, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.187, "fair_american": 436, "p_predicted": 0.187, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1386, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Denzer Guzman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 450, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Denzer_Guzman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1361, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Denzer Guzman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.179, "fair_american": 457, "p_predicted": 0.179, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.135, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.175, "fair_american": 472, "p_predicted": 0.175, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1336, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 475, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.75, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 504, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Steer|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.163, "fair_american": 512, "p_predicted": 0.163, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.127, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 558, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Masyn_Winn|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masyn Winn \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.149, "fair_american": 570, "p_predicted": 0.149, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Loftin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1041, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 574, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 597, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.543, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.419, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.419, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.39, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2973, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tommy_Edman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Frelick", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Frelick|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Frelick \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braxton Fulford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braxton_Fulford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braxton Fulford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.389, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Amaya", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Amaya|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Amaya \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trea_Turner|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T23:16:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8488, "edge_pct": 47.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T23:13:43", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.822 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Tyler_Heineman|PP_batter_hrr_under_2_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Heineman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_2.5", "prob": 0.8469, "edge_pct": 47.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T23:13:43", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tyler Heineman \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 2.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-04", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8469 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Geraldo_Perdomo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8465, "edge_pct": 46.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-04", "recorded_at": "2026-06-04T23:13:43", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:01", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8207 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Masyn_Winn|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8473, "edge_pct": 47.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T08:26:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8211 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8764, "raw_prob": 0.9197, "edge_pct": 52.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "raw_prob": 0.9175, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Austin_Riley|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8726, "raw_prob": 0.9153, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8725, "raw_prob": 0.9152, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8518, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.6017, "raw_prob": 0.6854, "edge_pct": 14.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___KCR|UNDER_9_0|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.5849, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 2 @ KC 5", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "PHI @ KC: final 2-5 (total 7) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T14:12:52" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_plus_hit|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8756, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Henry_Davis|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8753, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Cedric_Mullins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8753, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alejandro_Kirk|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8744, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Masataka_Yoshida|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Masataka Yoshida \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8766, "edge_pct": 52.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alex Freeland \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jasson_Dom_nguez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Steer|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Troy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tommy_Troy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tommy Troy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Richie Palacios", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Richie_Palacios|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Richie Palacios \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.563, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.563, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Hunter_Feduccia|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7299, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7299, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.722, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Ward|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.5135, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.679, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.493, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.493, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.629, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4314, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.621, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.463, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.463, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.423, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.6, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.451, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.451, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3745, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 bb = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1894, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1732, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1713, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.289, "fair_american": 246, "p_predicted": 0.289, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.46, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1677, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.27, "fair_american": 271, "p_predicted": 0.27, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1505, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.246, "fair_american": 306, "p_predicted": 0.246, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.245, "fair_american": 308, "p_predicted": 0.245, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.237, "fair_american": 321, "p_predicted": 0.237, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Donovan_Walton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 327, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.22, "fair_american": 355, "p_predicted": 0.22, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 363, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 363, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.63, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.21, "fair_american": 376, "p_predicted": 0.21, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nathan_Church|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 386, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonah_Heim|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.86, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.2, "fair_american": 399, "p_predicted": 0.2, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1459, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.199, "fair_american": 404, "p_predicted": 0.199, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1453, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 420, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.187, "fair_american": 436, "p_predicted": 0.187, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Kurtz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1386, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Kurtz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Denzer Guzman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 450, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Denzer_Guzman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1361, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Denzer Guzman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.179, "fair_american": 457, "p_predicted": 0.179, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.135, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.175, "fair_american": 472, "p_predicted": 0.175, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1336, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 475, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.75, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Steer", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 504, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Steer|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.04, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Steer \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.163, "fair_american": 512, "p_predicted": 0.163, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.127, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 558, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Masyn_Winn|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masyn Winn \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.149, "fair_american": 570, "p_predicted": 0.149, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Loftin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1041, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 574, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Manzardo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 597, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Manzardo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Manzardo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Liam_Hicks|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.543, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.419, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.419, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2973, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tommy_Edman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.512, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.401, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.401, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2929, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.499, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Frelick", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Frelick|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Frelick \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.466, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.465, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.69, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.447, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andy_Pages|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.427, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.422, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2814, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.42, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TBR @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Alexander", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Alexander|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Alexander \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.397, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.389, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "SFG @ COL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trea_Turner|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T01:24:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8534, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T12:45:01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8248 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Derek_Hill|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Derek Hill", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8532, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T12:45:01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8247 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Zach_McKinstry|PP_batter_hrr_under_2_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_2.5", "prob": 0.8653, "edge_pct": 50.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T21:36:18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8653 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ SEA", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.6083, "raw_prob": 0.6494, "edge_pct": 16.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___SEA|UNDER_7_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5959, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 0 @ SEA 4", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "TOR @ SEA: final 0-4 (total 4) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ CHC", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.8875, "edge_pct": 69.42, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|STL___CHC|OVER_8_0|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 4 @ CHC 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "STL @ CHC: final 4-6 (total 10) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_8.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "market": "under_8.5", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_8_5|MLB|NYM___ATL|under_8_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T11:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5698, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 10 @ ATL 9", "total_runs": 19, "verify": "NYM @ ATL: final 10-9 (total 19) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Norway @ Brazil", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Norway @ Brazil", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Norway___Brazil|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Norway 2-1 Brazil", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "erling haaland", "erling haaland", "neymar" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Norway 2-1 Brazil: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "England @ Mexico", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "England @ Mexico", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|England___Mexico|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T11:50:16", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "England 3-2 Mexico", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jude bellingham", "jude bellingham", "juli\u00e1n qui\u00f1ones", "harry kane", "ra\u00fal jim\u00e9nez" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "England 3-2 Mexico: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Caratini|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "BAL @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2536, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Gonzales", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Gonzales|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2121, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Gonzales \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Endy_Rodr_guez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2075, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mark Vientos", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mark_Vientos|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2069, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mark Vientos \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.48, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.48, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.73, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Schuemann", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.256, "fair_american": 291, "p_predicted": 0.256, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Schuemann|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1931, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Schuemann \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.245, "fair_american": 308, "p_predicted": 0.245, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1836, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.541, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Schuemann", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.418, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.418, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Schuemann|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2969, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Schuemann \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Byron_Buxton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Endy_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Endy Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Steven_Kwan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Gonzalez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Gonzalez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Gonzalez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.03, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "PIT @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Caratini|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.552, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.552, "matchup": "MIN @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trent_Grisham|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:40:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T04:45:23" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_plus_hit|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_3|WNBA|DAL___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_3|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 89 @ TOR 76", "team_total": 76, "line": 78.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ TOR: home scored 76 (line 78.3, bet over) on 2026-07-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_85.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_85.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ LV", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_85_7|WNBA|IND___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_85_7|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 84 @ LV 68", "team_total": 68, "line": 85.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ LV: home scored 68 (line 85.7, bet over) on 2026-07-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_2.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jewell loyd", "market": "AST_UNDER_2.0", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "IND @ LV", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_2_0|WNBA|jewell_loyd|AST_UNDER_2_0|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5319, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 1, "line": 2.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jewell loyd \u2014 ast = 1 (line 2.0, bet under) on 2026-07-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "arike ogunbowale", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "DAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|arike_ogunbowale|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4329, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6671, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "arike ogunbowale \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "IND @ LVA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-07-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.684, "fair_american": -217, "p_predicted": 0.684, "matchup": "IND @ LVA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4608, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6777, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nalyssa smith", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "IND @ LVA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|nalyssa_smith|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6617, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "nalyssa smith \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-07-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Campusano", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Campusano|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Campusano \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.361, "fair_american": 177, "p_predicted": 0.361, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.77, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.259, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2509, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.66, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 7, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 7 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Denzer Guzman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Denzer_Guzman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Denzer Guzman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 329, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorge Soler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jorge_Soler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorge Soler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Manny_Machado|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T22:38:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8709, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:11", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "sharp_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "market": "ml_away", "prob": 0.6883, "edge_pct": 11.8, "tier": "ELITE", "shift_pp": 10.47, "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "sharp_elite|MLB|BOS___LAA|ml_away|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5591, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 8 @ LAA 1", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "BOS @ LAA: final 8-1 (total 9) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T11:07:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sung-Mun Song", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Sung_Mun_Song|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4131, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Sung-Mun Song \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Mac Meissner", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Mac_Meissner|TOP_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2718, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Mac Meissner finished T6 (-17) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Doug Ghim", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 222, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Doug_Ghim|TOP_5|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2696, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Doug Ghim finished T6 (-17) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Blair", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.48, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.48, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Zac_Blair|TOP_10|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.08, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4173, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Zac Blair finished T9 (-16) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Christiaan Bezuidenhout", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.761, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.761, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Christiaan_Bezuidenhout|TOP_20|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3145, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Christiaan Bezuidenhout finished T12 (-15) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Phillips", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chandler_Phillips|TOP_20|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chandler Phillips finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Kuchar", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.572, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.572, "matchup": "John Deere Classic", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matt_Kuchar|TOP_20|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7463, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "John Deere Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matt Kuchar finished T15 (-14) at John Deere Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.654, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.48, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.48, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.08, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.4468, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ty_France|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1804, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.243, "fair_american": 312, "p_predicted": 0.243, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.12, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 323, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Campusano", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Campusano|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Campusano \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 388, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 389, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1481, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 443, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1369, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 474, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Lowe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 496, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 497, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.14, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2193, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.291, "fair_american": 244, "p_predicted": 0.291, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andy_Pages|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sung-Mun Song", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 329, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sung_Mun_Song|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sung-Mun Song \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.29, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.3039, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.391, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorge Soler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jorge_Soler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorge Soler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.58, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.58, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:30:51", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8753, "raw_prob": 0.918, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8717, "raw_prob": 0.9139, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.8384, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8709, "raw_prob": 0.913, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8675, "raw_prob": 0.9092, "edge_pct": 50.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Austin_Riley|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_plus_hit|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "sharp_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ LAA", "market": "ml_away", "prob": 0.6923, "edge_pct": 11.2, "tier": "ELITE", "shift_pp": 11.47, "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "sharp_elite|MLB|BOS___LAA|ml_away|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5598, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 7 @ LAA 5", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "BOS @ LAA: final 7-5 (total 12) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T15:57:15" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Starling Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8749, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Starling_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Starling Marte \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8726, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sung-Mun Song", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Sung_Mun_Song|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4131, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Sung-Mun Song \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.654, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.48, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.48, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.08, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4468, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ty_France|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1804, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.243, "fair_american": 312, "p_predicted": 0.243, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 323, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.41, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Campusano", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Campusano|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Campusano \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 388, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 389, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1481, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 443, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1369, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 496, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 497, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2461, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2043, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andy_Pages|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sung-Mun Song", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 329, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sung_Mun_Song|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sung-Mun Song \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3039, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.533, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.413, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.413, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2954, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.453, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gavin Sheets", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gavin_Sheets|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gavin Sheets \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.399, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andy_Pages|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.58, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.58, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T01:24:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jo_Adell|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-19", "recorded_at": "2026-05-19T17:51:17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-20T16:01:12", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-19", "recorded_at": "2026-05-19T17:51:17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-20T16:01:12", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8079 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Shea_Langeliers|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-19", "recorded_at": "2026-05-19T17:51:17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-20T16:01:12", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Max_Muncy|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-19", "recorded_at": "2026-05-19T17:51:17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-20T16:01:12", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.919 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jo_Adell|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-20", "recorded_at": "2026-05-20T16:01:12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-21T08:02:17", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-20", "recorded_at": "2026-05-20T16:01:12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-21T08:02:17", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8079 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Shea_Langeliers|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-20", "recorded_at": "2026-05-20T16:01:12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-21T08:02:17", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Max_Muncy|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-20", "recorded_at": "2026-05-20T16:01:12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-21T08:02:17", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.919 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-20", "recorded_at": "2026-05-20T11:11:38", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-21T08:02:17", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8079 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|James_Outman|PP_batter_total_bases_under_2_5|2026-05-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "James Outman", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_2.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-20", "recorded_at": "2026-05-20T11:11:38", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-21T08:02:17", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-05-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-20", "recorded_at": "2026-05-20T11:11:38", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-21T08:02:17", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8079 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alec_Burleson|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-21", "recorded_at": "2026-05-21T12:53:55", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-22T07:53:35", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.919 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Keibert_Ruiz|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Keibert Ruiz", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-21", "recorded_at": "2026-05-21T12:53:55", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-22T07:53:35", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Joe_Mack|PP_batter_total_bases_under_2_5|2026-05-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_2.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-21", "recorded_at": "2026-05-21T12:53:55", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-22T07:53:35", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nick_Kurtz|PP_batter_total_bases_under_3_5|2026-05-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Kurtz", "market": "PP_batter_total_bases_under_3.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-21", "recorded_at": "2026-05-21T12:53:55", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-22T07:53:35", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Rodolfo_Dur_n|PP_batter_hrr_under_2_5|2026-06-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rodolfo Dur\u00e1n", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_2.5", "prob": 0.8569, "edge_pct": 48.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-05", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T23:06:20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8569 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6513, "raw_prob": 0.7077, "edge_pct": 14.9, "fair_american": -131, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___ATL|ML_HOME|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6556, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 7 @ ATL 6", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "NYM @ ATL: final 7-6 (total 13) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_14.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Novak Djokovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_14.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Novak Djokovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_14_5|TENNIS|Novak_Djokovic_vs_Felix_Auger_Aliassime|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_14_5|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T05:50:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3395, "outcome": { "match": "Novak Djokovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "winner": "Novak Djokovic", "sets": "3-2", "total_games": 57, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_14.5", "verify": "Novak Djokovic won 3-2 (57 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_14.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T23:07:24" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17_5|TENNIS|Coco_Gauff_vs_Jessica_Pegula|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17_5|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T05:50:10", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula", "winner": "Coco Gauff", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 28, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "verify": "Coco Gauff won 2-1 (28 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Walls", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8702, "raw_prob": 0.9122, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Taylor_Walls|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:58", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Walls \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Spain @ Portugal", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Spain @ Portugal", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Spain___Portugal|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T15:57:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Spain 1-0 Portugal", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "mikel merino" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Spain 1-0 Portugal: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T04:27:42" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Belgium @ United States", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Belgium @ United States", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Belgium___United_States|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T15:57:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Belgium 4-1 United States", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "charles de ketelaere", "malik tillman", "charles de ketelaere", "hans vanaken", "romelu lukaku" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Belgium 4-1 United States: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T04:27:42" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_plus_hit|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Derek Hill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Derek_Hill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2295, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Derek Hill \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.36, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2062, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Derek Hill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Derek_Hill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Derek Hill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7463, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "PHI @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Harper|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T18:06:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_plus_hit|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71_4|WNBA|GOL___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71_4|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 62 @ WSH 49", "team_total": 49, "line": 71.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ WSH: home scored 49 (line 71.4, bet over) on 2026-07-06" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ MIN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_7|WNBA|CONN___MIN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_7|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 90 @ MIN 89", "team_total": 89, "line": 72.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ MIN: home scored 89 (line 72.7, bet over) on 2026-07-06" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ LA", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_6|WNBA|SEA___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_6|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 82 @ LA 64", "team_total": 64, "line": 75.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ LA: home scored 64 (line 75.6, bet over) on 2026-07-06" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.62, "fair_american": -163, "p_predicted": 0.62, "matchup": "SEA @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6135, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.62, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T06:41:13" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "alanna smith", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "CON @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_0|WNBA|alanna_smith|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_0|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.661, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alanna smith \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T03:49:48" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.667, "fair_american": -201, "p_predicted": 0.667, "matchup": "SEA @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4975, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.6539, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T06:41:13" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 11, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 tb = 11 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|A_J__Ewing|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.316, "fair_american": 216, "p_predicted": 0.316, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.218, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2121, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2082, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|William_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willy_Adames|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Gim_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jordan_Walker|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Masyn_Winn|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masyn Winn \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Manny_Machado|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T23:33:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2439, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8759, "raw_prob": 0.9187, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Joey_Ortiz|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8759, "raw_prob": 0.9187, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Lourdes_Gurriel_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8757, "raw_prob": 0.9184, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8742, "raw_prob": 0.9167, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8717, "raw_prob": 0.9139, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8384, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 8, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 hrr = 8 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Walls", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8702, "raw_prob": 0.9122, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Taylor_Walls|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Walls \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6102, "raw_prob": 0.6942, "edge_pct": 16.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___SDP|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.599, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 8 @ SD 0", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "ARI @ SD: final 8-0 (total 8) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ LAD", "market": "OVER_10.0", "prob": 0.6021, "raw_prob": 0.8421, "edge_pct": 14.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___LAD|OVER_10_0|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 7 @ LAD 8", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "COL @ LAD: final 7-8 (total 15) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6, "raw_prob": 0.651, "edge_pct": 14.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___SFG|ML_HOME|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.6425, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 1 @ SF 10", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "TOR @ SF: final 1-10 (total 11) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_plus_hit|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8709, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8697, "edge_pct": 50.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Logan_O_Hoppe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.8267, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Logan O'Hoppe \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.361, "fair_american": 177, "p_predicted": 0.361, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.259, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|A_J__Ewing|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 7, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 tb = 7 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.316, "fair_american": 216, "p_predicted": 0.316, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.16, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.218, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2121, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2082, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Church|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willy_Adames|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mauricio_Dub_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mauricio Dub\u00f3n \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Gim_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.544, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.544, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jordan_Walker|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Masyn_Winn|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masyn Winn \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Manny_Machado|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T00:19:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2439, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alec_Bohm|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8535, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T21:23:44", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8248 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jac_Caglianone|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8535, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T21:23:44", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8248 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8534, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T07:02:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T08:14:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8248 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Freddy_Fermin|PP_batter_hrr_under_2_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_2.5", "prob": 0.8537, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T23:09:02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T08:14:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8537 }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Egypt @ Argentina", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Egypt @ Argentina", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Egypt___Argentina|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Egypt 2-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "yasser ibrahim", "mostafa zico", "cristian romero", "lionel messi", "enzo fern\u00e1ndez" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Egypt 2-3 Argentina: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T22:35:56" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Colombia @ Switzerland", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Colombia @ Switzerland", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Colombia___Switzerland|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T10:03:20", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Colombia 0-0 Switzerland", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [ "juan fernando quintero", "granit xhaka", "zeki amdouni", "j\u00e1minton campaz", "cedric itten", "luis d\u00edaz", "rub\u00e9n vargas" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Colombia 0-0 Switzerland: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T23:07:24" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ LAD", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.7656, "edge_pct": 46.17, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|COL___LAD|OVER_9_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T12:40:18", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 7 @ LAD 8", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "COL @ LAD: final 7-8 (total 15) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "raw_prob": 0.9165, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Henry_Bolte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:50", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.289, "fair_american": 246, "p_predicted": 0.289, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.46, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T16:42:57", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T16:42:57", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.27, "fair_american": 270, "p_predicted": 0.27, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T16:42:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2051, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Frelick", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Frelick|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T16:42:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Frelick \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ferm\u00edn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Ferm_n|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T16:42:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ferm\u00edn \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T16:42:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Torres", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryan_Torres|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T16:42:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Torres \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4108, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ NY", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_0|WNBA|DAL___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_0|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 88 @ NY 77", "team_total": 77, "line": 78.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ NY: home scored 77 (line 78.0, bet over) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T06:41:13" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_5|WNBA|CHI___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 77 @ PHX 66", "team_total": 66, "line": 81.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ PHX: home scored 66 (line 81.5, bet over) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T06:41:13" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "marina mabrey", "market": "3PM_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "CHI @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4_5|WNBA|marina_mabrey|3PM_UNDER_4_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4902, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6635, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marina mabrey \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-07-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T04:16:54" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kennedy burke", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "DAL @ NYL", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|kennedy_burke|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5495, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.646, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kennedy burke \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T04:16:54" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Alexander_Zverev_vs_Taylor_Fritz|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz", "winner": "Alexander Zverev", "sets": "3-0", "total_games": 28, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "verify": "Alexander Zverev won 3-0 (28 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T23:10:29" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.585, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3955, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3829, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 249, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1659, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 290, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 386, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Torres", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.198, "fair_american": 405, "p_predicted": 0.198, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryan_Torres|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1447, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Torres \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 420, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Church", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 475, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nathan_Church|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Church \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T17:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2756, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6073, "raw_prob": 0.6663, "edge_pct": 15.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIN|ML_HOME|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:07:24", "p_calibrated": 0.6444, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 1 @ MIN 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "CLE @ MIN: final 1-3 (total 4) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5738, "raw_prob": 0.6386, "edge_pct": 14.2, "fair_american": -101, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___SDP|ML_AWAY|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:07:24", "p_calibrated": 0.5401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 8 @ SD 0", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "ARI @ SD: final 8-0 (total 8) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dalton Rushing", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Dalton_Rushing|1_plus_hit|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dalton Rushing \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cooper Pratt", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cooper_Pratt|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cooper Pratt \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Caratini|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Romy Gonzalez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Romy_Gonzalez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2397, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Romy Gonzalez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.578, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Romy Gonzalez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Romy_Gonzalez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.36, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Romy Gonzalez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Arraez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.511, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Edmundo Sosa", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Edmundo_Sosa|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Edmundo Sosa \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tommy_Edman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Caratini|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.435, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Steven_Kwan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Campusano", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Campusano|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Campusano \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dalton Rushing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dalton_Rushing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dalton Rushing \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.408, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Tovar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Tovar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Caratini|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willson_Contreras|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tommy_Edman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "wc_model_home_ml", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Switzerland @ Argentina", "market": "HOME_ML", "prob": 0.5056, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.5056, "matchup": "Switzerland @ Argentina", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "wc_model_home_ml|WORLDCUP|Switzerland___Argentina|HOME_ML|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:16:39", "p_calibrated": 0.646, "outcome": { "final_score": "Switzerland 1-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "alexis mac allister", "dan ndoye", "juli\u00e1n \u00e1lvarez", "lautaro mart\u00ednez" ], "market": "HOME_ML", "verify": "Switzerland 1-3 Argentina: home won \u2014 HOME_ML" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T04:02:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8759, "raw_prob": 0.9187, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8752, "raw_prob": 0.9179, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "pp_under", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB_PP|Noelvi_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6073, "raw_prob": 0.6663, "edge_pct": 15.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIN|ML_HOME|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6444, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 5 @ MIN 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "CLE @ MIN: final 5-6 (total 11) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T08:17:41" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ LAD", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6018, "raw_prob": 0.7352, "edge_pct": 14.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___LAD|OVER_9_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 4 @ LAD 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "COL @ LAD: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5738, "raw_prob": 0.6386, "edge_pct": 14.2, "fair_american": -101, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___SDP|ML_AWAY|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 1 @ SD 4", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "ARI @ SD: final 1-4 (total 5) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T14:43:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Romy Gonzalez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Romy_Gonzalez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2397, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Romy Gonzalez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.578, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Romy Gonzalez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Romy_Gonzalez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Romy Gonzalez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tommy_Edman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.463, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "TOR @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willson_Contreras|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tommy_Edman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T01:10:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ BAL", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.6169, "raw_prob": 0.7726, "edge_pct": 17.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___BAL|OVER_9_0|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5315, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 9 @ BAL 7", "total_runs": 16, "verify": "CHC @ BAL: final 9-7 (total 16) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T08:17:41" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6114, "raw_prob": 0.7579, "edge_pct": 16.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___PIT|OVER_8_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4952, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 3 @ PIT 0", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "ATL @ PIT: final 3-0 (total 3) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T08:17:41" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Morocco @ France", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Morocco @ France", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Morocco___France|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Morocco 0-2 France", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Morocco 0-2 France: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T23:12:12" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Coco_Gauff_vs_Karolina_Muchova|ML_PLAYER1|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova", "winner": "Karolina Muchova", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 28, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Karolina Muchova won 1-2 (28 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19_5|TENNIS|Coco_Gauff_vs_Karolina_Muchova|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova", "winner": "Karolina Muchova", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 28, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "verify": "Karolina Muchova won 1-2 (28 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ LAD", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|COL___LAD|under_9_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T10:31:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 4 @ LAD 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "COL @ LAD: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T22:43:10" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6022, "raw_prob": 0.6842, "edge_pct": 15.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___SDP|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T15:14:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5858, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 1 @ SD 4", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "ARI @ SD: final 1-4 (total 5) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T04:16:54" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_1|WNBA|GOL___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_1|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T17:23:43", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 83 @ TOR 75", "team_total": 75, "line": 73.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ TOR: home scored 75 (line 73.1, bet over) on 2026-07-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T05:32:50" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ CONN", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_5|WNBA|MIN___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T17:23:43", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 86 @ CON 80", "team_total": 80, "line": 72.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ CON: home scored 80 (line 72.5, bet over) on 2026-07-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T05:32:50" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ LA", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80_8|WNBA|IND___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80_8|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T17:23:43", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 92 @ LA 106", "team_total": 106, "line": 80.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ LA: home scored 106 (line 80.8, bet over) on 2026-07-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T05:32:50" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "IND @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4902, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T17:23:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6635, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-07-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T04:27:39" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kayla mcbride", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -216, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "MIN @ CON", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|kayla_mcbride|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.463, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T17:23:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6651, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kayla mcbride \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T05:32:50" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "lexie hull", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.626, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.626, "matchup": "IND @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|lexie_hull|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5988, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T17:23:43", "p_calibrated": 0.626, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "lexie hull \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T04:27:39" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "IND @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4184, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T17:23:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6829, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 4, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 4 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T04:27:39" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nalyssa smith", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.632, "fair_american": -171, "p_predicted": 0.632, "matchup": "IND @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|nalyssa_smith|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5848, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T17:23:43", "p_calibrated": 0.665, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "nalyssa smith \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T04:27:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.5957, "raw_prob": 0.6328, "edge_pct": 13.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___CHW|UNDER_9_0|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:10:29", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 5 @ CHW 0", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "BOS @ CHW: final 5-0 (total 5) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T11:24:43" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "market": "UNDER_9.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.04, "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|PHI___CIN|UNDER_9_5|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:10:29", "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 5 @ CIN 11", "total_runs": 16, "verify": "PHI @ CIN: final 5-11 (total 16) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T11:24:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 8, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 8 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.64, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|A_J__Ewing|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|A_J__Ewing|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7463, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kody_Clemens|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "COL @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T23:32:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.5823, "raw_prob": 0.7029, "edge_pct": 20.5, "fair_american": 107, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIN|ML_HOME|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.638, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 5 @ MIN 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CLE @ MIN: final 5-2 (total 7) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ LAD", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6035, "raw_prob": 0.7368, "edge_pct": 15.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___LAD|OVER_9_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4783, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 3 @ LAD 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "COL @ LAD: final 3-4 (total 7) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:37:30" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6023, "raw_prob": 0.6824, "edge_pct": 15.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___SDP|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.5859, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 4 @ SD 10", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "ARI @ SD: final 4-10 (total 14) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T15:37:30" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ CHW", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.5957, "raw_prob": 0.6328, "edge_pct": 13.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___CHW|UNDER_9_0|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 2 @ CHW 1", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "BOS @ CHW: final 2-1 (total 3) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "market": "UNDER_9.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.04, "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|PHI___CIN|UNDER_9_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 1 @ CIN 0", "total_runs": 1, "verify": "PHI @ CIN: final 1-0 (total 1) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48" }, { "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8752, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Noelvi_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Soto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "MIL @ STL", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ STL", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.609, "raw_prob": 0.6514, "edge_pct": 16.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___STL|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:17:41", "p_calibrated": 0.597, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 8 @ STL 4", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "MIL @ STL: final 8-4 (total 12) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.6053, "raw_prob": 0.6458, "edge_pct": 15.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___SDP|UNDER_9_0|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:17:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5909, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 4 @ SD 10", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "ARI @ SD: final 4-10 (total 14) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-09T21:04:31" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ MIA", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.5987, "raw_prob": 0.6359, "edge_pct": 14.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___MIA|UNDER_8_0|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:17:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 4 @ MIA 8", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "SEA @ MIA: final 4-8 (total 12) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "charles leclerc", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|charles_leclerc|TOP_3|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:55:00", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 5, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Charles Leclerc qualifying P5 at Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T21:41:49" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lando norris", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|lando_norris|TOP_3|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:55:00", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 3, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Lando Norris qualifying P3 at Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T21:41:49" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "carlos sainz", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|carlos_sainz|TOP_3|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:55:00", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 15, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Carlos Sainz qualifying P15 at Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T21:41:49" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "oscar piastri", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|oscar_piastri|TOP_3|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:55:00", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 7, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Oscar Piastri qualifying P7 at Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T21:41:49" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "george russell", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.604, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.604, "matchup": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|george_russell|TOP_3|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:55:00", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 4, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "George Russell qualifying P4 at Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T21:41:49" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lewis hamilton", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|lewis_hamilton|TOP_6|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:55:00", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 6, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Lewis Hamilton qualifying P6 at Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T21:41:49" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "fernando alonso", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|fernando_alonso|TOP_6|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:55:00", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 21, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Fernando Alonso qualifying P21 at Mo\u00ebt & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T21:41:49" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21_5|TENNIS|Novak_Djokovic_vs_Jannik_Sinner|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T08:55:00", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner", "winner": "Jannik Sinner", "sets": "0-3", "total_games": 30, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "verify": "Jannik Sinner won 0-3 (30 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T23:03:04" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan O'Hearn", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_O_Hearn|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T15:55:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan O'Hearn \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan O'Hearn", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Ryan_O_Hearn|1_plus_hit|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan O'Hearn \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Reese vs Ryan Gandra", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "Zach Reese vs Ryan Gandra", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Zach_Reese_vs_Ryan_Gandra|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.95, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Zach Reese vs Ryan Gandra", "winner": "Ryan Gandra", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ryan Gandra def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T21:42:22" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scott Jamieson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Scott_Jamieson|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2887, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T71", "to_par": 8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Scott Jamieson finished T71 (8) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bernd Wiesberger", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Bernd_Wiesberger|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2869, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Bernd Wiesberger finished MC (3) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Armitage", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Marcus_Armitage|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2852, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Marcus Armitage finished T26 (-6) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Min Woo Lee", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Min_Woo_Lee|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.23, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2696, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Min Woo Lee finished T2 (-15) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Kim", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 526, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Tom_Kim|TOP_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Tom Kim finished T1 (-17) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.227, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ BAL", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "CHC @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|CHC___BAL|under_9_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 2 @ BAL 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "CHC @ BAL: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan O'Hearn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_O_Hearn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan O'Hearn \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "CHC @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Schuemann", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Schuemann|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Schuemann \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "CHC @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T16:35:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "CHC @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4462, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jos__Caballero|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brett_Baty|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tom_Kim|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tom Kim finished T1 (-17) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Koepka", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Brooks_Koepka|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2768, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Brooks Koepka finished MC (0) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Thorbjornsen", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.316, "fair_american": 216, "p_predicted": 0.316, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Thorbjornsen|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.16, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2704, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Thorbjornsen finished T7 (-12) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Reed", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Patrick_Reed|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2698, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Patrick Reed finished T13 (-9) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Ayora", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Angel_Ayora|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2695, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Angel Ayora finished MC (0) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kurt Kitayama", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kurt_Kitayama|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2689, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T44", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kurt Kitayama finished T44 (-3) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Oliver Lindell", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.302, "fair_american": 231, "p_predicted": 0.302, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Oliver_Lindell|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2685, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T36", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Oliver Lindell finished T36 (-4) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Smith", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.302, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.302, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jordan_Smith|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2685, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jordan Smith finished T21 (-7) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Novak", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Andrew_Novak|TOP_10|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2684, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T61", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Andrew Novak finished T61 (1) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Wyndham Clark", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.469, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.469, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Wyndham_Clark|TOP_20|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.13, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3603, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Wyndham Clark finished T13 (-9) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_1|WNBA|SEA___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_1|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 78 @ ATL 89", "team_total": 89, "line": 76.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ ATL: home scored 89 (line 76.1, bet over) on 2026-07-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T06:25:05" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_2|WNBA|IND___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_2|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 92 @ PHX 89", "team_total": 89, "line": 81.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ PHX: home scored 89 (line 81.2, bet over) on 2026-07-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T06:25:05" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ POR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_5|WNBA|LV___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 88 @ POR 80", "team_total": 80, "line": 78.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ POR: home scored 80 (line 78.5, bet over) on 2026-07-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T06:25:05" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "IND @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|natasha_cloud|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4167, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6682, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "natasha cloud \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-07-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T06:29:20" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.777, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.741, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.548, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.682, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Schuemann", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.494, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.494, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Max_Schuemann|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Schuemann \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.576, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3745, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|A_J__Ewing|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan O'Hearn", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_O_Hearn|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan O'Hearn \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "CHC @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.29, "fair_american": 244, "p_predicted": 0.29, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1686, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.256, "fair_american": 290, "p_predicted": 0.256, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Juan_Soto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.9, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 333, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "CHC @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.19, "fair_american": 427, "p_predicted": 0.19, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.27, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1403, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.179, "fair_american": 459, "p_predicted": 0.179, "matchup": "CHC @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.135, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 490, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jos__Caballero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 577, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 613, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.539, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Soto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.564, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.564, "matchup": "KCR @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Juan_Soto|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Soto \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "NYY @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yandy_D_az|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T17:50:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ STL", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6402, "raw_prob": 0.7021, "edge_pct": 11.8, "fair_american": -134, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___STL|ML_AWAY|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7463, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:12:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5511, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 8 @ STL 4", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "MIL @ STL: final 8-4 (total 12) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T12:38:40" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.5676, "raw_prob": 0.6132, "edge_pct": 8.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___TEX|OVER_7_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:12:12", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 13 @ TEX 1", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "LAA @ TEX: final 13-1 (total 14) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T12:38:40" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:12:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Ayora", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Angel_Ayora|TOP_20|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5271, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Angel Ayora finished MC (0) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rasmus H\u00f8jgaard", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.499, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.499, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rasmus_H_jgaard|TOP_20|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5216, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T36", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rasmus H\u00f8jgaard finished T36 (-4) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kurt Kitayama", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kurt_Kitayama|TOP_20|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5262, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T44", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kurt Kitayama finished T44 (-3) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Oliver Lindell", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Oliver_Lindell|TOP_20|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5257, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T36", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Oliver Lindell finished T36 (-4) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Reed", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Reed|TOP_20|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5255, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Reed finished T13 (-9) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Novak", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Andrew_Novak|TOP_20|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5267, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T61", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Andrew Novak finished T61 (1) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Paula Badosa vs Yulia Putintseva", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "Paula Badosa vs Yulia Putintseva", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Paula_Badosa_vs_Yulia_Putintseva|ML_PLAYER1|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4739, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.679, "outcome": { "match": "Paula Badosa vs Yulia Putintseva", "winner": "Paula Badosa", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 15, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Paula Badosa won 2-0 (15 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_16.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Paula Badosa vs Yulia Putintseva", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Paula Badosa vs Yulia Putintseva", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_16_5|TENNIS|Paula_Badosa_vs_Yulia_Putintseva|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16_5|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Paula Badosa vs Yulia Putintseva", "winner": "Paula Badosa", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 15, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16.5", "verify": "Paula Badosa won 2-0 (15 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.278, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.278, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Kepler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Kepler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Kepler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trea_Turner|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-09T23:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.6054, "raw_prob": 0.6515, "edge_pct": 15.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___SDP|UNDER_9_0|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T02:24:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5911, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 3 @ SD 1", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "ARI @ SD: final 3-1 (total 4) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.5676, "raw_prob": 0.6132, "edge_pct": 8.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___TEX|OVER_7_5|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T02:24:16", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 6 @ TEX 7", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "LAA @ TEX: final 6-7 (total 13) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T02:24:16", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T02:24:16", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.278, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.278, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T02:24:16", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T02:24:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T02:24:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "PHI @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T02:24:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T02:24:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ SFG", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6138, "raw_prob": 0.7688, "edge_pct": 17.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___SFG|OVER_8_5|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48", "p_calibrated": 0.51, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 2 @ SF 8", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "COL @ SF: final 2-8 (total 10) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T22:39:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6134, "raw_prob": 0.8893, "edge_pct": 17.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___CIN|OVER_9_5|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5072, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 0 @ CIN 4", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "CHC @ CIN: final 0-4 (total 4) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T07:07:37" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ TBR", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.12, "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|SEA___TBR|UNDER_8_0|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48", "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 2 @ TB 7", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "SEA @ TB: final 2-7 (total 9) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T07:07:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rasmus H\u00f8jgaard", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.459, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.459, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rasmus_H_jgaard|TOP_10|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3474, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T36", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rasmus H\u00f8jgaard finished T36 (-4) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Thorbjornsen", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Michael_Thorbjornsen|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5255, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Michael Thorbjornsen finished T7 (-12) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Belgium @ Spain", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Belgium @ Spain", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Belgium___Spain|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T09:55:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Belgium 1-2 Spain", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "fabi\u00e1n ruiz", "charles de ketelaere", "mikel merino" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Belgium 1-2 Spain: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T22:39:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Cantlay", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Patrick_Cantlay|TOP_10|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Patrick Cantlay finished MC (-1) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5302, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T3 (-13) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Danny Willett", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.487, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.487, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Danny_Willett|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52", "p_calibrated": 0.4557, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Danny Willett finished T21 (-7) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Sullivan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Andy_Sullivan|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5262, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Andy Sullivan finished T30 (-5) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Conners", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.494, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.494, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Corey_Conners|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T16:33:52", "p_calibrated": 0.4941, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T52", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Corey Conners finished T52 (-1) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nicolai von Dellingshausen", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.572, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.572, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Nicolai_von_Dellingshausen|TOP_10|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T52", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Nicolai von Dellingshausen finished T52 (-1) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Danny Willett", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Danny_Willett|TOP_10|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2825, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Danny Willett finished T21 (-7) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Karl Vilips", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.361, "fair_american": 177, "p_predicted": 0.361, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Karl_Vilips|TOP_10|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.279, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Karl Vilips finished T30 (-5) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Joost Luiten", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Joost_Luiten|TOP_10|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2753, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Joost Luiten finished T17 (-8) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Gotterup", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chris_Gotterup|TOP_10|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.274, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chris Gotterup finished T11 (-10) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Min Woo Lee", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Min_Woo_Lee|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.5264, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Min Woo Lee finished T2 (-15) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Guido Migliozzi", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.471, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.471, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Guido_Migliozzi|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3679, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T59", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Guido Migliozzi finished T59 (0) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Darius Van Driel", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.457, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.457, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Darius_Van_Driel|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3449, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T44", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Darius Van Driel finished T44 (-3) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Roy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kevin_Roy|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.22, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3359, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kevin Roy finished T11 (-10) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Gerard", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.455, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.455, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ryan_Gerard|TOP_20|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3423, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ryan Gerard finished T26 (-6) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ CONN", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_7|WNBA|GOL___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_7|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 79 @ CON 64", "team_total": 64, "line": 72.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ CON: home scored 64 (line 72.7, bet over) on 2026-07-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T06:29:20" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_4|WNBA|DAL___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_4|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 108 @ TOR 95", "team_total": 95, "line": 76.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ TOR: home scored 95 (line 76.4, bet over) on 2026-07-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T06:29:20" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ LA", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_5|WNBA|CHI___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_5|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 87 @ LA 102", "team_total": 102, "line": 78.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ LA: home scored 102 (line 78.5, bet over) on 2026-07-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T06:29:20" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "arike ogunbowale", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "DAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|arike_ogunbowale|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4082, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T17:43:17", "p_calibrated": 0.6689, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "arike ogunbowale \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T06:29:20" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ TBR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6099, "raw_prob": 0.7046, "edge_pct": 16.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___TBR|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T23:03:04", "p_calibrated": 0.5985, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 2 @ TB 7", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "SEA @ TB: final 2-7 (total 9) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T11:27:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Perez", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Victor_Perez|TOP_10|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T23:16:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5295, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Victor Perez finished T9 (-11) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Nicolai_H_jgaard|TOP_10|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T23:16:38", "p_calibrated": 0.27, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard finished T26 (-6) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T23:16:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T14:18:30" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "ARI @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tommy_Edman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T23:16:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.447, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "ARI @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T23:16:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.552, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.552, "matchup": "ARI @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tommy_Edman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-10T23:16:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6164, "raw_prob": 0.8863, "edge_pct": 17.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___CIN|OVER_9_5|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T01:06:37", "p_calibrated": 0.5281, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 5 @ CIN 3", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CHC @ CIN: final 5-3 (total 8) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T05:27:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ TBR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6099, "raw_prob": 0.7046, "edge_pct": 16.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___TBR|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T01:06:37", "p_calibrated": 0.5985, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 1 @ TB 6", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "SEA @ TB: final 1-6 (total 7) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T01:06:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.6198, "raw_prob": 0.7254, "edge_pct": 18.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___SDP|UNDER_8_0|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T07:07:37", "p_calibrated": 0.6149, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 5 @ SD 3", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "TOR @ SD: final 5-3 (total 8) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T19:35:46" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ SFG", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.8551, "edge_pct": 63.26, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|COL___SFG|OVER_8_5|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T07:07:37", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 2 @ SF 4", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "COL @ SF: final 2-4 (total 6) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-11T19:35:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.471, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.471, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_10|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.12, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T09:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3679, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T3 (-13) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sudarshan Yellamaraju", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sudarshan_Yellamaraju|TOP_10|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T09:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3256, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T52", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sudarshan Yellamaraju finished T52 (-1) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keita Nakajima", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Keita_Nakajima|TOP_10|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.3, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T09:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3166, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Keita Nakajima finished T3 (-13) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Wyndham Clark", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Wyndham_Clark|TOP_10|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T09:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2702, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Wyndham Clark finished T13 (-9) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.589, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.589, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Nicolai_H_jgaard|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T09:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard finished T26 (-6) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Karl Vilips", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Karl_Vilips|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T09:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Karl Vilips finished T30 (-5) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Alexander_Zverev_vs_Jannik_Sinner|ML_PLAYER2|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5319, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T09:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "match": "Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner", "winner": "Jannik Sinner", "sets": "1-3", "total_games": 45, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Jannik Sinner won 1-3 (45 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19_5|TENNIS|Alexander_Zverev_vs_Jannik_Sinner|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19_5|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T09:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner", "winner": "Jannik Sinner", "sets": "1-3", "total_games": 45, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "verify": "Jannik Sinner won 1-3 (45 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|CHC___CIN|under_9_5|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T09:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 5 @ CIN 3", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CHC @ CIN: final 5-3 (total 8) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T05:27:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "England @ Norway", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "England @ Norway", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|England___Norway|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T14:59:56", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "England 2-1 Norway", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "andreas schjelderup", "jude bellingham", "jude bellingham" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "England 2-1 Norway: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T03:54:32" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Switzerland @ Argentina", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Switzerland @ Argentina", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Switzerland___Argentina|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T14:59:56", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Switzerland 1-3 Argentina", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "alexis mac allister", "dan ndoye", "juli\u00e1n \u00e1lvarez", "lautaro mart\u00ednez" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Switzerland 1-3 Argentina: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T04:02:44" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matti Schmid", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matti_Schmid|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T15:26:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5324, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matti Schmid finished T21 (-7) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom McKibbin", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tom_McKibbin|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T15:26:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5295, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tom McKibbin finished T30 (-5) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 350, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "MIL @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.5, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T15:26:03", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ STL", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5578, "raw_prob": 0.6276, "edge_pct": 16.6, "fair_american": 109, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___STL|ML_AWAY|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T21:42:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5374, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 1 @ STL 4", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "ATL @ STL: final 1-4 (total 5) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T10:02:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6, "raw_prob": 0.7764, "edge_pct": 14.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___SDP|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T21:42:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 5 @ SD 3", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "TOR @ SD: final 5-3 (total 8) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T10:02:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.5946, "raw_prob": 0.8134, "edge_pct": 13.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___CIN|OVER_9_0|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T21:42:22", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 5 @ CIN 3", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CHC @ CIN: final 5-3 (total 8) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T10:02:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Del Rey", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Alejandro_Del_Rey|TOP_10|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T22:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2918, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Alejandro Del Rey finished T17 (-8) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_2|WNBA|POR___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_2|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T22:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 102 @ ATL 92", "team_total": 92, "line": 78.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ ATL: home scored 92 (line 78.2, bet over) on 2026-07-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T11:33:59" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ LV", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80_4|WNBA|PHX___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80_4|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T22:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 58 @ LV 106", "team_total": 106, "line": 80.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ LV: home scored 106 (line 80.4, bet over) on 2026-07-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T11:33:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "HOU @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T22:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "KCR @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T22:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "HOU @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T22:06:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.454, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.454, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rasmus_Neergaard_Petersen|TOP_10|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T23:09:27", "p_calibrated": 0.341, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T36", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finished T36 (-4) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Mac Meissner", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.657, "fair_american": -192, "p_predicted": 0.657, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Mac_Meissner|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T23:09:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Mac Meissner finished T30 (-5) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Armitage", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Marcus_Armitage|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T23:09:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Marcus Armitage finished T26 (-6) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keita Nakajima", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Keita_Nakajima|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5556, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T23:09:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Keita Nakajima finished T3 (-13) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T23:09:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5293, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T13 (-9) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Si Woo Kim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.491, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.491, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Si_Woo_Kim|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T23:09:27", "p_calibrated": 0.4777, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Si Woo Kim finished T9 (-11) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrrell Hatton", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.481, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.481, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tyrrell_Hatton|TOP_20|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.08, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T23:09:27", "p_calibrated": 0.4228, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tyrrell Hatton finished T17 (-8) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-12T21:46:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 361, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "HOU @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-11T23:09:27", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ MIN", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6148, "raw_prob": 0.7719, "edge_pct": 17.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___MIN|OVER_8_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5169, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 2 @ MIN 4", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "LAA @ MIN: final 2-4 (total 6) on 2026-07-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T08:08:32" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ PIT", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.6138, "raw_prob": 0.7692, "edge_pct": 17.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___PIT|OVER_7_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T01:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.51, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 5 @ PIT 14", "total_runs": 19, "verify": "MIL @ PIT: final 5-14 (total 19) on 2026-07-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T08:08:32" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Orlando_Arcia|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Orlando Arcia", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8589, "edge_pct": 49.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T11:40:28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T11:58:21", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8583, "edge_pct": 48.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T11:40:28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T11:58:21", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|David_Hamilton|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.855, "edge_pct": 48.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T23:09:02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T08:14:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8257 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ TEX", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6907, "raw_prob": 0.8237, "edge_pct": 19.1, "fair_american": -138, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___TEX|ML_HOME|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7246, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T05:27:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6657, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 5 @ TEX 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "HOU @ TEX: final 5-6 (total 11) on 2026-07-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T08:08:32" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.615, "raw_prob": 0.7724, "edge_pct": 17.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___CIN|OVER_9_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T06:28:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5183, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 8 @ CIN 4", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "CHC @ CIN: final 8-4 (total 12) on 2026-07-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T08:08:32" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Spain @ France", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Spain @ France", "date": "2026-07-14", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Spain___France|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T06:28:16", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Spain 2-0 France", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "mikel oyarzabal", "pedro porro" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Spain 2-0 France: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-14T21:18:06" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Freddy_Fermin|PP_batter_hrr_under_2_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_2.5", "prob": 0.8537, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T08:14:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:45", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8537 }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ TBR", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.02, "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|SEA___TBR|UNDER_8_0|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:01:29", "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 8 @ TB 2", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "SEA @ TB: final 8-2 (total 10) on 2026-07-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T08:08:32" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Perez", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Victor_Perez|TOP_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2696, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Victor Perez finished T9 (-11) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keita Nakajima", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 249, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Keita_Nakajima|TOP_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.49, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Keita Nakajima finished T3 (-13) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rory McIlroy", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 277, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Rory_McIlroy|TOP_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Rory McIlroy finished T7 (-12) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Johnny Keefer", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.451, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.451, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Johnny_Keefer|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.22, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3371, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Johnny Keefer finished T3 (-13) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Roy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kevin_Roy|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3281, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kevin Roy finished T11 (-10) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Jarvis", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Casey_Jarvis|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.529, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Casey Jarvis finished T21 (-7) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Smith", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.481, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.481, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jordan_Smith|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.4228, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jordan Smith finished T21 (-7) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.477, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.477, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rasmus_Neergaard_Petersen|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T36", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finished T36 (-4) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Joost Luiten", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.495, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.495, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Joost_Luiten|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.02, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.4996, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Joost Luiten finished T17 (-8) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sudarshan Yellamaraju", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.482, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.482, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sudarshan_Yellamaraju|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.4283, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T52", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sudarshan Yellamaraju finished T52 (-1) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T03:57:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 415, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "BOS @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|A_J__Ewing|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:25:08" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "KCR @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T15:27:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Romo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Romo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8581, "edge_pct": 48.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T11:58:20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:45", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8532, "edge_pct": 48.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T23:11:35", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8247 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Luis_Rengifo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Rengifo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8622, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-08", "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T14:14:43", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Caleb_Durbin|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.857, "edge_pct": 48.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-08", "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T14:14:43", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8634, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T12:43:56", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Dylan_Crews|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8626, "edge_pct": 49.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T12:43:56", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Gotterup", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Chris_Gotterup|TOP_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2729, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Chris Gotterup finished T11 (-10) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Si Woo Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Si_Woo_Kim|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.4612, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Si Woo Kim finished T9 (-11) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Viktor Hovland", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Viktor_Hovland|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2745, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Viktor Hovland finished T13 (-9) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Francesco Molinari", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "Genesis Scottish Open", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Francesco_Molinari|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.11, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3844, "outcome": { "tournament": "Genesis Scottish Open", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Francesco Molinari finished T17 (-8) at Genesis Scottish Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_2|WNBA|NY___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_2|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 91 @ TOR 93", "team_total": 93, "line": 73.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ TOR: home scored 93 (line 73.2, bet over) on 2026-07-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_4|WNBA|SEA___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_4|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 79 @ WSH 84", "team_total": 84, "line": 72.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ WSH: home scored 84 (line 72.4, bet over) on 2026-07-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_3|WNBA|CHI___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_3|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 91 @ DAL 96", "team_total": 96, "line": 79.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ DAL: home scored 96 (line 79.3, bet over) on 2026-07-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_85.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_85.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ LV", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_85_6|WNBA|IND___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_85_6|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 109 @ LV 75", "team_total": 75, "line": 85.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ LV: home scored 75 (line 85.6, bet over) on 2026-07-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jewell loyd", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "SEA @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|jewell_loyd|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.662, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jewell loyd \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "arike ogunbowale", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|arike_ogunbowale|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.431, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "arike ogunbowale \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "courtney vandersloot", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.622, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.622, "matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|courtney_vandersloot|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.6569, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "courtney vandersloot \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-07-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.6694, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-07-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "marina mabrey", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.622, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.622, "matchup": "CHI @ DAL", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|marina_mabrey|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T22:06:26", "p_calibrated": 0.647, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marina mabrey \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-07-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Wenceel_P_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wenceel P\u00e9rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8612, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T12:43:56", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T13:12:24", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nick_Fortes|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8667, "edge_pct": 50.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T13:12:24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T19:30:23", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8664, "edge_pct": 50.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T13:12:24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:42:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8655, "edge_pct": 50.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T13:12:24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:42:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Colt_Keith|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8651, "edge_pct": 50.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-11", "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:44", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:42:34", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Austin_Martin|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Martin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8595, "edge_pct": 49.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-11", "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:44", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:42:34", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Manuel Elvira", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Manuel_Elvira|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Manuel Elvira finished T8 (-13) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Thomas Rosenmueller", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Thomas_Rosenmueller|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2799, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Thomas Rosenmueller finished T10 (-12) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Mackenzie Hughes", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Mackenzie_Hughes|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2772, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Mackenzie Hughes finished T10 (-12) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Koivun", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jackson_Koivun|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2772, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jackson Koivun finished T10 (-12) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Hoge", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tom_Hoge|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2728, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tom Hoge finished T10 (-12) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Stephan Jaeger", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Stephan_Jaeger|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2722, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Stephan Jaeger finished T15 (-11) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Blair", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Zac_Blair|TOP_10|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.06, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2719, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Zac Blair finished T8 (-13) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Kohles", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.58, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.58, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_Kohles|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7246, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben Kohles finished T15 (-11) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Campos", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rafael_Campos|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rafael Campos finished T15 (-11) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Takumi Kanaya", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Takumi_Kanaya|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Takumi Kanaya finished T15 (-11) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben James finished T15 (-11) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Phillips", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-12", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chandler_Phillips|TOP_20|2026-07-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-07-12T23:08:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chandler Phillips finished T15 (-11) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Rhys_Hoskins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8641, "edge_pct": 50.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:16:02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:18", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8694, "edge_pct": 50.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:29:46", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Sullivan|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8693, "edge_pct": 50.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:29:46", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8683, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:29:46", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lawrence_Butler|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8703, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-14", "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T12:06:25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:27:54", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Sterlin_Thompson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Sterlin Thompson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8706, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-14", "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T18:20:03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:07", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Chandler_Simpson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8616, "edge_pct": 49.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-14", "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T23:09:07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T06:27:54", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "William Mouw", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|William_Mouw|TOP_10|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2693, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "William Mouw finished T10 (-12) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T23:34:18" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Stephan Jaeger", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "ISCO Championship", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Stephan_Jaeger|TOP_20|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8264, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T11:32:09", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "ISCO Championship", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Stephan Jaeger finished T15 (-11) at ISCO Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-13T23:34:18" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Masataka_Yoshida|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8718, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T13:30:49", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:28", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8401 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alejandro_Osuna|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Osuna", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8718, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T13:30:49", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8401 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8713, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T13:30:49", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8317 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|David_Hamilton|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8708, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T13:30:49", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Logan_O_Hoppe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8717, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T15:29:06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8384 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Tommy_Troy|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Troy", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.871, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T22:35:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jeff_McNeil|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8704, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T12:51:27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Travis_Bazzana|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8677, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:37", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Felipe Franco vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "Felipe Franco vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Felipe_Franco_vs_Levi_Rodrigues_Jr_|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T16:41:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Felipe Franco vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.", "winner": "Felipe Franco", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Felipe Franco def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Kamaru_Usman_vs_Dricus_Du_Plessis|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T16:41:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis", "winner": "Dricus Du Plessis", "ended_round": 5, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Dricus Du Plessis def. opponent (ended R5) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 301, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jared_Cannonier_vs_Christian_Leroy_Dunca|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T16:41:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan", "winner": "Christian Leroy Duncan", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Christian Leroy Duncan def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.214, "fair_american": 367, "p_predicted": 0.214, "matchup": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jean_Paul_Lebosnoyani_vs_Seokhyeon_Ko|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T16:41:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3411, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko", "winner": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 421, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Chase_Hooper_vs_Mitch_Ramirez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.21, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T16:41:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez", "winner": "Chase Hooper", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Chase Hooper def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Alberto Montes vs Tommy McMillen", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.189, "fair_american": 430, "p_predicted": 0.189, "matchup": "Alberto Montes vs Tommy McMillen", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Alberto_Montes_vs_Tommy_McMillen|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T16:41:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Alberto Montes vs Tommy McMillen", "winner": "Tommy McMillen", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tommy McMillen def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.185, "fair_american": 440, "p_predicted": 0.185, "matchup": "Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Austin_Bashi_vs_Jose_Miguel_Delgado|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T16:41:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "winner": "Jose Miguel Delgado", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jose Miguel Delgado def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Everson_Pereira|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Everson Pereira", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8652, "edge_pct": 50.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T23:26:37", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80_2|WNBA|LA___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80_2|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T17:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 92 @ ATL 101", "team_total": 101, "line": 80.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ ATL: home scored 101 (line 80.2, bet over) on 2026-07-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-14T06:29:08" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ MIN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_0|WNBA|PHX___MIN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_0|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T17:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 100 @ MIN 104", "team_total": 104, "line": 78.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ MIN: home scored 104 (line 78.0, bet over) on 2026-07-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-14T06:29:08" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.656, "fair_american": -191, "p_predicted": 0.656, "matchup": "LAS @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_4_5|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5236, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T17:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6615, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-07-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-14T06:29:08" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_4.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_4.0", "prob": 0.687, "fair_american": -220, "p_predicted": 0.687, "matchup": "LAS @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-13", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_4_0|WNBA|rhyne_howard|BLK_STL_UNDER_4_0|2026-07-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4545, "recorded_at": "2026-07-13T17:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.657, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 4.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 4.0, bet under) on 2026-07-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-14T06:29:08" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Mickey_Gasper|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8721, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-18", "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T12:17:08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8451, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-06-18", "check": "verified" } }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-19", "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:28", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8738, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-19", "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:28", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Hunter_Feduccia|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8737, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-19", "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T12:50:30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:28", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Hao_Yu_Lee|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8719, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-19", "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T16:40:48", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:28", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8418 }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-14", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_6|WNBA|WAS___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_6|2026-07-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-14T21:52:33", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 79 @ TOR 62", "team_total": 62, "line": 76.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ TOR: home scored 62 (line 76.6, bet over) on 2026-07-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-15T10:17:21" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Argentina @ England", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Argentina @ England", "date": "2026-07-15", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Argentina___England|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-15T10:17:21", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Argentina 2-1 England", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "anthony gordon", "enzo fern\u00e1ndez", "lautaro mart\u00ednez" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Argentina 2-1 England: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-15T22:39:30" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ IND", "date": "2026-07-15", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_6|WNBA|GOL___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_6|2026-07-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-15T22:39:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 88 @ IND 75", "team_total": 75, "line": 76.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ IND: home scored 75 (line 76.6, bet over) on 2026-07-15" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T11:56:57" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "England @ France", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "England @ France", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|England___France|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T10:22:26", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "England 6-4 France", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 10, "scorers": [ "declan rice", "ezri konsa", "bukayo saka", "bukayo saka", "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "bradley barcola", "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "bukayo saka", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "jude bellingham" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "England 6-4 France: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T23:14:05" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Damien Anderson vs Ezra Elliott", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 424, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "Damien Anderson vs Ezra Elliott", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Damien_Anderson_vs_Ezra_Elliott|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T15:49:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Damien Anderson vs Ezra Elliott", "winner": "Ezra Elliott", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ezra Elliott def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T22:50:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T15:49:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2723, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T28 (-2) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Thomas Detry", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 503, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Thomas_Detry|TOP_5|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T15:49:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T40", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Thomas Detry finished T40 (-1) at The Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Brown", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Daniel_Brown|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T17:08:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5324, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Daniel Brown finished T18 (-3) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson DeChambeau", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Bryson_DeChambeau|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T17:08:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3384, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Bryson DeChambeau finished T14 (-4) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.404, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.404, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T17:08:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2979, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T4 (-7) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Thomas Detry", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Thomas_Detry|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T17:08:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2807, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T40", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Thomas Detry finished T40 (-1) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Smalley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Alex_Smalley|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T17:08:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2763, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T53", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Alex Smalley finished T53 (1) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Francesco Molinari", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Francesco_Molinari|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T17:08:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2752, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T46", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Francesco Molinari finished T46 (0) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Laurie Canter", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Laurie_Canter|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T17:08:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T71", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Laurie Canter finished T71 (6) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Gerard", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ryan_Gerard|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T17:08:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2732, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ryan Gerard finished T9 (-5) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "MJ Daffue", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|MJ_Daffue|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T22:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2747, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T71", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "MJ Daffue finished T71 (6) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Collin Morikawa", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Collin_Morikawa|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T22:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2699, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Collin Morikawa finished T18 (-3) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71_8|WNBA|POR___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71_8|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T22:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 75 @ WSH 56", "team_total": 56, "line": 71.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ WSH: home scored 56 (line 71.8, bet over) on 2026-07-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T11:43:58" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Sebastian Baez vs Andrey Rublev", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "Sebastian Baez vs Andrey Rublev", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Sebastian_Baez_vs_Andrey_Rublev|ML_PLAYER2|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3759, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T22:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.727, "outcome": { "match": "Sebastian Baez vs Andrey Rublev", "winner": "Andrey Rublev", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 15, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Andrey Rublev won 0-2 (15 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T15:19:02" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_15.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Sebastian Baez vs Andrey Rublev", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_15.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Sebastian Baez vs Andrey Rublev", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_15_5|TENNIS|Sebastian_Baez_vs_Andrey_Rublev|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_15_5|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T22:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Sebastian Baez vs Andrey Rublev", "winner": "Andrey Rublev", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 15, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_15.5", "verify": "Andrey Rublev won 0-2 (15 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_15.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-17T15:19:02" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brice_Matthews|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Matthews", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.873, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-20", "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T11:14:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:31", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sungjae Im", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sungjae_Im|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T23:13:58", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sungjae Im finished T14 (-4) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Cameron Young", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.319, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.319, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Cameron_Young|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.14, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T23:13:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2708, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Cameron Young finished T2 (-9) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Pierceson Coody", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Pierceson_Coody|TOP_10|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T23:13:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2707, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Pierceson Coody finished T28 (-2) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Collin Morikawa", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.499, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.499, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Collin_Morikawa|TOP_20|2026-07-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-16T23:13:58", "p_calibrated": 0.5216, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Collin Morikawa finished T18 (-3) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Henry_Bolte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8718, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-20", "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:08:14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:31", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8401 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Mitch_Garver|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Mitch Garver", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.87, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-20", "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T23:08:14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:31", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Wallace", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matt_Wallace|TOP_10|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:19:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2721, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T40", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matt Wallace finished T40 (-1) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sepp Straka", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sepp_Straka|TOP_20|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:19:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3384, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T67", "to_par": 4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sepp Straka finished T67 (4) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ LA Galaxy", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "LAFC @ LA Galaxy", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|LAFC___LA_Galaxy|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3953, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:19:02", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 3-0 LA Galaxy", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "mark delgado", "denis bouanga", "son heung-min" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "LAFC 3-0 LA Galaxy: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T06:27:46" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Nashville SC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Nashville SC", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Nashville_SC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:19:02", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 0-1 Nashville SC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "shakur mohammed" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Atlanta United FC 0-1 Nashville SC: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T03:38:11" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ LA Galaxy", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "LAFC @ LA Galaxy", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|LAFC___LA_Galaxy|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:19:02", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 3-0 LA Galaxy", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "mark delgado", "denis bouanga", "son heung-min" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "LAFC 3-0 LA Galaxy: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T06:27:46" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Nashville SC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -262, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Nashville SC", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Nashville_SC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:19:02", "p_calibrated": 0.6288, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 0-1 Nashville SC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "shakur mohammed" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Atlanta United FC 0-1 Nashville SC: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T03:38:11" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ LA Galaxy", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -300, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "LAFC @ LA Galaxy", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|LAFC___LA_Galaxy|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3333, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:19:02", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 3-0 LA Galaxy", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "mark delgado", "denis bouanga", "son heung-min" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "LAFC 3-0 LA Galaxy: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T06:27:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Burns", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sam_Burns|TOP_10|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:46:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sam Burns finished T3 (-8) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bud Cauley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Bud_Cauley|TOP_10|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:46:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Bud Cauley finished T18 (-3) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Alex_Fitzpatrick|TOP_10|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:46:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2725, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T71", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Alex Fitzpatrick finished T71 (6) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryo Hisatsune", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ryo_Hisatsune|TOP_10|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:46:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2713, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T53", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ryo Hisatsune finished T53 (1) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson DeChambeau", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Bryson_DeChambeau|TOP_20|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:46:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5286, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Bryson DeChambeau finished T14 (-4) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Shane Lowry", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.499, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.499, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Shane_Lowry|TOP_20|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:46:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5216, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Shane Lowry finished T28 (-2) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "TBR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T15:46:48", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.484, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.484, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_20|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.4392, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T28 (-2) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ IND", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_4|WNBA|SEA___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_4|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 107 @ IND 110", "team_total": 110, "line": 77.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ IND: home scored 110 (line 77.4, bet over) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_7|WNBA|ATL___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_7|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 111 @ TOR 92", "team_total": 92, "line": 78.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ TOR: home scored 92 (line 78.7, bet over) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ CHI", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_3|WNBA|LA___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_3|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 82 @ CHI 96", "team_total": 96, "line": 78.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ CHI: home scored 96 (line 78.3, bet over) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_8|WNBA|CONN___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_8|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 96 @ PHX 83", "team_total": 83, "line": 74.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ PHX: home scored 83 (line 74.8, bet over) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "AST_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "ATL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|AST_UNDER_3_5|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.652, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 ast = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "AST_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "LA @ CHI", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_1_5|WNBA|angel_reese|AST_OVER_1_5|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5319, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 ast = 2 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "marina mabrey", "market": "3PM_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.661, "fair_american": -195, "p_predicted": 0.661, "matchup": "LAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4_5|WNBA|marina_mabrey|3PM_UNDER_4_5|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5128, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6621, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marina mabrey \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_4.0", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "ATL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4_0|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_4_0|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6694, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 4.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 4.0, bet under) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "LAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.643, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "brittney griner", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "ATL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|brittney_griner|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6692, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brittney griner \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "LAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5714, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.668, "fair_american": -201, "p_predicted": 0.668, "matchup": "ATL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4975, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.654, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-18T11:26:36" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.57, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "TBR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3618, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BAL @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "LAD @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "SDP @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "BAL @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T22:30:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jimmy_Crooks|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Crooks", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8727, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T11:46:34", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:31", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8679, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:13:33", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:21", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8668, "edge_pct": 50.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:13:33", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:21", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Derek_Hill|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Derek Hill", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8631, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:13:33", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:21", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Marcus_Semien|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8572, "edge_pct": 48.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T23:13:33", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:21", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "TBR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4084, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "CHW @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4154, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Gray", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "MIN @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tristan_Gray|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tristan Gray \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Walls", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "TBR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Taylor_Walls|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Walls \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Si Woo Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Si_Woo_Kim|TOP_10|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5352, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Si Woo Kim finished T6 (-6) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jon Rahm", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.404, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.404, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jon_Rahm|TOP_10|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2979, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T46", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jon Rahm finished T46 (0) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_10|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2821, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T4 (-7) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bud Cauley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.6, "fair_american": -150, "p_predicted": 0.6, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Bud_Cauley|TOP_20|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6667, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Bud Cauley finished T18 (-3) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Thomas Detry", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.603, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.603, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Thomas_Detry|TOP_20|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T40", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Thomas Detry finished T40 (-1) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Francesco Molinari", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.576, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.576, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Francesco_Molinari|TOP_20|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T46", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Francesco Molinari finished T46 (0) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.669, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "LAD @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "BAL @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "LAD @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "CIN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1813, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.285, "fair_american": 251, "p_predicted": 0.285, "matchup": "CHW @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1641, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 268, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "BAL @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1524, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 277, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "TBR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.224, "fair_american": 346, "p_predicted": 0.224, "matchup": "BAL @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "CIN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "STL @ ARI", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.572, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.572, "matchup": "CIN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-17T23:11:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-22", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8721, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-22", "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T14:27:24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:02", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8451 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-22", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8727, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-22", "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T18:22:17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:02", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Joey_Loperfido|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Loperfido", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8736, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-23", "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T16:46:57", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:04", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ ATL", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.639, "raw_prob": 0.7673, "edge_pct": 22.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___ATL|UNDER_9_0|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T06:47:39", "p_calibrated": 0.6467, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 7 @ ATL 6", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "TEX @ ATL: final 7-6 (total 13) on 2026-07-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "PIT @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Steven_Kwan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:01:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "PIT @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.4432, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -150, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_10|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T28 (-2) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Schauffele", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Xander_Schauffele|TOP_10|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2723, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Xander Schauffele finished T18 (-3) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T14 (-4) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sungjae Im", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sungjae_Im|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7692, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sungjae Im finished T14 (-4) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T4 (-7) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Thomas", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Thomas|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T65", "to_par": 3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Thomas finished T65 (3) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Reed", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Reed|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5288, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T46", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Reed finished T46 (0) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rasmus_Neergaard_Petersen|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5257, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finished T9 (-5) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.475, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.475, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Alex_Fitzpatrick|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3898, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T71", "to_par": 6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Alex Fitzpatrick finished T71 (6) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Wallace", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.47, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.47, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matt_Wallace|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3624, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T40", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matt Wallace finished T40 (-1) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.727, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "PIT @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.525, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_10.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ COL", "market": "under_10.5", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "CIN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_10_5|MLB|CIN___COL|under_10_5|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T15:18:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5741, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 3 @ COL 10", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "CIN @ COL: final 3-10 (total 13) on 2026-07-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T03:51:18", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CLE", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6139, "raw_prob": 0.8179, "edge_pct": 17.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___CLE|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T21:41:49", "p_calibrated": 0.6051, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 7 @ CLE 1", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "PIT @ CLE: final 7-1 (total 8) on 2026-07-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05" }, { "source": "sharp_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ LAA", "market": "ml_away", "prob": 0.6942, "edge_pct": 3.5, "tier": "ELITE", "shift_pp": 15.65, "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "sharp_elite|MLB|DET___LAA|ml_away|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.5601, "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 2 @ LAA 1", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "DET @ LAA: final 2-1 (total 3) on 2026-07-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T11:33:23" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rasmus_Neergaard_Petersen|TOP_10|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.54, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finished T9 (-5) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jon Rahm", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jon_Rahm|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T46", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jon Rahm finished T46 (0) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.5343, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T53", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Eric Cole finished T53 (1) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Kobori", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kazuma_Kobori|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kazuma Kobori finished T28 (-2) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ludvig \u00c5berg", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ludvig__berg|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.5307, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ludvig \u00c5berg finished T9 (-5) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ IND", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_2|WNBA|NY___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_2|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 88 @ IND 108", "team_total": 108, "line": 77.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ IND: home scored 108 (line 77.2, bet over) on 2026-07-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T11:33:23" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ MIN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_2|WNBA|POR___MIN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_2|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 93 @ MIN 101", "team_total": 101, "line": 77.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ MIN: home scored 101 (line 77.2, bet over) on 2026-07-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T11:33:23" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ GOL", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_0|WNBA|WAS___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_0|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 69 @ GS 74", "team_total": 74, "line": 73.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ GS: home scored 74 (line 73.0, bet over) on 2026-07-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T11:33:23" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kennedy burke", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "NYL @ IND", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|kennedy_burke|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4167, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.706, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kennedy burke \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:08:53" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kennedy burke", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -233, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "NYL @ IND", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|kennedy_burke|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4292, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.659, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kennedy burke \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:08:53" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "diamond miller", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "POR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|diamond_miller|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.6619, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "diamond miller \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:08:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 603, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "PIT @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "PIT @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcell Ozuna", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "PIT @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Marcell_Ozuna|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T22:06:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcell Ozuna \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson DeChambeau", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.302, "fair_american": 231, "p_predicted": 0.302, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Bryson_DeChambeau|TOP_5|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T23:09:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2685, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Bryson DeChambeau finished T14 (-4) at The Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ludvig \u00c5berg", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ludvig__berg|TOP_10|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7576, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T23:09:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ludvig \u00c5berg finished T9 (-5) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.667, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.667, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T23:09:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T4 (-7) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Cameron John", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Cameron_John|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T23:09:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5345, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Cameron John finished T28 (-2) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Brown", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Daniel_Brown|TOP_20|2026-07-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-07-18T23:09:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5336, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Daniel Brown finished T18 (-3) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nick_Fortes|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8744, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-24", "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:27:46", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lourdes_Gurriel_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8737, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-24", "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:27:46", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-24", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.873, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-24", "recorded_at": "2026-06-24T16:27:46", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ CHC", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.6128, "raw_prob": 0.887, "edge_pct": 17.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___CHC|OVER_7_5|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03", "p_calibrated": 0.503, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 1 @ CHC 10", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "MIN @ CHC: final 1-10 (total 11) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T08:01:20" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ NYY", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.9225, "edge_pct": 76.11, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|LAD___NYY|OVER_7_5|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T07:28:03", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 8 @ NYY 2", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "LAD @ NYY: final 8-2 (total 10 runs) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T08:01:20" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ LA Galaxy", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ LA Galaxy", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|St__Louis_CITY_SC___LA_Galaxy|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "St. Louis CITY SC 3-1 LA Galaxy", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "lukas macnaughton", "marcel hartel", "simon becher", "troy elgersma" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "St. Louis CITY SC 3-1 LA Galaxy: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T06:42:58" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Dallas @ Portland Timbers", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "FC Dallas @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": 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"soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ Austin FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -309, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ Austin FC", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Seattle_Sounders_FC___Austin_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3236, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-3 Austin FC", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "ilie s\u00e1nchez", "paul rothrock", "myrto uzuni", "christian ram\u00edrez" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-3 Austin FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "D.C. United @ Houston Dynamo FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "D.C. United @ Houston Dynamo FC", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|D_C__United___Houston_Dynamo_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6288, "outcome": { "final_score": "D.C. United 1-1 Houston Dynamo FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "h\u00e9ctor herrera", "tai baribo" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "D.C. United 1-1 Houston Dynamo FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Nashville SC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Nashville SC", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|CF_Montr_al___Nashville_SC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6455, "outcome": { "final_score": "CF Montr\u00e9al 0-1 Nashville SC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "sam surridge" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "CF Montr\u00e9al 0-1 Nashville SC: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ Sporting Kansas City", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ Sporting Kansas City", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Minnesota_United_FC___Sporting_Kansas_Ci|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.346, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Minnesota United FC 1-2 Sporting Kansas City", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "dejan joveljic", "manu garc\u00eda", "devin padelford" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Minnesota United FC 1-2 Sporting Kansas City: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Diego FC @ Colorado Rapids", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "San Diego FC @ Colorado Rapids", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|San_Diego_FC___Colorado_Rapids|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6601, "outcome": { "final_score": "San Diego FC 0-1 Colorado Rapids", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "loic williams" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "San Diego FC 0-1 Colorado Rapids: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T06:42:58" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ LA Galaxy", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.741, "fair_american": -286, "p_predicted": 0.741, "matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ LA Galaxy", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|St__Louis_CITY_SC___LA_Galaxy|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3497, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "St. Louis CITY SC 3-1 LA Galaxy", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "lukas macnaughton", "marcel hartel", "simon becher", "troy elgersma" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "St. Louis CITY SC 3-1 LA Galaxy: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T06:42:58" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ LAFC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -295, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ LAFC", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Real_Salt_Lake___LAFC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.339, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Salt Lake 1-3 LAFC", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "son heung-min", "denis bouanga", "lukas engel" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Real Salt Lake 1-3 LAFC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T06:42:58" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Dallas @ Portland Timbers", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "FC Dallas @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|FC_Dallas___Portland_Timbers|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.346, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Dallas 2-2 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "patrickson delgado", "kevin kelsy", "petar musa", "felipe mora" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "FC Dallas 2-2 Portland Timbers: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T06:42:58" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Orlando City SC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.725, "fair_american": -263, "p_predicted": 0.725, "matchup": "Orlando City SC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Orlando_City_SC___San_Jose_Earthquakes|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3802, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.631, "outcome": { "final_score": "Orlando City SC 4-0 San Jose Earthquakes", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "david brekalo", "iv\u00e1n angulo", "antoine griezmann", "braian ojeda" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Orlando City SC 4-0 San Jose Earthquakes: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T06:42:58" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "WORLDCUP", "player_or_matchup": "Argentina @ Spain", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Argentina @ Spain", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|WORLDCUP|Argentina___Spain|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T10:02:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Argentina 0-1 Spain", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "ferran torres" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Argentina 0-1 Spain: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-19T22:51:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ COL", "market": "OVER_11.0", "prob": 0.6172, "raw_prob": 0.7709, "edge_pct": 17.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___COL|OVER_11_0|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T14:20:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5336, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 9 @ COL 6", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "CIN @ COL: final 9-6 (total 15) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T08:01:20" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ MIL", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.612, "raw_prob": 0.7571, "edge_pct": 16.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___MIL|OVER_8_0|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.4975, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 1 @ MIL 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "MIA @ MIL: final 1-3 (total 4) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T08:01:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "LAD @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "CHW @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "CHW @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.1905, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 310, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "LAD @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:01:46", "p_calibrated": 0.1827, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Lucas Herbert", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 284, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Lucas_Herbert|TOP_5|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Lucas Herbert finished T6 (-6) at The Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:02:56" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Gerard", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Ryan_Gerard|TOP_5|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Ryan Gerard finished T9 (-5) at The Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:02:56" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Russell Henley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.483, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.483, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Russell_Henley|TOP_10|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.07, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4337, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Russell Henley finished T9 (-5) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:02:56" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Kobori", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kazuma_Kobori|TOP_10|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3032, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kazuma Kobori finished T28 (-2) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:02:56" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Scott", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Adam_Scott|TOP_20|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4425, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Adam Scott finished T9 (-5) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:02:56" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Jarvis", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Casey_Jarvis|TOP_20|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5587, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Casey Jarvis finished T6 (-6) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:02:56" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.644, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.644, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_20|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T28 (-2) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T04:02:56" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "CHW @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "LAD @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.554, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.425, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.425, "matchup": "CHW @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2996, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.543, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.419, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.419, "matchup": "TEX @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joc_Pederson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.39, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2973, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "TEX @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "TEX @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "PIT @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "CHW @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "NYM @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Baty|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.99, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "TEX @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7407, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "PIT @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Steven_Kwan|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T15:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ NYY", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.627, "raw_prob": 0.6931, "edge_pct": 11.7, "fair_american": -128, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___NYY|ML_AWAY|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T21:41:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5489, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 8 @ NYY 2", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "LAD @ NYY: final 8-2 (total 10 runs) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Casey Jarvis", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Casey_Jarvis|TOP_10|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.531, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Casey Jarvis finished T6 (-6) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Lucas Herbert", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Lucas_Herbert|TOP_10|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5262, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T6", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Lucas Herbert finished T6 (-6) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Scott", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Adam_Scott|TOP_10|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2737, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Adam Scott finished T9 (-5) at The Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Conners", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "The Open", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Corey_Conners|TOP_20|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5326, "outcome": { "tournament": "The Open", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Corey Conners finished T14 (-4) at The Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_4|WNBA|CHI___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_4|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 91 @ ATL 93", "team_total": 93, "line": 81.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ ATL: home scored 93 (line 81.4, bet over) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_7|WNBA|CONN___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_7|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 63 @ PHX 72", "team_total": 72, "line": 74.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ PHX: home scored 72 (line 74.7, bet over) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "AST_OVER_1.0", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_1_0|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|AST_OVER_1_0|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 0, "line": 1.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 ast = 0 (line 1.0, bet over) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_2.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kahleah copper", "market": "AST_UNDER_2.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_2_0|WNBA|kahleah_copper|AST_UNDER_2_0|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.651, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 4, "line": 2.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kahleah copper \u2014 ast = 4 (line 2.0, bet under) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "CON @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|natasha_cloud|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3937, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6698, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "natasha cloud \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-19", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5714, "recorded_at": "2026-07-19T22:08:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6491, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-20T11:16:29" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-25", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-25", "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:30:20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:26:56", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Starling_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-25", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Starling Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8727, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-25", "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T16:30:20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:23", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 235, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Magomed_Ankalaev_vs_Bogdan_Guskov|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T15:58:01", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko", "winner": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-21T05:29:46" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Brendson Ribeiro vs Magomed Tuchalov", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "Brendson Ribeiro vs Magomed Tuchalov", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Brendson_Ribeiro_vs_Magomed_Tuchalov|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T15:58:01", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Brendson Ribeiro vs Magomed Tuchalov", "winner": "Magomed Tuchalov", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Magomed Tuchalov def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Jacoby vs Uran Satybaldiev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "Dustin Jacoby vs Uran Satybaldiev", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Dustin_Jacoby_vs_Uran_Satybaldiev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T15:58:01", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Said", "winner": "Muhammad Said", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Muhammad Said def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-25T21:49:47" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.215, "fair_american": 364, "p_predicted": 0.215, "matchup": "Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Abubakar_Vagaev_vs_Saygid_Izagakhmaev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T15:58:01", "p_calibrated": 0.343, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev", "winner": "Abubakar Vagaev", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Abubakar Vagaev def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-25T21:49:47" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.21, "fair_american": 375, "p_predicted": 0.21, "matchup": "Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Santiago_Ponzinibbio_vs_Sam_Patterson|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T15:58:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson", "winner": "Sam Patterson", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Sam Patterson def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 385, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Magomed_Zaynukov_vs_Damian_Rzepecki|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T15:58:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko", "winner": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-21T05:29:46" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Mike_Davis_vs_Nurullo_Aliev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T15:58:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev", "winner": "Nurullo Aliev", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Nurullo Aliev def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-25T14:24:33" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.196, "fair_american": 410, "p_predicted": 0.196, "matchup": "Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ismael_Bonfim_vs_Axel_Sola|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.1, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T15:58:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola", "winner": "Axel Sola", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Axel Sola def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_2|WNBA|LV___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_2|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T17:32:21", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 109 @ TOR 83", "team_total": 83, "line": 76.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ TOR: home scored 83 (line 76.2, bet over) on 2026-07-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-21T06:43:58" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ GOL", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71_9|WNBA|WAS___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71_9|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T17:32:21", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 90 @ GS 82", "team_total": 82, "line": 71.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ GS: home scored 82 (line 71.9, bet over) on 2026-07-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-21T06:43:58" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_0|WNBA|MIN___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_0|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T17:32:21", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 105 @ SEA 102", "team_total": 102, "line": 75.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ SEA: home scored 102 (line 75.0, bet over) on 2026-07-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-21T06:43:58" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ MIL", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.02, "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|NYM___MIL|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T23:18:27", "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 3 @ MIL 8", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "NYM @ MIL: final 3-8 (total 11) on 2026-07-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-21T14:27:31" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T23:18:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T23:18:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T23:18:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SDP @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T23:18:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "NYM @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T23:18:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-20T23:18:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ PHI", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5517, "raw_prob": 0.6807, "edge_pct": 17.5, "fair_american": 113, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___PHI|ML_AWAY|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.13, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T07:31:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5364, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 2 @ PHI 1", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "LAD @ PHI: final 2-1 (total 3) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ TEX", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.599, "raw_prob": 0.7177, "edge_pct": 14.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___TEX|OVER_8_5|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T07:31:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 10 @ TEX 3", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "CHW @ TEX: final 10-3 (total 13) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-21T19:56:01" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Said", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 235, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Said", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Dustin_Jacoby_vs_Muhammad_Said|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T07:55:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Said", "winner": "Muhammad Said", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Muhammad Said def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-25T21:49:47" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ CHC", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.6046, "raw_prob": 0.7322, "edge_pct": 15.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|DET___CHC|OVER_8_0|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T15:51:14", "p_calibrated": 0.4806, "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 8 @ CHC 6", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "DET @ CHC: final 8-6 (total 14) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.617, "raw_prob": 0.7289, "edge_pct": 17.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___SEA|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T21:54:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6103, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 0 @ SEA 8", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CIN @ SEA: final 0-8 (total 8) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ HOU", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6118, "raw_prob": 0.7481, "edge_pct": 16.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___HOU|OVER_8_5|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T21:54:32", "p_calibrated": 0.4961, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 5 @ HOU 8", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "MIA @ HOU: final 5-8 (total 13) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rae burrell", "market": "AST_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "PHX @ LA", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_3_0|WNBA|rae_burrell|AST_UNDER_3_0|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5291, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.654, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rae burrell \u2014 ast = 2 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T21:31:57" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kahleah copper", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "PHX @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|kahleah_copper|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5291, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.6612, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kahleah copper \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T21:31:57" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "chelsea gray", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "LVA @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|chelsea_gray|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4329, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.6671, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chelsea gray \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.621, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.621, "matchup": "PHX @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|natasha_cloud|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6098, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.6567, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "natasha cloud \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "courtney vandersloot", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "CHI @ NYL", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|courtney_vandersloot|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4167, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.706, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "courtney vandersloot \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "PHX @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3937, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.6698, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "cameron brink", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "PHX @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|cameron_brink|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.6692, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "cameron brink \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T21:31:57" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "dearica hamby", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.635, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.635, "matchup": "PHX @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|dearica_hamby|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.649, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dearica hamby \u2014 blk_stl = 4 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T21:31:57" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -184, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "CHI @ NYL", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5435, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.6508, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.676, "fair_american": -208, "p_predicted": 0.676, "matchup": "PHX @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.6553, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 blk_stl = 6 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Bell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Petey_Halpin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.511, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "WSN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "WSN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.05, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "STL @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jordan_Walker|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T22:34:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "DET @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Robert Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.575, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.575, "matchup": "NYM @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Luis_Robert_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Robert Jr. \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "WSN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "WSN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 254, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "DET @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1614, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "STL @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1496, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 319, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.19, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 343, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "WSN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 363, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.63, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Rogers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.214, "fair_american": 368, "p_predicted": 0.214, "matchup": "DET @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Rogers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Rogers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Trevino", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 447, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Trevino|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Trevino \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.171, "fair_american": 485, "p_predicted": 0.171, "matchup": "NYM @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1321, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.165, "fair_american": 507, "p_predicted": 0.165, "matchup": "SFG @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1299, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.147, "fair_american": 580, "p_predicted": 0.147, "matchup": "STL @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-21T23:14:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1008, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "sharp_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "market": "under_8.5", "prob": 0.617, "edge_pct": 17.8, "tier": "STRONG", "shift_pp": 5.76, "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "sharp_strong|MLB|CIN___SEA|under_8_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T01:06:17", "p_calibrated": 0.6103, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 5 @ SEA 3", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CIN @ SEA: final 5-3 (total 8) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T14:28:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Walls", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Taylor_Walls|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Walls \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.563, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.43, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.43, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.493, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.493, "matchup": "MIA @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.03, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "WSN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 225, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "CHW @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1849, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "MIA @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1804, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.276, "fair_american": 263, "p_predicted": 0.276, "matchup": "CHW @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.156, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.258, "fair_american": 287, "p_predicted": 0.258, "matchup": "CHW @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.209, "fair_american": 378, "p_predicted": 0.209, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.203, "fair_american": 392, "p_predicted": 0.203, "matchup": "WSN @ COL", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Karros|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1475, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 447, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "MIA @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joe_Mack|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 449, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1361, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.158, "fair_american": 533, "p_predicted": 0.158, "matchup": "CHW @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.1188, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.591, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "CIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.584, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "STL @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "SFG @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "MIA @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joe_Mack|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.563, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.563, "matchup": "MIA @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T03:52:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-27", "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T14:26:55", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T22:01:04", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-27", "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T14:26:55", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:22:42", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Christian_V_zquez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Christian V\u00e1zquez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8727, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-27", "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T14:26:55", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T22:01:04", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Noelvi_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8754, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-27", "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T22:01:04", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8748, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-27", "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:22:42", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6236, "raw_prob": 0.9002, "edge_pct": 19.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___NYY|OVER_8_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5643, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 5 @ NYY 3", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "PIT @ NYY: final 5-3 (total 8) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T07:23:09" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ LA", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_2|WNBA|PHX___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_2|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 86 @ LA 82", "team_total": 82, "line": 75.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ LA: home scored 82 (line 75.2, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:32" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_5|WNBA|MIN___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 86 @ SEA 76", "team_total": 76, "line": 75.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ SEA: home scored 76 (line 75.5, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:32" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ NY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80_2|WNBA|CHI___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80_2|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 94 @ NY 95", "team_total": 95, "line": 80.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ NY: home scored 95 (line 80.2, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_1|WNBA|LV___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_1|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 99 @ WSH 100", "team_total": 100, "line": 72.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ WSH: home scored 100 (line 72.1, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ IND", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_4|WNBA|CONN___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_4|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 88 @ IND 123", "team_total": 123, "line": 75.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ IND: home scored 123 (line 75.4, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T03:49:01" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ POR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_7|WNBA|DAL___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_7|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 101 @ POR 97", "team_total": 97, "line": 77.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ POR: home scored 97 (line 77.7, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T06:42:58" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "dearica hamby", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "PHX @ LAS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|dearica_hamby|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5714, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T10:35:36", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 4, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "dearica hamby \u2014 blk_stl = 4 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:32" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Adrian_Del_Castillo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Adrian Del Castillo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-27", "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:11:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:22:42", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Sullivan|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8736, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-27", "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T23:11:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T05:22:42", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ PHI", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.619, "raw_prob": 0.7607, "edge_pct": 18.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___PHI|OVER_9_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T15:55:39", "p_calibrated": 0.5461, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 9 @ PHI 5", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "LAD @ PHI: final 9-5 (total 14) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T07:23:09" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T15:55:39", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.594, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.448, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.448, "matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.1786, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "BAL @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2509, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "NYM @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.12, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2213, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "SFG @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Salvador_Perez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.15, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2186, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.271, "fair_american": 269, "p_predicted": 0.271, "matchup": "NYM @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.541, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.418, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.418, "matchup": "BAL @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.39, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2969, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "SFG @ KCR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "NYM @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "NYM @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "BAL @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T17:10:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ TEX", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.5754, "raw_prob": 0.6369, "edge_pct": 17.4, "fair_american": 104, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___TEX|ML_HOME|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T22:01:03", "p_calibrated": 0.6362, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 0 @ TEX 10", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CHW @ TEX: final 0-10 (total 10) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T10:36:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T22:01:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ CHC", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.5993, "raw_prob": 0.6647, "edge_pct": 14.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|DET___CHC|OVER_8_0|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 2 @ CHC 11", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "DET @ CHC: final 2-11 (total 13) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T14:37:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "BAL @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nneka ogwumike", "market": "AST_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "MIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_2_5|WNBA|nneka_ogwumike|AST_OVER_2_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.655, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "nneka ogwumike \u2014 ast = 1 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T14:37:26" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nneka ogwumike", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "MIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|nneka_ogwumike|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4149, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.707, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "nneka ogwumike \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-23T14:37:26" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.585, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "BAL @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3955, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "BAL @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.78, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "CHW @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "LAD @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Feduccia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:02:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "BAL @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4252, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Hunter_Feduccia|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "DET @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcell Ozuna", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.215, "fair_american": 366, "p_predicted": 0.215, "matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Marcell_Ozuna|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcell Ozuna \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 446, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "CHW @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.178, "fair_american": 462, "p_predicted": 0.178, "matchup": "TBR @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1347, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 475, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "MIA @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.75, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.397, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "MIA @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.1, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "PIT @ NYY", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ben_Rice|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "CHW @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-22T23:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Mitch_Garver|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Mitch Garver", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:53:50", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kameron_Misner|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kameron Misner", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8726, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T11:31:40", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Colby_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Colby Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T15:34:58", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:53:50", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Royce_Lewis|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8573, "edge_pct": 48.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-29", "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T02:06:15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:01:52", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": 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True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T07:07:08" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Portland Timbers", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Real_Salt_Lake___Portland_Timbers|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3311, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T10:36:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Salt Lake 1-2 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "juan manuel sanabria", "felipe mora", "felipe mora" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Real Salt Lake 1-2 Portland Timbers: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T07:07:08" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LA Galaxy @ San Jose Earthquakes", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "LA Galaxy @ San Jose Earthquakes", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|LA_Galaxy___San_Jose_Earthquakes|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T10:36:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6288, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA Galaxy 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "joseph paintsil", "reid roberts" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "LA Galaxy 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T07:07:08" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Josh_Lowe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8743, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-29", "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:01:52", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Henry_Bolte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8742, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-29", "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:01:52", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Spencer_Torkelson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8729, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-29", "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T13:01:16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:01:52", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ STL", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.5944, "raw_prob": 0.6543, "edge_pct": 13.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___STL|OVER_7_5|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T15:08:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 10 @ STL 6", "total_runs": 16, "verify": "ARI @ STL: final 10-6 (total 16) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-24T07:23:55" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T15:08:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Tyler_Stephenson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8747, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-29", "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:01:52", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Andr_s_Chaparro|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8729, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-29", "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:01:52", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Masataka_Yoshida|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-29", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8718, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-29", "recorded_at": "2026-06-29T17:05:08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-02T05:01:52", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8401 }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SDP @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2596, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Petey_Halpin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.1974, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.463, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Steven_Kwan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T16:08:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Brennan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Brennan|TOP_10|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.294, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Brennan finished T24 (-13) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Roy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kevin_Roy|TOP_10|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2882, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kevin Roy finished T31 (-12) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Trace Crowe", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Trace_Crowe|TOP_10|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2847, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T62", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Trace Crowe finished T62 (-3) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 519, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_5|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.19, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -22, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T2 (-22) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ LAFC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ LAFC", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Sporting_Kansas_City___LAFC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sporting Kansas City 0-4 LAFC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "son heung-min", "denis bouanga", "david mart\u00ednez", "denis bouanga" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Sporting Kansas City 0-4 LAFC: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T07:07:08" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.674, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.49, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.49, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.636, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.471, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.471, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.12, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4387, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.588, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4039, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1605, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 298, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.175, "fair_american": 470, "p_predicted": 0.175, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1336, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 595, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Petey_Halpin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T14:15:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "MIN @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T17:13:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_10|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T23:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.53, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -22, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T2 (-22) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Thorbj\u00f8rn Olesen", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.471, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.471, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Thorbj_rn_Olesen|TOP_10|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T23:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3679, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Thorbj\u00f8rn Olesen finished MC (2) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Phillips", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.458, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.458, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chandler_Phillips|TOP_10|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.18, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T23:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3461, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chandler Phillips finished T3 (-20) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Lucas Glover", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.319, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.319, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Lucas_Glover|TOP_10|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T23:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2708, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T57", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Lucas Glover finished T57 (-5) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rico Hoey", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rico_Hoey|TOP_10|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T23:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2702, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T62", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rico Hoey finished T62 (-3) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Vince Whaley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Vince_Whaley|TOP_10|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T23:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2698, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T34", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Vince Whaley finished T34 (-11) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jeffrey Kang", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.494, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.494, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jeffrey_Kang|TOP_20|2026-07-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-23T23:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4941, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T64", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jeffrey Kang finished T64 (-2) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ MIL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6248, "raw_prob": 0.7727, "edge_pct": 19.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___MIL|OVER_8_5|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T07:23:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5658, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 5 @ MIL 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "COL @ MIL: final 5-2 (total 7) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-25T07:10:52" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Denny McCarthy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Denny_McCarthy|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T10:30:29", "p_calibrated": 0.5343, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Denny McCarthy finished T3 (-20) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jesper Svensson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.433, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.433, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jesper_Svensson|TOP_10|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:36:47", "p_calibrated": 0.314, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T44", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jesper Svensson finished T44 (-9) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Merritt", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Troy_Merritt|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:36:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5307, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T39", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Troy Merritt finished T39 (-10) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Phillips", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chandler_Phillips|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:36:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5345, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chandler Phillips finished T3 (-20) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.527, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.527, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rasmus_Neergaard_Petersen|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:36:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5319, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finished T20 (-14) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Emiliano Grillo", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Emiliano_Grillo|TOP_10|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7299, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:47:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Emiliano Grillo finished T7 (-19) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Streelman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kevin_Streelman|TOP_10|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:47:32", "p_calibrated": 0.294, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kevin Streelman finished T24 (-13) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Stevens", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sam_Stevens|TOP_10|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:47:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2935, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T60", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sam Stevens finished T60 (-4) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Will Gordon", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.482, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.482, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Will_Gordon|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:47:32", "p_calibrated": 0.4283, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T60", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Will Gordon finished T60 (-4) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keita Nakajima", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.482, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.482, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Keita_Nakajima|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:47:32", "p_calibrated": 0.4283, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "MC", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Keita Nakajima finished MC (-2) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Thompson", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.47, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.47, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Davis_Thompson|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.13, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T15:47:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3624, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Davis Thompson finished T7 (-19) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T21:54:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Koivun", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.477, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.477, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jackson_Koivun|TOP_10|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.1, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -25, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jackson Koivun finished T1 (-25) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Smotherman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Austin_Smotherman|TOP_10|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3844, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Austin Smotherman finished T24 (-13) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Merritt", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.319, "fair_american": 213, "p_predicted": 0.319, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Troy_Merritt|TOP_10|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2708, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T39", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Troy Merritt finished T39 (-10) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Stevens", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sam_Stevens|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T60", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sam Stevens finished T60 (-4) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Blair", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.625, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.625, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Zac_Blair|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Zac Blair finished T13 (-16) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jesper Svensson", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.611, "fair_american": -157, "p_predicted": 0.611, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jesper_Svensson|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T44", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jesper Svensson finished T44 (-9) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Christiaan Bezuidenhout", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.611, "fair_american": -157, "p_predicted": 0.611, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Christiaan_Bezuidenhout|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6369, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Christiaan Bezuidenhout finished T20 (-14) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Lucas Glover", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Lucas_Glover|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T57", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Lucas Glover finished T57 (-5) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Brennan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Michael_Brennan|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Michael Brennan finished T24 (-13) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Roy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.602, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.602, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kevin_Roy|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kevin Roy finished T31 (-12) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.518, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.404, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.404, "matchup": "ATL @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.47, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2935, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "SEA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "ATL @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "SEA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "ATL @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Springer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.576, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.576, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|CJ_Abrams|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.554, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.554, "matchup": "SEA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T22:35:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6035, "raw_prob": 0.6714, "edge_pct": 15.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___CHW|OVER_8_5|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:06:40", "p_calibrated": 0.4783, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 9 @ CHW 5", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "HOU @ CHW: final 9-5 (total 14) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-25T11:38:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Caratini", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "OAK @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Victor_Caratini|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4223, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Victor Caratini \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Wong", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Connor_Wong|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4342, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Connor Wong \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Blair", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Zac_Blair|TOP_5|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Zac Blair finished T13 (-16) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Emiliano Grillo", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Emiliano_Grillo|TOP_5|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2699, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Emiliano Grillo finished T7 (-19) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Billy Horschel", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Billy_Horschel|TOP_5|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2714, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Billy Horschel finished T13 (-16) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.634, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.634, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5747, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T3 (-20) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Yu", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kevin_Yu|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kevin Yu finished T16 (-15) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Gary Woodland", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.576, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.576, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Gary_Woodland|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Gary Woodland finished T10 (-17) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Lee Hodges", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Lee_Hodges|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7463, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Lee Hodges finished T20 (-14) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Streelman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kevin_Streelman|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kevin Streelman finished T24 (-13) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Smotherman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.575, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.575, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Austin_Smotherman|TOP_20|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Austin Smotherman finished T24 (-13) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "SEA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "OAK @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1885, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1551, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 319, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.19, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 432, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Fortes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T13:34:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.179, "fair_american": 458, "p_predicted": 0.179, "matchup": "ATL @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.135, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.164, "fair_american": 509, "p_predicted": 0.164, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1287, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.158, "fair_american": 531, "p_predicted": 0.158, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1188, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 558, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|George_Springer|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Byron Buxton", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.147, "fair_american": 580, "p_predicted": 0.147, "matchup": "OAK @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Byron_Buxton|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.1008, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Byron Buxton \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T14:15:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 605, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.575, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.437, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.437, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3042, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "SDP @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Manny_Machado|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-07-24T23:27:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T03:43:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.492, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T03:43:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T03:43:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.6242, "raw_prob": 0.7717, "edge_pct": 19.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___CHW|OVER_8_0|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T07:10:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5651, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 4 @ CHW 1", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "HOU @ CHW: final 4-1 (total 5) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T07:25:44" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Harman", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Brian_Harman|TOP_5|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.37, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T10:02:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2678, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Brian Harman finished T3 (-20) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Billy Horschel", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Billy_Horschel|TOP_10|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T10:02:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5312, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Billy Horschel finished T13 (-16) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Blair", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Zac_Blair|TOP_10|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T10:02:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5312, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Zac Blair finished T13 (-16) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Denny McCarthy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Denny_McCarthy|TOP_10|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.17, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T10:02:22", "p_calibrated": 0.2703, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Denny McCarthy finished T3 (-20) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_20|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5618, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T10:02:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -22, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T2 (-22) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Blanchet", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.469, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.469, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chandler_Blanchet|TOP_20|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T10:02:22", "p_calibrated": 0.3603, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chandler Blanchet finished T24 (-13) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ PIT", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.6246, "raw_prob": 0.7732, "edge_pct": 19.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___PIT|OVER_7_5|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T14:24:33", "p_calibrated": 0.5656, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 11 @ PIT 0", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "CHC @ PIT: final 11-0 (total 11) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T07:25:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ MIL", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.6088, "raw_prob": 0.8392, "edge_pct": 16.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___MIL|OVER_9_0|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.4897, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 5 @ MIL 8", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "COL @ MIL: final 5-8 (total 13) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T07:25:44" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Harman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.583, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.583, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Brian_Harman|TOP_10|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7143, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Brian Harman finished T3 (-20) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lane_Thomas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.48, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.64, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Collins|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 310, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1827, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Riley_Greene|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:14:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:32:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Keith|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:32:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Kirk", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.637, "fair_american": -176, "p_predicted": 0.637, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chris_Kirk|TOP_20|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:32:31", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chris Kirk finished T31 (-12) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:32:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4713, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:32:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Lane_Thomas|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:32:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.175, "fair_american": 472, "p_predicted": 0.175, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Collins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:32:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1336, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T15:32:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T21:49:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Koivun", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Jackson_Koivun|TOP_5|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2737, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -25, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Jackson Koivun finished T1 (-25) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Kirk", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.437, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.437, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chris_Kirk|TOP_10|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3192, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chris Kirk finished T31 (-12) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Chatfield", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Davis_Chatfield|TOP_20|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Davis Chatfield finished T16 (-15) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "SEA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "SEA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joc_Pederson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "CHC @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "OAK @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Steven_Kwan|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T22:08:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6069, "raw_prob": 0.7294, "edge_pct": 15.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___CHW|OVER_8_5|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:01:12", "p_calibrated": 0.4856, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 4 @ CHW 1", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "HOU @ CHW: final 4-1 (total 5) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T11:39:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "OAK @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Denny McCarthy", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Denny_McCarthy|TOP_5|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.6, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Denny McCarthy finished T3 (-20) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Kim", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Michael_Kim|TOP_5|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Michael Kim finished T10 (-17) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Thompson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.475, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.475, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Davis_Thompson|TOP_10|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.1, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3898, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Davis Thompson finished T7 (-19) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "S\u00e9amus Power", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.468, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.468, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|S_amus_Power|TOP_10|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.359, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "S\u00e9amus Power finished T10 (-17) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_10|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2732, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T3 (-20) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T23:03:53" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.554, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.425, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.425, "matchup": "ATL @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1804, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.197, "fair_american": 408, "p_predicted": 0.197, "matchup": "OAK @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1442, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 487, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brett_Baty|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Karros|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2536, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "ATL @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.349, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.349, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2525, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "ATL @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.395, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-25T23:10:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Magomed_Ankalaev_vs_Bogdan_Guskov|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T00:11:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov", "winner": "Magomed Ankalaev", "ended_round": 5, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Magomed Ankalaev def. opponent (ended R5) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T14:02:07" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 390, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Magomed_Zaynukov_vs_Damian_Rzepecki|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T00:11:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki", "winner": "Magomed Zaynukov", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Magomed Zaynukov def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-26T14:02:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Robert Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Luis_Robert_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6897, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Robert Jr. \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "ATL @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.316, "fair_american": 216, "p_predicted": 0.316, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.24, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1858, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1569, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.215, "fair_american": 366, "p_predicted": 0.215, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.66, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 473, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "ATL @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Austin_Riley|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 585, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.588, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.547, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "COL @ MIL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jordan_Walker|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T03:54:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6293, "raw_prob": 0.9152, "edge_pct": 20.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___CHW|OVER_9_5|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T07:25:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5713, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 3 @ CHW 12", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "HOU @ CHW: final 3-12 (total 15) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T08:17:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ MIL", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.6245, "raw_prob": 0.7728, "edge_pct": 19.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___MIL|OVER_7_5|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T07:25:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5654, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 2 @ MIL 11", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "COL @ MIL: final 2-11 (total 13) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T08:17:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ PIT", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6223, "raw_prob": 0.8891, "edge_pct": 18.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___PIT|OVER_8_5|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T07:25:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5627, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 7 @ PIT 8", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "CHC @ PIT: final 7-8 (total 15) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T08:17:26" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Liga MX All-Stars @ MLS All-Stars", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Liga MX All-Stars @ MLS All-Stars", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Liga_MX_All_Stars___MLS_All_Stars|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T10:14:57", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Liga MX All-Stars 3-4 MLS All-Stars", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 7, "scorers": [ "luis gabriel rey", "son heung-min", "son heung-min", "philip zinckernagel", "salom\u00f3n rond\u00f3n", "evander", "jos\u00e9 paradela" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Liga MX All-Stars 3-4 MLS All-Stars: 1 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Liga MX All-Stars @ MLS All-Stars", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.741, "fair_american": -286, "p_predicted": 0.741, "matchup": "Liga MX All-Stars @ MLS All-Stars", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Liga_MX_All_Stars___MLS_All_Stars|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3497, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T10:14:57", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Liga MX All-Stars 3-4 MLS All-Stars", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 7, "scorers": [ "luis gabriel rey", "son heung-min", "son heung-min", "philip zinckernagel", "salom\u00f3n rond\u00f3n", "evander", "jos\u00e9 paradela" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Liga MX All-Stars 3-4 MLS All-Stars: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaur", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaur", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19_5|TENNIS|Stefanos_Tsitsipas_vs_Alex_de_Minaur|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19_5|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T10:14:57", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaur", "winner": "Alex de Minaur", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 28, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "verify": "Alex de Minaur won 1-2 (28 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T23:01:28" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.876, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-02", "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T11:31:40", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:08:50", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Taylor_Walls|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Walls", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8744, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-02", "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T11:31:40", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:08:50", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8738, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-02", "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T11:31:40", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:08:50", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jared_Triolo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Triolo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8755, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-02", "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T23:05:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-03T08:08:50", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ CHW", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6185, "raw_prob": 0.736, "edge_pct": 18.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___CHW|ML_HOME|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T14:28:26", "p_calibrated": 0.6472, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 3 @ CHW 12", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "HOU @ CHW: final 3-12 (total 15) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T08:17:26" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Locklear", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Locklear|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2542, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Locklear \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2257, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 277, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2008, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Kepler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 280, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Kepler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1991, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Kepler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "TOR @ BOS", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1896, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 327, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Kepler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Kepler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Kepler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Fortes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T13:34:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Locklear", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Locklear|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Locklear \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nick_Fortes|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:13:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T13:34:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Petey_Halpin|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4108, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.597, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.597, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.658, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.482, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.482, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.07, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4486, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 bb = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.603, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.572, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Locklear", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Locklear|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Locklear \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 213, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 271, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1496, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 319, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Locklear", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.21, "fair_american": 377, "p_predicted": 0.21, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Locklear|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Locklear \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 383, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 416, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.179, "fair_american": 460, "p_predicted": 0.179, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.135, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 585, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Fortes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T13:34:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "SDP @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T14:15:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.484, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brady_House|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "SDP @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "CIN @ STL", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "ARI @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "LAD @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "CLE @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Junior_Caminero|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "KCR @ DET", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T15:33:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2415, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T22:28:11", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T22:28:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T14:16:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T22:28:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.4522, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Thompson", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Davis_Thompson|TOP_5|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Davis Thompson finished T7 (-19) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T11:44:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Kohles", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ben_Kohles|TOP_10|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ben Kohles finished T9 (-18) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T11:44:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Gary Woodland", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Gary_Woodland|TOP_10|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Gary Woodland finished T10 (-17) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T11:44:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Kim|TOP_10|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2753, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Kim finished T10 (-17) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T11:44:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Billy Horschel", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -350, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Billy_Horschel|TOP_20|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2857, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T13", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Billy Horschel finished T13 (-16) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T11:44:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Fishburn", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Fishburn|TOP_20|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6757, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Fishburn finished T16 (-15) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T11:44:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zecheng Dou", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.605, "fair_american": -153, "p_predicted": 0.605, "matchup": "3M Open", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Zecheng_Dou|TOP_20|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6536, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "3M Open", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Zecheng Dou finished T16 (-15) at 3M Open \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-27T11:44:14" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.603, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.21, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3787, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.274, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.274, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.1542, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.237, "fair_american": 321, "p_predicted": 0.237, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 383, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "NYY @ PHI", "date": "2026-07-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trea_Turner|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-07-26T23:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Cedric_Mullins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8758, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-03", "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:42", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alejandro_Kirk|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8753, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-03", "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:42", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-03", "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T15:07:13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:42", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6433, "raw_prob": 0.7751, "edge_pct": 19.8, "fair_american": -116, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___PIT|ML_HOME|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T08:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.6536, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 2 @ PIT 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "ARI @ PIT: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-28T07:32:07" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6769, "raw_prob": 0.7468, "edge_pct": 13.1, "fair_american": -149, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___CHW|ML_AWAY|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T08:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.5572, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 9 @ CHW 5", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "NYY @ CHW: final 9-5 (total 14) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-28T07:32:07" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Daria Kasatkina", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Daria Kasatkina", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22_5|TENNIS|Anna_Kalinskaya_vs_Daria_Kasatkina|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22_5|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3968, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T08:24:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Daria Kasatkina", "winner": "Anna Kalinskaya", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 17, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "verify": "Anna Kalinskaya won 2-0 (17 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-28T23:02:21" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.5968, "raw_prob": 0.6542, "edge_pct": 13.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___CHW|OVER_8_5|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T15:39:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 9 @ CHW 5", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "NYY @ CHW: final 9-5 (total 14) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-28T07:32:07" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.08, "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|ATL___NYM|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T15:39:31", "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 3 @ NYM 14", "total_runs": 17, "verify": "ATL @ NYM: final 3-14 (total 17) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-28T07:32:07" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 235, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jan_Blachowicz_vs_Navajo_Stirling|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.35, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T16:24:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling", "winner": "Navajo Stirling", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Navajo Stirling def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Gilbert Urbina vs Vlasto \u010cepo", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.245, "fair_american": 308, "p_predicted": 0.245, "matchup": "Gilbert Urbina vs Vlasto \u010cepo", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Gilbert_Urbina_vs_Vlasto__epo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.08, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T16:24:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3993, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Gilbert Urbina vs Vlasto \u010cepo", "winner": "Gilbert Urbina", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Gilbert Urbina def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Du\u0161ko Todorovi\u0107 vs Robert Valentin", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 310, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "Du\u0161ko Todorovi\u0107 vs Robert Valentin", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Du_ko_Todorovi__vs_Robert_Valentin|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T16:24:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3975, "outcome": { "fight": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko", "winner": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-28T05:31:46" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 364, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Oban_Elliott_vs_Michael_Oliveira|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T16:24:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3449, "outcome": { "fight": "Damien Anderson vs Ezra Elliott", "winner": "Ezra Elliott", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ezra Elliott def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-28T05:31:46" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Rodriguez vs Uro\u0161 Medi\u0107", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 372, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "Daniel Rodriguez vs Uro\u0161 Medi\u0107", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Daniel_Rodriguez_vs_Uro__Medi_|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.72, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T16:24:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3374, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Daniel Rodriguez vs Uro\u0161 Medi\u0107", "winner": "Uro\u0161 Medi\u0107", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Uro\u0161 Medi\u0107 def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ludovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.196, "fair_american": 411, "p_predicted": 0.196, "matchup": "Ludovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ludovit_Klein_vs_Tofiq_Musayev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T16:24:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Ludovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev", "winner": "Tofiq Musayev", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tofiq Musayev def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz R\u0119becki", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 421, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz R\u0119becki", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Kyle_Prepolec_vs_Mateusz_R_becki|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.21, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T16:24:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz R\u0119becki", "winner": "Mateusz R\u0119becki", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Mateusz R\u0119becki def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "SEA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T17:37:57", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "SEA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T17:37:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SEA @ TEX", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T17:37:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ STL", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6134, "raw_prob": 0.7073, "edge_pct": 11.2, "fair_american": -123, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___STL|ML_AWAY|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5467, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 7 @ STL 3", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CHC @ STL: final 7-3 (total 10) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-28T14:43:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "MIL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "MIL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jared_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.48, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.514, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.49, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "MIL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Masataka_Yoshida|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masataka Yoshida \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Robert Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Robert_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Robert Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-27T23:30:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "sharp_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ STL", "market": "ml_away", "prob": 0.6134, "edge_pct": 11.2, "tier": "ELITE", "shift_pp": 26.12, "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "sharp_elite|MLB|CHC___STL|ml_away|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T03:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.5467, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 10 @ STL 2", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "CHC @ STL: final 10-2 (total 12) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T07:38:06" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.6261, "raw_prob": 0.7673, "edge_pct": 19.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___CHW|OVER_8_0|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T07:32:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5674, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 3 @ CHW 2", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "NYY @ CHW: final 3-2 (total 5) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T07:38:06" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_68.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_68.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_68_4|WNBA|CONN___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_68_4|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T08:05:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 84 @ WSH 92", "team_total": 92, "line": 68.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ WSH: home scored 92 (line 68.4, bet over) on 2026-07-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T03:44:56" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ MIN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TOR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_1|WNBA|TOR___MIN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_1|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T08:05:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 93 @ MIN 100", "team_total": 100, "line": 76.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "TOR @ MIN: home scored 100 (line 76.1, bet over) on 2026-07-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T03:44:56" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ SEA", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_3|WNBA|IND___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_3|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T08:05:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 105 @ SEA 95", "team_total": 95, "line": 81.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ SEA: home scored 95 (line 81.3, bet over) on 2026-07-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T06:48:12" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ LV", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_8|WNBA|POR___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_8|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T08:05:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 83 @ LV 98", "team_total": 98, "line": 78.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ LV: home scored 98 (line 78.8, bet over) on 2026-07-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T06:48:12" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Starling_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Starling Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8749, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T14:22:56", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T10:59:56", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jasson_Dom_nguez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jasson Dom\u00ednguez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T15:12:30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T21:50:57", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Luisangel_Acu_a|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luisangel Acu\u00f1a", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8735, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T21:50:56", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T10:59:56", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.5718, "raw_prob": 0.628, "edge_pct": 19.5, "fair_american": 109, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___CIN|ML_HOME|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T15:15:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6353, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 6 @ CIN 5", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "CLE @ CIN: final 6-5 (total 11 runs) on 2026-07-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T07:38:06" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6225, "raw_prob": 0.6779, "edge_pct": 17.3, "fair_american": -113, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___MIA|ML_HOME|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T15:15:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6483, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 0 @ MIA 1", "total_runs": 1, "verify": "PHI @ MIA: final 0-1 (total 1) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T07:38:06" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T16:14:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T16:14:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 242, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.42, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T16:14:09", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T16:14:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.258, "fair_american": 288, "p_predicted": 0.258, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T16:14:09", "p_calibrated": 0.1948, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T16:14:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T16:14:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8726, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T22:59:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T10:59:56", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.676, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.491, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.491, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T17:22:08", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.288, "fair_american": 247, "p_predicted": 0.288, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T17:22:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1668, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T17:22:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.175, "fair_american": 473, "p_predicted": 0.175, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T17:22:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1336, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 488, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T17:22:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ STL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6082, "raw_prob": 0.7225, "edge_pct": 16.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___STL|OVER_8_5|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:02:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4884, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 10 @ STL 2", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "CHC @ STL: final 10-2 (total 12) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T14:34:35" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "COL @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2509, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "SEA @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "COL @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "SEA @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alex_Bregman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Lara", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIL @ SFG", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Lara|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Lara \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "COL @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "COL @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Weston Wilson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "SEA @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Weston_Wilson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Weston Wilson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Crooks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jimmy_Crooks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jimmy Crooks \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ben_Rice|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T23:17:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Du\u0161ko Todorovi\u0107 vs Robert Valentin", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 310, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "Du\u0161ko Todorovi\u0107 vs Robert Valentin", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Du_ko_Todorovi__vs_Robert_Valentin|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.1, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T01:08:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3975, "outcome": { "fight": "Du\u0161ko Todorovi\u0107 vs Robert Valentin", "winner": "Robert Valentin", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Robert Valentin def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 364, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Oban_Elliott_vs_Michael_Oliveira|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.64, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T01:08:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3449, "outcome": { "fight": "Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira", "winner": "Michael Oliveira", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Michael Oliveira def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T03:44:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T03:44:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T03:44:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.437, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T03:44:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "COL @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Manny_Machado|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T03:44:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.6262, "raw_prob": 0.765, "edge_pct": 19.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___PIT|OVER_8_0|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T07:38:06", "p_calibrated": 0.5675, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 3 @ PIT 0", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "ARI @ PIT: final 3-0 (total 3) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-30T07:28:13" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "market": "OVER_7.0", "prob": 0.6251, "raw_prob": 0.7625, "edge_pct": 19.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___NYM|OVER_7_0|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T07:38:06", "p_calibrated": 0.5662, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 2 @ NYM 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "ATL @ NYM: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-30T07:28:13" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbert", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbert", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22_5|TENNIS|Ben_Shelton_vs_Ugo_Humbert|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22_5|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T10:58:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbert", "winner": "Ben Shelton", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 32, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "verify": "Ben Shelton won 2-1 (32 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "HOU @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|HOU___LAA|under_9_5|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T10:58:31", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 3 @ LAA 2", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "HOU @ LAA: final 3-2 (total 5) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-29T23:01:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6677, "raw_prob": 0.7218, "edge_pct": 15.9, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___PIT|ML_HOME|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T15:08:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6598, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 3 @ PIT 0", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "ARI @ PIT: final 3-0 (total 3) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-30T07:28:13" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Milos Janicic vs Noah Gugnon", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.198, "fair_american": 405, "p_predicted": 0.198, "matchup": "Milos Janicic vs Noah Gugnon", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Milos_Janicic_vs_Noah_Gugnon|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Milos Janicic vs Noah Gugnon", "winner": "Noah Gugnon", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Noah Gugnon def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brady_House|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryson_Stott|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2509, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|George_Springer|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.289, "fair_american": 246, "p_predicted": 0.289, "matchup": "BAL @ DET", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tim_Tawa|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Ford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Harry_Ford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Harry Ford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T14:15:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T14:16:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Springer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.567, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.567, "matchup": "BAL @ DET", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T16:08:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esteury Ruiz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Esteury_Ruiz|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4131, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Esteury Ruiz \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4312, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4372, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.564, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.564, "matchup": "BAL @ DET", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ DAL", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_6|WNBA|ATL___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_6|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 82 @ DAL 81", "team_total": 81, "line": 78.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ DAL: home scored 81 (line 78.6, bet over) on 2026-07-29" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-30T06:45:16" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_1|WNBA|GOL___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_1|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 89 @ PHX 91", "team_total": 91, "line": 73.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ PHX: home scored 91 (line 73.1, bet over) on 2026-07-29" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-30T06:45:16" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_5.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "AST_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "GSV @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_5_0|WNBA|natasha_cloud|AST_UNDER_5_0|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5291, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.654, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 5, "line": 5.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "natasha cloud \u2014 ast = 5 (line 5.0, bet under) on 2026-07-30" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T03:55:08" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -235, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "GOL @ PHX", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|natasha_cloud|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4255, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6675, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "natasha cloud \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-07-30" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T03:55:08" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.527, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.527, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|James_Wood|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.732, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5326, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.498, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.498, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.461, "fair_american": 117, "p_predicted": 0.461, "matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1632, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.283, "fair_american": 253, "p_predicted": 0.283, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1623, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 281, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.246, "fair_american": 306, "p_predicted": 0.246, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.245, "fair_american": 308, "p_predicted": 0.245, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.08, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.224, "fair_american": 346, "p_predicted": 0.224, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|George_Springer|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.218, "fair_american": 360, "p_predicted": 0.218, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 417, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "PHI @ MIA", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.158, "fair_american": 534, "p_predicted": 0.158, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1188, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.155, "fair_american": 544, "p_predicted": 0.155, "matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1139, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 553, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "ARI @ PIT", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 576, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 586, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brady_House|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.594, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.448, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.448, "matchup": "BAL @ DET", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.23, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "BAL @ DET", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "BAL @ DET", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "BAL @ DET", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "TOR @ WSN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|James_Wood|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "BAL @ DET", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T17:08:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8764, "edge_pct": 52.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:41", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:00:54", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Christian_V_zquez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Christian V\u00e1zquez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8733, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:41", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:00:54", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian V\u00e1zquez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-05", "check": "verified" } }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Logan_O_Hoppe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8697, "edge_pct": 50.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T23:06:09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:32", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ STL", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5692, "raw_prob": 0.6257, "edge_pct": 14.4, "fair_american": 101, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___STL|ML_AWAY|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:01:28", "p_calibrated": 0.5393, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 2 @ STL 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "CHC @ STL: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-30T14:36:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T14:15:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "SEA @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.18, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2154, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ben_Rice|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T14:15:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Wilson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Wilson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Wilson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Yastrzemski", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mike_Yastrzemski|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Yastrzemski \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "SEA @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Sogard|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willson_Contreras|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T14:15:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-29T23:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2398, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Soderstrom", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Soderstrom|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.241, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Soderstrom \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2219, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 225, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "SEA @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2127, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "SEA @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "ATL @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "CLE @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sal_Stewart|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T03:35:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2398, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ STL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6043, "raw_prob": 0.7138, "edge_pct": 15.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___STL|OVER_8_5|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T07:28:13", "p_calibrated": 0.48, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 4 @ STL 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "CHC @ STL: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6192, "raw_prob": 0.73, "edge_pct": 14.8, "fair_american": -117, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___CIN|ML_AWAY|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T07:28:13", "p_calibrated": 0.5476, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 2 @ CIN 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "PIT @ CIN: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "charles leclerc", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|charles_leclerc|TOP_3|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T10:35:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 6, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Charles Leclerc qualifying P6 at Heineken Dutch Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lando norris", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|lando_norris|TOP_3|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T10:35:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 1, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Lando Norris qualifying P1 at Heineken Dutch Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "carlos sainz", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|carlos_sainz|TOP_3|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T10:35:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 17, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Carlos Sainz qualifying P17 at Heineken Dutch Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "oscar piastri", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|oscar_piastri|TOP_3|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T10:35:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 4, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Oscar Piastri qualifying P4 at Heineken Dutch Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "george russell", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.604, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.604, "matchup": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|george_russell|TOP_3|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6579, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T10:35:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 2, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "George Russell qualifying P2 at Heineken Dutch Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lewis hamilton", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|lewis_hamilton|TOP_6|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T10:35:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 5, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Lewis Hamilton qualifying P5 at Heineken Dutch Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "fernando alonso", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|fernando_alonso|TOP_6|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T10:35:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Heineken Dutch Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 18, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Fernando Alonso qualifying P18 at Heineken Dutch Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto FC @ New York City FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ New York City FC", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Toronto_FC___New_York_City_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T10:35:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 1-1 New York City FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nicol\u00e1s fern\u00e1ndez", "djordje mihailovic" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Toronto FC 1-1 New York City FC: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T03:55:33" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto FC @ New York City FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ New York City FC", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Toronto_FC___New_York_City_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3774, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T10:35:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6383, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 1-1 New York City FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nicol\u00e1s fern\u00e1ndez", "djordje mihailovic" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Toronto FC 1-1 New York City FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T03:55:33" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.602, "raw_prob": 0.7129, "edge_pct": 14.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___CIN|OVER_9_5|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T15:09:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 2 @ CIN 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "PIT @ CIN: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.5966, "raw_prob": 0.6999, "edge_pct": 13.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___CHW|OVER_7_5|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T15:09:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 1 @ CHW 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "NYY @ CHW: final 1-2 (total 3) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ STL", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.5942, "raw_prob": 0.7793, "edge_pct": 13.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___STL|OVER_8_0|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T15:09:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 4 @ STL 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "CHC @ STL: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Salvador_Perez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Burger|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.1879, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Feduccia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T16:00:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Walls", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.58, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.58, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Taylor_Walls|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7246, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Walls \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "John Rave", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|John_Rave|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "John Rave \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Kirk", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.437, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.437, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chris_Kirk|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.29, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3192, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chris Kirk finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Emiliano Grillo", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Emiliano_Grillo|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3179, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Emiliano Grillo finished T31 (-8) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ricky Castillo", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ricky_Castillo|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3114, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ricky Castillo finished T20 (-10) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Stephan Jaeger", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Stephan_Jaeger|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3085, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Stephan Jaeger finished T26 (-9) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Mark Hubbard", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.469, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.469, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Mark_Hubbard|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3603, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T61", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Mark Hubbard finished T61 (-2) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Riley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.457, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.457, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Davis_Riley|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.19, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3449, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Davis Riley finished T3 (-15) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Kuchar", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.458, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.458, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matt_Kuchar|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3461, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T50", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matt Kuchar finished T50 (-4) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Neal Shipley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.462, "fair_american": 117, "p_predicted": 0.462, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Neal_Shipley|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3513, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T50", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Neal Shipley finished T50 (-4) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Gordon Sargent", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.46, "fair_american": 117, "p_predicted": 0.46, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Gordon_Sargent|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3487, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T45", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Gordon Sargent finished T45 (-5) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Mackenzie Hughes", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Mackenzie_Hughes|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3551, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "MC", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Mackenzie Hughes finished MC (-2) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Yu", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.47, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.47, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kevin_Yu|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3624, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kevin Yu finished T31 (-8) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_1|WNBA|MIN___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_1|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 104 @ TOR 72", "team_total": 72, "line": 73.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ TOR: home scored 72 (line 73.1, bet over) on 2026-07-30" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T07:17:59" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_70.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_70.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ CHI", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_70_9|WNBA|CONN___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_70_9|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 88 @ CHI 94", "team_total": 94, "line": 70.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ CHI: home scored 94 (line 70.9, bet over) on 2026-07-30" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T07:17:59" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ LV", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_2|WNBA|NY___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_2|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 99 @ LV 104", "team_total": 104, "line": 78.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ LV: home scored 104 (line 78.2, bet over) on 2026-07-30" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T07:17:59" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -230, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "CON @ CHI", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|angel_reese|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6585, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-07-31" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T03:55:33" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.6, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "John Rave", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.451, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.451, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|John_Rave|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "John Rave \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.294, "fair_american": 240, "p_predicted": 0.294, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Burger|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1722, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.288, "fair_american": 247, "p_predicted": 0.288, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1668, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.21, "fair_american": 376, "p_predicted": 0.21, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.187, "fair_american": 434, "p_predicted": 0.187, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Salvador_Perez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1386, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.171, "fair_american": 487, "p_predicted": 0.171, "matchup": "TEX @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1321, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.169, "fair_american": 493, "p_predicted": 0.169, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.93, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1314, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 520, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "KCR @ MIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.42, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan McMahon", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_McMahon|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan McMahon \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "CHC @ STL", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "NYY @ CHW", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T17:19:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lourdes_Gurriel_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8757, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-06", "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T12:35:46", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T08:12:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Joey_Ortiz|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8759, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-06", "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T17:04:26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T08:12:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.6127, "raw_prob": 0.8464, "edge_pct": 17.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___CIN|OVER_8_0|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:06:18", "p_calibrated": 0.5024, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 2 @ CIN 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "PIT @ CIN: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T14:40:42" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:06:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keegan Bradley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Keegan_Bradley|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5345, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Keegan Bradley finished T15 (-11) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.483, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.483, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Kim|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.07, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4337, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Kim finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Yu", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kevin_Yu|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4063, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kevin Yu finished T31 (-8) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Gerard", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ryan_Gerard|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.3577, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ryan Gerard finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Doug Ghim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Doug_Ghim|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2696, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Doug Ghim finished T15 (-11) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Mark Hubbard", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.302, "fair_american": 231, "p_predicted": 0.302, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Mark_Hubbard|TOP_10|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2685, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T61", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Mark Hubbard finished T61 (-2) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brandt Snedeker", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Brandt_Snedeker|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Brandt Snedeker finished T31 (-8) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Thompson", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Davis_Thompson|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Davis Thompson finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Schenk", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Adam_Schenk|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T50", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Adam Schenk finished T50 (-4) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Schauffele", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Xander_Schauffele|TOP_20|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Xander Schauffele finished T2 (-16) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegula", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Anna_Kalinskaya_vs_Jessica_Pegula|ML_PLAYER2|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegula", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 21, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 0-2 (21 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T23:10:47" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegula", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Anna_Kalinskaya_vs_Jessica_Pegula|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegula", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 21, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 0-2 (21 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-07-31T23:10:47" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|James_Wood|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.302, "fair_american": 231, "p_predicted": 0.302, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dylan_Crews|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2088, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.39, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "SEA @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andy_Pages|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.541, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.418, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.418, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.39, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2969, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-30T23:28:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T03:55:08", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "BOS @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.27, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T03:55:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James Wood", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_Wood|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T03:55:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James Wood \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T03:55:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T03:55:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.4, "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|STL___TOR|UNDER_7_5|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 1 @ TOR 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "STL @ TOR: final 1-3 (total 4) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Cantlay", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.6, "fair_american": -150, "p_predicted": 0.6, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Patrick_Cantlay|TOP_10|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6667, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Patrick Cantlay finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Fishburn", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.456, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.456, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Patrick_Fishburn|TOP_10|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "p_calibrated": 0.3436, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T50", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Patrick Fishburn finished T50 (-4) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Kim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Michael_Kim|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "p_calibrated": 0.5295, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Michael Kim finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Kirk", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chris_Kirk|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "p_calibrated": 0.5286, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chris Kirk finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Stephan Jaeger", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Stephan_Jaeger|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "p_calibrated": 0.5305, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Stephan Jaeger finished T26 (-9) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hayden Springer", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Hayden_Springer|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "p_calibrated": 0.5302, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "MC", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Hayden Springer finished MC (0) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Doug Ghim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Doug_Ghim|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "p_calibrated": 0.5281, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Doug Ghim finished T15 (-11) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Brennan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Michael_Brennan|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "p_calibrated": 0.5279, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Michael Brennan finished T15 (-11) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T11:01:39", "p_calibrated": 0.5271, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T50", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T50 (-4) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T16:19:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rickie Fowler", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.495, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.495, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rickie_Fowler|TOP_10|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.02, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4996, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rickie Fowler finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Thorbjornsen", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.492, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.492, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Thorbjornsen|TOP_10|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.03, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4831, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Thorbjornsen finished T1 (-18) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Conners", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.48, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.48, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Corey_Conners|TOP_10|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4173, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Corey Conners finished T20 (-10) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Lower", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.576, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.576, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Lower|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Lower finished T38 (-7) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "David Lipsky", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|David_Lipsky|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "David Lipsky finished T31 (-8) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Bridgeman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jacob_Bridgeman|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jacob Bridgeman finished T26 (-9) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Clanton", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Luke_Clanton|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Luke Clanton finished T20 (-10) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rico Hoey", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rico_Hoey|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rico Hoey finished T15 (-11) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "J.J. Spaun", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|J_J__Spaun|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T50", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "J.J. Spaun finished T50 (-4) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Fishburn", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Fishburn|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T50", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Fishburn finished T50 (-4) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_7|WNBA|SEA___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_7|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 89 @ ATL 98", "team_total": 98, "line": 76.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ ATL: home scored 98 (line 76.7, bet over) on 2026-07-31" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T06:43:21" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_9|WNBA|DAL___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_9|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 75 @ WSH 81", "team_total": 81, "line": 73.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ WSH: home scored 81 (line 73.9, bet over) on 2026-07-31" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T06:43:21" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ POR", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80_6|WNBA|IND___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80_6|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 112 @ POR 98", "team_total": 98, "line": 80.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ POR: home scored 98 (line 80.6, bet over) on 2026-07-31" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T06:43:21" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "arike ogunbowale", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "DAL @ WAS", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|arike_ogunbowale|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.661, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "arike ogunbowale \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-07-31" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T06:43:21" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alex_Bregman|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T17:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.5636, "raw_prob": 0.6819, "edge_pct": 21.2, "fair_american": 115, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___BAL|ML_HOME|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:10:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6332, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 4 @ BAL 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "PHI @ BAL: final 4-6 (total 10) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T11:36:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6307, "raw_prob": 0.7544, "edge_pct": 20.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___TOR|UNDER_8_5|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:10:47", "p_calibrated": 0.633, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 1 @ TOR 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "STL @ TOR: final 1-3 (total 4) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T11:36:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ NYM", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5537, "raw_prob": 0.785, "edge_pct": 17.9, "fair_american": 113, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___NYM|ML_AWAY|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.13, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:10:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5367, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 5 @ NYM 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "MIA @ NYM: final 5-2 (total 7) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T11:36:48" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:10:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Clanton", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Luke_Clanton|TOP_10|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3001, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Luke Clanton finished T20 (-10) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Lower", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Justin_Lower|TOP_10|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3001, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Justin Lower finished T38 (-7) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_10|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2935, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T50", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T50 (-4) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Spieth", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jordan_Spieth|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.5341, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jordan Spieth finished T31 (-8) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Highsmith", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.495, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.495, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Joe_Highsmith|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.4996, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T42", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Joe Highsmith finished T42 (-6) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Conners", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.48, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.48, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Corey_Conners|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.08, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.4173, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Corey Conners finished T20 (-10) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Eckroat", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.475, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.475, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Austin_Eckroat|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3898, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Austin Eckroat finished T38 (-7) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Nicolai_H_jgaard|TOP_20|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.4063, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T61", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard finished T61 (-2) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Diana Shnaider vs Jessica Pegula", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Diana Shnaider vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21_5|TENNIS|Diana_Shnaider_vs_Jessica_Pegula|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21_5|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Diana Shnaider vs Jessica Pegula", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 22, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 0-2 (22 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "DET @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2574, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Yelich", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "MIL @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Yelich|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Yelich \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "MIA @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.541, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.418, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.418, "matchup": "MIA @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2969, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Waldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Waldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Waldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "DET @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "DET @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Riley_Greene|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.511, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "DET @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "DET @ OAK", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brady_House|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIA @ NYM", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIL @ LAA", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|William_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "STL @ TOR", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ty_France|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7463, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T14:16:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-07-31", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Trea_Turner|3_plus_hrr|2026-07-31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-07-31T23:18:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-07-31", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Christian_V_zquez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Christian V\u00e1zquez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:35", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian V\u00e1zquez \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-07-07", "check": "verified" } }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|J_P__Crawford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8749, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:35", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.876, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T16:46:39", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jared_Triolo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Triolo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8761, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T23:07:00", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T03:55:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T03:55:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "MIN @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T03:55:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6557, "raw_prob": 0.7883, "edge_pct": 15.6, "fair_american": -131, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___HOU|ML_AWAY|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.5537, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 4 @ HOU 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "TEX @ HOU: final 4-5 (total 9) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-01T22:56:57" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "market": "OVER_6.5", "prob": 0.6049, "raw_prob": 0.84, "edge_pct": 15.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___CHC|OVER_6_5|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.4813, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 2 @ CHC 5", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "NYY @ CHC: final 2-5 (total 7) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T07:24:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6354, "raw_prob": 0.7609, "edge_pct": 15.2, "fair_american": -123, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___CIN|ML_AWAY|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.5503, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 4 @ CIN 1", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "PIT @ CIN: final 4-1 (total 5) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T07:24:46" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.0, "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|CHW___TBR|UNDER_8_0|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 0 @ TB 1", "total_runs": 1, "verify": "CHW @ TB: final 0-1 (total 1) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T07:24:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Wallace", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matt_Wallace|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matt Wallace finished T5 (-13) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Schauffele", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Xander_Schauffele|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.5348, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Xander Schauffele finished T2 (-16) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Riley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Davis_Riley|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.2957, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Davis Riley finished T3 (-15) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Brennan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Brennan|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Brennan finished T15 (-11) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Peter Malnati", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Peter_Malnati|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.2838, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T68", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Peter Malnati finished T68 (0) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keegan Bradley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Keegan_Bradley|TOP_20|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.5312, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Keegan Bradley finished T15 (-11) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Emiliano Grillo", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.49, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.49, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Emiliano_Grillo|TOP_20|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.4722, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Emiliano Grillo finished T31 (-8) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Thorbjornsen", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.496, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.496, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Michael_Thorbjornsen|TOP_20|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.02, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T10:12:24", "p_calibrated": 0.5051, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Michael Thorbjornsen finished T1 (-18) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5986, "raw_prob": 0.6455, "edge_pct": 14.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___TOR|UNDER_8_5|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T14:20:05", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 1 @ TOR 5", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "STL @ TOR: final 1-5 (total 6) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T07:24:46" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "lionel messi", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.604, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.604, "matchup": "Columbus Crew @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|MLS|lionel_messi|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.604, "outcome": { "final_score": "Columbus Crew 2-2 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "luis su\u00e1rez", "noah allen", "brais m\u00e9ndez" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Columbus Crew 2-2 Inter Miami CF: lionel messi did not score \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T03:58:06" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Philadelphia Union", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Philadelphia Union", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Philadelphia_Union|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 2-3 Philadelphia Union", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "miguel almir\u00f3n", "tristan muyumba", "milan iloski", "neil pierre", "ezekiel alladoh" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Atlanta United FC 2-3 Philadelphia Union: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T03:58:06" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "LAFC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|LAFC___Vancouver_Whitecaps|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "son heung-min", "thomas m\u00fcller" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "LAFC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T03:58:06" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Diego FC @ Minnesota United FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "San Diego FC @ Minnesota United FC", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|San_Diego_FC___Minnesota_United_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "San Diego FC 1-1 Minnesota United FC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "tom\u00e1s chancalay", "anders dreyer" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "San Diego FC 1-1 Minnesota United FC: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T03:58:06" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.67, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.67, "matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Seattle_Sounders_FC___Portland_Timbers|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-2 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kalani kossa-rienzi", "kevin kelsy", "brandon bye" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-2 Portland Timbers: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T06:48:24" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Orlando City SC @ Red Bull New York", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.68, "fair_american": -213, "p_predicted": 0.68, "matchup": "Orlando City SC @ Red Bull New York", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Orlando_City_SC___Red_Bull_New_York|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6569, "outcome": { "final_score": "Orlando City SC 2-3 Red Bull New York", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "mijahir ameth jim\u00e9nez murillo", "emil forsberg", "tyrese spicer", "mijahir ameth jim\u00e9nez murillo", "griffin dorsey" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Orlando City SC 2-3 Red Bull New York: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T03:58:06" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Dallas @ LA Galaxy", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "FC Dallas @ LA Galaxy", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|FC_Dallas___LA_Galaxy|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Dallas 0-0 LA Galaxy", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "FC Dallas 0-0 LA Galaxy: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T06:48:24" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Chicago Fire FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Chicago Fire FC", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Charlotte_FC___Chicago_Fire_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4219, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Charlotte FC 1-2 Chicago Fire FC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "pep biel", "robert lewandowski", "robert lewandowski" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Charlotte FC 1-2 Chicago Fire FC: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T03:58:06" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ St. Louis CITY SC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ St. Louis CITY SC", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Real_Salt_Lake___St__Louis_CITY_SC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Salt Lake 1-1 St. Louis CITY SC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "sergi solans", "marcel hartel" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Real Salt Lake 1-1 St. Louis CITY SC: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T03:58:06" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ Sporting Kansas City", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ Sporting Kansas City", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Houston_Dynamo_FC___Sporting_Kansas_City|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Houston Dynamo FC 2-0 Sporting Kansas City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "guilherme augusto", "agust\u00edn bouzat" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Houston Dynamo FC 2-0 Sporting Kansas City: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T03:58:06" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New England Revolution @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "New England Revolution @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|New_England_Revolution___CF_Montr_al|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "New England Revolution 2-2 CF Montr\u00e9al", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "carles gil", "dor turgeman", "brayan vera", "prince owusu" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "New England Revolution 2-2 CF Montr\u00e9al: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T03:58:06" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Nashville SC @ D.C. 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"fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Seattle_Sounders_FC___Portland_Timbers|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3448, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:06:11", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-2 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kalani kossa-rienzi", "kevin kelsy", "brandon bye" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-2 Portland Timbers: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T06:48:24" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Smith", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jordan_Smith|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:32:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2752, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T31", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jordan Smith finished T31 (-8) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rasmus H\u00f8jgaard", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rasmus_H_jgaard|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T15:32:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2745, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rasmus H\u00f8jgaard finished T4 (-14) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_8.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "market": "under_8.5", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_8_5|MLB|BOS___LAD|under_8_5|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T21:43:37", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 9 @ LAD 4", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "BOS @ LAD: final 9-4 (total 13) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T10:11:10" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Schenk", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.455, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.455, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Adam_Schenk|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.3423, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T50", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Adam Schenk finished T50 (-4) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Si Woo Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 220, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Si_Woo_Kim|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.27, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T42", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Si Woo Kim finished T42 (-6) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Gerard", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ryan_Gerard|TOP_20|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.53, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ryan Gerard finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Peter Malnati", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Peter_Malnati|TOP_20|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.531, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T68", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Peter Malnati finished T68 (0) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ PHX", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_9|WNBA|NY___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_9|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 94 @ PHX 92", "team_total": 92, "line": 73.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ PHX: home scored 92 (line 73.9, bet over) on 2026-08-01" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T10:11:10" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jonquel jones", "market": "AST_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "NY @ PHX", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_2_5|WNBA|jonquel_jones|AST_OVER_2_5|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5263, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.655, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jonquel jones \u2014 ast = 5 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-08-01" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T10:11:10" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "NYL @ PHX", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|natasha_cloud|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6671, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "natasha cloud \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-08-01" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T10:11:10" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "NYL @ PHX", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|natasha_cloud|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6473, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "natasha cloud \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-08-01" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T10:11:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "John Rave", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|John_Rave|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.57, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "John Rave \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.227, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Coby_Mayo|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T22:09:58", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4342, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 4, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hits = 4 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4342, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4522, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Rogers", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jake_Rogers|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7692, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jake Rogers \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Corey_Seager|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kristoffer Ventura", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kristoffer_Ventura|TOP_10|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.09, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4063, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kristoffer Ventura finished T5 (-13) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.621, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.621, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_20|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben James finished T38 (-7) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Wallace", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matt_Wallace|TOP_20|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matt Wallace finished T5 (-13) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Russell Henley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.457, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.457, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Russell_Henley|TOP_20|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.19, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3449, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T20", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Russell Henley finished T20 (-10) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:56:32" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.787, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Ward|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.693, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4598, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.681, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LaMonte Wade Jr.", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.494, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.494, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|LaMonte_Wade_Jr_|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "LaMonte Wade Jr. \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.674, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.49, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.49, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.674, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.49, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.49, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.648, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.477, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.477, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4441, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.643, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4414, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.63, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4314, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.624, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.464, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.464, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4251, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.14, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1903, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.286, "fair_american": 249, "p_predicted": 0.286, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.165, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.285, "fair_american": 250, "p_predicted": 0.285, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1641, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.276, "fair_american": 263, "p_predicted": 0.276, "matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.156, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 281, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 323, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 372, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.72, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 386, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 456, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.169, "fair_american": 490, "p_predicted": 0.169, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Lane_Thomas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1314, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.167, "fair_american": 497, "p_predicted": 0.167, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1306, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.165, "fair_american": 505, "p_predicted": 0.165, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Austin_Riley|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1299, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 523, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Christian_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.157, "fair_american": 537, "p_predicted": 0.157, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.37, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1172, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.154, "fair_american": 551, "p_predicted": 0.154, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_McCann|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1123, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 583, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 599, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T14:31:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Rogers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 606, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Rogers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Rogers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Yastrzemski", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 614, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Yastrzemski|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Yastrzemski \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "DET @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.46, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Susac", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daniel_Susac|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daniel Susac \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIL @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.407, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-01", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-01T23:09:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ HOU", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5661, "raw_prob": 0.7883, "edge_pct": 17.2, "fair_american": 107, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___HOU|ML_AWAY|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T00:10:31", "p_calibrated": 0.5388, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 3 @ HOU 7", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "TEX @ HOU: final 3-7 (total 10) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T08:17:12" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.492, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T03:50:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "SFG @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T03:50:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "KCR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T03:50:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.395, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.06, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T03:50:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6146, "raw_prob": 0.7597, "edge_pct": 17.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___CIN|OVER_8_5|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T07:24:46", "p_calibrated": 0.5156, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 2 @ CIN 10", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "PIT @ CIN: final 2-10 (total 12) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T08:17:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ TOR", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5932, "raw_prob": 0.7187, "edge_pct": 16.3, "fair_american": -104, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___TOR|ML_AWAY|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T07:24:46", "p_calibrated": 0.5433, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 5 @ TOR 1", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "STL @ TOR: final 5-1 (total 6) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T08:17:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ CHC", "market": "OVER_6.5", "prob": 0.6204, "raw_prob": 0.9003, "edge_pct": 18.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___CHC|OVER_6_5|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T10:11:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5558, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 2 @ CHC 1", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "NYY @ CHC: final 2-1 (total 3) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T08:17:12" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Chicago Fire FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Chicago Fire FC", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Charlotte_FC___Chicago_Fire_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T10:11:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Charlotte FC 1-2 Chicago Fire FC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "pep biel", "robert lewandowski", "robert lewandowski" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Charlotte FC 1-2 Chicago Fire FC: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:09:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Fortes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:09:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2095, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T13:34:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:09:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1982, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "STL @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:09:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:09:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:09:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:09:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "STL @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.563, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.563, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.781, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.601, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.147, "fair_american": 581, "p_predicted": 0.147, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1008, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 595, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.95, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan De La Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "PHI @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_De_La_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.57, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan De La Cruz \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "WSN @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 225, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2127, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2101, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Horwitz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Horwitz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Horwitz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 242, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.42, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.48, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Horwitz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Horwitz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Horwitz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "CHW @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "ARI @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "PIT @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "STL @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|George_Springer|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "MIA @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-06T07:59:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Si Woo Kim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Si_Woo_Kim|TOP_20|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T42", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Si Woo Kim finished T42 (-6) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T11:48:57" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ POR", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_9|WNBA|LA___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_9|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 106 @ POR 101", "team_total": 101, "line": 76.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ POR: home scored 101 (line 76.9, bet over) on 2026-08-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T11:48:57" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71_6|WNBA|CONN___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71_6|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 63 @ DAL 83", "team_total": 83, "line": 71.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ DAL: home scored 83 (line 71.6, bet over) on 2026-08-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T11:48:57" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TOR @ GOL", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_9|WNBA|TOR___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_9|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 79 @ GS 96", "team_total": 96, "line": 73.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "TOR @ GS: home scored 96 (line 73.9, bet over) on 2026-08-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T11:48:57" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "arike ogunbowale", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "CON @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|arike_ogunbowale|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00", "p_calibrated": 0.6687, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "arike ogunbowale \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T11:48:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.23, "fair_american": 335, "p_predicted": 0.23, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T22:26:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.527, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.527, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Masataka_Yoshida|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Masataka Yoshida \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_5|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2729, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T5 (-13) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T11:48:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Thompson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Davis_Thompson|TOP_10|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2909, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Davis Thompson finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T11:48:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Cameron Young", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Cameron_Young|TOP_10|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2748, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T8", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Cameron Young finished T8 (-12) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T11:48:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sungjae Im", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.661, "fair_american": -195, "p_predicted": 0.661, "matchup": "Rocket Classic", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sungjae_Im|TOP_20|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5128, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Rocket Classic", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sungjae Im finished T15 (-11) at Rocket Classic \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T11:48:57" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.65, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.09, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.445, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.622, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.463, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.463, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.16, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.423, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.57, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1876, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T14:15:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 520, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.158, "fair_american": 534, "p_predicted": 0.158, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1188, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.157, "fair_american": 535, "p_predicted": 0.157, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.35, "recorded_at": "2026-08-02T23:16:08", "p_calibrated": 0.1172, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.386, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "BOS @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tommy_Edman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.12, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T04:00:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ PHI", "market": "WSN_ML", "prob": 0.552, "raw_prob": 0.725, "edge_pct": 26.4, "fair_american": 129, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|WSN___PHI|WSN_ML|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T08:17:12", "p_calibrated": 0.552, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 3 @ PHI 6", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "WSH @ PHI: final 3-6 (total 9 runs) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ MIL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6167, "raw_prob": 0.7624, "edge_pct": 17.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___MIL|OVER_8_5|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T08:17:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5301, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 4 @ MIL 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "PIT @ MIL: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T07:33:48" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ PHI", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.616, "raw_prob": 0.7639, "edge_pct": 17.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|WSN___PHI|OVER_9_0|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T15:46:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5253, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 3 @ PHI 6", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "WSH @ PHI: final 3-6 (total 9 runs) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Bruno Lopes vs Diyar Nurgozhay", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "Bruno Lopes vs Diyar Nurgozhay", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Bruno_Lopes_vs_Diyar_Nurgozhay|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.36, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T16:37:24", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Bruno Lopes vs Diyar Nurgozhay", "winner": "Diyar Nurgozhay", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Diyar Nurgozhay def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Billy Ray Goff vs Ty Miller", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.214, "fair_american": 367, "p_predicted": 0.214, "matchup": "Billy Ray Goff vs Ty Miller", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Billy_Ray_Goff_vs_Ty_Miller|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T16:37:24", "p_calibrated": 0.3411, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Juliana Miller vs Ravena Oliveira", "winner": "Juliana Miller", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Juliana Miller def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Manoel Sousa vs Richie Miranda", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.203, "fair_american": 393, "p_predicted": 0.203, "matchup": "Manoel Sousa vs Richie Miranda", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Manoel_Sousa_vs_Richie_Miranda|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T16:37:24", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Manoel Sousa vs Richie Miranda", "winner": "Manoel Sousa", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Manoel Sousa def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 398, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Mateusz_Gamrot_vs_Quillan_Salkilld|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.98, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T16:37:24", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld", "winner": "Quillan Salkilld", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Quillan Salkilld def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 421, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Diego_Ferreira_vs_Billy_Quarantillo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T16:37:24", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo", "winner": "Diego Ferreira", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Diego Ferreira def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Miles Johns vs Jessie Rosas", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 451, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "Miles Johns vs Jessie Rosas", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Miles_Johns_vs_Jessie_Rosas|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.51, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T16:37:24", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Miles Johns vs Gianni Vazquez", "winner": "Miles Johns", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Miles Johns def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 452, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Darren_Elkins_vs_Yadier_del_Valle|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.52, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T16:37:24", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": false, "outcome": { "fight": "Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle", "winner": "Yadier del Valle", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Yadier del Valle def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_8|WNBA|LV___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_8|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 109 @ ATL 87", "team_total": 87, "line": 76.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ ATL: home scored 87 (line 76.8, bet over) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ NY", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_4|WNBA|SEA___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_4|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 83 @ NY 95", "team_total": 95, "line": 76.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ NY: home scored 95 (line 76.4, bet over) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_7|WNBA|PHX___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_7|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 106 @ CHI 101", "team_total": 101, "line": 73.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ CHI: home scored 101 (line 73.7, bet over) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "a'ja wilson", "market": "AST_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "LV @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_3_0|WNBA|a_ja_wilson|AST_UNDER_3_0|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.655, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "a'ja wilson \u2014 ast = 4 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -214, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "LVA @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4673, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.665, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "sabrina ionescu", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.644, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.644, "matchup": "SEA @ NYL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|sabrina_ionescu|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6598, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "sabrina ionescu \u2014 fg3m = 4 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "chelsea gray", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.662, "fair_american": -196, "p_predicted": 0.662, "matchup": "LVA @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|chelsea_gray|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5102, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6623, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chelsea gray \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.63, "fair_american": -170, "p_predicted": 0.63, "matchup": "LVA @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_2_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|BLK_STL_OVER_2_5|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6645, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "LVA @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6617, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ezi magbegor", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.621, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.621, "matchup": "SEA @ NYL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|ezi_magbegor|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6468, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ezi magbegor \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-08-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T06:14:44" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "marina mabrey", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.639, "fair_american": -177, "p_predicted": 0.639, "matchup": "PHX @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|marina_mabrey|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.565, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T17:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.6496, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marina mabrey \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-08-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ MIL", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.608, "raw_prob": 0.8527, "edge_pct": 16.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___MIL|OVER_7_5|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.4879, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 4 @ MIL 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "PIT @ MIL: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-04T14:43:31" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "LAD @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Ty_France|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T14:16:13" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "SFG @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Susac", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "SFG @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Daniel_Susac|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daniel Susac \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Rengifo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Rengifo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Rengifo \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "STL @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Jones|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2436, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TBR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "TOR @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|George_Springer|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "LAD @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "LAD @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "PIT @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "PIT @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.21, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2154, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "SFG @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Waldschmidt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.291, "fair_american": 244, "p_predicted": 0.291, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Waldschmidt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Waldschmidt \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T13:44:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "SFG @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "SFG @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.52, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 9, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 9 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "LAD @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "TOR @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Springer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Waldschmidt", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Waldschmidt|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Waldschmidt \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T13:44:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SFG @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "TBR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "PIT @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "PIT @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-03T23:30:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T14:16:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T03:34:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T03:34:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "SFG @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T03:34:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "STL @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T03:34:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "SDP @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T03:34:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ BOS", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.556, "raw_prob": 0.5754, "edge_pct": 16.2, "fair_american": 109, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___BOS|CHW_ML|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T07:33:48", "p_calibrated": 0.556, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 2 @ BOS 14", "total_runs": 16, "verify": "CHW @ BOS: final 2-14 (total 16 runs) on 2026-08-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ BAL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6036, "raw_prob": 0.7317, "edge_pct": 15.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___BAL|OVER_8_5|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T07:33:48", "p_calibrated": 0.4785, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 1 @ BAL 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "LAA @ BAL: final 1-3 (total 4) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ CIN", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.8272, "edge_pct": 57.92, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|OAK___CIN|OVER_9_0|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T07:33:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 4 @ CIN 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "ATH @ CIN: final 4-5 (total 9 runs) on 2026-08-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Daria_Kasatkina|ML_PLAYER1|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4739, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T10:59:00", "p_calibrated": 0.679, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina", "winner": "Elena Rybakina", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 31, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Elena Rybakina won 2-1 (31 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_16.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_16_5|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Daria_Kasatkina|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16_5|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T10:59:00", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina", "winner": "Elena Rybakina", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 31, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16.5", "verify": "Elena Rybakina won 2-1 (31 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_16.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ MIL", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.5912, "raw_prob": 0.6584, "edge_pct": 12.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___MIL|OVER_7_5|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T17:38:53", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 2 @ MIL 4", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "PIT @ MIL: final 2-4 (total 6) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ BAL", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.5965, "raw_prob": 0.669, "edge_pct": 13.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___BAL|OVER_9_0|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T19:11:24", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 1 @ BAL 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "LAA @ BAL: final 1-3 (total 4) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CHC", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.591, "raw_prob": 0.7529, "edge_pct": 22.3, "fair_american": 107, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___CHC|LAD_ML|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T22:57:18", "p_calibrated": 0.591, 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"mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "TOR @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T22:57:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "TBR @ COL", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T22:57:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CHW @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T22:57:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "DET @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Young|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-04T22:57:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": false, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ ATL", "market": "MIA_ML", "prob": 0.5529, "raw_prob": 0.5704, "edge_pct": 14.5, "fair_american": 107, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-04", "pick_id": 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"player_or_matchup": "NYM @ CLE", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6062, "raw_prob": 0.7013, "edge_pct": 15.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___CLE|UNDER_8_5|2026-08-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-05T06:45:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5924, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 6 @ CLE 5", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "NYM @ CLE: final 6-5 (total 11) on 2026-08-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CHC", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.6077, "raw_prob": 0.8589, "edge_pct": 16.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___CHC|OVER_9_5|2026-08-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-05T08:07:32", "p_calibrated": 0.4873, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 6 @ CHC 7", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "LAD @ CHC: final 6-7 (total 13) on 2026-08-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ KCR", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.5972, "raw_prob": 0.8166, "edge_pct": 14.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___KCR|OVER_8_5|2026-08-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-05T17:23:35", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 1 @ KC 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "MIN @ KC: final 1-2 (total 3) on 2026-08-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ SEA", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.5926, "raw_prob": 0.635, "edge_pct": 13.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": 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23.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___WSN|WSN_ML|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T03:19:39", "p_calibrated": 0.6461, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 3 @ WSH 5", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CIN @ WSH: final 3-5 (total 8 runs) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.6452, "raw_prob": 0.7261, "edge_pct": 23.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___MIL|MIL_ML|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T03:19:39", "p_calibrated": 0.6452, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 8 @ MIL 6", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "MIN @ MIL: final 8-6 (total 14 runs) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ MIA", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.8343, "edge_pct": 59.28, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|LAA___MIA|OVER_9_0|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T03:38:05", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 4 @ MIA 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "LAA @ MIA: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T05:39:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "market": "BOS_ML", "prob": 0.6492, "raw_prob": 0.7328, "edge_pct": 23.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|OAK___BOS|BOS_ML|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02", "p_calibrated": 0.6492, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 1 @ BOS 13", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "ATH @ BOS: final 1-13 (total 14 runs) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ MIA", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6464, "raw_prob": 0.92, "edge_pct": 23.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___MIA|ML_HOME|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02", "p_calibrated": 0.6544, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 4 @ MIA 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "LAA @ MIA: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T05:39:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "market": "PIT_ML", "prob": 0.6396, "raw_prob": 0.6685, "edge_pct": 22.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___PIT|PIT_ML|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T06:43:02", "p_calibrated": 0.6396, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 6 @ PIT 4", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "NYM @ PIT: final 6-4 (total 10 runs) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ MIA", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6127, "raw_prob": 0.8786, "edge_pct": 17.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___MIA|OVER_8_5|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T17:03:58", "p_calibrated": 0.5024, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 4 @ MIA 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "LAA @ MIA: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T05:39:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ MIA", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.6141, "raw_prob": 0.9055, "edge_pct": 17.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___MIA|OVER_8_0|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5121, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 4 @ MIA 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "LAA @ MIA: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:15:47" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chad Ramey", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chad_Ramey|TOP_10|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5264, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chad Ramey finished T38 (-7) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.48, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.48, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_10|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4173, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Eric Cole finished T29 (-8) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Smith", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jordan_Smith|TOP_10|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2687, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jordan Smith finished T14 (-12) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_20|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5326, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T7 (-14) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Danny Walker", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.468, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.468, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Danny_Walker|TOP_20|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.359, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T54", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Danny Walker finished T54 (-5) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Phillips", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.454, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.454, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chandler_Phillips|TOP_20|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.341, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chandler Phillips finished T22 (-10) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Bauchou", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Zach_Bauchou|TOP_20|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.21, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3384, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Zach Bauchou finished T14 (-12) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Campos", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.46, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.46, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rafael_Campos|TOP_20|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3487, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T25", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rafael Campos finished T25 (-9) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adrien Saddier", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Adrien_Saddier|TOP_20|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3384, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T61", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Adrien Saddier finished T61 (-4) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ New England Revolution", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.668, "fair_american": -201, "p_predicted": 0.668, "matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ New England Revolution", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Houston_Dynamo_FC___New_England_Revoluti|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4975, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Houston Dynamo FC 2-0 New England Revolution", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "guilherme augusto", "agust\u00edn resch" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Houston Dynamo FC 2-0 New England Revolution: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ New England Revolution", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ New England Revolution", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Houston_Dynamo_FC___New_England_Revoluti|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.346, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Houston Dynamo FC 2-0 New England Revolution", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "guilherme augusto", "agust\u00edn resch" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Houston Dynamo FC 2-0 New England Revolution: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ CONN", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_1|WNBA|PHX___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_1|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 72 @ CON 75", "team_total": 75, "line": 75.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ CON: home scored 75 (line 75.1, bet over) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:15:47" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_7|WNBA|ATL___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_7|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 74 @ WSH 79", "team_total": 79, "line": 74.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ WSH: home scored 79 (line 74.7, bet over) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:15:47" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_9|WNBA|GOL___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_9|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 94 @ DAL 76", "team_total": 76, "line": 72.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ DAL: home scored 76 (line 72.9, bet over) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:15:47" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_2.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "AST_OVER_2.0", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_2_0|WNBA|allisha_gray|AST_OVER_2_0|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 2, "line": 2.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 ast = 2 (line 2.0, bet over) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:15:47" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.63, "fair_american": -170, "p_predicted": 0.63, "matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5882, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6482, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:15:47" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "brittney griner", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "ATL @ WAS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|brittney_griner|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5714, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brittney griner \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-08-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:15:47" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Diana Shnaider vs Jessica Pegula", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Diana Shnaider vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21_5|TENNIS|Diana_Shnaider_vs_Jessica_Pegula|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21_5|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Diana Shnaider vs Jessica Pegula", "winner": "Diana Shnaider", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 18, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "verify": "Diana Shnaider won 2-0 (18 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "LAA @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.361, "fair_american": 177, "p_predicted": 0.361, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.259, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2553, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "TBR @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.227, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2257, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.587, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.581, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.555, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joc_Pederson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.35, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Lara", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Lara|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Lara \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "TBR @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Serven", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brian_Serven|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brian Serven \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "LAA @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joe_Mack|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Marcus_Semien|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.435, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "TBR @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "TBR @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "LAA @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.421, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "LAA @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Owen_Caissie|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|William_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Yelich", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Yelich|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Yelich \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Crooks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jimmy_Crooks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jimmy Crooks \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7634, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T13:39:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_Bauers|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-07T22:57:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T02:24:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daniel Susac", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Daniel_Susac|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T02:24:48", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daniel Susac \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T02:24:48", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T02:24:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T02:24:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T02:24:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5637, "raw_prob": 0.6249, "edge_pct": 15.0, "fair_american": 104, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___SDP|ML_AWAY|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:39:34", "p_calibrated": 0.5384, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 2 @ SD 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "HOU @ SD: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-08T17:45:07", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-22T05:20:27", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sahith Theegala", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sahith_Theegala|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5295, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T49", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sahith Theegala finished T49 (-6) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Smalley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.486, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.486, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Alex_Smalley|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.06, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Alex Smalley finished T7 (-14) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Noren", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.483, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.483, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Alex_Noren|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.07, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4337, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Alex Noren finished T7 (-14) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rico Hoey", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.473, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.473, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rico_Hoey|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3789, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T25", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rico Hoey finished T25 (-9) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "David Skinns", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|David_Skinns|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3577, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "David Skinns finished T22 (-10) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max Greyserman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.464, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.464, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Max_Greyserman|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3538, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T77", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Max Greyserman finished T77 (-1) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Brennan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.456, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.456, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Brennan|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.19, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3436, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -22, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Brennan finished T1 (-22) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Doug Ghim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.448, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.448, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Doug_Ghim|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3333, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Doug Ghim finished T19 (-11) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matti Schmid", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matti_Schmid|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3307, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T72", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matti Schmid finished T72 (-2) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Billy Horschel", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Billy_Horschel|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3114, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Billy Horschel finished T12 (-13) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Kim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tom_Kim|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tom Kim finished T5 (-15) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chad Ramey", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chad_Ramey|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chad Ramey finished T38 (-7) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Denny McCarthy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Denny_McCarthy|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Denny McCarthy finished T29 (-8) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Eric Cole finished T29 (-8) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Hoge", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.571, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.571, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tom_Hoge|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tom Hoge finished T29 (-8) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Thompson", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Davis_Thompson|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7194, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Davis Thompson finished T14 (-12) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Amanda Anisimova vs Elina Svitolina", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Amanda Anisimova vs Elina Svitolina", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19_5|TENNIS|Amanda_Anisimova_vs_Elina_Svitolina|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19_5|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T05:55:30", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Amanda Anisimova vs Elina Svitolina", "winner": "Elina Svitolina", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 18, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "verify": "Elina Svitolina won 0-2 (18 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ NYY", "market": "ATL_ML", "prob": 0.615, "raw_prob": 0.6438, "edge_pct": 23.0, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___NYY|ATL_ML|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T14:44:54", "p_calibrated": 0.615, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 4 @ NYY 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "ATL @ NYY: final 4-5 (total 9 runs) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "market": "PHI_ML", "prob": 0.6403, "raw_prob": 0.718, "edge_pct": 22.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___PHI|PHI_ML|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T14:44:54", "p_calibrated": 0.6403, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 7 @ PHI 5", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "TOR @ PHI: final 7-5 (total 12 runs) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.572, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.572, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T14:44:54", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T22 (-10) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Echavarria", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Nico_Echavarria|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2971, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Nico Echavarria finished T12 (-13) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Lower", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Justin_Lower|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.294, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T77", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Justin Lower finished T77 (-1) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Webb Simpson", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.461, "fair_american": 117, "p_predicted": 0.461, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Webb_Simpson|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.35, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T38", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Webb Simpson finished T38 (-7) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Kohles", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_Kohles|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3397, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben Kohles finished T29 (-8) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_3|WNBA|IND___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_3|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 90 @ CHI 86", "team_total": 86, "line": 79.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ CHI: home scored 86 (line 79.3, bet over) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T10:56:08" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ POR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_8|WNBA|SEA___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_8|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 93 @ POR 100", "team_total": 100, "line": 74.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ POR: home scored 100 (line 74.8, bet over) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T10:56:08" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "AST_OVER_1.0", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_1_0|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|AST_OVER_1_0|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.65, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 2, "line": 1.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 ast = 2 (line 1.0, bet over) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T10:56:08" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "caitlin clark", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.687, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.687, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|caitlin_clark|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6656, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caitlin clark \u2014 fg3m = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T10:56:08" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jewell loyd", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -230, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "SEA @ POR", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|jewell_loyd|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.667, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jewell loyd \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T19:05:43" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.633, "fair_american": -172, "p_predicted": 0.633, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|aliyah_boston|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5814, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6583, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T10:56:08" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "gabby williams", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.632, "fair_american": -172, "p_predicted": 0.632, "matchup": "SEA @ POR", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|gabby_williams|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5814, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6582, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "gabby williams \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T02:37:51" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6576, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T10:56:08" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4405, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6802, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T10:56:08" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "lexie hull", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.621, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.621, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|lexie_hull|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6098, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6623, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "lexie hull \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T10:56:08" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.64, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Trevino", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jose_Trevino|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Trevino \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddie Freeman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2542, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Martin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Martin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Martin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.446, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "John Rave", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|John_Rave|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "John Rave \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Trevino", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Trevino|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Trevino \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Riley_Greene|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_McCann|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.05, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan De La Cruz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryan_De_La_Cruz|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan De La Cruz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|James_McCann|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryson_Stott|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Royce_Lewis|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.531, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.531, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T21:55:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Isbel", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kyle_Isbel|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Isbel \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian V\u00e1zquez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_V_zquez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4038, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian V\u00e1zquez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jake_Burger|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4108, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TBR @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4154, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Isaac_Collins|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4177, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4252, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4342, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Cavanaugh", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Drew_Cavanaugh|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Cavanaugh \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Gonzalez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.544, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.544, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jacob_Gonzalez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jacob Gonzalez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7634, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.572, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.572, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brett_Baty|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7519, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.576, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.576, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.579, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.579, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Matt_McLain|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7246, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "John Rave", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.589, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.589, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|John_Rave|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "John Rave \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Yu", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 431, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Kevin_Yu|TOP_5|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Kevin Yu finished T4 (-16) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Smith", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.177, "fair_american": 466, "p_predicted": 0.177, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Jordan_Smith|TOP_5|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Jordan Smith finished T14 (-12) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Hall", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Harry_Hall|TOP_10|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2949, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Harry Hall finished T5 (-15) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Erik van Rooyen", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Erik_van_Rooyen|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T67", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Erik van Rooyen finished T67 (-3) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "David Skinns", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.674, "fair_american": -207, "p_predicted": 0.674, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|David_Skinns|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "David Skinns finished T22 (-10) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Wallace", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.468, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.468, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matt_Wallace|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.359, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matt Wallace finished T7 (-14) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Koivun", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.469, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.469, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jackson_Koivun|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3603, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T29", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jackson Koivun finished T29 (-8) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Billy Horschel", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.463, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.463, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Billy_Horschel|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.16, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3526, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Billy Horschel finished T12 (-13) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Roy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.471, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.471, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kevin_Roy|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.12, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3679, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kevin Roy finished T19 (-11) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Doug Ghim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Doug_Ghim|TOP_20|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3564, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Doug Ghim finished T19 (-11) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.5096, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.613, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.458, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.458, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4126, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.55, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 bb = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.3, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Osleivis Basabe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Osleivis_Basabe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Osleivis Basabe \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.349, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.349, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_McCann|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 220, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1885, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1741, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 255, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1614, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.28, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.28, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1596, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 277, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 281, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.81, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "TBR @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.245, "fair_american": 309, "p_predicted": 0.245, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.237, "fair_american": 322, "p_predicted": 0.237, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 333, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "TBR @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.219, "fair_american": 357, "p_predicted": 0.219, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.219, "fair_american": 356, "p_predicted": 0.219, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.218, "fair_american": 359, "p_predicted": 0.218, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.59, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.214, "fair_american": 367, "p_predicted": 0.214, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.214, "fair_american": 368, "p_predicted": 0.214, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.211, "fair_american": 374, "p_predicted": 0.211, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.21, "fair_american": 376, "p_predicted": 0.21, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.208, "fair_american": 381, "p_predicted": 0.208, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.81, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 386, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.197, "fair_american": 408, "p_predicted": 0.197, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.08, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1442, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 423, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1408, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 424, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "TBR @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1408, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.189, "fair_american": 428, "p_predicted": 0.189, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1397, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.185, "fair_american": 439, "p_predicted": 0.185, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1375, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 444, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1369, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.178, "fair_american": 461, "p_predicted": 0.178, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1347, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 476, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Vaughn", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 479, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andrew_Vaughn|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1328, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Vaughn \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.172, "fair_american": 480, "p_predicted": 0.172, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1325, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.172, "fair_american": 481, "p_predicted": 0.172, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1325, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 495, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 495, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.167, "fair_american": 500, "p_predicted": 0.167, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1306, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.165, "fair_american": 505, "p_predicted": 0.165, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1299, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.164, "fair_american": 508, "p_predicted": 0.164, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Max_Clark|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1287, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.164, "fair_american": 508, "p_predicted": 0.164, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1287, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.163, "fair_american": 513, "p_predicted": 0.163, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brett_Baty|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.127, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 520, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "CHC @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 526, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1221, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 541, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1155, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 555, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_McLain|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 551, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 558, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 559, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.151, "fair_american": 562, "p_predicted": 0.151, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1073, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:16:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.147, "fair_american": 582, "p_predicted": 0.147, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.1008, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Gonzalez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 584, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jacob_Gonzalez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Gonzalez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 610, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.42, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.408, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Horwitz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "NYM @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Horwitz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Horwitz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.399, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.397, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "COL @ STL", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.397, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "DET @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Rafael_Devers|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "LAD @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.567, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.567, "matchup": "BAL @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Joc_Pederson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-08T22:50:49", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T02:32:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.6266, "raw_prob": 0.6535, "edge_pct": 20.7, "fair_american": -108, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___CHW|CHW_ML|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09", "p_calibrated": 0.6266, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 3 @ CHW 5", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CLE @ CHW: final 3-5 (total 8 runs) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "market": "OVER_9.5", "prob": 0.8132, "edge_pct": 55.25, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|CIN___WSN|OVER_9_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 1 @ WSH 7", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CIN @ WSH: final 1-7 (total 8 runs) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_10|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.12, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09", "p_calibrated": 0.2711, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T7 (-14) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.482, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.482, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_20|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.07, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09", "p_calibrated": 0.4283, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben James finished T3 (-18) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|OAK___BOS|under_9_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6944, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T06:28:09", "p_calibrated": 0.5805, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 4 @ BOS 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ATH @ BOS: final 4-3 (total 7 runs) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ MIA", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6799, "raw_prob": 0.7455, "edge_pct": 13.9, "fair_american": -148, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___MIA|ML_HOME|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6757, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26", "p_calibrated": 0.6629, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 3 @ MIA 12", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "LAA @ MIA: final 3-12 (total 15) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T06:11:09" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ NYY", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6777, "raw_prob": 0.6984, "edge_pct": 13.9, "fair_american": -147, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___NYY|NYY_ML|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T13:44:26", "p_calibrated": 0.6777, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 2 @ NYY 1", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "ATL @ NYY: final 2-1 (total 3 runs) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2186, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|CJ_Abrams|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.258, "fair_american": 288, "p_predicted": 0.258, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1948, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.256, "fair_american": 291, "p_predicted": 0.256, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1931, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "MIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jacob_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1896, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.18, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Rogers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Rogers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Rogers \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.237, "fair_american": 322, "p_predicted": 0.237, "matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Rogers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Rogers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Rogers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "TOR @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Harper|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "OAK @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T14:55:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "sharp_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ WSN", "market": "ml_home", "prob": 0.6214, "edge_pct": 16.2, "tier": "STRONG", "shift_pp": 6.45, "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "sharp_strong|MLB|CIN___WSN|ml_home|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T16:59:00", "p_calibrated": 0.648, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 1 @ WSH 7", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "CIN @ WSH: final 1-7 (total 8 runs) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:22:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sahith Theegala", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sahith_Theegala|TOP_20|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T49", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sahith Theegala finished T49 (-6) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T09:52:08" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ MIN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_2|WNBA|DAL___MIN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_2|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 90 @ MIN 103", "team_total": 103, "line": 78.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ MIN: home scored 103 (line 78.2, bet over) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T09:52:08" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ LA", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_5|WNBA|GOL___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 84 @ LA 78", "team_total": 78, "line": 74.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ LA: home scored 78 (line 74.5, bet over) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T09:52:08" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "napheesa collier", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "DAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|napheesa_collier|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6597, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "napheesa collier \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T09:52:08" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kayla mcbride", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "DAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|kayla_mcbride|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6658, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 10, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kayla mcbride \u2014 fg3m = 10 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T09:52:08" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "alanna smith", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.662, "fair_american": -196, "p_predicted": 0.662, "matchup": "DAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|alanna_smith|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5102, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6531, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alanna smith \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T09:52:08" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "cameron brink", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "GOL @ LAS", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|cameron_brink|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.65, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cameron brink \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T09:52:08" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_14.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Iga Swiatek vs Diana Shnaider", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_14.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Iga Swiatek vs Diana Shnaider", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_14_5|TENNIS|Iga_Swiatek_vs_Diana_Shnaider|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_14_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Iga Swiatek vs Diana Shnaider", "winner": "Iga Swiatek", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 15, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_14.5", "verify": "Iga Swiatek won 2-0 (15 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_14.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 298, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1888, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.05, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T21:46:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddy Fermin", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Freddy_Fermin|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Freddy Fermin \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Hall", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Harry_Hall|TOP_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2747, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Harry Hall finished T5 (-15) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T11:28:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 360, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_5|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T7 (-14) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T11:28:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Novak", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Andrew_Novak|TOP_10|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Andrew Novak finished T7 (-14) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T11:28:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Wallace", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matt_Wallace|TOP_10|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5345, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matt Wallace finished T7 (-14) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T11:28:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Davis Thompson", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Davis_Thompson|TOP_10|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2693, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Davis Thompson finished T14 (-12) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T11:28:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Thomas", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Thomas|TOP_20|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Thomas finished T14 (-12) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T11:28:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sungjae Im", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sungjae_Im|TOP_20|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3448, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sungjae Im finished T14 (-12) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T11:28:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Smith", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jordan_Smith|TOP_20|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4425, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jordan Smith finished T14 (-12) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T11:28:28" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Spieth", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "Wyndham Championship", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jordan_Spieth|TOP_20|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7692, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Wyndham Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jordan Spieth finished T19 (-11) at Wyndham Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T11:28:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 489, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.89, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.511, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "HOU @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-09T22:53:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.592, "raw_prob": 0.6814, "edge_pct": 12.1, "fair_american": -112, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___MIN|ML_AWAY|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T06:11:09", "p_calibrated": 0.5431, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 5 @ MIN 9", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "BAL @ MIN: final 5-9 (total 14) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Kropschot vs Jon Kunneman", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "Joe Kropschot vs Jon Kunneman", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Joe_Kropschot_vs_Jon_Kunneman|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Joe Kropschot vs Jon Kunneman", "winner": "Joe Kropschot", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Joe Kropschot def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Abe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio Escarrega", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 391, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "Abe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio Escarrega", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Abe_Alsaghir_vs_Fabrizio_Escarrega|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Abe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio Escarrega", "winner": "Abe Alsaghir", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Abe Alsaghir def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Pagliarulo vs Ananias Mulumba", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 453, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "Tom Pagliarulo vs Ananias Mulumba", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tom_Pagliarulo_vs_Ananias_Mulumba|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T14:38:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Tom Pagliarulo vs Ananias Mulumba", "winner": "Tom Pagliarulo", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tom Pagliarulo def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T06:17:52" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "market": "BOS_ML", "prob": 0.6356, "raw_prob": 0.839, "edge_pct": 27.1, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___TOR|BOS_ML|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T15:04:57", "p_calibrated": 0.6356, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 1 @ TOR 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "BOS @ TOR: final 1-2 (total 3 runs) on 2026-08-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TOR @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_5|WNBA|TOR___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_5|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 95 @ ATL 107", "team_total": 107, "line": 76.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "TOR @ ATL: home scored 107 (line 76.5, bet over) on 2026-08-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_8|WNBA|CHI___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_8|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 88 @ SEA 97", "team_total": 97, "line": 78.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ SEA: home scored 97 (line 78.8, bet over) on 2026-08-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.57, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 7, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 tb = 7 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2542, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.227, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2101, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2075, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.94, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.1913, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.539, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Marcus_Semien|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Riley|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.576, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.576, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Marcus_Semien|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Harper|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Royce_Lewis|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Olson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:05:31", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Beavers", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dylan_Beavers|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dylan Beavers \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Crooks", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jimmy_Crooks|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7692, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jimmy Crooks \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.58, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.58, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colton_Cowser|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Leody_Taveras|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Troy_Johnston|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "C\u00e9sar Prieto", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 1.0, "fair_american": null, "p_predicted": 1.0, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|C_sar_Prieto|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "C\u00e9sar Prieto \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.654, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.48, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.48, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.08, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4468, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.611, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.457, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.457, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Martin", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Austin_Martin|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Martin \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.32, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.349, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.349, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1741, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1732, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 254, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1614, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.28, "fair_american": 257, "p_predicted": 0.28, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1596, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.278, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.278, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1578, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 311, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.11, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.23, "fair_american": 336, "p_predicted": 0.23, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.36, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 340, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.224, "fair_american": 347, "p_predicted": 0.224, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 360, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.19, "fair_american": 427, "p_predicted": 0.19, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1403, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.178, "fair_american": 461, "p_predicted": 0.178, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1347, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Derek Hill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 540, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Derek_Hill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1155, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Derek Hill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.154, "fair_american": 547, "p_predicted": 0.154, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1123, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Wong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.15, "fair_american": 566, "p_predicted": 0.15, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Connor_Wong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1057, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Wong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 603, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Siri", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jose_Siri|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Siri \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Osleivis Basabe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "HOU @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Osleivis_Basabe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Osleivis Basabe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "HOU @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "HOU @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.567, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Beck", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.433, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.433, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Beck|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3027, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Beck \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.47, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Lara", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Lara|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Lara \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.493, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "TBR @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.475, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Osleivis Basabe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "HOU @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Osleivis_Basabe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Osleivis Basabe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TBR @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Schanuel", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Schanuel|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Schanuel \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TBR @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Wong", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Connor_Wong|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Wong \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|William_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.388, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Karros|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.239, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-10", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-08-10T22:55:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T11:08:28" }, { "source": "sharp_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ ARI", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.6128, "edge_pct": 17.0, "tier": "STRONG", "shift_pp": 5.56, "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "sharp_strong|MLB|COL___ARI|under_9_5|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T00:01:03", "p_calibrated": 0.6033, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 0 @ ARI 9", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "COL @ ARI: final 0-9 (total 9) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T13:47:00" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "market": "TEX_ML", "prob": 0.6988, "raw_prob": 0.8644, "edge_pct": 18.8, "fair_american": -143, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___LAA|TEX_ML|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6993, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6988, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong" ], "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 4 @ LAA 1", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "TEX @ LAA: final 4-1 (total 5 runs) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ DET", "market": "DET_ML", "prob": 0.6584, "raw_prob": 0.7244, "edge_pct": 17.7, "fair_american": -127, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___DET|DET_ML|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6584, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 4 @ DET 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CLE @ DET: final 4-6 (total 10 runs) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6707, "raw_prob": 0.7366, "edge_pct": 14.0, "fair_american": -143, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___SDP|ML_AWAY|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5562, "also_sources": [ "whale_whale" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 2 @ SD 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "MIL @ SD: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-11T18:53:29" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.8113, "edge_pct": 54.89, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|CHC___WSN|OVER_9_0|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T06:00:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 8 @ WSH 6", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "CHC @ WSH: final 8-6 (total 14 runs) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_17.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_17_5|TENNIS|Iga_Swiatek_vs_Elina_Svitolina|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_17_5|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T06:04:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina", "winner": "Iga Swiatek", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 25, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_17.5", "verify": "Iga Swiatek won 2-1 (25 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.98, "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|BOS___TOR|UNDER_7_5|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 3 @ TOR 5", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "BOS @ TOR: final 3-5 (total 8) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ IND", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_7|WNBA|NY___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_7|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 92 @ IND 106", "team_total": 106, "line": 77.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ IND: home scored 106 (line 77.7, bet over) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ LV", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_5|WNBA|WAS___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_5|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 76 @ LV 86", "team_total": 86, "line": 81.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ LV: home scored 86 (line 81.5, bet over) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ LA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_3|WNBA|PHX___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_3|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHX 94 @ LA 87", "team_total": 87, "line": 75.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "PHX @ LA: home scored 87 (line 75.3, bet over) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_4.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jonquel jones", "market": "AST_UNDER_4.0", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "NY @ IND", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_4_0|WNBA|jonquel_jones|AST_UNDER_4_0|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5263, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.655, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 2, "line": 4.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jonquel jones \u2014 ast = 2 (line 4.0, bet under) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "caitlin clark", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "NYL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|caitlin_clark|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.6651, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caitlin clark \u2014 fg3m = 4 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "sabrina ionescu", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "NYL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_0|WNBA|sabrina_ionescu|3PM_UNDER_3_0|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4184, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.6681, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "sabrina ionescu \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "NYL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4167, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.706, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nalyssa smith", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "NYL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|nalyssa_smith|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.6846, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "nalyssa smith \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "NYL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.659, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "sabrina ionescu", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.629, "fair_american": -170, "p_predicted": 0.629, "matchup": "NYL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|sabrina_ionescu|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5882, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.6643, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "sabrina ionescu \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|James_McCann|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2553, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2542, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Yastrzemski", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mike_Yastrzemski|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Yastrzemski \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryson_Stott|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2308, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Wells|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Ford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Harry_Ford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Harry Ford \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.511, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.5, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Siri", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Siri|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Siri \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Clark|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ian_Happ|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_McCann|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Lombard Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Lombard_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Lombard Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Riley|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.421, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Mangum", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Mangum|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Mangum \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Schanuel", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Schanuel|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Schanuel \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.05, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6993, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.564, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.564, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.554, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.554, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jacob_Young|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8065, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.552, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.552, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Coby_Mayo|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryson_Stott|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Harper|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Olson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Royce_Lewis|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2415, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T22:12:27", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Robert Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Luis_Robert_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Robert Jr. \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ferm\u00edn", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jos__Ferm_n|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4131, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ferm\u00edn \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Ford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Harry_Ford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.42, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Harry Ford \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4402, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4432, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Myles_Straw|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4522, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Myles Straw \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Weston Wilson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Weston_Wilson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Weston Wilson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Gonzalez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.544, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.544, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jacob_Gonzalez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jacob Gonzalez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Henry_Davis|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Zach_Neto|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Austin_Wells|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Emerson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Emerson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Emerson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.564, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.564, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Yastrzemski", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Mike_Yastrzemski|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7692, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mike Yastrzemski \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Jones|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6897, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jon Kunneman vs Joseph Kropschot", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 328, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "Jon Kunneman vs Joseph Kropschot", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jon_Kunneman_vs_Joseph_Kropschot|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3787, "outcome": { "fight": "Joe Kropschot vs Jon Kunneman", "winner": "Joe Kropschot", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Joe Kropschot def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.483, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.483, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_20|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.07, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4337, "voided": false, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T1 (-17) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rory McIlroy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rory_McIlroy|TOP_20|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3577, "voided": false, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T66", "to_par": 8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rory McIlroy finished T66 (8) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.673, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.49, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.49, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.643, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4414, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.615, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Lombard Jr.", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.459, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.459, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|George_Lombard_Jr_|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4147, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Lombard Jr. \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.596, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.449, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.449, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.596, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.449, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.449, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.23, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3955, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Ford", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Harry_Ford|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3955, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Harry Ford \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.558, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Lombard Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|George_Lombard_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Lombard Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.91, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_McCann|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1777, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.34, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1768, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.286, "fair_american": 249, "p_predicted": 0.286, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.165, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 257, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1605, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1605, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.271, "fair_american": 268, "p_predicted": 0.271, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1515, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1496, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.243, "fair_american": 312, "p_predicted": 0.243, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.12, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 332, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.39, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.224, "fair_american": 346, "p_predicted": 0.224, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.218, "fair_american": 359, "p_predicted": 0.218, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 362, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.215, "fair_american": 365, "p_predicted": 0.215, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.213, "fair_american": 369, "p_predicted": 0.213, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.21, "fair_american": 375, "p_predicted": 0.21, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.203, "fair_american": 392, "p_predicted": 0.203, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1475, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 416, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.193, "fair_american": 418, "p_predicted": 0.193, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.18, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1419, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.193, "fair_american": 418, "p_predicted": 0.193, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1419, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.19, "fair_american": 427, "p_predicted": 0.19, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1403, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.189, "fair_american": 429, "p_predicted": 0.189, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1397, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.187, "fair_american": 434, "p_predicted": 0.187, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1386, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 443, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.43, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1369, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 457, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.175, "fair_american": 472, "p_predicted": 0.175, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1336, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.175, "fair_american": 471, "p_predicted": 0.175, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1336, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 502, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.02, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.165, "fair_american": 505, "p_predicted": 0.165, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1299, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.164, "fair_american": 511, "p_predicted": 0.164, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1287, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 520, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.154, "fair_american": 550, "p_predicted": 0.154, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1123, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 555, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joe_Mack|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 584, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 595, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Robert Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 603, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Robert_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Robert Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 609, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "HOU @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "TBR @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "TBR @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.541, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.418, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.418, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.39, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2969, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Myles_Straw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.42, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Myles Straw \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.514, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "HOU @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Lara", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Lara|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Lara \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TBR @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "John Rave", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|John_Rave|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "John Rave \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.422, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brady_House|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2814, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Wilson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "TBR @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Wilson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Wilson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Heim", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TBR @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Heim|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Heim \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|William_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.395, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.388, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.12, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Osleivis Basabe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "HOU @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Osleivis_Basabe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Osleivis Basabe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.01, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.579, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.579, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Griffin_Conine|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "PHI @ STL", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "COL @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-08-11T23:03:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T11:12:27" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.618, "raw_prob": 0.7337, "edge_pct": 13.7, "fair_american": -119, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___SDP|ML_AWAY|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T01:57:40", "p_calibrated": 0.5474, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 3 @ SD 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "MIL @ SD: final 3-4 (total 7) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-12T14:16:13" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Cincinnati @ Orlando City SC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "FC Cincinnati @ Orlando City SC", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|FC_Cincinnati___Orlando_City_SC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4739, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T06:58:44", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City SC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "pavel bucha", "tyrese spicer" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City SC: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T02:00:08" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Inter Miami CF @ Nashville SC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Inter Miami CF @ Nashville SC", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Inter_Miami_CF___Nashville_SC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T06:58:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Inter Miami CF 1-4 Nashville SC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "andy n\u00e1jar", "telasco segovia", "hany mukhtar", "sam surridge", "hany mukhtar" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Inter Miami CF 1-4 Nashville SC: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Red Bull New York @ Atlanta United FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "Red Bull New York @ Atlanta United FC", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Red_Bull_New_York___Atlanta_United_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T06:58:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Red Bull New York 1-2 Atlanta United FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "emil forsberg", "tristan muyumba", "faf\u00e0 picault" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Red Bull New York 1-2 Atlanta United FC: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T02:00:08" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "D.C. United @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "D.C. United @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|D_C__United___CF_Montr_al|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T06:58:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "D.C. United 1-1 CF Montr\u00e9al", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "prince owusu", "tai baribo" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "D.C. United 1-1 CF Montr\u00e9al: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T02:00:08" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Columbus Crew @ Charlotte FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "Columbus Crew @ Charlotte FC", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Columbus_Crew___Charlotte_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T06:58:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Columbus Crew 1-3 Charlotte FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "brandt bronico", "liel abada", "chase adams", "pep biel" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Columbus Crew 1-3 Charlotte FC: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T02:00:08" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ Colorado Rapids", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ Colorado Rapids", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Sporting_Kansas_City___Colorado_Rapids|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T06:58:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Colorado Rapids", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "reggie cannon", "rafael navarro" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Colorado Rapids: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T04:53:11" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New England Revolution @ Toronto FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "New England Revolution @ Toronto FC", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|New_England_Revolution___Toronto_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T06:58:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "New England Revolution 1-2 Toronto FC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "niklas dorsch", "wilson harris" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "New England Revolution 1-2 Toronto FC: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T02:00:08" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LA Galaxy @ Houston Dynamo FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "LA Galaxy @ Houston Dynamo FC", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|LA_Galaxy___Houston_Dynamo_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-16", 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"p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Coco Gauff", "winner": "Elena Rybakina", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 28, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "verify": "Elena Rybakina won 2-1 (28 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6371, "raw_prob": 0.6654, "edge_pct": 21.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___NYY|NYY_ML|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T14:16:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6371, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong" ], "voided": false, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 5 @ NYY 10", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "SEA @ NYY: final 5-10 (total 15 runs) on 2026-08-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "ELITE", "under_signal_score": 7.24, "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|BOS___TOR|UNDER_8_5|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T14:16:13", "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 4 @ TOR 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "BOS @ TOR: final 4-6 (total 10) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6596, "raw_prob": 0.7934, "edge_pct": 14.5, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___LAA|ML_AWAY|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T16:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.5544, "also_sources": [ "whale_whale" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 2 @ LAA 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "TEX @ LAA: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T05:22:05" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T16:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T05:22:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.3, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T16:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2095, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T05:22:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T16:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T05:22:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T16:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T05:22:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T16:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T05:22:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T16:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T05:22:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "BAL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Royce_Lewis|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7576, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T16:51:26", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T05:22:05" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ DET", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.5772, "raw_prob": 0.6898, "edge_pct": 17.2, "fair_american": 103, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___DET|ML_HOME|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.6367, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 6 @ DET 4", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CLE @ DET: final 6-4 (total 10) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.5968, "raw_prob": 0.6461, "edge_pct": 13.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___TOR|UNDER_8_0|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "also_sources": [ "mlb_under_alert" ], "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 4 @ TOR 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "BOS @ TOR: final 4-6 (total 10) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TOR @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_9|WNBA|TOR___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_9|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 88 @ DAL 94", "team_total": 94, "line": 74.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "TOR @ DAL: home scored 94 (line 74.9, bet over) on 2026-08-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ GOL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_0|WNBA|CHI___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_0|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 71 @ GS 91", "team_total": 91, "line": 77.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ GS: home scored 91 (line 77.0, bet over) on 2026-08-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ POR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_9|WNBA|MIN___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_9|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 85 @ POR 81", "team_total": 81, "line": 74.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ POR: home scored 81 (line 74.9, bet over) on 2026-08-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2536, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 12, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 tb = 12 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jacob_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.252, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2509, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Trevino", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jose_Trevino|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Trevino \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2461, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.241, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.99, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2257, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2226, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2173, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2101, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Lombard Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|George_Lombard_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2095, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Lombard Jr. \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Ford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Harry_Ford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Harry Ford \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alex_Bregman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.514, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Wells|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Naylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Masataka_Yoshida|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masataka Yoshida \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Trevino", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Trevino|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Trevino \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Mangum", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Mangum|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Mangum \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Clark|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.1, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Olson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jacob_Young|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2439, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2415, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alex_Bregman|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2415, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 13, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 13 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5823, "raw_prob": 0.7142, "edge_pct": 16.5, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___TOR|ML_AWAY|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:48:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5415, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 4 @ TOR 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "BOS @ TOR: final 4-6 (total 10) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:48:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4038, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Taylor_Ward|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4282, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Ford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Harry_Ford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4402, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Harry Ford \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Myles_Straw|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4522, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Myles Straw \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Joe_Mack|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Henry_Davis|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Henry Davis \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lane_Thomas|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Robert Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Luis_Robert_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Robert Jr. \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Braden Montgomery", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Braden_Montgomery|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Braden Montgomery \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.576, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.576, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jazz Chisholm Jr. \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.579, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.579, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7246, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.58, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.58, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Austin_Wells|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Matt_McLain|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan McMahon", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ryan_McMahon|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ryan McMahon \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.725, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Ward|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.5211, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.682, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.495, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.495, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.665, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.485, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.485, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.06, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.63, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4314, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.604, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.21, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.594, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.448, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.448, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.567, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.433, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.433, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.55, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Jones|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.547, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Busch|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Lombard Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|George_Lombard_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Lombard Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1713, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.286, "fair_american": 250, "p_predicted": 0.286, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.165, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 255, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1605, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1533, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 287, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.256, "fair_american": 291, "p_predicted": 0.256, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.95, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 333, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.33, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Trevino", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 353, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Trevino|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Trevino \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.218, "fair_american": 359, "p_predicted": 0.218, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.213, "fair_american": 369, "p_predicted": 0.213, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 372, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.198, "fair_american": 406, "p_predicted": 0.198, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1447, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.198, "fair_american": 405, "p_predicted": 0.198, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1447, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 421, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.21, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 423, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.23, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1408, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 447, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 453, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 477, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dylan_Crews|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1328, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 488, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Spencer_Jones|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.169, "fair_american": 492, "p_predicted": 0.169, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.92, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1314, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hr = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 497, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brett_Baty|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 502, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.157, "fair_american": 538, "p_predicted": 0.157, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.38, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1172, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 541, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1155, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 552, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.151, "fair_american": 561, "p_predicted": 0.151, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joe_Mack|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1073, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.15, "fair_american": 565, "p_predicted": 0.15, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.65, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.1057, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 609, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "NYM @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2397, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.311, "fair_american": 222, "p_predicted": 0.311, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.22, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2147, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.33, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2075, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 10, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 tb = 10 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "BOS @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Myles_Straw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.42, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Myles Straw \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Feduccia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brady_House|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Schanuel", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TEX @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Schanuel|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Schanuel \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "KCR @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Griffin_Conine|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-12T22:59:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-13T11:13:15" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.6903, "raw_prob": 0.7184, "edge_pct": 19.4, "fair_american": -137, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___CHW|CHW_ML|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6903, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 9 @ CHW 8", "total_runs": 17, "verify": "CIN @ CHW: final 9-8 (total 17 runs) on 2026-08-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "market": "MIN_ML", "prob": 0.6163, "raw_prob": 0.6372, "edge_pct": 15.7, "fair_american": -114, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___MIN|MIN_ML|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6163, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 7 @ MIN 1", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "PHI @ MIN: final 7-1 (total 8 runs) on 2026-08-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ WSN", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.8024, "edge_pct": 53.18, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|CHC___WSN|OVER_8_5|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T06:15:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 0 @ WSH 7", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CHC @ WSH: final 0-7 (total 7 runs) on 2026-08-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Iga_Swiatek|ML_PLAYER2|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5618, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T06:54:53", "p_calibrated": 0.64, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "winner": "Iga Swiatek", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 17, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Iga Swiatek won 0-2 (17 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17_5|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Iga_Swiatek|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17_5|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T06:54:53", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "winner": "Iga Swiatek", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 17, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "verify": "Iga Swiatek won 0-2 (17 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ DET", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.5553, "raw_prob": 0.6161, "edge_pct": 17.2, "fair_american": 111, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___DET|ML_HOME|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.11, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T13:52:16", "p_calibrated": 0.6311, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 0 @ DET 3", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "CLE @ DET: final 0-3 (total 3) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T14:15:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:01:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6224, "raw_prob": 0.7561, "edge_pct": 18.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___NYY|ML_HOME|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.6482, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 1 @ NYY 0", "total_runs": 1, "verify": "SEA @ NYY: final 1-0 (total 1) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 235, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Lucas_Fernando_vs_Rafael_Tobias|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias", "winner": "Lucas Fernando", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Lucas Fernando def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Eric_McConico_vs_Donte_Johnson|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.94, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Miles Johns vs Gianni Vazquez", "winner": "Miles Johns", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Miles Johns def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.248, "fair_american": 304, "p_predicted": 0.248, "matchup": "Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Dustin_Stoltzfus_vs_Mansur_Abdul_Malik|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik", "winner": "Dustin Stoltzfus", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Dustin Stoltzfus def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.242, "fair_american": 313, "p_predicted": 0.242, "matchup": "Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Vicente_Luque_vs_Tresean_Gore|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3937, "outcome": { "fight": "Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore", "winner": "Tresean Gore", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tresean Gore def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.22, "fair_american": 354, "p_predicted": 0.22, "matchup": "Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Islam_Makhachev_vs_Ian_Machado_Garry|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3524, "outcome": { "fight": "Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry", "winner": "Islam Makhachev", "ended_round": 5, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Islam Makhachev def. opponent (ended R5) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.211, "fair_american": 375, "p_predicted": 0.211, "matchup": "Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jeremiah_Wells_vs_Myktybek_Orolbai|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai", "winner": "Jeremiah Wells", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jeremiah Wells def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Chidi Njokuani vs Joel \u00c1lvarez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.21, "fair_american": 377, "p_predicted": 0.21, "matchup": "Chidi Njokuani vs Joel \u00c1lvarez", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Chidi_Njokuani_vs_Joel__lvarez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Chidi Njokuani vs Joel \u00c1lvarez", "winner": "Chidi Njokuani", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Chidi Njokuani def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 387, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Neil_Magny_vs_Ramiz_Brahimaj|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj", "winner": "Neil Magny", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Neil Magny def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Charles_Johnson_vs_Eduardo_Chapolin|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.13, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Miles Johns vs Gianni Vazquez", "winner": "Miles Johns", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Miles Johns def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jalin Turner vs Kau\u00ea Fernandes", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.193, "fair_american": 419, "p_predicted": 0.193, "matchup": "Jalin Turner vs Kau\u00ea Fernandes", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jalin_Turner_vs_Kau__Fernandes|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.19, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Jalin Turner vs Kau\u00ea Fernandes", "winner": "Jalin Turner", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jalin Turner def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 420, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Edson_Barboza_vs_Esteban_Ribovics|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics", "winner": "Esteban Ribovics", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Esteban Ribovics def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2173, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esteury Ruiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 242, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Esteury_Ruiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esteury Ruiz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.283, "fair_american": 253, "p_predicted": 0.283, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2043, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2025, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.524, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.408, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.408, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2943, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.514, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esteury Ruiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Esteury_Ruiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esteury Ruiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:02:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3015, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T1 (-17) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harris English", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Harris_English|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2834, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T42", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Harris English finished T42 (1) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sepp Straka", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.479, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.479, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sepp_Straka|TOP_20|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4118, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T34", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sepp Straka finished T34 (-1) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Maverick McNealy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.473, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.473, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Maverick_McNealy|TOP_20|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.11, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3789, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Maverick McNealy finished T19 (-4) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.683, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.495, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.495, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.627, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4293, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.591, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4082, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.43, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.43, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.242, "fair_american": 313, "p_predicted": 0.242, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eduardo Valencia", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 350, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eduardo_Valencia|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.5, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eduardo Valencia \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 372, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 453, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 584, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.84, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Naylor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2121, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.276, "fair_american": 262, "p_predicted": 0.276, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.62, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1905, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 310, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1827, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 310, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1827, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Genao", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Angel_Genao|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Genao \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SEA @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Naylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "PIT @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Griffin_Conine|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "CLE @ DET", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T15:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T03:36:13" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kurt Kitayama", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kurt_Kitayama|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.5295, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kurt Kitayama finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Gary Woodland", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Gary_Woodland|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2741, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T42", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Gary Woodland finished T42 (1) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Viktor Hovland", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Viktor_Hovland|TOP_20|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.5321, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Viktor Hovland finished T19 (-4) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Spieth", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jordan_Spieth|TOP_20|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.11, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3844, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jordan Spieth finished T19 (-4) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ CONN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_5|WNBA|ATL___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_5|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 104 @ CON 69", "team_total": 69, "line": 77.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ CON: home scored 69 (line 77.5, bet over) on 2026-08-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ NY", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_4|WNBA|LA___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_4|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 81 @ NY 85", "team_total": 85, "line": 79.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ NY: home scored 85 (line 79.4, bet over) on 2026-08-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ LV", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_4|WNBA|WAS___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_4|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 76 @ LV 83", "team_total": 83, "line": 81.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ LV: home scored 83 (line 81.4, bet over) on 2026-08-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "ATL @ CON", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_0|WNBA|rhyne_howard|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_0|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.6614, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 blk_stl = 4 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-08-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryson_Stott|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.278, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.278, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.571, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.3035, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T22:10:46", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4038, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Knapp", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jake_Knapp|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jake Knapp finished T7 (-6) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.552, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.552, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T7 (-6) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T7 (-6) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sungjae Im", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.495, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.495, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sungjae_Im|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.02, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4996, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sungjae Im finished T5 (-7) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Burns", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sam_Burns|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.09, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4063, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sam Burns finished T3 (-8) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Scott", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.477, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.477, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Adam_Scott|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Adam Scott finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Gotterup", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chris_Gotterup|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chris Gotterup finished T30 (-2) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Schauffele", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Xander_Schauffele|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.46, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Xander Schauffele finished T7 (-6) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bud Cauley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.401, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.401, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Bud_Cauley|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2966, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Bud Cauley finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Kim|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.294, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T55", "to_par": 4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Kim finished T55 (4) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Min Woo Lee", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Min_Woo_Lee|TOP_10|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.273, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T55", "to_par": 4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Min Woo Lee finished T55 (4) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.731, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.5326, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.704, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.479, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 287, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 412, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1431, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 417, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 417, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 444, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.44, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1369, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 449, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1361, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.165, "fair_american": 506, "p_predicted": 0.165, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1299, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 593, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 592, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.92, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.294, "fair_american": 240, "p_predicted": 0.294, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andy_Pages|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Enrique Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Enrique_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Enrique Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Enrique Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Enrique_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Enrique Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Harper|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-13T23:00:33", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-14T11:11:38" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ NYM", "market": "WSN_ML", "prob": 0.6103, "raw_prob": 0.7757, "edge_pct": 22.1, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|WSN___NYM|WSN_ML|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10", "also_sources": [ "pod" ], "p_calibrated": 0.6103, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 1 @ NYM 4", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "WSH @ NYM: final 1-4 (total 5 runs) on 2026-08-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ DET", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5981, "raw_prob": 0.6948, "edge_pct": 14.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___DET|UNDER_8_5|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T06:17:10", "also_sources": [ "mlb_under_alert" ], "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 9 @ DET 5", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "CHW @ DET: final 9-5 (total 14) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "sharp_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "market": "ml_away", "prob": 0.686, "edge_pct": 12.9, "tier": "ELITE", "shift_pp": 8.02, "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "sharp_elite|MLB|NYY___TOR|ml_away|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T06:52:13", "p_calibrated": 0.5588, "also_sources": [ "sharp_strong", "top_25_board" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 1 @ TOR 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "NYY @ TOR: final 1-3 (total 4) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Rodgers", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Rodgers|TOP_20|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T06:52:13", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Rodgers finished T19 (-4) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Spieth", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jordan_Spieth|TOP_10|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T15:09:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jordan Spieth finished T19 (-4) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Keith Mitchell", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Keith_Mitchell|TOP_10|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T15:09:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T34", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Keith Mitchell finished T34 (-1) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Thorbjornsen", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Thorbjornsen|TOP_10|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T15:09:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5348, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T47", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Thorbjornsen finished T47 (2) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sudarshan Yellamaraju", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sudarshan_Yellamaraju|TOP_10|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T15:09:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2719, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T47", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sudarshan Yellamaraju finished T47 (2) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Schauffele", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.615, "fair_american": -160, "p_predicted": 0.615, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Xander_Schauffele|TOP_20|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.625, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T15:09:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Xander Schauffele finished T7 (-6) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Burns", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Sam_Burns|TOP_20|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T15:09:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5345, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Sam Burns finished T3 (-8) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Cantlay", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.418, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.418, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Patrick_Cantlay|TOP_10|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3041, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Patrick Cantlay finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Wyndham Clark", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Wyndham_Clark|TOP_20|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7576, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Wyndham Clark finished T5 (-7) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ IND", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80_9|WNBA|DAL___IND|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80_9|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 87 @ IND 98", "team_total": 98, "line": 80.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ IND: home scored 98 (line 80.9, bet over) on 2026-08-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_3|WNBA|POR___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_3|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 84 @ SEA 82", "team_total": 82, "line": 77.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ SEA: home scored 82 (line 77.3, bet over) on 2026-08-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_4.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "AST_UNDER_4.0", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "DAL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_4_0|WNBA|aliyah_boston|AST_UNDER_4_0|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5291, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.654, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 1, "line": 4.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 ast = 1 (line 4.0, bet under) on 2026-08-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "caitlin clark", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "DAL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|caitlin_clark|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5405, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.6606, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caitlin clark \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.687, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.687, "matchup": "DAL @ IND", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4566, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.657, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-08-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stefanos Tsitsipas", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stefanos Tsitsipas", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Felix_Auger_Aliassime_vs_Stefanos_Tsitsi|ML_PLAYER2|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.627, "outcome": { "match": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stefanos Tsitsipas", "winner": "Felix Auger-Aliassime", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 21, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Felix Auger-Aliassime won 2-0 (21 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stefanos Tsitsipas", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stefanos Tsitsipas", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17_5|TENNIS|Felix_Auger_Aliassime_vs_Stefanos_Tsitsi|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17_5|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stefanos Tsitsipas", "winner": "Felix Auger-Aliassime", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 21, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "verify": "Felix Auger-Aliassime won 2-0 (21 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19_5|TENNIS|Hubert_Hurkacz_vs_Tommy_Paul|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19_5|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul", "winner": "Tommy Paul", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 32, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "verify": "Tommy Paul won 1-2 (32 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2213, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2134, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.29, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2101, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Hoerner", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nico_Hoerner|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nico Hoerner \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.1896, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.241, "fair_american": 315, "p_predicted": 0.241, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.1801, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alec_Burleson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "STL @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T18:31:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T07:01:11" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.6302, "raw_prob": 0.6568, "edge_pct": 20.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___LAD|LAD_ML|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6302, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 5 @ LAD 4", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "MIL @ LAD: final 5-4 (total 9 runs) on 2026-08-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6093, "raw_prob": 0.7452, "edge_pct": 16.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___ATL|ML_HOME|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6449, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 2 @ ATL 0", "total_runs": 2, "verify": "ARI @ ATL: final 2-0 (total 2) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Wyndham Clark", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.544, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.544, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Wyndham_Clark|TOP_10|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Wyndham Clark finished T5 (-7) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Smalley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Alex_Smalley|TOP_10|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.309, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Alex Smalley finished T24 (-3) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Gotterup", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chris_Gotterup|TOP_20|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chris Gotterup finished T30 (-2) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_20|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3551, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "KCR @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "WSN @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "WSN @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2596, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2553, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2542, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.543, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.419, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.419, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2973, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.513, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.401, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.401, "matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Wells|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2929, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.504, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Riley|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2918, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.501, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Mangum", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Mangum|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Mangum \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.493, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.57, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "WSN @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Naylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Feduccia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "COL @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "WSN @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "WSN @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Masataka_Yoshida|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masataka Yoshida \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Enrique Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Enrique_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Enrique Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "WSN @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Wilson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Wilson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Wilson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_McKinstry|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach McKinstry \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "KCR @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.03, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Locklear", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Locklear|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Locklear \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Liam_Hicks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "KCR @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "WSN @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Coby_Mayo|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "WSN @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jacob_Young|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Olson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-14T22:42:28", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T10:43:11" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.5789, "raw_prob": 0.6976, "edge_pct": 13.0, "fair_american": -105, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___CIN|ML_AWAY|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5409, "also_sources": [ "sharp_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 8 @ CIN 4", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "MIA @ CIN: final 8-4 (total 12) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.5906, "raw_prob": 0.6684, "edge_pct": 12.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___PIT|OVER_7_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 4 @ PIT 0", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "BOS @ PIT: final 4-0 (total 4) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ DET", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.5839, "raw_prob": 0.6972, "edge_pct": 11.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___DET|OVER_8_0|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 4 @ DET 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CHW @ DET: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ SFG", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.7823, "edge_pct": 49.35, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|COL___SFG|OVER_7_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "also_sources": [ "top_25_board" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 5 @ SF 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "COL @ SF: final 5-2 (total 7) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-15T17:14:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Harman", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Brian_Harman|TOP_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2714, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T30", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Brian Harman finished T30 (-2) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.294, "fair_american": 240, "p_predicted": 0.294, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2674, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T7 (-6) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Spieth", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.28, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.28, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Jordan_Spieth|TOP_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Jordan Spieth finished T19 (-4) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Echavarria", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.576, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.576, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Nico_Echavarria|TOP_10|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Nico Echavarria finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.659, "fair_american": -193, "p_predicted": 0.659, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_20|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5181, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T7 (-6) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Scott", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.618, "fair_american": -162, "p_predicted": 0.618, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Adam_Scott|TOP_20|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6173, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Adam Scott finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Smalley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Alex_Smalley|TOP_20|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T05:18:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Alex Smalley finished T24 (-3) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ DET", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.601, "raw_prob": 0.7467, "edge_pct": 14.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___DET|OVER_7_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T13:26:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 4 @ DET 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CHW @ DET: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ CHC", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.6009, "raw_prob": 0.7305, "edge_pct": 14.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___CHC|ML_HOME|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:31:34", "p_calibrated": 0.6428, "also_sources": [ "sharp_strong", "sharp_elite" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 8 @ CHC 4", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "STL @ CHC: final 8-4 (total 12) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 6.06, "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|NYY___TOR|UNDER_8_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:31:34", "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 1 @ TOR 4", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "NYY @ TOR: final 1-4 (total 5) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:12" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:31:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T02:34:22" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Thomas", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.454, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.454, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Thomas|TOP_20|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.341, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T47", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Thomas finished T47 (2) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Rogers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.285, "fair_american": 251, "p_predicted": 0.285, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Rogers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Rogers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.274, "fair_american": 265, "p_predicted": 0.274, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Rogers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Rogers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Rogers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "CHW @ DET", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T14:42:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T03:15:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "market": "UNDER_9.5", "prob": 0.5745, "raw_prob": 0.615, "edge_pct": 9.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___MIN|UNDER_9_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:06:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 9 @ MIN 1", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "PHI @ MIN: final 9-1 (total 10) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "market": "PHI_ML", "prob": 0.5708, "raw_prob": 0.5814, "edge_pct": 8.0, "fair_american": -112, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___MIN|PHI_ML|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:06:03", "p_calibrated": 0.5708, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 9 @ MIN 1", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "PHI @ MIN: final 9-1 (total 10 runs) on 2026-08-15" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:06:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:06:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:06:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:06:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:06:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ WAS", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_0|WNBA|LA___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_0|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 70 @ WSH 80", "team_total": 80, "line": 75.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ WSH: home scored 80 (line 75.0, bet over) on 2026-08-15" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ LV", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_0|WNBA|MIN___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_0|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 92 @ LV 87", "team_total": 87, "line": 78.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ LV: home scored 87 (line 78.0, bet over) on 2026-08-15" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rae burrell", "market": "AST_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "LA @ WAS", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_2_5|WNBA|rae_burrell|AST_OVER_2_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.65, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "rae burrell \u2014 ast = 3 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-08-15" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2574, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2574, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.91, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.585, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.571, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.3, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3035, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.562, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.43, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.43, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.3015, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.541, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.418, "fair_american": 139, "p_predicted": 0.418, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2969, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Riley|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.501, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Mangum", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Mangum|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Mangum \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Naylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Feduccia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Feduccia \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Gonzalez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Gonzalez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Gonzalez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esteury Ruiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Esteury_Ruiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esteury Ruiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Martin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Martin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Martin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Liam_Hicks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Campusano", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Campusano|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Campusano \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Masataka_Yoshida|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masataka Yoshida \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jarren_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8264, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Junior_Caminero|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2456, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T21:15:03", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Joe_Mack|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4038, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daulton Varsho", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Daulton_Varsho|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4402, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Daulton Varsho \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Triolo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jared_Triolo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4522, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jared Triolo \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Martin", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Austin_Martin|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Austin Martin \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dane Myers", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dane_Myers|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dane Myers \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Kepler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Max_Kepler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Max Kepler \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Lara", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.571, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.571, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Luis_Lara|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Lara \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.579, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.579, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Petey_Halpin|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.583, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.583, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Yelich", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Yelich|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6803, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Yelich \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Gonzalez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jacob_Gonzalez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6803, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jacob Gonzalez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hideki Matsuyama", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Hideki_Matsuyama|TOP_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Hideki Matsuyama finished T7 (-6) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Si Woo Kim", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Si_Woo_Kim|TOP_5|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.86, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Si Woo Kim finished T2 (-9) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Noren", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.579, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.579, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Alex_Noren|TOP_10|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7299, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Alex Noren finished T3 (-8) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Kim", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.408, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.408, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tom_Kim|TOP_10|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2997, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tom Kim finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Cantlay", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Cantlay|TOP_20|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4184, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Cantlay finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Poston", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -184, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|J_T__Poston|TOP_20|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "J.T. Poston finished T24 (-3) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.722, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.5135, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.663, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.485, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.485, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.659, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.483, "fair_american": 107, "p_predicted": 0.483, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.07, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4495, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.646, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.476, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.476, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.4432, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.571, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Xavier Edwards", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Xavier_Edwards|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.3618, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Xavier Edwards \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.547, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Campusano", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Campusano|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Campusano \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1858, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1741, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.38, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1741, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1569, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1569, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.271, "fair_american": 269, "p_predicted": 0.271, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1515, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 274, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 277, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.77, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 289, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.245, "fair_american": 307, "p_predicted": 0.245, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 363, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 362, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.214, "fair_american": 366, "p_predicted": 0.214, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 373, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 385, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 385, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 387, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Austin_Riley|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.198, "fair_american": 406, "p_predicted": 0.198, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1447, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.198, "fair_american": 406, "p_predicted": 0.198, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1447, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.193, "fair_american": 419, "p_predicted": 0.193, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1419, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 425, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1408, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 431, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 444, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1369, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.179, "fair_american": 457, "p_predicted": 0.179, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.135, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.177, "fair_american": 464, "p_predicted": 0.177, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1343, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.177, "fair_american": 464, "p_predicted": 0.177, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1343, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 501, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trea_Turner|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 503, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 516, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1254, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.154, "fair_american": 549, "p_predicted": 0.154, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tommy_Edman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1123, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.151, "fair_american": 562, "p_predicted": 0.151, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1073, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.149, "fair_american": 571, "p_predicted": 0.149, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Christian_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.1041, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 614, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andy_Pages|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andy Pages \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "KCR @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "KCR @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "MIL @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Olson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "SDP @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2456, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "PHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-15", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Royce_Lewis|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-15T22:38:57", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-15", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T10:43:46" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.254, "fair_american": 294, "p_predicted": 0.254, "matchup": "Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Eric_McConico_vs_Donte_Johnson|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.94, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T01:06:31", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson", "winner": "Donte Johnson", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Donte Johnson def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T13:34:34" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Charles_Johnson_vs_Eduardo_Chapolin|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.13, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T01:06:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson", "winner": "Donte Johnson", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Donte Johnson def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T13:34:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "market": "TEX_ML", "prob": 0.6832, "raw_prob": 0.7474, "edge_pct": 16.4, "fair_american": -142, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___OAK|TEX_ML|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6832, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 2 @ ATH 5", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "TEX @ ATH: final 2-5 (total 7 runs) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ ATL", "market": "ARI_ML", "prob": 0.5524, "raw_prob": 0.5709, "edge_pct": 15.5, "fair_american": 109, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___ATL|ARI_ML|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5524, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 3 @ ATL 5", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "ARI @ ATL: final 3-5 (total 8 runs) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.5968, "raw_prob": 0.655, "edge_pct": 13.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___TOR|UNDER_7_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:11", "also_sources": [ "mlb_under_alert" ], "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 4 @ TOR 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "NYY @ TOR: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.7823, "edge_pct": 49.34, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|BOS___PIT|OVER_8_0|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:18:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 3 @ PIT 8", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "BOS @ PIT: final 3-8 (total 11) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Viktor Hovland", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.437, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.437, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Viktor_Hovland|TOP_10|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:30:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3192, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T19", "to_par": -4, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Viktor Hovland finished T19 (-4) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nico Echavarria", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.629, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.629, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Nico_Echavarria|TOP_20|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5917, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:30:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Nico Echavarria finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|St__Louis_CITY_SC___San_Jose_Earthquakes|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4167, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:30:16", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "St. Louis CITY SC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "daniel edelman", "simon becher", "beau leroux", "simon becher" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "St. Louis CITY SC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T17:34:09" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ Real Salt Lake", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ Real Salt Lake", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Minnesota_United_FC___Real_Salt_Lake|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:30:16", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Minnesota United FC 1-1 Real Salt Lake", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "sergi solans", "joaqu\u00edn pereyra" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Minnesota United FC 1-1 Real Salt Lake: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-16T17:34:09" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22_5|TENNIS|Jessica_Pegula_vs_Emma_Navarro|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:30:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 20, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 2-0 (20 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.583, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.583, "matchup": "TEX @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|TEX___OAK|under_9_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7143, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T05:30:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5634, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 2 @ ATH 5", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "TEX @ ATH: final 2-5 (total 7 runs) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T17:35:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ CIN", "market": "ML_AWAY", "prob": 0.6179, "raw_prob": 0.7472, "edge_pct": 13.3, "fair_american": -120, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___CIN|ML_AWAY|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T13:34:34", "p_calibrated": 0.5474, "also_sources": [ "sharp_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 7 @ CIN 1", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "MIA @ CIN: final 7-1 (total 8) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.04, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:29:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Dallas @ Austin FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -210, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "FC Dallas @ Austin FC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|FC_Dallas___Austin_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6492, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Dallas 2-1 Austin FC", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "lalas abubakar", "ervin torres", "petar musa" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "FC Dallas 2-1 Austin FC: 7 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ New York City FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ New York City FC", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Philadelphia_Union___New_York_City_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6492, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 3-2 New York City FC", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "b\u00e9nie traor\u00e9", "luighi hanri", "danley jean jacques", "bruno damiani", "bruno damiani" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 3-2 New York City FC: 7 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Seattle Sounders FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Seattle Sounders FC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Vancouver_Whitecaps___Seattle_Sounders_F|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6645, "outcome": { "final_score": "Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "rayan elloumi", "thomas m\u00fcller" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 Seattle Sounders FC: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T05:01:29" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Portland Timbers @ Chicago Fire FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "Portland Timbers @ Chicago Fire FC", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Portland_Timbers___Chicago_Fire_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4237, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Portland Timbers 1-2 Chicago Fire FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "robin lod", "d'avilla dje tah", "finn surman" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Portland Timbers 1-2 Chicago Fire FC: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Portland Timbers @ Chicago Fire FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "Portland Timbers @ Chicago Fire FC", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Portland_Timbers___Chicago_Fire_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3636, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6965, "outcome": { "final_score": "Portland Timbers 1-2 Chicago Fire FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "robin lod", "d'avilla dje tah", "finn surman" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Portland Timbers 1-2 Chicago Fire FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ New York City FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ New York City FC", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Philadelphia_Union___New_York_City_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3571, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7227, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 3-2 New York City FC", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "b\u00e9nie traor\u00e9", "luighi hanri", "danley jean jacques", "bruno damiani", "bruno damiani" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 3-2 New York City FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Dallas @ Austin FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "FC Dallas @ Austin FC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|FC_Dallas___Austin_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3436, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Dallas 2-1 Austin FC", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "lalas abubakar", "ervin torres", "petar musa" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "FC Dallas 2-1 Austin FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Seattle Sounders FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Seattle Sounders FC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Vancouver_Whitecaps___Seattle_Sounders_F|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3425, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "rayan elloumi", "thomas m\u00fcller" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 Seattle Sounders FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T05:01:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Fortes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 310, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.1827, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Fortes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jarren_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "BAL @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Junior_Caminero|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "BOS @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T14:42:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T03:15:44" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_9|WNBA|CHI___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_9|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHI 82 @ SEA 80", "team_total": 80, "line": 78.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CHI @ SEA: home scored 80 (line 78.9, bet over) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_83.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_83.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_83_5|WNBA|IND___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_83_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 95 @ ATL 91", "team_total": 91, "line": 83.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ ATL: home scored 91 (line 83.5, bet over) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ PHX", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_3|WNBA|POR___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_3|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 88 @ PHX 85", "team_total": 85, "line": 77.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ PHX: home scored 85 (line 77.3, bet over) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_4.0", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -235, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "IND @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4_0|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_4_0|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4255, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6677, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 4.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 4.0, bet under) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "IND @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_0|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|3PM_UNDER_3_0|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3953, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6695, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "IND @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6681, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 fg3m = 4 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "courtney vandersloot", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "CHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|courtney_vandersloot|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4098, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.709, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "courtney vandersloot \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.684, "fair_american": -217, "p_predicted": 0.684, "matchup": "POR @ PHX", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|natasha_cloud|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4608, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.684, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "natasha cloud \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "IND @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6577, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 8, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 blk_stl = 8 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.644, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.644, "matchup": "CHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6679, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|angel_reese|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6514, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -235, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "IND @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4255, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6819, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.302, "fair_american": 231, "p_predicted": 0.302, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2088, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.23, "fair_american": 335, "p_predicted": 0.23, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T21:18:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LaMonte Wade Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|LaMonte_Wade_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "LaMonte Wade Jr. \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daulton Varsho", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Daulton_Varsho|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Daulton Varsho \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Wyndham Clark", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 216, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Wyndham_Clark|TOP_5|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.16, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2706, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Wyndham Clark finished T5 (-7) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ludvig \u00c5berg", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ludvig__berg|TOP_10|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2918, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ludvig \u00c5berg finished T7 (-6) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Bud Cauley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -210, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Bud_Cauley|TOP_20|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4762, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Bud Cauley finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Kim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -216, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tom_Kim|TOP_20|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.463, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tom Kim finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kurt Kitayama", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kurt_Kitayama|TOP_20|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5495, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "FedEx St. Jude Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kurt Kitayama finished T12 (-5) at FedEx St. Jude Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.665, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.485, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.485, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.595, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LaMonte Wade Jr.", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.449, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.449, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|LaMonte_Wade_Jr_|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.23, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "LaMonte Wade Jr. \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 542, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.1155, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 574, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Christian_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 596, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Naylor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2121, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.79, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Naylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "SEA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-16T22:41:16", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-17T10:51:10" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ CIN", "market": "STL_ML", "prob": 0.5991, "raw_prob": 0.6239, "edge_pct": 19.8, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___CIN|STL_ML|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5991, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 2 @ CIN 1", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "STL @ CIN: final 2-1 (total 3 runs) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "market": "ATL_ML", "prob": 0.6139, "raw_prob": 0.6251, "edge_pct": 7.9, "fair_american": -132, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___MIN|ATL_ML|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6139, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 2 @ MIN 4", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "ATL @ MIN: final 2-4 (total 6 runs) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Columbus Crew", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -197, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Columbus Crew", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|CF_Montr_al___Columbus_Crew|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "CF Montr\u00e9al 2-1 Columbus Crew", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "prince owusu", "noah streit" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "CF Montr\u00e9al 2-1 Columbus Crew: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T01:55:03" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New York City FC @ FC Cincinnati", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -197, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "New York City FC @ FC Cincinnati", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|New_York_City_FC___FC_Cincinnati|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "New York City FC 1-2 FC Cincinnati", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kenji mboma dem", "luighi hanri", "evander" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "New York City FC 1-2 FC Cincinnati: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T01:55:03" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ Sporting Kansas City", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ Sporting Kansas City", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|St__Louis_CITY_SC___Sporting_Kansas_City|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "St. Louis CITY SC 1-1 Sporting Kansas City", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "eduard l\u00f6wen", "calvin harris" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "St. Louis CITY SC 1-1 Sporting Kansas City: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ Colorado Rapids", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.67, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.67, "matchup": "LAFC @ Colorado Rapids", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|LAFC___Colorado_Rapids|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 0-1 Colorado Rapids", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "LAFC 0-1 Colorado Rapids: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T04:56:56" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Minnesota United FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.676, "fair_american": -209, "p_predicted": 0.676, "matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Minnesota United FC", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Minnesota_United_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6415, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 2-1 Minnesota United FC", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "tom\u00e1s jacob", "anthony markanich", "tristan muyumba" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Atlanta United FC 2-1 Minnesota United FC: 7 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.676, "fair_american": -209, "p_predicted": 0.676, "matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Houston_Dynamo_FC___Vancouver_Whitecaps|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4785, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6415, "outcome": { "final_score": "Houston Dynamo FC 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "franco negri" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Houston Dynamo FC 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T04:56:56" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Dallas @ Real Salt Lake", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.68, "fair_american": -213, "p_predicted": 0.68, "matchup": "FC Dallas @ Real Salt Lake", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|FC_Dallas___Real_Salt_Lake|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6569, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Dallas 4-3 Real Salt Lake", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 7, "scorers": [ "joaqu\u00edn valiente", "petar musa", "sergi solans", "petar musa", "morgan guilavogui", "diego luna", "ran binyamin" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "FC Dallas 4-3 Real Salt Lake: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T04:56:56" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Diego FC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "San Diego FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|San_Diego_FC___Portland_Timbers|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4237, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "San Diego FC 1-3 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kristoffer velde", "gabriel pirani", "ariel lassiter", "david da costa" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "San Diego FC 1-3 Portland Timbers: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T04:56:56" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Inter Miami CF @ Philadelphia Union", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "Inter Miami CF @ Philadelphia Union", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Inter_Miami_CF___Philadelphia_Union|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Inter Miami CF 2-2 Philadelphia Union", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "indiana vassilev", "d\u00e1niel pint\u00e9r", "lionel messi", "neil pierre" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Inter Miami CF 2-2 Philadelphia Union: 8 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T01:55:03" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Austin FC @ Seattle Sounders FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Austin FC @ Seattle Sounders FC", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Austin_FC___Seattle_Sounders_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austin FC 2-1 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "facundo torres", "guilherme biro", "stuart hawkins" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Austin FC 2-1 Seattle Sounders FC: 1 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T04:56:56" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New England Revolution @ D.C. United", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "New England Revolution @ D.C. United", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|New_England_Revolution___D_C__United|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "New England Revolution 3-0 D.C. United", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "alhassan yusuf", "alhassan yusuf", "alhassan yusuf" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "New England Revolution 3-0 D.C. United: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T01:55:03" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Orlando City SC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Orlando City SC", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Chicago_Fire_FC___Orlando_City_SC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chicago Fire FC 2-1 Orlando City SC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "puso dithejane", "david brekalo", "robert lewandowski" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Chicago Fire FC 2-1 Orlando City SC: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Inter Miami CF @ Philadelphia Union", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Inter Miami CF @ Philadelphia Union", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Inter_Miami_CF___Philadelphia_Union|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Inter Miami CF 2-2 Philadelphia Union", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "indiana vassilev", "d\u00e1niel pint\u00e9r", "lionel messi", "neil pierre" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Inter Miami CF 2-2 Philadelphia Union: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T01:55:03" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Nashville SC @ Red Bull New York", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Nashville SC @ Red Bull New York", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Nashville_SC___Red_Bull_New_York|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Nashville SC 1-0 Red Bull New York", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "maxwell woledzi" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Nashville SC 1-0 Red Bull New York: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T01:55:03" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Toronto FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Toronto FC", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Charlotte_FC___Toronto_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, 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Jose Earthquakes 0-1 LA Galaxy: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T04:56:56" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Columbus Crew", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -283, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Columbus Crew", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|CF_Montr_al___Columbus_Crew|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3534, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7413, "outcome": { "final_score": "CF Montr\u00e9al 2-1 Columbus Crew", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "prince owusu", "noah streit" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "CF Montr\u00e9al 2-1 Columbus Crew: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T01:55:03" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New England Revolution @ D.C. 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United: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T01:55:03" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New York City FC @ FC Cincinnati", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "New York City FC @ FC Cincinnati", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|New_York_City_FC___FC_Cincinnati|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3472, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "New York City FC 1-2 FC Cincinnati", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kenji mboma dem", "luighi hanri", "evander" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "New York City FC 1-2 FC Cincinnati: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T01:55:03" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Orlando City SC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Orlando City SC", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Chicago_Fire_FC___Orlando_City_SC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3311, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chicago Fire FC 2-1 Orlando City SC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "puso dithejane", "david brekalo", "robert lewandowski" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Chicago Fire FC 2-1 Orlando City SC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Inter Miami CF @ Philadelphia 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"soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Minnesota_United_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3436, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 2-1 Minnesota United FC", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "tom\u00e1s jacob", "anthony markanich", "tristan muyumba" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Atlanta United FC 2-1 Minnesota United FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ Colorado Rapids", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -282, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "LAFC @ Colorado Rapids", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|LAFC___Colorado_Rapids|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, 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}, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Diego FC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "San Diego FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|San_Diego_FC___Portland_Timbers|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3636, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T06:04:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6892, "outcome": { "final_score": "San Diego FC 1-3 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kristoffer velde", "gabriel pirani", "ariel lassiter", "david da costa" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "San Diego FC 1-3 Portland Timbers: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T04:56:56" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Houston Dynamo 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"2026-08-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___BOS|BOS_ML|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T13:44:57", "p_calibrated": 0.6304, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 1 @ BOS 11", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "ARI @ BOS: final 1-11 (total 12 runs) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Alik Lorenz vs Mahamed Aly", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "Alik Lorenz vs Mahamed Aly", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Alik_Lorenz_vs_Mahamed_Aly|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.38, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:32:16", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Alik Lorenz vs Mahamed Aly", "winner": "Alik Lorenz", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Alik Lorenz def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Miller vs Douglas Rodrigues", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "Trent Miller vs Douglas Rodrigues", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Trent_Miller_vs_Douglas_Rodrigues|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:32:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3636, "outcome": { "fight": "Juliana Miller vs Ravena Oliveira", "winner": "Juliana Miller", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Juliana Miller def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T02:34:07" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Kaik Brito vs Namo Fazil", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.214, "fair_american": 368, "p_predicted": 0.214, "matchup": "Kaik Brito vs Namo Fazil", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Kaik_Brito_vs_Namo_Fazil|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:32:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3411, "outcome": { "fight": "Kaik Brito vs Namo Fazil", "winner": "Kaik Brito", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Kaik Brito def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Logan Paxton vs Cristian P\u00e9rez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 398, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "Logan Paxton vs Cristian P\u00e9rez", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Logan_Paxton_vs_Cristian_P_rez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:32:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Logan Paxton vs Cristian P\u00e9rez", "winner": "Cristian P\u00e9rez", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Cristian P\u00e9rez def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Puga vs Taner Trembley", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.187, "fair_american": 436, "p_predicted": 0.187, "matchup": "Roman Puga vs Taner Trembley", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Roman_Puga_vs_Taner_Trembley|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:32:16", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Roman Puga vs Taner Trembley", "winner": "Roman Puga", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Roman Puga def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:48:24", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:48:24", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_McLain|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:48:24", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:48:24", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:48:24", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T14:48:24", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dane Myers", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dane_Myers|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dane Myers \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.575, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.575, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Noelvi_Marte|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7407, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Noelvi Marte \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ GOL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_3|WNBA|DAL___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_3|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 70 @ GS 78", "team_total": 78, "line": 77.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ GS: home scored 78 (line 77.3, bet over) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 345, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.179, "fair_american": 458, "p_predicted": 0.179, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_McLain|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.135, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.176, "fair_american": 469, "p_predicted": 0.176, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1339, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.276, "fair_american": 262, "p_predicted": 0.276, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.62, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Everson Pereira", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Everson_Pereira|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Everson Pereira \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Everson Pereira", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Everson_Pereira|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Everson Pereira \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T17:53:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T05:53:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Masyn_Winn|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Masyn Winn \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1496, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.175, "fair_american": 472, "p_predicted": 0.175, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1336, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.378, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.378, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Austin_Riley|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Henry_Bolte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|OAK___KCR|under_9_5|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5677, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 5 @ KC 9", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "ATH @ KC: final 5-9 (total 14 runs) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.576, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Riley|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.32, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.557, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.427, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.427, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3004, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.514, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.402, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.402, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.49, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2931, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Rogers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Rogers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Rogers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alex_Bregman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.455, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Mangum", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.366, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.366, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Mangum|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Mangum \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.437, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Collins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Collins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esteury Ruiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Esteury_Ruiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esteury Ruiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.421, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.28, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Henry_Bolte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Campusano", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Campusano|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Campusano \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.391, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Olson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2456, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alec_Bohm|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-17T22:44:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T10:49:56" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ COL", "market": "OVER_11.5", "prob": 0.8752, "edge_pct": 67.08, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|LAD___COL|OVER_11_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T05:16:51", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 11 @ COL 5", "total_runs": 16, "verify": "LAD @ COL: final 11-5 (total 16) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-18T17:24:00" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "market": "ATL_ML", "prob": 0.6324, "raw_prob": 0.6482, "edge_pct": 11.1, "fair_american": -132, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___MIN|ATL_ML|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T05:22:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6324, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 1 @ MIN 4", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "ATL @ MIN: final 1-4 (total 5 runs) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Tommy_Paul_vs_Alexander_Zverev|ML_PLAYER2|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T05:22:19", "p_calibrated": 0.715, "outcome": { "match": "Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev", "winner": "Tommy Paul", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 33, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Tommy Paul won 2-1 (33 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Alex_de_Minaur_vs_Arthur_Fils|ML_PLAYER1|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T05:22:19", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils", "winner": "Arthur Fils", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 19, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Arthur Fils won 0-2 (19 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Diana_Shnaider|ML_PLAYER1|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T05:22:19", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider", "winner": "Elena Rybakina", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 20, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Elena Rybakina won 2-0 (20 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19_5|TENNIS|Tommy_Paul_vs_Alexander_Zverev|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T05:22:19", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev", "winner": "Tommy Paul", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 33, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "verify": "Tommy Paul won 2-1 (33 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Alex_de_Minaur_vs_Arthur_Fils|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3968, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T05:22:19", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils", "winner": "Arthur Fils", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 19, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "verify": "Arthur Fils won 0-2 (19 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Diana_Shnaider|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3968, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T05:22:19", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider", "winner": "Elena Rybakina", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 20, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "verify": "Elena Rybakina won 2-0 (20 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|OAK___KCR|under_9_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T13:12:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 3 @ KC 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ATH @ KC: final 3-4 (total 7 runs) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ CIN", "market": "STL_ML", "prob": 0.6007, "raw_prob": 0.6145, "edge_pct": 10.1, "fair_american": -120, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___CIN|STL_ML|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T14:54:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6007, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 3 @ CIN 0", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "STL @ CIN: final 3-0 (total 3 runs) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.665, "raw_prob": 0.6934, "edge_pct": 20.6, "fair_american": -123, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___MIL|MIL_ML|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "also_sources": [ "whale_strong" ], "p_calibrated": 0.665, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 0 @ MIL 22", "total_runs": 22, "verify": "SEA @ MIL: final 0-22 (total 22 runs) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ CONN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ CONN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_3|WNBA|LA___CONN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_3|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA 77 @ CON 85", "team_total": 85, "line": 76.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LA @ CON: home scored 85 (line 76.3, bet over) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_5|WNBA|IND___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 101 @ TOR 95", "team_total": 95, "line": 81.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ TOR: home scored 95 (line 81.5, bet over) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_7|WNBA|NY___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_7|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "NY 86 @ CHI 93", "team_total": 93, "line": 72.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "NY @ CHI: home scored 93 (line 72.7, bet over) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ LV", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82_9|WNBA|ATL___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82_9|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 97 @ LV 82", "team_total": 82, "line": 82.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ LV: home scored 82 (line 82.9, bet over) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "caitlin clark", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|caitlin_clark|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.6608, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caitlin clark \u2014 fg3m = 4 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "IND @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|aliyah_boston|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5556, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.6597, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.675, "fair_american": -207, "p_predicted": 0.675, "matchup": "IND @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.6551, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 blk_stl = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "dearica hamby", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "LAS @ CON", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|dearica_hamby|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5587, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.65, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dearica hamby \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "tiffany hayes", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "ATL @ LVA", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|tiffany_hayes|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.6797, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tiffany hayes \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T04:56:56" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.684, "fair_american": -216, "p_predicted": 0.684, "matchup": "IND @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.463, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.6777, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "dijonai carrington", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "LAS @ CON", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|dijonai_carrington|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.667, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "dijonai carrington \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|James_McCann|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|James_McCann|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Royce_Lewis|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.582, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alex_Bregman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.504, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Riley|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2918, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Cox|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Mangum", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Mangum|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Mangum \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Robles", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Robles|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Robles \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Torrens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Torrens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Torrens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Ford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Harry_Ford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Harry Ford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.455, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Wells|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.447, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Liam_Hicks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.97, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cedric_Mullins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cedric Mullins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Richie Palacios", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Richie_Palacios|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Richie Palacios \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jarren_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|James_McCann|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Gonzalez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jacob_Gonzalez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Gonzalez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alex_Bregman|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7194, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|James_McCann|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_Bauers|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8547, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Bell|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T21:45:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Justin_Crawford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Alika_Williams|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Koss", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Koss|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Koss \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Ford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Harry_Ford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4108, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Harry Ford \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Leody_Taveras|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4131, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Bogaerts", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Xander_Bogaerts|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4177, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Xander Bogaerts \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4312, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4402, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|David_Hamilton|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4492, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "David Hamilton \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Matt_McLain|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brandon Marsh \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Austin_Wells|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Darell Hernaiz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Darell_Hernaiz|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Darell Hernaiz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dane Myers", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dane_Myers|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dane Myers \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brayan Rocchio", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brayan_Rocchio|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brayan Rocchio \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Lara", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Luis_Lara|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Luis Lara \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorbit Vivas", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jorbit_Vivas|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jorbit Vivas \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Jones|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "William Contreras", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|William_Contreras|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "William Contreras \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T13:41:03" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Zach_Neto|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.564, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.564, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7752, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ian_Happ|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Yelich", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.571, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.571, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Yelich|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Yelich \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Yastrzemski", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Mike_Yastrzemski|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mike Yastrzemski \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alan Roden", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Alan_Roden|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Alan Roden \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nick_Loftin|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Justin_Foscue|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Isbel", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kyle_Isbel|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6803, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Isbel \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.754, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.707, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4866, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.703, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.479, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.676, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.491, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.491, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rhys_Hoskins|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rhys Hoskins \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.645, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.476, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.476, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4432, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.643, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4414, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.621, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.462, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.462, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4209, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.605, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Horwitz", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.454, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.454, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Horwitz|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Horwitz \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.588, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.444, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.444, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3997, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.576, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3745, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.567, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.433, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.433, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.547, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Wetherholt", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Wetherholt|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Wetherholt \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.475, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.475, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.03, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.19, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1894, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Torrens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Torrens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.24, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1858, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Torrens \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1813, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.302, "fair_american": 231, "p_predicted": 0.302, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1795, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.39, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1732, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.288, "fair_american": 247, "p_predicted": 0.288, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1668, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eduardo Valencia", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.286, "fair_american": 250, "p_predicted": 0.286, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eduardo_Valencia|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.165, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eduardo Valencia \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1632, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1569, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1551, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.274, "fair_american": 265, "p_predicted": 0.274, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1542, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.274, "fair_american": 265, "p_predicted": 0.274, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1542, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 267, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1533, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 267, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1524, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.271, "fair_american": 269, "p_predicted": 0.271, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1515, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 299, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "James McCann", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|James_McCann|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "James McCann \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.237, "fair_american": 322, "p_predicted": 0.237, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.232, "fair_american": 331, "p_predicted": 0.232, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Yastrzemski", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 340, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Yastrzemski|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Yastrzemski \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Bericoto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 361, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Victor_Bericoto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Bericoto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 364, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 371, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.209, "fair_american": 379, "p_predicted": 0.209, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.208, "fair_american": 380, "p_predicted": 0.208, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Liam_Hicks|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 382, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 383, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.203, "fair_american": 392, "p_predicted": 0.203, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1475, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 394, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Burger|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Osleivis Basabe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.2, "fair_american": 401, "p_predicted": 0.2, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Osleivis_Basabe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1459, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Osleivis Basabe \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.199, "fair_american": 402, "p_predicted": 0.199, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1453, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.199, "fair_american": 403, "p_predicted": 0.199, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1453, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 412, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Austin_Riley|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1431, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Riley \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 421, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.21, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1414, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.189, "fair_american": 430, "p_predicted": 0.189, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1397, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 451, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 452, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 451, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 456, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Lombard Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.177, "fair_american": 463, "p_predicted": 0.177, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|George_Lombard_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1343, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Lombard Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.175, "fair_american": 470, "p_predicted": 0.175, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1336, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 476, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 478, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1328, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.172, "fair_american": 481, "p_predicted": 0.172, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.81, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1325, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 489, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_McLain|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.165, "fair_american": 507, "p_predicted": 0.165, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1299, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.163, "fair_american": 512, "p_predicted": 0.163, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.127, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.163, "fair_american": 515, "p_predicted": 0.163, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.127, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 522, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Henry_Bolte|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.159, "fair_american": 531, "p_predicted": 0.159, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1205, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Rengifo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.155, "fair_american": 544, "p_predicted": 0.155, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Rengifo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1139, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Rengifo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 554, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Amaya", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 552, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Amaya|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Amaya \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 558, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Owen Caissie", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 556, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Owen_Caissie|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Owen Caissie \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.151, "fair_american": 562, "p_predicted": 0.151, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1073, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Naylor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.151, "fair_american": 562, "p_predicted": 0.151, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Naylor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1073, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Naylor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Gonzalez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.15, "fair_american": 567, "p_predicted": 0.15, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jacob_Gonzalez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1057, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jacob Gonzalez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 574, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.145, "fair_american": 590, "p_predicted": 0.145, "matchup": "ARI @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 593, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.93, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 595, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.95, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 592, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.5, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.576, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.408, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryson_Stott|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.395, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Alonso|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.98, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Matt_Olson|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jordan_Walker|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-18T22:44:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T10:49:24" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Miller vs Douglas Rodrigues", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "Trent Miller vs Douglas Rodrigues", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Trent_Miller_vs_Douglas_Rodrigues|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T01:27:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Trent Miller vs Douglas Rodrigues", "winner": "Trent Miller", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Trent Miller def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T13:41:03" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "market": "MIA_ML", "prob": 0.5942, "raw_prob": 0.6699, "edge_pct": 23.6, "fair_american": 108, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___PHI|MIA_ML|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5942, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 1 @ PHI 4", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "MIA @ PHI: final 1-4 (total 5 runs) on 2026-08-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T05:17:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "market": "CHC_ML", "prob": 0.6267, "raw_prob": 0.6524, "edge_pct": 19.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___CHC|CHC_ML|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6267, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 3 @ CHC 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CHW @ CHC: final 3-4 (total 7 runs) on 2026-08-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T18:24:10" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ COL", "market": "OVER_11.5", "prob": 0.8469, "edge_pct": 61.68, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|LAD___COL|OVER_11_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 6 @ COL 4", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "LAD @ COL: final 6-4 (total 10) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-19T18:24:10", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-02T13:25:54", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Frances Tiafoe", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Frances Tiafoe", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22_5|TENNIS|Felix_Auger_Aliassime_vs_Frances_Tiafoe|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3968, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T05:54:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Frances Tiafoe", "winner": "Frances Tiafoe", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 19, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "verify": "Frances Tiafoe won 0-2 (19 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T05:17:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ MIN", "market": "ATL_ML", "prob": 0.6235, "raw_prob": 0.6855, "edge_pct": 17.5, "fair_american": -113, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___MIN|ATL_ML|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T07:09:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6235, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 4 @ MIN 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "ATL @ MIN: final 4-6 (total 10 runs) on 2026-08-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T05:17:53" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.6658, "raw_prob": 0.6929, "edge_pct": 19.4, "fair_american": -126, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___MIL|MIL_ML|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T13:13:42", "p_calibrated": 0.6658, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 7 @ MIL 5", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "SEA @ MIL: final 7-5 (total 12 runs) on 2026-08-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T05:17:53" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.316, "fair_american": 216, "p_predicted": 0.316, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.218, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.28, "fair_american": 257, "p_predicted": 0.28, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 268, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Campusano", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Campusano|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Campusano \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gleyber Torres", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 333, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gleyber_Torres|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gleyber Torres \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.439, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "CHW @ CHC", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.43, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "SDP @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T14:56:00", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T03:13:05" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:10:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:10:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TOR @ WAS", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_9|WNBA|TOR___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_9|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 82 @ WSH 93", "team_total": 93, "line": 73.9, "side": "OVER", "verify": "TOR @ WSH: home scored 93 (line 73.9, bet over) on 2026-08-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ GOL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_5|WNBA|MIN___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 77 @ GS 66", "team_total": 66, "line": 72.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ GS: home scored 66 (line 72.5, bet over) on 2026-08-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "alanna smith", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.656, "fair_american": -191, "p_predicted": 0.656, "matchup": "MIN @ GOL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|alanna_smith|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5236, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6522, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alanna smith \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colton_Cowser|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2226, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2134, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Trevino", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jose_Trevino|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Trevino \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryson_Stott|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.583, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3039, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.558, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Alonso|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.485, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Masyn Winn", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Masyn_Winn|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Masyn Winn \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colton_Cowser|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Wells|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Liam_Hicks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Cox|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brendan Donovan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brendan_Donovan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brendan Donovan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Toglia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Toglia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Toglia \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alec_Bohm|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_Bauers|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Schanuel", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nolan_Schanuel|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Schanuel \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Cam_Smith|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Richie Palacios", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Richie_Palacios|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Richie Palacios \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryson Stott", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "MIA @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryson_Stott|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T21:19:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2464, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryson Stott \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Koss", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Koss|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4038, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Koss \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4084, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Yelich", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Yelich|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4282, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Yelich \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colton_Cowser|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4342, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Josh_Lowe|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4522, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Petey Halpin", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Petey_Halpin|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Petey Halpin \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8264, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Beavers", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.554, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.554, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dylan_Beavers|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dylan Beavers \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Torres", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Bryan_Torres|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Bryan Torres \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Austin_Wells|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Taylor_Ward|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.567, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.567, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Josh_Smith|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.567, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.567, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7634, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|JJ_Bleday|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7194, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorbit Vivas", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.589, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.589, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jorbit_Vivas|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6993, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jorbit Vivas \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian V\u00e1zquez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_V_zquez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian V\u00e1zquez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jimmy Crooks", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jimmy_Crooks|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jimmy Crooks \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Isbel", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kyle_Isbel|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Isbel \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Donovan_Walton|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Jessica_Pegula_vs_Amanda_Anisimova|ML_PLAYER1|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5319, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "match": "Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 31, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 2-1 (31 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T21:15:10" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Iga_Swiatek|ML_PLAYER2|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5618, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.64, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "winner": "Iga Swiatek", "sets": "0-1", "total_games": 5, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Iga Swiatek won 0-1 (5 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Jessica_Pegula_vs_Amanda_Anisimova|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 31, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 2-1 (31 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T21:15:10" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17_5|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Iga_Swiatek|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17_5|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek", "winner": "Iga Swiatek", "sets": "0-1", "total_games": 5, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "verify": "Iga Swiatek won 0-1 (5 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.665, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.486, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.486, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.06, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.63, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.468, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.468, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4335, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.606, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.455, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.455, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.2, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.582, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|JJ_Bleday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3871, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.46, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1777, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1659, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1569, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.276, "fair_american": 263, "p_predicted": 0.276, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.63, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.156, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.276, "fair_american": 263, "p_predicted": 0.276, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.156, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.27, "fair_american": 271, "p_predicted": 0.27, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1505, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1496, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 274, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.258, "fair_american": 287, "p_predicted": 0.258, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 299, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_McLain|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.223, "fair_american": 349, "p_predicted": 0.223, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 351, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.51, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Trevino", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 361, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jose_Trevino|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Trevino \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 372, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.208, "fair_american": 380, "p_predicted": 0.208, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Liam_Hicks|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 416, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.16, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.193, "fair_american": 417, "p_predicted": 0.193, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1419, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 423, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Julio_Rodr_guez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1408, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Julio Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.19, "fair_american": 427, "p_predicted": 0.19, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1403, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dane Myers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 436, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dane_Myers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.138, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dane Myers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 450, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1361, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 451, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.51, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.176, "fair_american": 468, "p_predicted": 0.176, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1339, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.171, "fair_american": 484, "p_predicted": 0.171, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.84, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1321, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.171, "fair_american": 484, "p_predicted": 0.171, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1321, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.169, "fair_american": 491, "p_predicted": 0.169, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1314, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 495, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colton_Cowser|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Lombard Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 494, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|George_Lombard_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Lombard Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 503, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "OAK @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.164, "fair_american": 509, "p_predicted": 0.164, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1287, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.157, "fair_american": 536, "p_predicted": 0.157, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1172, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 556, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.149, "fair_american": 569, "p_predicted": 0.149, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Josh_Smith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.1041, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 607, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.361, "fair_american": 177, "p_predicted": 0.361, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.259, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Liam_Hicks|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2553, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.06, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.227, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.576, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.438, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.438, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.422, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2814, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Taylor Trammell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.391, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Junior_Caminero|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Liam_Hicks|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "LAD @ COL", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 9, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 hrr = 9 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-19T22:45:29", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-20T10:51:02" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.5933, "raw_prob": 0.6022, "edge_pct": 6.4, "fair_american": -126, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___BAL|NYY_ML|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5933, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 6 @ BAL 1", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "NYY @ BAL: final 6-1 (total 7 runs) on 2026-08-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ CIN", "market": "STL_ML", "prob": 0.578, "raw_prob": 0.5867, "edge_pct": 6.4, "fair_american": -119, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___CIN|STL_ML|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:17:53", "p_calibrated": 0.578, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 10 @ CIN 9", "total_runs": 19, "verify": "STL @ CIN: final 10-9 (total 19 runs) on 2026-08-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ MIL", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.6187, "raw_prob": 0.6316, "edge_pct": 9.1, "fair_american": -131, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___MIL|MIL_ML|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7634, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6187, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 4 @ MIL 7", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "SEA @ MIL: final 4-7 (total 11 runs) on 2026-08-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "lionel messi", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|MLS|lionel_messi|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.623, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 2-1 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "josh sargent", "derrick etienne jr.", "lionel messi" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Toronto FC 2-1 Inter Miami CF: lionel messi scored \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Austin FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Austin FC", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Philadelphia_Union___Austin_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 1-1 Austin FC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "cavan sullivan", "brendan hines-ike" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 1-1 Austin FC: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Portland Timbers @ LAFC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Portland Timbers @ LAFC", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Portland_Timbers___LAFC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Portland Timbers 1-1 LAFC", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "david da costa", "denis bouanga" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Portland Timbers 1-1 LAFC: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T04:55:19" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LA Galaxy @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.663, "fair_american": -196, "p_predicted": 0.663, "matchup": "LA Galaxy @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|LA_Galaxy___CF_Montr_al|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5102, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA Galaxy 2-2 CF Montr\u00e9al", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "daniel r\u00edos", "ruben ramos", "maya yoshida", "prince owusu" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "LA Galaxy 2-2 CF Montr\u00e9al: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Orlando City SC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Orlando City SC", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Real_Salt_Lake___Orlando_City_SC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Salt Lake 1-2 Orlando City SC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "dominik marczuk", "antoine griezmann", "antoine griezmann" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Real Salt Lake 1-2 Orlando City SC: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ FC Cincinnati", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ FC Cincinnati", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Seattle_Sounders_FC___FC_Cincinnati|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4739, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6492, "outcome": { "final_score": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-1 FC Cincinnati", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "evander", "kalani kossa-rienzi" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-1 FC Cincinnati: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Dallas @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "FC Dallas @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|FC_Dallas___Vancouver_Whitecaps|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Dallas 0-5 Vancouver Whitecaps", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "emmanuel sabbi", "brian white", "brian white", "\u00e9dier ocampo", "bruno caicedo" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "FC Dallas 0-5 Vancouver Whitecaps: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T04:55:19" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "D.C. United @ Charlotte FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "D.C. United @ Charlotte FC", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|D_C__United___Charlotte_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "D.C. United 1-3 Charlotte FC", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "louis munteanu", "david schnegg", "will cleary", "pep biel" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "D.C. United 1-3 Charlotte FC: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto FC @ Inter Miami CF", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Toronto_FC___Inter_Miami_CF|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 2-1 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "josh sargent", "derrick etienne jr.", "lionel messi" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Toronto FC 2-1 Inter Miami CF: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": 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HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "D.C. 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United 1-3 Charlotte FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ FC Cincinnati", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ FC Cincinnati", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Seattle_Sounders_FC___FC_Cincinnati|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3436, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-1 FC Cincinnati", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "evander", "kalani kossa-rienzi" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-1 FC Cincinnati: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30" }, { 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"MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Minnesota_United_FC___San_Jose_Earthquak|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3774, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6383, "outcome": { "final_score": "Minnesota United FC 5-1 San Jose Earthquakes", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "timo werner", "joaqu\u00edn pereyra", "kelvin yeboah", "kelvin yeboah", "marcus caldeira", "mauricio gonzalez" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Minnesota United FC 5-1 San Jose Earthquakes: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T04:55:19" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Lorenzo Musetti", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Lorenzo Musetti", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19_5|TENNIS|Frances_Tiafoe_vs_Lorenzo_Musetti|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19_5|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T05:24:29", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Frances Tiafoe vs Lorenzo Musetti", "winner": "Frances Tiafoe", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 25, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "verify": "Frances Tiafoe won 2-0 (25 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T05:20:27" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "market": "HOU_ML", "prob": 0.6466, "raw_prob": 0.7285, "edge_pct": 23.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___HOU|HOU_ML|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T13:49:49", "p_calibrated": 0.6466, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 2 @ HOU 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "LAA @ HOU: final 2-3 (total 5 runs) on 2026-08-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T02:01:02" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Dolidze vs Reinier de Ridder", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "Roman Dolidze vs Reinier de Ridder", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Roman_Dolidze_vs_Reinier_de_Ridder|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.39, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Roman Dolidze vs Reinier de Ridder", "winner": "Reinier de Ridder", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Reinier de Ridder def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 299, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Anthony_Hernandez_vs_Gregory_Rodrigues|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Trent Miller vs Douglas Rodrigues", "winner": "Trent Miller", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Trent Miller def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Wes_Schultz_vs_Jackson_McVey|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.02, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey", "winner": "Jackson McVey", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jackson McVey def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Gauge Young vs Stan Dorsainvil", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 398, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "Gauge Young vs Stan Dorsainvil", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Gauge_Young_vs_Stan_Dorsainvil|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Gauge Young vs Stan Dorsainvil", "winner": "Stan Dorsainvil", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Stan Dorsainvil def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Mason Jones vs MarQuel Mederos", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.2, "fair_american": 401, "p_predicted": 0.2, "matchup": "Mason Jones vs MarQuel Mederos", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Mason_Jones_vs_MarQuel_Mederos|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Mason Jones vs MarQuel Mederos", "winner": "MarQuel Mederos", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "MarQuel Mederos def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.192, "fair_american": 420, "p_predicted": 0.192, "matchup": "Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Chris_Padilla_vs_Nasrat_Haqparast|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast", "winner": "Chris Padilla", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Chris Padilla def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Marcio Barbosa vs Ryan Kuse", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 445, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "Marcio Barbosa vs Ryan Kuse", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Marcio_Barbosa_vs_Ryan_Kuse|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.45, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Marcio Barbosa vs Ryan Kuse", "winner": "Marcio Barbosa", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Marcio Barbosa def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.294, "fair_american": 240, "p_predicted": 0.294, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_7.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "market": "over_7.5", "prob": 0.58, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.58, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_7_5|MLB|TOR___TBR|over_7_5|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 5 @ TB 1", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "TOR @ TB: final 5-1 (total 6) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:44:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Torres", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Bryan_Torres|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Bryan Torres \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.547, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 268, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alec_Burleson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.1524, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.248, "fair_american": 303, "p_predicted": 0.248, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.03, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2542, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2186, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2062, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.294, "fair_american": 240, "p_predicted": 0.294, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonny DeLuca", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonny_DeLuca|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonny DeLuca \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.1974, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Genao", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Angel_Genao|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.1879, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Genao \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.245, "fair_american": 308, "p_predicted": 0.245, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.1836, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.243, "fair_american": 312, "p_predicted": 0.243, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.1819, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Charles McAdoo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.243, "fair_american": 312, "p_predicted": 0.243, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Charles_McAdoo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.1819, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Charles McAdoo \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.242, "fair_american": 313, "p_predicted": 0.242, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Matt_McLain|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.13, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.181, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "TOR @ TBR", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ CIN", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "SFG @ CLE", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T14:58:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T03:19:48" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:15:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sungjae Im", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sungjae_Im|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.43, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3015, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sungjae Im finished T10 (-8) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Aaron Rai", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Aaron_Rai|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2874, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Aaron Rai finished T16 (-6) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82_3|WNBA|IND___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82_3|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 85 @ DAL 91", "team_total": 91, "line": 82.3, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ DAL: home scored 91 (line 82.3, bet over) on 2026-08-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ LV", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_8|WNBA|CONN___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_8|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 78 @ LV 101", "team_total": 101, "line": 76.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ LV: home scored 101 (line 76.8, bet over) on 2026-08-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ LA", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_6|WNBA|ATL___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_6|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 124 @ LA 88", "team_total": 88, "line": 76.6, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ LA: home scored 88 (line 76.6, bet over) on 2026-08-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "ATL @ LAS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.646, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T01:53:51" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "tiffany hayes", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.689, "fair_american": -222, "p_predicted": 0.689, "matchup": "CON @ LVA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|tiffany_hayes|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4505, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.679, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tiffany hayes \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T01:53:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.308, "fair_american": 225, "p_predicted": 0.308, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jos__Caballero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2127, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 233, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Leody_Taveras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2075, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2069, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colton_Cowser|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jose_Altuve|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.271, "fair_american": 269, "p_predicted": 0.271, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.69, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Burger|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Schanuel", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nolan_Schanuel|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Schanuel \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Lombard Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|George_Lombard_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Lombard Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LaMonte Wade Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|LaMonte_Wade_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1956, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "LaMonte Wade Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.2, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.232, "fair_american": 331, "p_predicted": 0.232, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.551, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Foscue|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colton_Cowser|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Caballero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Caballero \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Wells", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "NYY @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Wells|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Wells \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Pinckney", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Andrew_Pinckney|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Pinckney \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Schanuel", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nolan_Schanuel|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T21:21:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Schanuel \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vaughn Grissom", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Vaughn_Grissom|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Vaughn Grissom \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian V\u00e1zquez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_V_zquez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4552, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian V\u00e1zquez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Justin_Foscue|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8065, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Freeman", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cody_Freeman|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8065, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cody Freeman \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dylan_Crews|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryo Hisatsune", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Ryo_Hisatsune|TOP_5|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2723, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Ryo Hisatsune finished T12 (-7) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.469, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.469, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3603, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T28 (-3) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ludvig \u00c5berg", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.441, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.441, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ludvig__berg|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3243, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ludvig \u00c5berg finished T16 (-6) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Alex_Fitzpatrick|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3217, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T44", "to_par": 1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Alex Fitzpatrick finished T44 (1) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Thorbjornsen", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Thorbjornsen|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3114, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T37", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Thorbjornsen finished T37 (-1) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Gotterup", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.408, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.408, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chris_Gotterup|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2997, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chris Gotterup finished T4 (-12) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Cantlay", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Patrick_Cantlay|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2794, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Patrick Cantlay finished T2 (-14) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Thomas", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Justin_Thomas|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2717, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Justin Thomas finished T16 (-6) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Akshay Bhatia", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Akshay_Bhatia|TOP_10|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2689, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Akshay Bhatia finished T12 (-7) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kristoffer Reitan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.616, "fair_american": -160, "p_predicted": 0.616, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kristoffer_Reitan|TOP_20|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kristoffer Reitan finished T22 (-5) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.609, "fair_american": -156, "p_predicted": 0.609, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_20|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Eric Cole finished T28 (-3) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Knapp", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jake_Knapp|TOP_20|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T41", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jake Knapp finished T41 (0) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_20|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5276, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T47", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T47 (2) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Russell Henley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.499, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.499, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Russell_Henley|TOP_20|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5216, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Russell Henley finished T12 (-7) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Aaron Rai", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.48, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.48, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Aaron_Rai|TOP_20|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.08, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4173, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Aaron Rai finished T16 (-6) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.485, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.485, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_20|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.06, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4447, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T7 (-10) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.803, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.552, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.552, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.701, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LaMonte Wade Jr.", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|LaMonte_Wade_Jr_|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4751, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "LaMonte Wade Jr. \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.64, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.473, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.473, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.12, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4405, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.291, "fair_american": 243, "p_predicted": 0.291, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1695, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 360, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Burger|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1431, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 444, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1369, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.171, "fair_american": 484, "p_predicted": 0.171, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1321, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 517, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1254, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.361, "fair_american": 177, "p_predicted": 0.361, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.259, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "WSN @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Justin_Foscue|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.72, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2043, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 333, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "LAA @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:48:25", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-21T10:51:51" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ PHI", "market": "PHI_ML", "prob": 0.641, "raw_prob": 0.6703, "edge_pct": 22.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___PHI|PHI_ML|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21", "p_calibrated": 0.641, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 6 @ PHI 7", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "STL @ PHI: final 6-7 (total 13 runs) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T05:20:27" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.6461, "raw_prob": 0.6588, "edge_pct": 8.6, "fair_american": -147, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___CHW|CHW_ML|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6803, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21", "p_calibrated": 0.6461, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 4 @ CHW 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "NYM @ CHW: final 4-6 (total 10 runs) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T05:20:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryo Hisatsune", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.579, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.579, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ryo_Hisatsune|TOP_10|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ryo Hisatsune finished T12 (-7) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Bridgeman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jacob_Bridgeman|TOP_10|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21", "p_calibrated": 0.2891, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jacob Bridgeman finished T9 (-9) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Akshay Bhatia", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -184, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Akshay_Bhatia|TOP_20|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5435, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Akshay Bhatia finished T12 (-7) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Iga_Swiatek_vs_Jessica_Pegula|ML_PLAYER1|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21", "p_calibrated": 0.703, "outcome": { "match": "Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 32, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 1-2 (32 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19_5|TENNIS|Iga_Swiatek_vs_Jessica_Pegula|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19_5|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T05:57:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 32, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 1-2 (32 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6477, "raw_prob": 0.7303, "edge_pct": 23.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___NYY|NYY_ML|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T13:43:33", "p_calibrated": 0.6477, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 1 @ NYY 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "TOR @ NYY: final 1-3 (total 4 runs) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T05:20:27" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "ELITE", "under_signal_score": 7.0, "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|ATL___MIL|UNDER_8_5|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T13:43:33", "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 1 @ MIL 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "ATL @ MIL: final 1-2 (total 3) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T05:20:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_5|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T14:48:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T28 (-3) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Maverick McNealy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.609, "fair_american": -156, "p_predicted": 0.609, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Maverick_McNealy|TOP_20|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.641, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T14:48:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Maverick McNealy finished T7 (-10) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Knapp", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jake_Knapp|TOP_10|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2777, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T41", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jake Knapp finished T41 (0) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_70.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ WAS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_70.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIN @ WAS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_70_7|WNBA|MIN___WAS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_70_7|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 94 @ WSH 84", "team_total": 84, "line": 70.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "MIN @ WSH: home scored 84 (line 70.7, bet over) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_72_8|WNBA|GOL___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_72_8|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 70 @ CHI 73", "team_total": 73, "line": 72.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ CHI: home scored 73 (line 72.8, bet over) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_1|WNBA|POR___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_1|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "POR 79 @ TOR 82", "team_total": 82, "line": 76.1, "side": "OVER", "verify": "POR @ TOR: home scored 82 (line 76.1, bet over) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "courtney vandersloot", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "GOL @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|courtney_vandersloot|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.6588, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "courtney vandersloot \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.635, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.635, "matchup": "GOL @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.6657, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-08-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eduardo Valencia", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eduardo_Valencia|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eduardo Valencia \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2509, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Justin_Foscue|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2436, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.241, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Foscue|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Siri", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Siri|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Siri \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Beck", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Beck|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Beck \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willi_Castro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.504, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2918, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.493, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.485, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.64, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Griffin_Conine|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Everson Pereira", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Everson_Pereira|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Everson Pereira \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Blaze Jordan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Blaze_Jordan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Blaze Jordan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Altuve|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.95, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colton_Cowser|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.388, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorge Mateo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jorge_Mateo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorge Mateo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jordan_Walker|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.91, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yandy_D_az|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alec_Bohm|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Griffin_Conine|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Karros|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2439, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.68, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Caleb_Durbin|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T21:47:08", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Caleb Durbin \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T10:44:01" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Salvador_Perez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Beck", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jordan_Beck|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jordan Beck \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Donovan_Walton|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4084, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4131, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ferm\u00edn", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jos__Ferm_n|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4223, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ferm\u00edn \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4282, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.523, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.523, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4492, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Everson Pereira", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Everson_Pereira|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Everson Pereira \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Cavanaugh", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Drew_Cavanaugh|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Drew Cavanaugh \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Koss", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Koss|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Koss \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|J_T__Realmuto|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "J.T. Realmuto \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8065, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Max_Muncy|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.554, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.554, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Denzer Guzman", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Denzer_Guzman|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Denzer Guzman \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Freeman", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cody_Freeman|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cody Freeman \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Siri", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jose_Siri|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jose Siri \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Walker", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.572, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.572, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Walker|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Walker \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elias D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Elias_D_az|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Elias D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Mois_s_Ballesteros|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7194, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Allen", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nick_Allen|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6944, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nick Allen \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dylan_Crews|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Isbel", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kyle_Isbel|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Isbel \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Thorbjornsen", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Michael_Thorbjornsen|TOP_5|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2676, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T37", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Michael Thorbjornsen finished T37 (-1) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rory McIlroy", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.24, "fair_american": 316, "p_predicted": 0.24, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Rory_McIlroy|TOP_5|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.16, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Rory McIlroy finished T3 (-13) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Russell Henley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Russell_Henley|TOP_10|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Russell Henley finished T12 (-7) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Maverick McNealy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Maverick_McNealy|TOP_10|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5302, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Maverick McNealy finished T7 (-10) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Viktor Hovland", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Viktor_Hovland|TOP_10|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2869, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T33", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Viktor Hovland finished T33 (-2) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryo Hisatsune", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -197, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ryo_Hisatsune|TOP_20|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5076, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ryo Hisatsune finished T12 (-7) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Coventry City @ Arsenal", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Arsenal", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Coventry_City___Arsenal|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 0-3 Arsenal", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kai havertz", "bukayo saka", "martin \u00f8degaard" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Coventry City 0-3 Arsenal: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.724, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.5173, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.624, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.464, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.464, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.16, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4251, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.618, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.461, "fair_american": 117, "p_predicted": 0.461, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.17, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4188, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.613, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.458, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.458, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.18, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.4126, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.568, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.433, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.433, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.565, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.463, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.463, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.16, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Griffin Conine", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.372, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.372, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Griffin_Conine|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Griffin Conine \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samuel Basallo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Samuel_Basallo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samuel Basallo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.81, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Trent_Grisham|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1786, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.29, "fair_american": 245, "p_predicted": 0.29, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1686, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 254, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1614, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.248, "fair_american": 303, "p_predicted": 0.248, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.248, "fair_american": 303, "p_predicted": 0.248, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.24, "fair_american": 317, "p_predicted": 0.24, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 334, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.226, "fair_american": 342, "p_predicted": 0.226, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.224, "fair_american": 347, "p_predicted": 0.224, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 350, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jung Hoo Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 353, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jung_Hoo_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jung Hoo Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 363, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.208, "fair_american": 381, "p_predicted": 0.208, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Rice|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Beavers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.208, "fair_american": 380, "p_predicted": 0.208, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Dylan_Beavers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Beavers \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 387, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.2, "fair_american": 399, "p_predicted": 0.2, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.99, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1459, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.198, "fair_american": 406, "p_predicted": 0.198, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.06, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1447, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.197, "fair_american": 408, "p_predicted": 0.197, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1442, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 412, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Burger|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1431, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 417, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Nimmo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brandon_Nimmo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Nimmo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Arraez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 438, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Arraez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.138, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Arraez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.185, "fair_american": 440, "p_predicted": 0.185, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1375, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 447, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1365, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Everson Pereira", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 488, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Everson_Pereira|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Everson Pereira \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 488, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mike_Trout|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Malgeri", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 501, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ben_Malgeri|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Malgeri \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 502, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 520, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.161, "fair_american": 523, "p_predicted": 0.161, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1237, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.16, "fair_american": 525, "p_predicted": 0.16, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Leody_Taveras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1221, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 558, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "WSN @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joe_Mack|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eduardo Valencia", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.152, "fair_american": 557, "p_predicted": 0.152, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Eduardo_Valencia|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.109, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eduardo Valencia \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.15, "fair_american": 565, "p_predicted": 0.15, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1057, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.149, "fair_american": 572, "p_predicted": 0.149, "matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1041, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 578, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colton_Cowser|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 575, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 587, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willy Adames", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 600, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willy_Adames|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willy Adames \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 614, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 6.14, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 613, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt McLain", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_McLain|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt McLain \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.411, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Sogard|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.399, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.04, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.395, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.564, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.564, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-21", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Harper|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-21T22:45:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T13:04:41" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ COL", "market": "COL_ML", "prob": 0.6365, "raw_prob": 0.6647, "edge_pct": 21.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___COL|COL_ML|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T05:20:27", "p_calibrated": 0.6365, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 9 @ COL 1", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CLE @ COL: final 9-1 (total 10 runs) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T17:26:27" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.7999, "edge_pct": 52.7, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|OAK___HOU|OVER_8_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T05:20:27", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 0 @ HOU 4", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "ATH @ HOU: final 0-4 (total 4 runs) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-22T17:26:27" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Collin Morikawa", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Collin_Morikawa|TOP_10|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T05:28:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Collin Morikawa finished T4 (-12) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Brennan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -341, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Michael_Brennan|TOP_20|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2933, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T05:28:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Michael Brennan finished T10 (-8) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Everton", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Everton", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Everton|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 0-2 Everton", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "kiernan dewsbury-hall", "thierno barry" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Crystal Palace 0-2 Everton: 1 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Sunderland @ Ipswich Town", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Sunderland @ Ipswich Town", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Sunderland___Ipswich_Town|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich Town", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "emersonn", "nilson angulo", "jack clarke" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich Town: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Leeds United @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Leeds United @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Leeds_United___Nottingham_Forest|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Leeds United 1-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "anton stach" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Leeds United 1-0 Nottingham Forest: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Brentford", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Brentford", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Tottenham_Hotspur___Brentford|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Brentford", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "keane lewis-potter", "vitaly janelt", "michael kayode" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Brentford: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Everton", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Everton", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Everton|BTTS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 0-2 Everton", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "kiernan dewsbury-hall", "thierno barry" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Crystal Palace 0-2 Everton: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Sunderland @ Ipswich Town", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Sunderland @ Ipswich Town", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Sunderland___Ipswich_Town|BTTS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich Town", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "emersonn", "nilson angulo", "jack clarke" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich Town: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Leeds United @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Leeds United @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Leeds_United___Nottingham_Forest|BTTS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Leeds United 1-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "anton stach" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Leeds United 1-0 Nottingham Forest: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Brentford", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Brentford", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Tottenham_Hotspur___Brentford|BTTS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Brentford", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "keane lewis-potter", "vitaly janelt", "michael kayode" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Brentford: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester United @ Hull City", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Manchester United @ Hull City", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Manchester_United___Hull_City|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester United 0-2 Hull City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "semi ajayi", "nobel mendy" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Manchester United 0-2 Hull City: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester United @ Hull City", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "Manchester United @ Hull City", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Manchester_United___Hull_City|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.7042, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester United 0-2 Hull City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "semi ajayi", "nobel mendy" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Manchester United 0-2 Hull City: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Everton", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Everton", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Everton|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 0-2 Everton", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "kiernan dewsbury-hall", "thierno barry" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Crystal Palace 0-2 Everton: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Sunderland @ Ipswich Town", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Sunderland @ Ipswich Town", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Sunderland___Ipswich_Town|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich Town", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "emersonn", "nilson angulo", "jack clarke" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich Town: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Leeds United @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Leeds United @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Leeds_United___Nottingham_Forest|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Leeds United 1-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "anton stach" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Leeds United 1-0 Nottingham Forest: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Brentford", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Brentford", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Tottenham_Hotspur___Brentford|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T14:42:06", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Brentford", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "keane lewis-potter", "vitaly janelt", "michael kayode" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Brentford: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T03:18:12" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Everton", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Everton", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Everton|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 0-2 Everton", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "kiernan dewsbury-hall", "thierno barry" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Crystal Palace 0-2 Everton: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Sunderland @ Ipswich Town", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Sunderland @ Ipswich Town", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Sunderland___Ipswich_Town|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich Town", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "emersonn", "nilson angulo", "jack clarke" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich Town: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Leeds United @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Leeds United @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Leeds_United___Nottingham_Forest|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Leeds United 1-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "anton stach" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Leeds United 1-0 Nottingham Forest: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Brentford", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Brentford", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Tottenham_Hotspur___Brentford|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Brentford", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "keane lewis-potter", "vitaly janelt", "michael kayode" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Brentford: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ NY", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_82_8|WNBA|IND___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_82_8|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 102 @ NY 109", "team_total": 109, "line": 82.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ NY: home scored 109 (line 82.8, bet over) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ LA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_71_4|WNBA|CONN___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_71_4|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "CON 68 @ LA 77", "team_total": 77, "line": 71.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "CON @ LA: home scored 77 (line 71.4, bet over) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ PHX", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_81_2|WNBA|ATL___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_81_2|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 99 @ PHX 89", "team_total": 89, "line": 81.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ PHX: home scored 89 (line 81.2, bet over) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "aliyah boston", "market": "AST_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "IND @ NY", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_3_5|WNBA|aliyah_boston|AST_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.654, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aliyah boston \u2014 ast = 6 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "caitlin clark", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "IND @ NYL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|caitlin_clark|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.6627, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caitlin clark \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "sabrina ionescu", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "IND @ NYL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|sabrina_ionescu|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.6668, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "sabrina ionescu \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "leonie fiebich", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -230, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "IND @ NYL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|leonie_fiebich|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.667, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "leonie fiebich \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "CON @ LAS", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.661, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T02:00:34" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "sabrina ionescu", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.622, "fair_american": -164, "p_predicted": 0.622, "matchup": "IND @ NYL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|sabrina_ionescu|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6098, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.647, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "sabrina ionescu \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-08-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Veen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zac_Veen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2574, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zac Veen \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jared_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.22, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alex_Bregman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Devers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Veen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zac_Veen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zac Veen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alek Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alek_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alek Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "STL @ PHI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.482, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.64, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Liam_Hicks|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leody Taveras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leody_Taveras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leody Taveras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Benge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Fernandez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Fernandez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Fernandez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.99, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.574, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.574, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Alc\u00e1ntara", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kevin_Alc_ntara|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin Alc\u00e1ntara \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bo_Bichette|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8264, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Willson_Contreras|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jared_Young|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T21:25:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 299, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Anthony_Hernandez_vs_Gregory_Rodrigues|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:22:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues", "winner": "Gregory Rodrigues", "ended_round": 5, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Gregory Rodrigues def. opponent (ended R5) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Francisco_Alvarez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4108, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Francisco Alvarez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Tolbert", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Tyler_Tolbert|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4131, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Tyler Tolbert \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.516, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.516, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cole_Young|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4282, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Veen", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Zac_Veen|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4462, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Zac Veen \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andruw Monasterio", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Andruw_Monasterio|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Andruw Monasterio \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Marcus Semien", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Marcus_Semien|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Marcus Semien \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Evan Carter", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Evan_Carter|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Evan Carter \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daulton Varsho", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Daulton_Varsho|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Daulton Varsho \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Ward", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Taylor_Ward|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7812, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Taylor Ward \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dillon Dingler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.563, "fair_american": -129, "p_predicted": 0.563, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Dillon_Dingler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Dillon Dingler \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "A.J. Ewing", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.567, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.567, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|A_J__Ewing|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "A.J. Ewing \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Isbel", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Kyle_Isbel|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Kyle Isbel \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Triolo", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.582, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.582, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jared_Triolo|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jared Triolo \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carlos Cortes", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.589, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.589, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Carlos_Cortes|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Carlos Cortes \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_10|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.53, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T28", "to_par": -3, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Eric Cole finished T28 (-3) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Brennan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Michael_Brennan|TOP_10|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.29, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2688, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Michael Brennan finished T10 (-8) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Bridgeman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jacob_Bridgeman|TOP_20|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T9", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jacob Bridgeman finished T9 (-9) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Scottie Scheffler", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Scottie_Scheffler|TOP_20|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T12", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Scottie Scheffler finished T12 (-7) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Noren", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.531, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.531, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Alex_Noren|TOP_20|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5329, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T37", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Alex Noren finished T37 (-1) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Cameron Young", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.492, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.492, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Cameron_Young|TOP_20|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4831, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T37", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Cameron Young finished T37 (-1) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Gerard", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.472, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.472, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ryan_Gerard|TOP_20|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.12, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3734, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ryan Gerard finished T16 (-6) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ludvig \u00c5berg", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ludvig__berg|TOP_20|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3551, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ludvig \u00c5berg finished T16 (-6) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.641, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.473, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.473, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.11, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4405, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.588, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Holliday", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Holliday|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4039, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Holliday \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Alex_Bregman|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.404, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.404, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.404, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.404, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.12, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1659, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 254, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1614, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 284, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 299, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.223, "fair_american": 348, "p_predicted": 0.223, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.218, "fair_american": 360, "p_predicted": 0.218, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 363, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.63, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Liam Hicks", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.215, "fair_american": 364, "p_predicted": 0.215, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Liam_Hicks|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.64, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Liam Hicks \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Benge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 371, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Carson_Benge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.71, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Benge \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Veen", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.208, "fair_american": 380, "p_predicted": 0.208, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zac_Veen|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zac Veen \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.207, "fair_american": 384, "p_predicted": 0.207, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joc_Pederson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.205, "fair_american": 388, "p_predicted": 0.205, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1487, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.204, "fair_american": 390, "p_predicted": 0.204, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.9, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1481, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 398, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 425, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1408, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 452, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1358, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.172, "fair_american": 480, "p_predicted": 0.172, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1325, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.171, "fair_american": 486, "p_predicted": 0.171, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1321, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler O'Neill", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 488, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tyler_O_Neill|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler O'Neill \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase Meidroth", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.166, "fair_american": 502, "p_predicted": 0.166, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Chase_Meidroth|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1303, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase Meidroth \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.163, "fair_american": 512, "p_predicted": 0.163, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.127, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willi Castro", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.159, "fair_american": 529, "p_predicted": 0.159, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willi_Castro|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1205, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willi Castro \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Robert Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.158, "fair_american": 532, "p_predicted": 0.158, "matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luis_Robert_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.32, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1188, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Robert Jr. \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.155, "fair_american": 546, "p_predicted": 0.155, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1139, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.15, "fair_american": 564, "p_predicted": 0.15, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1057, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.149, "fair_american": 573, "p_predicted": 0.149, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.73, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1041, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.146, "fair_american": 585, "p_predicted": 0.146, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 594, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "SFG @ BOS", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Amaya", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 599, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "CHC @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Amaya|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Amaya \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 604, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Bell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Bell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Bell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "CLE @ COL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "TBR @ BAL", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CIN @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Altuve|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "LAA @ TEX", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "DET @ KCR", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Royce Lewis", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Royce_Lewis|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Royce Lewis \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "MIN @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "PIT @ LAD", "date": "2026-08-22", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-22T22:42:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T10:44:50" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Thomas", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Thomas|TOP_20|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T02:02:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5295, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Thomas finished T16 (-6) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ NYY", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6285, "raw_prob": 0.6547, "edge_pct": 20.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___NYY|NYY_ML|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18", "p_calibrated": 0.6285, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 3 @ NYY 8", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "TOR @ NYY: final 3-8 (total 11 runs) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T05:41:23" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ PHI", "market": "PHI_ML", "prob": 0.6252, "raw_prob": 0.6506, "edge_pct": 19.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___PHI|PHI_ML|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18", "p_calibrated": 0.6252, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 4 @ PHI 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "STL @ PHI: final 4-6 (total 10 runs) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T05:41:23" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ CHW", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.6165, "raw_prob": 0.6397, "edge_pct": 17.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___CHW|CHW_ML|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18", "p_calibrated": 0.6165, "also_sources": [ "sharp_elite" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 1 @ CHW 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "NYM @ CHW: final 1-2 (total 3 runs) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T05:41:23" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ HOU", "market": "OAK_ML", "prob": 0.5762, "raw_prob": 0.5953, "edge_pct": 15.2, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|OAK___HOU|OAK_ML|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18", "p_calibrated": 0.5762, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 7 @ HOU 6", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "ATH @ HOU: final 7-6 (total 13 runs) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T05:41:23" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ COL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.8405, "edge_pct": 60.46, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|CLE___COL|OVER_8_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T05:21:18", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 7 @ COL 2", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "CLE @ COL: final 7-2 (total 9) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T17:36:58", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-02T13:25:54", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sungjae Im", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.218, "fair_american": 358, "p_predicted": 0.218, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Sungjae_Im|TOP_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T05:34:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Sungjae Im finished T10 (-8) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "J.J. Spaun", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|J_J__Spaun|TOP_10|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T05:34:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3844, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "J.J. Spaun finished T22 (-5) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18_5|TENNIS|Jessica_Pegula_vs_Coco_Gauff|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T05:34:45", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff", "winner": "Coco Gauff", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 18, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "verify": "Coco Gauff won 0-2 (18 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T05:41:23" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Fils", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Fils", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_18_5|TENNIS|Frances_Tiafoe_vs_Arthur_Fils|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T05:34:45", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Fils", "winner": "Arthur Fils", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 22, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5", "verify": "Arthur Fils won 1-2 (22 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_18.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.6089, "raw_prob": 0.6208, "edge_pct": 8.5, "fair_american": -128, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___MIL|MIL_ML|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T13:32:41", "p_calibrated": 0.6089, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 4 @ MIL 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "ATL @ MIL: final 4-2 (total 6 runs) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T05:41:23" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "erling haaland", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.637, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.637, "matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|EPL|erling_haaland|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.637, "outcome": { "final_score": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "marcus tavernier", "marc gu\u00e9hi", "josko gvardiol" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City: erling haaland did not score \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Aston_Villa___Brighton___Hove_Albion|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "maxim de cuyper", "jack hinshelwood", "jack hinshelwood" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Aston Villa 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester City", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|AFC_Bournemouth___Manchester_City|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "marcus tavernier", "marc gu\u00e9hi", "josko gvardiol" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Liverpool @ Newcastle United", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Liverpool @ Newcastle United", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Liverpool___Newcastle_United|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Liverpool 2-2 Newcastle United", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "anthony elanga", "cody gakpo", "joe willock", "dominik szoboszlai" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Liverpool 2-2 Newcastle United: 8 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ Atlanta United FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.663, "fair_american": -197, "p_predicted": 0.663, "matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ Atlanta United FC", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Sporting_Kansas_City___Atlanta_United_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5076, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Atlanta United FC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "tom\u00e1s jacob", "faf\u00e0 picault", "stephen afrifa" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Atlanta United FC: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New York City FC @ New England Revolution", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "New York City FC @ New England Revolution", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|New_York_City_FC___New_England_Revolutio|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "New York City FC 1-1 New England Revolution", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "dor turgeman", "james sands" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "New York City FC 1-1 New England Revolution: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Aston_Villa___Brighton___Hove_Albion|BTTS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "maxim de cuyper", "jack hinshelwood", "jack hinshelwood" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Aston Villa 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester City", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|AFC_Bournemouth___Manchester_City|BTTS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "marcus tavernier", "marc gu\u00e9hi", "josko gvardiol" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Liverpool @ Newcastle United", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Liverpool @ Newcastle United", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Liverpool___Newcastle_United|BTTS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Liverpool 2-2 Newcastle United", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "anthony elanga", "cody gakpo", "joe willock", "dominik szoboszlai" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Liverpool 2-2 Newcastle United: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New York City FC @ New England Revolution", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "New York City FC @ New England Revolution", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|New_York_City_FC___New_England_Revolutio|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "New York City FC 1-1 New England Revolution", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "dor turgeman", "james sands" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "New York City FC 1-1 New England Revolution: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Aston_Villa___Brighton___Hove_Albion|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "maxim de cuyper", "jack hinshelwood", "jack hinshelwood" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Aston Villa 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester City", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|AFC_Bournemouth___Manchester_City|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "marcus tavernier", "marc gu\u00e9hi", "josko gvardiol" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Liverpool @ Newcastle United", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Liverpool @ Newcastle United", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Liverpool___Newcastle_United|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Liverpool 2-2 Newcastle United", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "anthony elanga", "cody gakpo", "joe willock", "dominik szoboszlai" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Liverpool 2-2 Newcastle United: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New York City FC @ New England Revolution", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -273, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "New York City FC @ New England Revolution", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|New_York_City_FC___New_England_Revolutio|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3663, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6819, "outcome": { "final_score": "New York City FC 1-1 New England Revolution", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "dor turgeman", "james sands" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "New York City FC 1-1 New England Revolution: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ Atlanta United FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -283, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ Atlanta United FC", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Sporting_Kansas_City___Atlanta_United_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3534, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T14:43:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7413, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Atlanta United FC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "tom\u00e1s jacob", "faf\u00e0 picault", "stephen afrifa" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Atlanta United FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T03:26:59" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Aston_Villa___Brighton___Hove_Albion|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "maxim de cuyper", "jack hinshelwood", "jack hinshelwood" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Aston Villa 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester City", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|AFC_Bournemouth___Manchester_City|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "marcus tavernier", "marc gu\u00e9hi", "josko gvardiol" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_8|WNBA|SEA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_8|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 70 @ DAL 92", "team_total": 92, "line": 75.8, "side": "OVER", "verify": "SEA @ DAL: home scored 92 (line 75.8, bet over) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80_4|WNBA|IND___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80_4|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "IND 113 @ CHI 90", "team_total": 90, "line": 80.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "IND @ CHI: home scored 90 (line 80.4, bet over) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ POR", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_4|WNBA|WAS___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_4|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 105 @ POR 100", "team_total": 100, "line": 76.4, "side": "OVER", "verify": "WSH @ POR: home scored 100 (line 76.4, bet over) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_7|WNBA|LV___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_7|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 88 @ TOR 78", "team_total": 78, "line": 76.7, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ TOR: home scored 78 (line 76.7, bet over) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "elizabeth williams", "market": "AST_OVER_1.0", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_1_0|WNBA|elizabeth_williams|AST_OVER_1_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.655, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 1, "line": 1.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "elizabeth williams \u2014 ast = 1 (line 1.0, bet over) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "kelsey mitchell", "market": "3PM_UNDER_4.0", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -243, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4_0|WNBA|kelsey_mitchell|3PM_UNDER_4_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.6685, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 6, "line": 4.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kelsey mitchell \u2014 fg3m = 6 (line 4.0, bet under) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "caitlin clark", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.632, "fair_american": -172, "p_predicted": 0.632, "matchup": "IND @ CHI", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|caitlin_clark|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.6582, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 8, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caitlin clark \u2014 fg3m = 8 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "arike ogunbowale", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.638, "fair_american": -176, "p_predicted": 0.638, "matchup": "SEA @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|arike_ogunbowale|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.659, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "arike ogunbowale \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ezi magbegor", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "SEA @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|ezi_magbegor|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4132, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.6602, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ezi magbegor \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "jewell loyd", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "SEA @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|jewell_loyd|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4405, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.6802, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jewell loyd \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "arike ogunbowale", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -238, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "SEA @ DAL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_5|WNBA|arike_ogunbowale|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4202, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.6596, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "arike ogunbowale \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-08-23" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.244, "fair_american": 310, "p_predicted": 0.244, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1827, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Bauers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T21:37:20", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Yelich", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Christian_Yelich|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.4131, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Christian Yelich \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T7 (-10) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Maverick McNealy", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.215, "fair_american": 365, "p_predicted": 0.215, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Maverick_McNealy|TOP_5|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Maverick McNealy finished T7 (-10) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Scott", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.6, "fair_american": -150, "p_predicted": 0.6, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Adam_Scott|TOP_20|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6667, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Adam Scott finished T16 (-6) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Smalley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "BMW Championship", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Alex_Smalley|TOP_20|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7463, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "BMW Championship", "finish": "T16", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Alex Smalley finished T16 (-6) at BMW Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.563, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.43, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.43, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.32, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.562, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.43, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.43, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3593, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Bauers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_Bauers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Bauers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 289, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Matt_Olson|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lane_Thomas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "ATL @ MIL", "date": "2026-08-23", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Joey_Ortiz|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-23T22:42:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joey Ortiz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-24T10:56:54" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ WSN", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.9045, "edge_pct": 72.69, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|COL___WSN|OVER_8_0|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T05:41:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 3 @ WSH 13", "total_runs": 16, "verify": "COL @ WSH: final 3-13 (total 16 runs) on 2026-08-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Carlos Petruzzella vs Nick Galanti", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 288, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "Carlos Petruzzella vs Nick Galanti", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Carlos_Petruzzella_vs_Nick_Galanti|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.88, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T14:53:58", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Carlos Petruzzella vs Nick Galanti", "winner": "Nick Galanti", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Nick Galanti def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Humphrey vs Alexis Miranda", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.218, "fair_american": 360, "p_predicted": 0.218, "matchup": "Ronald Humphrey vs Alexis Miranda", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ronald_Humphrey_vs_Alexis_Miranda|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.6, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T14:53:58", "p_calibrated": 0.3486, "outcome": { "fight": "Ronald Humphrey vs Alexis Miranda", "winner": "Ronald Humphrey", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ronald Humphrey def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Gary Balletto vs Sean Clancy Jr.", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.217, "fair_american": 362, "p_predicted": 0.217, "matchup": "Gary Balletto vs Sean Clancy Jr.", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Gary_Balletto_vs_Sean_Clancy_Jr_|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T14:53:58", "p_calibrated": 0.3467, "outcome": { "fight": "Gary Balletto vs Sean Clancy Jr.", "winner": "Sean Clancy Jr.", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Sean Clancy Jr. def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Chelsea @ Fulham", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Chelsea @ Fulham", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Chelsea___Fulham|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T15:04:04", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chelsea 3-2 Fulham", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jo\u00e3o pedro", "josh king", "morgan rogers", "cole palmer", "gonzalo garc\u00eda" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Chelsea 3-2 Fulham: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T03:15:07" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Chelsea @ Fulham", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Chelsea @ Fulham", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Chelsea___Fulham|BTTS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T15:04:04", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chelsea 3-2 Fulham", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jo\u00e3o pedro", "josh king", "morgan rogers", "cole palmer", "gonzalo garc\u00eda" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Chelsea 3-2 Fulham: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T03:15:07" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Chelsea @ Fulham", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Chelsea @ Fulham", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Chelsea___Fulham|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T15:04:04", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chelsea 3-2 Fulham", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jo\u00e3o pedro", "josh king", "morgan rogers", "cole palmer", "gonzalo garc\u00eda" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Chelsea 3-2 Fulham: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T03:15:07" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.6216, "raw_prob": 0.6898, "edge_pct": 19.7, "fair_american": -108, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___CHW|CHW_ML|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6216, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 11 @ CHW 2", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "TEX @ CHW: final 11-2 (total 13 runs) on 2026-08-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ MIN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_5|WNBA|GOL___MIN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_5|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "GS 80 @ MIN 66", "team_total": 66, "line": 74.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "GS @ MIN: home scored 66 (line 74.5, bet over) on 2026-08-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ LA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_0|WNBA|ATL___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_0|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 78 @ LA 71", "team_total": 71, "line": 78.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ LA: home scored 71 (line 78.0, bet over) on 2026-08-24" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "ATL @ LAS", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6694, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 fg3m = 2 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-08-25" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:02:00" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.635, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.635, "matchup": "ATL @ LAS", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5747, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.649, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "azura stevens \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-08-25" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:02:00" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Callahan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Callahan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Callahan \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2173, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.312, "fair_american": 221, "p_predicted": 0.312, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2154, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Veen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zac_Veen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zac Veen \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2043, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2025, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.83, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.1974, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Keibert Ruiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 327, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Keibert_Ruiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Keibert Ruiz \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ceddanne Rafaela", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ceddanne_Rafaela|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ceddanne Rafaela \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.223, "fair_american": 348, "p_predicted": 0.223, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Connor_Norby|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.555, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Connor_Norby|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.461, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Veen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zac_Veen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zac Veen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Sogard|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.447, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yandy_D_az|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T21:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joe Mack", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Joe_Mack|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4342, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Joe Mack \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Evan Carter", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Evan_Carter|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Evan Carter \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Freeman", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cody_Freeman|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cody Freeman \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jake_Burger|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elias D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Elias_D_az|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Elias D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Colt_Keith|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8065, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7519, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Veen", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.575, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.575, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Zac_Veen|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7407, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Zac Veen \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Nick_Fortes|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6944, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Chelsea @ Fulham", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Chelsea @ Fulham", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Chelsea___Fulham|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chelsea 3-2 Fulham", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jo\u00e3o pedro", "josh king", "morgan rogers", "cole palmer", "gonzalo garc\u00eda" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Chelsea 3-2 Fulham: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.747, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5595, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.707, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4866, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.67, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.629, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4314, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.449, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.449, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.23, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1732, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1587, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 278, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.78, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Veen", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 281, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Zac_Veen|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zac Veen \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 289, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.209, "fair_american": 378, "p_predicted": 0.209, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1431, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 415, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1425, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 474, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kaelen Culpepper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 495, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kaelen_Culpepper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kaelen Culpepper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Callahan", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.165, "fair_american": 506, "p_predicted": 0.165, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brett_Callahan|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1299, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Callahan \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 516, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1254, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.153, "fair_american": 554, "p_predicted": 0.153, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1106, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.151, "fair_american": 564, "p_predicted": 0.151, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1073, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 577, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 596, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 599, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 614, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "PIT @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brock Rodden", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brock_Rodden|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brock Rodden \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alex_Bregman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "PIT @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ian_Happ|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "CIN @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jo_Adell|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2398, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "CIN @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-24", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-24T22:47:30", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-24", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-25T10:53:39" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ WSN", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.8023, "edge_pct": 53.16, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|COL___WSN|OVER_8_5|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T05:46:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 3 @ WSH 1", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "COL @ WSH: final 3-1 (total 4 runs) on 2026-08-25" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Freeman", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cody_Freeman|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cody Freeman \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jake_Burger|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elias D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Elias_D_az|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Elias D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T05:49:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7634, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.747, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5595, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.707, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4866, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.67, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.629, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4314, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 bb = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.449, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.449, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1732, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Willson_Contreras|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1587, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 278, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.78, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 289, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.89, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.39, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 hr = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.209, "fair_american": 378, "p_predicted": 0.209, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1431, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 474, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kaelen Culpepper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 495, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kaelen_Culpepper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kaelen Culpepper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 516, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1254, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.151, "fair_american": 564, "p_predicted": 0.151, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1073, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 577, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 596, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 599, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 614, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "PIT @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T05:49:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-26T05:49:00", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.11, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2219, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.22, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brock Rodden", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brock_Rodden|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brock Rodden \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T05:49:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alex_Bregman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.517, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.404, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.404, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2935, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-26T05:49:00", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "PIT @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T05:49:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.49, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Connor_Norby|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ian_Happ|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-26T05:49:00", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.453, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "CIN @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.407, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.404, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Sogard|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.401, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.03, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-26T05:49:00", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yandy_D_az|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jo_Adell|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2398, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "CIN @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-25T13:15:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-25", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T02:22:00" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "alanna smith", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.672, "fair_american": -205, "p_predicted": 0.672, "matchup": "GOL @ MIN", "date": "2026-08-25", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|alanna_smith|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-25", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4878, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T02:02:00", "p_calibrated": 0.6547, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alanna smith \u2014 blk_stl = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-08-25" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T15:57:47" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jarren Duran", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jarren_Duran|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4015, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jarren Duran \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Freeman", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Cody_Freeman|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Cody Freeman \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Jake_Burger|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.747, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.526, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.526, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.5595, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.707, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4866, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.67, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.629, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.14, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4314, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 bb = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.449, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.449, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.4111, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1732, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 278, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.78, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 289, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.209, "fair_american": 378, "p_predicted": 0.209, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.202, "fair_american": 396, "p_predicted": 0.202, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.96, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.147, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1464, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 413, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1431, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.174, "fair_american": 474, "p_predicted": 0.174, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1332, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kaelen Culpepper", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 495, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kaelen_Culpepper|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.95, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kaelen Culpepper \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.162, "fair_american": 516, "p_predicted": 0.162, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1254, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.151, "fair_american": 564, "p_predicted": 0.151, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1073, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.148, "fair_american": 577, "p_predicted": 0.148, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1024, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 596, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nick_Sogard|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.143, "fair_american": 599, "p_predicted": 0.143, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.14, "fair_american": 614, "p_predicted": 0.14, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Chandler_Simpson|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chandler Simpson \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Alec_Bohm|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.382, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.382, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.37, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.37, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2219, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.22, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alex_Bregman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.517, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.404, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.404, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2935, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.49, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Connor_Norby|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Abimelec Ortiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Abimelec_Ortiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Abimelec Ortiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ian_Happ|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Crawford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Crawford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Crawford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.453, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "CIN @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathaniel_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathaniel Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.407, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.404, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.332, "fair_american": 201, "p_predicted": 0.332, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Sogard|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.401, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.03, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.329, "fair_american": 204, "p_predicted": 0.329, "matchup": "BOS @ MIA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.558, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.558, "matchup": "MIN @ OAK", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8197, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "TBR @ DET", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Yandy_D_az|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-26T20:09:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "CLE @ LAA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jo_Adell|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2398, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "CIN @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T03:28:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elias D\u00edaz", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "TEX @ CHW", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Elias_D_az|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T07:12:37", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Elias D\u00edaz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T20:35:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "PIT @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T07:12:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brock Rodden", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "PHI @ SEA", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brock_Rodden|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T07:12:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brock Rodden \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Flores Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "PIT @ SDP", "date": "2026-08-26", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Rafael_Flores_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-26T07:12:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Flores Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T07:04:17" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.151, "fair_american": 564, "p_predicted": 0.151, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T09:58:11", "p_calibrated": 0.1073, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "CHC @ ARI", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Geraldo_Perdomo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T09:58:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Geraldo Perdomo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.49, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Connor_Norby|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T09:58:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CJ Abrams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "COL @ WSN", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|CJ_Abrams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T09:58:11", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "CJ Abrams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Andy_Pages|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-22", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-22", "recorded_at": "2026-05-22T12:36:22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-05-23T06:43:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Willson_Contreras|PP_batter_runs_under_1_5|2026-05-22", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "PP_batter_runs_under_1.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-22", "recorded_at": "2026-05-22T12:36:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-23T06:43:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Mike_Trout|PP_batter_rbis_under_1_5|2026-05-22", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "PP_batter_rbis_under_1.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-22", "recorded_at": "2026-05-22T12:36:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-23T06:43:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Dalton_Rushing|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-22", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Dalton Rushing", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-22", "recorded_at": "2026-05-22T23:01:23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-23T06:43:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7164 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Oneil_Cruz|PP_batter_hrr_under_4_5|2026-05-22", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_4.5", "prob": 0.7164, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-22", "recorded_at": "2026-05-22T23:01:23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-23T06:43:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.919 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Andy_Pages|PP_batter_hrr_over_0_5|2026-05-23", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Andy Pages", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_over_0.5", "prob": 0.7165, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-05-23", "recorded_at": "2026-05-23T06:43:15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-05-24T07:31:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.7165 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Andr_s_Gim_nez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Gim\u00e9nez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.856, "edge_pct": 48.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T21:23:44", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T21:23:44", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8263 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nick_Fortes|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8557, "edge_pct": 48.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T21:23:44", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T21:23:44", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8262 }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T22:46:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 5, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 5 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T12:12:45", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8591, "edge_pct": 49.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-06", "recorded_at": "2026-06-06T23:09:02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-06T23:09:02", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Waldschmidt", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ryan_Waldschmidt|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4008, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ryan Waldschmidt \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Kepler", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Max_Kepler|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4252, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Max Kepler \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.531, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.531, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "charles leclerc", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|charles_leclerc|TOP_3|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 4, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Charles Leclerc qualifying P4 at Pirelli Italian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T16:44:59" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lando norris", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|lando_norris|TOP_3|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 9, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Lando Norris qualifying P9 at Pirelli Italian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T16:44:59" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "carlos sainz", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|carlos_sainz|TOP_3|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 15, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Carlos Sainz qualifying P15 at Pirelli Italian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T16:44:59" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "oscar piastri", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|oscar_piastri|TOP_3|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 3, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "Oscar Piastri qualifying P3 at Pirelli Italian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T16:44:59" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "george russell", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.604, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.604, "matchup": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|george_russell|TOP_3|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6579, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 2, "market": "TOP_3", "verify": "George Russell qualifying P2 at Pirelli Italian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_3" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T16:44:59" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lewis hamilton", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|lewis_hamilton|TOP_6|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 5, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Lewis Hamilton qualifying P5 at Pirelli Italian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T16:44:59" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "fernando alonso", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|fernando_alonso|TOP_6|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "event": "Pirelli Italian Grand Prix", "session": "qualifying", "position": 21, "market": "TOP_6", "verify": "Fernando Alonso qualifying P21 at Pirelli Italian Grand Prix \u2014 TOP_6" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T16:44:59" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "lionel messi", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.61, "fair_american": -157, "p_predicted": 0.61, "matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|MLS|lionel_messi|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6369, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "CF Montr\u00e9al 1-7 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "casemiro", "fabian herbers", "lionel messi", "luis su\u00e1rez", "lionel messi", "alexander shaw", "lionel messi" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "CF Montr\u00e9al 1-7 Inter Miami CF: lionel messi scored \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Atlanta United FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.663, "fair_american": -197, "p_predicted": 0.663, "matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Atlanta United FC", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Charlotte_FC___Atlanta_United_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5076, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Charlotte FC 2-0 Atlanta United FC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "idan toklomati", "liel abada" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Charlotte FC 2-0 Atlanta United FC: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LA Galaxy @ San Diego FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.685, "fair_american": -217, "p_predicted": 0.685, "matchup": "LA Galaxy @ San Diego FC", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|LA_Galaxy___San_Diego_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA Galaxy 1-3 San Diego FC", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "elias achouri", "kieran sargeant", "hirving lozano", "amahl pellegrino" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "LA Galaxy 1-3 San Diego FC: 7 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Red Bull New York", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.686, "fair_american": -218, "p_predicted": 0.686, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Red Bull New York", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Philadelphia_Union___Red_Bull_New_York|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4587, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 3-1 Red Bull New York", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "milan iloski", "cavan sullivan", "neil pierre", "eric maxim choupo-moting" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 3-1 Red Bull New York: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Jose Earthquakes @ Houston Dynamo FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "San Jose Earthquakes @ Houston Dynamo FC", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|San_Jose_Earthquakes___Houston_Dynamo_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4444, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "San Jose Earthquakes 0-0 Houston Dynamo FC", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "San Jose Earthquakes 0-0 Houston Dynamo FC: 1 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Orlando City SC @ Minnesota United FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "Orlando City SC @ Minnesota United FC", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Orlando_City_SC___Minnesota_United_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Orlando City SC 3-3 Minnesota United FC", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "daryl dike", "antoine griezmann", "marcus caldeira", "anthony markanich", "kelvin yeboah", "tyrese spicer" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Orlando City SC 3-3 Minnesota United FC: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Colorado Rapids", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Colorado Rapids", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Real_Salt_Lake___Colorado_Rapids|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Salt Lake 0-1 Colorado Rapids", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "reggie cannon" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Real Salt Lake 0-1 Colorado Rapids: 8 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New York City FC @ Toronto FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -243, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "New York City FC @ Toronto FC", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|New_York_City_FC___Toronto_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "New York City FC 1-1 Toronto FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nicol\u00e1s fern\u00e1ndez", "d\u00e1niel sall\u00f3i" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "New York City FC 1-1 Toronto FC: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Austin FC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -243, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "Austin FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Austin_FC___Portland_Timbers|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austin FC 2-1 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "facundo torres", "antony", "oleksandr svatok" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Austin FC 2-1 Portland Timbers: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Seattle Sounders FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Seattle Sounders FC", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Chicago_Fire_FC___Seattle_Sounders_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3953, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chicago Fire FC 2-2 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "dejan joveljic", "maren haile-selassie", "dejan joveljic", "robert lewandowski" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Chicago Fire FC 2-2 Seattle Sounders FC: 1 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T00:25:23" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester City @ Crystal Palace", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "Manchester City @ Crystal Palace", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Manchester_City___Crystal_Palace|BTTS_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5952, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5763, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester City 4-1 Crystal Palace", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "erling haaland", "rayan cherki", "rayan cherki", "erling haaland" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Manchester City 4-1 Crystal Palace: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester City @ Crystal Palace", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Manchester City @ Crystal Palace", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Manchester_City___Crystal_Palace|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester City 4-1 Crystal Palace", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "erling haaland", "rayan cherki", "rayan cherki", "erling haaland" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Manchester City 4-1 Crystal Palace: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Seattle Sounders FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Seattle Sounders FC", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Chicago_Fire_FC___Seattle_Sounders_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chicago Fire FC 2-2 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "dejan joveljic", "maren haile-selassie", "dejan joveljic", "robert lewandowski" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Chicago Fire FC 2-2 Seattle Sounders FC: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T00:25:23" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New England Revolution @ Columbus Crew", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "New England Revolution @ Columbus Crew", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|New_England_Revolution___Columbus_Crew|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "New England Revolution 3-1 Columbus Crew", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "brais m\u00e9ndez", "matt polster", "dor turgeman", "carles gil" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "New England Revolution 3-1 Columbus Crew: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-31T00:39:50" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ D.C. United", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "LAFC @ D.C. United", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|LAFC___D_C__United|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 0-0 D.C. United", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "LAFC 0-0 D.C. United: 0 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Inter Miami CF", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|CF_Montr_al___Inter_Miami_CF|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "CF Montr\u00e9al 1-7 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "casemiro", "fabian herbers", "lionel messi", "luis su\u00e1rez", "lionel messi", "alexander shaw", "lionel messi" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "CF Montr\u00e9al 1-7 Inter Miami CF: 8 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New York City FC @ Toronto FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "New York City FC @ Toronto FC", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|New_York_City_FC___Toronto_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "New York City FC 1-1 Toronto FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nicol\u00e1s fern\u00e1ndez", "d\u00e1niel sall\u00f3i" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "New York City FC 1-1 Toronto FC: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Cincinnati @ Nashville SC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "FC Cincinnati @ Nashville SC", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|FC_Cincinnati___Nashville_SC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Cincinnati 0-4 Nashville SC", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "sam surridge", "hany mukhtar", "bryan acosta", "ahmed qasim" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "FC Cincinnati 0-4 Nashville SC: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Sporting Kansas City", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Sporting Kansas City", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Vancouver_Whitecaps___Sporting_Kansas_Ci|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Sporting Kansas City", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "thomas m\u00fcller", "brian white", "rayan elloumi" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Sporting Kansas City: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Austin FC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Austin FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Austin_FC___Portland_Timbers|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 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"robert lewandowski" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Chicago Fire FC 2-2 Seattle Sounders FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T00:25:23" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Atlanta United FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "Charlotte FC @ Atlanta United FC", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Charlotte_FC___Atlanta_United_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3472, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Charlotte FC 2-0 Atlanta United FC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "idan toklomati", "liel abada" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Charlotte FC 2-0 Atlanta United FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New England Revolution @ Columbus Crew", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -301, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "New England Revolution @ Columbus Crew", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|New_England_Revolution___Columbus_Crew|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3322, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "New England Revolution 3-1 Columbus Crew", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "brais m\u00e9ndez", "matt polster", "dor turgeman", "carles gil" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "New England Revolution 3-1 Columbus Crew: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-31T00:39:50" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ D.C. 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United: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Inter Miami CF", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.731, "fair_american": -271, "p_predicted": 0.731, "matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|CF_Montr_al___Inter_Miami_CF|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.369, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6746, "outcome": { "final_score": "CF Montr\u00e9al 1-7 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "casemiro", "fabian herbers", "lionel messi", "luis su\u00e1rez", "lionel messi", "alexander shaw", "lionel messi" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "CF Montr\u00e9al 1-7 Inter Miami CF: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Red Bull New York", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Red Bull New York", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Philadelphia_Union___Red_Bull_New_York|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3584, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7134, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 3-1 Red Bull New York", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "milan iloski", "cavan sullivan", "neil pierre", "eric maxim choupo-moting" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 3-1 Red Bull New York: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New York City FC @ Toronto FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.749, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.749, "matchup": "New York City FC @ Toronto FC", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|New_York_City_FC___Toronto_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3356, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "New York City FC 1-1 Toronto FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "nicol\u00e1s fern\u00e1ndez", "d\u00e1niel sall\u00f3i" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "New York City FC 1-1 Toronto FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Jose Earthquakes @ Houston Dynamo FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "San Jose Earthquakes @ Houston Dynamo FC", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|San_Jose_Earthquakes___Houston_Dynamo_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7042, "outcome": { "final_score": "San Jose Earthquakes 0-0 Houston Dynamo FC", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "San Jose Earthquakes 0-0 Houston Dynamo FC: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Orlando City SC @ Minnesota United FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "Orlando City SC @ Minnesota United FC", "date": 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"soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Vancouver_Whitecaps___Sporting_Kansas_Ci|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3279, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Sporting Kansas City", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "thomas m\u00fcller", "brian white", "rayan elloumi" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Sporting Kansas City: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Colorado Rapids", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -276, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Colorado Rapids", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Real_Salt_Lake___Colorado_Rapids|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.6965, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Salt Lake 0-1 Colorado Rapids", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "reggie cannon" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Real Salt Lake 0-1 Colorado Rapids: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Austin FC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -274, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "Austin FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Austin_FC___Portland_Timbers|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.365, 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"matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shohei Ohtani \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Kirk", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alejandro_Kirk|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alejandro Kirk \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2257, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.18, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Jones|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "MIL @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jared_Young|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lane_Thomas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Turner Hill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Turner_Hill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Turner Hill \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "MIL @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daz Cameron", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 277, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Daz_Cameron|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2008, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daz Cameron \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lane_Thomas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lane Thomas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.555, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.35, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.552, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Robert Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.424, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.424, "matchup": "MIL @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Robert_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2992, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Robert Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Cox|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Myles_Straw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.44, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Myles Straw \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trent Grisham", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trent_Grisham|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trent Grisham \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.511, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gary S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "MIL @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gary_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gary S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.495, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "MIL @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Olson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Olson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Olson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shay Whitcomb", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shay_Whitcomb|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shay Whitcomb \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tommy_Edman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daz Cameron", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daz_Cameron|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daz Cameron \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIL @ NYM", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Baty|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Rafael_Devers|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "KCR @ TOR", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "HOU @ NYY", "date": "2026-08-27", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-08-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-27T23:50:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-27", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8591, "edge_pct": 49.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T08:14:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:29", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Masataka_Yoshida|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Masataka Yoshida", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8579, "edge_pct": 48.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T08:14:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:45", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8562, "edge_pct": 48.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T08:14:36", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:45", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8265 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Zach_McKinstry|PP_batter_hrr_under_2_5|2026-06-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Zach McKinstry", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_2.5", "prob": 0.8632, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-07", "recorded_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:44", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-07T21:24:45", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "p_calibrated": 0.8632 }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T00:42:58", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Liu Ce vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "Liu Ce vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Liu_Ce_vs_Levi_Rodrigues_Jr_|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T00:42:58", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Gary Balletto vs Sean Clancy Jr.", "winner": "Sean Clancy Jr.", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Sean Clancy Jr. def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-28T18:49:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T00:42:58", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.219, "fair_american": 356, "p_predicted": 0.219, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T00:42:58", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 364, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.64, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T00:42:58", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 607, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T00:42:58", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shay Whitcomb", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 609, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shay_Whitcomb|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T00:42:58", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shay Whitcomb \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.56, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T00:42:58", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hits = 3 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 456, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.147, "fair_american": 579, "p_predicted": 0.147, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 5.79, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35", "p_calibrated": 0.1008, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 605, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 6.05, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2141, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Turner Hill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Turner_Hill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Turner Hill \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.591, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Cox|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shay Whitcomb", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-28", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shay_Whitcomb|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-28", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-28T22:37:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shay Whitcomb \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-28", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-29T11:10:36" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "market": "UNDER_15.5", "prob": 0.9747, "edge_pct": 86.09, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|ARI___SFG|UNDER_15_5|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T07:13:56", "p_calibrated": 0.6497, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 7 @ SF 1", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "ARI @ SF: final 7-1 (total 8) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T13:16:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7874, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Ildemaro Vargas \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hits = 1 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.219, "fair_american": 356, "p_predicted": 0.219, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 364, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 456, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.147, "fair_american": 579, "p_predicted": 0.147, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.1008, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tim Tawa \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 605, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 607, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shay Whitcomb", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 609, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shay_Whitcomb|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shay Whitcomb \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2141, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Turner Hill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Turner_Hill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Turner Hill \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.591, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Cox|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shay Whitcomb", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-29", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shay_Whitcomb|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-29", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-29T16:47:05", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shay Whitcomb \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-08-29", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-08-30T05:47:52" }, { "source": "rlm_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ TOR", "market": "HOME ML", "prob": null, "fair_american": 117, "rlm_strength": "STRONG", "line_delta_pp": -10.06, "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "rlm_strong|MLB|SEA___TOR|HOME_ML|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.17, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T00:25:23", "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 0 @ TOR 7", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "SEA @ TOR: final 0-7 (total 7) on 2026-08-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T13:18:52" }, { "source": "rlm_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ NYY", "market": "HOME ML", "prob": null, "fair_american": -101, "rlm_strength": "STRONG", "line_delta_pp": -8.77, "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "rlm_strong|MLB|BOS___NYY|HOME_ML|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T00:25:23", "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 1 @ NYY 16", "total_runs": 17, "verify": "BOS @ NYY: final 1-16 (total 17) on 2026-08-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T13:18:52" }, { "source": "rlm_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ CHC", "market": "HOME ML", "prob": null, "fair_american": -142, "rlm_strength": "STRONG", "line_delta_pp": -7.88, "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "rlm_strong|MLB|CIN___CHC|HOME_ML|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T00:25:23", "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 7 @ CHC 5", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "CIN @ CHC: final 7-5 (total 12) on 2026-08-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T13:18:52" }, { "source": "rlm_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ NYM", "market": "AWAY ML", "prob": null, "fair_american": 101, "rlm_strength": "STRONG", "line_delta_pp": -6.39, "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "rlm_strong|MLB|HOU___NYM|AWAY_ML|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.01, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T00:25:23", "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 6 @ NYM 3", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "HOU @ NYM: final 6-3 (total 9) on 2026-08-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T13:18:52" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ ATL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.9092, "edge_pct": 73.57, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|COL___ATL|OVER_8_5|2026-08-30", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 2 @ ATL 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "COL @ ATL: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-08-30", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T13:16:48" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ildemaro Vargas", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Ildemaro_Vargas|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.219, "fair_american": 356, "p_predicted": 0.219, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.216, "fair_american": 364, "p_predicted": 0.216, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 456, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1354, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Tawa", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.147, "fair_american": 579, "p_predicted": 0.147, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tim_Tawa|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.1008, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.142, "fair_american": 605, "p_predicted": 0.142, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 607, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shay Whitcomb", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.141, "fair_american": 609, "p_predicted": 0.141, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Shay_Whitcomb|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.0998, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2141, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Turner Hill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Turner_Hill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-08-30T07:24:17", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.591, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-08-30", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-08-30", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": 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"player_or_matchup": "trent frederic", "market": "HITS_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "WPG @ EDM", "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2_5|NHL|trent_frederic|HITS_OVER_2_5|2026-09-01", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:18:41", "p_calibrated": 0.679, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "alex pietrangelo", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "VGK @ LAK", "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|alex_pietrangelo|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-01", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:18:41", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "ryan suter", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "DAL @ STL", "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|ryan_suter|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-01", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:18:41", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "noah hanifin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "VGK @ LAK", "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|noah_hanifin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-01", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:18:41", "p_calibrated": 0.669, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "esa lindell", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "DAL @ STL", "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|esa_lindell|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-01", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:18:41", "p_calibrated": 0.645, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "mark giordano", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "MTL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|mark_giordano|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-01", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:18:41", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "morgan rielly", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "MTL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|morgan_rielly|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-01", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:18:41", "p_calibrated": 0.594, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 268, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:18:41", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T06:06:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.429, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.349, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.349, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:18:41", "p_calibrated": 0.2887, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T06:06:19" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.584, "edge_pct": 67.03, "fair_american": 186, "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|CHW___HOU|CHW_ML|2026-09-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T05:40:14", "p_calibrated": 0.584, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 3 @ HOU 6", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "CHW @ HOU: final 3-6 (total 9 runs) on 2026-09-01" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T13:16:48" }, { "source": "rlm_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "market": "HOME ML", "prob": null, "fair_american": -106, "rlm_strength": "STRONG", "line_delta_pp": -6.17, "date": "2026-09-01", "pick_id": "rlm_strong|MLB|CHW___HOU|HOME_ML|2026-09-01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-01T10:27:13", "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 5 @ HOU 1", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "CHW @ HOU: final 5-1 (total 6) on 2026-09-01", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T13:18:52", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-02T13:25:54", "from": "won", "to": "lost", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ding Meng vs Cameron Nelson", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.213, "fair_american": 369, "p_predicted": 0.213, "matchup": "Ding Meng vs Cameron Nelson", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ding_Meng_vs_Cameron_Nelson|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3392, "outcome": { "fight": "Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson", "winner": "Cam Nelson", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Cam Nelson def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Sean Woodson vs Jack Jenkins", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 454, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "Sean Woodson vs Jack Jenkins", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Sean_Woodson_vs_Jack_Jenkins|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Sean Woodson vs Jack Jenkins", "winner": "Sean Woodson", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Sean Woodson def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Akshay Bhatia", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Akshay_Bhatia|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Akshay Bhatia finished T18 (-7) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ludvig \u00c5berg", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.527, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.527, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ludvig__berg|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5319, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ludvig \u00c5berg finished T4 (-11) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Gerard", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ryan_Gerard|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9174, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5305, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ryan Gerard finished T3 (-12) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Fleetwood", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.453, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.453, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Tommy_Fleetwood|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3397, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Tommy Fleetwood finished T11 (-10) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Burns", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Sam_Burns|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Sam Burns finished T18 (-7) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Scott", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Adam_Scott|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2975, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T11", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Adam Scott finished T11 (-10) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Matt_Fitzpatrick|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2887, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Matt Fitzpatrick finished T21 (-5) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Gary Woodland", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Gary_Woodland|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2738, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T29", "to_par": 2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Gary Woodland finished T29 (2) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Fox", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ryan_Fox|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.273, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T26", "to_par": -2, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ryan Fox finished T26 (-2) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Schauffele", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Xander_Schauffele|TOP_10|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.2717, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Xander Schauffele finished T14 (-9) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Wyndham Clark", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.749, "fair_american": -299, "p_predicted": 0.749, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Wyndham_Clark|TOP_20|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Wyndham Clark finished T21 (-5) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Robert MacIntyre", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Robert_MacIntyre|TOP_20|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T28", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Robert MacIntyre finished T28 (0) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Tom Kim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Tom_Kim|TOP_20|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4149, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T14", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Tom Kim finished T14 (-9) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rory McIlroy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rory_McIlroy|TOP_20|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rory McIlroy finished T4 (-11) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Smalley", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Alex_Smalley|TOP_20|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T27", "to_par": -1, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Alex Smalley finished T27 (-1) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Cantlay", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Patrick_Cantlay|TOP_20|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T21", "to_par": -5, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Patrick Cantlay finished T21 (-5) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Rose", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Justin_Rose|TOP_20|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.5264, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T18", "to_par": -7, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Justin Rose finished T18 (-7) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Fitzpatrick", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "TOUR Championship", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Alex_Fitzpatrick|TOP_20|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.3564, "outcome": { "tournament": "TOUR Championship", "finish": "T4", "to_par": -11, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Alex Fitzpatrick finished T4 (-11) at TOUR Championship \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "GOL @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "GOL @ NY", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_7|WNBA|GOL___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_7|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ PHX", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_80_5|WNBA|WAS___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_80_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_dd_double_double_no", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "scottie barnes", "market": "DOUBLE_DOUBLE_NO", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "nba_dd_double_double_no|NBA|scottie_barnes|DOUBLE_DOUBLE_NO|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.693, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_118.5", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIA (MIA @ TOR)", "market": "TEAM_PTS_UNDER_118.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_118_5|NBA|MIA__MIA___TOR_|TEAM_PTS_UNDER_118_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.671, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_115.5", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR (MIA @ TOR)", "market": "TEAM_PTS_UNDER_115.5", "prob": 0.657, "fair_american": -192, "p_predicted": 0.657, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_115_5|NBA|TOR__MIA___TOR_|TEAM_PTS_UNDER_115_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T01:24:01", "p_calibrated": 0.657, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ WSN", "market": "OVER_9.0", "prob": 0.7917, "edge_pct": 51.15, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|ATL___WSN|OVER_9_0|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "push", "payout_units": 0.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T06:06:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 9 @ WSH 0", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "ATL @ WSH: final 9-0 (total 9 runs) on 2026-09-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.267, "fair_american": 275, "p_predicted": 0.267, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T11:27:35", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T23:45:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 268, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T11:27:35", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T23:45:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.429, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.349, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.349, "matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T11:27:35", "p_calibrated": 0.2887, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-02T23:45:40" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Liu Ce vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "Liu Ce vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Liu_Ce_vs_Levi_Rodrigues_Jr_|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.39, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T19:09:14", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Brandon Holmes vs Modestino Rodrigues", "winner": "Modestino Rodrigues", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Modestino Rodrigues def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T11:23:54" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SFG", "market": "SFG_ML", "prob": 0.5895, "raw_prob": 0.6131, "edge_pct": 19.1, "fair_american": 102, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___SFG|SFG_ML|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T13:25:54", "p_calibrated": 0.5895, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.6194, "raw_prob": 0.6433, "edge_pct": 18.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___CHC|MIL_ML|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37", "p_calibrated": 0.6194, "also_sources": [ "sharp_elite", "rlm_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 9 @ CHC 5", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "MIL @ CHC: final 9-5 (total 14 runs) on 2026-09-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.6064, "raw_prob": 0.6643, "edge_pct": 15.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___CLE|UNDER_8_0|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37", "p_calibrated": 0.5927, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 11 @ CLE 0", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "TOR @ CLE: final 11-0 (total 11) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ MIN", "market": "DET_ML", "prob": 0.5811, "raw_prob": 0.5977, "edge_pct": 12.9, "fair_american": -106, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|DET___MIN|DET_ML|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37", "p_calibrated": 0.5811, "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 11 @ MIN 6", "total_runs": 17, "verify": "DET @ MIN: final 11-6 (total 17 runs) on 2026-09-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "market": "TOR_ML", "prob": 0.5793, "raw_prob": 0.5932, "edge_pct": 10.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___CLE|TOR_ML|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37", "p_calibrated": 0.5793, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 11 @ CLE 0", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "TOR @ CLE: final 11-0 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-02" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T20:55:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Liverpool @ Ipswich Town", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Liverpool @ Ipswich Town", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Liverpool___Ipswich_Town|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Liverpool 2-0 Ipswich Town", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "alexander isak", "alexander isak" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Liverpool 2-0 Ipswich Town: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T23:47:20" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Nashville SC @ New York City FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Nashville SC @ New York City FC", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Nashville_SC___New_York_City_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Nashville SC 0-0 New York City FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Nashville SC 0-0 New York City FC: 0 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T04:37:57" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Liverpool @ Ipswich Town", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "Liverpool @ Ipswich Town", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Liverpool___Ipswich_Town|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.6288, "outcome": { "final_score": "Liverpool 2-0 Ipswich Town", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "alexander isak", "alexander isak" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Liverpool 2-0 Ipswich Town: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T23:47:20" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Nashville SC @ New York City FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.761, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.761, "matchup": "Nashville SC @ New York City FC", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Nashville_SC___New_York_City_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Nashville SC 0-0 New York City FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Nashville SC 0-0 New York City FC: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T04:37:57" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_1|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_1|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_5|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_7|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_7|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_6|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_6|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_2|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_2|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Coco_Gauff_vs_Paula_Badosa|ML_PLAYER1|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5319, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "outcome": { "match": "Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa", "winner": "Coco Gauff", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 23, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Coco Gauff won 2-0 (23 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Coco_Gauff_vs_Paula_Badosa|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa", "winner": "Coco Gauff", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 23, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "verify": "Coco Gauff won 2-0 (23 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_23.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_23.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_23_5|TENNIS|Karen_Khachanov_vs_Felix_Auger_Aliassime|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_23_5|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3508, "outcome": { "match": "Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "winner": "Karen Khachanov", "sets": "3-1", "total_games": 38, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_23.5", "verify": "Karen Khachanov won 3-1 (38 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_23.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T23:56:18" }, { "source": "tennis_sets_goes_to_3_sets_yes", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "market": "GOES_TO_3_SETS_YES", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "tennis_sets_goes_to_3_sets_yes|TENNIS|Karen_Khachanov_vs_Felix_Auger_Aliassime|GOES_TO_3_SETS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes", "projection": 0.615, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Turner Hill", "market": "WALK_1PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.459, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.459, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_bw_walk_1plus_yes|MLB|Turner_Hill|WALK_1PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.4147, "outcome": { "stat": "bb", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Turner Hill \u2014 bb = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_10.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "felix auger-aliassime", "market": "ACES_UNDER_10.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_10_5|TENNIS|felix_auger_aliassime|ACES_UNDER_10_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.645, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_9.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "karen khachanov", "market": "ACES_UNDER_9.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_9_5|TENNIS|karen_khachanov|ACES_UNDER_9_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.645, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_4.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "coco gauff", "market": "ACES_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_4_5|TENNIS|coco_gauff|ACES_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.652, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "paula badosa", "market": "ACES_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.644, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.644, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3_5|TENNIS|paula_badosa|ACES_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.644, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ MIN", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|DET___MIN|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.517, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|NYM___TBR|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.577, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|MIL___CHC|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.585, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.91, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.99, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2244, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jo_Adell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Carter_Jensen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.19, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 8, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 tb = 8 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ian_Happ|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2134, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.593, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Springer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Matt Shaw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Matt_Shaw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.27, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Matt Shaw \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Torrens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Torrens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Torrens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.539, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eduardo Valencia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eduardo_Valencia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.4, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eduardo Valencia \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.513, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyrone Taylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.401, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.401, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyrone_Taylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2929, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyrone Taylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.5, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Turner Hill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Turner_Hill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Turner Hill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jos__Ram_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jo_Adell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Callahan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Callahan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Callahan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jared_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jared Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Myles_Straw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Myles Straw \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Massey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Baty|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Walker Jenkins", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Walker_Jenkins|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Walker Jenkins \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carter Jensen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carter_Jensen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carter Jensen \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Esmerlyn Valdez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Esmerlyn_Valdez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Esmerlyn Valdez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ian_Happ|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ian Happ \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Clark|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Torrens", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Torrens|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Torrens \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.596, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.596, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alex_Bregman|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6803, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|George_Springer|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "DET @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kody_Clemens|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "MIL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Turner Hill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.539, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.539, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Turner_Hill|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Turner Hill \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jo Adell", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "TOR @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jo_Adell|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2415, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jo Adell \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Junior_Caminero|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-02", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "mlb_steal_1plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_plus_steal", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 540, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "NYM @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-02", "pick_id": "mlb_steal_1plus|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_plus_steal|2026-09-02", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-02T21:07:47", "p_calibrated": 0.156, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Munetaka Murakami", "market": "TO_RECORD_HIT_NO", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hit_to_record_hit_no|MLB|Munetaka_Murakami|TO_RECORD_HIT_NO|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7299, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.4558, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "UNDER/NO", "verify": "Munetaka Murakami \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet UNDER/NO) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Holmes vs Modestino Rodrigues", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 296, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "Brandon Holmes vs Modestino Rodrigues", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Brandon_Holmes_vs_Modestino_Rodrigues|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.96, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Brandon Holmes vs Modestino Rodrigues", "winner": "Modestino Rodrigues", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Modestino Rodrigues def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Rivera vs Adam Darby", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 372, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "Patrick Rivera vs Adam Darby", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Patrick_Rivera_vs_Adam_Darby|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.3374, "outcome": { "fight": "Patrick Rivera vs Adam Darby", "winner": "Adam Darby", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Adam Darby def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Liam McCracken vs Silvestre Sanchez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.199, "fair_american": 403, "p_predicted": 0.199, "matchup": "Liam McCracken vs Silvestre Sanchez", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Liam_McCracken_vs_Silvestre_Sanchez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Liam McCracken vs Silvestre Sanchez", "winner": "Silvestre Sanchez", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Silvestre Sanchez def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Livingston vs Hunter Smith", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.198, "fair_american": 405, "p_predicted": 0.198, "matchup": "Adam Livingston vs Hunter Smith", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Adam_Livingston_vs_Hunter_Smith|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Adam Livingston vs Hunter Smith", "winner": "Adam Livingston", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Adam Livingston def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "kylian mbappe", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.607, "fair_american": -155, "p_predicted": 0.607, "matchup": "Internazionale @ Real Madrid", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|UCL|kylian_mbappe|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.607, "outcome": { "final_score": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "federico valverde", "carlos augusto" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid: kylian mbappe did not score \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "LASK Linz @ AEK Athens", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "LASK Linz @ AEK Athens", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|LASK_Linz___AEK_Athens|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "LASK Linz 0-1 AEK Athens", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "razvan marin" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "LASK Linz 0-1 AEK Athens: 4 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Club Brugge", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Club Brugge", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Aston_Villa___Club_Brugge|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 3-2 Club Brugge", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "john mcginn", "hugo vetlesen", "emiliano buend\u00eda", "nicolas jackson", "nicolo tresoldi" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Aston Villa 3-2 Club Brugge: 6 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Villarreal___Borussia_Dortmund|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Villarreal 2-3 Borussia Dortmund", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "santiago mouri\u00f1o", "serhou guirassy", "serhou guirassy" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Villarreal 2-3 Borussia Dortmund: 4 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester City @ FC Porto", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Manchester City @ FC Porto", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Manchester_City___FC_Porto|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester City 2-0 FC Porto", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "erling haaland", "erling haaland" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Manchester City 2-0 FC Porto: 5 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Real Betis @ Lille", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Real Betis @ Lille", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Real_Betis___Lille|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Betis 3-2 Lille", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "ayase ueda", "marc bartra", "alexsandro", "marc bartra", "troy parrott" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Real Betis 3-2 Lille: 5 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Internazionale @ Real Madrid", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Internazionale @ Real Madrid", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Internazionale___Real_Madrid|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "federico valverde", "carlos augusto" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid: 4 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "LASK Linz @ AEK Athens", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "LASK Linz @ AEK Athens", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|LASK_Linz___AEK_Athens|BTTS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "LASK Linz 0-1 AEK Athens", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "razvan marin" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "LASK Linz 0-1 AEK Athens: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Club Brugge", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Club Brugge", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Aston_Villa___Club_Brugge|BTTS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 3-2 Club Brugge", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "john mcginn", "hugo vetlesen", "emiliano buend\u00eda", "nicolas jackson", "nicolo tresoldi" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Aston Villa 3-2 Club Brugge: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Villarreal___Borussia_Dortmund|BTTS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Villarreal 2-3 Borussia Dortmund", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "santiago mouri\u00f1o", "serhou guirassy", "serhou guirassy" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Villarreal 2-3 Borussia Dortmund: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester City @ FC Porto", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Manchester City @ FC Porto", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Manchester_City___FC_Porto|BTTS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester City 2-0 FC Porto", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "erling haaland", "erling haaland" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Manchester City 2-0 FC Porto: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Real Betis @ Lille", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Real Betis @ Lille", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Real_Betis___Lille|BTTS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Betis 3-2 Lille", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "ayase ueda", "marc bartra", "alexsandro", "marc bartra", "troy parrott" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Real Betis 3-2 Lille: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Internazionale @ Real Madrid", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Internazionale @ Real Madrid", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Internazionale___Real_Madrid|BTTS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "federico valverde", "carlos augusto" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T21:15:13" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Karolina Muchova vs Emma Navarro", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Karolina Muchova vs Emma Navarro", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_21_5|TENNIS|Karolina_Muchova_vs_Emma_Navarro|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21_5|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Karolina Muchova vs Emma Navarro", "winner": "Emma Navarro", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 21, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5", "verify": "Emma Navarro won 0-2 (21 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_21.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T23:47:20" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_4.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "karolina muchova", "market": "ACES_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "Karolina Muchova vs Emma Navarro", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_4_5|TENNIS|karolina_muchova|ACES_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.717, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "emma navarro", "market": "ACES_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "Karolina Muchova vs Emma Navarro", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3_5|TENNIS|emma_navarro|ACES_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.709, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HBP_YES", "prob": 0.0923, "fair_american": 984, "p_predicted": 0.0923, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HBP_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.0923, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|NYY___LAA|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.599, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.1906, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 496, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.168, "fair_american": 497, "p_predicted": 0.168, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.131, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2487, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 277, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2008, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.1905, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.444, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.43, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vaughn Grissom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vaughn_Grissom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jordan_Walker|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jazz Chisholm Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "NYY @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jazz_Chisholm_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T00:20:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "market": "OAK_ML", "prob": 0.5919, "edge_pct": 61.58, "fair_american": 173, "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|OAK___SEA|OAK_ML|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.73, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T01:30:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5919, "also_sources": [ "top_25_board" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 7 @ SEA 4", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "ATH @ SEA: final 7-4 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "nba_alts_home_total_over_109.7", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIAMI HEAT @ TORONTO RAPTORS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_109.7", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "MIAMI HEAT @ TORONTO RAPTORS", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "nba_alts_home_total_over_109_7|NBA|MIAMI_HEAT___TORONTO_RAPTORS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_109_7|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T01:30:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8254, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "market": "BOS_ML", "prob": 0.6601, "raw_prob": 0.6811, "edge_pct": 14.6, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___BAL|BOS_ML|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7353, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6601, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 6 @ BAL 5", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "BOS @ BAL: final 6-5 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ LAD", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.5773, "raw_prob": 0.6137, "edge_pct": 10.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___LAD|UNDER_8_0|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58", "p_calibrated": 0.5511, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 2 @ LAD 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "STL @ LAD: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "market": "MIA_ML", "prob": 0.5823, "raw_prob": 0.5958, "edge_pct": 10.2, "fair_american": -112, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___KCR|MIA_ML|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58", "p_calibrated": 0.5823, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 3 @ KC 7", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "MIA @ KC: final 3-7 (total 10 runs) on 2026-09-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "market": "TBR_ML", "prob": 0.6118, "raw_prob": 0.6234, "edge_pct": 8.2, "fair_american": -130, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TBR___TEX|TBR_ML|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T13:12:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6118, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_0|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_0|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_4|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_4|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_6|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_6|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_1|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_1|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolina", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolina", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22_5|TENNIS|Anna_Kalinskaya_vs_Elina_Svitolina|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22_5|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolina", "winner": "Anna Kalinskaya", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 26, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "verify": "Anna Kalinskaya won 2-1 (26 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "elina svitolina", "market": "ACES_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolina", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3_5|TENNIS|elina_svitolina|ACES_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.715, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_2.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "anna kalinskaya", "market": "ACES_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -184, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolina", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_2_5|TENNIS|anna_kalinskaya|ACES_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.647, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.459, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.459, "matchup": "SFG @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|SFG___PIT|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.459, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.486, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.486, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|OAK___SEA|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.486, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "MIA @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|MIA___KCR|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.502, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|TBR___TEX|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-03", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T16:32:05", "p_calibrated": 0.537, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ LAD", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.6449, "raw_prob": 0.7257, "edge_pct": 23.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___LAD|LAD_ML|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T17:40:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6449, "also_sources": [ "sharp_elite" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 2 @ LAD 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "STL @ LAD: final 2-3 (total 5 runs) on 2026-09-03" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Modestas_Bukauskas_vs_Oumar_Sy|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy", "winner": "Modestas Bukauskas", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Modestas Bukauskas def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Michael_Page_vs_Nursulton_Ruziboev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev", "winner": "Michael Page", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Michael Page def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Luis_Felipe_Dias_vs_Matthieu_Letho_Duclo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Lawrence Lui vs Hector Santiago", "winner": "Hector Santiago", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Hector Santiago def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T11:27:11" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.213, "fair_american": 370, "p_predicted": 0.213, "matchup": "Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Punahele_Soriano_vs_Daniil_Donchenko|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3392, "outcome": { "fight": "Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko", "winner": "Daniil Donchenko", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Daniil Donchenko def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Far\u00e9s Ziam vs Axel Sola", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.197, "fair_american": 408, "p_predicted": 0.197, "matchup": "Far\u00e9s Ziam vs Axel Sola", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Far_s_Ziam_vs_Axel_Sola|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.08, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Far\u00e9s Ziam vs Axel Sola", "winner": "Axel Sola", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Axel Sola def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 414, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Dan_Hooker_vs_Salahdine_Parnasse|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.14, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse", "winner": "Salahdine Parnasse", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Salahdine Parnasse def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 439, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Nathaniel_Wood_vs_Pavel_Andrusca|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca", "winner": "Pavel Andrusca", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Pavel Andrusca def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 449, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Muhammad_Naimov_vs_Losene_Keita|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.49, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita", "winner": "Losene Keita", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Losene Keita def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 451, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Trevor_Peek_vs_Kurtis_Campbell|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell", "winner": "Kurtis Campbell", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Kurtis Campbell def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "CHW @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-03", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-03", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T19:01:18", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-03", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44" }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.854, "edge_pct": 48.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-08", "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8251 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8538, "edge_pct": 48.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-08", "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.825 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jackson_Merrill|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-08", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8505, "edge_pct": 47.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-08", "recorded_at": "2026-06-08T12:37:29", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8231 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Luis_Rengifo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Rengifo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8622, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.859, "edge_pct": 49.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Caleb_Durbin|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.857, "edge_pct": 48.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Edouard_Julien|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Edouard Julien", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8565, "edge_pct": 48.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8266 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Geraldo_Perdomo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-09", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Geraldo Perdomo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8545, "edge_pct": 48.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-09", "recorded_at": "2026-06-09T08:00:57", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8254 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8634, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:42:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8629, "edge_pct": 49.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:42:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Sterlin_Thompson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Sterlin Thompson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8612, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T14:08:44", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Caleb_Durbin|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Caleb Durbin", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.861, "edge_pct": 49.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T12:06:20", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kyle_Stowers|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-10", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8643, "edge_pct": 50.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-10", "recorded_at": "2026-06-10T23:29:13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T12:42:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8665, "edge_pct": 50.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-11", "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T12:42:47", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8655, "edge_pct": 50.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-11", "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T12:42:47", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-11T22:42:34", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Kyle_Stowers|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-11", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8643, "edge_pct": 50.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-11", "recorded_at": "2026-06-11T12:42:47", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Logan_O_Hoppe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Logan O'Hoppe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8683, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T05:38:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:17", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8674, "edge_pct": 50.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T05:38:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ryan_Waldschmidt|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Waldschmidt", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8596, "edge_pct": 49.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T05:38:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:17", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Taylor_Trammell|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-12", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8641, "edge_pct": 50.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-12", "recorded_at": "2026-06-12T23:16:02", "settled": true, "result": "lost", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Eugenio_Su_rez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8678, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:29:46", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8657, "edge_pct": 50.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T11:17:17", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-13", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8678, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-13", "recorded_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-14T05:29:46", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Nasim_Nu_ez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Nasim Nu\u00f1ez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8703, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-14", "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T05:29:45", "settled": true, "result": "lost", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8687, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-14", "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T05:29:45", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-16T13:30:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-14", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8682, "edge_pct": 50.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-14", "recorded_at": "2026-06-14T05:29:45", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8711, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T06:27:54", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T22:35:15", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8284 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lawrence_Butler|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8709, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T06:27:54", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Wyatt_Langford|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8666, "edge_pct": 50.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T06:27:54", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:37", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Chandler_Simpson|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-16", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Chandler Simpson", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.862, "edge_pct": 49.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-16", "recorded_at": "2026-06-16T06:27:54", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8723, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:37", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8485 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|David_Hamilton|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "David Hamilton", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8711, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:37", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Rhys_Hoskins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-17", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8699, "edge_pct": 51.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-17", "recorded_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:37", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Rhys_Hoskins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Rhys Hoskins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8722, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-18", "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8468 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Jeff_McNeil|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8705, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-18", "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Travis_Bazzana|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8677, "edge_pct": 50.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-18", "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T05:36:08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:09", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alejandro_Osuna|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-18", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Osuna", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8716, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-18", "recorded_at": "2026-06-18T17:14:53", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Mickey_Gasper|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8722, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-19", "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:28", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8468 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alejandro_Osuna|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-19", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alejandro Osuna", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8716, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-19", "recorded_at": "2026-06-19T05:55:09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Hunter_Feduccia|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Feduccia", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8733, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-20", "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Hao_Yu_Lee|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-20", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8716, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-20", "recorded_at": "2026-06-20T05:07:27", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-20T22:03:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8368 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|J_T__Realmuto|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Realmuto", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8723, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:21", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8485 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Henry_Bolte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-21", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8718, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-21", "recorded_at": "2026-06-21T05:40:31", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-21T22:12:31", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8401 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Derek_Hill|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-22", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Derek Hill", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8634, "edge_pct": 49.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-22", "recorded_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:02", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|George_Springer|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8743, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-23", "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:04", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Francisco_Alvarez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Alvarez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8733, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-23", "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:01", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T11:40:04", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8727, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-23", "recorded_at": "2026-06-23T11:52:01", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-24T16:27:47", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Salvador_Perez|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-23", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8714, "edge_pct": 51.2, "fair_american": 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-25", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.873, "edge_pct": 51.5, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-25", "recorded_at": "2026-06-25T11:30:14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-27T14:26:56", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-27", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8737, "edge_pct": 51.6, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-27", "recorded_at": "2026-06-27T15:34:09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Drew_Gilbert|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8748, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T05:22:41", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:42", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Adrian_Del_Castillo|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Adrian Del Castillo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.874, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T05:22:41", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-06-28", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8726, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-06-28", "recorded_at": "2026-06-28T14:40:22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-06-28T21:53:50", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Josh_Lowe|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-02", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8741, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-02", "recorded_at": "2026-07-02T05:01:51", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 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"source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Jared Triolo", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8755, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-03", "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T08:08:49", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:42", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Freeland|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-03", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Freeland", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.875, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-03", "recorded_at": "2026-07-03T08:08:49", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-04T14:22:57", "_bootstrapped_from": 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"player_or_matchup": "Henry Davis", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8756, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:41", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Cedric_Mullins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Cedric Mullins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8753, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:41", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T10:59:55", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8751, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-04", "recorded_at": "2026-07-04T07:44:41", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T10:59:55", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Austin_Riley|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-04", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": 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"duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Austin_Riley|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Riley", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T10:59:54", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:00:54", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8726, "edge_pct": 51.4, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T10:59:54", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:00:54", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Alex_Bregman|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-05", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8745, "edge_pct": 51.8, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-05", "recorded_at": "2026-07-05T15:25:41", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-05T22:00:54", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8753, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-06", "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:32", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T08:12:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8717, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-06", "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:32", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T08:12:49", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8384 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Isaac_Collins|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-06", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Collins", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8709, "edge_pct": 51.1, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-06", "recorded_at": "2026-07-06T05:08:32", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-07T15:47:36", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8267 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Joey_Ortiz|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Joey Ortiz", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8759, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T08:12:48", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lourdes_Gurriel_Jr_|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lourdes Gurriel Jr.", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8759, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T08:12:48", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Ezequiel_Tovar|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Tovar", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8757, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T08:12:48", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8742, "edge_pct": 51.7, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T08:12:48", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.0456, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Lane_Thomas|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-07", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Lane Thomas", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8717, "edge_pct": 51.3, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-07", "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T08:12:48", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:22", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8384 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Brett_Baty|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-08", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8759, "edge_pct": 52.0, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-08", "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-07-16T07:24:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "pick_id": "lock_of_day|MLB_PP|Noelvi_Marte|PP_batter_hrr_under_3_5|2026-07-08", "source": "lock_of_day", "sport": "MLB-PP", "player_or_matchup": "Noelvi Marte", "market": "PP_batter_hrr_under_3.5", "prob": 0.8752, "edge_pct": 51.9, "fair_american": -136, "date": "2026-07-08", "recorded_at": "2026-07-08T07:27:21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -0.062, "settled_at": "2026-07-10T15:27:33", "_bootstrapped_from": "locks_history", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same-day same-result copy (case-variant market); collapsed to the first copy", "p_calibrated": 0.8535 }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401864497", "player_or_matchup": "UNLV @ HAW", "market": "cfb_model_ml_home", "prob": 0.4495, "p_predicted": 0.6339, "fair_american": 130, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|UNLV___HAW|cfb_model_ml_home|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-03T12:52:57", "p_calibrated": 0.6339, "outcome": { "final_score": "UNLV 21 @ HAW 6", "verify": "UNLV @ HAW: final 21-6 on 2026-09-05 (ESPN event 401864497)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2186, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alika_Williams|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.23, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2141, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.29, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2101, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Henry_Bolte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.285, "fair_american": 251, "p_predicted": 0.285, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.51, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.1982, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.258, "fair_american": 288, "p_predicted": 0.258, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.1948, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brian Serven", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brian_Serven|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Stefanic", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Stefanic|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.52, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elias D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elias_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elias D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Will Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Will_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Will Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Henry_Bolte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.555, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.555, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.86, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Freddie Freeman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "STL @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Freddie_Freeman|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cal Raleigh", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Cal_Raleigh|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cal Raleigh \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_steal_1plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "1_plus_steal", "prob": 0.15, "fair_american": 569, "p_predicted": 0.15, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_steal_1plus|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|1_plus_steal|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T00:09:54", "p_calibrated": 0.15, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "market": "KCR_ML", "prob": 0.6728, "raw_prob": 0.7604, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -118, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___KCR|KCR_ML|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6728, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 9 @ KC 2", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "TOR @ KC: final 9-2 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ CLE", "market": "DET_ML", "prob": 0.5642, "raw_prob": 0.636, "edge_pct": 23.6, "fair_american": 119, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|DET___CLE|DET_ML|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5642, "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 6 @ CLE 7", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "DET @ CLE: final 6-7 (total 13 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6713, "raw_prob": 0.6978, "edge_pct": 18.8, "fair_american": -130, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___SDP|NYY_ML|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6713, "also_sources": [ "rlm_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 2 @ SD 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "NYY @ SD: final 2-3 (total 5 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "market": "ATL_ML", "prob": 0.5824, "raw_prob": 0.6018, "edge_pct": 15.3, "fair_american": -102, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ATL___PHI|ATL_ML|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5824, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 5 @ PHI 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ATL @ PHI: final 5-2 (total 7 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "market": "OVER_7.0", "prob": 0.7801, "edge_pct": 48.93, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|OAK___SEA|OVER_7_0|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 7 @ SEA 6", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "ATH @ SEA: final 7-6 (total 13 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Luis_Felipe_Dias_vs_Matthieu_Letho_Duclo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T13:16:44", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Lawrence Lui vs Hector Santiago", "winner": "Hector Santiago", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Hector Santiago def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T04:37:57", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-05T04:37:57", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_3|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_3|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_7|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_7|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_8|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_8|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_8|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_8|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.451, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.451, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|ATL___PHI|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.451, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|ARI___HOU|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.478, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|BOS___BAL|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.509, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ CLE", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|DET___CLE|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.543, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ COL", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|STL___COL|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.581, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|NYY___SDP|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-04", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.599, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T00:20:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "market": "under_9.5", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_9_5|MLB|TOR___KCR|under_9_5|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T16:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 9 @ KC 2", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "TOR @ KC: final 9-2 (total 11) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ CIN", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.6102, "raw_prob": 0.7755, "edge_pct": 22.0, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___CIN|MIL_ML|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T17:43:08", "p_calibrated": 0.6102, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 10 @ CIN 7", "total_runs": 17, "verify": "MIL @ CIN: final 10-7 (total 17 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.6351, "raw_prob": 0.802, "edge_pct": 21.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|WSN___LAD|LAD_ML|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T17:43:08", "p_calibrated": 0.6351, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 3 @ LAD 5", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "WSH @ LAD: final 3-5 (total 8 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ PIT", "market": "PIT_ML", "prob": 0.6341, "raw_prob": 0.7996, "edge_pct": 21.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___PIT|PIT_ML|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T17:43:08", "p_calibrated": 0.6341, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 0 @ PIT 1", "total_runs": 1, "verify": "LAA @ PIT: final 0-1 (total 1 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6247, "raw_prob": 0.7507, "edge_pct": 19.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___SDP|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T17:43:08", "also_sources": [ "mlb_under_alert" ], "p_calibrated": 0.623, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 2 @ SD 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "NYY @ SD: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 5.54, "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|ATL___PHI|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T17:43:08", "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 5 @ PHI 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ATL @ PHI: final 5-2 (total 7) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.5899, "raw_prob": 0.6353, "edge_pct": 12.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___SDP|UNDER_7_5|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.5782, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 2 @ SD 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "NYY @ SD: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-09-04", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ COL", "market": "STL_ML", "prob": 0.602, "raw_prob": 0.6167, "edge_pct": 10.8, "fair_american": -119, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___COL|STL_ML|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8403, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.602, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 7 @ COL 6", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "STL @ COL: final 7-6 (total 13 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_7.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "market": "over_7.5", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-04", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_over_7_5|MLB|OAK___SEA|over_7_5|2026-09-04", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6944, "recorded_at": "2026-09-04T23:47:20", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 7 @ SEA 6", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "ATH @ SEA: final 7-6 (total 13 runs) on 2026-09-04" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_plus_hit|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_plus_hit|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.384, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.384, "matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brooks_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Walker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.241, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2257, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Clark|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2219, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3039, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.513, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.401, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.401, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Myles_Straw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2929, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Myles Straw \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daulton Varsho", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daulton_Varsho|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daulton Varsho \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eduardo Valencia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eduardo_Valencia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wyatt Langford \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.392, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Evan Carter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Evan_Carter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.12, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Evan Carter \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.12, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kody_Clemens|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T00:10:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Luis_Felipe_Dias_vs_Matthieu_Letho_Duclo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T05:13:03", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "winner": "Matthieu Letho Duclos", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Matthieu Letho Duclos def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-05T17:51:18" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "market": "ARI_ML", "prob": 0.6432, "raw_prob": 0.7259, "edge_pct": 23.9, "fair_american": -108, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___HOU|ARI_ML|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46", "p_calibrated": 0.6432, "also_sources": [ "sharp_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 4 @ HOU 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ARI @ HOU: final 4-3 (total 7 runs) on 2026-09-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.8089, "edge_pct": 54.43, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|ARI___HOU|OVER_8_5|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T12:13:46", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 4 @ HOU 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ARI @ HOU: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "market": "KCR_ML", "prob": 0.6399, "raw_prob": 0.6667, "edge_pct": 20.1, "fair_american": -114, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___KCR|KCR_ML|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6399, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 4 @ KC 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "TOR @ KC: final 4-3 (total 7 runs) on 2026-09-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ SDP", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6049, "raw_prob": 0.6651, "edge_pct": 17.6, "fair_american": -106, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___SDP|NYY_ML|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6049, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 5 @ SD 1", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "NYY @ SD: final 5-1 (total 6 runs) on 2026-09-05" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "erling haaland", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.637, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.637, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|EPL|erling_haaland|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5714, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.637, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 0-1 Manchester City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "erling haaland" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Coventry City 0-1 Manchester City: erling haaland scored \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Fulham", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Fulham", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Fulham|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 3-2 Fulham", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "josh king", "tyrick mitchell", "c\u00e9sar palacios", "tyrick mitchell", "ben chilwell" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Crystal Palace 3-2 Fulham: 0 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Red Bull New York @ Seattle Sounders FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "Red Bull New York @ Seattle Sounders FC", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Red_Bull_New_York___Seattle_Sounders_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Red Bull New York 0-0 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Red Bull New York 0-0 Seattle Sounders FC: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ Real Salt Lake", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "LAFC @ Real Salt Lake", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|LAFC___Real_Salt_Lake|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5263, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 2-2 Real Salt Lake", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "denis bouanga", "saba lobjanidze", "son heung-min", "noel caliskan" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "LAFC 2-2 Real Salt Lake: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Diego FC @ Orlando City SC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.662, "fair_american": -196, "p_predicted": 0.662, "matchup": "San Diego FC @ Orlando City SC", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|San_Diego_FC___Orlando_City_SC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-05", "settled": true, 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"total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "danley jean jacques", "cavan sullivan" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "CF Montr\u00e9al 0-2 Philadelphia Union: 8 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ FC Dallas", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.662, "fair_american": -196, "p_predicted": 0.662, "matchup": "Sporting Kansas City @ FC Dallas", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Sporting_Kansas_City___FC_Dallas|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5102, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sporting Kansas City 3-4 FC Dallas", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 7, "scorers": [ "taylor calheira", "stephen afrifa", "logan farrington", "petar musa", "kaick", "taylor calheira", "petar musa" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Sporting Kansas City 3-4 FC Dallas: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Inter Miami CF", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.685, "fair_american": -218, "p_predicted": 0.685, "matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Inter_Miami_CF|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 2-2 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 9, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "casemiro", "miguel almir\u00f3n", "luis su\u00e1rez", "breel embolo" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Atlanta United FC 2-2 Inter Miami CF: 9 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ Charlotte FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -233, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ Charlotte FC", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Houston_Dynamo_FC___Charlotte_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Houston Dynamo FC 0-0 Charlotte FC", "total_cards": 9, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Houston Dynamo FC 0-0 Charlotte FC: 9 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Minnesota_United_FC___Portland_Timbers|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4167, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Minnesota United FC 4-5 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 9, "scorers": [ "vincent janssen", "vincent janssen", "marcus caldeira", "anthony markanich", "marcus caldeira", "vincent janssen", "kristoffer velde", "tom\u00e1s chancalay" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Minnesota United FC 4-5 Portland Timbers: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "D.C. United @ FC Cincinnati", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "D.C. 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"scorers": [ "beau leroux", "guilherme biro" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Austin FC: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Sunderland @ Brentford", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.626, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.626, "matchup": "Sunderland @ Brentford", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Sunderland___Brentford|BTTS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5988, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5761, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sunderland 1-1 Brentford", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "vitaly janelt", "enzo le f\u00e9e" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Sunderland 1-1 Brentford: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.626, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.626, "matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Tottenham_Hotspur___Nottingham_Forest|BTTS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5761, "outcome": { "final_score": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Nottingham Forest: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Fulham", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Fulham", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Fulham|BTTS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 3-2 Fulham", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "josh king", "tyrick mitchell", "c\u00e9sar palacios", "tyrick mitchell", "ben chilwell" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Crystal Palace 3-2 Fulham: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Newcastle United", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "AFC Bournemouth @ Newcastle United", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|AFC_Bournemouth___Newcastle_United|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": 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"soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Coventry City @ Manchester City", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Coventry_City___Manchester_City|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 0-1 Manchester City", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "erling haaland" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Coventry City 0-1 Manchester City: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": 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United @ FC Cincinnati", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "D.C. 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"soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Sunderland___Brentford|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2907, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sunderland 1-1 Brentford", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "vitaly janelt", "enzo le f\u00e9e" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Sunderland 1-1 Brentford: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Leeds United @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "Leeds United @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Leeds_United___Brighton___Hove_Albion|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"Coventry City 0-1 Manchester City: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Tottenham_Hotspur___Nottingham_Forest|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Nottingham Forest: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Hull City", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Hull City", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Aston_Villa___Hull_City|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7042, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 0-0 Hull City", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Aston Villa 0-0 Hull City: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ Charlotte FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ Charlotte FC", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Houston_Dynamo_FC___Charlotte_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Houston Dynamo FC 0-0 Charlotte FC", "total_cards": 9, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Houston Dynamo FC 0-0 Charlotte FC: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Colorado Rapids @ Columbus Crew", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.755, "fair_american": -308, "p_predicted": 0.755, "matchup": "Colorado Rapids @ Columbus Crew", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Colorado_Rapids___Columbus_Crew|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Colorado Rapids 0-3 Columbus Crew", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "santiago rodr\u00edguez", "gonzalo tapia", "taha habroune" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Colorado Rapids 0-3 Columbus Crew: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "D.C. United @ FC Cincinnati", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.731, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.731, "matchup": "D.C. United @ FC Cincinnati", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|D_C__United___FC_Cincinnati|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6746, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Inter Miami CF", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Inter_Miami_CF|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3584, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7134, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 2-2 Inter 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}, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Toronto FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -316, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Toronto FC", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Chicago_Fire_FC___Toronto_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3165, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chicago Fire FC 4-4 Toronto FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "maren haile-selassie", "josh sargent", "josh sargent", "josh sargent", "maren haile-selassie", "robert lewandowski", "derrick etienne jr." ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Chicago Fire FC 4-4 Toronto FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": 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United FC 4-5 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 9, "scorers": [ "vincent janssen", "vincent janssen", "marcus caldeira", "anthony markanich", "marcus caldeira", "vincent janssen", "kristoffer velde", "tom\u00e1s chancalay" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Minnesota United FC 4-5 Portland Timbers: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|St__Louis_CITY_SC___Vancouver_Whitecaps|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3731, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6528, "outcome": { "final_score": "St. Louis CITY SC 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "emmanuel sabbi", "simon becher", "tomas totland", "conrad wallem" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "St. Louis CITY SC 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_0|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_0|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_9|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_9|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_0|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_0|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Daniil Medvedev", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Daniil Medvedev", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Frances_Tiafoe_vs_Daniil_Medvedev|ML_PLAYER2|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.715, "outcome": { "match": "Frances Tiafoe vs Daniil Medvedev", "winner": "Frances Tiafoe", "sets": "3-0", "total_games": 36, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Frances Tiafoe won 3-0 (36 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskaya", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskaya", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Emma_Navarro_vs_Anna_Kalinskaya|ML_PLAYER1|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5952, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.627, "outcome": { "match": "Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskaya", "winner": "Emma Navarro", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 18, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Emma Navarro won 2-0 (18 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_16.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_16_5|TENNIS|Carlos_Alcaraz_vs_Tommy_Paul|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", 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"total_games": 36, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "verify": "Frances Tiafoe won 3-0 (36 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskaya", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskaya", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17_5|TENNIS|Emma_Navarro_vs_Anna_Kalinskaya|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17_5|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskaya", "winner": "Emma Navarro", "sets": "2-0", "total_games": 18, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "verify": "Emma Navarro won 2-0 (18 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ben Shelton", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ben Shelton", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22_5|TENNIS|Stefanos_Tsitsipas_vs_Ben_Shelton|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22_5|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ben Shelton", "winner": "Ben Shelton", "sets": "0-3", "total_games": 27, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "verify": "Ben Shelton won 0-3 (27 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "tennis_sets_goes_to_3_sets_yes", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ben Shelton", "market": "GOES_TO_3_SETS_YES", "prob": 0.498, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.498, "matchup": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ben Shelton", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_sets_goes_to_3_sets_yes|TENNIS|Stefanos_Tsitsipas_vs_Ben_Shelton|GOES_TO_3_SETS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.498, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_12.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "ben shelton", "market": "ACES_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ben Shelton", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_12_5|TENNIS|ben_shelton|ACES_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_7.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "frances tiafoe", "market": "ACES_UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Daniil Medvedev", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_7_5|TENNIS|frances_tiafoe|ACES_UNDER_7_5|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.696, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_6.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "stefanos tsitsipas", "market": "ACES_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ben Shelton", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_6_5|TENNIS|stefanos_tsitsipas|ACES_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.649, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_6.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "daniil medvedev", "market": "ACES_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "Frances Tiafoe vs Daniil Medvedev", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_6_5|TENNIS|daniil_medvedev|ACES_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.652, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_6.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "carlos alcaraz", "market": "ACES_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -233, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_6_5|TENNIS|carlos_alcaraz|ACES_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_6.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "tommy paul", "market": "ACES_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -233, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_6_5|TENNIS|tommy_paul|ACES_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|WSN___LAD|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.524, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|OAK___SEA|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-05", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T15:19:48", "p_calibrated": 0.591, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Fulham", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Fulham", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Fulham|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 3-2 Fulham", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "josh king", "tyrick mitchell", "c\u00e9sar palacios", "tyrick mitchell", "ben chilwell" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Crystal Palace 3-2 Fulham: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2219, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.315, "fair_american": 217, "p_predicted": 0.315, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alika_Williams|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2173, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.31, "fair_american": 223, "p_predicted": 0.31, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.23, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2141, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Henry_Bolte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Troy_Johnston|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2069, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.24, "fair_american": 317, "p_predicted": 0.24, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brady_House|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1793, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tommy_Edman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.18, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Keibert Ruiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Keibert_Ruiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.2, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Keibert Ruiz \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.2, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Connor_Norby|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Call", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alex_Call|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Call \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brady_House|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Henry_Bolte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.88, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "OAK @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-05", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Mookie_Betts|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-05", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-05T23:58:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-05", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T12:37:34" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.295, "fair_american": 239, "p_predicted": 0.295, "matchup": "Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Modestas_Bukauskas_vs_Oumar_Sy|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy", "winner": "Modestas Bukauskas", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Modestas Bukauskas def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:30", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Michael_Page_vs_Nursulton_Ruziboev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev", "winner": "Michael Page", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Michael Page def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:30", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Luis_Felipe_Dias_vs_Matthieu_Letho_Duclo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.02, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "winner": "Matthieu Letho Duclos", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Matthieu Letho Duclos def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:30", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.213, "fair_american": 370, "p_predicted": 0.213, "matchup": "Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Punahele_Soriano_vs_Daniil_Donchenko|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3392, "outcome": { "fight": "Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko", "winner": "Daniil Donchenko", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Daniil Donchenko def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:30", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Far\u00e9s Ziam vs Axel Sola", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.197, "fair_american": 408, "p_predicted": 0.197, "matchup": "Far\u00e9s Ziam vs Axel Sola", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Far_s_Ziam_vs_Axel_Sola|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.08, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Far\u00e9s Ziam vs Axel Sola", "winner": "Axel Sola", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Axel Sola def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:30", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.195, "fair_american": 414, "p_predicted": 0.195, "matchup": "Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Dan_Hooker_vs_Salahdine_Parnasse|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.14, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse", "winner": "Salahdine Parnasse", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Salahdine Parnasse def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:30", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 439, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Nathaniel_Wood_vs_Pavel_Andrusca|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca", "winner": "Pavel Andrusca", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Pavel Andrusca def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:30", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 449, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Muhammad_Naimov_vs_Losene_Keita|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.49, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita", "winner": "Losene Keita", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Losene Keita def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:30", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 451, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Trevor_Peek_vs_Kurtis_Campbell|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T01:15:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell", "winner": "Kurtis Campbell", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Kurtis Campbell def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:30", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Choi Jeong", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7322, "raw_prob": 0.8813, "edge_pct": 39.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Choi_Jeong|one_plus_tb|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7322, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Pirela", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7294, "raw_prob": 0.8761, "edge_pct": 39.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Jose_Pirela|one_plus_tb|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7294, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Koo Ja-wook", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7273, "raw_prob": 0.8724, "edge_pct": 38.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Koo_Ja_wook|one_plus_tb|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7273, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Mel Rojas Jr.", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7256, "raw_prob": 0.8692, "edge_pct": 38.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Mel_Rojas_Jr_|one_plus_tb|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7256, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Dean", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7256, "raw_prob": 0.8692, "edge_pct": 38.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Austin_Dean|one_plus_tb|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7256, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Choi Hyung-woo", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7242, "raw_prob": 0.8668, "edge_pct": 38.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Choi_Hyung_woo|one_plus_tb|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "p_calibrated": 0.7242, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Montreal_Canadiens___Toronto_Maple_Leafs|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto Maple Leafs @ Montreal Canadiens", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Toronto Maple Leafs @ Montreal Canadiens", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Toronto_Maple_Leafs___Montreal_Canadiens|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Dallas Stars @ St. Louis Blues", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Dallas Stars @ St. Louis Blues", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Dallas_Stars___St__Louis_Blues|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Winnipeg Jets @ Edmonton Oilers", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Winnipeg Jets @ Edmonton Oilers", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Winnipeg_Jets___Edmonton_Oilers|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Chicago Blackhawks @ Minnesota Wild", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Chicago Blackhawks @ Minnesota Wild", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Chicago_Blackhawks___Minnesota_Wild|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Vegas Golden Knights @ Los Angeles Kings", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Vegas Golden Knights @ Los Angeles Kings", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Vegas_Golden_Knights___Los_Angeles_Kings|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T04:48:33", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Vancouver Canucks @ Seattle Kraken", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 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Bull New York 0-2 LAFC: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "St. Louis CITY SC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|St__Louis_CITY_SC___Portland_Timbers|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3559, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.732, "outcome": { "final_score": "St. Louis CITY SC 2-2 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "rafael navarro", "kristoffer velde", "rafael navarro", "kristoffer velde" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "St. Louis CITY SC 2-2 Portland Timbers: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Jose Earthquakes @ San Diego FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "San Jose Earthquakes @ San Diego FC", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|San_Jose_Earthquakes___San_Diego_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3413, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 San Diego FC", "total_cards": 10, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "niko tsakiris", "preston judd", "ousseni bouda", "anders dreyer", "c\u00e9dric bakambu" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 San Diego FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LA Galaxy @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -263, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "LA Galaxy @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|LA_Galaxy___Vancouver_Whitecaps|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6288, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA Galaxy 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "brian white", "ryan gauld", "bruno caicedo" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "LA Galaxy 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_6|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_6|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_3|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_3|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_4|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_4|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.467, "fair_american": 114, "p_predicted": 0.467, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|SFG___NYM|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.467, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.479, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.479, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|TOR___KCR|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T15:32:29", "p_calibrated": 0.479, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "market": "BOS_ML", "prob": 0.639, "raw_prob": 0.6561, "edge_pct": 12.0, "fair_american": -133, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___BAL|BOS_ML|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7519, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T16:59:21", "p_calibrated": 0.639, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 3 @ BAL 1", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "BOS @ BAL: final 3-1 (total 4 runs) on 2026-09-06" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ CHW", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.6546, "raw_prob": 0.6687, "edge_pct": 9.4, "fair_american": -149, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___CHW|CHW_ML|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T16:59:21", "p_calibrated": 0.6546, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 1 @ CHW 10", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "MIN @ CHW: final 1-10 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-06" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T16:59:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T16:59:21", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Chelsea @ Arsenal", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Chelsea @ Arsenal", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Chelsea___Arsenal|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chelsea 1-2 Arsenal", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "morgan rogers", "kai havertz", "martin \u00f8degaard" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Chelsea 1-2 Arsenal: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T06:05:10" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester United @ Everton", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.626, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.626, "matchup": "Manchester United @ Everton", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Manchester_United___Everton|BTTS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5988, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5761, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester United 2-2 Everton", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "bryan mbeumo", "tyrique george", "benjamin sesko", "ainsley maitland-niles" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Manchester United 2-2 Everton: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T06:05:10" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Chelsea @ Arsenal", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Chelsea @ Arsenal", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Chelsea___Arsenal|BTTS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chelsea 1-2 Arsenal", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "morgan rogers", "kai havertz", "martin \u00f8degaard" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Chelsea 1-2 Arsenal: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T06:05:10" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester United @ Everton", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Manchester United @ Everton", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Manchester_United___Everton|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester United 2-2 Everton", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "bryan mbeumo", "tyrique george", "benjamin sesko", "ainsley maitland-niles" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Manchester United 2-2 Everton: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T06:05:10" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester United @ Everton", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "Manchester United @ Everton", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Manchester_United___Everton|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2907, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester United 2-2 Everton", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "bryan mbeumo", "tyrique george", "benjamin sesko", "ainsley maitland-niles" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Manchester United 2-2 Everton: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T06:05:10" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Chelsea @ Arsenal", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Chelsea @ Arsenal", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Chelsea___Arsenal|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chelsea 1-2 Arsenal", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "morgan rogers", "kai havertz", "martin \u00f8degaard" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Chelsea 1-2 Arsenal: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T06:05:10" }, { "source": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "HBP_YES", "prob": 0.0984, "fair_american": 916, "p_predicted": 0.0984, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|HBP_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.0984, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.393, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.393, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Torrens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Torrens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Torrens \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Smith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.81, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Troy_Johnston|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "LAA @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.99, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Roman_Anthony|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "LAA @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cam_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adael_Amador|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Roman_Anthony|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.558, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Vilade", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Vilade|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Vilade \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.551, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Clark|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Conforto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Conforto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Conforto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elias D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elias_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elias D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.51, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.504, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2918, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.501, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Graham Pauley", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.394, "fair_american": 154, "p_predicted": 0.394, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Graham_Pauley|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Graham Pauley \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.58, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "LAA @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vinnie Pasquantino", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vinnie_Pasquantino|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vinnie Pasquantino \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Torrens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Torrens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Torrens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.441, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sean Murphy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sean_Murphy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sean Murphy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Grant McCray", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Grant_McCray|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Grant McCray \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "ARI @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Sogard", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Sogard|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Sogard \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.96, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Riley_Greene|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mark Vientos", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mark_Vientos|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mark Vientos \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eli White", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eli_White|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eli White \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Frazier", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "LAA @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adam_Frazier|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adam Frazier \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Story", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Story|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Story \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Patrick Bailey", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Patrick_Bailey|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Patrick Bailey \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jes_s_S_nchez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jes\u00fas S\u00e1nchez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "BOS @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colton_Cowser|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Sullivan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "STL @ COL", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brett_Sullivan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Sullivan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Valenzuela", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Valenzuela|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Valenzuela \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonah_Cox|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "SFG @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jonah_Cox|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Pete_Crow_Armstrong|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7299, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Crow-Armstrong \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ezequiel Duran", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "TBR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ezequiel_Duran|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ezequiel Duran \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alex_Bregman|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ian Happ", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ian_Happ|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.76, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "DET @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "CHC @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.74, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "TOR @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-06", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Smith|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-06", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-06T17:56:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2472, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-06", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.294, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.294, "matchup": "Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Modestas_Bukauskas_vs_Oumar_Sy|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy", "winner": "Modestas Bukauskas", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Modestas Bukauskas def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 296, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Michael_Page_vs_Nursulton_Ruziboev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev", "winner": "Michael Page", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Michael Page def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 301, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Luis_Felipe_Dias_vs_Matthieu_Letho_Duclo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.01, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Letho Duclos", "winner": "Matthieu Letho Duclos", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Matthieu Letho Duclos def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 372, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Punahele_Soriano_vs_Daniil_Donchenko|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3374, "outcome": { "fight": "Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko", "winner": "Daniil Donchenko", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Daniil Donchenko def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Far\u00e9s Ziam vs Axel Sola", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.196, "fair_american": 410, "p_predicted": 0.196, "matchup": "Far\u00e9s Ziam vs Axel Sola", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Far_s_Ziam_vs_Axel_Sola|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.1, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Far\u00e9s Ziam vs Axel Sola", "winner": "Axel Sola", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Axel Sola def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.194, "fair_american": 415, "p_predicted": 0.194, "matchup": "Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Dan_Hooker_vs_Salahdine_Parnasse|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.15, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse", "winner": "Salahdine Parnasse", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Salahdine Parnasse def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.185, "fair_american": 441, "p_predicted": 0.185, "matchup": "Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Nathaniel_Wood_vs_Pavel_Andrusca|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca", "winner": "Pavel Andrusca", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Pavel Andrusca def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.181, "fair_american": 452, "p_predicted": 0.181, "matchup": "Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Muhammad_Naimov_vs_Losene_Keita|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.52, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita", "winner": "Losene Keita", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Losene Keita def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 454, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Trevor_Peek_vs_Kurtis_Campbell|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell", "winner": "Kurtis Campbell", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Kurtis Campbell def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-07T12:44:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.239, "fair_american": 318, "p_predicted": 0.239, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tommy_Edman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Will Smith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.232, "fair_american": 331, "p_predicted": 0.232, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Will_Smith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Will Smith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.485, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Will Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Will_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Will Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "WSN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T00:00:40", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_2|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_2|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T01:10:41", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_dd_double_double_no", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "scottie barnes", "market": "DOUBLE_DOUBLE_NO", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "nba_dd_double_double_no|NBA|scottie_barnes|DOUBLE_DOUBLE_NO|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T01:10:41", "p_calibrated": 0.693, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_118.5", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIA (MIA @ TOR)", "market": "TEAM_PTS_UNDER_118.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_118_5|NBA|MIA__MIA___TOR_|TEAM_PTS_UNDER_118_5|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T01:10:41", "p_calibrated": 0.671, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_115.5", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR (MIA @ TOR)", "market": "TEAM_PTS_UNDER_115.5", "prob": 0.657, "fair_american": -192, "p_predicted": 0.657, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_115_5|NBA|TOR__MIA___TOR_|TEAM_PTS_UNDER_115_5|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T01:10:41", "p_calibrated": 0.657, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "market": "MIA_ML", "prob": 0.6622, "raw_prob": 0.686, "edge_pct": 16.8, "fair_american": -131, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___MIA|MIA_ML|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.6622, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 9 @ MIA 4", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "NYM @ MIA: final 9-4 (total 13 runs) on 2026-09-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "market": "ARI_ML", "prob": 0.5875, "raw_prob": 0.6051, "edge_pct": 13.6, "fair_american": -107, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___KCR|ARI_ML|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9346, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.5875, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 5 @ KC 4", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "ARI @ KC: final 5-4 (total 9 runs) on 2026-09-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ MIL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.7697, "edge_pct": 46.94, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|CHC___MIL|OVER_8_5|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T14:40:16", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 3 @ MIL 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CHC @ MIL: final 3-4 (total 7) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_9|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_9|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_9|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_9|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_8|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_8|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_3|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_3|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_5|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_5|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_16.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_16_5|TENNIS|Carlos_Alcaraz_vs_Ben_Shelton|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton", "winner": "Ben Shelton", "sets": "2-3", "total_games": 49, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16.5", "verify": "Ben Shelton won 2-3 (49 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_16.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T13:19:12" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_22_5|TENNIS|Emma_Navarro_vs_Jessica_Pegula|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22_5|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula", "winner": "Jessica Pegula", "sets": "1-2", "total_games": 28, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5", "verify": "Jessica Pegula won 1-2 (28 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_22.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "jessica pegula", "market": "ACES_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3_5|TENNIS|jessica_pegula|ACES_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.651, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.476, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.476, "matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|CLE___BAL|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.476, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ SFG", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.493, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.493, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|STL___SFG|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.493, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.495, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.495, "matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|ARI___KCR|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.495, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|ATL___PHI|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.514, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.536, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.536, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|CIN___LAD|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.536, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Harper|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Baty", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Baty|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Baty \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bo_Bichette|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2558, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.241, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Roman_Anthony|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.38, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 255, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eli White", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.273, "fair_american": 266, "p_predicted": 0.273, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eli_White|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eli White \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Coby_Mayo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.79, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 8, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 tb = 8 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1896, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Lawlar", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 298, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jordan_Lawlar|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1888, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Lawlar \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1879, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1879, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Story", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.242, "fair_american": 313, "p_predicted": 0.242, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Story|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.181, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Story \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.231, "fair_american": 333, "p_predicted": 0.231, "matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Pete Alonso", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.229, "fair_american": 337, "p_predicted": 0.229, "matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Pete_Alonso|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Pete Alonso \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.22, "fair_american": 355, "p_predicted": 0.22, "matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Roman_Anthony|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bo Bichette", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bo_Bichette|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bo Bichette \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Christian_Encarnacion_Strand|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Encarnacion-Strand \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eli White", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eli_White|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eli White \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Graham Pauley", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Graham_Pauley|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Graham Pauley \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Francisco Lindor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.403, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Beavers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Beavers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Beavers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Story", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Story|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Story \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "ATL @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T09:43:35", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_steal_1plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_plus_steal", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 540, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_steal_1plus|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_plus_steal|2026-09-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T18:46:19", "p_calibrated": 0.156, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "STL @ SFG", "market": "SFG_ML", "prob": 0.6105, "raw_prob": 0.6209, "edge_pct": 7.3, "fair_american": -132, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|STL___SFG|SFG_ML|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7576, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.6105, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 4 @ SF 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "STL @ SF: final 4-5 (total 9 runs) on 2026-09-07" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Quentin_Pasley_vs_Arlind_Berisha|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.24, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha", "winner": "Quentin Pasley", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Quentin Pasley def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Echols vs Martin Koz\u00e1k", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "Christian Echols vs Martin Koz\u00e1k", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Christian_Echols_vs_Martin_Koz_k|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Christian Echols vs Martin Koz\u00e1k", "winner": "Martin Koz\u00e1k", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Martin Koz\u00e1k def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.22, "fair_american": 354, "p_predicted": 0.22, "matchup": "Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Isaac_Moreno_vs_Reginaldo_Junior|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.3524, "outcome": { "fight": "Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior", "winner": "Isaac Moreno", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Isaac Moreno def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2257, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.48, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kaelen Culpepper", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.23, "fair_american": 335, "p_predicted": 0.23, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kaelen_Culpepper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kaelen Culpepper \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brooks_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.545, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.42, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.42, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Riley_Greene|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.38, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2977, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.538, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.416, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.416, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Clark|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2961, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luke Keaschall", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luke_Keaschall|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luke Keaschall \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brooks Lee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-07", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Brooks_Lee|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-07", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-07T19:31:56", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brooks Lee \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-07", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "market": "UNDER_9.5", "prob": 0.5625, "raw_prob": 0.5872, "edge_pct": 7.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___OAK|UNDER_9_5|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 4 @ ATH 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "TOR @ ATH: final 4-2 (total 6 runs) on 2026-09-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Bateman", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Bateman|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Bateman \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.465, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.465, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_8.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "market": "under_8.5", "prob": 0.583, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.583, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_game_total_game_total_under_8_5|MLB|TOR___OAK|under_8_5|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7143, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:03:33", "p_calibrated": 0.5634, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 4 @ ATH 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "TOR @ ATH: final 4-2 (total 6 runs) on 2026-09-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ SDP", "market": "WSN_ML", "prob": 0.5348, "edge_pct": 37.45, "fair_american": 157, "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|WSN___SDP|WSN_ML|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5348, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 4 @ SD 5", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "WSH @ SD: final 4-5 (total 9 runs) on 2026-09-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mac jones", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|mac_jones|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7182, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenny gainwell", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kenny_gainwell|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.25, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7556, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 15, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kenny gainwell \u2014 rush_yds = 15 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler shough", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|tyler_shough|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7182, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 410, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler shough \u2014 pass_yds = 410 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|lamar_jackson|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.25, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7556, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 40, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 rush_yds = 40 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "harold fannin", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|harold_fannin|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7739, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaleel mclaughlin", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jaleel_mclaughlin|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7556, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrod taylor", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|tyrod_taylor|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bo nix", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|bo_nix|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin fields", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|justin_fields|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7556, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam darnold", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_299.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -398, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|sam_darnold|PASS_YDS_UNDER_299_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7179, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew stafford", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_199.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -398, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|matthew_stafford|PASS_YDS_OVER_199_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.799, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "deebo samuel", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -399, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|deebo_samuel|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler shough", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -399, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|tyler_shough|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.799, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 35, "line": 25.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler shough \u2014 pass_cmp = 35 (line 25.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tony pollard", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_89.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -399, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|tony_pollard|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_89_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2506, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7554, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 35, "line": 89.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tony pollard \u2014 rush_yds = 35 (line 89.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jerry jeudy", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -399, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jerry_jeudy|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2506, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jerry jeudy \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -398, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|justin_herbert|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2513, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.799, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 17, "line": 25.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 pass_cmp = 17 (line 25.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "noah fant", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|noah_fant|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "noah fant \u2014 rec = 4 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chimere dike", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|chimere_dike|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2525, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 7, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chimere dike \u2014 rec_yds = 7 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler warren", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -395, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tyler_warren|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2532, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 9, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler warren \u2014 longest_reception = 9 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devonta smith", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -395, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|devonta_smith|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2532, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7734, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "devonta smith \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quentin johnston", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -395, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|quentin_johnston|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2532, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 9, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "quentin johnston \u2014 longest_reception = 9 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dak prescott", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|dak_prescott|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.798, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|patrick_mahomes|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.798, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam darnold", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -393, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|sam_darnold|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7806, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "baker mayfield", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -393, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|baker_mayfield|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2545, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7806, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "baker mayfield \u2014 pass_td = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "audric estime", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -393, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|audric_estime|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8571, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rico dowdle", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -393, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rico_dowdle|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2545, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rico dowdle \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bryce young", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -394, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bryce_young|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2538, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8571, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 7, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bryce young \u2014 longest_rush = 7 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jerry jeudy", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -393, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jerry_jeudy|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2545, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 26, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jerry jeudy \u2014 rec_yds = 26 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tank bigsby", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -393, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tank_bigsby|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2545, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8571, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 3, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tank bigsby \u2014 longest_rush = 3 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jeremy mcnichols", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -393, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jeremy_mcnichols|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.796, "fair_american": -391, "p_predicted": 0.796, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|lamar_jackson|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2558, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.796, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 17, "line": 25.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 pass_cmp = 17 (line 25.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "austin hooper", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.796, "fair_american": -391, "p_predicted": 0.796, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|austin_hooper|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "woody marks", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.796, "fair_american": -390, "p_predicted": 0.796, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|woody_marks|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2564, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "woody marks \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tucker kraft", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.796, "fair_american": -391, "p_predicted": 0.796, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tucker_kraft|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2558, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 30, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tucker kraft \u2014 longest_reception = 30 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jj mccarthy", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.796, "fair_american": -391, "p_predicted": 0.796, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jj_mccarthy|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.796, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -388, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jalen_hurts|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2577, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7546, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 46, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 rush_yds = 46 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "courtland sutton", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -389, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|courtland_sutton|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7726, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "treylon burks", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -387, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|treylon_burks|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luke mccaffrey", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -387, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|luke_mccaffrey|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashid shaheed", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -384, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|rashid_shaheed|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "romeo doubs", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -384, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|romeo_doubs|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tee higgins", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -384, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tee_higgins|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2604, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 29, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tee higgins \u2014 longest_reception = 29 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonathan taylor", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -383, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jonathan_taylor|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2611, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.793, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 98, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jonathan taylor \u2014 rush_yds = 98 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dk metcalf", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -383, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dk_metcalf|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2611, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 14, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dk metcalf \u2014 longest_reception = 14 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dontayvion wicks", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -383, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dontayvion_wicks|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 73, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dontayvion wicks \u2014 rec_yds = 73 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -383, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|javonte_williams|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenneth walker", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -383, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kenneth_walker|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7542, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyren williams", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -381, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kyren_williams|RUSH_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.792, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike evans", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -382, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mike_evans|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam laporta", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -382, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|sam_laporta|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2618, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 48, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "sam laporta \u2014 rec_yds = 48 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell washington", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -382, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|darnell_washington|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2618, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 18, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "darnell washington \u2014 rec_yds = 18 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tetairoa mcmillan", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -382, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tetairoa_mcmillan|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2618, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 21, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tetairoa mcmillan \u2014 longest_reception = 21 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "parker washington", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -382, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|parker_washington|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 83, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "parker washington \u2014 rec_yds = 83 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cj stroud", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -382, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|cj_stroud|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.792, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rachaad white", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -382, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|rachaad_white|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2618, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8564, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 9, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rachaad white \u2014 longest_rush = 9 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin austin", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -381, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|calvin_austin|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "evan engram", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -382, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|evan_engram|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin fields", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -381, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|justin_fields|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.792, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "romeo doubs", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -380, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|romeo_doubs|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9063, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam ward", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_224.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -380, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|cam_ward|PASS_YDS_UNDER_224_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2632, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7157, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 140, "line": 224.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cam ward \u2014 pass_yds = 140 (line 224.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jakobi meyers", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -378, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jakobi_meyers|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2646, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 6.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jakobi meyers \u2014 rec = 2 (line 6.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin jefferson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -378, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|justin_jefferson|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2646, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.791, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 39, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "justin jefferson \u2014 longest_reception = 39 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -378, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jalen_hurts|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2646, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7157, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 203, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 pass_yds = 203 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jake ferguson", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -378, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jake_ferguson|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj barner", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -377, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|aj_barner|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hunter henry", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -376, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|hunter_henry|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9033, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mack hollins", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -376, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mack_hollins|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin ridley", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -377, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|calvin_ridley|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9033, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mark andrews", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -377, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mark_andrews|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2653, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9033, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 17, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mark andrews \u2014 longest_reception = 17 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -376, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|lamar_jackson|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7155, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 324, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 pass_yds = 324 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael pittman", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -377, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|michael_pittman|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "shedeur sanders", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -376, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|shedeur_sanders|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8561, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "terry mclaurin", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -377, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|terry_mclaurin|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2653, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9033, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 8, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "terry mclaurin \u2014 longest_reception = 8 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|davante_adams|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keenan allen", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|keenan_allen|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2674, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 6.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "keenan allen \u2014 rec = 6 (line 6.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "daniel jones", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|daniel_jones|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2674, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7152, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 166, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "daniel jones \u2014 pass_yds = 166 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rico dowdle", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|rico_dowdle|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.789, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 6, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "rico dowdle \u2014 longest_rush = 6 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darren waller", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -375, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|darren_waller|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2667, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.9003, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 17, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "darren waller \u2014 longest_reception = 17 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen wright", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jaylen_wright|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2674, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.856, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": -1, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen wright \u2014 longest_rush = -1 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew golden", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -375, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|matthew_golden|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 95, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "matthew golden \u2014 rec_yds = 95 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrod taylor", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tyrod_taylor|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.856, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jalen_hurts|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7783, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 pass_td = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emanuel wilson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -373, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|emanuel_wilson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8558, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam laporta", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -373, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|sam_laporta|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2681, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8974, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 19, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "sam laporta \u2014 longest_reception = 19 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh downs", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|josh_downs|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2688, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 37, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "josh downs \u2014 rec_yds = 37 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chuba hubbard", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|chuba_hubbard|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2688, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7533, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 49, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chuba hubbard \u2014 rush_yds = 49 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "harold fannin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -373, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|harold_fannin|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|josh_allen|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2688, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.788, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 20, "line": 25.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "josh allen \u2014 pass_cmp = 20 (line 25.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "khalil shakir", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -373, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|khalil_shakir|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2681, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7708, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "khalil shakir \u2014 rec = 4 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael mayer", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|michael_mayer|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2688, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8974, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 14, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael mayer \u2014 longest_reception = 14 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marcus mariota", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -373, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|marcus_mariota|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7781, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|cam_skattebo|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8974, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin austin", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -373, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|calvin_austin|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8974, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "breece hall", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -369, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|breece_hall|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.271, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8944, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 8, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "breece hall \u2014 longest_reception = 8 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mason taylor", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -369, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mason_taylor|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.271, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8944, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 6, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mason taylor \u2014 longest_reception = 6 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rico dowdle", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|rico_dowdle|RUSH_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.787, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 15, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "rico dowdle \u2014 rush_yds = 15 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier legette", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -369, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|xavier_legette|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.271, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 0, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier legette \u2014 rec_yds = 0 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen waddle", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jaylen_waddle|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8098, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chase brown", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chase_brown|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8083, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chase brown \u2014 rec = 5 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike gesicki", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mike_gesicki|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 78, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mike gesicki \u2014 rec_yds = 78 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "amonra st brown", "market": "REC_OVER_4.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -368, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|amonra_st_brown|REC_OVER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7703, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "shedeur sanders", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_224.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -368, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|shedeur_sanders|PASS_YDS_UNDER_224_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7144, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis hunter", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|travis_hunter|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8083, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "travis hunter \u2014 rec = 1 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis hunter", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -368, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|travis_hunter|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2717, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8914, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 8, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "travis hunter \u2014 longest_reception = 8 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "saquon barkley", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|saquon_barkley|RUSH_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.786, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 83, "line": 69.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "saquon barkley \u2014 rush_yds = 83 (line 69.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -365, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|puka_nacua|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.77, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam ward", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -366, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|cam_ward|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2732, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7772, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cam ward \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael carter", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -366, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|michael_carter|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7527, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael mayer", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -365, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|michael_mayer|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.274, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 32, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael mayer \u2014 rec_yds = 32 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kimani vidal", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -363, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kimani_vidal|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7525, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dak prescott", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_199.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -362, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|dak_prescott|PASS_YDS_OVER_199_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.784, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mac jones", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|mac_jones|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.783, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bucky_irving|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.277, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8552, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 10, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 longest_rush = 10 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyjae spears", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tyjae_spears|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.277, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8552, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 10, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyjae spears \u2014 longest_rush = 10 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tommy tremble", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -362, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tommy_tremble|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8039, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tommy tremble \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "david montgomery", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -362, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|david_montgomery|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7523, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 60, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "david montgomery \u2014 rush_yds = 60 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen tolbert", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jalen_tolbert|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8824, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ashton jeanty", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ashton_jeanty|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8039, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ashton jeanty \u2014 rec = 6 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jj mccarthy", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jj_mccarthy|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7135, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyquan thornton", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tyquan_thornton|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8824, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -359, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8024, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "samaje perine", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|samaje_perine|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2778, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7521, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 20, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "samaje perine \u2014 rush_yds = 20 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis etienne", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -359, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|travis_etienne|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.782, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "breece hall", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -359, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|breece_hall|RUSH_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2786, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.782, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 102, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "breece hall \u2014 rush_yds = 102 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "breece hall", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|breece_hall|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2778, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.855, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 13, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "breece hall \u2014 longest_rush = 13 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quinshon judkins", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|quinshon_judkins|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2778, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.855, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 5, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "quinshon judkins \u2014 longest_rush = 5 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kayshon boutte", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|kayshon_boutte|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2778, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 21, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kayshon boutte \u2014 rec_yds = 21 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kayshon boutte", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kayshon_boutte|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2778, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8024, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kayshon boutte \u2014 rec = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton schultz", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -359, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dalton_schultz|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2786, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8024, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 6.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dalton schultz \u2014 rec = 4 (line 6.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell mooney", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|darnell_mooney|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rj harvey", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -359, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|rj_harvey|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.855, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen waddle", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jaylen_waddle|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hunter henry", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|hunter_henry|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demarcus robinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|demarcus_robinson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.801, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "baker mayfield", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -358, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|baker_mayfield|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2793, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8549, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 9, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "baker mayfield \u2014 longest_rush = 9 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "elic ayomanor", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|elic_ayomanor|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2801, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 11, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "elic ayomanor \u2014 rec_yds = 11 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron rodgers", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|aaron_rodgers|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2801, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7761, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aaron rodgers \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden higgins", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jayden_higgins|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.801, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jake ferguson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jake_ferguson|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ceedee lamb", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|ceedee_lamb|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8765, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -358, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|javonte_williams|RUSH_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.781, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenny gainwell", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kenny_gainwell|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7687, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kenny gainwell \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tony pollard", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tony_pollard|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2809, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8547, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 13, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tony pollard \u2014 longest_rush = 13 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alec pierce", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -355, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|alec_pierce|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2817, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7995, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alec pierce \u2014 rec = 4 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joshua palmer", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -355, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|joshua_palmer|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2817, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 34, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "joshua palmer \u2014 rec_yds = 34 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|devon_achane|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7687, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh jacobs", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|josh_jacobs|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8547, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tucker kraft", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -355, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tucker_kraft|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2817, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7995, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tucker kraft \u2014 rec = 3 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "evan engram", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|evan_engram|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8735, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "troy franklin", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|troy_franklin|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7995, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis kelce", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|travis_kelce|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7687, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashee rice", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -355, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|rashee_rice|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.78, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike evans", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mike_evans|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -352, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.798, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen coker", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jalen_coker|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8705, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 51, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen coker \u2014 longest_reception = 51 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton kincaid", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -352, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dalton_kincaid|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 130, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dalton kincaid \u2014 rec_yds = 130 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rachaad white", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -352, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rachaad_white|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2841, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.798, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rachaad white \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darius slayton", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -352, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|darius_slayton|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashee rice", "market": "REC_OVER_4.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rashee_rice|REC_OVER_4_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7684, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jahmyr gibbs", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -350, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jahmyr_gibbs|RUSH_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2857, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.778, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 156, "line": 49.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jahmyr gibbs \u2014 rush_yds = 156 (line 49.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin ridley", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|calvin_ridley|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7966, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brian robinson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -350, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|brian_robinson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8545, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darren waller", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|darren_waller|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2849, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 28, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "darren waller \u2014 rec_yds = 28 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylin noel", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -350, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jaylin_noel|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2857, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7966, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylin noel \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan love", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jordan_love|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2849, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7753, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jordan love \u2014 pass_td = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dallas goedert", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dallas_goedert|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 77, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dallas goedert \u2014 rec_yds = 77 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat bryant", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|pat_bryant|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "troy franklin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -350, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|troy_franklin|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colby parkinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -348, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|colby_parkinson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8645, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "amonra st brown", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|amonra_st_brown|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.777, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "wandale robinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -348, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|wandale_robinson|REC_UNDER_7_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7951, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mark andrews", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mark_andrews|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 49, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mark andrews \u2014 rec_yds = 49 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier legette", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|xavier_legette|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2865, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7951, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier legette \u2014 rec = 0 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyquan thornton", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tyquan_thornton|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "spencer rattler", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -347, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|spencer_rattler|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7747, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "elic ayomanor", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|elic_ayomanor|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8615, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 11, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "elic ayomanor \u2014 longest_reception = 11 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael pittman", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -347, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|michael_pittman|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8615, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cj stroud", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -347, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|cj_stroud|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8542, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ashton jeanty", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|ashton_jeanty|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.751, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 102, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ashton jeanty \u2014 rush_yds = 102 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron jones", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -347, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|aaron_jones|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7936, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "oronde gadsden", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -347, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|oronde_gadsden|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2882, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8615, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 26, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "oronde gadsden \u2014 longest_reception = 26 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quentin johnston", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|quentin_johnston|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 17, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "quentin johnston \u2014 rec_yds = 17 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "troy franklin", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|troy_franklin|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8615, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "blake corum", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|blake_corum|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7508, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "andrei iosivas", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|andrei_iosivas|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2907, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8586, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 12, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "andrei iosivas \u2014 longest_reception = 12 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis etienne", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|travis_etienne|RUSH_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.775, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kevin austin", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kevin_austin|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7922, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|drake_maye|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7506, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isiah pacheco", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -343, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|isiah_pacheco|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8539, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat freiermuth", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|pat_freiermuth|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2924, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8556, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 19, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "pat freiermuth \u2014 longest_reception = 19 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan addison", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jordan_addison|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2924, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8556, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jordan addison \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george kittle", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|george_kittle|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenny gainwell", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -341, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kenny_gainwell|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2933, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8538, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 7, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kenny gainwell \u2014 longest_rush = 7 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "khalil shakir", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -341, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|khalil_shakir|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2933, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 50, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "khalil shakir \u2014 rec_yds = 50 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "stefon diggs", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -341, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|stefon_diggs|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2933, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 55, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "stefon diggs \u2014 rec_yds = 55 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre harris", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -341, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tre_harris|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8526, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -340, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|davante_adams|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7666, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris godwin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -340, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|chris_godwin|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen warren", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -339, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jaylen_warren|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.295, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7502, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 46, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen warren \u2014 rush_yds = 46 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan love", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -339, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jordan_love|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7105, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 387, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jordan love \u2014 pass_yds = 387 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dallas goedert", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -340, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dallas_goedert|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2941, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7878, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dallas goedert \u2014 rec = 4 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darius slayton", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -340, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|darius_slayton|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8496, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keaton mitchell", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.771, "fair_american": -337, "p_predicted": 0.771, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|keaton_mitchell|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2967, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.75, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 9, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "keaton mitchell \u2014 rush_yds = 9 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alvin kamara", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -336, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|alvin_kamara|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7498, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -335, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|justin_herbert|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2985, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.773, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_199.5", "prob": 0.769, "fair_american": -334, "p_predicted": 0.769, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|drake_maye|PASS_YDS_OVER_199_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.769, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chase brown", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.769, "fair_american": -333, "p_predicted": 0.769, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|chase_brown|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3003, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.769, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 13, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "chase brown \u2014 longest_rush = 13 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bryce young", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_224.5", "prob": 0.769, "fair_american": -334, "p_predicted": 0.769, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|bryce_young|PASS_YDS_UNDER_224_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7097, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 361, "line": 224.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bryce young \u2014 pass_yds = 361 (line 224.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden daniels", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.769, "fair_american": -332, "p_predicted": 0.769, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jayden_daniels|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3012, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7497, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 31, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden daniels \u2014 rush_yds = 31 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis kelce", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.769, "fair_american": -333, "p_predicted": 0.769, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|travis_kelce|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8261, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "baker mayfield", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -332, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|baker_mayfield|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3012, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.768, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 23, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "baker mayfield \u2014 pass_cmp = 23 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler shough", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|tyler_shough|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7725, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler shough \u2014 pass_td = 3 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat freiermuth", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|pat_freiermuth|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7819, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "pat freiermuth \u2014 rec = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dk metcalf", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dk_metcalf|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3021, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7819, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dk metcalf \u2014 rec = 4 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier hutchinson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|xavier_hutchinson|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3021, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 32, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier hutchinson \u2014 rec_yds = 32 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jk dobbins", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -332, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jk_dobbins|RUSH_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.768, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris godwin", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|chris_godwin|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8097, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zay flowers", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|zay_flowers|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8097, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 54, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "zay flowers \u2014 longest_reception = 54 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tetairoa mcmillan", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tetairoa_mcmillan|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7804, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tetairoa mcmillan \u2014 rec = 5 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devin singletary", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|devin_singletary|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7493, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_299.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|patrick_mahomes|PASS_YDS_UNDER_299_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7092, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier worthy", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|xavier_worthy|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8097, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyren williams", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -327, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kyren_williams|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8528, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isiah pacheco", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|isiah_pacheco|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7491, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isaiah davis", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|isaiah_davis|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8528, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashod bateman", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|rashod_bateman|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8016, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rashod bateman \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keenan allen", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -327, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|keenan_allen|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3058, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 32, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "keenan allen \u2014 rec_yds = 32 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael penix", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -327, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|michael_penix|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.766, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chuba hubbard", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|chuba_hubbard|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8528, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 11, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chuba hubbard \u2014 longest_rush = 11 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jk dobbins", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jk_dobbins|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8528, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colby parkinson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|colby_parkinson|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe burrow", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_224.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|joe_burrow|PASS_YDS_OVER_224_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.765, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 254, "line": 224.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "joe burrow \u2014 pass_yds = 254 (line 224.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake london", "market": "REC_OVER_4.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|drake_london|REC_OVER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7648, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "drake london \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bijan robinson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -325, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bijan_robinson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3077, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8527, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 20, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bijan robinson \u2014 longest_rush = 20 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brian thomas", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|brian_thomas|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden higgins", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jayden_higgins|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7934, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jauan jennings", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jauan_jennings|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 0, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jauan jennings \u2014 rec_yds = 0 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tory horton", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -323, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tory_horton|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7762, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demario douglas", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|demario_douglas|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ricky pearsall", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ricky_pearsall|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7762, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jamarr chase", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -325, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jamarr_chase|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7645, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis hunter", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|travis_hunter|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3086, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 8, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "travis hunter \u2014 rec_yds = 8 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -323, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|josh_allen|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3096, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7487, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 23, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "josh allen \u2014 rush_yds = 23 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -323, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|justin_herbert|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3096, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8525, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 11, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 longest_rush = 11 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ladd mcconkey", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|ladd_mcconkey|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 82, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ladd mcconkey \u2014 rec_yds = 82 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george pickens", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -325, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|george_pickens|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.764, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bo nix", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -323, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|bo_nix|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7084, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.763, "fair_american": -322, "p_predicted": 0.763, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|josh_allen|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8524, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 21, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "josh allen \u2014 longest_rush = 21 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ladd mcconkey", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.763, "fair_american": -323, "p_predicted": 0.763, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ladd_mcconkey|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3096, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7643, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ladd mcconkey \u2014 rec = 5 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tee higgins", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -320, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tee_higgins|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3125, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 59, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tee higgins \u2014 rec_yds = 59 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jahmyr gibbs", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -320, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jahmyr_gibbs|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3125, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8523, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 21, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jahmyr gibbs \u2014 longest_rush = 21 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cedric tillman", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -321, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cedric_tillman|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7733, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "greg dortch", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -321, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|greg_dortch|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7733, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chig okonkwo", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -320, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chig_okonkwo|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3125, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7733, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chig okonkwo \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "oronde gadsden", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -319, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|oronde_gadsden|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3135, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7733, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "oronde gadsden \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "omarion hampton", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -319, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|omarion_hampton|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3135, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7483, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 43, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "omarion hampton \u2014 rush_yds = 43 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrone tracy", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.761, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.761, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tyrone_tracy|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7719, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marvin mims", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.761, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.761, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|marvin_mims|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7719, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashid shaheed", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -317, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rashid_shaheed|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7705, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|davante_adams|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7525, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|devon_achane|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.76, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "omarion hampton", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -317, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|omarion_hampton|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.76, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 14, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "omarion hampton \u2014 longest_rush = 14 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george pickens", "market": "REC_OVER_3.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -317, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|george_pickens|REC_OVER_3_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7635, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mack hollins", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.759, "fair_american": -315, "p_predicted": 0.759, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mack_hollins|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7443, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh jacobs", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.759, "fair_american": -315, "p_predicted": 0.759, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|josh_jacobs|RUSH_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.759, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demario douglas", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|demario_douglas|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7361, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chase brown", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|chase_brown|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7476, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 56, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chase brown \u2014 rush_yds = 56 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "andrei iosivas", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|andrei_iosivas|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3195, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 12, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "andrei iosivas \u2014 rec_yds = 12 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|bucky_irving|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7361, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 22, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 longest_reception = 22 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "garrett wilson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|garrett_wilson|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3205, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 79, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "garrett wilson \u2014 rec_yds = 79 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zay flowers", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|zay_flowers|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3195, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7677, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 6.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "zay flowers \u2014 rec = 5 (line 6.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen warren", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jaylen_warren|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7677, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen warren \u2014 rec = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tucker kraft", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tucker_kraft|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3195, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 65, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tucker kraft \u2014 rec_yds = 65 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jaxson_dart|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.758, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.757, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.757, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|drake_maye|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.757, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe flacco", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.757, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.757, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|joe_flacco|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.757, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dawson knox", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.757, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.757, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dawson_knox|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3205, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.728, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 7, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dawson knox \u2014 longest_reception = 7 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ryan flournoy", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.757, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.757, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ryan_flournoy|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7663, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "treveyon henderson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -310, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|treveyon_henderson|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.756, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe burrow", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -310, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|joe_burrow|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3226, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.756, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 25, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "joe burrow \u2014 pass_cmp = 25 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris olave", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -309, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|chris_olave|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7198, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 47, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chris olave \u2014 longest_reception = 47 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam ward", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -310, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|cam_ward|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3226, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.756, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 19, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "cam ward \u2014 pass_cmp = 19 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael penix", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -309, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|michael_penix|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7691, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trevor lawrence", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -311, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|trevor_lawrence|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7691, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "trevor lawrence \u2014 pass_td = 4 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris rodriguez", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -310, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|chris_rodriguez|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8514, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "woody marks", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -311, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|woody_marks|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3215, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7472, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 42, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "woody marks \u2014 rush_yds = 42 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "theo johnson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -310, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|theo_johnson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7198, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.755, "fair_american": -308, "p_predicted": 0.755, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|puka_nacua|REC_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.755, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emeka egbuka", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.755, "fair_american": -308, "p_predicted": 0.755, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|emeka_egbuka|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3247, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7116, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 17, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "emeka egbuka \u2014 longest_reception = 17 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen warren", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.755, "fair_american": -308, "p_predicted": 0.755, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jaylen_warren|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3247, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.755, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 17, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jaylen warren \u2014 longest_rush = 17 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|bucky_irving|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3257, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7468, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 45, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 rush_yds = 45 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jahmyr gibbs", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jahmyr_gibbs|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.762, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jahmyr gibbs \u2014 rec = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin ridley", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|calvin_ridley|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zay flowers", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|zay_flowers|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3257, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.754, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 150, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "zay flowers \u2014 rec_yds = 150 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tua tagovailoa", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_224.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|tua_tagovailoa|PASS_YDS_UNDER_224_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7056, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "olamide zaccheaus", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|olamide_zaccheaus|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.762, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "olamide zaccheaus \u2014 rec = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dillon gabriel", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|dillon_gabriel|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.754, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trevor lawrence", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|trevor_lawrence|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3257, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.754, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 18, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "trevor lawrence \u2014 pass_cmp = 18 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jalen_hurts|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.754, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 14, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 pass_cmp = 14 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marcus mariota", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|marcus_mariota|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8512, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jaxson_dart|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7468, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam darnold", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|sam_darnold|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.753, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jakobi meyers", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -305, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jakobi_meyers|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3279, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 40, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jakobi meyers \u2014 rec_yds = 40 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "baker mayfield", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -303, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|baker_mayfield|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.33, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7051, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 216, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "baker mayfield \u2014 pass_yds = 216 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "adonai mitchell", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|adonai_mitchell|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6871, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 40, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "adonai mitchell \u2014 longest_reception = 40 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier legette", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|xavier_legette|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3311, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6871, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier legette \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brian thomas", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|brian_thomas|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7592, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton kincaid", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -303, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dalton_kincaid|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6871, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 40, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dalton kincaid \u2014 longest_reception = 40 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "terry mclaurin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|terry_mclaurin|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3311, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 14, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "terry mclaurin \u2014 rec_yds = 14 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew stafford", "market": "PASS_TD_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|matthew_stafford|PASS_TD_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.751, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "audric estime", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|audric_estime|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7578, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle pitts", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|kyle_pitts|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton kincaid", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dalton_kincaid|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7578, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dalton kincaid \u2014 rec = 5 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin jefferson", "market": "REC_OVER_4.5", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|justin_jefferson|REC_OVER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3311, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7611, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 4.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "justin jefferson \u2014 rec = 8 (line 4.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george kittle", "market": "REC_OVER_3.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -299, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|george_kittle|REC_OVER_3_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7609, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tua tagovailoa", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -300, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|tua_tagovailoa|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.75, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen coker", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -300, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jalen_coker|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 138, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen coker \u2014 rec_yds = 138 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "shedeur sanders", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -300, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|shedeur_sanders|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.75, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trevor lawrence", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -300, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|trevor_lawrence|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3333, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7045, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 245, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "trevor lawrence \u2014 pass_yds = 245 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ashton jeanty", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -299, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|ashton_jeanty|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3344, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.75, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 15, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ashton jeanty \u2014 longest_rush = 15 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrone tracy", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -299, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|tyrone_tracy|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.746, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj brown", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.749, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.749, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|aj_brown|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.749, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "geno smith", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.749, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.749, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|geno_smith|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3356, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7043, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 215, "line": 249.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "geno smith \u2014 pass_yds = 215 (line 249.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "geno smith", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.749, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.749, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|geno_smith|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3356, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.749, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 19, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "geno smith \u2014 pass_cmp = 19 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "derrick henry", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.749, "fair_american": -299, "p_predicted": 0.749, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|derrick_henry|RUSH_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3344, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.749, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 144, "line": 69.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "derrick henry \u2014 rush_yds = 144 (line 69.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan love", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.749, "fair_american": -299, "p_predicted": 0.749, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jordan_love|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3344, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.749, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 21, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jordan love \u2014 pass_cmp = 21 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7457, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler higbee", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tyler_higbee|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7535, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew stafford", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|matthew_stafford|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.748, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_299.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|brock_purdy|PASS_YDS_UNDER_299_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.704, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "deebo samuel", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|deebo_samuel|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jared goff", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jared_goff|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3378, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.748, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 26, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jared goff \u2014 pass_cmp = 26 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "harold fannin", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -297, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|harold_fannin|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6543, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "shedeur sanders", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|shedeur_sanders|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7669, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen nailor", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jalen_nailor|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3378, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 27, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen nailor \u2014 rec_yds = 27 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen nailor", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jalen_nailor|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7535, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen nailor \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "stefon diggs", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -297, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|stefon_diggs|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3367, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7535, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 6.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "stefon diggs \u2014 rec = 4 (line 6.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashid shaheed", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -295, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|rashid_shaheed|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6476, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "daniel jones", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|daniel_jones|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3401, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.747, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 19, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "daniel jones \u2014 pass_cmp = 19 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaleel mclaughlin", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -295, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jaleel_mclaughlin|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8502, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "nico collins", "market": "REC_UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -295, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|nico_collins|REC_UNDER_7_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.339, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7521, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 7, "line": 7.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "nico collins \u2014 rec = 7 (line 7.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "audric estime", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|audric_estime|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7453, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendre miller", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kendre_miller|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3401, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7453, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 30, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kendre miller \u2014 rush_yds = 30 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mason taylor", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mason_taylor|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3413, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7507, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mason taylor \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh downs", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|josh_downs|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6469, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 25, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "josh downs \u2014 longest_reception = 25 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle pitts", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kyle_pitts|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7507, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ray davis", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|ray_davis|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3401, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8501, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 3, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ray davis \u2014 longest_rush = 3 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "greg dulcich", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|greg_dulcich|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3401, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7788, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 18, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "greg dulcich \u2014 rec_yds = 18 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden reed", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jayden_reed|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3401, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7788, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 20, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden reed \u2014 rec_yds = 20 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|cam_skattebo|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7788, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxon smithnjigba", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jaxon_smithnjigba|REC_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.745, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj brown", "market": "REC_OVER_3.5", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|aj_brown|REC_OVER_3_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7596, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6461, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "elic ayomanor", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|elic_ayomanor|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3425, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7493, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "elic ayomanor \u2014 rec = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler higbee", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tyler_higbee|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7786, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8498, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan addison", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jordan_addison|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3436, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7786, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 0, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jordan addison \u2014 rec_yds = 0 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tj hockenson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tj_hockenson|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7786, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jauan jennings", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jauan_jennings|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3436, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6454, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jauan jennings \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marcus mariota", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|marcus_mariota|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.744, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isaiah likely", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|isaiah_likely|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6454, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "evan engram", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|evan_engram|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7786, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake london", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|drake_london|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.346, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6446, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 21, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake london \u2014 longest_reception = 21 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quinshon judkins", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|quinshon_judkins|RUSH_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.743, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 33, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "quinshon judkins \u2014 rush_yds = 33 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden daniels", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -287, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jayden_daniels|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3484, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.742, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 18, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jayden daniels \u2014 pass_cmp = 18 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|javonte_williams|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8495, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier worthy", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|xavier_worthy|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7785, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake london", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.741, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.741, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|drake_london|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.741, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 29, "line": 49.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "drake london \u2014 rec_yds = 29 (line 49.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brian thomas", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.741, "fair_american": -286, "p_predicted": 0.741, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|brian_thomas|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6431, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mason taylor", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mason_taylor|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3509, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7783, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": -2, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mason taylor \u2014 rec_yds = -2 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle pitts", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -284, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kyle_pitts|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6424, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron rodgers", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -284, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|aaron_rodgers|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3521, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.74, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 24, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "aaron rodgers \u2014 pass_cmp = 24 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre tucker", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -284, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tre_tucker|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3521, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7783, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 27, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tre tucker \u2014 rec_yds = 27 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacory croskeymerritt", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jacory_croskeymerritt|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7441, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -284, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jaxson_dart|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7018, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jaxson_dart|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8492, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "courtland sutton", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|courtland_sutton|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7783, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "courtland sutton", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|courtland_sutton|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6424, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jared goff", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_199.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -282, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jared_goff|PASS_YDS_OVER_199_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3546, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.739, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 206, "line": 199.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jared goff \u2014 pass_yds = 206 (line 199.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "spencer rattler", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -283, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|spencer_rattler|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.739, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george pickens", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -283, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|george_pickens|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.739, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dak prescott", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -284, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|dak_prescott|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7644, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenneth walker", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -283, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kenneth_walker|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.739, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demarcus robinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -282, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|demarcus_robinson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6409, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jamarr chase", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jamarr_chase|REC_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.738, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tez johnson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tez_johnson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3559, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tez johnson \u2014 rec = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luke mccaffrey", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -282, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|luke_mccaffrey|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6409, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tory horton", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tory_horton|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "romeo doubs", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|romeo_doubs|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kayshon boutte", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kayshon_boutte|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6401, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 21, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kayshon boutte \u2014 longest_reception = 21 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_199.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|justin_herbert|PASS_YDS_OVER_199_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.737, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 209, "line": 199.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 pass_yds = 209 (line 199.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ceedee lamb", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|ceedee_lamb|REC_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.737, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kavontae turpin", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kavontae_turpin|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isaiah williams", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|isaiah_williams|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3597, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "isaiah williams \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "wandale robinson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|wandale_robinson|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.778, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dk metcalf", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dk_metcalf|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3584, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.778, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 40, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dk metcalf \u2014 rec_yds = 40 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tetairoa mcmillan", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tetairoa_mcmillan|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.778, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 75, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tetairoa mcmillan \u2014 rec_yds = 75 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bryce young", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|bryce_young|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3584, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.736, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 23, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bryce young \u2014 pass_cmp = 23 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kirk cousins", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|kirk_cousins|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3584, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.736, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 21, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kirk cousins \u2014 pass_cmp = 21 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen nailor", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jalen_nailor|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3597, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6394, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 12, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen nailor \u2014 longest_reception = 12 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|patrick_mahomes|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7434, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|patrick_mahomes|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7635, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|brock_purdy|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.735, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ricky pearsall", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|ricky_pearsall|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.778, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "garrett wilson", "market": "REC_OVER_3.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|garrett_wilson|REC_OVER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.361, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.757, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "garrett wilson \u2014 rec = 6 (line 3.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael carter", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|michael_carter|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron jones", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|aaron_jones|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7432, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demario douglas", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -276, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|demario_douglas|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6379, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|puka_nacua|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6379, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jakobi meyers", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jakobi_meyers|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6379, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 32, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jakobi meyers \u2014 longest_reception = 32 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "david montgomery", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|david_montgomery|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.361, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8484, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 18, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "david montgomery \u2014 longest_rush = 18 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -276, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|josh_allen|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7002, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 334, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "josh allen \u2014 pass_yds = 334 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin jefferson", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -276, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|justin_jefferson|REC_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3623, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.734, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 92, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "justin jefferson \u2014 rec_yds = 92 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emari demercado", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|emari_demercado|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8484, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen waddle", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jaylen_waddle|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6379, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "juwan johnson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|juwan_johnson|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3636, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7778, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 54, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "juwan johnson \u2014 rec_yds = 54 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -274, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|lamar_jackson|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.365, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.733, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 19, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 longest_rush = 19 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike gesicki", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -273, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mike_gesicki|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6364, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 25, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mike gesicki \u2014 longest_reception = 25 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "greg dulcich", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|greg_dulcich|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3676, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "greg dulcich \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden reed", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jayden_reed|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3676, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden reed \u2014 rec = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hollywood brown", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -273, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|hollywood_brown|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6364, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darius slayton", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -273, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|darius_slayton|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.731, "fair_american": -271, "p_predicted": 0.731, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|brock_purdy|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.848, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davis mills", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.731, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.731, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|davis_mills|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.731, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kavontae turpin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.731, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.731, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|kavontae_turpin|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7776, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael penix", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|michael_penix|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6991, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jerry jeudy", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jerry_jeudy|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3704, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6349, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 20, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jerry jeudy \u2014 longest_reception = 20 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brenton strange", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|brenton_strange|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3704, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7776, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 23, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brenton strange \u2014 rec_yds = 23 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tj hockenson", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -271, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tj_hockenson|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jalen_hurts|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8478, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 22, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 longest_rush = 22 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "blake corum", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|blake_corum|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8477, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler warren", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tyler_warren|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3717, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7775, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 13, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler warren \u2014 rec_yds = 13 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "james cook", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|james_cook|RUSH_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.729, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan mason", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jordan_mason|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3717, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.742, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 59, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jordan mason \u2014 rush_yds = 59 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devonta smith", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|devonta_smith|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3717, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7775, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 53, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "devonta smith \u2014 rec_yds = 53 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin austin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|calvin_austin|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7775, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emeka egbuka", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|emeka_egbuka|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3731, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7774, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 63, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "emeka egbuka \u2014 rec_yds = 63 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael carter", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|michael_carter|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8476, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|lamar_jackson|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3745, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7613, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris rodriguez", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|chris_rodriguez|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7418, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton schultz", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dalton_schultz|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3745, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7774, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 35, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dalton schultz \u2014 rec_yds = 35 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden reed", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jayden_reed|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3731, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6334, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 7, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden reed \u2014 longest_reception = 7 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dontayvion wicks", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dontayvion_wicks|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6334, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 64, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dontayvion wicks \u2014 longest_reception = 64 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden daniels", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jayden_daniels|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3731, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8476, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 14, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden daniels \u2014 longest_rush = 14 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre harris", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tre_harris|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|cam_skattebo|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7418, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin fields", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|justin_fields|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8476, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emanuel wilson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|emanuel_wilson|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7417, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyjae spears", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tyjae_spears|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3759, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyjae spears \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|drake_maye|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7607, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|bucky_irving|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7773, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 48, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 rec_yds = 48 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "james cook", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|james_cook|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8473, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian watson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|christian_watson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6319, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 81, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "christian watson \u2014 longest_reception = 81 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "saquon barkley", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|saquon_barkley|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3774, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.726, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 42, "line": 16.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "saquon barkley \u2014 longest_rush = 42 (line 16.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "malik davis", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|malik_davis|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8473, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "theo johnson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|theo_johnson|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7773, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell mooney", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|darnell_mooney|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6319, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tez johnson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.725, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.725, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tez_johnson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3788, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6311, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tez johnson \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock bowers", "market": "REC_UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.725, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.725, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|brock_bowers|REC_UNDER_7_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -262, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|brock_purdy|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7602, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenny gainwell", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -263, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|kenny_gainwell|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3802, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7771, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 3, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kenny gainwell \u2014 rec_yds = 3 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devaughn vele", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -262, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|devaughn_vele|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6304, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 31, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "devaughn vele \u2014 longest_reception = 31 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "nico collins", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -263, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|nico_collins|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3802, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.724, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 75, "line": 49.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "nico collins \u2014 rec_yds = 75 (line 49.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chig okonkwo", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -262, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|chig_okonkwo|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3817, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6304, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 15, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chig okonkwo \u2014 longest_reception = 15 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrone tracy", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -262, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tyrone_tracy|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.724, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alvin kamara", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.723, "fair_american": -261, "p_predicted": 0.723, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|alvin_kamara|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8469, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris olave", "market": "REC_OVER_4.5", "prob": 0.723, "fair_american": -261, "p_predicted": 0.723, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chris_olave|REC_OVER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3831, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7538, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 10, "line": 4.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "chris olave \u2014 rec = 10 (line 4.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonathan taylor", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.723, "fair_american": -261, "p_predicted": 0.723, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jonathan_taylor|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3831, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8469, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 21, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jonathan taylor \u2014 longest_rush = 21 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kirk cousins", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.723, "fair_american": -261, "p_predicted": 0.723, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|kirk_cousins|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7599, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kirk cousins \u2014 pass_td = 3 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "oronde gadsden", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.723, "fair_american": -261, "p_predicted": 0.723, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|oronde_gadsden|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3831, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.777, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 32, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "oronde gadsden \u2014 rec_yds = 32 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jamarr chase", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -259, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jamarr_chase|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jameson williams", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -259, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jameson_williams|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3861, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7536, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jameson williams \u2014 rec = 4 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "adonai mitchell", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|adonai_mitchell|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.777, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 60, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "adonai mitchell \u2014 rec_yds = 60 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "greg dulcich", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|greg_dulcich|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3846, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 12, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "greg dulcich \u2014 longest_reception = 12 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael mayer", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -259, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|michael_mayer|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael mayer \u2014 rec = 6 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre tucker", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tre_tucker|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3846, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tre tucker \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cade otton", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.721, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.721, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|cade_otton|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3876, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7769, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 26, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cade otton \u2014 rec_yds = 26 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe flacco", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_224.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|joe_flacco|PASS_YDS_UNDER_224_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6964, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jameson williams", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jameson_williams|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.72, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 22, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jameson williams \u2014 longest_reception = 22 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alec pierce", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|alec_pierce|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.72, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 23, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "alec pierce \u2014 longest_reception = 23 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler warren", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tyler_warren|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler warren \u2014 rec = 3 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron rodgers", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|aaron_rodgers|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6964, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 221, "line": 249.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aaron rodgers \u2014 pass_yds = 221 (line 249.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock bowers", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|brock_bowers|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian watson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|christian_watson|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7768, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 147, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "christian watson \u2014 rec_yds = 147 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|cam_skattebo|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.72, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenneth walker", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kenneth_walker|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|drake_maye|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8463, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler shough", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tyler_shough|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3906, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8463, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 4, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler shough \u2014 longest_rush = 4 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "woody marks", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|woody_marks|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8463, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 12, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "woody marks \u2014 longest_rush = 12 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacory croskeymerritt", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jacory_croskeymerritt|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8463, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kavontae turpin", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kavontae_turpin|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis kelce", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|travis_kelce|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike evans", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mike_evans|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7523, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "terry mclaurin", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|terry_mclaurin|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7523, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "terry mclaurin \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxon smithnjigba", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_24.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jaxon_smithnjigba|LONGEST_REC_OVER_24_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.716, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.716, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "derrick henry", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|derrick_henry|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.716, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 32, "line": 16.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "derrick henry \u2014 longest_rush = 32 (line 16.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brenton strange", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|brenton_strange|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 14, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brenton strange \u2014 longest_reception = 14 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cj stroud", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|cj_stroud|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6953, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen wright", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jaylen_wright|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3968, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7396, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": -1, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen wright \u2014 rush_yds = -1 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jj mccarthy", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jj_mccarthy|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.758, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden daniels", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jayden_daniels|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6953, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 164, "line": 249.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden daniels \u2014 pass_yds = 164 (line 249.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "david njoku", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|david_njoku|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "david njoku \u2014 rec = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ryan flournoy", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|ryan_flournoy|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "samaje perine", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|samaje_perine|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8458, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 8, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "samaje perine \u2014 longest_rush = 8 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh downs", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|josh_downs|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7394, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "josh downs \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bijan robinson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|bijan_robinson|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.715, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 83, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bijan robinson \u2014 rush_yds = 83 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keon coleman", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|keon_coleman|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 1, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "keon coleman \u2014 longest_reception = 1 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cooper kupp", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|cooper_kupp|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "treveyon henderson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|treveyon_henderson|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7392, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "deebo samuel", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|deebo_samuel|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7368, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tee higgins", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tee_higgins|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4016, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7515, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tee higgins \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cedric tillman", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|cedric_tillman|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier hutchinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|xavier_hutchinson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 20, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier hutchinson \u2014 longest_reception = 20 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keon coleman", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|keon_coleman|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4016, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 1, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "keon coleman \u2014 rec_yds = 1 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hollywood brown", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|hollywood_brown|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris olave", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|chris_olave|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 182, "line": 49.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "chris olave \u2014 rec_yds = 182 (line 49.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kirk cousins", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|kirk_cousins|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6945, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 160, "line": 199.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kirk cousins \u2014 pass_yds = 160 (line 199.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew golden", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|matthew_golden|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 42, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "matthew golden \u2014 longest_reception = 42 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonathan taylor", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -247, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jonathan_taylor|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7317, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jonathan taylor \u2014 rec = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quinshon judkins", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -247, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|quinshon_judkins|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7317, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "quinshon judkins \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dj moore", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -247, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dj_moore|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 100, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dj moore \u2014 rec_yds = 100 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cooper kupp", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -246, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|cooper_kupp|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mack hollins", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mack_hollins|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler higbee", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tyler_higbee|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dj moore", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dj_moore|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 43, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dj moore \u2014 longest_reception = 43 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock bowers", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|brock_bowers|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.71, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hunter henry", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -243, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|hunter_henry|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.724, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brenton strange", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|brenton_strange|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7502, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brenton strange \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "parker washington", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|parker_washington|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 30, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "parker washington \u2014 longest_reception = 30 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "nico collins", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|nico_collins|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4098, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.709, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 25, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "nico collins \u2014 longest_reception = 25 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden higgins", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -243, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jayden_higgins|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashee rice", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|rashee_rice|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam laporta", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|sam_laporta|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4132, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7214, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "sam laporta \u2014 rec = 5 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael pittman", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|michael_pittman|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj barner", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|aj_barner|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zach charbonnet", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|zach_charbonnet|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7378, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendre miller", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kendre_miller|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4149, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8447, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 8, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kendre miller \u2014 longest_rush = 8 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jj mccarthy", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jj_mccarthy|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8447, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isaiah likely", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|isaiah_likely|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7188, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devin singletary", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|devin_singletary|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8447, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonathan taylor", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|jonathan_taylor|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4167, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.706, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jonathan taylor \u2014 anytime_td = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell washington", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|darnell_washington|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4167, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 15, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "darnell washington \u2014 longest_reception = 15 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devonta smith", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|devonta_smith|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 31, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "devonta smith \u2014 longest_reception = 31 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "omarion hampton", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|omarion_hampton|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7163, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "parker washington", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -238, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|parker_washington|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7137, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "parker washington \u2014 rec = 5 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|patrick_mahomes|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8444, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darren waller", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|darren_waller|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4219, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7111, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "darren waller \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rj harvey", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rj_harvey|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7111, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|josh_allen|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4237, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7543, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "josh allen \u2014 pass_td = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian watson", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|christian_watson|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7086, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "christian watson \u2014 rec = 6 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kimani vidal", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kimani_vidal|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.703, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj brown", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|aj_brown|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joshua palmer", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -235, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|joshua_palmer|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4255, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.706, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "joshua palmer \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat freiermuth", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|pat_freiermuth|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 46, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "pat freiermuth \u2014 rec_yds = 46 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat bryant", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|pat_bryant|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jared goff", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -233, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jared_goff|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4292, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7535, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jared goff \u2014 pass_td = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "amonra st brown", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|amonra_st_brown|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.699, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rachaad white", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|rachaad_white|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.431, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7363, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 22, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rachaad white \u2014 rush_yds = 22 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quentin johnston", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|quentin_johnston|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7476, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "quentin johnston \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris godwin", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chris_godwin|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7473, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cade otton", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cade_otton|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4329, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7473, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "cade otton \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jauan jennings", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jauan_jennings|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7473, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jauan jennings \u2014 rec = 0 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj barner", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -230, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|aj_barner|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "spencer rattler", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -230, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|spencer_rattler|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8433, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keenan allen", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|keenan_allen|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 9, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "keenan allen \u2014 longest_reception = 9 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joshua palmer", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|joshua_palmer|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 34, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "joshua palmer \u2014 longest_reception = 34 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keaton mitchell", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|keaton_mitchell|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8432, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 8, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "keaton mitchell \u2014 longest_rush = 8 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "andrei iosivas", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|andrei_iosivas|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4405, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.688, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "andrei iosivas \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "gunnar helm", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|gunnar_helm|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.688, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "gunnar helm \u2014 rec = 4 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "malik washington", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|malik_washington|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4386, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.688, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "malik washington \u2014 rec = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxon smithnjigba", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jaxon_smithnjigba|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.746, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|devon_achane|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|devon_achane|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.693, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jaxson_dart|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7515, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rj harvey", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|rj_harvey|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7352, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devaughn vele", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|devaughn_vele|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6798, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 7, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "devaughn vele \u2014 rec = 7 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron jones", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|aaron_jones|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8426, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "juwan johnson", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -223, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|juwan_johnson|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4484, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "juwan johnson \u2014 rec = 3 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan mason", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -223, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jordan_mason|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8425, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 28, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jordan mason \u2014 longest_rush = 28 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "james cook", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.689, "fair_american": -222, "p_predicted": 0.689, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|james_cook|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6704, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chig okonkwo", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.689, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.689, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|chig_okonkwo|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4525, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 16, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chig okonkwo \u2014 rec_yds = 16 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ceedee lamb", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.687, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.687, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ceedee_lamb|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7444, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.686, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.686, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|justin_herbert|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4566, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7338, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 29, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 rush_yds = 29 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre tucker", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.684, "fair_american": -217, "p_predicted": 0.684, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tre_tucker|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4608, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 21, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tre tucker \u2014 longest_reception = 21 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george kittle", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -216, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|george_kittle|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mark andrews", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mark_andrews|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6517, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mark andrews \u2014 rec = 4 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alec pierce", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|alec_pierce|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 61, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alec pierce \u2014 rec_yds = 61 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ricky pearsall", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -214, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|ricky_pearsall|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "wandale robinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.681, "fair_american": -214, "p_predicted": 0.681, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|wandale_robinson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colby parkinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.68, "fair_american": -213, "p_predicted": 0.68, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|colby_parkinson|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6424, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jake tonges", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jake_tonges|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6392, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emeka egbuka", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|emeka_egbuka|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4717, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7423, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "emeka egbuka \u2014 rec = 5 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zach charbonnet", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|zach_charbonnet|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.678, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "spencer rattler", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|spencer_rattler|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6849, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell washington", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.678, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.678, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|darnell_washington|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4739, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6361, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "darnell washington \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "saquon barkley", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.677, "fair_american": -210, "p_predicted": 0.677, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|saquon_barkley|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4762, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.633, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "saquon barkley \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "stefon diggs", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.677, "fair_american": -210, "p_predicted": 0.677, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|stefon_diggs|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4762, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 17, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "stefon diggs \u2014 longest_reception = 17 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe flacco", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.676, "fair_american": -209, "p_predicted": 0.676, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|joe_flacco|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7468, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jameson williams", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.676, "fair_american": -209, "p_predicted": 0.676, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jameson_williams|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4785, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.676, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 45, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jameson williams \u2014 rec_yds = 45 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh jacobs", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.675, "fair_american": -208, "p_predicted": 0.675, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|josh_jacobs|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6268, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "garrett wilson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.673, "fair_american": -206, "p_predicted": 0.673, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|garrett_wilson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 31, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "garrett wilson \u2014 longest_reception = 31 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chimere dike", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.673, "fair_american": -206, "p_predicted": 0.673, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chimere_dike|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4854, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6205, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chimere dike \u2014 rec = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "khalil shakir", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.673, "fair_american": -206, "p_predicted": 0.673, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|khalil_shakir|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4854, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 19, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "khalil shakir \u2014 longest_reception = 19 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.672, "fair_american": -205, "p_predicted": 0.672, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8398, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cooper kupp", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cooper_kupp|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6143, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tony pollard", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tony_pollard|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4902, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6143, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tony pollard \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dj moore", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dj_moore|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6143, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dj moore \u2014 rec = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew golden", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|matthew_golden|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6143, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "matthew golden \u2014 rec = 6 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alvin kamara", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.668, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.668, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|alvin_kamara|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6049, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier hutchinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.667, "fair_american": -201, "p_predicted": 0.667, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|xavier_hutchinson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6018, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier hutchinson \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ladd mcconkey", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.667, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.667, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|ladd_mcconkey|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 23, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ladd mcconkey \u2014 longest_reception = 23 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "treveyon henderson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|treveyon_henderson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5987, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "adonai mitchell", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|adonai_mitchell|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5956, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "adonai mitchell \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ryan flournoy", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|ryan_flournoy|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sean tucker", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|sean_tucker|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8387, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "juwan johnson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|juwan_johnson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 27, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "juwan johnson \u2014 longest_reception = 27 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dawson knox", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dawson_knox|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5925, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dawson knox \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keon coleman", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.663, "fair_american": -197, "p_predicted": 0.663, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|keon_coleman|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5076, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5894, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "keon coleman \u2014 rec = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cade otton", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.662, "fair_american": -196, "p_predicted": 0.662, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|cade_otton|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5102, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 13, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cade otton \u2014 longest_reception = 13 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat bryant", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.662, "fair_american": -196, "p_predicted": 0.662, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|pat_bryant|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5862, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mac jones", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.658, "fair_american": -192, "p_predicted": 0.658, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|mac_jones|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7418, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen coker", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.657, "fair_american": -192, "p_predicted": 0.657, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jalen_coker|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen coker \u2014 rec = 8 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chuba hubbard", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.657, "fair_american": -192, "p_predicted": 0.657, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chuba_hubbard|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chuba hubbard \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "john metchie", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.656, "fair_american": -191, "p_predicted": 0.656, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|john_metchie|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trevor lawrence", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.656, "fair_american": -191, "p_predicted": 0.656, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|trevor_lawrence|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5236, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8376, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 2, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "trevor lawrence \u2014 longest_rush = 2 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell mooney", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.656, "fair_american": -191, "p_predicted": 0.656, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|darnell_mooney|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justice hill", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|justice_hill|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5263, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justice hill \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bhayshul tuten", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.654, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.654, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bhayshul_tuten|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5291, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8374, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 12, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bhayshul tuten \u2014 longest_rush = 12 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bo nix", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -189, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bo_nix|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8372, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan addison", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.652, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.652, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jordan_addison|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jordan addison \u2014 rec = 0 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|bucky_irving|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 7, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 rec = 7 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton schultz", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dalton_schultz|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 18, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dalton schultz \u2014 longest_reception = 18 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "theo johnson", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|theo_johnson|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe burrow", "market": "PASS_TD_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|joe_burrow|PASS_TD_OVER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.65, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "joe burrow \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dallas goedert", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dallas_goedert|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 43, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dallas goedert \u2014 longest_reception = 43 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bijan robinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|bijan_robinson|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bijan robinson \u2014 rec = 8 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier worthy", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -184, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|xavier_worthy|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis etienne", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|travis_etienne|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian kirk", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|christian_kirk|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dontayvion wicks", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dontayvion_wicks|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5587, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dontayvion wicks \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.641, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.641, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cam_skattebo|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike gesicki", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mike_gesicki|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mike gesicki \u2014 rec = 5 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.63, "fair_american": -171, "p_predicted": 0.63, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|davante_adams|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.63, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hollywood brown", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.629, "fair_american": -170, "p_predicted": 0.629, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|hollywood_brown|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "breece hall", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|breece_hall|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5917, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "breece hall \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jatavion sanders", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.625, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.625, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jatavion_sanders|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "daniel jones", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.619, "fair_american": -162, "p_predicted": 0.619, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|daniel_jones|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6173, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7309, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "daniel jones \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonnu smith", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.618, "fair_american": -162, "p_predicted": 0.618, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jonnu_smith|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6173, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jonnu smith \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "geno smith", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.615, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.615, "matchup": "NYJ @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|geno_smith|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7298, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "geno smith \u2014 pass_td = 0 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dylan sampson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.615, "fair_american": -160, "p_predicted": 0.615, "matchup": "CLE @ JAX", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dylan_sampson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cj stroud", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.607, "fair_american": -154, "p_predicted": 0.607, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|cj_stroud|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7275, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden daniels", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.605, "fair_american": -153, "p_predicted": 0.605, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jayden_daniels|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.727, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden daniels \u2014 pass_td = 2 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.6, "fair_american": -150, "p_predicted": 0.6, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|cam_skattebo|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.6, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bo nix", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.589, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.589, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|bo_nix|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7225, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tua tagovailoa", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.586, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.586, "matchup": "ATL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|tua_tagovailoa|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.7217, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "james cook", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.566, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.566, "matchup": "BUF @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|james_cook|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.566, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jahmyr gibbs", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|jahmyr_gibbs|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.551, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jahmyr gibbs \u2014 anytime_td = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "derrick henry", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "BAL @ IND", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|derrick_henry|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8264, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.548, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "derrick henry \u2014 anytime_td = 3 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "DAL @ NYG", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|javonte_williams|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.545, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashee rice", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "DEN @ KC", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|rashee_rice|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-15", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.537, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dallas goedert", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|dallas_goedert|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.532, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "dallas goedert \u2014 anytime_td = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "saquon barkley", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.531, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.531, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|saquon_barkley|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.531, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "saquon barkley \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zach charbonnet", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "NE @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|zach_charbonnet|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.525, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tee higgins", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "TB @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|tee_higgins|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.525, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tee higgins \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tucker kraft", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "GB @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|tucker_kraft|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.517, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tucker kraft \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|puka_nacua|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.513, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis etienne", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|travis_etienne|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.512, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "MIA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|devon_achane|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.511, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|jalen_hurts|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.511, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "SF @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.509, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "amonra st brown", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "NO @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|amonra_st_brown|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.502, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_alts_home_total_over_109.7", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIAMI HEAT @ TORONTO RAPTORS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_109.7", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "MIAMI HEAT @ TORONTO RAPTORS", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "nba_alts_home_total_over_109_7|NBA|MIAMI_HEAT___TORONTO_RAPTORS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_109_7|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.8254, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "emma navarro", "market": "ACES_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -246, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_3_5|TENNIS|emma_navarro|ACES_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.711, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sal_Stewart|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Henry_Bolte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.09, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Bateman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Bateman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Bateman \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2134, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.307, "fair_american": 226, "p_predicted": 0.307, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Myles_Straw|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2121, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leo Bernal", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Leo_Bernal|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leo Bernal \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.285, "fair_american": 251, "p_predicted": 0.285, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.283, "fair_american": 253, "p_predicted": 0.283, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alika_Williams|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.277, "fair_american": 261, "p_predicted": 0.277, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1896, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.247, "fair_american": 305, "p_predicted": 0.247, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.05, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1853, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Turner Hill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Turner_Hill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Turner Hill \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alika_Williams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.513, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Myles Straw", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.401, "fair_american": 149, "p_predicted": 0.401, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Myles_Straw|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2929, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "H\u00e9ctor Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|H_ctor_Rodr_guez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "H\u00e9ctor Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Henry_Bolte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shohei Ohtani", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shohei_Ohtani|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "JJ Bleday", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|JJ_Bleday|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "JJ Bleday \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeff McNeil", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeff_McNeil|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeff McNeil \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.12, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jonah_Cox|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "H\u00e9ctor Rodr\u00edguez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|H_ctor_Rodr_guez|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "H\u00e9ctor Rodr\u00edguez \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sal Stewart", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.538, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.538, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Sal_Stewart|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sal Stewart \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|George_Springer|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Bateman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Brett_Bateman|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Bateman \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Turner Hill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.529, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.529, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Turner_Hill|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Turner Hill \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy Edman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Tommy_Edman|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tommy Edman \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nathan Lukes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.508, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.508, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Nathan_Lukes|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2398, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nathan Lukes \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T00:34:59", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401858217", "player_or_matchup": "DUKE @ ILL", "market": "cfb_model_ml_away", "prob": 0.3625, "p_predicted": 0.5412, "fair_american": 190, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|DUKE___ILL|cfb_model_ml_away|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T05:14:26", "p_calibrated": 0.5412, "outcome": { "final_score": "DUKE 31 @ ILL 27", "verify": "DUKE @ ILL: final 31-27 on 2026-09-12 (ESPN event 401858217)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401862705", "player_or_matchup": "UNLV @ UNT", "market": "cfb_model_ml_home", "prob": 0.4114, "p_predicted": 0.603, "fair_american": 154, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|UNLV___UNT|cfb_model_ml_home|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.54, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T05:14:26", "p_calibrated": 0.603, "outcome": { "final_score": "UNLV 6 @ UNT 44", "verify": "UNLV @ UNT: final 6-44 on 2026-09-12 (ESPN event 401862705)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401856679", "player_or_matchup": "OU @ MICH", "market": "cfb_model_ml_home", "prob": 0.3701, "p_predicted": 0.5262, "fair_american": 180, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|OU___MICH|cfb_model_ml_home|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.8, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T05:14:26", "p_calibrated": 0.5262, "outcome": { "final_score": "OU 10 @ MICH 17", "verify": "OU @ MICH: final 10-17 on 2026-09-12 (ESPN event 401856679)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ PHI", "market": "HOU_ML", "prob": 0.5677, "raw_prob": 0.5955, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": 119, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___PHI|HOU_ML|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.19, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5677, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 6 @ PHI 5", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "HOU @ PHI: final 6-5 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ SEA", "market": "TEX_ML", "prob": 0.5577, "raw_prob": 0.5798, "edge_pct": 18.8, "fair_american": 113, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___SEA|TEX_ML|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.13, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5577, "also_sources": [ "pod" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 10 @ SEA 5", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "TEX @ SEA: final 10-5 (total 15 runs) on 2026-09-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "sharp_elite", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "market": "ml_home", "prob": 0.8248, "edge_pct": 6.8, "tier": "ELITE", "shift_pp": 17.53, "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "sharp_elite|MLB|CIN___LAD|ml_home|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6999, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 2 @ LAD 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "CIN @ LAD: final 2-3 (total 5) on 2026-09-08", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "van jefferson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|van_jefferson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "van jefferson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "WSH @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|van_jefferson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_0|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_0|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_7|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_7|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_0|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_0|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_1|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_1|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_4|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_4|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player1", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Coco_Gauff_vs_Mirra_Andreeva|ML_PLAYER1|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5618, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.64, "outcome": { "match": "Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva", "winner": "Coco Gauff", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 29, "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "verify": "Coco Gauff won 2-1 (29 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER1" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17_5|TENNIS|Coco_Gauff_vs_Mirra_Andreeva|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17_5|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva", "winner": "Coco Gauff", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 29, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "verify": "Coco Gauff won 2-1 (29 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_4.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "coco gauff", "market": "ACES_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.659, "fair_american": -193, "p_predicted": 0.659, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_4_5|TENNIS|coco_gauff|ACES_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.659, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_2.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "mirra andreeva", "market": "ACES_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_2_5|TENNIS|mirra_andreeva|ACES_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.643, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ PHI", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.492, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.492, "matchup": "HOU @ PHI", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|HOU___PHI|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.492, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|LAA___BOS|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.504, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|NYM___MIA|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.537, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ DET", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.56, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.56, "matchup": "MIN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|MIN___DET|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-08", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T16:43:19", "p_calibrated": 0.56, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:03", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ MIA", "market": "MIA_ML", "prob": 0.6203, "raw_prob": 0.637, "edge_pct": 12.1, "fair_american": -124, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYM___MIA|MIA_ML|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T18:00:24", "p_calibrated": 0.6203, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 7 @ MIA 5", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "NYM @ MIA: final 7-5 (total 12 runs) on 2026-09-08" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "caleb williams", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|caleb_williams|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.25, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.8, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 21, "line": 25.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caleb williams \u2014 pass_cmp = 21 (line 25.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colston loveland", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -375, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|colston_loveland|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2667, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.9003, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "colston loveland \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle monangai", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -366, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kyle_monangai|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7527, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 100, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kyle monangai \u2014 rush_yds = 100 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bam knight", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -366, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bam_knight|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.8554, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colston loveland", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -359, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|colston_loveland|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2786, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 0, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "colston loveland \u2014 rec_yds = 0 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler allgeier", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -358, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tyler_allgeier|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2793, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.8549, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 11, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler allgeier \u2014 longest_rush = 11 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luther burden", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -355, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|luther_burden|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kalif raymond", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kalif_raymond|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7907, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kalif raymond \u2014 rec = 8 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael wilson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|michael_wilson|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2924, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 56, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael wilson \u2014 rec_yds = 56 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luther burden", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.771, "fair_american": -337, "p_predicted": 0.771, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|luther_burden|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7863, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael wilson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -335, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|michael_wilson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2985, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.8343, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 17, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael wilson \u2014 longest_reception = 17 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendrick bourne", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kendrick_bourne|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7819, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kendrick bourne \u2014 rec = 8 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dandre swift", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -327, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|dandre_swift|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.8528, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacoby brissett", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jacoby_brissett|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7719, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jacoby brissett \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "caleb williams", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|caleb_williams|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7716, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caleb williams \u2014 pass_td = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "caleb williams", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_299.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -317, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|caleb_williams|PASS_YDS_UNDER_299_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7073, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 269, "line": 299.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caleb williams \u2014 pass_yds = 269 (line 299.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marvin harrison", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -317, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|marvin_harrison|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "elijah higgins", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -305, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|elijah_higgins|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7606, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rome odunze", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|rome_odunze|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.6469, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 47, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rome odunze \u2014 longest_reception = 47 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rome odunze", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|rome_odunze|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.346, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7786, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 52, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rome odunze \u2014 rec_yds = 52 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendrick bourne", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|kendrick_bourne|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7785, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 75, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kendrick bourne \u2014 rec_yds = 75 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marvin harrison", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|marvin_harrison|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marvin harrison", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|marvin_harrison|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.6394, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dandre swift", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -276, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|dandre_swift|RUSH_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.734, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "caleb williams", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|caleb_williams|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.8484, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 29, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caleb williams \u2014 longest_rush = 29 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luther burden", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|luther_burden|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.6371, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trey mcbride", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -274, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|trey_mcbride|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.365, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7564, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 9, "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "trey mcbride \u2014 rec = 9 (line 5.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacoby brissett", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jacoby_brissett|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.6988, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 277, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jacoby brissett \u2014 pass_yds = 277 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacoby brissett", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jacoby_brissett|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3731, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.729, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 27, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jacoby brissett \u2014 pass_cmp = 27 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bam knight", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.725, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.725, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|bam_knight|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trey mcbride", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.723, "fair_american": -261, "p_predicted": 0.723, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|trey_mcbride|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.6296, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 27, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "trey mcbride \u2014 longest_reception = 27 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kalif raymond", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kalif_raymond|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 28, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kalif raymond \u2014 longest_reception = 28 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cole kmet", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|cole_kmet|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 22, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cole kmet \u2014 longest_reception = 22 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler allgeier", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|tyler_allgeier|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7394, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 61, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler allgeier \u2014 rush_yds = 61 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cole kmet", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -247, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cole_kmet|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7317, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cole kmet \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trey mcbride", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|trey_mcbride|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4132, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.708, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 95, "line": 49.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "trey mcbride \u2014 rec_yds = 95 (line 49.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle monangai", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -233, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kyle_monangai|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4292, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.7, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 61, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kyle monangai \u2014 longest_rush = 61 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendrick bourne", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kendrick_bourne|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4329, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 13, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kendrick bourne \u2014 longest_reception = 13 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colston loveland", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|colston_loveland|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4405, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.6855, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 0, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "colston loveland \u2014 rec = 0 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rome odunze", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rome_odunze|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4405, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.6855, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rome odunze \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael wilson", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.685, "fair_american": -218, "p_predicted": 0.685, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|michael_wilson|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4587, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.658, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael wilson \u2014 rec = 5 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dandre swift", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.648, "fair_american": -184, "p_predicted": 0.648, "matchup": "CHI @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dandre_swift|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trey mcbride", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "ARI @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|trey_mcbride|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-08T19:11:30", "p_calibrated": 0.501, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "trey mcbride \u2014 anytime_td = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "market": "KCR_ML", "prob": 0.597, "raw_prob": 0.6182, "edge_pct": 16.6, "fair_american": -105, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___KCR|KCR_ML|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07", "p_calibrated": 0.597, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 2 @ KC 5", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "ARI @ KC: final 2-5 (total 7 runs) on 2026-09-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.5911, "raw_prob": 0.6342, "edge_pct": 12.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___BAL|UNDER_9_0|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5807, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 5 @ BAL 9", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "CLE @ BAL: final 5-9 (total 14) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ BAL", "market": "BAL_ML", "prob": 0.5923, "raw_prob": 0.6088, "edge_pct": 12.6, "fair_american": -111, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___BAL|BAL_ML|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9009, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T05:36:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5923, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 5 @ BAL 9", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "CLE @ BAL: final 5-9 (total 14 runs) on 2026-09-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ SEA", "market": "TEX_ML", "prob": 0.5797, "raw_prob": 0.6763, "edge_pct": 33.3, "fair_american": 130, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___SEA|TEX_ML|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "also_sources": [ "pod" ], "p_calibrated": 0.5797, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 2 @ SEA 3", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "TEX @ SEA: final 2-3 (total 5 runs) on 2026-09-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.309, "fair_american": 224, "p_predicted": 0.309, "matchup": "Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Quentin_Pasley_vs_Arlind_Berisha|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.24, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha", "winner": "Quentin Pasley", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Quentin Pasley def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T21:00:23", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T21:00:23", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Echols vs Martin Koz\u00e1k", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.253, "fair_american": 295, "p_predicted": 0.253, "matchup": "Christian Echols vs Martin Koz\u00e1k", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Christian_Echols_vs_Martin_Koz_k|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Christian Echols vs Martin Koz\u00e1k", "winner": "Martin Koz\u00e1k", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Martin Koz\u00e1k def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T21:00:23", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T21:00:23", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.22, "fair_american": 354, "p_predicted": 0.22, "matchup": "Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Isaac_Moreno_vs_Reginaldo_Junior|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3524, "outcome": { "fight": "Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior", "winner": "Isaac Moreno", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Isaac Moreno def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-09T21:00:23", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-09T21:00:23", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_3|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_3|2026-09-09", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_5|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_5|2026-09-09", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_9|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_9|2026-09-09", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_9|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_9|2026-09-09", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Jessica_Pegula_vs_Aryna_Sabalenka|ML_PLAYER2|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4219, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.703, "outcome": { "match": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "winner": "Aryna Sabalenka", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 20, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Aryna Sabalenka won 0-2 (20 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_19_5|TENNIS|Jessica_Pegula_vs_Aryna_Sabalenka|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "winner": "Aryna Sabalenka", "sets": "0-2", "total_games": 20, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5", "verify": "Aryna Sabalenka won 0-2 (20 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_5.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "aryna sabalenka", "market": "ACES_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_5_5|TENNIS|aryna_sabalenka|ACES_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-09", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.717, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.476, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.476, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|TOR___OAK|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-09", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.476, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ SDP", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.478, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.478, "matchup": "WSN @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|WSN___SDP|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-09", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.478, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "ARI @ KCR", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|ARI___KCR|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-09", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T07:34:17", "p_calibrated": 0.54, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ BOS", "market": "BOS_ML", "prob": 0.6552, "raw_prob": 0.8523, "edge_pct": 25.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___BOS|BOS_ML|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T13:19:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6552, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong", "sharp_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 6 @ BOS 4", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "LAA @ BOS: final 6-4 (total 10 runs) on 2026-09-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ NYY", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6457, "raw_prob": 0.7269, "edge_pct": 23.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|COL___NYY|NYY_ML|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T13:19:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6457, "also_sources": [ "pod" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 1 @ NYY 6", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "COL @ NYY: final 1-6 (total 7 runs) on 2026-09-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.6342, "raw_prob": 0.7998, "edge_pct": 21.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___LAD|LAD_ML|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T13:19:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6342, "also_sources": [ "sharp_elite" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 1 @ LAD 14", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "CIN @ LAD: final 1-14 (total 15 runs) on 2026-09-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ PHI", "market": "PHI_ML", "prob": 0.6255, "raw_prob": 0.6509, "edge_pct": 19.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___PHI|PHI_ML|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T13:19:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6255, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 7 @ PHI 11", "total_runs": 18, "verify": "HOU @ PHI: final 7-11 (total 18 runs) on 2026-09-09" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Crystal Palace", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Crystal Palace", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Ipswich_Town___Crystal_Palace|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ipswich Town 3-2 Crystal Palace", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "anan khalaili", "emersonn", "leif davis", "j\u00f8rgen strand larsen", "zian flemming" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Ipswich Town 3-2 Crystal Palace: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Everton @ Tottenham Hotspur", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Everton @ Tottenham Hotspur", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Everton___Tottenham_Hotspur|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Everton 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Everton 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T18:28:26" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Arsenal @ Sunderland", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "Arsenal @ Sunderland", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Arsenal___Sunderland|BTTS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5763, "outcome": { "final_score": "Arsenal 2-0 Sunderland", "total_cards": 9, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "bruno guimar\u00e3es", "bukayo saka" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Arsenal 2-0 Sunderland: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T22:23:01" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Brentford @ AFC Bournemouth", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.625, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.625, "matchup": "Brentford @ AFC Bournemouth", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Brentford___AFC_Bournemouth|BTTS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5988, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.576, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brentford 2-2 AFC Bournemouth", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kevin schade", "justin kluivert", "marcus tavernier", "kevin schade" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Brentford 2-2 AFC Bournemouth: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Fulham @ Liverpool", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.625, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.625, "matchup": "Fulham @ Liverpool", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Fulham___Liverpool|BTTS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.576, "outcome": { "final_score": "Fulham 0-0 Liverpool", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Fulham 0-0 Liverpool: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Crystal Palace", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Crystal Palace", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Ipswich_Town___Crystal_Palace|BTTS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ipswich Town 3-2 Crystal Palace", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "anan khalaili", "emersonn", "leif davis", "j\u00f8rgen strand larsen", "zian flemming" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Ipswich Town 3-2 Crystal Palace: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Everton @ Tottenham Hotspur", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Everton @ Tottenham Hotspur", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Everton___Tottenham_Hotspur|BTTS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Everton 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Everton 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T18:28:26" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Brentford @ AFC Bournemouth", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Brentford @ AFC Bournemouth", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Brentford___AFC_Bournemouth|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brentford 2-2 AFC Bournemouth", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kevin schade", "justin kluivert", "marcus tavernier", "kevin schade" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Brentford 2-2 AFC Bournemouth: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Nottingham_Forest___Aston_Villa|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "liam delap", "alysson", "igor jesus" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Hull City @ Chelsea", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Hull City @ Chelsea", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Hull_City___Chelsea|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Hull City 2-2 Chelsea", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "morgan rogers", "mohamed belloumi", "mohamed belloumi", "jo\u00e3o pedro" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Hull City 2-2 Chelsea: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Fulham @ Liverpool", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Fulham @ Liverpool", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Fulham___Liverpool|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Fulham 0-0 Liverpool", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Fulham 0-0 Liverpool: 0 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Arsenal @ Sunderland", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Arsenal @ Sunderland", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Arsenal___Sunderland|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Arsenal 2-0 Sunderland", "total_cards": 9, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "bruno guimar\u00e3es", "bukayo saka" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Arsenal 2-0 Sunderland: 2 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T22:23:01" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "LASK Linz @ AEK Athens", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "LASK Linz @ AEK Athens", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|LASK_Linz___AEK_Athens|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "LASK Linz 0-1 AEK Athens", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "razvan marin" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "LASK Linz 0-1 AEK Athens: 1 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Club Brugge", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Club Brugge", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|Aston_Villa___Club_Brugge|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 3-2 Club Brugge", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "john mcginn", "hugo vetlesen", "emiliano buend\u00eda", "nicolas jackson", "nicolo tresoldi" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "Aston Villa 3-2 Club Brugge: 5 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|Villarreal___Borussia_Dortmund|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "Villarreal 2-3 Borussia Dortmund", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "santiago mouri\u00f1o", "serhou guirassy", "serhou guirassy" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "Villarreal 2-3 Borussia Dortmund: 5 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester City @ FC Porto", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Manchester City @ FC Porto", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|Manchester_City___FC_Porto|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester City 2-0 FC Porto", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "erling haaland", "erling haaland" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "Manchester City 2-0 FC Porto: 2 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Real Betis @ Lille", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Real Betis @ Lille", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|Real_Betis___Lille|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Betis 3-2 Lille", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "ayase ueda", "marc bartra", "alexsandro", "marc bartra", "troy parrott" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "Real Betis 3-2 Lille: 5 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Internazionale @ Real Madrid", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Internazionale @ Real Madrid", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|Internazionale___Real_Madrid|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "federico valverde", "carlos augusto" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid: 3 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Brentford @ AFC Bournemouth", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -339, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "Brentford @ AFC Bournemouth", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Brentford___AFC_Bournemouth|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.295, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brentford 2-2 AFC Bournemouth", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "kevin schade", "justin kluivert", "marcus tavernier", "kevin schade" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Brentford 2-2 AFC Bournemouth: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Nottingham_Forest___Aston_Villa|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3448, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "liam delap", "alysson", "igor jesus" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Hull City @ Chelsea", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "Hull City @ Chelsea", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Hull_City___Chelsea|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3448, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Hull City 2-2 Chelsea", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "morgan rogers", "mohamed belloumi", "mohamed belloumi", "jo\u00e3o pedro" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Hull City 2-2 Chelsea: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Crystal Palace", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Crystal Palace", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Ipswich_Town___Crystal_Palace|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ipswich Town 3-2 Crystal Palace", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "anan khalaili", "emersonn", "leif davis", "j\u00f8rgen strand larsen", "zian flemming" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Ipswich Town 3-2 Crystal Palace: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Fulham @ Liverpool", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.769, "fair_american": -333, "p_predicted": 0.769, "matchup": "Fulham @ Liverpool", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Fulham___Liverpool|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Fulham 0-0 Liverpool", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Fulham 0-0 Liverpool: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Everton @ Tottenham Hotspur", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Everton @ Tottenham Hotspur", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Everton___Tottenham_Hotspur|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Everton 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Everton 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T18:28:26" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Arsenal @ Sunderland", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "Arsenal @ Sunderland", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Arsenal___Sunderland|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2825, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Arsenal 2-0 Sunderland", "total_cards": 9, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "bruno guimar\u00e3es", "bukayo saka" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Arsenal 2-0 Sunderland: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T22:23:01" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "LASK Linz @ AEK Athens", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "LASK Linz @ AEK Athens", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|LASK_Linz___AEK_Athens|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "LASK Linz 0-1 AEK Athens", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "razvan marin" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "LASK Linz 0-1 AEK Athens: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|Villarreal___Borussia_Dortmund|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Villarreal 2-3 Borussia Dortmund", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "santiago mouri\u00f1o", "serhou guirassy", "serhou guirassy" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Villarreal 2-3 Borussia Dortmund: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Internazionale @ Real Madrid", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Internazionale @ Real Madrid", "date": "2026-09-08", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|Internazionale___Real_Madrid|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-08", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T16:44:48", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "kylian mbapp\u00e9", "federico valverde", "carlos augusto" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Internazionale 1-2 Real Madrid: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T04:52:28" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "viktor gyokeres", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.667, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.667, "matchup": "Galatasaray @ Sporting CP", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|UCL|viktor_gyokeres|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.667, "outcome": { "final_score": "Galatasaray 1-3 Sporting CP", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "geny catamo", "luis su\u00e1rez", "rodrigo zalazar" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Galatasaray 1-3 Sporting CP: viktor gyokeres did not score \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Feyenoord Rotterdam @ Barcelona", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Feyenoord Rotterdam @ Barcelona", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Feyenoord_Rotterdam___Barcelona|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Feyenoord Rotterdam 1-5 Barcelona", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "raphinha", "karim adeyemi", "raphinha", "lamine yamal", "sem steijn", "gabriel jesus" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Feyenoord Rotterdam 1-5 Barcelona: 2 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Viking FK @ VfB Stuttgart", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Viking FK @ VfB Stuttgart", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Viking_FK___VfB_Stuttgart|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Viking FK 1-3 VfB Stuttgart", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "ermedin demirovic", "zlatko tripic", "ermedin demirovic", "ermedin demirovic" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Viking FK 1-3 VfB Stuttgart: 3 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid @ Liverpool", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid @ Liverpool", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Atl_tico_Madrid___Liverpool|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid 1-2 Liverpool", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "marcos llorente", "dominik szoboszlai", "alexis mac allister" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid 1-2 Liverpool: 2 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Arsenal @ Napoli", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Arsenal @ Napoli", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Arsenal___Napoli|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Arsenal 1-0 Napoli", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "martin \u00f8degaard" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Arsenal 1-0 Napoli: 3 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Slovan Bratislava @ Paris Saint-Germain", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Slovan Bratislava @ Paris Saint-Germain", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Slovan_Bratislava___Paris_Saint_Germain|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Slovan Bratislava 1-6 Paris Saint-Germain", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 7, "scorers": [ "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "ferran torres", "ferran torres", "ferran torres", "suleiman camara", "fabi\u00e1n ruiz" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Slovan Bratislava 1-6 Paris Saint-Germain: 1 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Galatasaray @ Sporting CP", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Galatasaray @ Sporting CP", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Galatasaray___Sporting_CP|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Galatasaray 1-3 Sporting CP", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "geny catamo", "luis su\u00e1rez", "rodrigo zalazar" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Galatasaray 1-3 Sporting CP: 6 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Feyenoord Rotterdam @ Barcelona", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Feyenoord Rotterdam @ Barcelona", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Feyenoord_Rotterdam___Barcelona|BTTS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Feyenoord Rotterdam 1-5 Barcelona", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "raphinha", "karim adeyemi", "raphinha", "lamine yamal", "sem steijn", "gabriel jesus" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Feyenoord Rotterdam 1-5 Barcelona: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Viking FK @ VfB Stuttgart", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Viking FK @ VfB Stuttgart", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Viking_FK___VfB_Stuttgart|BTTS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Viking FK 1-3 VfB Stuttgart", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "ermedin demirovic", "zlatko tripic", "ermedin demirovic", "ermedin demirovic" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Viking FK 1-3 VfB Stuttgart: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid @ Liverpool", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid @ Liverpool", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Atl_tico_Madrid___Liverpool|BTTS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid 1-2 Liverpool", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "marcos llorente", "dominik szoboszlai", "alexis mac allister" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid 1-2 Liverpool: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Arsenal @ Napoli", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Arsenal @ Napoli", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Arsenal___Napoli|BTTS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Arsenal 1-0 Napoli", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "martin \u00f8degaard" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Arsenal 1-0 Napoli: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Slovan Bratislava @ Paris Saint-Germain", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Slovan Bratislava @ Paris Saint-Germain", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Slovan_Bratislava___Paris_Saint_Germain|BTTS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Slovan Bratislava 1-6 Paris Saint-Germain", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 7, "scorers": [ "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "ferran torres", "ferran torres", "ferran torres", "suleiman camara", "fabi\u00e1n ruiz" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Slovan Bratislava 1-6 Paris Saint-Germain: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Galatasaray @ Sporting CP", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Galatasaray @ Sporting CP", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Galatasaray___Sporting_CP|BTTS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Galatasaray 1-3 Sporting CP", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "geny catamo", "luis su\u00e1rez", "rodrigo zalazar" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Galatasaray 1-3 Sporting CP: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T11:29:20" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Henry_Bolte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.302, "fair_american": 231, "p_predicted": 0.302, "matchup": "WSN @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2088, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.284, "fair_american": 252, "p_predicted": 0.284, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.278, "fair_american": 260, "p_predicted": 0.278, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonah Cox", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.263, "fair_american": 280, "p_predicted": 0.263, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonah_Cox|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1991, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonah Cox \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.26, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.26, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Alika_Williams|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1965, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "WSN @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ty_France|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.92, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Donovan_Walton|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Koss", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Koss|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Koss \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alika_Williams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Henry_Bolte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "TOR @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.82, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.436, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Grant McCray", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Grant_McCray|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Grant McCray \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "WSN @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drew Gilbert", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drew_Gilbert|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drew Gilbert \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "STL @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6803, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Eldridge \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "WSN @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Manny_Machado|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:10", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "rlm_strong", "sport": "MLB", "date": "2026-09-09", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "market": "HOME ML", "prob": null, "fair_american": -110, "rlm_strength": "STRONG", "line_delta_pp": -9.3, "pick_id": "rlm_strong|MLB|PIT___CHW|HOME_ML|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T21:00:23", "also_sources": [ "top_25_board" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 4 @ CHW 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "PIT @ CHW: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-09-09", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Quentin_Pasley_vs_Arlind_Berisha|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.3, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha", "winner": "Quentin Pasley", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Quentin Pasley def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Echols vs Martin Koz\u00e1k", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "Christian Echols vs Martin Koz\u00e1k", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Christian_Echols_vs_Martin_Koz_k|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Christian Echols vs Martin Koz\u00e1k", "winner": "Martin Koz\u00e1k", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Martin Koz\u00e1k def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.218, "fair_american": 358, "p_predicted": 0.218, "matchup": "Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Isaac_Moreno_vs_Reginaldo_Junior|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3486, "outcome": { "fight": "Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior", "winner": "Isaac Moreno", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Isaac Moreno def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-10T13:26:49", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "CIN @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T00:04:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Frances Tiafoe", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Frances Tiafoe", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19_5|TENNIS|Ben_Shelton_vs_Frances_Tiafoe|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19_5|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T00:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Ben Shelton vs Frances Tiafoe", "winner": "Ben Shelton", "sets": "3-1", "total_games": 40, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "verify": "Ben Shelton won 3-1 (40 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Coco Gauff", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Coco Gauff", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_19_5|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Coco_Gauff|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19_5|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T00:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Coco Gauff", "winner": "Elena Rybakina", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 29, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5", "verify": "Elena Rybakina won 2-1 (29 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_19.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "tennis_sets_goes_to_3_sets_yes", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Frances Tiafoe", "market": "GOES_TO_3_SETS_YES", "prob": 0.499, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.499, "matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Frances Tiafoe", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "tennis_sets_goes_to_3_sets_yes|TENNIS|Ben_Shelton_vs_Frances_Tiafoe|GOES_TO_3_SETS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T00:18:45", "p_calibrated": 0.499, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_12.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "ben shelton", "market": "ACES_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.644, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.644, "matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Frances Tiafoe", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_12_5|TENNIS|ben_shelton|ACES_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": 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(total 7 runs) on 2026-09-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.5623, "raw_prob": 0.5708, "edge_pct": 6.4, "fair_american": -112, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PIT___CHW|CHW_ML|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.5623, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 2 @ CHW 0", "total_runs": 2, "verify": "PIT @ CHW: final 2-0 (total 2 runs) on 2026-09-10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ NYY", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.8262, "edge_pct": 57.74, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|COL___NYY|NYY_ML|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.8262, "outcome": 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"2026-09-13T04:56:40" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Nashville SC @ Inter Miami CF", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -303, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "Nashville SC @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Nashville_SC___Inter_Miami_CF|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.33, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Nashville SC 2-2 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "sam surridge", "lionel messi", "sam surridge" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Nashville SC 2-2 Inter Miami CF: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T04:56:40" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto FC @ Orlando City SC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ Orlando City SC", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Toronto_FC___Orlando_City_SC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.6383, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 0-3 Orlando City SC", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "antoine griezmann", "harvey sarajian", "iv\u00e1n angulo" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Toronto FC 0-3 Orlando City SC: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T04:56:40" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Portland Timbers @ FC Dallas", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.741, "fair_american": -286, "p_predicted": 0.741, "matchup": "Portland Timbers @ FC Dallas", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Portland_Timbers___FC_Dallas|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3497, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Portland Timbers 1-2 FC Dallas", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "logan farrington", "joaqu\u00edn valiente", "ariel lassiter" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Portland Timbers 1-2 FC Dallas: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T04:56:40" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ Sporting Kansas City", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "LAFC @ Sporting Kansas City", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|LAFC___Sporting_Kansas_City|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3425, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 1-3 Sporting Kansas City", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "andr\u00e9 luiz", "taylor calheira", "denis bouanga", "jacob bartlett" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "LAFC 1-3 Sporting Kansas City: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T04:56:40" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ St. Louis CITY SC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "Minnesota United FC @ St. Louis CITY SC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Minnesota_United_FC___St__Louis_CITY_SC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7134, "outcome": { "final_score": "Minnesota United FC 2-4 St. Louis CITY SC", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "tom\u00e1s chancalay", "daniel edelman", "carlo holse", "rafael navarro", "rafael navarro", "kelvin yeboah" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Minnesota United FC 2-4 St. Louis CITY SC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T04:56:40" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Colorado Rapids", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "CF Montr\u00e9al @ Colorado Rapids", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|CF_Montr_al___Colorado_Rapids|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.6455, 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hanri" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "New York City FC 2-0 Real Salt Lake: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T04:56:40" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ LA Galaxy", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ LA Galaxy", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Seattle_Sounders_FC___LA_Galaxy|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3448, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-1 LA Galaxy", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "marco reus", "paul arriola" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Seattle Sounders FC 1-1 LA Galaxy: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T04:56:40" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "Houston Dynamo FC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Houston_Dynamo_FC___San_Jose_Earthquakes|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Houston Dynamo FC 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "daniel munie" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Houston Dynamo FC 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T04:56:40" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Feyenoord Rotterdam @ Barcelona", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Feyenoord Rotterdam @ Barcelona", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|Feyenoord_Rotterdam___Barcelona|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Feyenoord Rotterdam 1-5 Barcelona", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "raphinha", "karim adeyemi", "raphinha", "lamine yamal", "sem steijn", "gabriel jesus" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Feyenoord Rotterdam 1-5 Barcelona: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T04:49:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Viking FK @ VfB Stuttgart", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Viking FK @ VfB Stuttgart", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|Viking_FK___VfB_Stuttgart|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Viking FK 1-3 VfB Stuttgart", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "ermedin demirovic", "zlatko tripic", "ermedin demirovic", "ermedin demirovic" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Viking FK 1-3 VfB Stuttgart: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T04:49:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid @ Liverpool", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid @ Liverpool", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|Atl_tico_Madrid___Liverpool|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid 1-2 Liverpool", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "marcos llorente", "dominik szoboszlai", "alexis mac allister" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid 1-2 Liverpool: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T04:49:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Slovan Bratislava @ Paris Saint-Germain", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Slovan Bratislava @ Paris Saint-Germain", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|Slovan_Bratislava___Paris_Saint_Germain|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Slovan Bratislava 1-6 Paris Saint-Germain", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 7, "scorers": [ "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "ousmane demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "ferran torres", "ferran torres", "ferran torres", "suleiman camara", "fabi\u00e1n ruiz" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Slovan Bratislava 1-6 Paris Saint-Germain: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T04:49:59" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Galatasaray @ Sporting CP", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Galatasaray @ Sporting CP", "date": "2026-09-09", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|Galatasaray___Sporting_CP|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-09", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Galatasaray 1-3 Sporting CP", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "geny catamo", "luis su\u00e1rez", "rodrigo zalazar" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Galatasaray 1-3 Sporting CP: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T04:49:59" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_6|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_6|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_8|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_8|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Zverev", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_17.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Zverev", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_17_5|TENNIS|Karen_Khachanov_vs_Alexander_Zverev|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_17_5|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 0.3451, "outcome": { "match": "Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Zverev", "winner": "Alexander Zverev", "sets": "0-3", "total_games": 35, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_17.5", "verify": "Alexander Zverev won 0-3 (35 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T23:55:59" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_10.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "alexander zverev", "market": "ACES_UNDER_10.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Zverev", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_10_5|TENNIS|alexander_zverev|ACES_UNDER_10_5|2026-09-10", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T16:30:53", "p_calibrated": 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0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Yousri_Belgaroui_vs_Djorden_Santos|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos", "winner": "Yousri Belgaroui", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Yousri Belgaroui def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.209, "fair_american": 379, "p_predicted": 0.209, "matchup": "Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Muslim_Salikhov_vs_Ignacio_Bahamondes|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes", "winner": "Ignacio Bahamondes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ignacio Bahamondes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Drakkar_Klose_vs_Tommy_Gantt|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt", "winner": "Tommy Gantt", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tommy Gantt def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.197, "fair_american": 407, "p_predicted": 0.197, "matchup": "Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Rafa_Garcia_vs_Rongzhu|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu", "winner": "Rongzhu", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Rongzhu def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 424, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tommy_McMillen_vs_Marwan_Rahiki|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes", "winner": "Apollo Gomes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Apollo Gomes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 432, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jessie_Rosas_vs_Sean_King|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.32, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King III", "winner": "Sean King III", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Sean King III def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Elliott vs \u00c9dgar Ch\u00e1irez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 432, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "Tim Elliott vs \u00c9dgar Ch\u00e1irez", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tim_Elliott_vs__dgar_Ch_irez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Tim Elliott vs \u00c9dgar Ch\u00e1irez", "winner": "Tim Elliott", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tim Elliott def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 445, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jean_Silva_vs_Jose_Miguel_Delgado|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes", "winner": "Apollo Gomes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Apollo Gomes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "harry kane", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.648, "fair_american": -184, "p_predicted": 0.648, "matchup": "Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|UCL|harry_kane|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5435, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.648, "outcome": { "final_score": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jamal musiala", "harry kane", "alphonso davies", "michael olise", "michael olise" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich: harry kane scored \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "AS Roma @ Fenerbahce", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "AS Roma @ Fenerbahce", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|AS_Roma___Fenerbahce|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "AS Roma 1-1 Fenerbahce", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "bryan cristante", "archie brown" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "AS Roma 1-1 Fenerbahce: 6 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Shakhtar Donetsk @ PSV Eindhoven", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Shakhtar Donetsk @ PSV Eindhoven", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Shakhtar_Donetsk___PSV_Eindhoven|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 PSV Eindhoven", "total_cards": 10, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "gleiker mendoza", "sergi\u00f1o dest" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 PSV Eindhoven: 10 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Bodo_Glimt___Bayern_Munich|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jamal musiala", "harry kane", "alphonso davies", "michael olise", "michael olise" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich: 2 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "RB Leipzig @ Como", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "RB Leipzig @ Como", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|RB_Leipzig___Como|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "RB Leipzig 1-4 Como", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "martin baturina", "anastasios douvikas", "assane diao", "andrija maksimovic", "m\u00e1ximo perrone" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "RB Leipzig 1-4 Como: 5 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Sabah FK @ Manchester United", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Sabah FK @ Manchester United", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Sabah_FK___Manchester_United|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sabah FK 0-4 Manchester United", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha", "bruno fernandes", "benjamin sesko", "lisandro mart\u00ednez" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Sabah FK 0-4 Manchester United: 2 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6.0", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Lens @ Slavia Prague", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Lens @ Slavia Prague", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_6_0|UCL|Lens___Slavia_Prague|CARDS_UNDER_6_0|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Lens 3-2 Slavia Prague", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "danijel sturm", "abdallah sima", "danijel sturm", "florian thauvin", "ruben aguilar" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_6.0", "verify": "Lens 3-2 Slavia Prague: 2 cards (line 6.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_6.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "AS Roma @ Fenerbahce", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "AS Roma @ Fenerbahce", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|AS_Roma___Fenerbahce|BTTS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "AS Roma 1-1 Fenerbahce", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "bryan cristante", "archie brown" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "AS Roma 1-1 Fenerbahce: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Shakhtar Donetsk @ PSV Eindhoven", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Shakhtar Donetsk @ PSV Eindhoven", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Shakhtar_Donetsk___PSV_Eindhoven|BTTS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 PSV Eindhoven", "total_cards": 10, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "gleiker mendoza", "sergi\u00f1o dest" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 PSV Eindhoven: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Bodo_Glimt___Bayern_Munich|BTTS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jamal musiala", "harry kane", "alphonso davies", "michael olise", "michael olise" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "RB Leipzig @ Como", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "RB Leipzig @ Como", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|RB_Leipzig___Como|BTTS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "RB Leipzig 1-4 Como", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "martin baturina", "anastasios douvikas", "assane diao", "andrija maksimovic", "m\u00e1ximo perrone" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "RB Leipzig 1-4 Como: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Sabah FK @ Manchester United", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Sabah FK @ Manchester United", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Sabah_FK___Manchester_United|BTTS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sabah FK 0-4 Manchester United", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha", "bruno fernandes", "benjamin sesko", "lisandro mart\u00ednez" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Sabah FK 0-4 Manchester United: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Lens @ Slavia Prague", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "Lens @ Slavia Prague", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|UCL|Lens___Slavia_Prague|BTTS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Lens 3-2 Slavia Prague", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "danijel sturm", "abdallah sima", "danijel sturm", "florian thauvin", "ruben aguilar" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Lens 3-2 Slavia Prague: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T11:31:16" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lazaro Montes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "TEX @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lazaro_Montes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2574, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lazaro Montes \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "TEX @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.1982, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.242, "fair_american": 313, "p_predicted": 0.242, "matchup": "TEX @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.181, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lazaro Montes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "TEX @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lazaro_Montes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lazaro Montes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "TEX @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-10T18:52:32", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-10", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tristan_Peters|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.292, "fair_american": 242, "p_predicted": 0.292, "matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.42, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T19:27:44", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 286, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1956, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T19:27:44" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.256, "fair_american": 291, "p_predicted": 0.256, "matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1931, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.24, "fair_american": 317, "p_predicted": 0.24, "matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1793, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.222, "fair_american": 350, "p_predicted": 0.222, "matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-11T19:27:44", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "PIT @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T00:14:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Choi Jeong", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7322, "raw_prob": 0.8813, "edge_pct": 39.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Choi_Jeong|one_plus_tb|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7322, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Pirela", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7294, "raw_prob": 0.8761, "edge_pct": 39.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Jose_Pirela|one_plus_tb|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7294, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Koo Ja-wook", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7273, "raw_prob": 0.8724, "edge_pct": 38.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Koo_Ja_wook|one_plus_tb|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7273, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Mel Rojas Jr.", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7256, "raw_prob": 0.8692, "edge_pct": 38.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Mel_Rojas_Jr_|one_plus_tb|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7256, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Dean", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7256, "raw_prob": 0.8692, "edge_pct": 38.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Austin_Dean|one_plus_tb|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7256, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Choi Hyung-woo", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7242, "raw_prob": 0.8668, "edge_pct": 38.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Choi_Hyung_woo|one_plus_tb|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.7242, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Montreal_Canadiens___Toronto_Maple_Leafs|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto Maple Leafs @ Montreal Canadiens", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Toronto Maple Leafs @ Montreal Canadiens", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Toronto_Maple_Leafs___Montreal_Canadiens|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Dallas Stars @ St. Louis Blues", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Dallas Stars @ St. Louis Blues", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": 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MIN", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "CHI @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|CHI___MIN|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "VGK @ LAK", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "VGK @ LAK", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|VGK___LAK|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "VAN @ SEA", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "VAN @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|VAN___SEA|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_anytime_goal_no", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "jack eichel", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL_NO", "prob": 0.905, "fair_american": -951, "p_predicted": 0.905, "matchup": "VGK @ LAK", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_anytime_goal_no|NHL|jack_eichel|ANYTIME_GOAL_NO|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.905, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_anytime_goal_no", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "elias pettersson", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL_NO", "prob": 0.905, "fair_american": -951, "p_predicted": 0.905, "matchup": "VAN @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_anytime_goal_no|NHL|elias_pettersson|ANYTIME_GOAL_NO|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.905, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_anytime_goal_no", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "anze kopitar", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL_NO", "prob": 0.906, "fair_american": -962, "p_predicted": 0.906, "matchup": "VGK @ LAK", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_anytime_goal_no|NHL|anze_kopitar|ANYTIME_GOAL_NO|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.906, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "trent frederic", "market": "HITS_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "WPG @ EDM", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2_5|NHL|trent_frederic|HITS_OVER_2_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.679, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "alex pietrangelo", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "VGK @ LAK", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|alex_pietrangelo|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "ryan suter", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "DAL @ STL", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|ryan_suter|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "noah hanifin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "VGK @ LAK", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|noah_hanifin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.669, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "esa lindell", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "DAL @ STL", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|esa_lindell|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.645, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "mark giordano", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "MTL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|mark_giordano|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "morgan rielly", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "MTL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|morgan_rielly|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T01:17:26", "p_calibrated": 0.594, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "market": "BAL_ML", "prob": 0.6016, "raw_prob": 0.63, "edge_pct": 23.3, "fair_american": 105, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___TOR|BAL_ML|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42", "p_calibrated": 0.6016, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 7 @ TOR 4", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "BAL @ TOR: final 7-4 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.8241, "edge_pct": 57.33, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|PIT___CHC|OVER_8_0|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 2 @ CHC 12", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "PIT @ CHC: final 2-12 (total 14) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 424, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tommy_McMillen_vs_Marwan_Rahiki|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes", "winner": "Apollo Gomes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Apollo Gomes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T01:26:06", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T01:26:07", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 445, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jean_Silva_vs_Jose_Miguel_Delgado|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T13:20:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes", "winner": "Apollo Gomes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Apollo Gomes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T01:26:06", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T01:26:07", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "sharp_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "market": "ml_home", "prob": 0.7234, "edge_pct": 11.4, "tier": "STRONG", "shift_pp": 5.28, "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "sharp_strong|MLB|CIN___MIL|ml_home|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.674, "also_sources": [ "top_25_board" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 0 @ MIL 20", "total_runs": 20, "verify": "CIN @ MIL: final 0-20 (total 20) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|Bodo_Glimt___Bayern_Munich|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jamal musiala", "harry kane", "alphonso davies", "michael olise", "michael olise" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich: 5 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T04:45:14" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "RB Leipzig @ Como", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "RB Leipzig @ Como", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|RB_Leipzig___Como|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "RB Leipzig 1-4 Como", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "martin baturina", "anastasios douvikas", "assane diao", "andrija maksimovic", "m\u00e1ximo perrone" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "RB Leipzig 1-4 Como: 5 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T04:45:14" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Sabah FK @ Manchester United", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Sabah FK @ Manchester United", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|Sabah_FK___Manchester_United|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sabah FK 0-4 Manchester United", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha", "bruno fernandes", "benjamin sesko", "lisandro mart\u00ednez" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "Sabah FK 0-4 Manchester United: 4 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T04:45:14" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_over_2.5", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Lens @ Slavia Prague", "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Lens @ Slavia Prague", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_over_2_5|UCL|Lens___Slavia_Prague|TOTAL_OVER_2_5|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "Lens 3-2 Slavia Prague", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "danijel sturm", "abdallah sima", "danijel sturm", "florian thauvin", "ruben aguilar" ], "market": "TOTAL_OVER_2.5", "verify": "Lens 3-2 Slavia Prague: 5 goals (line 2.5) \u2014 TOTAL_OVER_2.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T04:45:14" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|Bodo_Glimt___Bayern_Munich|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jamal musiala", "harry kane", "alphonso davies", "michael olise", "michael olise" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Bayern Munich: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T04:45:14" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "RB Leipzig @ Como", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "RB Leipzig @ Como", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|RB_Leipzig___Como|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "RB Leipzig 1-4 Como", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "martin baturina", "anastasios douvikas", "assane diao", "andrija maksimovic", "m\u00e1ximo perrone" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "RB Leipzig 1-4 Como: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T04:45:14" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "UCL", "player_or_matchup": "Sabah FK @ Manchester United", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Sabah FK @ Manchester United", "date": "2026-09-10", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|UCL|Sabah_FK___Manchester_United|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-10", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sabah FK 0-4 Manchester United", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha", "bruno fernandes", "benjamin sesko", "lisandro mart\u00ednez" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Sabah FK 0-4 Manchester United: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T04:45:14" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_4|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_4|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_0|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_0|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.3", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.3", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_3|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_3|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.64, "fair_american": -178, "p_predicted": 0.64, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Aryna_Sabalenka|ML_PLAYER2|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.64, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka", "winner": "Elena Rybakina", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 30, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Elena Rybakina won 2-1 (30 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_17_5|TENNIS|Elena_Rybakina_vs_Aryna_Sabalenka|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17_5|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.666, "outcome": { "match": "Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka", "winner": "Elena Rybakina", "sets": "2-1", "total_games": 30, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5", "verify": "Elena Rybakina won 2-1 (30 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_17.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.472, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.472, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|NYM___NYY|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.472, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.481, "fair_american": 108, "p_predicted": 0.481, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|LAD___MIA|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.481, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|SEA___OAK|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.541, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|BAL___TOR|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T16:35:38", "p_calibrated": 0.557, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.241, "fair_american": 315, "p_predicted": 0.241, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.15, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T19:02:52", "p_calibrated": 0.1801, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T10:56:07", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T19:02:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T10:56:07", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.87, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T19:02:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T10:56:07" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alex Bregman", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Alex_Bregman|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T19:02:52", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alex Bregman \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T10:56:07", "resettle_log": [ { "at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40", "from": "lost", "to": "won", "reason": "stat revised after settlement; re-graded vs current box score" } ] }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "market": "ATL_ML", "prob": 0.6652, "raw_prob": 0.7594, "edge_pct": 27.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|PHI___ATL|ATL_ML|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6652, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong", "rlm_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 5 @ ATL 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "PHI @ ATL: final 5-6 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "market": "WSN_ML", "prob": 0.6597, "raw_prob": 0.7503, "edge_pct": 25.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___WSN|WSN_ML|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6597, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 3 @ WSH 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "LAA @ WSH: final 3-4 (total 7 runs) on 2026-09-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "market": "BOS_ML", "prob": 0.6326, "raw_prob": 0.6598, "edge_pct": 20.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|KCR___BOS|BOS_ML|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6326, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "market": "TBR_ML", "prob": 0.632, "raw_prob": 0.7042, "edge_pct": 20.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___TBR|TBR_ML|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.632, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 1 @ TB 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "HOU @ TB: final 1-3 (total 4 runs) on 2026-09-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yandy_D_az|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2585, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.353, "fair_american": 183, "p_predicted": 0.353, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.83, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2547, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Jones|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.252, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2461, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.327, "fair_american": 206, "p_predicted": 0.327, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Garc_a_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.06, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.227, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Garc\u00eda Jr. \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.317, "fair_american": 215, "p_predicted": 0.317, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.15, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2186, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Roman_Anthony|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.303, "fair_american": 230, "p_predicted": 0.303, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2095, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.298, "fair_american": 236, "p_predicted": 0.298, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2062, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.37, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Massey", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Massey|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Massey \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "John Rave", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|John_Rave|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "John Rave \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.286, "fair_american": 250, "p_predicted": 0.286, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.597, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.45, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.45, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.586, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Clark|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier B\u00e1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_B_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier B\u00e1ez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Riley_Greene|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Roman_Anthony|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.48, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.511, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adael_Amador|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brady_House|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Story", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Story|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Story \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.464, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 169, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heriberto_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heriberto Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorbit Vivas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jorbit_Vivas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.78, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorbit Vivas \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.418, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.93, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vaughn Grissom", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Vaughn_Grissom|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vaughn Grissom \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.02, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Spencer_Jones|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.82, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.535, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.535, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.73, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Brady_House|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2439, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2415, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.71, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.51, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.51, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2415, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Zach_Neto|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leo Bernal", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Leo_Bernal|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leo Bernal \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_steal_1plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Volpe", "market": "1_plus_steal", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 592, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_steal_1plus|MLB|Anthony_Volpe|1_plus_steal|2026-09-11", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T21:02:37", "p_calibrated": 0.144, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T00:03:58", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "market": "TEX_ML", "prob": 0.5625, "raw_prob": 0.6385, "edge_pct": 25.4, "fair_american": 123, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TEX___ARI|TEX_ML|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T23:55:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5625, "outcome": { "final_score": "TEX 1 @ ARI 9", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "TEX @ ARI: final 1-9 (total 10 runs) on 2026-09-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ STL", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.5571, "raw_prob": 0.5695, "edge_pct": 9.8, "fair_american": -103, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___STL|CHW_ML|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T23:55:59", "p_calibrated": 0.5571, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 3 @ STL 7", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CHW @ STL: final 3-7 (total 10 runs) on 2026-09-11" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Rafael Devers", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-11", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Rafael_Devers|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-11", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-11T23:55:59", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Rafael Devers \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-11", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_plus_hit|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.579, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.579, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|TEX___ARI|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.579, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.58, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1587, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 330, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.3, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hr = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua B\u00e1ez", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.218, "fair_american": 358, "p_predicted": 0.218, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Joshua_B_ez|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua B\u00e1ez \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Thomas Saggese", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.211, "fair_american": 373, "p_predicted": 0.211, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Thomas_Saggese|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1491, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Thomas Saggese \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sean Murphy", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.193, "fair_american": 417, "p_predicted": 0.193, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Sean_Murphy|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1419, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sean Murphy \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1391, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TO_HIT_HR_YES", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 488, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hr_yn_to_hit_hr_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TO_HIT_HR_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.1317, "outcome": { "stat": "hr", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hr = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Henry_Bolte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ketel_Marte|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2569, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Derek Hill", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Derek_Hill|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2213, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.32, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.32, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2167, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.283, "fair_american": 253, "p_predicted": 0.283, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.53, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 7, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 tb = 7 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.283, "fair_american": 253, "p_predicted": 0.283, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.56, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.281, "fair_american": 256, "p_predicted": 0.281, "matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zack_Gelof|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Christian Koss", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.268, "fair_american": 273, "p_predicted": 0.268, "matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Christian_Koss|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2034, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Christian Koss \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randal Grichuk", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randal_Grichuk|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randal Grichuk \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joc Pederson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Joc_Pederson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joc Pederson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Henry_Bolte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Harris II", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.34, "fair_american": 194, "p_predicted": 0.34, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Harris_II|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.94, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2756, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Harris II \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.413, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Samad Taylor", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Samad_Taylor|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Samad Taylor \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.41, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Martin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 197, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Martin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Austin Martin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Walker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Walker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jordan Walker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Schwarber", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Schwarber|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Schwarber \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.512, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.512, "matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Manny_Machado|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.2431, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Iv_n_Herrera|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.239, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Iv\u00e1n Herrera \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_steal_1plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "1_plus_steal", "prob": 0.17, "fair_american": 488, "p_predicted": 0.17, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_steal_1plus|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|1_plus_steal|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T00:22:34", "p_calibrated": 0.17, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_8|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_8|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T01:26:06", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_dd_double_double_no", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "scottie barnes", "market": "DOUBLE_DOUBLE_NO", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "nba_dd_double_double_no|NBA|scottie_barnes|DOUBLE_DOUBLE_NO|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T01:26:06", "p_calibrated": 0.693, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_118.5", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIA (MIA @ TOR)", "market": "TEAM_PTS_UNDER_118.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_118_5|NBA|MIA__MIA___TOR_|TEAM_PTS_UNDER_118_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T01:26:06", "p_calibrated": 0.671, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_115.5", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR (MIA @ TOR)", "market": "TEAM_PTS_UNDER_115.5", "prob": 0.657, "fair_american": -192, "p_predicted": 0.657, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_115_5|NBA|TOR__MIA___TOR_|TEAM_PTS_UNDER_115_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T01:26:06", "p_calibrated": 0.657, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 424, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tommy_McMillen_vs_Marwan_Rahiki|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T04:45:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes", "winner": "Apollo Gomes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Apollo Gomes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 445, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jean_Silva_vs_Jose_Miguel_Delgado|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T04:45:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes", "winner": "Apollo Gomes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Apollo Gomes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.613, "raw_prob": 0.7174, "edge_pct": 17.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIN|UNDER_9_0|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40", "also_sources": [ "mlb_under_alert", "sharp_strong" ], "p_calibrated": 0.6036, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 3 @ MIN 4", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CLE @ MIN: final 3-4 (total 7) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5952, "raw_prob": 0.6401, "edge_pct": 13.6, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___TOR|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40", "also_sources": [ "mlb_under_alert" ], "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 3 @ TOR 7", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "BAL @ TOR: final 3-7 (total 10) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "market": "UNDER_9.5", "prob": 0.5857, "raw_prob": 0.6246, "edge_pct": 11.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___OAK|UNDER_9_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40", "p_calibrated": 0.5692, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 19 @ ATH 1", "total_runs": 20, "verify": "SEA @ ATH: final 19-1 (total 20 runs) on 2026-09-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.7347, "edge_pct": 40.27, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|NYM___NYY|OVER_8_0|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T12:32:40", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYM 12 @ NYY 2", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "NYM @ NYY: final 12-2 (total 14) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "market": "WSN_ML", "prob": 0.6379, "raw_prob": 0.7023, "edge_pct": 17.8, "fair_american": -118, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___WSN|WSN_ML|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6379, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 5 @ WSH 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "LAA @ WSH: final 5-6 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ STL", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.6004, "raw_prob": 0.623, "edge_pct": 17.8, "fair_american": -104, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___STL|CHW_ML|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6004, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 6 @ STL 5", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "CHW @ STL: final 6-5 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-12" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_6|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_6|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.9", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.9", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_9|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_9|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_5|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_ml_ml_player2", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev", "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player2|TENNIS|Ben_Shelton_vs_Alexander_Zverev|ML_PLAYER2|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3759, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.727, "outcome": { "match": "Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev", "winner": "Alexander Zverev", "sets": "1-3", "total_games": 42, "market": "ML_PLAYER2", "verify": "Alexander Zverev won 1-3 (42 games) \u2014 ML_PLAYER2" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_over_15.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_15.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_over_15_5|TENNIS|Ben_Shelton_vs_Alexander_Zverev|TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_15_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.691, "outcome": { "match": "Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev", "winner": "Alexander Zverev", "sets": "1-3", "total_games": 42, "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_15.5", "verify": "Alexander Zverev won 1-3 (42 games) \u2014 TOTAL_GAMES_OVER_15.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32" }, { "source": "tennis_aces_aces_under_13.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "ben shelton", "market": "ACES_UNDER_13.5", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -235, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "tennis_aces_aces_under_13_5|TENNIS|ben_shelton|ACES_UNDER_13_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.702, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|CLE___MIN|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.452, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.456, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.456, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|PHI___ATL|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.456, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.459, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.459, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|PIT___CHC|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.459, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ STL", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.509, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.509, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|CHW___STL|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.509, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ DET", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|COL___DET|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T15:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.598, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ STL", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6015, "raw_prob": 0.6503, "edge_pct": 14.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___STL|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T16:58:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5846, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 6 @ STL 5", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "CHW @ STL: final 6-5 (total 11) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Jones|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|George_Springer|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Torrens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Luis_Torrens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.79, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2574, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Torrens \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Adael_Amador|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2461, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Paul Goldschmidt \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.305, "fair_american": 228, "p_predicted": 0.305, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Salvador_Perez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2108, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Roman_Anthony|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.293, "fair_american": 241, "p_predicted": 0.293, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Springer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Seigler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Seigler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Seigler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.54, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.417, "fair_american": 140, "p_predicted": 0.417, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Roman_Anthony|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2965, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Story", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Story|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Story \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Luis Torrens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Luis_Torrens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.78, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Luis Torrens \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Jones \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adael_Amador|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bobby Witt Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bobby_Witt_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bobby Witt Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.417, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Loftin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Loftin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2771, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Loftin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Beavers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Beavers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Beavers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Carson Kelly", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Carson_Kelly|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Carson Kelly \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colton_Cowser|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -138, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Coby_Mayo|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.94, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.562, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.562, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Adael_Amador|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.85, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Oneil Cruz", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.542, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.542, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Oneil_Cruz|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Oneil Cruz \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8772, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Riley_Greene|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Smith|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "mlb_steal_1plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Francisco Lindor", "market": "1_plus_steal", "prob": 0.156, "fair_american": 540, "p_predicted": 0.156, "matchup": "NYM @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "mlb_steal_1plus|MLB|Francisco_Lindor|1_plus_steal|2026-09-12", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:01:15", "p_calibrated": 0.156, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "rlm_strong", "sport": "MLB", "date": "2026-09-12", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "market": "AWAY ML", "prob": null, "fair_american": 115, "rlm_strength": "STRONG", "line_delta_pp": -10.94, "pick_id": "rlm_strong|MLB|PHI___ATL|AWAY_ML|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-12T18:28:26", "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 2 @ ATL 12", "total_runs": 14, "verify": "PHI @ ATL: final 2-12 (total 14) on 2026-09-12", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.191, "fair_american": 424, "p_predicted": 0.191, "matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tommy_McMillen_vs_Marwan_Rahiki|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "winner": "Tommy McMillen", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tommy McMillen def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T13:41:42" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.183, "fair_american": 445, "p_predicted": 0.183, "matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jean_Silva_vs_Jose_Miguel_Delgado|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T00:04:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "winner": "Jean Silva", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jean Silva def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T13:41:42" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_0|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_0|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T00:21:01", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_alts_home_total_over_109.7", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIAMI HEAT @ TORONTO RAPTORS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_109.7", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "MIAMI HEAT @ TORONTO RAPTORS", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "nba_alts_home_total_over_109_7|NBA|MIAMI_HEAT___TORONTO_RAPTORS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_109_7|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T00:21:01", "p_calibrated": 0.8254, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "market": "UNDER_7.0", "prob": 0.5983, "raw_prob": 0.6855, "edge_pct": 14.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SDP___SFG|UNDER_7_0|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "market": "MIN_ML", "prob": 0.5874, "raw_prob": 0.6033, "edge_pct": 12.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___MIN|MIN_ML|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28", "p_calibrated": 0.5874, "outcome": { "final_score": "CLE 9 @ MIN 2", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "CLE @ MIN: final 9-2 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "market": "SDP_ML", "prob": 0.6256, "raw_prob": 0.6398, "edge_pct": 10.0, "fair_american": -132, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SDP___SFG|SDP_ML|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6256, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "market": "OVER_6.5", "prob": 0.9061, "edge_pct": 72.98, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|PIT___CHC|OVER_6_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T05:43:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "PIT 4 @ CHC 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "PIT @ CHC: final 4-3 (total 7) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "market": "WSN_ML", "prob": 0.6463, "raw_prob": 0.7094, "edge_pct": 17.2, "fair_american": -123, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___WSN|WSN_ML|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6463, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 5 @ WSH 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "LAA @ WSH: final 5-6 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ STL", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.5565, "raw_prob": 0.5706, "edge_pct": 11.3, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___STL|CHW_ML|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5565, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 1 @ STL 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "CHW @ STL: final 1-3 (total 4 runs) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.25, "fair_american": 300, "p_predicted": 0.25, "matchup": "Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Yousri_Belgaroui_vs_Djorden_Santos|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos", "winner": "Yousri Belgaroui", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Yousri Belgaroui def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.209, "fair_american": 379, "p_predicted": 0.209, "matchup": "Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Muslim_Salikhov_vs_Ignacio_Bahamondes|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes", "winner": "Ignacio Bahamondes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ignacio Bahamondes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.201, "fair_american": 397, "p_predicted": 0.201, "matchup": "Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Drakkar_Klose_vs_Tommy_Gantt|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt", "winner": "Tommy Gantt", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tommy Gantt def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.197, "fair_american": 407, "p_predicted": 0.197, "matchup": "Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Rafa_Garcia_vs_Rongzhu|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu", "winner": "Rongzhu", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Rongzhu def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 432, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jessie_Rosas_vs_Sean_King|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.32, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King III", "winner": "Sean King III", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Sean King III def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Elliott vs \u00c9dgar Ch\u00e1irez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 432, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "Tim Elliott vs \u00c9dgar Ch\u00e1irez", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tim_Elliott_vs__dgar_Ch_irez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Tim Elliott vs \u00c9dgar Ch\u00e1irez", "winner": "Tim Elliott", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tim Elliott def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Nottingham_Forest___Aston_Villa|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "liam delap", "alysson", "igor jesus" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa: 7 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Hull City @ Chelsea", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "Hull City @ Chelsea", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Hull_City___Chelsea|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Hull City 2-2 Chelsea", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "morgan rogers", "mohamed belloumi", "mohamed belloumi", "jo\u00e3o pedro" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Hull City 2-2 Chelsea: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Nottingham_Forest___Aston_Villa|BTTS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "liam delap", "alysson", "igor jesus" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Hull City @ Chelsea", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.62, "fair_american": -163, "p_predicted": 0.62, "matchup": "Hull City @ Chelsea", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Hull_City___Chelsea|BTTS_YES|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6135, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.5752, "outcome": { "final_score": "Hull City 2-2 Chelsea", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "morgan rogers", "mohamed belloumi", "mohamed belloumi", "jo\u00e3o pedro" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Hull City 2-2 Chelsea: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Crystal Palace", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Crystal Palace", "date": "2026-09-12", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Ipswich_Town___Crystal_Palace|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-12", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ipswich Town 3-2 Crystal Palace", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "anan khalaili", "emersonn", "leif davis", "j\u00f8rgen strand larsen", "zian flemming" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Ipswich Town 3-2 Crystal Palace: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-13T23:08:07" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_5|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_2|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_2|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_7|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_7|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.472, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.472, "matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|SDP___SFG|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.472, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.507, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.507, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|CLE___MIN|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.507, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.573, "fair_american": -134, "p_predicted": 0.573, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|CIN___MIL|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.573, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|KCR___BOS|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T10:14:55", "p_calibrated": 0.585, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.608, "raw_prob": 0.7124, "edge_pct": 16.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SDP___SFG|UNDER_7_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T13:41:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5954, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.5615, "raw_prob": 0.5872, "edge_pct": 7.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___TOR|UNDER_7_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T13:41:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 1 @ TOR 8", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "BAL @ TOR: final 1-8 (total 9) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King III", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 439, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King III", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jessie_Rosas_vs_Sean_King_III|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.39, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King III", "winner": "Sean King III", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Sean King III def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ San Diego FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ San Diego FC", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Philadelphia_Union___San_Diego_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 5-0 San Diego FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "cavan sullivan", "cavan sullivan", "bruno damiani", "malik jakupovic" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 5-0 San Diego FC: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Brighton & Hove Albion @ Coventry City", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Brighton & Hove Albion @ Coventry City", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Brighton___Hove_Albion___Coventry_City|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brighton & Hove Albion 5-0 Coventry City", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "charalambos kostoulas", "malick yalcouy\u00e9", "pascal gross", "lewis dunk", "yasin ayari" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Brighton & Hove Albion 5-0 Coventry City: 1 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New England Revolution @ Chicago Fire FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.681, "fair_american": -214, "p_predicted": 0.681, "matchup": "New England Revolution @ Chicago Fire FC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|New_England_Revolution___Chicago_Fire_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4673, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6607, "outcome": { "final_score": "New England Revolution 2-1 Chicago Fire FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "dor turgeman", "peyton miller", "maren haile-selassie" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "New England Revolution 2-1 Chicago Fire FC: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester City @ Manchester United", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "Manchester City @ Manchester United", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Manchester_City___Manchester_United|BTTS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5763, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester City 1-0 Manchester United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "erling haaland" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Manchester City 1-0 Manchester United: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Brighton & Hove Albion @ Coventry City", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Brighton & Hove Albion @ Coventry City", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Brighton___Hove_Albion___Coventry_City|BTTS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brighton & Hove Albion 5-0 Coventry City", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "charalambos kostoulas", "malick yalcouy\u00e9", "pascal gross", "lewis dunk", "yasin ayari" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Brighton & Hove Albion 5-0 Coventry City: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester City @ Manchester United", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Manchester City @ Manchester United", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Manchester_City___Manchester_United|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester City 1-0 Manchester United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "erling haaland" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Manchester City 1-0 Manchester United: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Austin FC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Austin FC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Austin_FC___Vancouver_Whitecaps|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austin FC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "christian ram\u00edrez", "brian white", "christian ram\u00edrez" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Austin FC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Brighton & Hove Albion @ Coventry City", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Brighton & Hove Albion @ Coventry City", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Brighton___Hove_Albion___Coventry_City|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brighton & Hove Albion 5-0 Coventry City", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "charalambos kostoulas", "malick yalcouy\u00e9", "pascal gross", "lewis dunk", "yasin ayari" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Brighton & Hove Albion 5-0 Coventry City: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester City @ Manchester United", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "Manchester City @ Manchester United", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Manchester_City___Manchester_United|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2825, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester City 1-0 Manchester United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "erling haaland" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Manchester City 1-0 Manchester United: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "New England Revolution @ Chicago Fire FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "New England Revolution @ Chicago Fire FC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|New_England_Revolution___Chicago_Fire_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3425, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "New England Revolution 2-1 Chicago Fire FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "dor turgeman", "peyton miller", "maren haile-selassie" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "New England Revolution 2-1 Chicago Fire FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Austin FC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -259, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "Austin FC @ Vancouver Whitecaps", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Austin_FC___Vancouver_Whitecaps|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3861, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6288, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austin FC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps", "total_cards": 8, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "christian ram\u00edrez", "brian white", "christian ram\u00edrez" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Austin FC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ San Diego FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.741, "fair_american": -286, "p_predicted": 0.741, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ San Diego FC", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Philadelphia_Union___San_Diego_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3497, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 5-0 San Diego FC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "cavan sullivan", "cavan sullivan", "bruno damiani", "malik jakupovic" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 5-0 San Diego FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.356, "fair_american": 181, "p_predicted": 0.356, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Clark|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2563, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.39, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.519, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.405, "fair_american": 147, "p_predicted": 0.405, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2937, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "COL @ DET", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Riley_Greene|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.813, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T16:26:12", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 6, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hrr = 6 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T05:05:04" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.618, "raw_prob": 0.6416, "edge_pct": 18.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___MIL|MIL_ML|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T17:31:06", "p_calibrated": 0.618, "outcome": { "final_score": "CIN 4 @ MIL 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CIN @ MIL: final 4-3 (total 7 runs) on 2026-09-13" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SDP @ SFG", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6113, "raw_prob": 0.818, "edge_pct": 16.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SDP___SFG|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T17:31:06", "p_calibrated": 0.6008, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 6.34, "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|BAL___TOR|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T17:31:06", "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 1 @ TOR 8", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "BAL @ TOR: final 1-8 (total 9) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T17:31:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Harper", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Bryce_Harper|1_plus_hit|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryce Harper \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Marsh", "market": "HBP_YES", "prob": 0.0984, "fair_american": 916, "p_predicted": 0.0984, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes|MLB|Brandon_Marsh|HBP_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.0984, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HBP_YES", "prob": 0.0923, "fair_american": 984, "p_predicted": 0.0923, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HBP_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.0923, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-18T00:01:59", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yohandy Morales", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.396, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.396, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yohandy_Morales|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yohandy Morales \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brice_Turang|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Keibert Ruiz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Keibert_Ruiz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Keibert Ruiz \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.365, "fair_american": 174, "p_predicted": 0.365, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|George_Springer|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.74, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 tb = 6 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.86, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2531, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2509, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leo Bernal", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Leo_Bernal|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leo Bernal \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.573, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.436, "fair_american": 129, "p_predicted": 0.436, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3039, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Chourio", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Chourio|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Chourio \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Turang", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brice_Turang|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brice Turang \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Thomas Saggese", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Thomas_Saggese|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Thomas Saggese \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Springer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.515, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gunnar Henderson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gunnar_Henderson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gunnar Henderson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.52, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Benintendi", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andrew_Benintendi|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andrew Benintendi \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.489, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trea Turner", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.387, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.387, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trea_Turner|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trea Turner \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Bohm", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Bohm|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Bohm \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.62, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Garrett Mitchell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Garrett_Mitchell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Garrett Mitchell \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Seiya Suzuki", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Seiya_Suzuki|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Seiya Suzuki \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Altuve|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Keibert Ruiz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "LAA @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Keibert_Ruiz|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Keibert Ruiz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Coby Mayo", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Coby_Mayo|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Coby Mayo \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Larnach", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Larnach|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Larnach \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.46, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.71, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jonathan Aranda", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jonathan_Aranda|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jonathan Aranda \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alika_Williams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Otto Lopez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Otto_Lopez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Otto Lopez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "PIT @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Junior_Caminero|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Henry Bolte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Henry_Bolte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Henry Bolte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.431, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.86, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tristan Peters", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tristan_Peters|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tristan Peters \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Kreidler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ryan_Kreidler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Kreidler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colson Montgomery", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colson_Montgomery|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colson Montgomery \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leo Bernal", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leo_Bernal|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leo Bernal \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "LAD @ MIA", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.405, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yandy D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yandy_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yandy D\u00edaz \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colton Cowser", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colton_Cowser|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colton Cowser \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "SEA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Salvador Perez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "KCR @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Salvador_Perez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Salvador Perez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Brito", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Brito|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Brito \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.39, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Beavers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "BAL @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Beavers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.1, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Beavers \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.06, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "HOU @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6944, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 8, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 hrr = 8 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.569, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.569, "matchup": "PHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.95, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Thomas Saggese", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Thomas_Saggese|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Thomas Saggese \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.9, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leo Bernal", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.554, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.554, "matchup": "CHW @ STL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Leo_Bernal|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leo Bernal \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "CLE @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kody_Clemens|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dane Myers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "CIN @ MIL", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dane_Myers|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dane Myers \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "TEX @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-13T18:28:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-13", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ COL", "market": "CIN_ML", "prob": 0.6518, "raw_prob": 0.7372, "edge_pct": 24.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___COL|CIN_ML|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6518, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong", "sharp_elite" ], "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.6878, "raw_prob": 0.7485, "edge_pct": 15.3, "fair_american": -148, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SDP___LAD|LAD_ML|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.6878, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ NYY", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.5816, "raw_prob": 0.5866, "edge_pct": 3.6, "fair_american": -128, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___NYY|NYY_ML|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.5816, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Yousri_Belgaroui_vs_Djorden_Santos|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.02, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos", "winner": "Yousri Belgaroui", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Yousri Belgaroui def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.208, "fair_american": 380, "p_predicted": 0.208, "matchup": "Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Muslim_Salikhov_vs_Ignacio_Bahamondes|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Muslim Salikhov vs Ignacio Bahamondes", "winner": "Ignacio Bahamondes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ignacio Bahamondes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.2, "fair_american": 400, "p_predicted": 0.2, "matchup": "Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Drakkar_Klose_vs_Tommy_Gantt|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt", "winner": "Tommy Gantt", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tommy Gantt def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.196, "fair_american": 409, "p_predicted": 0.196, "matchup": "Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Rafa_Garcia_vs_Rongzhu|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu", "winner": "Rongzhu", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Rongzhu def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.188, "fair_american": 431, "p_predicted": 0.188, "matchup": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tommy_McMillen_vs_Marwan_Rahiki|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki", "winner": "Tommy McMillen", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tommy McMillen def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Tim Elliott vs \u00c9dgar Ch\u00e1irez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.187, "fair_american": 433, "p_predicted": 0.187, "matchup": "Tim Elliott vs \u00c9dgar Ch\u00e1irez", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Tim_Elliott_vs__dgar_Ch_irez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Tim Elliott vs \u00c9dgar Ch\u00e1irez", "winner": "Tim Elliott", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tim Elliott def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.182, "fair_american": 449, "p_predicted": 0.182, "matchup": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jean_Silva_vs_Jose_Miguel_Delgado|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:02:32", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado", "winner": "Jean Silva", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Jean Silva def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Brighton & Hove Albion @ Coventry City", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Brighton & Hove Albion @ Coventry City", "date": "2026-09-13", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Brighton___Hove_Albion___Coventry_City|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-13", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:15:58", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Brighton & Hove Albion 5-0 Coventry City", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "charalambos kostoulas", "malick yalcouy\u00e9", "pascal gross", "lewis dunk", "yasin ayari" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Brighton & Hove Albion 5-0 Coventry City: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T12:59:50" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.666, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.666, "matchup": "CON @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:15:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6628, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T05:10:36" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "CON @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5587, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:15:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6596, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 fg3m = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T05:10:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.644, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.644, "matchup": "CON @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:15:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6503, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 blk_stl = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T05:10:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "alyssa thomas", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "CON @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_0|WNBA|alyssa_thomas|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_0|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:15:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6608, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alyssa thomas \u2014 blk_stl = 2 (line 3.0, bet under) on 2026-09-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T05:10:36" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "brittney griner", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "CON @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|brittney_griner|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-17", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:15:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6562, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-22T00:43:24", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "CON @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:15:58", "p_calibrated": 0.6831, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 blk_stl = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T05:10:36" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ NYY", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.498, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.498, "matchup": "BOS @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|BOS___NYY|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T00:15:58", "p_calibrated": 0.498, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.897, "edge_pct": 79.39, "fair_american": 100, "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|LAD___CIN|LAD_ML|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T01:02:10", "p_calibrated": 0.897, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 4 @ CIN 1", "total_runs": 5, "verify": "LAD @ CIN: final 4-1 (total 5 runs) on 2026-09-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King III", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.186, "fair_american": 439, "p_predicted": 0.186, "matchup": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King III", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jessie_Rosas_vs_Sean_King_III|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.39, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T06:15:19", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Jessie Rosas vs Sean King III", "winner": "Sean King III", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Sean King III def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-14T19:13:21", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-14T19:13:21", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401856688", "player_or_matchup": "LSU @ MISS", "market": "cfb_model_ml_home", "prob": 0.4534, "p_predicted": 0.66, "fair_american": 130, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|LSU___MISS|cfb_model_ml_home|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.3, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T06:15:19", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "final_score": "LSU 24 @ MISS 32", "verify": "LSU @ MISS: final 24-32 on 2026-09-19 (ESPN event 401856688)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401860889", "player_or_matchup": "UNT @ TXST", "market": "cfb_model_ml_away", "prob": 0.4614, "p_predicted": 0.6749, "fair_american": 124, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|UNT___TXST|cfb_model_ml_away|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T06:15:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6749, "outcome": { "final_score": "UNT 35 @ TXST 49", "verify": "UNT @ TXST: final 35-49 on 2026-09-19 (ESPN event 401860889)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "market": "LAA_ML", "prob": 0.6124, "raw_prob": 0.6368, "edge_pct": 19.0, "fair_american": -106, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___LAA|LAA_ML|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24", "p_calibrated": 0.6124, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 4 @ LAA 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "SEA @ LAA: final 4-6 (total 10 runs) on 2026-09-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ MIN", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6487, "raw_prob": 0.6715, "edge_pct": 16.4, "fair_american": -126, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___MIN|NYY_ML|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T15:25:24", "p_calibrated": 0.6487, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 8 @ MIN 3", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "NYY @ MIN: final 8-3 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-14" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.475, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.475, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|CHW___CLE|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:13:21", "p_calibrated": 0.475, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.532, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.532, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|SEA___LAA|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:13:21", "p_calibrated": 0.532, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_plus_hit|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Hugo_Guillon_vs_Luis_Hernandez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes", "winner": "Apollo Gomes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Apollo Gomes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T11:52:29" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Oscar_Ravello_vs_Igor_Cavalcanti|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.97, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti", "winner": "Igor Cavalcanti", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Igor Cavalcanti def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-16T14:07:23" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.215, "fair_american": 365, "p_predicted": 0.215, "matchup": "Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Zevan_Hunt_vs_Mayton_Perea|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.65, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.343, "outcome": { "fight": "Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea", "winner": "Mayton Perea", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Mayton Perea def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-16T14:07:23" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.197, "fair_american": 408, "p_predicted": 0.197, "matchup": "Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ednilson_Santos_vs_Akbar_Abdullaev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.08, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos", "winner": "Yousri Belgaroui", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Yousri Belgaroui def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T11:52:29" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Antonio Monteiro vs Tyshawn Williams", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 442, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "Antonio Monteiro vs Tyshawn Williams", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Antonio_Monteiro_vs_Tyshawn_Williams|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes", "winner": "Apollo Gomes", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Apollo Gomes def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T11:52:29" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Newcastle United @ Leeds United", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "Newcastle United @ Leeds United", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Newcastle_United___Leeds_United|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Newcastle United 1-4 Leeds United", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jayden bogle", "dominic calvert-lewin", "noah okafor", "bazoumana tour\u00e9" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Newcastle United 1-4 Leeds United: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T11:52:29" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Newcastle United @ Leeds United", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Newcastle United @ Leeds United", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Newcastle_United___Leeds_United|BTTS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6061, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.5757, "outcome": { "final_score": "Newcastle United 1-4 Leeds United", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jayden bogle", "dominic calvert-lewin", "noah okafor", "bazoumana tour\u00e9" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Newcastle United 1-4 Leeds United: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T11:52:29" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Newcastle United @ Leeds United", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -314, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "Newcastle United @ Leeds United", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Newcastle_United___Leeds_United|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3185, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Newcastle United 1-4 Leeds United", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jayden bogle", "dominic calvert-lewin", "noah okafor", "bazoumana tour\u00e9" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Newcastle United 1-4 Leeds United: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T11:52:29" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ CHC", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.59, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.59, "matchup": "ATL @ CHC", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|ATL___CHC|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-14", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.59, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Adael_Amador|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.361, "fair_american": 177, "p_predicted": 0.361, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.77, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.259, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2515, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.341, "fair_american": 193, "p_predicted": 0.341, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2448, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.285, "fair_american": 251, "p_predicted": 0.285, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Steven_Kwan|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.265, "fair_american": 277, "p_predicted": 0.265, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.77, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2008, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Brito", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.264, "fair_american": 279, "p_predicted": 0.264, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Brito|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Brito \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dane Myers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.234, "fair_american": 327, "p_predicted": 0.234, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dane_Myers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dane Myers \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.589, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Angel Mart\u00ednez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Angel_Mart_nez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Angel Mart\u00ednez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Chase DeLauter", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Chase_DeLauter|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Chase DeLauter \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.56, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.429, "fair_american": 133, "p_predicted": 0.429, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.33, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.3012, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.37, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.548, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Tyler Stephenson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Tyler_Stephenson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Tyler Stephenson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adael_Amador|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.505, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.502, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Brito", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Brito|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2916, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Brito \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.449, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Travis Bazzana", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.362, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.362, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Travis_Bazzana|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Travis Bazzana \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.85, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.426, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Kwan", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Steven_Kwan|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2858, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Steven Kwan \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.03, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Eugenio_Su_rez|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eugenio Su\u00e1rez \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.99, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.575, "fair_american": -135, "p_predicted": 0.575, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Adael_Amador|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-14T19:27:43", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-14", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ CLE", "market": "CHW_ML", "prob": 0.5697, "raw_prob": 0.5925, "edge_pct": 19.1, "fair_american": 109, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___CLE|CHW_ML|2026-09-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5697, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 6 @ CLE 7", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "CHW @ CLE: final 6-7 (total 13 runs) on 2026-09-15" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-16T14:07:23" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "market": "BOS_ML", "prob": 0.5709, "raw_prob": 0.5886, "edge_pct": 14.2, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___TEX|BOS_ML|2026-09-15", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5709, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 2 @ TEX 4", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "BOS @ TEX: final 2-4 (total 6 runs) on 2026-09-15" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-16T14:07:23" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ TOR", "market": "DET_ML", "prob": 0.5652, "edge_pct": 181.48, "fair_american": 398, "date": "2026-09-15", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|DET___TOR|DET_ML|2026-09-15", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.98, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T00:21:38", "p_calibrated": 0.5652, "also_sources": [ "top_25_board" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 10 @ TOR 1", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "DET @ TOR: final 10-1 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-15" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-16T14:07:23" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Newcastle United @ Leeds United", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Newcastle United @ Leeds United", "date": "2026-09-14", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Newcastle_United___Leeds_United|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-14", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Newcastle United 1-4 Leeds United", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "jayden bogle", "dominic calvert-lewin", "noah okafor", "bazoumana tour\u00e9" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Newcastle United 1-4 Leeds United: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-15T14:06:34" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "marina mabrey", "market": "3PM_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.675, "fair_american": -208, "p_predicted": 0.675, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_4_5|WNBA|marina_mabrey|3PM_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.664, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "satou sabally", "market": "3PM_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "LAS @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_1_5|WNBA|satou_sabally|3PM_OVER_1_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.645, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nneka ogwumike", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "LVA @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|nneka_ogwumike|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6577, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "gabby williams", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "LVA @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|gabby_williams|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6577, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "chelsea gray", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.633, "fair_american": -173, "p_predicted": 0.633, "matchup": "LVA @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_0|WNBA|chelsea_gray|3PM_UNDER_1_0|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6583, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "cameron brink", "market": "3PM_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "LAS @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_1_5|WNBA|cameron_brink|3PM_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6695, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.634, "fair_american": -173, "p_predicted": 0.634, "matchup": "LAS @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.634, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rickea jackson", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.634, "fair_american": -173, "p_predicted": 0.634, "matchup": "LAS @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|rickea_jackson|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.634, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|angel_reese|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.6677, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "azura stevens", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.674, "fair_american": -207, "p_predicted": 0.674, "matchup": "LAS @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|azura_stevens|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 0.655, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "dearica hamby", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.674, "fair_american": -207, "p_predicted": 0.674, "matchup": "LAS @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_2_5|WNBA|dearica_hamby|BLK_STL_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-15T01:26:28", "p_calibrated": 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"matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Adael_Amador|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ty_France|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2499, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lazaro Montes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Lazaro_Montes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2346, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "MIA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.14, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2193, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "J.P. Crawford", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|J_P__Crawford|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "J.P. Crawford \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "MIA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.29, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2101, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 7, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 tb = 7 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.297, "fair_american": 237, "p_predicted": 0.297, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Roman_Anthony|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cal Raleigh", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cal_Raleigh|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.38, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cal Raleigh \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Smith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.288, "fair_american": 247, "p_predicted": 0.288, "matchup": "KCR @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cam_Smith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cam Smith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yainer Diaz", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "KCR @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yainer_Diaz|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.48, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yainer Diaz \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mois_s_Ballesteros|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.546, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.421, "fair_american": 138, "p_predicted": 0.421, "matchup": "KCR @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2981, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.535, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cal Raleigh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cal_Raleigh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cal Raleigh \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lazaro Montes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lazaro_Montes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.51, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zac Veen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zac_Veen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adael_Amador|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.482, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Justin_Foscue|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Maikel Garcia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "KCR @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Maikel_Garcia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "KCR @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Altuve|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jac Caglianone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "KCR @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jac_Caglianone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jac Caglianone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mike_Trout|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.457, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Roman Anthony", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 173, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Roman_Anthony|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Roman Anthony \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Story", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Story|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Story \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Danny Jansen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Danny_Jansen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Danny Jansen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Willson Contreras", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Willson_Contreras|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Willson Contreras \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.89, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Jung|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.388, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wade Meckler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 211, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wade_Meckler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wade Meckler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.387, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jordan Lawlar", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "MIA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jordan_Lawlar|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Manny_Machado|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.0, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lars Nootbaar", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "MIA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Lars_Nootbaar|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lars Nootbaar \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.92, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adael Amador", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.559, "fair_american": -127, "p_predicted": 0.559, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Adael_Amador|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adael Amador \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "KCR @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Justin Foscue", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Justin_Foscue|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Justin Foscue \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Corey_Seager|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:27:50", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.925, "edge_pct": 85.0, "fair_american": 100, "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|LAD___CIN|LAD_ML|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T00:37:13", "p_calibrated": 0.925, "also_sources": [ "top_25_board" ], "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 2 @ CIN 6", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "LAD @ CIN: final 2-6 (total 8 runs) on 2026-09-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.259, "fair_american": 285, "p_predicted": 0.259, "matchup": "Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Hugo_Guillon_vs_Luis_Hernandez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T07:45:40", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez", "winner": "Luis Hernandez", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Luis Hernandez def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-16T21:24:17", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T21:24:17", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.197, "fair_american": 408, "p_predicted": 0.197, "matchup": "Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ednilson_Santos_vs_Akbar_Abdullaev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.08, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T07:45:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev", "winner": "Akbar Abdullaev", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Akbar Abdullaev def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-16T21:24:17" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Antonio Monteiro vs Tyshawn Williams", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 442, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "Antonio Monteiro vs Tyshawn Williams", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Antonio_Monteiro_vs_Tyshawn_Williams|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T07:45:40", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Antonio Monteiro vs Tyshawn Williams", "winner": "Tyshawn Williams", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tyshawn Williams def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-16T21:24:17", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-16T21:24:17", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ ARI", "market": "MIA_ML", "prob": 0.5789, "raw_prob": 0.6519, "edge_pct": 23.3, "fair_american": 113, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___ARI|MIA_ML|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.13, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T14:07:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5789, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 4 @ ARI 3", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "MIA @ ARI: final 4-3 (total 7 runs) on 2026-09-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ NYM", "market": "UNDER_9.0", "prob": 0.6081, "raw_prob": 0.6694, "edge_pct": 16.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BAL___NYM|UNDER_9_0|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T14:07:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5955, "outcome": { "final_score": "BAL 7 @ NYM 1", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "BAL @ NYM: final 7-1 (total 8) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401871047", "player_or_matchup": "MRSH @ MOST", "market": "cfb_model_ml_home", "prob": 0.391, "p_predicted": 0.5491, "fair_american": 164, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|MRSH___MOST|cfb_model_ml_home|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T14:07:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5491, "outcome": { "final_score": "MRSH 30 @ MOST 24", "verify": "MRSH @ MOST: final 30-24 on 2026-09-19 (ESPN event 401871047)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ TOR", "market": "DET_ML", "prob": 0.603, "raw_prob": 0.6861, "edge_pct": 26.0, "fair_american": 109, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|DET___TOR|DET_ML|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.603, "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 1 @ TOR 5", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "DET @ TOR: final 1-5 (total 6 runs) on 2026-09-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T07:47:33" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ LAA", "market": "UNDER_8.0", "prob": 0.5647, "raw_prob": 0.5955, "edge_pct": 7.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SEA___LAA|UNDER_8_0|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "SEA 7 @ LAA 2", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "SEA @ LAA: final 7-2 (total 9) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "market": "BOS_ML", "prob": 0.5657, "raw_prob": 0.5739, "edge_pct": 6.2, "fair_american": -114, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___TEX|BOS_ML|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5657, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 3 @ TEX 7", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "BOS @ TEX: final 3-7 (total 10 runs) on 2026-09-16" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Oscar_Ravello_vs_Igor_Cavalcanti|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.97, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti", "winner": "Igor Cavalcanti", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Igor Cavalcanti def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T07:47:33", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T07:47:33", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.215, "fair_american": 365, "p_predicted": 0.215, "matchup": "Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Zevan_Hunt_vs_Mayton_Perea|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.65, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.343, "outcome": { "fight": "Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea", "winner": "Mayton Perea", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Mayton Perea def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T07:47:33", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T07:47:33", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tua tagovailoa", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|tua_tagovailoa|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.25, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 3, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhamondre stevenson \u2014 rec_yds = 3 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "garrett wilson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|garrett_wilson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.25, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 17, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "garrett wilson \u2014 longest_reception = 17 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.8, "fair_american": -400, "p_predicted": 0.8, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|bucky_irving|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.25, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 4, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 longest_reception = 4 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "caleb williams", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -399, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|caleb_williams|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2506, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.799, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 15, "line": 25.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caleb williams \u2014 pass_cmp = 15 (line 25.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "gunnar helm", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -399, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|gunnar_helm|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2506, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 13, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "gunnar helm \u2014 rec_yds = 13 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mack hollins", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -398, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mack_hollins|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2513, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mack hollins \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylin noel", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -398, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jaylin_noel|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2513, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylin noel \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -398, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|javonte_williams|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2513, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 20, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "javonte williams \u2014 rec_yds = 20 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chuba hubbard", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|chuba_hubbard|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2525, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 8, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chuba hubbard \u2014 longest_reception = 8 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brian robinson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|brian_robinson|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7552, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jalen_hurts|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2525, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7176, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 264, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 pass_yds = 264 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hunter henry", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -395, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|hunter_henry|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 40, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "hunter henry \u2014 rec_yds = 40 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton schultz", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -395, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dalton_schultz|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 140, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dalton schultz \u2014 rec_yds = 140 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george pickens", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|george_pickens|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2525, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 40, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "george pickens \u2014 rec_yds = 40 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demarcus robinson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|demarcus_robinson|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2525, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 34, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "demarcus robinson \u2014 rec_yds = 34 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenneth walker", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -395, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kenneth_walker|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8572, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "caleb williams", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -393, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|caleb_williams|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2545, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.755, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 42, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caleb williams \u2014 rush_yds = 42 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "juwan johnson", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -394, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|juwan_johnson|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2538, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7731, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "juwan johnson \u2014 rec = 4 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.796, "fair_american": -391, "p_predicted": 0.796, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|lamar_jackson|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2558, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7548, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 34, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 rush_yds = 34 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton kincaid", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_24.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -389, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dalton_kincaid|LONGEST_REC_OVER_24_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.795, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rome odunze", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -389, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|rome_odunze|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 21, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rome odunze \u2014 longest_reception = 21 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tank bigsby", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -389, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tank_bigsby|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8568, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 9, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tank bigsby \u2014 longest_rush = 9 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -389, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jalen_hurts|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.78, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 pass_td = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam ward", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -389, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|cam_ward|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.78, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cam ward \u2014 pass_td = 0 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quentin johnston", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -388, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|quentin_johnston|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2577, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 7, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "quentin johnston \u2014 longest_reception = 7 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emanuel wilson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -388, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|emanuel_wilson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8568, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 18, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "emanuel wilson \u2014 longest_rush = 18 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler warren", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.795, "fair_american": -389, "p_predicted": 0.795, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tyler_warren|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7726, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hollywood brown", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -385, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|hollywood_brown|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonnu smith", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -385, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jonnu_smith|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devaughn vele", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -387, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|devaughn_vele|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2584, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.794, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 64, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "devaughn vele \u2014 rec_yds = 64 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kirk cousins", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -385, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|kirk_cousins|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7165, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 253, "line": 199.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kirk cousins \u2014 pass_yds = 253 (line 199.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dak prescott", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -387, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|dak_prescott|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2584, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.794, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 26, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "dak prescott \u2014 pass_cmp = 26 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -385, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jaxson_dart|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7544, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyren williams", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -385, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kyren_williams|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7544, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ray davis", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -383, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|ray_davis|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8565, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trevor lawrence", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.793, "fair_american": -383, "p_predicted": 0.793, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|trevor_lawrence|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2611, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7794, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "trevor lawrence \u2014 pass_td = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron rodgers", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -381, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|aaron_rodgers|PASS_CMP_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2625, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.792, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 23, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "aaron rodgers \u2014 pass_cmp = 23 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen warren", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -382, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jaylen_warren|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2618, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 34, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen warren \u2014 rec_yds = 34 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis etienne", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -381, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|travis_etienne|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8564, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton schultz", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.792, "fair_american": -381, "p_predicted": 0.792, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dalton_schultz|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 12, "line": 6.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dalton schultz \u2014 rec = 12 (line 6.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "derrick henry", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -378, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|derrick_henry|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9063, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 20, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "derrick henry \u2014 longest_reception = 20 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davis mills", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -380, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|davis_mills|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7157, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ashton jeanty", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -378, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|ashton_jeanty|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2646, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8563, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 9, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ashton jeanty \u2014 longest_rush = 9 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luke mccaffrey", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -380, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|luke_mccaffrey|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9063, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.791, "fair_american": -380, "p_predicted": 0.791, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cam_skattebo|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenny gainwell", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -376, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kenny_gainwell|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.266, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8561, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 6, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kenny gainwell \u2014 longest_rush = 6 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen nailor", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -377, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jalen_nailor|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2653, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9033, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 9, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen nailor \u2014 longest_reception = 9 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyren williams", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -377, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kyren_williams|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat freiermuth", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|pat_freiermuth|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2674, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9003, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 9, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "pat freiermuth \u2014 longest_reception = 9 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "derrick henry", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_89.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|derrick_henry|RUSH_YDS_OVER_89_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.789, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 68, "line": 89.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "derrick henry \u2014 rush_yds = 68 (line 89.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ashton jeanty", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|ashton_jeanty|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2674, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.9003, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 7, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ashton jeanty \u2014 longest_reception = 7 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|RUSH_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.789, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 23, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "christian mccaffrey \u2014 rush_yds = 23 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isaiah likely", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_24.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -375, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|isaiah_likely|LONGEST_REC_OVER_24_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.789, "fair_american": -374, "p_predicted": 0.789, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|puka_nacua|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.771, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tua tagovailoa", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -373, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|tua_tagovailoa|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7149, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "liljordan humphrey", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|liljordan_humphrey|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8974, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marcus mariota", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -373, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|marcus_mariota|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2681, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7149, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 111, "line": 199.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marcus mariota \u2014 pass_yds = 111 (line 199.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_224.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|josh_allen|PASS_YDS_OVER_224_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.787, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rome odunze", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|rome_odunze|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2695, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 43, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rome odunze \u2014 rec_yds = 43 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin jefferson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -369, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|justin_jefferson|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.271, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.787, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 30, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "justin jefferson \u2014 longest_reception = 30 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "spencer rattler", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|spencer_rattler|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.787, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "deebo samuel", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|deebo_samuel|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8944, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ricky pearsall", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -371, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|ricky_pearsall|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8944, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "khalil shakir", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|khalil_shakir|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7703, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -368, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2717, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8083, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhamondre stevenson \u2014 rec = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen nailor", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jalen_nailor|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2725, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 9, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen nailor \u2014 rec_yds = 9 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mac jones", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -368, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|mac_jones|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.786, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier worthy", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|xavier_worthy|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "khalil shakir", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -366, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|khalil_shakir|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan love", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -366, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jordan_love|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2732, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7772, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jordan love \u2014 pass_td = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zay flowers", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_29.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -365, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|zay_flowers|LONGEST_REC_OVER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.785, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "david montgomery", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -366, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|david_montgomery|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2732, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8554, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 4, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "david montgomery \u2014 longest_rush = 4 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tee higgins", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -366, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tee_higgins|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2732, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8069, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tee higgins \u2014 rec = 5 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "malik washington", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -365, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|malik_washington|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.274, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8069, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "malik washington \u2014 rec = 4 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton kincaid", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -364, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dalton_kincaid|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.784, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian watson", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -363, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|christian_watson|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.784, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 41, "line": 49.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "christian watson \u2014 rec_yds = 41 (line 49.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris olave", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_29.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -363, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|chris_olave|LONGEST_REC_OVER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.784, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 21, "line": 29.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "chris olave \u2014 longest_reception = 21 (line 29.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler shough", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -364, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|tyler_shough|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2747, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7769, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler shough \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "david montgomery", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -364, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|david_montgomery|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2747, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8854, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 8, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "david montgomery \u2014 longest_reception = 8 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marcus mariota", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_25.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -364, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|marcus_mariota|PASS_CMP_UNDER_25_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2747, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.784, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 11, "line": 25.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marcus mariota \u2014 pass_cmp = 11 (line 25.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -362, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|patrick_mahomes|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7138, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "blake corum", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -363, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|blake_corum|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8553, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "saquon barkley", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -362, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|saquon_barkley|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.783, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 4, "line": 16.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "saquon barkley \u2014 longest_rush = 4 (line 16.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian watson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_29.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|christian_watson|LONGEST_REC_OVER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.783, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 20, "line": 29.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "christian watson \u2014 longest_reception = 20 (line 29.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|bucky_irving|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7523, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 89, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 rush_yds = 89 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat bryant", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -362, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|pat_bryant|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2762, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 0, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "pat bryant \u2014 rec_yds = 0 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "stefon diggs", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -362, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|stefon_diggs|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2762, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8824, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 20, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "stefon diggs \u2014 longest_reception = 20 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tucker kraft", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tucker_kraft|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2778, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8794, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 10, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tucker kraft \u2014 longest_reception = 10 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tee higgins", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tee_higgins|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 95, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tee higgins \u2014 rec_yds = 95 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock bowers", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -360, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|brock_bowers|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.782, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bijan robinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_24.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|bijan_robinson|LONGEST_REC_OVER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.781, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 4, "line": 24.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bijan robinson \u2014 longest_reception = 4 (line 24.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demario douglas", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|demario_douglas|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2801, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 9, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "demario douglas \u2014 rec_yds = 9 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dk metcalf", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dk_metcalf|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2801, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.801, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dk metcalf \u2014 rec = 4 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris olave", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_79.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -358, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|chris_olave|REC_YDS_OVER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2793, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.781, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 86, "line": 79.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "chris olave \u2014 rec_yds = 86 (line 79.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacory croskeymerritt", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -358, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jacory_croskeymerritt|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7519, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacoby brissett", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jacoby_brissett|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2801, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8549, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 7, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jacoby brissett \u2014 longest_rush = 7 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -358, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2793, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.801, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "christian mccaffrey \u2014 rec = 4 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demarcus robinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|demarcus_robinson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.801, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "demarcus robinson \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis kelce", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -357, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|travis_kelce|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8765, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jared goff", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_21.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -355, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jared_goff|PASS_CMP_OVER_21_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.78, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devaughn vele", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_24.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -355, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|devaughn_vele|LONGEST_REC_OVER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2817, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.78, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 29, "line": 24.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "devaughn vele \u2014 longest_reception = 29 (line 24.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "evan engram", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|evan_engram|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2809, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 17, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "evan engram \u2014 rec_yds = 17 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ladd mcconkey", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -355, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ladd_mcconkey|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2817, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7687, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ladd mcconkey \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demario douglas", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|demario_douglas|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2825, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8705, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 9, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "demario douglas \u2014 longest_reception = 9 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alec pierce", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|alec_pierce|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.798, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -352, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|davante_adams|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7684, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trevor lawrence", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|trevor_lawrence|PASS_CMP_UNDER_21_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2849, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.778, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 17, "line": 21.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "trevor lawrence \u2014 pass_cmp = 17 (line 21.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trevor lawrence", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|trevor_lawrence|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2849, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8545, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 3, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "trevor lawrence \u2014 longest_rush = 3 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bhayshul tuten", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bhayshul_tuten|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2849, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8545, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 16, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bhayshul tuten \u2014 longest_rush = 16 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tory horton", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tory_horton|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7966, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|brock_purdy|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2849, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8545, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 18, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brock purdy \u2014 longest_rush = 18 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isaiah likely", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -350, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|isaiah_likely|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7966, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rico dowdle", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|rico_dowdle|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2865, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7512, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 22, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rico dowdle \u2014 rush_yds = 22 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tucker kraft", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tucker_kraft|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2865, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7951, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tucker kraft \u2014 rec = 2 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -348, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|brock_purdy|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2874, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7512, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 30, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brock purdy \u2014 rush_yds = 30 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell mooney", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|darnell_mooney|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darren waller", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|darren_waller|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8615, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 14, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "darren waller \u2014 longest_reception = 14 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kalif raymond", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_34.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kalif_raymond|LONGEST_REC_OVER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.776, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 16, "line": 34.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kalif raymond \u2014 longest_reception = 16 (line 34.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rico dowdle", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -347, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rico_dowdle|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2882, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7936, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rico dowdle \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dk metcalf", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -347, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dk_metcalf|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2882, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 27, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dk metcalf \u2014 rec_yds = 27 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier hutchinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|xavier_hutchinson|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7936, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier hutchinson \u2014 rec = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylin noel", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -347, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jaylin_noel|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2882, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 31, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylin noel \u2014 rec_yds = 31 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|justin_herbert|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7747, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|brock_purdy|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7116, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 287, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brock purdy \u2014 pass_yds = 287 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew stafford", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -347, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|matthew_stafford|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7116, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake london", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|drake_london|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 51, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake london \u2014 rec_yds = 51 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devonta smith", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|devonta_smith|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2907, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8586, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 22, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "devonta smith \u2014 longest_reception = 22 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sterling shepard", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|sterling_shepard|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8586, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cj stroud", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -345, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|cj_stroud|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "oronde gadsden", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -345, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|oronde_gadsden|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2899, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8586, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 10, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "oronde gadsden \u2014 longest_reception = 10 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keenan allen", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -344, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|keenan_allen|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7922, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_23.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -343, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|josh_allen|PASS_CMP_UNDER_23_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.774, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dj moore", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dj_moore|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7907, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devonta smith", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -343, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|devonta_smith|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 117, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "devonta smith \u2014 rec_yds = 117 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "baker mayfield", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -343, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|baker_mayfield|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2915, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7506, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 29, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "baker mayfield \u2014 rush_yds = 29 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justice hill", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -343, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|justice_hill|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2915, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8539, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 6, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justice hill \u2014 longest_rush = 6 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden daniels", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -343, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jayden_daniels|PASS_CMP_UNDER_21_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2915, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.774, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 11, "line": 21.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden daniels \u2014 pass_cmp = 11 (line 21.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mac jones", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -343, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|mac_jones|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7111, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isaiah likely", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|isaiah_likely|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.774, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle monangai", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kyle_monangai|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.773, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 15, "line": 16.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kyle monangai \u2014 longest_rush = 15 (line 16.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kalif raymond", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -341, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|kalif_raymond|REC_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.773, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 40, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kalif raymond \u2014 rec_yds = 40 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "noah fant", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -342, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|noah_fant|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7892, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "nico collins", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -341, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|nico_collins|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8526, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen coker", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -340, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jalen_coker|REC_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2941, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.772, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 66, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jalen coker \u2014 rec_yds = 66 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davis mills", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -339, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|davis_mills|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7736, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chase brown", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -339, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chase_brown|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.295, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7878, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chase brown \u2014 rec = 3 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike gesicki", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -339, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mike_gesicki|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.772, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bijan robinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.771, "fair_american": -337, "p_predicted": 0.771, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|bijan_robinson|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2967, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7863, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bijan robinson \u2014 rec = 3 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "malik washington", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.771, "fair_american": -338, "p_predicted": 0.771, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|malik_washington|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2959, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 43, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "malik washington \u2014 rec_yds = 43 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tetairoa mcmillan", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -335, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tetairoa_mcmillan|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2985, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7661, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tetairoa mcmillan \u2014 rec = 5 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat freiermuth", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -335, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|pat_freiermuth|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7848, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "pat freiermuth \u2014 rec = 4 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "breece hall", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -336, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|breece_hall|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2976, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8534, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 14, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "breece hall \u2014 longest_rush = 14 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "baker mayfield", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -336, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|baker_mayfield|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2976, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8534, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 14, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "baker mayfield \u2014 longest_rush = 14 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler allgeier", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -336, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|tyler_allgeier|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2976, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7498, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 10, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler allgeier \u2014 rush_yds = 10 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen coker", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_34.5", "prob": 0.769, "fair_american": -333, "p_predicted": 0.769, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jalen_coker|LONGEST_REC_OVER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.769, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 25, "line": 34.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jalen coker \u2014 longest_reception = 25 (line 34.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier hutchinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.769, "fair_american": -333, "p_predicted": 0.769, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|xavier_hutchinson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3003, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8261, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 18, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier hutchinson \u2014 longest_reception = 18 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dak prescott", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.769, "fair_american": -334, "p_predicted": 0.769, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|dak_prescott|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2994, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8532, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 11, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dak prescott \u2014 longest_rush = 11 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle pitts", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|kyle_pitts|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "caleb williams", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_299.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|caleb_williams|PASS_YDS_UNDER_299_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3021, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7095, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 138, "line": 299.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "caleb williams \u2014 pass_yds = 138 (line 299.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "breece hall", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|breece_hall|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.768, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 29, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "breece hall \u2014 rush_yds = 29 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "courtland sutton", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|courtland_sutton|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3021, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 25, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "courtland sutton \u2014 rec_yds = 25 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jack bech", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jack_bech|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3021, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7819, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jack bech \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dallas goedert", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dallas_goedert|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.303, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7804, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dallas goedert \u2014 rec = 1 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|bucky_irving|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.303, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 1, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 rec_yds = 1 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rachaad white", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|rachaad_white|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7493, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 43, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rachaad white \u2014 rush_yds = 43 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen wright", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jaylen_wright|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.304, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8529, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 8, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen wright \u2014 longest_rush = 8 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chuba hubbard", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|chuba_hubbard|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 11, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chuba hubbard \u2014 rec_yds = 11 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rico dowdle", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -327, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|rico_dowdle|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3058, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8528, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 6, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rico dowdle \u2014 longest_rush = 6 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen warren", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -327, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jaylen_warren|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3058, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.779, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen warren \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quinshon judkins", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|quinshon_judkins|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7491, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 21, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "quinshon judkins \u2014 rush_yds = 21 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden higgins", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -327, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jayden_higgins|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat bryant", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|pat_bryant|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8016, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "pat bryant \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trevor lawrence", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|trevor_lawrence|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7089, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 189, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "trevor lawrence \u2014 pass_yds = 189 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ashton jeanty", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ashton_jeanty|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.779, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ashton jeanty \u2014 rec = 4 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "david njoku", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|david_njoku|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8016, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 9, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "david njoku \u2014 longest_reception = 9 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael wilson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|michael_wilson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8016, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 9, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael wilson \u2014 longest_reception = 9 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike evans", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -327, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mike_evans|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3058, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8016, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 27, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mike evans \u2014 longest_reception = 27 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "david njoku", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|david_njoku|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 9, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "david njoku \u2014 rec_yds = 9 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendrick bourne", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kendrick_bourne|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3067, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7776, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kendrick bourne \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendrick bourne", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_24.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kendrick_bourne|LONGEST_REC_OVER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.765, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 8, "line": 24.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kendrick bourne \u2014 longest_reception = 8 (line 24.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|puka_nacua|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7934, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton kincaid", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dalton_kincaid|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7762, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joshua palmer", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|joshua_palmer|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tony pollard", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -323, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tony_pollard|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3096, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8525, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 18, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tony pollard \u2014 longest_rush = 18 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "treveyon henderson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|treveyon_henderson|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7487, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 76, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "treveyon henderson \u2014 rush_yds = 76 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat bryant", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -325, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|pat_bryant|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3077, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7762, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "pat bryant \u2014 rec = 0 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ricky pearsall", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ricky_pearsall|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7762, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyren williams", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -324, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kyren_williams|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8525, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jahmyr gibbs", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.763, "fair_american": -322, "p_predicted": 0.763, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jahmyr_gibbs|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tommy tremble", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.763, "fair_american": -322, "p_predicted": 0.763, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tommy_tremble|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3106, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.777, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 4, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tommy tremble \u2014 longest_reception = 4 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj dillon", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -321, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|aj_dillon|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3115, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8523, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 1, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aj dillon \u2014 longest_rush = 1 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tony pollard", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -321, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|tony_pollard|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7483, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 64, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tony pollard \u2014 rush_yds = 64 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen warren", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -320, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jaylen_warren|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7688, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 26, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen warren \u2014 longest_reception = 26 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "geno smith", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -319, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|geno_smith|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3135, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7078, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 247, "line": 249.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "geno smith \u2014 pass_yds = 247 (line 249.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mark andrews", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -320, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mark_andrews|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3125, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7688, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 14, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mark andrews \u2014 longest_reception = 14 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zay flowers", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -320, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|zay_flowers|REC_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.762, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ashton jeanty", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -321, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|ashton_jeanty|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.762, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 48, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ashton jeanty \u2014 rush_yds = 48 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler allgeier", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -319, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tyler_allgeier|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3135, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8523, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 5, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyler allgeier \u2014 longest_rush = 5 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacoby brissett", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -321, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jacoby_brissett|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3115, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7708, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jacoby brissett \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew golden", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.761, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.761, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|matthew_golden|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3145, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7719, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 6.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "matthew golden \u2014 rec = 4 (line 6.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cooper kupp", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.761, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.761, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|cooper_kupp|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3145, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 20, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cooper kupp \u2014 rec_yds = 20 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam laporta", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -317, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|sam_laporta|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -316, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|josh_allen|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7479, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonnu smith", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -316, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jonnu_smith|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7525, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendre miller", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kendre_miller|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.852, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre tucker", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tre_tucker|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7705, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tre tucker \u2014 rec = 5 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|devon_achane|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.852, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mark andrews", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.759, "fair_american": -315, "p_predicted": 0.759, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mark_andrews|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3175, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 49, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mark andrews \u2014 rec_yds = 49 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joshua palmer", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|joshua_palmer|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7361, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bijan robinson", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|bijan_robinson|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.758, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 9, "line": 49.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bijan robinson \u2014 rec_yds = 9 (line 49.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dandre swift", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|dandre_swift|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.758, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mack hollins", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mack_hollins|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3205, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7361, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 10, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mack hollins \u2014 longest_reception = 10 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cooper kupp", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|cooper_kupp|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3195, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7361, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 16, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cooper kupp \u2014 longest_reception = 16 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew stafford", "market": "PASS_TD_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -313, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|matthew_stafford|PASS_TD_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.758, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe burrow", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_199.5", "prob": 0.757, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.757, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|joe_burrow|PASS_YDS_OVER_199_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3205, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.757, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 207, "line": 199.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "joe burrow \u2014 pass_yds = 207 (line 199.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "stefon diggs", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.757, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.757, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|stefon_diggs|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3205, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7663, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 6.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "stefon diggs \u2014 rec = 5 (line 6.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dj moore", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_24.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -311, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dj_moore|LONGEST_REC_OVER_24_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.756, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bijan robinson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -311, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|bijan_robinson|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3215, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.756, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 72, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bijan robinson \u2014 rush_yds = 72 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dandre swift", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -310, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|dandre_swift|RUSH_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.756, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quinshon judkins", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -309, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|quinshon_judkins|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3236, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8514, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 9, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "quinshon judkins \u2014 longest_rush = 9 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "samaje perine", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -310, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|samaje_perine|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3226, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8514, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 4, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "samaje perine \u2014 longest_rush = 4 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jack bech", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -311, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jack_bech|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3215, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 25, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jack bech \u2014 rec_yds = 25 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre tucker", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -309, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tre_tucker|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7198, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 42, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tre tucker \u2014 longest_reception = 42 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ladd mcconkey", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -311, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|ladd_mcconkey|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.756, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 19, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ladd mcconkey \u2014 longest_reception = 19 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "terry mclaurin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -311, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|terry_mclaurin|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 50, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "terry mclaurin \u2014 rec_yds = 50 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "saquon barkley", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.755, "fair_american": -309, "p_predicted": 0.755, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|saquon_barkley|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.755, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 9, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "saquon barkley \u2014 rush_yds = 9 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sterling shepard", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.755, "fair_american": -308, "p_predicted": 0.755, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|sterling_shepard|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "juwan johnson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.755, "fair_american": -308, "p_predicted": 0.755, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|juwan_johnson|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3247, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 66, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "juwan johnson \u2014 rec_yds = 66 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "khalil shakir", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|khalil_shakir|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7034, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3257, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7034, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 3, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhamondre stevenson \u2014 longest_reception = 3 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan love", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jordan_love|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.754, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 16, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jordan love \u2014 pass_cmp = 16 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "stefon diggs", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|stefon_diggs|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3257, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 47, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "stefon diggs \u2014 rec_yds = 47 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael wilson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|michael_wilson|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 18, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael wilson \u2014 rec_yds = 18 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keenan allen", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|keenan_allen|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "adonai mitchell", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -304, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|adonai_mitchell|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 63, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "adonai mitchell \u2014 rec_yds = 63 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendrick bourne", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -304, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|kendrick_bourne|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.752, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 11, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kendrick bourne \u2014 rec_yds = 11 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike evans", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -304, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mike_evans|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 54, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mike evans \u2014 rec_yds = 54 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -304, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.752, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 5, "line": 16.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "christian mccaffrey \u2014 longest_rush = 5 (line 16.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh downs", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -304, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|josh_downs|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonathan taylor", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -303, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jonathan_taylor|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.752, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -303, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jaxson_dart|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7051, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen warren", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jaylen_warren|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.751, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 10, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jaylen warren \u2014 longest_rush = 10 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan love", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_249.5", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jordan_love|PASS_YDS_OVER_249_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.751, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 145, "line": 249.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jordan love \u2014 pass_yds = 145 (line 249.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "nico collins", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -301, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|nico_collins|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.751, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chuba hubbard", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -300, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|chuba_hubbard|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3333, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.746, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 53, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chuba hubbard \u2014 rush_yds = 53 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luther burden", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -300, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|luther_burden|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "garrett wilson", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -299, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|garrett_wilson|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3344, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.75, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 57, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "garrett wilson \u2014 rec_yds = 57 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emeka egbuka", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -300, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|emeka_egbuka|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3333, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6707, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 7, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "emeka egbuka \u2014 longest_reception = 7 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "noah fant", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -301, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|noah_fant|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6707, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "omarion hampton", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -300, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|omarion_hampton|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.746, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 94, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "omarion hampton \u2014 rush_yds = 94 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jahmyr gibbs", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jahmyr_gibbs|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7535, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bijan robinson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bijan_robinson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3378, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8503, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 11, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bijan robinson \u2014 longest_rush = 11 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|drake_maye|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3356, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7669, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake maye \u2014 pass_td = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "woody marks", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|woody_marks|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3378, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7457, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 8, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "woody marks \u2014 rush_yds = 8 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_89.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -297, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|cam_skattebo|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_89_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7457, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -296, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|davante_adams|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6543, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrod taylor", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|tyrod_taylor|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.747, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin fields", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -295, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|justin_fields|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.747, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -295, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|davante_adams|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emeka egbuka", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|emeka_egbuka|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3401, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7788, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 16, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "emeka egbuka \u2014 rec_yds = 16 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxon smithnjigba", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jaxon_smithnjigba|REC_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.746, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ceedee lamb", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|ceedee_lamb|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7787, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 153, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ceedee lamb \u2014 rec_yds = 153 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.745, "fair_american": -292, "p_predicted": 0.745, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jaxson_dart|PASS_CMP_OVER_19_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.745, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj brown", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|aj_brown|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6454, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "breece hall", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|breece_hall|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7478, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "breece hall \u2014 rec = 5 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kendre miller", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kendre_miller|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7449, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kayshon boutte", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kayshon_boutte|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6454, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 21, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kayshon boutte \u2014 longest_reception = 21 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ashton jeanty", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|ashton_jeanty|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3436, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7786, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 15, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ashton jeanty \u2014 rec_yds = 15 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marcus mariota", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|marcus_mariota|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3448, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7449, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 3, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marcus mariota \u2014 rush_yds = 3 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tetairoa mcmillan", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tetairoa_mcmillan|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.346, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.743, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 28, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tetairoa mcmillan \u2014 longest_reception = 28 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj brown", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|aj_brown|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.743, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cade otton", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|cade_otton|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.346, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7786, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 38, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cade otton \u2014 rec_yds = 38 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dalton schultz", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dalton_schultz|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6446, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 35, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dalton schultz \u2014 longest_reception = 35 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden daniels", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -289, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jayden_daniels|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.346, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8496, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 20, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden daniels \u2014 longest_rush = 20 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dj moore", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dj_moore|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.742, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "david montgomery", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|david_montgomery|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3472, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7445, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 10, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "david montgomery \u2014 rush_yds = 10 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ladd mcconkey", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|ladd_mcconkey|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.742, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 35, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ladd mcconkey \u2014 rec_yds = 35 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew stafford", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_17.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|matthew_stafford|PASS_CMP_UNDER_17_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.742, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jj mccarthy", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.741, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.741, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jj_mccarthy|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.741, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kirk cousins", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.741, "fair_american": -286, "p_predicted": 0.741, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|kirk_cousins|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7649, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kirk cousins \u2014 pass_td = 3 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj brown", "market": "REC_OVER_3.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|aj_brown|REC_OVER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7583, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "pat freiermuth", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|pat_freiermuth|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3509, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7783, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 32, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "pat freiermuth \u2014 rec_yds = 32 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trey mcbride", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|trey_mcbride|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.74, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 9, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "trey mcbride \u2014 longest_reception = 9 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tory horton", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tory_horton|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6424, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "daniel jones", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_224.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -284, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|daniel_jones|PASS_YDS_UNDER_224_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7018, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell washington", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -283, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|darnell_washington|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3534, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7408, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "darnell washington \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "garrett wilson", "market": "REC_OVER_3.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -282, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|garrett_wilson|REC_OVER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3546, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.758, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "garrett wilson \u2014 rec = 5 (line 3.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "greg dulcich", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -283, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|greg_dulcich|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3534, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7408, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "greg dulcich \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jameson williams", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jameson_williams|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6409, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bryce young", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_249.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -282, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|bryce_young|PASS_YDS_OVER_249_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3546, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.738, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 287, "line": 249.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bryce young \u2014 pass_yds = 287 (line 249.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin jefferson", "market": "REC_OVER_4.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -282, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|justin_jefferson|REC_OVER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7577, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 4.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "justin jefferson \u2014 rec = 3 (line 4.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "saquon barkley", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|saquon_barkley|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3559, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "saquon barkley \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jalen_hurts|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3559, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8489, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 7, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 longest_rush = 7 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zay flowers", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|zay_flowers|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashee rice", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rashee_rice|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "blake corum", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|blake_corum|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7437, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colby parkinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|colby_parkinson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tommy tremble", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tommy_tremble|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7781, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 4, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tommy tremble \u2014 rec_yds = 4 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darren waller", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|darren_waller|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "darren waller \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_17.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|patrick_mahomes|PASS_CMP_UNDER_17_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.737, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin jefferson", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|justin_jefferson|REC_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.736, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 55, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "justin jefferson \u2014 rec_yds = 55 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "baker mayfield", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|baker_mayfield|PASS_CMP_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3597, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.736, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 21, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "baker mayfield \u2014 pass_cmp = 21 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris olave", "market": "REC_OVER_4.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chris_olave|REC_OVER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3584, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7572, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 4.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "chris olave \u2014 rec = 8 (line 4.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kayshon boutte", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kayshon_boutte|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "kayshon boutte \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "nico collins", "market": "REC_UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|nico_collins|REC_UNDER_7_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|javonte_williams|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6394, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 8, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "javonte williams \u2014 longest_reception = 8 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "parker washington", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|parker_washington|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.361, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.735, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 32, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "parker washington \u2014 longest_reception = 32 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jack bech", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jack_bech|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.361, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6386, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 20, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jack bech \u2014 longest_reception = 20 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "deebo samuel", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|deebo_samuel|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.778, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan addison", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jordan_addison|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3636, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jordan addison \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -276, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bucky_irving|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3623, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.734, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 38, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 longest_rush = 38 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|javonte_williams|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.361, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.743, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 30, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "javonte williams \u2014 rush_yds = 30 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trey mcbride", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|trey_mcbride|REC_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.734, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 41, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "trey mcbride \u2014 rec_yds = 41 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "daniel jones", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|daniel_jones|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8484, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "elic ayomanor", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|elic_ayomanor|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3636, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "elic ayomanor \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael penix", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|michael_penix|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6996, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3676, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7426, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 43, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhamondre stevenson \u2014 rush_yds = 43 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jahmyr gibbs", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.731, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.731, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jahmyr_gibbs|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6356, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam laporta", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|sam_laporta|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6349, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tony pollard", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tony_pollard|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3704, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tony pollard \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier legette", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|xavier_legette|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3717, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier legette \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan mason", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jordan_mason|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.742, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dak prescott", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|dak_prescott|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6988, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 279, "line": 249.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dak prescott \u2014 pass_yds = 279 (line 249.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "trey mcbride", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|trey_mcbride|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3731, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7554, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "trey mcbride \u2014 rec = 8 (line 5.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen warren", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jaylen_warren|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3731, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7418, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 43, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen warren \u2014 rush_yds = 43 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "derrick henry", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|derrick_henry|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.728, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 8, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "derrick henry \u2014 longest_rush = 8 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|lamar_jackson|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3745, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7613, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zach charbonnet", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|zach_charbonnet|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7418, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bryce young", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|bryce_young|PASS_CMP_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3759, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.727, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 23, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bryce young \u2014 pass_cmp = 23 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cj stroud", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|cj_stroud|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.727, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colston loveland", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|colston_loveland|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3759, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "colston loveland \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dontayvion wicks", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dontayvion_wicks|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3788, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7773, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 74, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dontayvion wicks \u2014 rec_yds = 74 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyjae spears", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tyjae_spears|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3788, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyjae spears \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quinshon judkins", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|quinshon_judkins|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "quinshon judkins \u2014 rec = 5 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|javonte_williams|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.726, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 9, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "javonte williams \u2014 longest_rush = 9 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rachaad white", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|rachaad_white|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3774, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8473, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 14, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rachaad white \u2014 longest_rush = 14 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.725, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.725, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|lamar_jackson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3788, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8472, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 13, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 longest_rush = 13 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_274.5", "prob": 0.725, "fair_american": -263, "p_predicted": 0.725, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|justin_herbert|PASS_YDS_UNDER_274_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3802, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6977, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 192, "line": 274.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 pass_yds = 192 (line 274.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tetairoa mcmillan", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -262, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tetairoa_mcmillan|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3817, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.724, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 101, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tetairoa mcmillan \u2014 rec_yds = 101 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle monangai", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -262, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kyle_monangai|RUSH_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.724, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 47, "line": 49.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kyle monangai \u2014 rush_yds = 47 (line 49.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -263, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jalen_hurts|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3802, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7411, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 16, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 rush_yds = 16 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brenton strange", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -262, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|brenton_strange|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3817, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brenton strange \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jake ferguson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.724, "fair_american": -263, "p_predicted": 0.724, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jake_ferguson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jake ferguson \u2014 rec = 4 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jerry jeudy", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.723, "fair_american": -261, "p_predicted": 0.723, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jerry_jeudy|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3831, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6296, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jerry jeudy \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxon smithnjigba", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_24.5", "prob": 0.723, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.723, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jaxon_smithnjigba|LONGEST_REC_OVER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.723, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonathan taylor", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.723, "fair_american": -261, "p_predicted": 0.723, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jonathan_taylor|RUSH_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.723, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "baker mayfield", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -259, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|baker_mayfield|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3861, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6969, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 182, "line": 249.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "baker mayfield \u2014 pass_yds = 182 (line 249.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "juwan johnson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -259, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|juwan_johnson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 25, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "juwan johnson \u2014 longest_reception = 25 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "oronde gadsden", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|oronde_gadsden|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3846, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "oronde gadsden \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rachaad white", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rachaad_white|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rachaad white \u2014 rec = 6 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ricky pearsall", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|ricky_pearsall|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.777, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alec pierce", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|alec_pierce|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "james cook", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16.5", "prob": 0.721, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.721, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|james_cook|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_16_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.721, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.721, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.721, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|drake_maye|PASS_CMP_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.721, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 14, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "drake maye \u2014 pass_cmp = 14 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler shough", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_274.5", "prob": 0.721, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.721, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|tyler_shough|PASS_YDS_OVER_274_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.721, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 252, "line": 274.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tyler shough \u2014 pass_yds = 252 (line 274.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.721, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.721, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|puka_nacua|REC_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.721, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "amonra st brown", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|amonra_st_brown|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mack hollins", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mack_hollins|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7768, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 18, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mack hollins \u2014 rec_yds = 18 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tee higgins", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tee_higgins|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3876, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 23, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tee higgins \u2014 longest_reception = 23 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kirk cousins", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|kirk_cousins|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.72, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 19, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kirk cousins \u2014 pass_cmp = 19 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "terry mclaurin", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -257, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|terry_mclaurin|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3891, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "terry mclaurin \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dallas goedert", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dallas_goedert|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.719, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 4, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "dallas goedert \u2014 longest_reception = 4 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tucker kraft", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tucker_kraft|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3906, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 15, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tucker kraft \u2014 rec_yds = 15 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe burrow", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_21.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -256, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|joe_burrow|PASS_CMP_OVER_21_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.719, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 20, "line": 21.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "joe burrow \u2014 pass_cmp = 20 (line 21.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael mayer", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|michael_mayer|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 23, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael mayer \u2014 rec_yds = 23 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj barner", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|aj_barner|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aj barner \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "malik washington", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.719, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.719, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|malik_washington|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 23, "line": 29.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "malik washington \u2014 longest_reception = 23 (line 29.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jameson williams", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jameson_williams|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jameson williams", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jameson_williams|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7525, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_224.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|lamar_jackson|PASS_YDS_OVER_224_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3937, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 235, "line": 224.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 pass_yds = 235 (line 224.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier hutchinson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|xavier_hutchinson|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 37, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "xavier hutchinson \u2014 rec_yds = 37 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.717, "fair_american": -253, "p_predicted": 0.717, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|drake_maye|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3953, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7397, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 17, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake maye \u2014 rush_yds = 17 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler higbee", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tyler_higbee|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyren williams", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kyren_williams|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bryce young", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bryce_young|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8458, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 6, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bryce young \u2014 longest_rush = 6 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "harold fannin", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|harold_fannin|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7394, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "lamar jackson", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|lamar_jackson|PASS_CMP_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.715, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 21, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "lamar jackson \u2014 pass_cmp = 21 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "noah fant", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|noah_fant|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|justin_herbert|PASS_CMP_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3984, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.715, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 15, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 pass_cmp = 15 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden daniels", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jayden_daniels|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7394, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 69, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden daniels \u2014 rush_yds = 69 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joshua palmer", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|joshua_palmer|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7368, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cole kmet", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|cole_kmet|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cole kmet \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre tucker", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tre_tucker|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 119, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tre tucker \u2014 rec_yds = 119 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "deebo samuel", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.714, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.714, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|deebo_samuel|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7368, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian watson", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|christian_watson|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7343, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "christian watson \u2014 rec = 4 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bo nix", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|bo_nix|PASS_CMP_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 22, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bo nix \u2014 pass_cmp = 22 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cole kmet", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -247, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cole_kmet|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7317, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cole kmet \u2014 rec = 0 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bhayshul tuten", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -247, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|bhayshul_tuten|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7388, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 65, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bhayshul tuten \u2014 rush_yds = 65 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hunter henry", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|hunter_henry|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4082, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7291, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "hunter henry \u2014 rec = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jakobi meyers", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -246, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jakobi_meyers|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4065, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7291, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jakobi meyers \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cooper kupp", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cooper_kupp|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4082, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7291, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cooper kupp \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonathan taylor", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -246, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jonathan_taylor|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7291, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mason taylor", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mason_taylor|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7265, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chig okonkwo", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chig_okonkwo|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7265, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike evans", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mike_evans|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4098, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7504, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "mike evans \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_21.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|brock_purdy|PASS_CMP_OVER_21_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.71, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 20, "line": 21.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brock purdy \u2014 pass_cmp = 20 (line 21.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|brock_purdy|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4082, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7563, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brock purdy \u2014 pass_td = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh downs", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|josh_downs|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7265, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jerry jeudy", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -243, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jerry_jeudy|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4115, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 0, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jerry jeudy \u2014 rec_yds = 0 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylen waddle", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jaylen_waddle|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.724, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylen waddle \u2014 rec = 8 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacoby brissett", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_23.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -243, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|jacoby_brissett|PASS_CMP_OVER_23_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.709, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 17, "line": 23.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jacoby brissett \u2014 pass_cmp = 17 (line 23.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashid shaheed", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rashid_shaheed|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4098, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.724, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rashid shaheed \u2014 rec = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jared goff", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jared_goff|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6931, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|josh_allen|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8448, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cole kmet", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|cole_kmet|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4132, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 0, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cole kmet \u2014 rec_yds = 0 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "evan engram", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|evan_engram|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4132, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 17, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "evan engram \u2014 longest_reception = 17 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "daniel jones", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|daniel_jones|PASS_CMP_UNDER_21_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.708, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyjae spears", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tyjae_spears|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8447, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 27, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tyjae spears \u2014 longest_rush = 27 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden daniels", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_224.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jayden_daniels|PASS_YDS_UNDER_224_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4149, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6928, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 96, "line": 224.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden daniels \u2014 pass_yds = 96 (line 224.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael mayer", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|michael_mayer|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4167, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 10, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael mayer \u2014 longest_reception = 10 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "gunnar helm", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|gunnar_helm|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4184, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7137, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "gunnar helm \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chase brown", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|chase_brown|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.705, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 11, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "chase brown \u2014 longest_rush = 11 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quentin johnston", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -238, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|quentin_johnston|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4202, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 7, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "quentin johnston \u2014 rec_yds = 7 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "quentin johnston", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|quentin_johnston|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7489, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "quentin johnston \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "david njoku", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|david_njoku|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4219, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7111, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "david njoku \u2014 rec = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "romeo doubs", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|romeo_doubs|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4219, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7086, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "romeo doubs \u2014 rec = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron rodgers", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_249.5", "prob": 0.703, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.703, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|aaron_rodgers|PASS_YDS_UNDER_249_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4219, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6917, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 187, "line": 249.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aaron rodgers \u2014 pass_yds = 187 (line 249.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devaughn vele", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|devaughn_vele|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.706, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "devaughn vele \u2014 rec = 5 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chase brown", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -235, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|chase_brown|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7369, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 80, "line": 69.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chase brown \u2014 rush_yds = 80 (line 69.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "parker washington", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -235, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|parker_washington|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.706, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 7, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "parker washington \u2014 rec = 7 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kalif raymond", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kalif_raymond|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4274, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7481, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "kalif raymond \u2014 rec = 5 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dallas goedert", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|dallas_goedert|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.701, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 4, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "dallas goedert \u2014 rec_yds = 4 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis kelce", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|travis_kelce|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jared goff", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jared_goff|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7535, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam laporta", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -233, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|sam_laporta|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7009, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alec pierce", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.7, "fair_american": -233, "p_predicted": 0.7, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|alec_pierce|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake london", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -233, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|drake_london|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4292, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6983, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake london \u2014 rec = 4 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8436, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 24, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhamondre stevenson \u2014 longest_rush = 24 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris godwin", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chris_godwin|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6983, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "treveyon henderson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|treveyon_henderson|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4329, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.698, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 39, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "treveyon henderson \u2014 longest_rush = 39 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tommy tremble", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tommy_tremble|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6932, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "tommy tremble \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan mason", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -230, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jordan_mason|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.697, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emeka egbuka", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -230, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|emeka_egbuka|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.747, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "emeka egbuka \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacoby brissett", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_299.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -230, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|jacoby_brissett|PASS_YDS_UNDER_299_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6901, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 95, "line": 299.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jacoby brissett \u2014 pass_yds = 95 (line 299.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh downs", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|josh_downs|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "omarion hampton", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.695, "fair_american": -228, "p_predicted": 0.695, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|omarion_hampton|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4386, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.695, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 17, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "omarion hampton \u2014 longest_rush = 17 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen coker", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jalen_coker|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4405, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7463, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jalen coker \u2014 rec = 8 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demario douglas", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|demario_douglas|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4405, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6855, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "demario douglas \u2014 rec = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|drake_maye|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4405, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8429, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 13, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake maye \u2014 longest_rush = 13 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|justin_herbert|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4405, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7354, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 2, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 rush_yds = 2 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxon smithnjigba", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jaxon_smithnjigba|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7463, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonathan taylor", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.694, "fair_american": -227, "p_predicted": 0.694, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|jonathan_taylor|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.694, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cade otton", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cade_otton|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4444, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.746, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "cade otton \u2014 rec = 5 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "keaton mitchell", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|keaton_mitchell|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4444, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8427, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 11, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "keaton mitchell \u2014 longest_rush = 11 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dontayvion wicks", "market": "LONGEST_REC_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dontayvion_wicks|LONGEST_REC_OVER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4444, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.692, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 27, "line": 19.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "dontayvion wicks \u2014 longest_reception = 27 (line 19.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam ward", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|cam_ward|PASS_CMP_UNDER_21_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4444, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.692, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 13, "line": 21.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cam ward \u2014 pass_cmp = 13 (line 21.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "geno smith", "market": "PASS_CMP_UNDER_21.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|geno_smith|PASS_CMP_UNDER_21_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.692, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 27, "line": 21.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "geno smith \u2014 pass_cmp = 27 (line 21.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jacory croskeymerritt", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jacory_croskeymerritt|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.692, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george kittle", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|george_kittle|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6798, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "george kittle \u2014 rec = 4 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rome odunze", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -223, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rome_odunze|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4484, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rome odunze \u2014 rec = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam ward", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|cam_ward|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8425, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 4, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cam ward \u2014 longest_rush = 4 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dk metcalf", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|dk_metcalf|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 16, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dk metcalf \u2014 longest_reception = 16 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bo nix", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -223, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|bo_nix|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6885, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 288, "line": 199.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bo nix \u2014 pass_yds = 288 (line 199.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -223, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|justin_herbert|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4484, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8425, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 2, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 longest_rush = 2 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "andrei iosivas", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.689, "fair_american": -222, "p_predicted": 0.689, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|andrei_iosivas|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4505, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6704, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "andrei iosivas \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "parker washington", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.689, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.689, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|parker_washington|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4525, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.689, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 98, "line": 39.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "parker washington \u2014 rec_yds = 98 (line 39.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devonta smith", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|devonta_smith|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6673, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 10, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "devonta smith \u2014 rec = 10 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_224.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -220, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|drake_maye|PASS_YDS_UNDER_224_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4545, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6876, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 208, "line": 224.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake maye \u2014 pass_yds = 208 (line 224.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael mayer", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|michael_mayer|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4525, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6673, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael mayer \u2014 rec = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jaxson_dart|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.688, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "treveyon henderson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.687, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.687, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|treveyon_henderson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6642, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike gesicki", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.687, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.687, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mike_gesicki|REC_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.687, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mark andrews", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.686, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.686, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mark_andrews|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6611, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mark andrews \u2014 rec = 6 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mike gesicki", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.686, "fair_american": -218, "p_predicted": 0.686, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|mike_gesicki|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6611, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael pittman", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.685, "fair_american": -217, "p_predicted": 0.685, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|michael_pittman|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.658, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chuba hubbard", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -214, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|chuba_hubbard|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4673, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8412, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 12, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chuba hubbard \u2014 longest_rush = 12 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden reed", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jayden_reed|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6486, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jayden reed \u2014 rec = 1 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin austin", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.681, "fair_american": -214, "p_predicted": 0.681, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|calvin_austin|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jake tonges", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jake_tonges|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6392, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "adonai mitchell", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.677, "fair_american": -210, "p_predicted": 0.677, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|adonai_mitchell|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.633, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "adonai mitchell \u2014 rec = 6 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zach charbonnet", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.677, "fair_american": -210, "p_predicted": 0.677, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|zach_charbonnet|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.677, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george pickens", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.676, "fair_american": -209, "p_predicted": 0.676, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|george_pickens|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4785, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 12, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "george pickens \u2014 longest_reception = 12 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen nailor", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.674, "fair_american": -207, "p_predicted": 0.674, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jalen_nailor|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4831, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6237, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jalen nailor \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "caleb williams", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.672, "fair_american": -205, "p_predicted": 0.672, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|caleb_williams|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4878, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.672, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 17, "line": 12.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "caleb williams \u2014 longest_rush = 17 (line 12.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael wilson", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|michael_wilson|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4902, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6143, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "michael wilson \u2014 rec = 2 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "shedeur sanders", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.67, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.67, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|shedeur_sanders|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.6827, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "woody marks", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.667, "fair_american": -200, "p_predicted": 0.667, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|woody_marks|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8392, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 3, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "woody marks \u2014 longest_rush = 3 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demarcus robinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|demarcus_robinson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5025, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 19, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "demarcus robinson \u2014 longest_reception = 19 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew stafford", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.665, "fair_american": -199, "p_predicted": 0.665, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|matthew_stafford|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.665, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chuba hubbard", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|chuba_hubbard|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5925, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "chuba hubbard \u2014 rec = 2 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jerry jeudy", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.664, "fair_american": -198, "p_predicted": 0.664, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jerry_jeudy|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5051, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5925, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 0, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jerry jeudy \u2014 rec = 0 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bucky irving", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|bucky_irving|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bucky irving \u2014 rec = 4 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mac jones", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|mac_jones|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7398, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devin singletary", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|devin_singletary|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8369, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "adonai mitchell", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|adonai_mitchell|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 15, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "adonai mitchell \u2014 longest_reception = 15 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jahmyr gibbs", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_19.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jahmyr_gibbs|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_19_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.649, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaylin noel", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -184, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jaylin_noel|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5435, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 31, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaylin noel \u2014 longest_reception = 31 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sterling shepard", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|sterling_shepard|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|davante_adams|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.646, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian kirk", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -181, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|christian_kirk|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bryce young", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.641, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.641, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|bryce_young|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.641, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_int", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bryce young \u2014 pass_int = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dontayvion wicks", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.639, "fair_american": -177, "p_predicted": 0.639, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dontayvion_wicks|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dontayvion wicks \u2014 rec = 5 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "geno smith", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.639, "fair_american": -177, "p_predicted": 0.639, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|geno_smith|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.565, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7365, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "geno smith \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jordan love", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.635, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.635, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|jordan_love|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.635, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_int", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jordan love \u2014 pass_int = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bo nix", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.635, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.635, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|bo_nix|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5747, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.635, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_int", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "bo nix \u2014 pass_int = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dak prescott", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.635, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.635, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|dak_prescott|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.635, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_int", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "dak prescott \u2014 pass_int = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "daniel jones", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.635, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.635, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|daniel_jones|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.635, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe burrow", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.634, "fair_american": -173, "p_predicted": 0.634, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|joe_burrow|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.634, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_int", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "joe burrow \u2014 pass_int = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jonnu smith", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.633, "fair_american": -172, "p_predicted": 0.633, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jonnu_smith|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "shedeur sanders", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.631, "fair_american": -171, "p_predicted": 0.631, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|shedeur_sanders|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8342, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.63, "fair_american": -170, "p_predicted": 0.63, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|javonte_williams|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "javonte williams \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.629, "fair_american": -170, "p_predicted": 0.629, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|patrick_mahomes|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin herbert", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|justin_herbert|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5952, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.627, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_int", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "justin herbert \u2014 pass_int = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_int", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "PASS_INT_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_int|NFL|brock_purdy|PASS_INT_OVER_0_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.627, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_int", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brock purdy \u2014 pass_int = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin austin", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.626, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.626, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|calvin_austin|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ceedee lamb", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.609, "fair_american": -156, "p_predicted": 0.609, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|ceedee_lamb|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 38, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ceedee lamb \u2014 longest_reception = 38 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.603, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.603, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|cam_skattebo|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.8303, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe burrow", "market": "PASS_TD_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -150, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|joe_burrow|PASS_TD_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6667, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.599, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "joe burrow \u2014 pass_td = 2 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh allen", "market": "PASS_TD_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.591, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.591, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|josh_allen|PASS_TD_OVER_1_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.591, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "PASS_TD_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.584, "fair_american": -140, "p_predicted": 0.584, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|patrick_mahomes|PASS_TD_OVER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.584, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "daniel jones", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|daniel_jones|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.7203, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "derrick henry", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.556, "fair_american": -125, "p_predicted": 0.556, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|derrick_henry|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.556, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "derrick henry \u2014 anytime_td = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "zach charbonnet", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.546, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.546, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|zach_charbonnet|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.546, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "saquon barkley", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.545, "fair_american": -120, "p_predicted": 0.545, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|saquon_barkley|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.545, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "saquon barkley \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jahmyr gibbs", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|jahmyr_gibbs|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.533, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tee higgins", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.524, "fair_american": -110, "p_predicted": 0.524, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|tee_higgins|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.524, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tee higgins \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jalen hurts", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|jalen_hurts|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.522, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "jalen hurts \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dallas goedert", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.521, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.521, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|dallas_goedert|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.521, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "dallas goedert \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh jacobs", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.52, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.52, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|josh_jacobs|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.52, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rj harvey", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|rj_harvey|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.519, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tucker kraft", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.518, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.518, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|tucker_kraft|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.518, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "tucker kraft \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyren williams", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.515, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.515, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|kyren_williams|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.515, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.506, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "christian mccaffrey \u2014 anytime_td = 2 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|puka_nacua|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.505, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ WSN", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "PHI @ WSN", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|PHI___WSN|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.452, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ TBR", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "OAK @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|OAK___TBR|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.504, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SFG @ STL", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "SFG @ STL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|SFG___STL|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.505, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ PIT", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "MIL @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|MIL___PIT|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.511, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SDP @ COL", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|SDP___COL|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-16", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:09:12", "p_calibrated": 0.541, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.354, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.354, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2553, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.318, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.318, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Clark|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2193, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.304, "fair_american": 229, "p_predicted": 0.304, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2101, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Vladimir Guerrero Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.275, "fair_american": 264, "p_predicted": 0.275, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Vladimir_Guerrero_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Vladimir Guerrero Jr. \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brett Bateman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.266, "fair_american": 276, "p_predicted": 0.266, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Brett_Bateman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2017, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brett Bateman \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.256, "fair_american": 291, "p_predicted": 0.256, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.1931, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.551, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.423, "fair_american": 136, "p_predicted": 0.423, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2988, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Max_Clark|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.51, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "George Springer", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|George_Springer|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "George Springer \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.96, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.568, "fair_american": -131, "p_predicted": 0.568, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Josh_Smith|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.89, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.553, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.553, "matchup": "DET @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-16", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Max_Clark|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-16", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T18:14:02", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-16", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ CHW", "market": "DET_ML", "prob": 0.5799, "raw_prob": 0.5999, "edge_pct": 16.0, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|DET___CHW|DET_ML|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "p_calibrated": 0.5799, "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 1 @ CHW 3", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "DET @ CHW: final 1-3 (total 4 runs) on 2026-09-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.9322, "edge_pct": 77.96, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|LAD___CIN|OVER_8_5|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAD 8 @ CIN 2", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "LAD @ CIN: final 8-2 (total 10) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.256, "fair_american": 290, "p_predicted": 0.256, "matchup": "Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Hugo_Guillon_vs_Luis_Hernandez|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez", "winner": "Luis Hernandez", "ended_round": 2, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Luis Hernandez def. opponent (ended R2) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T13:34:34", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T13:34:34", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.196, "fair_american": 410, "p_predicted": 0.196, "matchup": "Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ednilson_Santos_vs_Akbar_Abdullaev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.1, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev", "winner": "Akbar Abdullaev", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Akbar Abdullaev def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T13:34:34", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T13:34:34", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Antonio Monteiro vs Tyshawn Williams", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.184, "fair_american": 444, "p_predicted": 0.184, "matchup": "Antonio Monteiro vs Tyshawn Williams", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Antonio_Monteiro_vs_Tyshawn_Williams|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Antonio Monteiro vs Tyshawn Williams", "winner": "Tyshawn Williams", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Tyshawn Williams def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T13:34:34", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T13:34:34", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "rlm_strong", "sport": "MLB", "date": "2026-09-17", "player_or_matchup": "BAL @ NYM", "market": "HOME ML", "prob": null, "fair_american": -114, "rlm_strength": "STRONG", "line_delta_pp": -6.24, "pick_id": "rlm_strong|MLB|BAL___NYM|HOME_ML|2026-09-17", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:11:49", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-22T00:43:24", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake london", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -335, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|drake_london|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:34:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 51, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake london \u2014 rec_yds = 51 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake london", "market": "REC_UNDER_5.5", "prob": 0.674, "fair_american": -207, "p_predicted": 0.674, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|drake_london|REC_UNDER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4831, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:34:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6237, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 5.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake london \u2014 rec = 4 (line 5.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_5|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_5|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:34:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "LV 114 @ SEA 77", "team_total": 77, "line": 76.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "LV @ SEA: home scored 77 (line 76.5, bet over) on 2026-09-17" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T05:10:36" }, { "source": "nba_dd_double_double_no", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "scottie barnes", "market": "DOUBLE_DOUBLE_NO", "prob": 0.693, "fair_american": -226, "p_predicted": 0.693, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "nba_dd_double_double_no|NBA|scottie_barnes|DOUBLE_DOUBLE_NO|2026-09-17", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:34:44", "p_calibrated": 0.693, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-22T00:43:24", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_118.5", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIA (MIA @ TOR)", "market": "TEAM_PTS_UNDER_118.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_118_5|NBA|MIA__MIA___TOR_|TEAM_PTS_UNDER_118_5|2026-09-17", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:34:44", "p_calibrated": 0.671, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-22T00:43:24", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_115.5", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "TOR (MIA @ TOR)", "market": "TEAM_PTS_UNDER_115.5", "prob": 0.657, "fair_american": -192, "p_predicted": 0.657, "matchup": "MIA @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "nba_tt_team_pts_under_115_5|NBA|TOR__MIA___TOR_|TEAM_PTS_UNDER_115_5|2026-09-17", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:34:44", "p_calibrated": 0.657, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-22T00:43:24", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.464, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.464, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|PHI___NYM|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-17", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:34:44", "p_calibrated": 0.464, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-22T00:43:24", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ CHW", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|DET___CHW|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-17", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T00:34:44", "p_calibrated": 0.513, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-22T00:43:24", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 298, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Oscar_Ravello_vs_Igor_Cavalcanti|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.98, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T10:12:30", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti", "winner": "Igor Cavalcanti", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Igor Cavalcanti def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T22:21:28", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T22:21:28", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.212, "fair_american": 371, "p_predicted": 0.212, "matchup": "Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Zevan_Hunt_vs_Mayton_Perea|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.71, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T10:12:30", "p_calibrated": 0.3374, "outcome": { "fight": "Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea", "winner": "Mayton Perea", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Mayton Perea def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-17T22:21:28", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-17T22:21:28", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elly De La Cruz", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Elly_De_La_Cruz|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T14:02:26", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Elly De La Cruz \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T05:10:36" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "charles leclerc", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-24", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|charles_leclerc|TOP_3|2026-09-24", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-29T00:32:17", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lando norris", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.696, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.696, "matchup": "Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-24", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|lando_norris|TOP_3|2026-09-24", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-29T00:32:17", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "carlos sainz", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.642, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.642, "matchup": "Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-24", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|carlos_sainz|TOP_3|2026-09-24", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-29T00:32:17", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "oscar piastri", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.623, "fair_american": -165, "p_predicted": 0.623, "matchup": "Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-24", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|oscar_piastri|TOP_3|2026-09-24", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-29T00:32:17", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_3", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "george russell", "market": "TOP_3", "prob": 0.604, "fair_american": -152, "p_predicted": 0.604, "matchup": "Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-24", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_3|F1|george_russell|TOP_3|2026-09-24", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-29T00:32:17", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "lewis hamilton", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.646, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.646, "matchup": "Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-24", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|lewis_hamilton|TOP_6|2026-09-24", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-29T00:32:17", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "f1_quali_top_6", "sport": "F1", "player_or_matchup": "fernando alonso", "market": "TOP_6", "prob": 0.628, "fair_american": -169, "p_predicted": 0.628, "matchup": "Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix", "date": "2026-09-24", "pick_id": "f1_quali_top_6|F1|fernando_alonso|TOP_6|2026-09-24", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-29T00:32:17", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Brito", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Juan_Brito|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.258, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Brito \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dane Myers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dane_Myers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2385, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dane Myers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Friedl", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.238, "fair_american": 320, "p_predicted": 0.238, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Friedl|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Friedl \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.438, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Brito", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.355, "fair_american": 182, "p_predicted": 0.355, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Juan_Brito|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Brito \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.75, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Juan Brito", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Juan_Brito|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Juan Brito \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dane Myers", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "LAD @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dane_Myers|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:05:36", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dane Myers \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Alonzo_Menifield_vs_Iwo_Baraniewski|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski", "winner": "Alonzo Menifield", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Alonzo Menifield def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ozzy_Diaz_vs_Ryan_Gandra|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.97, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra", "winner": "Ryan Gandra", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ryan Gandra def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T23:59:31" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Edmen_Shahbazyan_vs_Brunno_Ferreira|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira", "winner": "Edmen Shahbazyan", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Edmen Shahbazyan def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T23:59:31" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.2, "fair_american": 400, "p_predicted": 0.2, "matchup": "Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Arman_Tsarukyan_vs_Mauricio_Ruffy|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy", "winner": "Arman Tsarukyan", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Arman Tsarukyan def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Aswell vs JooSang Yoo", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 454, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "Michael Aswell vs JooSang Yoo", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Michael_Aswell_vs_JooSang_Yoo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Michael Aswell vs JooSang Yoo", "winner": "Michael Aswell", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Michael Aswell def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 455, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Patricio_Pitbull_vs_Dooho_Choi|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.55, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi", "winner": "Patricio Pitbull", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Patricio Pitbull def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Davis", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.457, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.457, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Cam_Davis|TOP_10|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3449, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T70", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Cam Davis finished T70 (-6) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Kohles", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ben_Kohles|TOP_10|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2684, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ben Kohles finished T15 (-18) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Hadwin", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.301, "fair_american": 232, "p_predicted": 0.301, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Adam_Hadwin|TOP_10|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2684, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T39", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Adam Hadwin finished T39 (-13) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "John Parry", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.459, "fair_american": 118, "p_predicted": 0.459, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|John_Parry|TOP_20|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3474, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "John Parry finished T22 (-16) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Hank Lebioda", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.457, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.457, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Hank_Lebioda|TOP_20|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3449, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T62", "to_par": -9, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Hank Lebioda finished T62 (-9) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Will Gordon", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.173, "fair_american": 478, "p_predicted": 0.173, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Will_Gordon|TOP_5|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T70", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Will Gordon finished T70 (-6) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.63, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ty_France|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2474, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.269, "fair_american": 272, "p_predicted": 0.269, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Connor_Norby|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2043, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Harris", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.255, "fair_american": 292, "p_predicted": 0.255, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dustin_Harris|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.92, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1922, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dustin Harris \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kyle_Karros|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.592, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.447, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.447, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.51, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Harris", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dustin_Harris|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dustin Harris \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Connor_Norby|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.64, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.393, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Troy Johnston", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Troy_Johnston|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Troy Johnston \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.02, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.8, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.53, "fair_american": -113, "p_predicted": 0.53, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.885, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.7, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Manny_Machado|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "SDP @ COL", "date": "2026-09-17", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-17", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T18:19:55", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-17", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Bauchou", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.344, "fair_american": 191, "p_predicted": 0.344, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Zach_Bauchou|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2743, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Zach Bauchou finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chad Ramey", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chad_Ramey|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2732, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T33", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chad Ramey finished T33 (-14) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Johnny Keefer", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.325, "fair_american": 208, "p_predicted": 0.325, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Johnny_Keefer|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.08, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2717, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Johnny Keefer finished T7 (-20) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Dunlap", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Nick_Dunlap|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2715, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T76", "to_par": 0, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Nick Dunlap finished T76 (0) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Billy Horschel", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.323, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.323, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Billy_Horschel|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2714, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T43", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Billy Horschel finished T43 (-12) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Lucas Glover", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.322, "fair_american": 210, "p_predicted": 0.322, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Lucas_Glover|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2713, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T70", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Lucas Glover finished T70 (-6) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Taylor", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.319, "fair_american": 214, "p_predicted": 0.319, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Nick_Taylor|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2708, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T57", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Nick Taylor finished T57 (-10) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Novak", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.314, "fair_american": 218, "p_predicted": 0.314, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Andrew_Novak|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2702, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Andrew Novak finished T17 (-17) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "harold fannin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.799, "fair_american": -399, "p_predicted": 0.799, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|harold_fannin|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj barner", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.798, "fair_american": -396, "p_predicted": 0.798, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|aj_barner|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2525, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aj barner \u2014 rec = 1 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luther burden", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -393, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|luther_burden|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.9078, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "spencer rattler", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.797, "fair_american": -394, "p_predicted": 0.797, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|spencer_rattler|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7806, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris godwin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.796, "fair_american": -390, "p_predicted": 0.796, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|chris_godwin|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cooper kupp", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.796, "fair_american": -390, "p_predicted": 0.796, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cooper_kupp|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2564, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cooper kupp \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kevin austin", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -385, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kevin_austin|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -377, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|drake_maye|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2653, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7537, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 17, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake maye \u2014 rush_yds = 17 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -377, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2653, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 3, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhamondre stevenson \u2014 rec_yds = 3 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "audric estime", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.79, "fair_american": -376, "p_predicted": 0.79, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|audric_estime|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8561, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris godwin", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|chris_godwin|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8974, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe flacco", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_224.5", "prob": 0.788, "fair_american": -372, "p_predicted": 0.788, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|joe_flacco|PASS_YDS_UNDER_224_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7149, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luther burden", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -369, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|luther_burden|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8098, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam darnold", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_299.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|sam_darnold|PASS_YDS_UNDER_299_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7144, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin ridley", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -364, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|calvin_ridley|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2747, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8854, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 25, "line": 34.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "calvin ridley \u2014 longest_reception = 25 (line 34.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "amonra st brown", "market": "REC_OVER_4.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|amonra_st_brown|REC_OVER_4_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7695, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael pittman", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|michael_pittman|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8824, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashid shaheed", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|rashid_shaheed|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.277, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 35, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rashid shaheed \u2014 rec_yds = 35 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alvin kamara", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.782, "fair_american": -359, "p_predicted": 0.782, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|alvin_kamara|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2786, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7521, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 15, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alvin kamara \u2014 rush_yds = 15 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brian thomas", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -358, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|brian_thomas|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cooper kupp", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.781, "fair_american": -358, "p_predicted": 0.781, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|cooper_kupp|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2793, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 20, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "cooper kupp \u2014 rec_yds = 20 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mack hollins", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|mack_hollins|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2809, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8735, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 10, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mack hollins \u2014 longest_reception = 10 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emanuel wilson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -356, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|emanuel_wilson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2809, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8547, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 18, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "emanuel wilson \u2014 longest_rush = 18 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.78, "fair_american": -355, "p_predicted": 0.78, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|devon_achane|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7687, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron jones", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -352, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|aaron_jones|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.798, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh jacobs", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.779, "fair_american": -354, "p_predicted": 0.779, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|josh_jacobs|RUSH_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.779, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "treylon burks", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|treylon_burks|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2865, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8645, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 0, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "treylon burks \u2014 longest_reception = 0 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isiah pacheco", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.776, "fair_american": -346, "p_predicted": 0.776, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|isiah_pacheco|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8542, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jamarr chase", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.775, "fair_american": -345, "p_predicted": 0.775, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jamarr_chase|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8586, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden higgins", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.771, "fair_american": -337, "p_predicted": 0.771, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jayden_higgins|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7863, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jamarr chase", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.771, "fair_american": -337, "p_predicted": 0.771, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jamarr_chase|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7663, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brian thomas", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.771, "fair_american": -338, "p_predicted": 0.771, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|brian_thomas|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8425, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isaiah davis", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|isaiah_davis|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8531, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre harris", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.768, "fair_american": -331, "p_predicted": 0.768, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tre_harris|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8179, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "isiah pacheco", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -329, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|isiah_pacheco|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7493, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|drake_maye|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.767, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 14, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "drake maye \u2014 pass_cmp = 14 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis etienne", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_39.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|travis_etienne|RUSH_YDS_OVER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "luke mccaffrey", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|luke_mccaffrey|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "harold fannin", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|harold_fannin|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8016, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "shedeur sanders", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -327, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|shedeur_sanders|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7719, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cj stroud", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|cj_stroud|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8528, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "greg dortch", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.765, "fair_american": -326, "p_predicted": 0.765, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|greg_dortch|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7776, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "austin hooper", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -325, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|austin_hooper|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3077, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7852, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 13, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "austin hooper \u2014 longest_reception = 13 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrod taylor", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -325, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tyrod_taylor|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8525, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bam knight", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -323, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|bam_knight|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8525, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 18, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "bam knight \u2014 longest_rush = 18 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin ridley", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -320, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|calvin_ridley|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3125, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7733, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "calvin ridley \u2014 rec = 2 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demario douglas", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -319, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|demario_douglas|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3135, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 9, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "demario douglas \u2014 rec_yds = 9 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kimani vidal", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.762, "fair_american": -319, "p_predicted": 0.762, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kimani_vidal|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7483, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock bowers", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.761, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.761, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|brock_bowers|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7607, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "amonra st brown", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -317, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|amonra_st_brown|REC_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.76, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cedric tillman", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.758, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.758, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|cedric_tillman|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7677, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marcus mariota", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -310, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|marcus_mariota|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3226, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7691, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marcus mariota \u2014 pass_td = 1 (line 1.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashid shaheed", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -311, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rashid_shaheed|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3215, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7648, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rashid shaheed \u2014 rec = 3 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tj hockenson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tj_hockenson|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_299.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|drake_maye|PASS_YDS_UNDER_299_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3268, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7056, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 208, "line": 299.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake maye \u2014 pass_yds = 208 (line 299.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dillon gabriel", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.754, "fair_american": -307, "p_predicted": 0.754, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|dillon_gabriel|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.754, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sam darnold", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -306, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|sam_darnold|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.753, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "wandale robinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -303, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|wandale_robinson|REC_UNDER_7_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7592, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh jacobs", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|josh_jacobs|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8509, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael penix", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -301, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|michael_penix|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.75, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brian robinson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -299, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|brian_robinson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8506, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "romeo doubs", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -301, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|romeo_doubs|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 96, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "romeo doubs \u2014 rec_yds = 96 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davis mills", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.749, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.749, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|davis_mills|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.749, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "spencer rattler", "market": "PASS_YDS_UNDER_199.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -298, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|spencer_rattler|PASS_YDS_UNDER_199_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.704, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brian thomas", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.748, "fair_american": -297, "p_predicted": 0.748, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|brian_thomas|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7535, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tj hockenson", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tj_hockenson|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7507, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cedric tillman", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|cedric_tillman|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6469, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael carter", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|michael_carter|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8498, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris rodriguez", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|chris_rodriguez|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8498, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "james cook", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|james_cook|RUSH_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.742, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3472, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6439, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 3, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhamondre stevenson \u2014 longest_reception = 3 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "audric estime", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -287, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|audric_estime|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.745, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin ridley", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -283, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|calvin_ridley|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3534, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7783, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 35, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "calvin ridley \u2014 rec_yds = 35 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marvin harrison", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -283, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|marvin_harrison|REC_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7783, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "drake maye", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|drake_maye|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3559, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8489, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 13, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "drake maye \u2014 longest_rush = 13 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jayden higgins", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -281, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|jayden_higgins|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6409, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashid shaheed", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|rashid_shaheed|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6401, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 23, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rashid shaheed \u2014 longest_reception = 23 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "wandale robinson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|wandale_robinson|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.778, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hunter henry", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|hunter_henry|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3597, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.778, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 40, "line": 59.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "hunter henry \u2014 rec_yds = 40 (line 59.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaleel mclaughlin", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jaleel_mclaughlin|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3597, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8487, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 3, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "jaleel mclaughlin \u2014 longest_rush = 3 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "shedeur sanders", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|shedeur_sanders|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.736, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tre harris", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tre_harris|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "elijah higgins", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|elijah_higgins|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "audric estime", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|audric_estime|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7432, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock bowers", "market": "REC_UNDER_7.5", "prob": 0.734, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.734, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|brock_bowers|REC_UNDER_7_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe flacco", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -274, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|joe_flacco|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.733, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle pitts", "market": "REC_UNDER_6.5", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -271, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kyle_pitts|REC_UNDER_6_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "van jefferson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|van_jefferson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "romeo doubs", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|romeo_doubs|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3731, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "romeo doubs \u2014 rec = 3 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marvin harrison", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|marvin_harrison|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "bam knight", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|bam_knight|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael carter", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|michael_carter|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "mack hollins", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|mack_hollins|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3788, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7773, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 18, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "mack hollins \u2014 rec_yds = 18 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alvin kamara", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -265, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|alvin_kamara|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3774, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8473, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 6, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alvin kamara \u2014 longest_rush = 6 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron jones", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.725, "fair_american": -264, "p_predicted": 0.725, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|aaron_jones|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7413, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "chris rodriguez", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.721, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.721, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|chris_rodriguez|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7405, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael penix", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|michael_penix|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7591, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj barner", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.72, "fair_american": -258, "p_predicted": 0.72, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|aj_barner|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3876, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 8, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aj barner \u2014 longest_reception = 8 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hollywood brown", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|hollywood_brown|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demario douglas", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|demario_douglas|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "demario douglas \u2014 rec = 1 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rhamondre stevenson", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|rhamondre_stevenson|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8462, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 24, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhamondre stevenson \u2014 longest_rush = 24 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jj mccarthy", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -251, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jj_mccarthy|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8459, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.716, "fair_american": -252, "p_predicted": 0.716, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|devon_achane|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "omarion hampton", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.715, "fair_american": -250, "p_predicted": 0.715, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|omarion_hampton|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7394, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 2, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "omarion hampton \u2014 rec = 2 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "van jefferson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -247, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|van_jefferson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "michael pittman", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|michael_pittman|REC_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hunter henry", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|hunter_henry|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4082, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7291, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "hunter henry \u2014 rec = 3 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kimani vidal", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -246, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "LV @ LAC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|kimani_vidal|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.711, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emanuel wilson", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -246, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|emanuel_wilson|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7386, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 92, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "emanuel wilson \u2014 rush_yds = 92 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -246, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|devon_achane|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.711, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hollywood brown", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|hollywood_brown|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "romeo doubs", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.706, "fair_american": -240, "p_predicted": 0.706, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|romeo_doubs|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 63, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "romeo doubs \u2014 longest_reception = 63 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "spencer rattler", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|spencer_rattler|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8444, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aj barner", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -238, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|aj_barner|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4202, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7767, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 8, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "aj barner \u2014 rec_yds = 8 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jj mccarthy", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.704, "fair_american": -237, "p_predicted": 0.704, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jj_mccarthy|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7546, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "wandale robinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "PHI @ TEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|wandale_robinson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jamarr chase", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|jamarr_chase|REC_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.701, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "sean tucker", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.699, "fair_american": -232, "p_predicted": 0.699, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|sean_tucker|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8436, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "hunter henry", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "PIT @ NE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|hunter_henry|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 29, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "hunter henry \u2014 longest_reception = 29 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "joe flacco", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|joe_flacco|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7529, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marvin harrison", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.698, "fair_american": -231, "p_predicted": 0.698, "matchup": "SEA @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|marvin_harrison|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marcus mariota", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.697, "fair_american": -229, "p_predicted": 0.697, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|marcus_mariota|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4367, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8433, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 3, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "marcus mariota \u2014 longest_rush = 3 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "james cook", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.687, "fair_american": -219, "p_predicted": 0.687, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|james_cook|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6642, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "aaron jones", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.685, "fair_american": -217, "p_predicted": 0.685, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|aaron_jones|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8416, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyle pitts", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|kyle_pitts|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "josh jacobs", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "GB @ NYJ", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|josh_jacobs|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6486, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "alvin kamara", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.671, "fair_american": -204, "p_predicted": 0.671, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|alvin_kamara|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.6143, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "alvin kamara \u2014 rec = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis etienne", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|travis_etienne|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "john metchie", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|john_metchie|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dandre swift", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.643, "fair_american": -180, "p_predicted": 0.643, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dandre_swift|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dylan sampson", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.641, "fair_american": -179, "p_predicted": 0.641, "matchup": "CLE @ TB", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|dylan_sampson|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jatavion sanders", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "CAR @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|jatavion_sanders|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cj stroud", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "CIN @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|cj_stroud|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "james cook", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "DET @ BUF", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|james_cook|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.561, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "devon achane", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|devon_achane|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.501, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis etienne", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.5, "fair_american": -100, "p_predicted": 0.5, "matchup": "NO @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|travis_etienne|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.5, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CONN @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_5|WNBA|CONN___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "WAS @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_77_2|WNBA|WAS___CHI|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_77_2|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LA @ DAL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LA @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_78_0|WNBA|LA___DAL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_78_0|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.7", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "PHX @ POR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.7", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "PHX @ POR", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_7|WNBA|PHX___POR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_7|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nba_alts_home_total_over_109.7", "sport": "NBA", "player_or_matchup": "MIAMI HEAT @ TORONTO RAPTORS", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_109.7", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "MIAMI HEAT @ TORONTO RAPTORS", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "nba_alts_home_total_over_109_7|NBA|MIAMI_HEAT___TORONTO_RAPTORS|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_109_7|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.8254, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Emmanuel Rodriguez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.367, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.367, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Emmanuel_Rodriguez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Emmanuel Rodriguez \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mois_s_Ballesteros|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2321, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.324, "fair_american": 209, "p_predicted": 0.324, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Kody_Clemens|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2232, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Danny Jansen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.306, "fair_american": 227, "p_predicted": 0.306, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Danny_Jansen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2114, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jahmai Jones", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.279, "fair_american": 258, "p_predicted": 0.279, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jahmai_Jones|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.58, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jahmai Jones \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.233, "fair_american": 329, "p_predicted": 0.233, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Jung|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.221, "fair_american": 352, "p_predicted": 0.221, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Josh_Lowe|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.34, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.507, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.397, "fair_american": 152, "p_predicted": 0.397, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.292, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jahmai Jones", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jahmai_Jones|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jahmai Jones \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.459, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Jung|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wilyer Abreu", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Wilyer_Abreu|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Wilyer Abreu \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Danny Jansen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Danny_Jansen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mike_Trout|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Story", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Trevor_Story|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Story \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.81, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.533, "fair_american": -114, "p_predicted": 0.533, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Corey_Seager|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "mlb_steal_1plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Wyatt Langford", "market": "1_plus_steal", "prob": 0.15, "fair_american": 569, "p_predicted": 0.15, "matchup": "BOS @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_steal_1plus|MLB|Wyatt_Langford|1_plus_steal|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:26:44", "p_calibrated": 0.15, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "market": "OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.8209, "edge_pct": 56.72, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|PHI___NYM|OVER_5_5|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T00:34:13", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 3 @ NYM 6", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "PHI @ NYM: final 3-6 (total 9) on 2026-09-18", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "LV @ SEA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76.5", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "LV @ SEA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_76_5|WNBA|LV___SEA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_76_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T05:12:47", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ STL", "market": "WSN_ML", "prob": 0.609, "raw_prob": 0.635, "edge_pct": 20.6, "fair_american": -102, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|WSN___STL|WSN_ML|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.609, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 9 @ STL 1", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "WSH @ STL: final 9-1 (total 10 runs) on 2026-09-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "market": "CHC_ML", "prob": 0.6737, "raw_prob": 0.7004, "edge_pct": 18.8, "fair_american": -131, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___CIN|CHC_ML|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6737, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 4 @ CIN 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CHC @ CIN: final 4-6 (total 10 runs) on 2026-09-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ BAL", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.6833, "raw_prob": 0.707, "edge_pct": 16.1, "fair_american": -143, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___BAL|MIL_ML|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6993, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6833, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 6 @ BAL 5", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "MIL @ BAL: final 6-5 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "market": "MIN_ML", "prob": 0.6377, "raw_prob": 0.6578, "edge_pct": 14.4, "fair_american": -126, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___LAA|MIN_ML|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7937, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T13:26:55", "p_calibrated": 0.6377, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 3 @ LAA 0", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "MIN @ LAA: final 3-0 (total 3 runs) on 2026-09-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ CHW", "market": "DET_ML", "prob": 0.5777, "raw_prob": 0.6025, "edge_pct": 20.7, "fair_american": 109, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|DET___CHW|DET_ML|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.09, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5777, "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 11 @ CHW 8", "total_runs": 19, "verify": "DET @ CHW: final 11-8 (total 19 runs) on 2026-09-18" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.462, "fair_american": 116, "p_predicted": 0.462, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3513, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T15 (-18) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Kirk", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.456, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.456, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chris_Kirk|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.19, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3436, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chris Kirk finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Peter Malnati", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Peter_Malnati|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3384, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Peter Malnati finished T17 (-17) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Mackenzie Hughes", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.448, "fair_american": 123, "p_predicted": 0.448, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Mackenzie_Hughes|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3333, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Mackenzie Hughes finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Neal Shipley", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Neal_Shipley|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.3127, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T3", "to_par": -23, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Neal Shipley finished T3 (-23) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Cam Davis", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.501, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.501, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Cam_Davis|TOP_20|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5257, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T70", "to_par": -6, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Cam Davis finished T70 (-6) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Pierceson Coody", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Pierceson_Coody|TOP_20|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5259, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T57", "to_par": -10, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Pierceson Coody finished T57 (-10) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "S\u00e9amus Power", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.502, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.502, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|S_amus_Power|TOP_20|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9901, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5259, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "S\u00e9amus Power finished T7 (-20) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Bridgeman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.504, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.504, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jacob_Bridgeman|TOP_20|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9804, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5264, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -26, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jacob Bridgeman finished T1 (-26) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Pontus Nyholm", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.496, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.496, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Pontus_Nyholm|TOP_20|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5051, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T43", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Pontus Nyholm finished T43 (-12) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Gordon Sargent", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.494, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.494, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Gordon_Sargent|TOP_20|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4941, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T33", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Gordon Sargent finished T33 (-14) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Higgs", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.497, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.497, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Harry_Higgs|TOP_20|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.5106, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T66", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Harry Higgs finished T66 (-8) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Smotherman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Austin_Smotherman|TOP_20|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.05, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.4612, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Austin Smotherman finished T17 (-17) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.49, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.49, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|TOR___TEX|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.49, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ STL", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|WSN___STL|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.543, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "KCR @ PIT", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "KCR @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|KCR___PIT|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.588, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|MIN___LAA|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-18", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:40:02", "p_calibrated": 0.592, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:43", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Harry Higgs", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.548, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.548, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Harry_Higgs|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:43:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T66", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Harry Higgs finished T66 (-8) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max Greyserman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.541, "fair_american": -118, "p_predicted": 0.541, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Max_Greyserman|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8475, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:43:48", "p_calibrated": 0.5352, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Max Greyserman finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Fisk", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Steven_Fisk|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:43:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2748, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Steven Fisk finished T22 (-16) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Smotherman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Austin_Smotherman|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:43:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2747, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Austin Smotherman finished T17 (-17) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rico Hoey", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Rico_Hoey|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:43:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2747, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T39", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Rico Hoey finished T39 (-13) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Roy", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.343, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.343, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kevin_Roy|TOP_10|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-18T17:43:48", "p_calibrated": 0.2741, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kevin Roy finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "market": "TOR_ML", "prob": 0.5983, "raw_prob": 0.6131, "edge_pct": 11.0, "fair_american": -117, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___TEX|TOR_ML|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5983, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 2 @ TEX 6", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "TOR @ TEX: final 2-6 (total 8 runs) on 2026-09-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.443, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.443, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3183, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:06:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "S\u00e9amus Power", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|S_amus_Power|TOP_10|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7576, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "S\u00e9amus Power finished T7 (-20) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jacob Bridgeman", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.565, "fair_american": -130, "p_predicted": 0.565, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jacob_Bridgeman|TOP_10|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7692, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T1", "to_par": -26, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jacob Bridgeman finished T1 (-26) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Pontus Nyholm", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.557, "fair_american": -126, "p_predicted": 0.557, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Pontus_Nyholm|TOP_10|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T43", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Pontus Nyholm finished T43 (-12) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "John VanDerLaan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.368, "fair_american": 172, "p_predicted": 0.368, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|John_VanDerLaan|TOP_10|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.72, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2821, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "John VanDerLaan finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.361, "fair_american": 177, "p_predicted": 0.361, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_10|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.77, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.279, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -24, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ben James finished T2 (-24) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Poston", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.349, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.349, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|J_T__Poston|TOP_10|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.87, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2749, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -21, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "J.T. Poston finished T5 (-21) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Brice Garnett", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.517, "fair_american": -107, "p_predicted": 0.517, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Brice_Garnett|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5295, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T66", "to_par": -8, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Brice Garnett finished T66 (-8) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Eckroat", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Austin_Eckroat|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5267, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Austin Eckroat finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Silverman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.492, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.492, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_Silverman|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4831, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T43", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben Silverman finished T43 (-12) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Marco Penge", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.493, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.493, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Marco_Penge|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.03, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4886, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Marco Penge finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zecheng Dou", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.493, "fair_american": 103, "p_predicted": 0.493, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Zecheng_Dou|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.03, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4886, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Zecheng Dou finished T7 (-20) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Koivun", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.506, "fair_american": -103, "p_predicted": 0.506, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jackson_Koivun|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9709, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.5269, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -21, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jackson Koivun finished T5 (-21) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Peterson", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.486, "fair_american": 106, "p_predicted": 0.486, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Paul_Peterson|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.4502, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T43", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Paul Peterson finished T43 (-12) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Kirk", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.474, "fair_american": 111, "p_predicted": 0.474, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chris_Kirk|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.11, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3844, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chris Kirk finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max Greyserman", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.47, "fair_american": 113, "p_predicted": 0.47, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Max_Greyserman|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.13, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3624, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Max Greyserman finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell mooney", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.787, "fair_american": -369, "p_predicted": 0.787, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|darnell_mooney|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8944, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.786, "fair_american": -367, "p_predicted": 0.786, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|cam_skattebo|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrone tracy", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -351, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|tyrone_tracy|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_69_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7514, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrone tracy", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.778, "fair_american": -350, "p_predicted": 0.778, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tyrone_tracy|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7966, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "emari demercado", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -348, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|emari_demercado|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2874, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8543, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 7, "line": 16.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "emari demercado \u2014 longest_rush = 7 (line 16.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "REC_YDS_OVER_69.5", "prob": 0.773, "fair_american": -341, "p_predicted": 0.773, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|puka_nacua|REC_YDS_OVER_69_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.773, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george kittle", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.764, "fair_american": -323, "p_predicted": 0.764, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|george_kittle|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 80, "line": 79.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "george kittle \u2014 rec_yds = 80 (line 79.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colby parkinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.76, "fair_american": -318, "p_predicted": 0.76, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|colby_parkinson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7525, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_199.5", "prob": 0.757, "fair_american": -312, "p_predicted": 0.757, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|brock_purdy|PASS_YDS_OVER_199_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3205, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.757, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_yds", "actual": 287, "line": 199.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brock purdy \u2014 pass_yds = 287 (line 199.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "calvin austin", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.756, "fair_american": -310, "p_predicted": 0.756, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|calvin_austin|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george pickens", "market": "REC_OVER_3.5", "prob": 0.755, "fair_american": -309, "p_predicted": 0.755, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|george_pickens|REC_OVER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3236, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7622, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 6, "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "george pickens \u2014 rec = 6 (line 3.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ryan flournoy", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -303, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|ryan_flournoy|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.33, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 23, "line": 39.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ryan flournoy \u2014 rec_yds = 23 (line 39.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colby parkinson", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.752, "fair_american": -304, "p_predicted": 0.752, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|colby_parkinson|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7789, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george kittle", "market": "REC_OVER_3.5", "prob": 0.75, "fair_american": -299, "p_predicted": 0.75, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|george_kittle|REC_OVER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3344, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7609, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 4, "line": 3.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "george kittle \u2014 rec = 4 (line 3.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_49.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|REC_YDS_UNDER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3413, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7788, "outcome": { "stat": "rec_yds", "actual": 43, "line": 49.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "christian mccaffrey \u2014 rec_yds = 43 (line 49.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler higbee", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -293, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|tyler_higbee|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7507, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|davante_adams|REC_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7786, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ryan flournoy", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -285, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ryan_flournoy|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7422, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 5, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ryan flournoy \u2014 rec = 5 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew stafford", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.738, "fair_american": -282, "p_predicted": 0.738, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|matthew_stafford|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.738, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_cmp", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "PASS_CMP_OVER_17.5", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -278, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_cmp|NFL|brock_purdy|PASS_CMP_OVER_17_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3597, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.736, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_cmp", "actual": 20, "line": 17.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brock purdy \u2014 pass_cmp = 20 (line 17.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "malik davis", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|malik_davis|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8485, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.361, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8485, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 5, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "christian mccaffrey \u2014 longest_rush = 5 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3636, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6371, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 16, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "christian mccaffrey \u2014 longest_reception = 16 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "darnell mooney", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|darnell_mooney|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ryan flournoy", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -273, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|ryan_flournoy|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3663, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6364, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 10, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "ryan flournoy \u2014 longest_reception = 10 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler higbee", "market": "REC_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec_yds|NFL|tyler_higbee|REC_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7775, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "demarcus robinson", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|demarcus_robinson|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3731, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6334, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 19, "line": 19.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "demarcus robinson \u2014 longest_reception = 19 (line 19.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "davante adams", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29.5", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -268, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|davante_adams|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_29_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6334, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "christian mccaffrey", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|christian_mccaffrey|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.727, "outcome": { "stat": "rush_yds", "actual": 23, "line": 59.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "christian mccaffrey \u2014 rush_yds = 23 (line 59.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "blake corum", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|blake_corum|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7417, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew stafford", "market": "PASS_YDS_OVER_224.5", "prob": 0.727, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.727, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_yds|NFL|matthew_stafford|PASS_YDS_OVER_224_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.727, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "brock purdy", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12.5", "prob": 0.726, "fair_american": -266, "p_predicted": 0.726, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|brock_purdy|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_12_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8473, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_rush", "actual": 18, "line": 12.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "brock purdy \u2014 longest_rush = 18 (line 12.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "dak prescott", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|dak_prescott|PASS_TD_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7571, "outcome": { "stat": "pass_td", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "dak prescott \u2014 pass_td = 4 (line 2.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kyren williams", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_59.5", "prob": 0.71, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.71, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kyren_williams|RUSH_YDS_OVER_59_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.71, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_pass_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jaxson dart", "market": "PASS_TD_UNDER_1.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -243, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_pass_td|NFL|jaxson_dart|PASS_TD_UNDER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.756, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyrone tracy", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12.5", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|tyrone_tracy|LONGEST_RUSH_OVER_12_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.709, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "puka nacua", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -241, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|puka_nacua|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_34_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "tyler higbee", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -221, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|tyler_higbee|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "blake corum", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.682, "fair_american": -214, "p_predicted": 0.682, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|blake_corum|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.8412, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "ceedee lamb", "market": "REC_OVER_5.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -211, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|ceedee_lamb|REC_OVER_5_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4739, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7423, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 8, "line": 5.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ceedee lamb \u2014 rec = 8 (line 5.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "colby parkinson", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.67, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.67, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|colby_parkinson|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.6112, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_reception", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "george kittle", "market": "LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.668, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.668, "matchup": "MIA @ SF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_reception|NFL|george_kittle|LONGEST_REC_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.629, "outcome": { "stat": "longest_reception", "actual": 40, "line": 24.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "george kittle \u2014 longest_reception = 40 (line 24.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "cam skattebo", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "NYG @ LAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|cam_skattebo|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.594, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "javonte williams", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.543, "fair_american": -119, "p_predicted": 0.543, "matchup": "WSH @ DAL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|javonte_williams|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.543, "outcome": { "stat": "anytime_td", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "javonte williams \u2014 anytime_td = 0 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Chelsea @ Brentford", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.771, "fair_american": -336, "p_predicted": 0.771, "matchup": "Chelsea @ Brentford", "date": "2026-09-18", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Chelsea___Brentford|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-18", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chelsea 0-3 Brentford", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "jaidon anthony", "igor thiago", "f\u00e1bio carvalho" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Chelsea 0-3 Brentford: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-19T12:34:01" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.8", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "IND @ TOR", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.8", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "IND @ TOR", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_8|WNBA|IND___TOR|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_8|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "NY @ MIN", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "NY @ MIN", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_0|WNBA|NY___MIN|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_0|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ GOL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_75_0|WNBA|POR___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_75_0|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "HBP_YES", "prob": 0.0923, "fair_american": 984, "p_predicted": 0.0923, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hbp_hbp_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|HBP_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.0923, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.67, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.371, "fair_american": 170, "p_predicted": 0.371, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Daylen_Lile|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.7, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Paul Goldschmidt", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.358, "fair_american": 179, "p_predicted": 0.358, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Paul_Goldschmidt|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2574, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ryan Jeffers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.338, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.338, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ryan_Jeffers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.241, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ryan Jeffers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.99, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2372, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.579, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mookie_Betts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.28, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 3, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 xbh = 3 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.571, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Carrigg", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.435, "fair_american": 130, "p_predicted": 0.435, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Carrigg|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3035, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Carrigg \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.566, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jorbit Vivas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.432, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.432, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jorbit_Vivas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3023, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jorbit Vivas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.564, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yohandy Morales", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.431, "fair_american": 132, "p_predicted": 0.431, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yohandy_Morales|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.3019, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yohandy Morales \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.549, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.422, "fair_american": 137, "p_predicted": 0.422, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2984, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.529, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.411, "fair_american": 144, "p_predicted": 0.411, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.295, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.51, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Will Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.4, "fair_american": 150, "p_predicted": 0.4, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Will_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.5, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2926, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Will Smith \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.55, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.496, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.391, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.391, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.491, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Rojas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.388, "fair_american": 158, "p_predicted": 0.388, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Miguel_Rojas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Rojas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Connor_Norby|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.59, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ty_France|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.6, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.482, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.48, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.381, "fair_american": 162, "p_predicted": 0.381, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.477, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cal Raleigh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.379, "fair_american": 164, "p_predicted": 0.379, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cal_Raleigh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.64, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cal Raleigh \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.474, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Harris", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.377, "fair_american": 165, "p_predicted": 0.377, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dustin_Harris|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.65, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dustin Harris \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.47, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Taylor Trammell", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Taylor_Trammell|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.469, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Altuve|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.468, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.374, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.374, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.76, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Volpe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Anthony_Volpe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Anthony Volpe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.445, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Elias D\u00edaz", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.359, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.359, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Elias_D_az|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Stowers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Stowers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Stowers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Xander Bogaerts", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Xander_Bogaerts|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sean Murphy", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sean_Murphy|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sean Murphy \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Karros \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.425, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzie Albies", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ozzie_Albies|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2843, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ozzie Albies \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LaMonte Wade Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|LaMonte_Wade_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "LaMonte Wade Jr. \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.419, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.342, "fair_american": 192, "p_predicted": 0.342, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.92, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2785, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Manny_Machado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Leo Bernal", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Leo_Bernal|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Leo Bernal \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.1, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.08, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Tucker", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.595, "fair_american": -147, "p_predicted": 0.595, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kyle_Tucker|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kyle Tucker \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.05, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Harris", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.588, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.588, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dustin_Harris|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dustin Harris \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.04, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.585, "fair_american": -141, "p_predicted": 0.585, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7092, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 7, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hrr = 7 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -133, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7519, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 5, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 hrr = 5 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.549, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.549, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TJ Rumfield", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|TJ_Rumfield|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 4, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "TJ Rumfield \u2014 hrr = 4 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.83, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryce Eldridge", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.537, "fair_american": -116, "p_predicted": 0.537, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Bryce_Eldridge|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.79, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.72, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.2423, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_steal_1plus", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Anthony Volpe", "market": "1_plus_steal", "prob": 0.144, "fair_american": 592, "p_predicted": 0.144, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_steal_1plus|MLB|Anthony_Volpe|1_plus_steal|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T00:25:07", "p_calibrated": 0.144, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "market": "TBR_ML", "prob": 0.5208, "edge_pct": 100.52, "fair_american": 285, "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|BOS___TBR|TBR_ML|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.85, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T01:22:10", "p_calibrated": 0.5208, "outcome": { "final_score": "BOS 1 @ TB 2", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "BOS @ TB: final 1-2 (total 3 runs) on 2026-09-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6718, "raw_prob": 0.6906, "edge_pct": 12.6, "fair_american": -148, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___ARI|NYY_ML|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T12:55:57", "p_calibrated": 0.6718, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 3 @ ARI 5", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "NYY @ ARI: final 3-5 (total 8 runs) on 2026-09-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ STL", "market": "WSN_ML", "prob": 0.6126, "raw_prob": 0.702, "edge_pct": 28.0, "fair_american": 109, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|WSN___STL|WSN_ML|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.09, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.6126, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 8 @ STL 5", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "WSH @ STL: final 8-5 (total 13 runs) on 2026-09-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "market": "CHC_ML", "prob": 0.7296, "raw_prob": 0.8248, "edge_pct": 24.3, "fair_american": -142, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___CIN|CHC_ML|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7042, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "also_sources": [ "whale_strong" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7296, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 5 @ CIN 2", "total_runs": 7, "verify": "CHC @ CIN: final 5-2 (total 7 runs) on 2026-09-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.333, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.333, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.2728, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Eric Cole finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "John VanDerLaan", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.599, "fair_american": -149, "p_predicted": 0.599, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|John_VanDerLaan|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6711, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "John VanDerLaan finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "J.T. Poston", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|J_T__Poston|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6849, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -21, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "J.T. Poston finished T5 (-21) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Steven Fisk", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.587, "fair_american": -142, "p_predicted": 0.587, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Steven_Fisk|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Steven Fisk finished T22 (-16) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Roy", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.576, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.576, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kevin_Roy|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kevin Roy finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Rico Hoey", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.578, "fair_american": -137, "p_predicted": 0.578, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Rico_Hoey|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T39", "to_par": -13, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Rico Hoey finished T39 (-13) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben James", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.581, "fair_american": -139, "p_predicted": 0.581, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Ben_James|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.7194, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T2", "to_par": -24, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Ben James finished T2 (-24) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ CLE", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.454, "fair_american": 120, "p_predicted": 0.454, "matchup": "OAK @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|OAK___CLE|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.454, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ BAL", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "MIL @ BAL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|MIL___BAL|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T16:05:14", "p_calibrated": 0.514, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.6523, "raw_prob": 0.8451, "edge_pct": 24.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SFG___LAD|LAD_ML|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6523, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong" ], "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ BAL", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.5793, "raw_prob": 0.5991, "edge_pct": 15.9, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___BAL|MIL_ML|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.5793, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 1 @ BAL 0", "total_runs": 1, "verify": "MIL @ BAL: final 1-0 (total 1 runs) on 2026-09-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.15, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:12:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hits = 2 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Adam Schenk", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.551, "fair_american": -123, "p_predicted": 0.551, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Adam_Schenk|TOP_10|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T43", "to_par": -12, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Adam Schenk finished T43 (-12) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.547, "fair_american": -121, "p_predicted": 0.547, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_10|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Eric Cole finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "John Parry", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.346, "fair_american": 189, "p_predicted": 0.346, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|John_Parry|TOP_10|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2745, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T22", "to_par": -16, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "John Parry finished T22 (-16) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Haotong Li", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.496, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.496, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Haotong_Li|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.02, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5051, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Haotong Li finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Paul", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.494, "fair_american": 102, "p_predicted": 0.494, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jeremy_Paul|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.4941, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T33", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jeremy Paul finished T33 (-14) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chad Ramey", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.479, "fair_american": 109, "p_predicted": 0.479, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Chad_Ramey|TOP_20|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.4118, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T33", "to_par": -14, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Chad Ramey finished T33 (-14) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LA Galaxy @ Minnesota United FC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "LA Galaxy @ Minnesota United FC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|LA_Galaxy___Minnesota_United_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5155, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA Galaxy 3-2 Minnesota United FC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "pablo ruiz", "marcus caldeira", "kelvin yeboah", "jo\u00e3o klauss", "marco reus" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "LA Galaxy 3-2 Minnesota United FC: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Sporting Kansas City", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.66, "fair_american": -194, "p_predicted": 0.66, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Sporting Kansas City", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Philadelphia_Union___Sporting_Kansas_Cit|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 4-3 Sporting Kansas City", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 7, "scorers": [ "andr\u00e9 luiz", "andr\u00e9 luiz", "wyatt meyer", "bruno damiani", "cavan sullivan", "milan iloski" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 4-3 Sporting Kansas City: 7 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Columbus Crew @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.67, "fair_american": -203, "p_predicted": 0.67, "matchup": "Columbus Crew @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Columbus_Crew___CF_Montr_al|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4926, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6312, "outcome": { "final_score": "Columbus Crew 2-0 CF Montr\u00e9al", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "mohamed farsi", "brais m\u00e9ndez" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Columbus Crew 2-0 CF Montr\u00e9al: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.68, "fair_american": -213, "p_predicted": 0.68, "matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Portland_Timbers|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4695, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6569, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 1-0 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "alexey miranchuk" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Atlanta United FC 1-0 Portland Timbers: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Orlando City SC @ New England Revolution", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -215, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "Orlando City SC @ New England Revolution", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Orlando_City_SC___New_England_Revolution|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4651, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Orlando City SC 2-4 New England Revolution", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "carles gil", "peyton miller", "iv\u00e1n angulo", "mart\u00edn ojeda", "peyton miller", "carles gil" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Orlando City SC 2-4 New England Revolution: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.683, "fair_american": -216, "p_predicted": 0.683, "matchup": "LAFC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|LAFC___San_Jose_Earthquakes|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "son heung-min", "denis bouanga", "preston judd", "reid roberts" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "LAFC 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Nashville SC", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.702, "fair_american": -236, "p_predicted": 0.702, "matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Nashville SC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Chicago_Fire_FC___Nashville_SC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4237, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chicago Fire FC 0-3 Nashville SC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "sam surridge", "cristian espinoza", "hany mukhtar" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Chicago Fire FC 0-3 Nashville SC: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Austin FC @ FC Dallas", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.709, "fair_american": -244, "p_predicted": 0.709, "matchup": "Austin FC @ FC Dallas", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Austin_FC___FC_Dallas|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4098, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austin FC 0-0 FC Dallas", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Austin FC 0-0 FC Dallas: 4 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Hull City @ Newcastle United", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "Hull City @ Newcastle United", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Hull_City___Newcastle_United|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Hull City 1-2 Newcastle United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "joe willock", "lewis hall", "mohamed-ali cho" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Hull City 1-2 Newcastle United: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Coventry City @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Coventry_City___Nottingham_Forest|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 1-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "jay da silva" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Coventry City 1-0 Nottingham Forest: 2 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Everton", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.627, "fair_american": -168, "p_predicted": 0.627, "matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Everton", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Ipswich_Town___Everton|BTTS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5763, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ipswich Town 0-1 Everton", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "thierno barry" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Ipswich Town 0-1 Everton: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Arsenal @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.626, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.626, "matchup": "Arsenal @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Arsenal___Brighton___Hove_Albion|BTTS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5761, "outcome": { "final_score": "Arsenal 0-3 Brighton & Hove Albion", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "pascal gross", "charalambos kostoulas", "chema andr\u00e9s" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Arsenal 0-3 Brighton & Hove Albion: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.625, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.625, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Aston_Villa___Tottenham_Hotspur|BTTS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.576, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "johan manzambi", "nicolas jackson", "emiliano buend\u00eda", "conor gallagher", "jan paul van hecke" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Aston Villa 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Hull City @ Newcastle United", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "Hull City @ Newcastle United", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Hull_City___Newcastle_United|BTTS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5758, "outcome": { "final_score": "Hull City 1-2 Newcastle United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "joe willock", "lewis hall", "mohamed-ali cho" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Hull City 1-2 Newcastle United: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Coventry City @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Coventry_City___Nottingham_Forest|BTTS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.5758, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 1-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "jay da silva" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Coventry City 1-0 Nottingham Forest: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Aston_Villa___Tottenham_Hotspur|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "johan manzambi", "nicolas jackson", "emiliano buend\u00eda", "conor gallagher", "jan paul van hecke" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Aston Villa 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur: 5 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Arsenal @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Arsenal @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Arsenal___Brighton___Hove_Albion|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Arsenal 0-3 Brighton & Hove Albion", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "pascal gross", "charalambos kostoulas", "chema andr\u00e9s" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Arsenal 0-3 Brighton & Hove Albion: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Everton", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Everton", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Ipswich_Town___Everton|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ipswich Town 0-1 Everton", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "thierno barry" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Ipswich Town 0-1 Everton: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Hull City @ Newcastle United", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Hull City @ Newcastle United", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Hull_City___Newcastle_United|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Hull City 1-2 Newcastle United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "joe willock", "lewis hall", "mohamed-ali cho" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Hull City 1-2 Newcastle United: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Coventry City @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Coventry_City___Nottingham_Forest|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 1-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "jay da silva" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Coventry City 1-0 Nottingham Forest: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Charlotte FC @ D.C. United", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Charlotte FC @ D.C. United", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Charlotte_FC___D_C__United|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Charlotte FC 2-1 D.C. United", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "ashley westwood", "lucas bartlett", "allan saint-maximin" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Charlotte FC 2-1 D.C. United: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Austin FC @ FC Dallas", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Austin FC @ FC Dallas", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Austin_FC___FC_Dallas|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austin FC 0-0 FC Dallas", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Austin FC 0-0 FC Dallas: 0 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Cincinnati @ Houston Dynamo FC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "FC Cincinnati @ Houston Dynamo FC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|FC_Cincinnati___Houston_Dynamo_FC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Cincinnati 2-2 Houston Dynamo FC", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "guilherme augusto", "mateusz bogusz", "bryan ramirez", "k\u00e9vin denkey" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "FC Cincinnati 2-2 Houston Dynamo FC: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto FC @ St. Louis CITY SC", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ St. Louis CITY SC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Toronto_FC___St__Louis_CITY_SC|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 1-3 St. Louis CITY SC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "carlo holse", "tomas totland", "simon becher", "theo corbeanu" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Toronto FC 1-3 St. Louis CITY SC: 4 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ Colorado Rapids", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ Colorado Rapids", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Seattle_Sounders_FC___Colorado_Rapids|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Seattle Sounders FC 3-3 Colorado Rapids", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "morgan whittaker", "cristian roldan", "donavan phillip", "morgan whittaker", "dejan joveljic", "caden clark" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Seattle Sounders FC 3-3 Colorado Rapids: 6 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Real Salt Lake", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Real Salt Lake", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|MLS|Vancouver_Whitecaps___Real_Salt_Lake|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5464, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6863, "outcome": { "final_score": "Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Real Salt Lake", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "brian white", "thomas m\u00fcller", "yadaly diaby" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Real Salt Lake: 3 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.767, "fair_american": -330, "p_predicted": 0.767, "matchup": "Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Aston_Villa___Tottenham_Hotspur|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.303, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Aston Villa 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "johan manzambi", "nicolas jackson", "emiliano buend\u00eda", "conor gallagher", "jan paul van hecke" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Aston Villa 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Arsenal @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.772, "fair_american": -340, "p_predicted": 0.772, "matchup": "Arsenal @ Brighton & Hove Albion", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Arsenal___Brighton___Hove_Albion|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Arsenal 0-3 Brighton & Hove Albion", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "pascal gross", "charalambos kostoulas", "chema andr\u00e9s" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Arsenal 0-3 Brighton & Hove Albion: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Hull City @ Newcastle United", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "Hull City @ Newcastle United", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Hull_City___Newcastle_United|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Hull City 1-2 Newcastle United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "joe willock", "lewis hall", "mohamed-ali cho" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Hull City 1-2 Newcastle United: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Coventry City @ Nottingham Forest", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "Coventry City @ Nottingham Forest", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Coventry_City___Nottingham_Forest|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Coventry City 1-0 Nottingham Forest", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "jay da silva" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Coventry City 1-0 Nottingham Forest: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Columbus Crew @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.743, "fair_american": -290, "p_predicted": 0.743, "matchup": "Columbus Crew @ CF Montr\u00e9al", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Columbus_Crew___CF_Montr_al|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3448, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Columbus Crew 2-0 CF Montr\u00e9al", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "mohamed farsi", "brais m\u00e9ndez" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Columbus Crew 2-0 CF Montr\u00e9al: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Charlotte FC @ D.C. United", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.753, "fair_american": -305, "p_predicted": 0.753, "matchup": "Charlotte FC @ D.C. United", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Charlotte_FC___D_C__United|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3279, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Charlotte FC 2-1 D.C. United", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "ashley westwood", "lucas bartlett", "allan saint-maximin" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Charlotte FC 2-1 D.C. United: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Orlando City SC @ New England Revolution", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "Orlando City SC @ New England Revolution", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Orlando_City_SC___New_England_Revolution|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3584, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7134, "outcome": { "final_score": "Orlando City SC 2-4 New England Revolution", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "carles gil", "peyton miller", "iv\u00e1n angulo", "mart\u00edn ojeda", "peyton miller", "carles gil" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Orlando City SC 2-4 New England Revolution: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LAFC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.736, "fair_american": -279, "p_predicted": 0.736, "matchup": "LAFC @ San Jose Earthquakes", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|LAFC___San_Jose_Earthquakes|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3584, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7134, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAFC 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "son heung-min", "denis bouanga", "preston judd", "reid roberts" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "LAFC 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Austin FC @ FC Dallas", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.732, "fair_american": -274, "p_predicted": 0.732, "matchup": "Austin FC @ FC Dallas", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Austin_FC___FC_Dallas|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6819, "outcome": { "final_score": "Austin FC 0-0 FC Dallas", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Austin FC 0-0 FC Dallas: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "FC Cincinnati @ Houston Dynamo FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "FC Cincinnati @ Houston Dynamo FC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|FC_Cincinnati___Houston_Dynamo_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3745, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6528, "outcome": { "final_score": "FC Cincinnati 2-2 Houston Dynamo FC", "total_cards": 0, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "guilherme augusto", "mateusz bogusz", "bryan ramirez", "k\u00e9vin denkey" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "FC Cincinnati 2-2 Houston Dynamo FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "LA Galaxy @ Minnesota United FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -284, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "LA Galaxy @ Minnesota United FC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|LA_Galaxy___Minnesota_United_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3521, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7505, "outcome": { "final_score": "LA Galaxy 3-2 Minnesota United FC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 5, "scorers": [ "pablo ruiz", "marcus caldeira", "kelvin yeboah", "jo\u00e3o klauss", "marco reus" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "LA Galaxy 3-2 Minnesota United FC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Sporting Kansas City", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.742, "fair_american": -288, "p_predicted": 0.742, "matchup": "Philadelphia Union @ Sporting Kansas City", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Philadelphia_Union___Sporting_Kansas_Cit|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3472, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Philadelphia Union 4-3 Sporting Kansas City", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 7, "scorers": [ "andr\u00e9 luiz", "andr\u00e9 luiz", "wyatt meyer", "bruno damiani", "cavan sullivan", "milan iloski" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Philadelphia Union 4-3 Sporting Kansas City: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Toronto FC @ St. Louis CITY SC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.73, "fair_american": -270, "p_predicted": 0.73, "matchup": "Toronto FC @ St. Louis CITY SC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Toronto_FC___St__Louis_CITY_SC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3704, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6674, "outcome": { "final_score": "Toronto FC 1-3 St. Louis CITY SC", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "carlo holse", "tomas totland", "simon becher", "theo corbeanu" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Toronto FC 1-3 St. Louis CITY SC: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ Colorado Rapids", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.728, "fair_american": -267, "p_predicted": 0.728, "matchup": "Seattle Sounders FC @ Colorado Rapids", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Seattle_Sounders_FC___Colorado_Rapids|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3745, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6528, "outcome": { "final_score": "Seattle Sounders FC 3-3 Colorado Rapids", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 6, "scorers": [ "morgan whittaker", "cristian roldan", "donavan phillip", "morgan whittaker", "dejan joveljic", "caden clark" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Seattle Sounders FC 3-3 Colorado Rapids: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Nashville SC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.733, "fair_american": -275, "p_predicted": 0.733, "matchup": "Chicago Fire FC @ Nashville SC", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Chicago_Fire_FC___Nashville_SC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6892, "outcome": { "final_score": "Chicago Fire FC 0-3 Nashville SC", "total_cards": 2, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "sam surridge", "cristian espinoza", "hany mukhtar" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Chicago Fire FC 0-3 Nashville SC: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Real Salt Lake", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.751, "fair_american": -302, "p_predicted": 0.751, "matchup": "Vancouver Whitecaps @ Real Salt Lake", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Vancouver_Whitecaps___Real_Salt_Lake|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3311, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Real Salt Lake", "total_cards": 7, "total_goals": 3, "scorers": [ "brian white", "thomas m\u00fcller", "yadaly diaby" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Real Salt Lake: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Portland Timbers", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.737, "fair_american": -280, "p_predicted": 0.737, "matchup": "Atlanta United FC @ Portland Timbers", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Atlanta_United_FC___Portland_Timbers|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3571, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.7227, "outcome": { "final_score": "Atlanta United FC 1-0 Portland Timbers", "total_cards": 4, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "alexey miranchuk" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Atlanta United FC 1-0 Portland Timbers: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T09:47:45" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.375, "fair_american": 167, "p_predicted": 0.375, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.288, "fair_american": 247, "p_predicted": 0.288, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Colt_Keith|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 255, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.24, "fair_american": 317, "p_predicted": 0.24, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1793, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.236, "fair_american": 324, "p_predicted": 0.236, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Trevor Story", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.232, "fair_american": 331, "p_predicted": 0.232, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Trevor_Story|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Trevor Story \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Miguel Vargas", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.228, "fair_american": 339, "p_predicted": 0.228, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Miguel_Vargas|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.39, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Miguel Vargas \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.227, "fair_american": 341, "p_predicted": 0.227, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Max_Clark|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Gasper", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.223, "fair_american": 348, "p_predicted": 0.223, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mickey_Gasper|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Gasper \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.531, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Colt Keith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.412, "fair_american": 143, "p_predicted": 0.412, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Colt_Keith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2952, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Colt Keith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.442, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.357, "fair_american": 180, "p_predicted": 0.357, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.434, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.352, "fair_american": 184, "p_predicted": 0.352, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.84, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.84, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.54, "fair_american": -117, "p_predicted": 0.54, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.77, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin McGonigle", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.522, "fair_american": -109, "p_predicted": 0.522, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Kevin_McGonigle|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kevin McGonigle \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Clark", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.503, "fair_american": -101, "p_predicted": 0.503, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Max_Clark|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T17:19:19", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Clark \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.6045, "raw_prob": 0.6654, "edge_pct": 15.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___LAA|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T23:59:31", "p_calibrated": 0.5896, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 5 @ LAA 6", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "MIN @ LAA: final 5-6 (total 11) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5956, "raw_prob": 0.6498, "edge_pct": 13.7, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___ARI|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T23:59:31", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 3 @ ARI 5", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "NYY @ ARI: final 3-5 (total 8) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5553, "raw_prob": 0.579, "edge_pct": 6.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIA___SDP|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T23:59:31", "p_calibrated": 0.5507, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIA 6 @ SD 7", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "MIA @ SD: final 6-7 (total 13) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Ty_France|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.26, "recorded_at": "2026-09-19T23:59:31", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hits = 3 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-19", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_plus_hit|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.252, "fair_american": 297, "p_predicted": 0.252, "matchup": "Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ozzy_Diaz_vs_Ryan_Gandra|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.97, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra", "winner": "Ryan Gandra", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ryan Gandra def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Edmen_Shahbazyan_vs_Brunno_Ferreira|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira", "winner": "Edmen Shahbazyan", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Edmen Shahbazyan def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Yu", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.321, "fair_american": 212, "p_predicted": 0.321, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Kevin_Yu|TOP_10|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2711, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Kevin Yu finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Eric Cole", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Eric_Cole|TOP_20|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Eric Cole finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Everton", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "Ipswich Town @ Everton", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Ipswich_Town___Everton|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Ipswich Town 0-1 Everton", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "thierno barry" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Ipswich Town 0-1 Everton: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_6|WNBA|CHI___ATL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_6|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74.4", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ GOL", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74.4", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ GOL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_74_4|WNBA|SEA___GOL|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_74_4|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "angel reese", "market": "AST_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.65, "fair_american": -186, "p_predicted": 0.65, "matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_over_1_5|WNBA|angel_reese|AST_OVER_1_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5376, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.65, "outcome": { "stat": "ast", "actual": 4, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "angel reese \u2014 ast = 4 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-09-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5495, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.66, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 3, "line": 3.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "rhyne howard \u2014 fg3m = 3 (line 3.5, bet under) on 2026-09-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "marina mabrey", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.0", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -254, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_0|WNBA|marina_mabrey|3PM_UNDER_3_0|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6698, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "nneka ogwumike", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "SEA @ GOL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|nneka_ogwumike|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4132, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.707, "outcome": { "stat": "fg3m", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "nneka ogwumike \u2014 fg3m = 1 (line 0.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "brittney griner", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.649, "fair_american": -185, "p_predicted": 0.649, "matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_1_5|WNBA|brittney_griner|BLK_STL_OVER_1_5|2026-09-19", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6692, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.639, "fair_american": -177, "p_predicted": 0.639, "matchup": "CHI @ ATL", "date": "2026-09-19", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|allisha_gray|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-09-19", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6496, "outcome": { "stat": "blk_stl", "actual": 3, "line": 1.0, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "allisha gray \u2014 blk_stl = 3 (line 1.0, bet under) on 2026-09-19" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_home_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Dallas Stars @ St. Louis Blues", "market": "HOME_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.701, "fair_american": -234, "p_predicted": 0.701, "matchup": "Dallas Stars @ St. Louis Blues", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_home_plus_1_5|NHL|Dallas_Stars___St__Louis_Blues|HOME_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4274, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.701, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 2 @ STL 1", "side": "home", "line": 1.5, "market": "HOME_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "DAL 2 @ STL 1: home +1.5 \u2014 HOME_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.399, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.399, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Ty_France|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier Sanoja", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Javier_Sanoja|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.53, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier Sanoja \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.39, "fair_american": 156, "p_predicted": 0.39, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.56, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 tb = 3 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Arroyo", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Michael_Arroyo|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Arroyo \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Mois_s_Ballesteros|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mois\u00e9s Ballesteros \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 199, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Zach_Neto|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2359, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.313, "fair_american": 219, "p_predicted": 0.313, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Connor_Norby|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.216, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Heliot Ramos", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.287, "fair_american": 248, "p_predicted": 0.287, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Heliot_Ramos|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.48, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Heliot Ramos \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Manny Machado", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.282, "fair_american": 255, "p_predicted": 0.282, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Manny_Machado|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Manny Machado \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Harris", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.272, "fair_american": 268, "p_predicted": 0.272, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Dustin_Harris|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.206, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dustin Harris \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jakob Marsee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jakob_Marsee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jakob Marsee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.537, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josue De Paula", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josue_De_Paula|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.61, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josue De Paula \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Rice", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ben_Rice|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Rice \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zach Neto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zach_Neto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zach Neto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.43, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Martin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.35, "fair_american": 186, "p_predicted": 0.35, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Austin_Martin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2901, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.414, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mickey Moniak", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mickey_Moniak|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mickey Moniak \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mike Trout", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Mike_Trout|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mike Trout \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corbin Carroll", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corbin_Carroll|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corbin Carroll \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.05, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cody Bellinger", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.589, "fair_american": -143, "p_predicted": 0.589, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Cody_Bellinger|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cody Bellinger \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.69, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.505, "fair_american": -102, "p_predicted": 0.505, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ty_France|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:10:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2389, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.9271, "edge_pct": 77.0, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|CHC___CIN|OVER_8_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.6736, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 9 @ CIN 1", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CHC @ CIN: final 9-1 (total 10) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "evan engram", "market": "REC_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.794, "fair_american": -385, "p_predicted": 0.794, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|evan_engram|REC_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2597, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.8114, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 1, "line": 4.5, "side": "UNDER", "verify": "evan engram \u2014 rec = 1 (line 4.5, bet under) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "travis kelce", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.785, "fair_american": -366, "p_predicted": 0.785, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|travis_kelce|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.77, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.784, "fair_american": -363, "p_predicted": 0.784, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|patrick_mahomes|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7525, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jk dobbins", "market": "RUSH_YDS_OVER_49.5", "prob": 0.783, "fair_american": -361, "p_predicted": 0.783, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|jk_dobbins|RUSH_YDS_OVER_49_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.783, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rj harvey", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39.5", "prob": 0.777, "fair_american": -349, "p_predicted": 0.777, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|rj_harvey|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_39_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7512, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "marvin mims", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.774, "fair_american": -343, "p_predicted": 0.774, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|marvin_mims|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7907, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "courtland sutton", "market": "REC_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.77, "fair_american": -336, "p_predicted": 0.77, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|courtland_sutton|REC_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.2976, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7661, "outcome": { "stat": "rec", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "courtland sutton \u2014 rec = 3 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "patrick mahomes", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16.5", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -295, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|patrick_mahomes|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_16_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.8502, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenneth walker", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79.5", "prob": 0.747, "fair_american": -295, "p_predicted": 0.747, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|kenneth_walker|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_79_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7455, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rush_yds", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin fields", "market": "RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59.5", "prob": 0.744, "fair_american": -291, "p_predicted": 0.744, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rush_yds|NFL|justin_fields|RUSH_YDS_UNDER_59_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7449, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "jk dobbins", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24.5", "prob": 0.74, "fair_american": -284, "p_predicted": 0.74, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|jk_dobbins|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_24_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.8492, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "kenneth walker", "market": "REC_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.722, "fair_american": -260, "p_predicted": 0.722, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|kenneth_walker|REC_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.7399, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "justin fields", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.705, "fair_american": -239, "p_predicted": 0.705, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|justin_fields|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.8444, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rj harvey", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.692, "fair_american": -225, "p_predicted": 0.692, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|rj_harvey|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.6798, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_longest_rush", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rj harvey", "market": "LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19.5", "prob": 0.688, "fair_american": -220, "p_predicted": 0.688, "matchup": "JAX @ DEN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nfl_longest_rush|NFL|rj_harvey|LONGEST_RUSH_UNDER_19_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.8421, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_rec", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "xavier worthy", "market": "REC_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.647, "fair_american": -183, "p_predicted": 0.647, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_rec|NFL|xavier_worthy|REC_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.5722, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nfl_anytime_td", "sport": "NFL", "player_or_matchup": "rashee rice", "market": "ANYTIME_TD_YES", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "IND @ KC", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nfl_anytime_td|NFL|rashee_rice|ANYTIME_TD_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T00:23:37", "p_calibrated": 0.514, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "KCR @ PIT", "market": "PIT_ML", "prob": 0.5818, "raw_prob": 0.6023, "edge_pct": 16.4, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|KCR___PIT|PIT_ML|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22", "p_calibrated": 0.5818, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "market": "MIN_ML", "prob": 0.6046, "raw_prob": 0.6194, "edge_pct": 10.8, "fair_american": -120, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___LAA|MIN_ML|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8333, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T13:35:22", "p_calibrated": 0.6046, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 8 @ LAA 0", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "MIN @ LAA: final 8-0 (total 8 runs) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.6433, "raw_prob": 0.7171, "edge_pct": 20.8, "fair_american": -114, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|NYY___ARI|NYY_ML|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6433, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYY 4 @ ARI 8", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "NYY @ ARI: final 4-8 (total 12 runs) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.299, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.299, "matchup": "Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Alonzo_Menifield_vs_Iwo_Baraniewski|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski", "winner": "Alonzo Menifield", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Alonzo Menifield def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.2, "fair_american": 400, "p_predicted": 0.2, "matchup": "Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Arman_Tsarukyan_vs_Mauricio_Ruffy|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy", "winner": "Arman Tsarukyan", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Arman Tsarukyan def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Aswell vs JooSang Yoo", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 454, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "Michael Aswell vs JooSang Yoo", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Michael_Aswell_vs_JooSang_Yoo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Michael Aswell vs JooSang Yoo", "winner": "Michael Aswell", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Michael Aswell def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.18, "fair_american": 455, "p_predicted": 0.18, "matchup": "Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Patricio_Pitbull_vs_Dooho_Choi|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.55, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi", "winner": "Patricio Pitbull", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Patricio Pitbull def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Max Greyserman", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.347, "fair_american": 188, "p_predicted": 0.347, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|Max_Greyserman|TOP_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.2747, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "Max Greyserman finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Haotong Li", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.534, "fair_american": -115, "p_predicted": 0.534, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Haotong_Li|TOP_10|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8696, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5336, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Haotong Li finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Marco Penge", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.514, "fair_american": -106, "p_predicted": 0.514, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Marco_Penge|TOP_10|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9434, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5288, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Marco Penge finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Koivun", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.513, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.513, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jackson_Koivun|TOP_10|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9524, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5286, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -21, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jackson Koivun finished T5 (-21) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Kevin Yu", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.577, "fair_american": -136, "p_predicted": 0.577, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Kevin_Yu|TOP_20|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T24", "to_par": -15, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Kevin Yu finished T24 (-15) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.554, "fair_american": -124, "p_predicted": 0.554, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_20|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8065, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T15 (-18) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "erling haaland", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.637, "fair_american": -175, "p_predicted": 0.637, "matchup": "Sunderland @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|EPL|erling_haaland|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5714, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.637, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sunderland 3-5 Manchester City", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "enzo fern\u00e1ndez", "brian brobbey", "rayan cherki", "brian brobbey", "antoine semenyo", "antoine semenyo", "brian brobbey", "erling haaland" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "Sunderland 3-5 Manchester City: erling haaland scored \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "lionel messi", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "prob": 0.602, "fair_american": -151, "p_predicted": 0.602, "matchup": "San Diego FC @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_goalscorer_anytime_goal|MLS|lionel_messi|ANYTIME_GOAL|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6623, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.602, "outcome": { "final_score": "San Diego FC 2-2 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "anders dreyer", "lionel messi", "luis su\u00e1rez", "anders dreyer" ], "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL", "verify": "San Diego FC 2-2 Inter Miami CF: lionel messi scored \u2014 ANYTIME_GOAL" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Diego FC @ Inter Miami CF", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.661, "fair_american": -195, "p_predicted": 0.661, "matchup": "San Diego FC @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|San_Diego_FC___Inter_Miami_CF|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5128, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", 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"verify": "Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United: 5 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5.0", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester United @ Fulham", "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.712, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.712, "matchup": "Manchester United @ Fulham", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|EPL|Manchester_United___Fulham|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4032, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester United 1-1 Fulham", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Manchester United 1-1 Fulham: 3 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Liverpool @ AFC Bournemouth", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.625, "fair_american": -167, "p_predicted": 0.625, "matchup": "Liverpool @ AFC Bournemouth", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Liverpool___AFC_Bournemouth|BTTS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.576, "outcome": { "final_score": "Liverpool 1-0 AFC Bournemouth", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "alexander isak" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Liverpool 1-0 AFC Bournemouth: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Leeds United", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Leeds United", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Leeds_United|BTTS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5758, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United: both scored = False \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_btts_btts_yes", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester United @ Fulham", "market": "BTTS_YES", "prob": 0.624, "fair_american": -166, "p_predicted": 0.624, "matchup": "Manchester United @ Fulham", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_btts_btts_yes|EPL|Manchester_United___Fulham|BTTS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6024, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.5758, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester United 1-1 Fulham", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha" ], "market": "BTTS_YES", "verify": "Manchester United 1-1 Fulham: both scored = True \u2014 BTTS_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Liverpool @ AFC Bournemouth", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Liverpool @ AFC Bournemouth", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Liverpool___AFC_Bournemouth|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Liverpool 1-0 AFC Bournemouth", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 1, "scorers": [ "alexander isak" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Liverpool 1-0 AFC Bournemouth: 1 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Leeds United", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Leeds United", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Leeds_United|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United: 0 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Sunderland @ Manchester City", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Sunderland @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Sunderland___Manchester_City|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.61, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sunderland 3-5 Manchester City", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "enzo fern\u00e1ndez", "brian brobbey", "rayan cherki", "brian brobbey", "antoine semenyo", "antoine semenyo", "brian brobbey", "erling haaland" ], "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "verify": "Sunderland 3-5 Manchester City: 8 goals (line 3.5) \u2014 TOTAL_UNDER_3.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_total_total_under_3.5", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester United @ Fulham", "market": "TOTAL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.614, "fair_american": -159, "p_predicted": 0.614, "matchup": "Manchester United @ Fulham", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_total_total_under_3_5|EPL|Manchester_United___Fulham|TOTAL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.6289, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.61, 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Bournemouth: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Leeds United", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "Crystal Palace @ Leeds United", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Crystal_Palace___Leeds_United|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United", "total_cards": 5, "total_goals": 0, "scorers": [], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Sunderland @ Manchester City", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.735, "fair_american": -277, "p_predicted": 0.735, "matchup": "Sunderland @ Manchester City", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Sunderland___Manchester_City|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.361, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7042, "outcome": { "final_score": "Sunderland 3-5 Manchester City", "total_cards": 1, "total_goals": 8, "scorers": [ "enzo fern\u00e1ndez", "brian brobbey", "rayan cherki", "brian brobbey", "antoine semenyo", "antoine semenyo", "brian brobbey", "erling haaland" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Sunderland 3-5 Manchester City: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "EPL", "player_or_matchup": "Manchester United @ Fulham", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.766, "fair_american": -328, "p_predicted": 0.766, "matchup": "Manchester United @ Fulham", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|EPL|Manchester_United___Fulham|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3049, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Manchester United 1-1 Fulham", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "matheus cunha" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Manchester United 1-1 Fulham: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "San Diego FC @ Inter Miami CF", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.739, "fair_american": -284, "p_predicted": 0.739, "matchup": "San Diego FC @ Inter Miami CF", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|San_Diego_FC___Inter_Miami_CF|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3521, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.7413, "outcome": { "final_score": "San Diego FC 2-2 Inter Miami CF", "total_cards": 3, "total_goals": 4, "scorers": [ "anders dreyer", "lionel messi", "luis su\u00e1rez", "anders dreyer" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "San Diego FC 2-2 Inter Miami CF: home clean sheet = False \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.451, "fair_american": 122, "p_predicted": 0.451, "matchup": "PHI @ NYM", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_away_minus_1_5|MLB|PHI___NYM|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T16:14:45", "p_calibrated": 0.451, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "market": "CHC_ML", "prob": 0.6231, "raw_prob": 0.8077, "edge_pct": 24.6, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___CIN|CHC_ML|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T17:33:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6231, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHC 9 @ CIN 1", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "CHC @ CIN: final 9-1 (total 10 runs) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ BAL", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.622, "raw_prob": 0.8051, "edge_pct": 24.4, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___BAL|MIL_ML|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T17:33:11", "p_calibrated": 0.622, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 3 @ BAL 0", "total_runs": 3, "verify": "MIL @ BAL: final 3-0 (total 3 runs) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "OAK @ CLE", "market": "CLE_ML", "prob": 0.6094, "raw_prob": 0.6308, "edge_pct": 16.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|OAK___CLE|CLE_ML|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T17:33:11", "p_calibrated": 0.6094, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATH 0 @ CLE 1", "total_runs": 1, "verify": "ATH @ CLE: final 0-1 (total 1 runs) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_under_alert", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "under_signal_score": 6.06, "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_under_alert|MLB|TOR___TEX|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T17:33:11", "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 7 @ TEX 2", "total_runs": 9, "verify": "TOR @ TEX: final 7-2 (total 9) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T17:33:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.489, "fair_american": 104, "p_predicted": 0.489, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T17:33:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T17:33:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Mookie_Betts|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T17:33:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Mookie Betts \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Ty_France|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T17:33:11", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Max Muncy", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Max_Muncy|1_plus_hit|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Max Muncy \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|1_plus_hit|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.91, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 hits = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "consensus_hit_strong", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ty France", "market": "1_plus_hit", "prob": null, "tier": "STRONG", "n_agreeing": 3, "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "consensus_hit_strong|MLB|Ty_France|1_plus_hit|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ty France \u2014 hits = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "New York Islanders @ New Jersey Devils", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "New York Islanders @ New Jersey Devils", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|New_York_Islanders___New_Jersey_Devils|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYI 1 @ NJ 2", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "NYI 1 @ NJ 2: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T12:59:06" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "San Jose Sharks @ Anaheim Ducks", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "San Jose Sharks @ Anaheim Ducks", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|San_Jose_Sharks___Anaheim_Ducks|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "final_score": "SJ 2 @ ANA 6", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "SJ 2 @ ANA 6: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T12:59:06" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Washington Capitals @ Boston Bruins", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Washington Capitals @ Boston Bruins", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Washington_Capitals___Boston_Bruins|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 2 @ BOS 3", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "WSH 2 @ BOS 3: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T12:59:06" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Nashville Predators @ Tampa Bay Lightning", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Nashville Predators @ Tampa Bay Lightning", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Nashville_Predators___Tampa_Bay_Lightnin|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "final_score": "NSH 1 @ TB 2", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "NSH 1 @ TB 2: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T12:59:06" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Utah Mammoth @ Colorado Avalanche", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Utah Mammoth @ Colorado Avalanche", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Utah_Mammoth___Colorado_Avalanche|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "final_score": "UTA 1 @ COL 4", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "UTA 1 @ COL 4: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Carolina Hurricanes @ Florida Panthers", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Carolina Hurricanes @ Florida Panthers", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Carolina_Hurricanes___Florida_Panthers|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "final_score": "CAR 3 @ FLA 6", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "CAR 3 @ FLA 6: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "NYI @ NJD", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "NYI @ NJD", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|NYI___NJD|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "SJS @ ANA", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "SJS @ ANA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|SJS___ANA|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "WSH @ BOS", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "WSH @ BOS", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|WSH___BOS|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "NSH @ TBL", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "NSH @ TBL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|NSH___TBL|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "UTA @ COL", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "UTA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|UTA___COL|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "CAR @ FLA", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "CAR @ FLA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|CAR___FLA|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ CGY", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "SEA @ CGY", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|SEA___CGY|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "luke schenn", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "NSH @ TBL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|luke_schenn|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.594, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "radko gudas", "market": "HITS_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.731, "fair_american": -272, "p_predicted": 0.731, "matchup": "SJS @ ANA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2_5|NHL|radko_gudas|HITS_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3676, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.731, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 6, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "radko gudas \u2014 hits = 6 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "jacob trouba", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "SJS @ ANA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|jacob_trouba|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.645, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "barclay goodrow", "market": "HITS_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "SJS @ ANA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2_5|NHL|barclay_goodrow|HITS_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.679, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "brent burns", "market": "HITS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "CAR @ FLA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_1_5|NHL|brent_burns|HITS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brent burns \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew tkachuk", "market": "HITS_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.62, "fair_american": -163, "p_predicted": 0.62, "matchup": "CAR @ FLA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2_5|NHL|matthew_tkachuk|HITS_OVER_2_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.62, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "matthew tkachuk \u2014 hits = 0 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "victor hedman", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "NSH @ TBL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|victor_hedman|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.645, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "victor hedman \u2014 blocks = 0 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T12:59:06" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "jaccob slavin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "CAR @ FLA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|jaccob_slavin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Junior Caminero", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.395, "fair_american": 153, "p_predicted": 0.395, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Junior_Caminero|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 1, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Junior Caminero \u2014 tb = 1 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "OAK @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Allen", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Nick_Allen|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Allen \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.389, "fair_american": 157, "p_predicted": 0.389, "matchup": "SFG @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Teoscar_Hern_ndez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.66, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.369, "fair_american": 171, "p_predicted": 0.369, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2597, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 2, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 tb = 2 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.361, "fair_american": 177, "p_predicted": 0.361, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Corey_Seager|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.259, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 tb = 0 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.59, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Bryan Reynolds", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "KCR @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Bryan_Reynolds|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Bryan Reynolds \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.588, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Victor Mesa Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.445, "fair_american": 125, "p_predicted": 0.445, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Victor_Mesa_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.25, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Victor Mesa Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.58, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Yordan Alvarez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.44, "fair_american": 127, "p_predicted": 0.44, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Yordan_Alvarez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Yordan Alvarez \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.577, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kazuma Okamoto", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.439, "fair_american": 128, "p_predicted": 0.439, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kazuma_Okamoto|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3044, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kazuma Okamoto \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dominic Canzone", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dominic_Canzone|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dominic Canzone \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.569, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.434, "fair_american": 131, "p_predicted": 0.434, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.31, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3031, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.559, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.428, "fair_american": 134, "p_predicted": 0.428, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jeremy_Pe_a|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3008, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jeremy Pe\u00f1a \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.556, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cal Raleigh", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.426, "fair_american": 135, "p_predicted": 0.426, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cal_Raleigh|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.3, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cal Raleigh \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.534, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brewer Hicklen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.414, "fair_american": 142, "p_predicted": 0.414, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brewer_Hicklen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2956, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brewer Hicklen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Daylen Lile", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Daylen_Lile|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Daylen Lile \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hunter Goodman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hunter_Goodman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hunter Goodman \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Randy Arozarena", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Randy_Arozarena|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Randy Arozarena \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.526, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.409, "fair_american": 145, "p_predicted": 0.409, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.45, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2945, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alika Williams", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "OAK @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alika_Williams|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alika Williams \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.52, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ethan Salas", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.406, "fair_american": 146, "p_predicted": 0.406, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ethan_Salas|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2939, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ethan Salas \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Adley Rutschman", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Adley_Rutschman|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Adley Rutschman \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.516, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.403, "fair_american": 148, "p_predicted": 0.403, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2933, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Smith", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Smith|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Smith \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.508, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Harris", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.398, "fair_american": 151, "p_predicted": 0.398, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dustin_Harris|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2922, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dustin Harris \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.497, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brady House", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.392, "fair_american": 155, "p_predicted": 0.392, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brady_House|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brady House \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.487, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.386, "fair_american": 159, "p_predicted": 0.386, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Connor_Norby|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.486, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dylan Crews", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.385, "fair_american": 160, "p_predicted": 0.385, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Dylan_Crews|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dylan Crews \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.483, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Fortes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.383, "fair_american": 161, "p_predicted": 0.383, "matchup": "BOS @ TBR", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Fortes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Fortes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Shea Langeliers", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "OAK @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Shea_Langeliers|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Shea Langeliers \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.478, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alec Burleson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.38, "fair_american": 163, "p_predicted": 0.38, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alec_Burleson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alec Burleson \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Drake Baldwin", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Drake_Baldwin|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Drake Baldwin \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.472, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ketel Marte", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.376, "fair_american": 166, "p_predicted": 0.376, "matchup": "NYY @ ARI", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ketel_Marte|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ketel Marte \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.467, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Emmanuel Rodriguez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.373, "fair_american": 168, "p_predicted": 0.373, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Emmanuel_Rodriguez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.68, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Emmanuel Rodriguez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Michael_Busch|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.452, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Sam Antonacci", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.364, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.364, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Sam_Antonacci|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.75, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Sam Antonacci \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Lawrence Butler", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "OAK @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Lawrence_Butler|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Lawrence Butler \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nick Allen", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Nick_Allen|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nick Allen \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Josh Jung", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 176, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Josh_Jung|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Josh Jung \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.451, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Ross", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.363, "fair_american": 175, "p_predicted": 0.363, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Ben_Ross|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ben Ross \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.446, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Alan Roden", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.36, "fair_american": 178, "p_predicted": 0.36, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Alan_Roden|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.78, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Alan Roden \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.433, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kyle Karros", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kyle_Karros|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.432, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Cole Young", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.351, "fair_american": 185, "p_predicted": 0.351, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Cole_Young|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2914, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Cole Young \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.428, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Donovan Walton", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.348, "fair_american": 187, "p_predicted": 0.348, "matchup": "OAK @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Donovan_Walton|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2872, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Donovan Walton \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "John Rave", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "KCR @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|John_Rave|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "John Rave \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.415, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Kody Clemens", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.339, "fair_american": 195, "p_predicted": 0.339, "matchup": "MIN @ LAA", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Kody_Clemens|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2742, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Kody Clemens \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.412, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Corey Seager", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.337, "fair_american": 196, "p_predicted": 0.337, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Corey_Seager|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Corey Seager \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.409, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake Burger", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.336, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.336, "matchup": "TOR @ TEX", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jake_Burger|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.98, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake Burger \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.408, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.335, "fair_american": 198, "p_predicted": 0.335, "matchup": "WSN @ STL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Andr_s_Chaparro|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Andr\u00e9s Chaparro \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.406, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.334, "fair_american": 200, "p_predicted": 0.334, "matchup": "KCR @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.402, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Zack Gelof", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.331, "fair_american": 202, "p_predicted": 0.331, "matchup": "OAK @ CLE", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Zack_Gelof|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Zack Gelof \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.4, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eduardo Valencia", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.33, "fair_american": 203, "p_predicted": 0.33, "matchup": "DET @ CHW", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Eduardo_Valencia|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 0, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eduardo Valencia \u2014 xbh = 0 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.394, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Altuve", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.326, "fair_american": 207, "p_predicted": 0.326, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Jose_Altuve|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.07, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jose Altuve \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.09, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Michael Busch", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.598, "fair_american": -148, "p_predicted": 0.598, "matchup": "CHC @ CIN", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Michael_Busch|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 2, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Michael Busch \u2014 hrr = 2 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.593, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.593, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Ronald_Acu_a_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr. \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 3.07, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Dustin Harris", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.592, "fair_american": -145, "p_predicted": 0.592, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Dustin_Harris|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Dustin Harris \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.97, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.57, "fair_american": -132, "p_predicted": 0.57, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.93, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Fernando Tatis Jr.", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.561, "fair_american": -128, "p_predicted": 0.561, "matchup": "MIA @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Fernando_Tatis_Jr_|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 3, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Fernando Tatis Jr. \u2014 hrr = 3 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.88, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Isaac Paredes", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.55, "fair_american": -122, "p_predicted": 0.55, "matchup": "ATL @ HOU", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Isaac_Paredes|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Isaac Paredes \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Brandon Lowe", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "KCR @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Brandon_Lowe|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 1, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Brandon Lowe \u2014 hrr = 1 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr", "projection": 2.78, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Connor Norby", "market": "3_plus_hrr", "prob": 0.525, "fair_american": -111, "p_predicted": 0.525, "matchup": "SEA @ COL", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "mlb_hrr_3_plus_hrr|MLB|Connor_Norby|3_plus_hrr|2026-09-20", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T18:25:38", "p_calibrated": 0.2478, "outcome": { "stat": "hrr", "actual": 0, "line": 3.0, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Connor Norby \u2014 hrr = 0 (line 3.0, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-20", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CIN @ COL", "market": "CIN_ML", "prob": 0.6518, "raw_prob": 0.7372, "edge_pct": 24.4, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CIN___COL|CIN_ML|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6518, "also_sources": [ "whale_strong", "sharp_elite" ], "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.6878, "raw_prob": 0.7485, "edge_pct": 15.3, "fair_american": -148, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|SDP___LAD|LAD_ML|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6878, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ NYY", "market": "NYY_ML", "prob": 0.5816, "raw_prob": 0.5866, "edge_pct": 3.6, "fair_american": -128, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-20", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|BOS___NYY|NYY_ML|2026-09-20", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-20T23:56:29", "p_calibrated": 0.5816, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-25T00:36:26", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.251, "fair_american": 299, "p_predicted": 0.251, "matchup": "Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Ozzy_Diaz_vs_Ryan_Gandra|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.99, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra", "winner": "Ryan Gandra", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Ryan Gandra def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.248, "fair_american": 303, "p_predicted": 0.248, "matchup": "Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Edmen_Shahbazyan_vs_Brunno_Ferreira|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira", "winner": "Edmen Shahbazyan", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Edmen Shahbazyan def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_5", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "S\u00e9amus Power", "market": "TOP_5", "prob": 0.249, "fair_american": 302, "p_predicted": 0.249, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_5|GOLF|S_amus_Power|TOP_5|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.2666, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_5", "verify": "S\u00e9amus Power finished T7 (-20) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Chris Kirk", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.458, "fair_american": 119, "p_predicted": 0.458, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Chris_Kirk|TOP_10|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.19, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3461, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Chris Kirk finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Suber", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.452, "fair_american": 121, "p_predicted": 0.452, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Jackson_Suber|TOP_10|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3384, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Jackson Suber finished T15 (-18) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "John VanDerLaan", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|John_VanDerLaan|TOP_10|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.24, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3307, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "John VanDerLaan finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_10", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Ben Kohles", "market": "TOP_10", "prob": 0.446, "fair_american": 124, "p_predicted": 0.446, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_10|GOLF|Ben_Kohles|TOP_10|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.3307, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T15", "to_par": -18, "market": "TOP_10", "verify": "Ben Kohles finished T15 (-18) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_10" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Peter Malnati", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.729, "fair_american": -269, "p_predicted": 0.729, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Peter_Malnati|TOP_20|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3717, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Peter Malnati finished T17 (-17) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Zecheng Dou", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -249, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Zecheng_Dou|TOP_20|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4016, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T7", "to_par": -20, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Zecheng Dou finished T7 (-20) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Marco Penge", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.707, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.707, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Marco_Penge|TOP_20|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4132, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Marco Penge finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Koivun", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.708, "fair_american": -242, "p_predicted": 0.708, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Jackson_Koivun|TOP_20|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4132, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5357, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T5", "to_par": -21, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Jackson Koivun finished T5 (-21) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Doug Ghim", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.519, "fair_american": -108, "p_predicted": 0.519, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Doug_Ghim|TOP_20|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9259, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.53, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Doug Ghim finished T17 (-17) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Blades Brown", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.528, "fair_american": -112, "p_predicted": 0.528, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Blades_Brown|TOP_20|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8929, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5321, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Blades Brown finished T17 (-17) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Haotong Li", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.499, "fair_american": 100, "p_predicted": 0.499, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Haotong_Li|TOP_20|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5216, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T10", "to_par": -19, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Haotong Li finished T10 (-19) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "golf_top_20", "sport": "GOLF", "player_or_matchup": "Andrew Novak", "market": "TOP_20", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -104, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "golf_top_20|GOLF|Andrew_Novak|TOP_20|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9615, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.5281, "outcome": { "tournament": "Biltmore Championship Asheville", "finish": "T17", "to_par": -17, "market": "TOP_20", "verify": "Andrew Novak finished T17 (-17) at Biltmore Championship Asheville \u2014 TOP_20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T15:32:46" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73.6", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "POR @ LA", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73.6", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "POR @ LA", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_73_6|WNBA|POR___LA|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_73_6|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.1", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "SEA @ LV", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.1", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "SEA @ LV", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_1|WNBA|SEA___LV|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_1|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "BOS @ NYY", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.498, "fair_american": 101, "p_predicted": 0.498, "matchup": "BOS @ NYY", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|BOS___NYY|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T01:03:25", "p_calibrated": 0.498, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Choi Jeong", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7322, "raw_prob": 0.8813, "edge_pct": 39.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Choi_Jeong|one_plus_tb|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7322, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Jose Pirela", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7294, "raw_prob": 0.8761, "edge_pct": 39.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Jose_Pirela|one_plus_tb|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7294, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Koo Ja-wook", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7273, "raw_prob": 0.8724, "edge_pct": 38.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Koo_Ja_wook|one_plus_tb|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7273, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Mel Rojas Jr.", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7256, "raw_prob": 0.8692, "edge_pct": 38.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Mel_Rojas_Jr_|one_plus_tb|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7256, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Austin Dean", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7256, "raw_prob": 0.8692, "edge_pct": 38.5, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Austin_Dean|one_plus_tb|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "also_sources": [ "lock_of_day" ], "p_calibrated": 0.7256, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "KBO", "player_or_matchup": "Choi Hyung-woo", "market": "one_plus_tb", "prob": 0.7242, "raw_prob": 0.8668, "edge_pct": 38.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "kbo_player", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|KBO|Choi_Hyung_woo|one_plus_tb|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T05:06:16", "p_calibrated": 0.7242, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.296, "fair_american": 238, "p_predicted": 0.296, "matchup": "Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Alonzo_Menifield_vs_Iwo_Baraniewski|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T06:18:17", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "outcome": { "fight": "Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski", "winner": "Alonzo Menifield", "ended_round": 3, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Alonzo Menifield def. opponent (ended R3) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.199, "fair_american": 403, "p_predicted": 0.199, "matchup": "Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Arman_Tsarukyan_vs_Mauricio_Ruffy|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 4.03, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T06:18:17", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "outcome": { "fight": "Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy", "winner": "Arman Tsarukyan", "ended_round": 1, "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "verify": "Arman Tsarukyan def. opponent (ended R1) \u2014 FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401864509", "player_or_matchup": "AFA @ NEV", "market": "cfb_model_ml_home", "prob": 0.3998, "p_predicted": 0.5743, "fair_american": 160, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|AFA___NEV|cfb_model_ml_home|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T06:18:17", "p_calibrated": 0.5743, "outcome": { "final_score": "AFA 36 @ NEV 33", "verify": "AFA @ NEV: final 36-33 on 2026-09-26 (ESPN event 401864509)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T18:29:44" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401856699", "player_or_matchup": "MISS @ FLA", "market": "cfb_model_ml_away", "prob": 0.4397, "p_predicted": 0.627, "fair_american": 136, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|MISS___FLA|cfb_model_ml_away|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T06:18:17", "p_calibrated": 0.627, "outcome": { "final_score": "MISS 28 @ FLA 52", "verify": "MISS @ FLA: final 28-52 on 2026-09-26 (ESPN event 401856699)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401861970", "player_or_matchup": "CONN @ M-OH", "market": "cfb_model_ml_away", "prob": 0.3912, "p_predicted": 0.5505, "fair_american": 164, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|CONN___M_OH|cfb_model_ml_away|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T06:18:17", "p_calibrated": 0.5505, "outcome": { "final_score": "CONN 21 @ M-OH 24", "verify": "CONN @ M-OH: final 21-24 on 2026-09-26 (ESPN event 401861970)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ BAL", "market": "BAL_ML", "prob": 0.5716, "raw_prob": 0.5802, "edge_pct": 6.4, "fair_american": -116, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TOR___BAL|BAL_ML|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.8621, 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"date": "2026-09-24", "pick_id": "soccer_cards_cards_under_5_0|MLS|Real_Salt_Lake___Seattle_Sounders_FC|CARDS_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.6672, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Salt Lake 0-2 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "daniel musovski", "albert rusn\u00e1k" ], "market": "CARDS_UNDER_5.0", "verify": "Real Salt Lake 0-2 Seattle Sounders FC: 6 cards (line 5.0) \u2014 CARDS_UNDER_5.0" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-24T05:01:29" }, { "source": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no", "sport": "MLS", "player_or_matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Seattle Sounders FC", "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "prob": 0.746, "fair_american": -294, "p_predicted": 0.746, "matchup": "Real Salt Lake @ Seattle Sounders FC", "date": "2026-09-24", "pick_id": "soccer_clean_sheet_home_clean_sheet_no|MLS|Real_Salt_Lake___Seattle_Sounders_FC|HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO|2026-09-24", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.7589, "outcome": { "final_score": "Real Salt Lake 0-2 Seattle Sounders FC", "total_cards": 6, "total_goals": 2, "scorers": [ "daniel musovski", "albert rusn\u00e1k" ], "market": "HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO", "verify": "Real Salt Lake 0-2 Seattle Sounders FC: home clean sheet = True \u2014 HOME_CLEAN_SHEET_NO" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-24T05:01:29" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Philadelphia Flyers @ Washington Capitals", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Philadelphia Flyers @ Washington Capitals", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Philadelphia_Flyers___Washington_Capital|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "final_score": "PHI 2 @ WSH 5", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "PHI 2 @ WSH 5: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Detroit Red Wings @ Columbus Blue Jackets", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Detroit Red Wings @ Columbus Blue Jackets", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Detroit_Red_Wings___Columbus_Blue_Jacket|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.3922, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "final_score": "DET 0 @ CBJ 1", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "DET 0 @ CBJ 1: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Buffalo Sabres @ Pittsburgh Penguins", "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "prob": 0.718, "fair_american": -255, "p_predicted": 0.718, "matchup": "Buffalo Sabres @ Pittsburgh Penguins", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_plus_1_5|NHL|Buffalo_Sabres___Pittsburgh_Penguins|AWAY_PLUS_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.718, "outcome": { "final_score": "BUF 1 @ PIT 4", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_PLUS_1.5", "verify": "BUF 1 @ PIT 4: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_PLUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "New York Rangers @ New Jersey Devils", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "New York Rangers @ New Jersey Devils", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_home_minus_1_5|NHL|New_York_Rangers___New_Jersey_Devils|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.415, "outcome": { "final_score": "NYI 1 @ NJ 2", "side": "home", "line": 1.5, "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "verify": "NYI 1 @ NJ 2: home +1.5 \u2014 HOME_MINUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T11:49:00" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Ottawa Senators @ Montreal Canadiens", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "Ottawa Senators @ Montreal Canadiens", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_home_minus_1_5|NHL|Ottawa_Senators___Montreal_Canadiens|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.415, "outcome": { "final_score": "TOR 3 @ MTL 4", "side": "home", "line": 1.5, "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "verify": "TOR 3 @ MTL 4: home +1.5 \u2014 HOME_MINUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T11:49:00" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_away_minus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets", "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.471, "fair_american": 112, "p_predicted": 0.471, "matchup": "Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_away_minus_1_5|NHL|Colorado_Avalanche___Winnipeg_Jets|AWAY_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.471, "outcome": { "final_score": "COL 1 @ WPG 3", "side": "away", "line": 1.5, "market": "AWAY_MINUS_1.5", "verify": "COL 1 @ WPG 3: away +1.5 \u2014 AWAY_MINUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "nhl_pl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "St. Louis Blues @ Dallas Stars", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.477, "fair_american": 110, "p_predicted": 0.477, "matchup": "St. Louis Blues @ Dallas Stars", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_pl_home_minus_1_5|NHL|St__Louis_Blues___Dallas_Stars|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.1, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.477, "outcome": { "final_score": "STL 1 @ DAL 2", "side": "home", "line": 1.5, "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "verify": "STL 1 @ DAL 2: home +1.5 \u2014 HOME_MINUS_1.5" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ WSH", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "PHI @ WSH", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|PHI___WSH|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ CBJ", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "DET @ CBJ", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|DET___CBJ|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "BUF @ PIT", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "BUF @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|BUF___PIT|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "NYR @ NJD", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "NYR @ NJD", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|NYR___NJD|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "OTT @ MTL", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "OTT @ MTL", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|OTT___MTL|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "COL @ WPG", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "COL @ WPG", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|COL___WPG|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "MIN @ CHI", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|MIN___CHI|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": 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"settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.819, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_anytime_goal_no", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "sidney crosby", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL_NO", "prob": 0.861, "fair_american": -618, "p_predicted": 0.861, "matchup": "BUF @ PIT", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_anytime_goal_no|NHL|sidney_crosby|ANYTIME_GOAL_NO|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.861, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "k'andre miller", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.594, "fair_american": -146, "p_predicted": 0.594, "matchup": "NYR @ NJD", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|k_andre_miller|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.594, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "brady tkachuk", "market": "HITS_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "OTT @ MTL", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2_5|NHL|brady_tkachuk|HITS_OVER_2_5|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.4717, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.679, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 3, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brady tkachuk \u2014 hits = 3 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T11:49:00" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", 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"voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Riley Greene", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "WSN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Riley_Greene|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:21:06", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Riley Greene \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Damian Piwowarczyk vs Emilio Quissua", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.3, "fair_american": 234, "p_predicted": 0.3, "matchup": "Damian Piwowarczyk vs Emilio Quissua", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Damian_Piwowarczyk_vs_Emilio_Quissua|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Norbert N\u00f6v\u00e9nyi Jr. vs Theo Haig", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.257, "fair_american": 290, "p_predicted": 0.257, "matchup": "Norbert N\u00f6v\u00e9nyi Jr. vs Theo Haig", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Norbert_N_v_nyi_Jr__vs_Theo_Haig|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.4014, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Jaden Ortega vs Alvi Dasuyev", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.223, "fair_american": 349, "p_predicted": 0.223, "matchup": "Jaden Ortega vs Alvi Dasuyev", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Jaden_Ortega_vs_Alvi_Dasuyev|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.358, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes", "sport": "UFC", "player_or_matchup": "Callum Connor vs Piero Guaylupo", "market": "FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES", "prob": 0.206, "fair_american": 385, "p_predicted": 0.206, "matchup": "Callum Connor vs Piero Guaylupo", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "ufc_r1_fight_r1_finish_yes|UFC|Callum_Connor_vs_Piero_Guaylupo|FIGHT_R1_FINISH_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.3366, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-26T01:06:36", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.2", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "ATL @ NY", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.2", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ NY", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_2|WNBA|ATL___NY|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_2|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 95 @ NY 84", "team_total": 84, "line": 79.2, "side": "OVER", "verify": "ATL @ NY: home scored 84 (line 79.2, bet over) on 2026-09-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T11:49:00" }, { "source": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "DAL @ PHX", "market": "HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "DAL @ PHX", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "wnba_alts_home_total_over_79_0|WNBA|DAL___PHX|HOME_TOTAL_OVER_79_0|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.5348, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.7401, "outcome": { "final_score": "DAL 86 @ PHX 87", "team_total": 87, "line": 79.0, "side": "OVER", "verify": "DAL @ PHX: home scored 87 (line 79.0, bet over) on 2026-09-21" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T11:49:00" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_5.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "AST_UNDER_5.0", "prob": 0.651, "fair_american": -187, "p_predicted": 0.651, "matchup": "ATL @ NY", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_5_0|WNBA|rhyne_howard|AST_UNDER_5_0|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.651, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_ast_under_4.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "breanna stewart", "market": "AST_UNDER_4.5", "prob": 0.655, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.655, "matchup": "ATL @ NY", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "wnba_ast_under_4_5|WNBA|breanna_stewart|AST_UNDER_4_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.655, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "3PM_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "ATL @ NYL", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|3PM_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", 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"wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6586, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "satou sabally", "market": "3PM_UNDER_2.5", "prob": 0.656, "fair_american": -190, "p_predicted": 0.656, "matchup": "DAL @ PHX", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_under_2_5|WNBA|satou_sabally|3PM_UNDER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6615, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "natasha cloud", "market": "3PM_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "DAL @ PHX", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "wnba_3pm_3pm_over_0_5|WNBA|natasha_cloud|3PM_OVER_0_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.711, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "rhyne howard", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_3.5", "prob": 0.668, "fair_american": -201, "p_predicted": 0.668, "matchup": "ATL @ NYL", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_3_5|WNBA|rhyne_howard|BLK_STL_UNDER_3_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.654, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1.0", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "arike ogunbowale", "market": "BLK_STL_UNDER_1.0", "prob": 0.631, "fair_american": -171, "p_predicted": 0.631, "matchup": "DAL @ PHX", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_under_1_0|WNBA|arike_ogunbowale|BLK_STL_UNDER_1_0|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6483, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0.5", "sport": "WNBA", "player_or_matchup": "allisha gray", "market": "BLK_STL_OVER_0.5", "prob": 0.711, "fair_american": -245, "p_predicted": 0.711, "matchup": "ATL @ NYL", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "wnba_blkstl_blk_stl_over_0_5|WNBA|allisha_gray|BLK_STL_OVER_0_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.6843, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.262, "fair_american": 282, "p_predicted": 0.262, "matchup": "WSN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.82, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1982, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.261, "fair_american": 283, "p_predicted": 0.261, "matchup": "WSN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.83, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1974, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 4, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 tb = 4 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Eduardo Valencia", "market": "TB_3PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.225, "fair_american": 344, "p_predicted": 0.225, "matchup": "WSN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "mlb_3plus_tb_tb_3plus_yes|MLB|Eduardo_Valencia|TB_3PLUS_YES|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 3.44, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.1784, "outcome": { "stat": "tb", "actual": 5, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Eduardo Valencia \u2014 tb = 5 (line 2.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.536, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Hao-Yu Lee", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.415, "fair_american": 141, "p_predicted": 0.415, "matchup": "WSN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Hao_Yu_Lee|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.41, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2958, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 2, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Hao-Yu Lee \u2014 xbh = 2 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.423, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Spencer Torkelson", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.345, "fair_american": 190, "p_predicted": 0.345, "matchup": "WSN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Spencer_Torkelson|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.9, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2829, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Spencer Torkelson \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh", "projection": 0.398, "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Javier B\u00e1ez", "market": "1_PLUS_XBH", "prob": 0.328, "fair_american": 205, "p_predicted": 0.328, "matchup": "WSN @ DET", "date": "2026-09-21", "pick_id": "mlb_xbh_1_plus_xbh|MLB|Javier_B_ez|1_PLUS_XBH|2026-09-21", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 2.05, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T19:33:23", "p_calibrated": 0.2736, "outcome": { "stat": "xbh", "actual": 1, "line": 0.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Javier B\u00e1ez \u2014 xbh = 1 (line 0.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-21", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-22T13:55:26" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401858469", "player_or_matchup": "ORE @ USC", "market": "cfb_model_ml_home", "prob": 0.4393, "p_predicted": 0.7331, "fair_american": 136, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|ORE___USC|cfb_model_ml_home|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-21T20:14:32", "p_calibrated": 0.7331, "outcome": { "final_score": "ORE 41 @ USC 27", "verify": "ORE @ USC: final 41-27 on 2026-09-26 (ESPN event 401858469)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T08:19:50" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ PHI", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.5634, "raw_prob": 0.6332, "edge_pct": 22.8, "fair_american": 118, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___PHI|MIL_ML|2026-09-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, 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"nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|FLA___CAR|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "EDM @ WPG", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "EDM @ WPG", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|EDM___WPG|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "TBL @ NSH", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "TBL @ NSH", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|TBL___NSH|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "VAN @ CGY", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "VAN @ CGY", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|VAN___CGY|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "UTA @ LAK", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "UTA @ LAK", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|UTA___LAK|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|VGK___SJS|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.636, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_anytime_goal_no", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "elias pettersson", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL_NO", "prob": 0.905, "fair_american": -951, "p_predicted": 0.905, "matchup": "VAN @ CGY", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_anytime_goal_no|NHL|elias_pettersson|ANYTIME_GOAL_NO|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.905, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_anytime_goal_no", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "jack eichel", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL_NO", "prob": 0.905, "fair_american": -951, "p_predicted": 0.905, "matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_anytime_goal_no|NHL|jack_eichel|ANYTIME_GOAL_NO|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.905, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "brent burns", "market": "HITS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "FLA @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_1_5|NHL|brent_burns|HITS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "brent burns \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-23T07:49:45", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T07:49:45", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "trent frederic", "market": "HITS_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "EDM @ WPG", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2_5|NHL|trent_frederic|HITS_OVER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.679, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "alex pietrangelo", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|alex_pietrangelo|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.713, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "matthew tkachuk", "market": "HITS_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.62, "fair_american": -163, "p_predicted": 0.62, "matchup": "FLA @ CAR", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2_5|NHL|matthew_tkachuk|HITS_OVER_2_5|2026-09-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.62, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 2.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "matthew tkachuk \u2014 hits = 0 (line 2.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-23T07:49:45", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T07:49:45", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "noah hanifin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|noah_hanifin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.669, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "victor hedman", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.645, "fair_american": -182, "p_predicted": 0.645, "matchup": "TBL @ NSH", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|victor_hedman|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-09-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T19:28:35", "p_calibrated": 0.645, "outcome": { "stat": "blocks", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER", "verify": "victor hedman \u2014 blocks = 0 (line 1.5, bet over) on 2026-09-20" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-23T07:49:45", "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-23T07:49:45", "voided_reason": "duplicate wager: same event/bet recorded more than once (event re-add or twin board); collapsed to the first copy" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TBR @ NYY", "market": "OVER_6.0", "prob": 0.5936, "raw_prob": 0.7271, "edge_pct": 13.3, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|TBR___NYY|OVER_6_0|2026-09-22", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T21:25:47", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHW @ KCR", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.5913, "raw_prob": 0.7203, "edge_pct": 12.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHW___KCR|OVER_7_5|2026-09-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T21:25:47", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "CHW 14 @ KC 11", "total_runs": 25, "verify": "CHW @ KC: final 14-11 (total 25) on 2026-09-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-23T10:11:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ PHI", "market": "OVER_7.0", "prob": 0.5869, "raw_prob": 0.7074, "edge_pct": 12.0, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___PHI|OVER_7_0|2026-09-22", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T21:25:47", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIL 4 @ PHI 6", "total_runs": 10, "verify": "MIL @ PHI: final 4-6 (total 10) on 2026-09-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-23T10:11:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "WSN @ DET", "market": "OVER_8.0", "prob": 0.5856, "raw_prob": 0.7038, "edge_pct": 11.8, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|WSN___DET|OVER_8_0|2026-09-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T21:25:47", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "WSH 3 @ DET 1", "total_runs": 4, "verify": "WSH @ DET: final 3-1 (total 4 runs) on 2026-09-22" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-23T10:11:24" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jake McCarthy", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ARI @ COL", "date": "2026-09-22", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jake_McCarthy|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-22", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-22T21:25:47", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jake McCarthy \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-22", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-23T10:11:24" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ COL", "market": "OVER_8.5", "prob": 0.6019, "raw_prob": 0.8646, "edge_pct": 14.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___COL|OVER_8_5|2026-09-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:42", "p_calibrated": 0.4774, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 5 @ COL 3", "total_runs": 8, "verify": "ARI @ COL: final 5-3 (total 8) on 2026-09-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-24T10:18:37" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIN @ SFG", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5967, "raw_prob": 0.6554, "edge_pct": 13.9, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-23", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIN___SFG|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-23", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:42", "p_calibrated": 0.5831, "outcome": { "final_score": "MIN 4 @ SF 2", "total_runs": 6, "verify": "MIN @ SF: final 4-2 (total 6) on 2026-09-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-24T00:40:11" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Jackson Merrill", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.511, "fair_american": -105, "p_predicted": 0.511, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-23", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Jackson_Merrill|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Jackson Merrill \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-24T10:18:37" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Joshua Kuroda-Grauer", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.466, "fair_american": 115, "p_predicted": 0.466, "matchup": "LAA @ OAK", "date": "2026-09-23", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Joshua_Kuroda_Grauer|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-23", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-23T00:40:42", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 0, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Joshua Kuroda-Grauer \u2014 hits = 0 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-23", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-24T10:18:37" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Mookie Betts", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "SDP @ LAD", "date": "2026-09-23", 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"recorded_at": "2026-09-26T06:09:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6394, "outcome": { "final_score": "ATL 8 @ MIA 3", "total_runs": 11, "verify": "ATL @ MIA: final 8-3 (total 11 runs) on 2026-09-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "HOU @ OAK", "market": "HOU_ML", "prob": 0.6109, "raw_prob": 0.6386, "edge_pct": 22.2, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|HOU___OAK|HOU_ML|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-26T11:33:29", "p_calibrated": 0.6109, "outcome": { "final_score": "HOU 13 @ ATH 2", "total_runs": 15, "verify": "HOU @ ATH: final 13-2 (total 15 runs) on 2026-09-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T08:19:50" }, { "source": "cfb_model", "sport": "NCAAF", "event_id": "401858240", "player_or_matchup": "GT @ STAN", "market": "cfb_model_ml_home", "prob": 0.453, "p_predicted": 0.6567, "fair_american": 130, "experimental": true, "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "cfb_model|NCAAF|GT___STAN|cfb_model_ml_home|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 1.3, "recorded_at": "2026-09-26T18:54:38", "p_calibrated": 0.6567, "outcome": { "final_score": "GT 27 @ STAN 34", "verify": "GT @ STAN: final 27-34 on 2026-09-26 (ESPN event 401858240)" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T18:29:44" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "market": "SEA_ML", "prob": 0.6187, "raw_prob": 0.6424, "edge_pct": 18.1, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___SEA|SEA_ML|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "won", "payout_units": 0.9091, "recorded_at": "2026-09-26T23:56:27", "p_calibrated": 0.6187, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 4 @ SEA 8", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "LAA @ SEA: final 4-8 (total 12 runs) on 2026-09-26" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T14:04:31" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAA @ SEA", "market": "UNDER_8.5", "prob": 0.5879, "raw_prob": 0.6755, "edge_pct": 12.2, "fair_american": -110, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAA___SEA|UNDER_8_5|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-26T23:56:27", "p_calibrated": 0.5739, "outcome": { "final_score": "LAA 4 @ SEA 8", "total_runs": 12, "verify": "LAA @ SEA: final 4-8 (total 12) on 2026-09-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T14:04:31" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Nolan Arenado", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.488, "fair_american": 105, "p_predicted": 0.488, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Nolan_Arenado|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-26T23:56:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3313, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Nolan Arenado \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T14:04:31" }, { "source": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "Gabriel Moreno", "market": "HITS_2PLUS_YES", "prob": 0.442, "fair_american": 126, "p_predicted": 0.442, "matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "date": "2026-09-26", "pick_id": "mlb_2plus_hits_hits_2plus_yes|MLB|Gabriel_Moreno|HITS_2PLUS_YES|2026-09-26", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-26T23:56:27", "p_calibrated": 0.3176, "outcome": { "stat": "hits", "actual": 1, "line": 1.5, "side": "OVER/YES", "verify": "Gabriel Moreno \u2014 hits = 1 (line 1.5, bet OVER/YES) on 2026-09-26", "check": "verified" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-27T14:04:31" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ 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final 4-2 (total 6 runs) on 2026-09-27" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-28T01:00:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "ARI @ SDP", "market": "ARI_ML", "prob": 0.5675, "raw_prob": 0.5868, "edge_pct": 15.8, "fair_american": 104, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|ARI___SDP|ARI_ML|2026-09-27", "settled": true, "result": "lost", "payout_units": -1.0, "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T00:41:47", "p_calibrated": 0.5675, "outcome": { "final_score": "ARI 4 @ SD 9", "total_runs": 13, "verify": "ARI @ SD: final 4-9 (total 13 runs) on 2026-09-27" }, "settled_at": "2026-09-28T01:00:46" }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CHC @ BOS", "market": "CHC_ML", "prob": 0.561, "raw_prob": 0.5763, "edge_pct": 12.2, "fair_american": 100, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-09-27", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CHC___BOS|CHC_ML|2026-09-27", "settled": true, "result": "won", 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"player_or_matchup": "Barbora Krejcikova vs Elise Mertens", "market": "ML_PLAYER1", "prob": 0.653, "fair_american": -188, "p_predicted": 0.653, "matchup": "Barbora Krejcikova vs Elise Mertens", "date": "2026-09-27", "pick_id": "tennis_ml_ml_player1|TENNIS|Barbora_Krejcikova_vs_Elise_Mertens|ML_PLAYER1|2026-09-27", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T03:21:28", "p_calibrated": 0.653, "voided": true, "voided_at": "2026-10-02T00:15:13", "voided_reason": "unsettleable: no outcome feed within 4 days" }, { "source": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20.5", "sport": "TENNIS", "player_or_matchup": "Barbora Krejcikova vs Elise Mertens", "market": "TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20.5", "prob": 0.691, "fair_american": -224, "p_predicted": 0.691, "matchup": "Barbora Krejcikova vs Elise Mertens", "date": "2026-09-27", "pick_id": "tennis_games_total_games_under_20_5|TENNIS|Barbora_Krejcikova_vs_Elise_Mertens|TOTAL_GAMES_UNDER_20_5|2026-09-27", "settled": false, 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false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.584 }, { "source": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1.5", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "TOR @ BAL", "market": "HOME_MINUS_1.5", "prob": 0.589, "fair_american": -144, "p_predicted": 0.589, "matchup": "TOR @ BAL", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "mlb_rl_home_minus_1_5|MLB|TOR___BAL|HOME_MINUS_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.589 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "PHI @ BOS", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "PHI @ BOS", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|PHI___BOS|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "DET @ PIT", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "DET @ PIT", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|DET___PIT|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "CBJ @ BUF", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "CBJ @ BUF", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|CBJ___BUF|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "NYI @ NYR", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "NYI @ NYR", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|NYI___NYR|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "FLA @ CAR", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "FLA @ CAR", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|FLA___CAR|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "EDM @ WPG", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "EDM @ WPG", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|EDM___WPG|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "TBL @ NSH", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "TBL @ NSH", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|TBL___NSH|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "VAN @ CGY", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "VAN @ CGY", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|VAN___CGY|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "UTA @ LAK", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "UTA @ LAK", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|UTA___LAK|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_period_p3_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "market": "P3_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.636, "fair_american": -174, "p_predicted": 0.636, "matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_period_p3_over_1_5|NHL|VGK___SJS|P3_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.636 }, { "source": "nhl_anytime_goal_no", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "elias pettersson", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL_NO", "prob": 0.905, "fair_american": -951, "p_predicted": 0.905, "matchup": "VAN @ CGY", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_anytime_goal_no|NHL|elias_pettersson|ANYTIME_GOAL_NO|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.905 }, { "source": "nhl_anytime_goal_no", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "jack eichel", "market": "ANYTIME_GOAL_NO", "prob": 0.905, "fair_american": -951, "p_predicted": 0.905, "matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_anytime_goal_no|NHL|jack_eichel|ANYTIME_GOAL_NO|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.905 }, { "source": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "trent frederic", "market": "HITS_OVER_2.5", "prob": 0.679, "fair_american": -212, "p_predicted": 0.679, "matchup": "EDM @ WPG", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_hits_over_2_5|NHL|trent_frederic|HITS_OVER_2_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.679 }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "alex pietrangelo", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.713, "fair_american": -248, "p_predicted": 0.713, "matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|alex_pietrangelo|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.713 }, { "source": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1.5", "sport": "NHL", "player_or_matchup": "noah hanifin", "market": "BLOCKS_OVER_1.5", "prob": 0.669, "fair_american": -202, "p_predicted": 0.669, "matchup": "VGK @ SJS", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "nhl_skater_blocks_over_1_5|NHL|noah_hanifin|BLOCKS_OVER_1_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T00:09:57", "p_calibrated": 0.669 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "market": "MIL_ML", "prob": 0.5757, "raw_prob": 0.6055, "edge_pct": 26.1, "fair_american": 119, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|MIL___SDP|MIL_ML|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T01:38:20", "p_calibrated": 0.5757 }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "LAD @ ATL", "market": "LAD_ML", "prob": 0.6821, "raw_prob": 0.7085, "edge_pct": 18.4, "fair_american": -136, "primary_source_module": "today_reco", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|LAD___ATL|LAD_ML|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T01:38:20", "p_calibrated": 0.6821, "also_sources": [ "sharp_elite" ] }, { "source": "top_25_board", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "CLE @ CHW", "market": "ML_HOME", "prob": 0.5961, "raw_prob": 0.639, "edge_pct": 9.3, "fair_american": -120, "primary_source_module": "today", "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "top_25_board|MLB|CLE___CHW|ML_HOME|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T01:38:20", "p_calibrated": 0.6415 }, { "source": "pod", "sport": "MLB", "player_or_matchup": "MIL @ SDP", "market": "OVER_7.5", "prob": 0.7086, "edge_pct": 35.28, "fair_american": -110, "date": "2026-10-07", "pick_id": "pod|MLB|MIL___SDP|OVER_7_5|2026-10-07", "settled": false, "result": "pending", "payout_units": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-07T05:55:19", "p_calibrated": 0.6685 } ], "note": "Unified pick ledger -- records every pick the model surfaces (top_25 board, whales, consensus, unders, sharp action, locks, POD) and settles each against actual outcomes. Per-source W-L feeds back into calibration so the model learns which modules are reliable. THIS is the training signal." }