⚾ Batter vs Starting Pitcher — Matchup-Adjusted Edges
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How this works:
Each batter's last-14-game baseline 1+hit/1+HR prob is shifted by a log-odds adjustment from three sources:
(1) pitch-arsenal-weighted xwOBA matchup (matchups.json), (2) opposing pitcher BAA/FIP/K9 quality,
(3) shrunk career batting average vs that pitcher (need 5+ AB). Boosts shown in percentage-points (pp).
--Games Analyzed
--Batters Evaluated
--Top Hit Boost
--Top HR Boost
Hit Boost
HR Boost
Top 1+H Abs.
Top 1+HR Abs.
Hit Fades
📈 Top Matchup-Boosted 1+ Hit Probabilities--