by bpleone
LIVE

Anomaly Detector

Loading cross-sport anomalies (streak mismatches, residual divergence, over-pct outliers)…

--Anomalies
--Streak Mismatch
--Residual Divergence
--Over-Heavy
📋 What this is

Three classes of anomaly:

  • Streak Mismatch: team on W5+ streak but model rates as coinflip (may be undervalued), or team on L5+ but model still favors them (overvalued)
  • Residual Divergence: team has out/underperformed ELO-expected margin by ≥6 points across recent games — model bias may persist
  • Over-Heavy Team: team has gone OVER their median total in ≥75% of last 10 games — lean OVER on their next game total
⚠️ Active Anomalies--